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Confirmation bias and pneumonia
1. Oncology records:
Surgery october 2006: bilateral ovarian
CLINICAL CASE endometrioid carcinoma, stage IIIC, treated
with optimal debulking and adjuvant CT.
Dissemination to the lungs, mediastinal
Woman, 65 años. nodes, and peritoneum, 6 months after
finishing CT. Several chemotherapy lines
Allergies: penicillin
until July 2012. Intestinal suboclusion
Asthma resolved in a conservative way in May-April
2012.
Mitral valve prolapse
*
2. CLINICAL CASE
PRESENT DISEASE
- Nausea and vomiting for three days, with “dark vomit” suggesting bleeding. Low fever and
cough.
- Constipation
EGEndoscopy: péptic esophagitis grade C (Los Angeles). No tumor visible in
stomach or duodenum
Treatment:
Treatment:
pantoprazol
pantoprazol
Ondasetron IV
Ondasetron IV
Diet and hydratation
Diet and hydratation
3. EVOLUTION:
48 hours later: fever 38.5 ºC .
Cough and mucosal sputum and no other signs of sepsis..
Laboratory:
WC: L 3300 (N 2130, L 480), Hb 8.6, plat 81000. Normal coagulation. BQ: glu 293, Cr 0.53, proteins
5.1, GOT normal, GPT 47, GGT 156, LDH 292, albumina 1.9, prealbumina 8.2
Blood cultures : negatives
Rx tórax
Levofloxacino
i.v 500 mg/ d
* 96h later
oral liquids.
31/07/12 31/07/12
4. EVOLUTION:
Progressive clinical deterioration increase in dyspnea, cough and “dark” mucosal sputum .
:
Urine antigens negative for Legionella and pneumococo
Sputum culture mixed bacteria, possible contamination
Blood cultures negatives
XR Thorax:
Laboratory WBC normal, anemia grade I, trombopenia grade II, severe desnutrition.
7. Treatment:
Differential Diagnosis: : aerosolterapia, acetilcisteina,
corticoids, oxigen
1. Pneumonía adcquired in the community
in a immunocompromised patient.
We introduced a new antibiotic
2. Atypical pneumonia
ceftriaxona 2 gr/24h i.v
3. Tumoral progression.
4. Pulmonary drug toxicity We changed levofloxacino +
ceftriaxona Imipenem 1 gr/8h
iv
* Because of Oral candidiasis:
Fluconazol 200 mg/12h iv
9. IMPROVING DIAGNOSIS AND CLINICAL REASONING:
Confirmación bias
2. COGNITIVE COMPOUND
1. PROBLEM CLASSIFICATION
We think that our diagnosis was initially wrong
A) Diagnósis never made
because of the assumption of a “normal”
B) Wrong Diagnosis: even thinking pneumonia to explain the symptoms of the
that a pulmonary infection was deteriorating patient. In a retrospective way we noticed that
the situation of the patient, the main problem cough and dyspnea were clearly associated to food
was the aspiration of food from the
aesophagical area to the lungs, without a clear ingestion.
explanation.
This clinical situation can be defined as a
C) Diagnosis delay
Confirmation Bias..
How to improve? When our model doesn,t fit for the main signs,
symptoms and evolution, we have to think in another alternative
10. IMPROVING DIAGNOSIS AND CLINICAL REASONING:
Confirmación bias
2. COGNITIVE COMPOUND
1. PROBLEM CLASSIFICATION
We think that our diagnosis was initially wrong
A) Diagnósis never made
because of the assumption of a “normal”
B) Wrong Diagnosis: even thinking pneumonia to explain the symptoms of the
that a pulmonary infection was deteriorating patient. In a retrospective way we noticed that
the situation of the patient, the main problem cough and dyspnea were clearly associated to food
was the aspiration of food from the
aesophagical area to the lungs, without a clear ingestion.
explanation.
This clinical situation can be defined as a
C) Diagnosis delay
Confirmation Bias..
How to improve? When our model doesn,t fit for the main signs,
symptoms and evolution, we have to think in another alternative
Editor's Notes
QT paliativa: Septiembre 2007 Carboplatino-gemcitabina x 6 ciclos Mayo 2008 Caelyx x 3 ciclos Septiembre 2008 Topotecam semanal Enero 2009 ciclofosfamida + bevacizumab Junio 2011 carboplatino + bevacizumab Diciembre 2011 cisplatino + gemcitabina Marzo 2012 capectiabina + bevacizumab Abril y mayo 2012 2 ingresos por cuadro suboclusión intestinal resuelto con tratamiento conservador. Mayo – Julio taxol semanal
Rx tórax: Leve derrame pleural bilateral. Infiltrado alveolo-intersticial en LII. Infiltrado alveolar con colapso parcial del LM *** Neumonía adquirida en la comunidad (48h tras ingreso) A los 5 días del ingreso, y dada la ausencia de nauseas, vómitos o exploración abdominal patológica se reinició tolerancia oral.
Empeoramiento clínico progresivo con mayor aumento de disnea basal hasta hacerse de minimos esfuerzos, aumento de tos y expectoración herrumbrosa A las 48 h de iniciar levofloxacino se añadió ceftriaxona 2gr/día. Tras completar 1 semana de ATB con empeoramiento clínico progresivo se modificó tto y se inició imipenem iv. Añadió fluconazol iv ante la presencia de candidiasis oral se iniciaron enjuagues con mycostatin
Rx tórax 06/08/12: Persiste leve derrame pleural bilateral, . sin cambios radiológicos significativos con respecto a estudio previo ( 31 - 7 - 2012 ). Mejoria del infiltrado alveolo - intersticial localizado en LII . Infiltrado alveolar con colapso parcial de LM . Aumento de desidad en probable realcion con el 3 a arco costal derecho . A valorar con RX de parrilla costal derecha .
Rx tórax 09/08/12: Vía de acceso central transyugular con reservorio subcutaneo en region infraclavicular y punta en vena cava superior . Cambios degenerativos en columna dorsal . Elongación aórtica con ateromatosis aortica difusa . Engrosamiento de la linea paratraqueal posterior con nivel hidroaéreo en tercio medio de esófago de nueva aparición, que plantea descartar patologia esofágica. Persiste leve derrame pleural bilateral, sin cambios radiológicos significativos con respecto a estudio previo ( 06 de agosto ) , así como el infiltrado alveolo - intersticial localizado en LII. Infiltrado alveolar con colapso parcial de LM Patología esofágica ante la buena tolerancia la ausencia de clínica GI y el mal estado general de la paciente desde el punto de vista respiratorio no se solicito estudio para descartar patologia esofágica
angio-TC 13/08/12: Gran dilatación esofágica y de la cámara gástrica con material alimenticio retenido, se recomienda colocación de sonda nasogástrica. Higado metastasico . Reservorio derecho con extremo en VCS
Cnd los signos o sintomas no casa más que ir a confirmas idea incial hay que buscar hipotesis alternativas