Overview of Computer workers in the Boise Metro Area. Overview of Professional, Scientific and Technical Industry in the Boise Metro.

1. COMPUTER OCCUPATIONS
IN THE BOISE METRO AREA
Ethan Mansfield
Southwest Idaho Regional Economist
Idaho Department of Labor

2. OUTLINE
• The Big Picture – Why Train with Boise CodeWorks?
• Labor Market Overview
• Computer Occupations Outlook
• Technology Industries Outlook
OUTLINE

3. WHY BOISE CODEWORKS?
Source: Australian Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO), 2016
Digitally Enabled Workforce
Business models will evolve:
Social media
Internet of Things
Entrepreneurial economy
New Education Paradigm:
Numeracy, Literacy, & Digital Literacy
Workplace and Lifelong learning / training
Greater effort in Science, Technology, Engineering,
Mathematics disciplines

4. RECENT HEADLINES
“At Western Firms Like Adidas, Rise of the Machines Is Fueled by
Higher Asia Wages”
• The Wall Street Journal, June 9, 2016
“Obama just warned Congress about robots taking over jobs that pay
less than $20 an hour”
• Tech Insider, Mar. 10, 2016
“Robots Will Steal Our Jobs, But They’ll Give Us New Ones”
• Wired Magazine, Aug. 24, 2015
“Secretary of Labor Assures Nation There Still Plenty of Jobs for
Americans willing to Outwork Robots”
• The Onion, Sep. 8, 2015

5. AUTOMATION DISPLACING LABOR
Source: Autor, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2015

6. PROBABILITY OF AUTOMATION BY
OCCUPATION GROUP
Sources: Frey & Osborne, Oxford Martin School, 2013; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics: 2010 Occupational Employment

7. DISTRIBUTION IN IDAHO
Sources: Frey & Osborne, Oxford Martin School, 2013; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics: 2010 Occupational Employment, Idaho Department of Labor, 2016
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
TotalEmploymentThousands
Chance of Automation
Low Medium High
28% 19% 49%

8. OCCUPATION RISK
Sources: Frey & Osborne, Oxford Martin School, 2013; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics: 2010 Occupational Employment
Rank
Automation
Probability
Occupation
32 1% Computer Systems Analysts
69 2% Computer and Information Research Scientists
110 3% Database Administrators
109 3% Network and Computer Systems Administrators
117 4% Operations Research Analysts
130 4% Software Developers, Applications
135 5% Mathematicians
181 13% Software Developers, Systems Software
208 21%
Information Security Analysts, Web Developers, and
Computer Network Architects
209 21% Actuaries
212 22% Computer Occupations, All Other
213 22% Statisticians
293 48% Computer Programmers
359 65% Computer Support Specialists
699 99% Mathematical Technicians

9. Top Ten Least Susceptible
Rank Occupation Low Risk Medium Risk High Risk
1 Computer, Engineering, and Science 81.6% 12.5% 5.9%
2
Education, Legal, Community Service, Arts,
and Media
74.4% 20.0% 5.6%
3 Management, Business, and Financial 68.8% 7.2% 24.0%
4 Healthcare Practitioners and Technical 60.3% 30.8% 8.9%
5 Construction and Extraction 19.1% 11.4% 69.5%
6 Sales and related 14.5% 5.4% 80.2%
7 Installation, Maintenance, and Repair 12.0% 57.1% 30.9%
8 Service 11.7% 20.1% 68.3%
9 Production 7.5% 14.2% 78.3%
10 Office and Administrative Support 6.4% 25.3% 68.4%
OCCUPATION RISK
Sources: Frey & Osborne, Oxford Martin School, 2013; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics: 2010 Occupational Employment

10. THIS ISN’T A NEW THING… 450 YEARS AGO…
William Lee’s Stocking Frame Knitting Machine (1589)

11. NATIONAL UNEMPLOYMENT RATE BY SELECTED
OCCUPATION GROUP (2015 ANNUAL AVG)
5.3
2.4 2.6 2.8
1.7
5
7.9
5.1
7.2
6.3
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Total Management,
business, and
financial
Computer and
mathematical
Life, physical, and
social science
occupations
Healthcare
practitioner and
technical
Healthcare
support
occupations
Food preparation
and serving
related
occupations
Sales and office
occupations
Natural
resources,
construction, and
maintenance
occupations
Production,
transportation,
and material
moving
occupations
UnemploymentRate

12. IDAHO UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMANTS BY
OCCUPATION AND INDUSTRY GROUP (APRIL 2016)
Share of Claimants by Industry
Share of Claimants by Occupation Group

13. COMPUTER AND MATH OCCUPATIONS – BOISE
METRO AREA
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Employment Statistics, 2016
• 8,900 Jobs
• 8% More Concentrated than the National Average
• Median Wage = $31.52/hr or $65,560 annually
• 873 Job Postings in May 2016
• Computer Jobs in 215 of 300 Classified Industries

14. COMPUTER AND MATH OCCUPATIONS – BOISE
METRO AREA
1.06
1.11
0.86
1
1.11
1.33
1.95
1.04
0.65
0.88
1.08
1.32
0.74
0.59
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5
Software Developers, Applications
Computer User Support Specialists
Computer Systems Analysts
Software Developers, Systems Software
Network and Computer Systems Administrators
Computer Occupations, All Other
Web Developers
Computer Network Support Specialists
Computer Programmers
Computer Network Architects
Database Administrators
Operations Research Analysts
Information Security Analysts
Statisticians
1630
1340
990
874
860
610
510
424
390
270
260
260
140
40
Software Developers, Applications
Computer User Support Specialists
Computer Systems Analysts
Software Developers, Systems Software
Network and Computer Systems Administrators
Computer Occupations, All Other
Web Developers
Computer Network Support Specialists
Computer Programmers
Computer Network Architects
Database Administrators
Operations Research Analysts
Information Security Analysts
Statisticians
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Employment Statistics, 2016
Employment and Employment Concentration

15. COMPUTER AND MATH OCCUPATIONS – WAGES
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Employment Statistics, 2016
$10.80
$15.69
$24.41
$22.08
$31.52
$43.72
$0
$5
$10
$15
$20
$25
$30
$35
$40
$45
$50
25th% Median 75th%
All Occupations Computer and Math

16. COMPUTER AND MATH OCCUPATIONS – JOB
POSTINGS
Source: Wanted Analytics
895
600
650
700
750
800
850
900
950
1000
May,2012
June,2012
July,2012
August,2012
September,2012
October,2012
November,2012
December,2012
January,2013
February,2013
March,2013
April,2013
May,2013
June,2013
July,2013
August,2013
September,2013
October,2013
November,2013
December,2013
January,2014
February,2014
March,2014
April,2014
May,2014
June,2014
July,2014
August,2014
September,2014
October,2014
November,2014
December,2014
January,2015
February,2015
March,2015
April,2015
May,2015
June,2015
July,2015
August,2015
September,2015
October,2015
November,2015
December,2015
January,2016
February,2016
March,2016
April,2016
May,2016
June,2016
July,2016

17. COMPUTER AND MATH OCCUPATIONS – JOB
POSTINGS GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION
Source: Wanted Analytics
Boise City-Nampa
74%
Idaho Falls
6%
Pocatello
5%
Lewiston
1%
Twin Falls
2%
Moscow
1%
Coeur d'Alene
1%
Rexburg
1%
Unspecified
7%
Others (4)
1%

18. COMPUTER AND MATH OCCUPATIONS – DEMAND
Source: Wanted Analytics; Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Employment Statistics, 2016
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
May,2012
June,2012
July,2012
August,2012
September,2012
October,2012
November,2012
December,2012
January,2013
February,2013
March,2013
April,2013
May,2013
June,2013
July,2013
August,2013
September,2013
October,2013
November,2013
December,2013
January,2014
February,2014
March,2014
April,2014
May,2014
June,2014
July,2014
August,2014
September,2014
October,2014
November,2014
December,2014
January,2015
February,2015
March,2015
April,2015
May,2015
June,2015
July,2015
August,2015
September,2015
October,2015
November,2015
December,2015
January,2016
February,2016
March,2016
April,2016
May,2016
June,2016
July,2016
Computer and Math Demand All Jobs Demand

19. Industry
Occupation Jobs in
Industry
% of Occupation in
Industry
% of Total Jobs in
Industry
Professional, Scientific, and Technical
Services
1,961 23.5% 12.1%
Computer and Electronic Product
Manufacturing
1,181 14.1% 11.2%
Administrative and Support Services 683 8.2% 2.9%
State Government 629 7.5% 4.2%
Management of Companies and
Enterprises
451 5.4% 11.3%
Insurance Carriers and Related Activities 370 4.4% 7.8%
Local Government 353 4.2% 1.4%
Federal Government 299 3.6% 3.4%
Telecommunications 276 3.3% 18.7%
Merchant Wholesalers, Durable Goods 269 3.2% 3.5%
Hospitals 213 2.5% 1.4%
Credit Intermediation and Related
Activities
203 2.4% 4.0%
Other Information Services 190 2.3% 31.6%
Data Processing, Hosting, and Related
Services
132 1.6% 42.6%
Publishing Industries (except Internet) 124 1.5% 13.2%
COMPUTER AND MATH OCCUPATIONS – INDUSTRY
OPPORTUNITY
Source: Economic Modeling Specialists, Int.

20. PROFESSIONAL, SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNICAL
INDUSTRY?
Source: Quarterly Workforce Indicators, US Census Bureau; Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, Bureau of Labor
Statistics, 2016
• Computer Systems Design
• Technical Consulting Services
• Architecture and Engineering
Services
• R & D Services
• Advertising and Public Relations
• Legal
Industry Quick Facts:
• Between Summer 2014 and Summer 2015, over half (54%)
of the new companies in the Boise Metro were Professional,
Scientific and Technical Services.
• In 2014, almost one in every five jobs (18%) and over half
(53%) of the new job growth in the Professional, Scientific
and Technical Services industry was at a company that was
less than 5 years old.

21. PROFESSIONAL, SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNICAL
INDUSTRY EMPLOYMENT
Source: Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2016
11,613
11,805
11,650
12,286
12,819
13,513
10,500
11,000
11,500
12,000
12,500
13,000
13,500
14,000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

22. PROFESSIONAL, SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNICAL
INDUSTRY GROWTH
Source: Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2016
0.2%
-7.0%
-0.6%
1.7%
-1.3%
5.5%
4.3%
5.4%
-1.1%
-7.6%
-1.2%
0.6%
2.1%
3.4%
2.7% 3.1%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Professional, Technical and Scientific Services Economy-wide

23. PROFESSIONAL, SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNICAL
INDUSTRY GROWTH – NEW FIRMS
Source: Quarterly Workforce Indicators, US Census Bureau
-5%
-3%
-1%
1%
3%
5%
7%
9%
Quarter-to-Quarter Percent Growth
0-5 Year-old Pro, Sci, and Tech Services
Economy-wide
*4 Quarter moving average.2013

24. PROFESSIONAL, SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNICAL
INDUSTRY GROWTH – NEW FIRMS
Source: Quarterly Workforce Indicators, US Census Bureau
4
72
286
-48
61
-44
216
66
116 119 117
85
151
1
275
106
130
323
-50
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2011 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2012 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2013 Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2014 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4
Net New Jobs Added per Quarter
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services Firms UNDER 5 Years Old
2010-2014
Net New Jobs by Firm
4-quarter Average

25. Ethan Mansfield, SW Idaho Regional Economist
Ethan.Mansfield@labor.Idaho.gov
208-332-3570 ext. 3455
QUESTIONS?

26. COMPUTER AND MATH OCCUPATIONS – METRO
AREA COMPARISONS
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Employment Statistics, 2016
Metro Area
Comp and Math
Employment
Location Quotient
25th%
Wage
75th%
Wage
Seattle-Bellevue-Everett, WA Metropolitan
Division
116,980 2.62 $39.45 $64.13
San Francisco-Redwood City-South San
Francisco, CA Metropolitan Division
80,480 2.72 $39.93 $66.79
Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, CO 63,100 1.58 $32.33 $55.61
Austin-Round Rock, TX 59,860 2.22 $27.21 $52.80
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA 40,600 1.28 $28.60 $51.15
Salt Lake City, UT 24,340 1.28 $24.78 $46.81
Colorado Springs, CO 13,260 1.75 $30.43 $54.35
Boise City, ID 8,900 1.08 $22.08 $43.72
Spokane-Spokane Valley, WA 4,020 0.63 $23.28 $40.18
Reno, NV 3,480 0.59 $24.64 $43.43
Bellingham, WA 1,210 0.52 $23.73 $40.86
Idaho Falls, ID 1,190 0.68 $23.76 $45.03

27. COMPUTER AND MATH OCCUPATIONS – METRO
AREA COMPARISONS
Source: Council for Community and Economic Research; Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Employment Statistics, 2016
80.0
90.0
100.0
110.0
120.0
130.0
140.0
150.0
160.0
170.0
180.0
Cost of Living by Selected Western Metros
Cost of Living Index, C2ER, 100 = National Average
2015

28. COMPUTER AND MATH OCCUPATIONS – METRO
AREA COMPARISONS
Source: Council for Community and Economic Research; Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Employment Statistics, 2016
$31.90
$29.47 $28.52 $28.34 $28.08
$25.71 $24.35 $24.29 $23.49 $22.60 $22.07 $20.91
$56.97
$50.69
$54.06 $55.00
$45.64
$48.56
$42.03
$48.10
$41.40
$37.80
$39.47
$36.00
$0.00
$10.00
$20.00
$30.00
$40.00
$50.00
$60.00
Wages Adjusted for Cost of Living Adj. 25th%
Adj. 75th%

30. https://public.tableau.com/shared/FRD46PY7S?:display_count
=yes
THE HIGH-TECH SECTOR IN THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST