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China – Opportunities, Threats,
Success and Failure
AQA BUSS4 Research Theme 2014
The relentless rise of China is, perhaps, the
most important global business story currently
The opportunity in China
• The world’s 2nd largest economy
• Still growing much faster than developed economies
• Approaching 1 billion consumers as urbanisation
progresses
• Enlarged & increasingly affluent middle class
• Rapidly emerging market segments
• Strong demand for western brands, products &
services
• Massive investment in infrastructure, but now
looking to rebalance in favour of consumption
• Still a source of low-cost and high quality supply
despite rising wage costs
The threats in & from China
• Time and cost to establish profitable market
position
• Risks of loss of IP
• Growing & intense local competition
• Is competition fair in China?
• CSR – western firms under intense scrutiny
• A more hostile external environment for
western businesses?
• Chinese businesses now have their own global
ambitions
The following slides
guide you through
some examples of
the opportunities
and threats
China is big. Very big
China is complex
China is actually a
collection of
individual submarkets defined
by vastly differing
demographic,
economic and
cultural
characteristics.
China’s population is approaching 1.4 billion
And soon a billion Chinese will live in
urban environments…
If current trends hold, China's urban
population will hit the one

billion

mark by 2030.
In 20 years, China's cities will have
added 350 million people more than the
entire population of the United States
today. By 2025, China will have 221
cities with one million–plus inhabitants—
compared with 35 cities of this size in
Europe today—and 23 cities with more
than five million. For companies in
China and around the world, the scale
of China’s urbanization promises
substantial new markets and
investment opportunities.
http://www.mckinsey.com/insights/urbanization/preparing_for_urban_billion_in_china
…driving the growth of a huge and
increasingly affluent middle class
A key evaluation point to consider: is China
now simply too big to ignore?
More than half of multinationals consider China to be the
most important emerging market for their growth strategy

Source: Boston Consulting Group, 2013
Most Western multinationals still expect to gain market
share in China – but face tough local competition

Source: Boston Consulting Group, 2013
The world’s largest businesses already see China
as a key opportunity
…but many have come unstuck as they try to build
profitable businesses and gain market share in China
Businesses outside China face intensive competition
inside and China, increasingly in their domestic markets
Foreign brands are still hugely popular in China
Chinese consumers are increasingly looking to
buy branded goods and services
Differences still exist between brands, whether they are
multinationally or domestically owned particularly when it
comes to recognition, popularity and trust

Source: Ipsos Survey of Chinese Consumers 2013
Rebalancing - a process of increasing the proportion of GDP
generated from consumption - offers significant
opportunities for consumer brands and services
E-commerce offer huge opportunities. China currently
has more than 500 million internet users.

Source: BCG
However, the Chinese e-commerce market is
already dominated by one firm - Alibaba
The obstacles for businesses outside China exploiting
the opportunities remain tough
China’s economic transformation has created
many giant companies
SOE's are leading the international expansion of
Chinese firms outside China
The scale of State-Owned Enterprises poses significant
competitive challenges for businesses outside China

27,000 branches throughout China
Employees: 447,401

Sales: $103 B (2012)
Domestic competitors are growing rapidly and increasingly
turning their attention towards international markets
China is creating its own generation of entrepreneurs
who have global aspirations for their own brands
The scale of the transformation means that businesses
outside China face lots of new competition
Many of the emerging global Chinese businesses used to
be Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs)
Chinese firms have acquired / developed expertise and are
no longer content to stay at the bottom of the value chain
China's domestic firms are closer to customers, may have
better marketing & distribution and are usually lower-cost
Chinese firms are not yet achieving strong brand
recognition in developed economies, but they may soon!
Western consumers are open to Chinese brands,
but they have reservations about quality
The challenge to businesses outside China will
come from takeovers as well as organic growth
The shift in China to a higher-wage economy will put
pressure on existing business models there
As China’s industries move up the value chain,
businesses outside China are “re-shoring”
For many businesses outside China, the risks of
doing business with China still outweigh the rewards
However, for other businesses the risks of China
outweighed the rewards
Let’s look at a few
examples of businesses
that have succeeded in
China…and a few that
have struggled!
Lessons to learn from businesses that
have succeeded

Yum Brands!

P&G

Starbucks
5 sources of advantage for KFC
• Localised the product, reinventing the menu, adding lots
of choice and varying the menu by region within China
• Moved quickly to establish scale in China. Identified 16
key cities as the base from which they could expand
rapidly
• Created own distribution system to ensure that it could
rely on supplies reaching the expanding store network

• Emphasised staff and management training
• Owned rather than franchised the outlets in China
Localisation was key to success for KFC
However, localisation doesn’t always go to
plan…as McDonald’s found out

http://www.businessinsider.com/mcdonalds-rice-based-menu-for-china-2013-6
Multinationals that “localise” their products and
services for China tend to be more successful
P&G and the Power of Branding in China

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-23364230
China crucial to P&G achieving an
ambitious corporate objective
1 billion
customers
worldwide by
2015 (a 25%
increase)
Key success factors for P&G in China
• Already a global brand & world-class
manufacturer
• Invested for long-term (entered 1985)
• Focused on promotion to build company and
brand awareness
• Massive investment in local production
• Recruitment & training of locals

• Localisation ($2 a day programme)
P&G: a great case study in how to succeed
in China
Starbucks creates – and takes leadership of
– a market for coffee in China
• Think different: China =
tea?
• Exploit brand
awareness & aspiration
• Deliver high quality
• Work with local
partners
• Commit & invest for
long-term
Read more about Starbucks strategy in China
IKEA has also developed a winning formula
in China
Ikea’s long-term strategy of localisation and building
brand loyalty in China is starting to pay off
For BMW, China is now the biggest market
Other businesses outside China that have
succeeded in China
However, being a global brand or retail
giant doesn’t guarantee success in China
Well known brands and firms tried and failed…
A high failure rate illustrates the risks of
doing business in China
48% of foreign businesses,
including leading multinational
corporations, fail and withdraw
from the China market within
two years of establishing
operations there
Source: WeberShandwick 2013
What usually goes wrong?
• Employee pilfering and theft, including theft of critical
intellectual property (IP)
• Failure to localise and customise products and services to
suit the domestic market
• Failure to seek or to heed local advice
• Poor senior management appointments
• Underestimating local competition
• Insufficient or improper market research
• Inability to communicate with the local market in culturally
appropriate and sensitive ways
• Underestimating the important role the government plays
at every level of society including commerce
Source: WeberShandwick 2013
Lessons learned?
Multinational companies hoping to
succeed in China can’t treat it as an
interesting side bet any longer;
they need to take China as seriously
as they do their home market.

Source: McKinsey
Lessons learned?
"Never assume what works for
your mature markets will work for
China. Success comes for those
who stay relevant to the needs of
the Chinese consumer."

Source: MillwardBrand - How to win in China: Top brands share tips for success
China - Opportunities, Threats, Success and Failure

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China - Opportunities, Threats, Success and Failure

  • 1. China – Opportunities, Threats, Success and Failure AQA BUSS4 Research Theme 2014
  • 2. The relentless rise of China is, perhaps, the most important global business story currently
  • 3. The opportunity in China • The world’s 2nd largest economy • Still growing much faster than developed economies • Approaching 1 billion consumers as urbanisation progresses • Enlarged & increasingly affluent middle class • Rapidly emerging market segments • Strong demand for western brands, products & services • Massive investment in infrastructure, but now looking to rebalance in favour of consumption • Still a source of low-cost and high quality supply despite rising wage costs
  • 4. The threats in & from China • Time and cost to establish profitable market position • Risks of loss of IP • Growing & intense local competition • Is competition fair in China? • CSR – western firms under intense scrutiny • A more hostile external environment for western businesses? • Chinese businesses now have their own global ambitions
  • 5. The following slides guide you through some examples of the opportunities and threats
  • 6. China is big. Very big
  • 7. China is complex China is actually a collection of individual submarkets defined by vastly differing demographic, economic and cultural characteristics.
  • 8. China’s population is approaching 1.4 billion
  • 9. And soon a billion Chinese will live in urban environments… If current trends hold, China's urban population will hit the one billion mark by 2030. In 20 years, China's cities will have added 350 million people more than the entire population of the United States today. By 2025, China will have 221 cities with one million–plus inhabitants— compared with 35 cities of this size in Europe today—and 23 cities with more than five million. For companies in China and around the world, the scale of China’s urbanization promises substantial new markets and investment opportunities. http://www.mckinsey.com/insights/urbanization/preparing_for_urban_billion_in_china
  • 10. …driving the growth of a huge and increasingly affluent middle class
  • 11. A key evaluation point to consider: is China now simply too big to ignore?
  • 12. More than half of multinationals consider China to be the most important emerging market for their growth strategy Source: Boston Consulting Group, 2013
  • 13. Most Western multinationals still expect to gain market share in China – but face tough local competition Source: Boston Consulting Group, 2013
  • 14. The world’s largest businesses already see China as a key opportunity
  • 15. …but many have come unstuck as they try to build profitable businesses and gain market share in China
  • 16. Businesses outside China face intensive competition inside and China, increasingly in their domestic markets
  • 17. Foreign brands are still hugely popular in China
  • 18. Chinese consumers are increasingly looking to buy branded goods and services
  • 19. Differences still exist between brands, whether they are multinationally or domestically owned particularly when it comes to recognition, popularity and trust Source: Ipsos Survey of Chinese Consumers 2013
  • 20. Rebalancing - a process of increasing the proportion of GDP generated from consumption - offers significant opportunities for consumer brands and services
  • 21. E-commerce offer huge opportunities. China currently has more than 500 million internet users. Source: BCG
  • 22. However, the Chinese e-commerce market is already dominated by one firm - Alibaba
  • 23. The obstacles for businesses outside China exploiting the opportunities remain tough
  • 24. China’s economic transformation has created many giant companies
  • 25. SOE's are leading the international expansion of Chinese firms outside China
  • 26. The scale of State-Owned Enterprises poses significant competitive challenges for businesses outside China 27,000 branches throughout China Employees: 447,401 Sales: $103 B (2012)
  • 27. Domestic competitors are growing rapidly and increasingly turning their attention towards international markets
  • 28. China is creating its own generation of entrepreneurs who have global aspirations for their own brands
  • 29. The scale of the transformation means that businesses outside China face lots of new competition
  • 30. Many of the emerging global Chinese businesses used to be Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs)
  • 31. Chinese firms have acquired / developed expertise and are no longer content to stay at the bottom of the value chain
  • 32. China's domestic firms are closer to customers, may have better marketing & distribution and are usually lower-cost
  • 33. Chinese firms are not yet achieving strong brand recognition in developed economies, but they may soon!
  • 34. Western consumers are open to Chinese brands, but they have reservations about quality
  • 35. The challenge to businesses outside China will come from takeovers as well as organic growth
  • 36. The shift in China to a higher-wage economy will put pressure on existing business models there
  • 37. As China’s industries move up the value chain, businesses outside China are “re-shoring”
  • 38. For many businesses outside China, the risks of doing business with China still outweigh the rewards
  • 39. However, for other businesses the risks of China outweighed the rewards
  • 40. Let’s look at a few examples of businesses that have succeeded in China…and a few that have struggled!
  • 41. Lessons to learn from businesses that have succeeded Yum Brands! P&G Starbucks
  • 42. 5 sources of advantage for KFC • Localised the product, reinventing the menu, adding lots of choice and varying the menu by region within China • Moved quickly to establish scale in China. Identified 16 key cities as the base from which they could expand rapidly • Created own distribution system to ensure that it could rely on supplies reaching the expanding store network • Emphasised staff and management training • Owned rather than franchised the outlets in China
  • 43. Localisation was key to success for KFC
  • 44. However, localisation doesn’t always go to plan…as McDonald’s found out http://www.businessinsider.com/mcdonalds-rice-based-menu-for-china-2013-6
  • 45. Multinationals that “localise” their products and services for China tend to be more successful
  • 46. P&G and the Power of Branding in China http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-23364230
  • 47. China crucial to P&G achieving an ambitious corporate objective 1 billion customers worldwide by 2015 (a 25% increase)
  • 48. Key success factors for P&G in China • Already a global brand & world-class manufacturer • Invested for long-term (entered 1985) • Focused on promotion to build company and brand awareness • Massive investment in local production • Recruitment & training of locals • Localisation ($2 a day programme)
  • 49. P&G: a great case study in how to succeed in China
  • 50. Starbucks creates – and takes leadership of – a market for coffee in China • Think different: China = tea? • Exploit brand awareness & aspiration • Deliver high quality • Work with local partners • Commit & invest for long-term
  • 51. Read more about Starbucks strategy in China
  • 52. IKEA has also developed a winning formula in China
  • 53. Ikea’s long-term strategy of localisation and building brand loyalty in China is starting to pay off
  • 54. For BMW, China is now the biggest market
  • 55. Other businesses outside China that have succeeded in China
  • 56. However, being a global brand or retail giant doesn’t guarantee success in China
  • 57. Well known brands and firms tried and failed…
  • 58. A high failure rate illustrates the risks of doing business in China 48% of foreign businesses, including leading multinational corporations, fail and withdraw from the China market within two years of establishing operations there Source: WeberShandwick 2013
  • 59. What usually goes wrong? • Employee pilfering and theft, including theft of critical intellectual property (IP) • Failure to localise and customise products and services to suit the domestic market • Failure to seek or to heed local advice • Poor senior management appointments • Underestimating local competition • Insufficient or improper market research • Inability to communicate with the local market in culturally appropriate and sensitive ways • Underestimating the important role the government plays at every level of society including commerce Source: WeberShandwick 2013
  • 60. Lessons learned? Multinational companies hoping to succeed in China can’t treat it as an interesting side bet any longer; they need to take China as seriously as they do their home market. Source: McKinsey
  • 61. Lessons learned? "Never assume what works for your mature markets will work for China. Success comes for those who stay relevant to the needs of the Chinese consumer." Source: MillwardBrand - How to win in China: Top brands share tips for success