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Site Selection for Services
(Regression Review for site selection in back)
Chapter 14
Type of Service
• Quasi-Manufacturing
– Goal - minimize logistics cost of a network
– Examples - warehouses, call centers
• Delivered
– Goal - covering a geographic area
– Examples -
• Public Sector - fire protection, emergency medicine
• Private Sector - food delivery, saturation strategy
Chapter 14 – Site Selection
Type of Service
• Demand Sensitive
– Goal - attract customers through location
– Examples - banks, restaurants
Academic Challenge:
– Turn “gut feel” into science
Chapter 14 – Site Selection
Demand Sensitive Service Facility
Location
• Use location to generate demand
• Managerial Challenge: Forecasting
demand for specific locations
• General Marketing/Operations Strategies
• Site Specific Considerations
Chapter 14 – Site Selection
Demand Sensitive Services
• Solution Techniques:
– Informal judgment
– Factor Rating
– Regression
• Case:
– La Quinta Hotels - Regression based site
selection
Chapter 14 – Site Selection
Characteristics of a Good Location
• Proximity to target market
– Residences, hospitals, schools, offices,
airports, military bases
• Proximity to destination points
– Malls tourist attractions, anchor stores
• Ease of access
• Proximity to competition
• Proximity to other units of the same type
Chapter 14 – Site Selection
Problem: accurate identification and trade-offs
Demand Sensitive Service Facility
Location
Factor Rating example
Item Range
Income of neighborhood 0-40
Proximity to shopping centers 0-25
Accessibility 0-15
Visibility 0-10
Traffic 0-10
OR…
Chapter 14 – Site Selection
Demand Sensitive Service Facility
Location
Factor Rating example
Item Scale Multiplier
Income of neighborhood 0-10 .40
Proximity to shopping centers 0-10 .25
Accessibility 0-10 .15
Visibility 0-10 .10
Traffic 0-10 .10
Chapter 14 – Site Selection
Demand Sensitive Service Facility
Location
Springfield 3.15
Tyson's Corner 8.00
Gaithersburg 9.20
Alexandria 5.10
Springfield Tyson's
Corner
Gaithersburg Alexandria
Income 4 8 10 6
Shopping 2 7 10 4
Access 1 9 8 4
Visibility 6 9 7 6
Traffic 3 8 8 5
Score
Factor Rating Example
Chapter 14 – Site Selection
Demand Sensitive Service Facility
Location
• Regression Based - find variable
weightings from previous locations
• La Quinta Case
─ Develop regression model for prior hotels
─ Apply model results to a new site
Chapter 14 – Site Selection
REGRESSION REVIEW
• Variable selection - Theory First
• Data types
– Ratio
– Ordinal
– Categorical
• Transforming variables
• Outliers
• Relevance of seemingly irrelevant
variables
Chapter 14 – Site Selection
Data Types
• Ratio
– Ratios are meaningful: 6 apples are twice as
good as 3 apples
• Ordinal
– Implies better or worse, but ratios are not
meaningful: private=1, corporal=2, ...
general=15
• Categorical
– Coded categories, 2 is not better than 1. 1 if
red, 2 if blue, 3 if green
Chapter 14 – Site Selection
Regression with Categorical Data
Color Code Sales
Pink 1 42
Pink 1 61
Orange 3 24
Orange 3 15
Pink 1 38
Pink 1 8
Orange 3 63
Green 2 64
Green 2 68
Green 2 33
Orange 3 32
Pink 1 60
Green 2 10
Orange 3 11
Green 2 40
Pink 1 7
Green 2 57
Green 2 15
Pink 1 14
Green 2 53
Green 2 16
Chapter 14 – Site Selection
Exploratory Data Analysis
• Finding relationships
─ Mean/variance
─ Scatter plots
─ Correlation matrix (regular and transformed
variables)
• Outliers
Chapter 14 – Site Selection
Scatter Diagram
Scatter Diagram
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
Advertising Expenditures
Sales
Chapter 14 – Site Selection
Regression Line
Regression Line
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
Advertising Expenditures
Sales
Chapter 14 – Site Selection
Regression Line w/ Typo (outlier)
Regression Line (Typo in Data)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
Advertising Expenditures
Sales
Chapter 14 – Site Selection
Transforming Variables: Customers Visiting a
Restaurant and Distance From the Workplace
Necessary but Irrelevant Variables
Chapter 14 – Site Selection
Geographic Information Systems (GIS)
• Purpose:
– Predict demand based on geographic
databases
• Other uses
– Sales territory partitioning
– Vehicle routing
– Politics
– Geography
– Biologists
– Environmentalists
Chapter 14 – Site Selection
Geographic Information Systems (GIS)
• Size: $6Billion
• Vendors: ESRI, Tactician, Intergraph, GDS,
Strategic Mapping, Mapinfo
• Users (ESRI): Ace Hardware, Anheuser
Busch, Arby’s, AT&T, Avis, Banc One,
BellSouth, Blockbuster, Chemical Bank,
Chevron, Coca-cola, Dayton-Hudson…
Chapter 14 – Site Selection
GIS Example – MapScape Report Choice
GIS Example – Map of Area Within ¼ Mile
Demographic Information of Area Within ¼ Mile
Map of Area Within Three Minute Drive
Demographic Information of Area Within Three
Minute Drive
Delivered Services Facility Location
• Criteria:
– Minimize costs of multiple sites that meet a
service goal (e.g., everyone within a city
boundary should be reached by ambulance
within 15 minutes)
– OR, serve a maximum number of customers
• "Set Covering" Problem
• Managerial Decisions:
− How many facilities
− Location of facilities
Chapter 14 – Site Selection
Delivered Services Facility Location
• Procedure:
– Establish service goal
– List potential sites or mathematically represent
service area
– Determine demand from service area
– Determine relationship of sites to demand
• (yes or no decision, can site i meet demand at point j
considering established service goal)
Chapter 14 – Site Selection
Example Problem for Delivered Services
Optimal Solution
(linear programming)
• Minimize Loc1 + Loc2 + Loc3 +…
{minimize the number of locations}
s.t.
• Loc1 + Loc2 + Loc3 + Loc4 >=1 {Customer
group 1 can only be served within the time
frame by locations 1-4.}
• Loc1 + Loc2 + Loc3 >=1 {Customer group
2 can only be served by locations 1-3.}
…
Chapter 14 – Site Selection
Delivered Services - What Marketing
Can Expect of Operations
• Problems discussed:
– Covering area with a set of locations
• Ex.: Rural ambulance problem
– Need for a plan
• Ex.: Upscale service in Atlanta, locate in Buckhead
or Preston Hollow?
• Advanced Problems:
– Planning Backup
• primary service in 5 min., backup in 10
• Mobile Services - continuous dispatching
Chapter 14 – Site Selection
Quasi-Manufacturing Service Facility
Location
• Criteria: logistics cost minimization of multi-echelon
system
– Example: Stuff Products, Inc.
• Stuff Products has customers across the country and warehouses in
New York, Chicago and Los Angeles. Below is a table of the costs of
shipping a truck of Stuff from each warehouse to each demand point
and the total demand at each point.
Philadelphia Buffalo Baltimore Minneapolis Cleveland S.F.
New York 50 70 70 200 150 500
Chicago 200 200 250 100 50 300
L.A. 350 350 350 300 300 100
Demand 10 15 15 15 15 30
Formulate a linear program to determine the least cost solution to satisfy demand.
Also, determine the best solution by hand (where “solution” means who should be
served from which warehouse, not the total cost of the solution).
Chapter 14 – Site Selection
Quasi-Manufacturing Service Facility
Location
• Example: Stuff Products, Inc.: The Sequel
– Stuff Products has customers across the country and wants to
know where to build warehouses. They have identified sites in
New York, Chicago and Los Angeles. Each warehouse costs
$X to maintain per year.
Phil Buffalo Baltimore Minn Cleve S.F. Capacity
New York 50 70 70 200 150 500 50
Chicago 200 200 250 100 50 300 50
L.A. 350 350 350 300 300 100 50
Demand 10 15 15 15 15 30
Chapter 14 – Site Selection
Quasi-Manufacturing Service Facility
Location
• Meta-problem of "Transportation" linear
programming problem
• Managerial Decisions:
− How many facilities
− Location of facilities
− Customer assignment to facilities
− Staffing/Capacity of each facility
− Location decisions reviewed frequently
Chapter 14 – Site Selection
Quasi-Manufacturing Service Facility
Location
• Commercial Software
– At least 16 vendors
– Price $5,000 - $80,000
– Solution Techniques
• Heuristics
• Deterministic simulation
• Mixed integer linear programming
– Limitations
• Models handle small list of potential sites
• No model provides optimal solutions
Chapter 14 – Site Selection
Quasi-Manufacturing Service Facility
Location
• Mixed Integer Linear Programming
− Some variables must be integers, others can be
fractions
− Constants
• C - cost of serving demand point j with facility i
• K - cost of building/maintaining facility i
Chapter 14 – Site Selection
Quasi-Manufacturing Facility Location
Variables:
X how much from each facility i to each
demand point j
Y = 1 if build facility, 0 if not
Minimize Costs: ∑i ∑j Cij Xij + ∑KiYk
s.t.
∑i Xij > Demand at point j
∑j Xij < Capacity at point i x Yj
Yj Є {0,1}
Chapter 14 – Site Selection
Quasi-Manufacturing Facility Location
• Example: AT&T 800 Service Location
Decisions for Call Centers
– Criteria: minimization of telephone, labor, and
real estate costs
– Old days: Omaha – the 800 capital of the world
– Today: Multiple sites, unusual telephone rate
structures (e.g., site in Tennessee may not take
calls from within Tennessee)
Chapter 14 – Site Selection
Quasi-Manufacturing Facility Location
• Example: AT&T 800 Service
• Model: Mixed integer linear program
• Client Range
– 46 clients in 1988 – retail catalogue, banking,
consumer products, etc.
– 1-20 sites
– Sites with 30-500 personnel
Chapter 14 – Site Selection

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ch14.ppt

  • 1. Site Selection for Services (Regression Review for site selection in back) Chapter 14
  • 2. Type of Service • Quasi-Manufacturing – Goal - minimize logistics cost of a network – Examples - warehouses, call centers • Delivered – Goal - covering a geographic area – Examples - • Public Sector - fire protection, emergency medicine • Private Sector - food delivery, saturation strategy Chapter 14 – Site Selection
  • 3. Type of Service • Demand Sensitive – Goal - attract customers through location – Examples - banks, restaurants Academic Challenge: – Turn “gut feel” into science Chapter 14 – Site Selection
  • 4. Demand Sensitive Service Facility Location • Use location to generate demand • Managerial Challenge: Forecasting demand for specific locations • General Marketing/Operations Strategies • Site Specific Considerations Chapter 14 – Site Selection
  • 5. Demand Sensitive Services • Solution Techniques: – Informal judgment – Factor Rating – Regression • Case: – La Quinta Hotels - Regression based site selection Chapter 14 – Site Selection
  • 6. Characteristics of a Good Location • Proximity to target market – Residences, hospitals, schools, offices, airports, military bases • Proximity to destination points – Malls tourist attractions, anchor stores • Ease of access • Proximity to competition • Proximity to other units of the same type Chapter 14 – Site Selection Problem: accurate identification and trade-offs
  • 7. Demand Sensitive Service Facility Location Factor Rating example Item Range Income of neighborhood 0-40 Proximity to shopping centers 0-25 Accessibility 0-15 Visibility 0-10 Traffic 0-10 OR… Chapter 14 – Site Selection
  • 8. Demand Sensitive Service Facility Location Factor Rating example Item Scale Multiplier Income of neighborhood 0-10 .40 Proximity to shopping centers 0-10 .25 Accessibility 0-10 .15 Visibility 0-10 .10 Traffic 0-10 .10 Chapter 14 – Site Selection
  • 9. Demand Sensitive Service Facility Location Springfield 3.15 Tyson's Corner 8.00 Gaithersburg 9.20 Alexandria 5.10 Springfield Tyson's Corner Gaithersburg Alexandria Income 4 8 10 6 Shopping 2 7 10 4 Access 1 9 8 4 Visibility 6 9 7 6 Traffic 3 8 8 5 Score Factor Rating Example Chapter 14 – Site Selection
  • 10. Demand Sensitive Service Facility Location • Regression Based - find variable weightings from previous locations • La Quinta Case ─ Develop regression model for prior hotels ─ Apply model results to a new site Chapter 14 – Site Selection
  • 11. REGRESSION REVIEW • Variable selection - Theory First • Data types – Ratio – Ordinal – Categorical • Transforming variables • Outliers • Relevance of seemingly irrelevant variables Chapter 14 – Site Selection
  • 12. Data Types • Ratio – Ratios are meaningful: 6 apples are twice as good as 3 apples • Ordinal – Implies better or worse, but ratios are not meaningful: private=1, corporal=2, ... general=15 • Categorical – Coded categories, 2 is not better than 1. 1 if red, 2 if blue, 3 if green Chapter 14 – Site Selection
  • 13. Regression with Categorical Data Color Code Sales Pink 1 42 Pink 1 61 Orange 3 24 Orange 3 15 Pink 1 38 Pink 1 8 Orange 3 63 Green 2 64 Green 2 68 Green 2 33 Orange 3 32 Pink 1 60 Green 2 10 Orange 3 11 Green 2 40 Pink 1 7 Green 2 57 Green 2 15 Pink 1 14 Green 2 53 Green 2 16 Chapter 14 – Site Selection
  • 14. Exploratory Data Analysis • Finding relationships ─ Mean/variance ─ Scatter plots ─ Correlation matrix (regular and transformed variables) • Outliers Chapter 14 – Site Selection
  • 15. Scatter Diagram Scatter Diagram 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Advertising Expenditures Sales Chapter 14 – Site Selection
  • 16. Regression Line Regression Line 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Advertising Expenditures Sales Chapter 14 – Site Selection
  • 17. Regression Line w/ Typo (outlier) Regression Line (Typo in Data) 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Advertising Expenditures Sales Chapter 14 – Site Selection
  • 18.
  • 19. Transforming Variables: Customers Visiting a Restaurant and Distance From the Workplace
  • 20. Necessary but Irrelevant Variables Chapter 14 – Site Selection
  • 21. Geographic Information Systems (GIS) • Purpose: – Predict demand based on geographic databases • Other uses – Sales territory partitioning – Vehicle routing – Politics – Geography – Biologists – Environmentalists Chapter 14 – Site Selection
  • 22. Geographic Information Systems (GIS) • Size: $6Billion • Vendors: ESRI, Tactician, Intergraph, GDS, Strategic Mapping, Mapinfo • Users (ESRI): Ace Hardware, Anheuser Busch, Arby’s, AT&T, Avis, Banc One, BellSouth, Blockbuster, Chemical Bank, Chevron, Coca-cola, Dayton-Hudson… Chapter 14 – Site Selection
  • 23. GIS Example – MapScape Report Choice
  • 24. GIS Example – Map of Area Within ¼ Mile
  • 25. Demographic Information of Area Within ¼ Mile
  • 26. Map of Area Within Three Minute Drive
  • 27. Demographic Information of Area Within Three Minute Drive
  • 28. Delivered Services Facility Location • Criteria: – Minimize costs of multiple sites that meet a service goal (e.g., everyone within a city boundary should be reached by ambulance within 15 minutes) – OR, serve a maximum number of customers • "Set Covering" Problem • Managerial Decisions: − How many facilities − Location of facilities Chapter 14 – Site Selection
  • 29. Delivered Services Facility Location • Procedure: – Establish service goal – List potential sites or mathematically represent service area – Determine demand from service area – Determine relationship of sites to demand • (yes or no decision, can site i meet demand at point j considering established service goal) Chapter 14 – Site Selection
  • 30. Example Problem for Delivered Services
  • 31. Optimal Solution (linear programming) • Minimize Loc1 + Loc2 + Loc3 +… {minimize the number of locations} s.t. • Loc1 + Loc2 + Loc3 + Loc4 >=1 {Customer group 1 can only be served within the time frame by locations 1-4.} • Loc1 + Loc2 + Loc3 >=1 {Customer group 2 can only be served by locations 1-3.} … Chapter 14 – Site Selection
  • 32. Delivered Services - What Marketing Can Expect of Operations • Problems discussed: – Covering area with a set of locations • Ex.: Rural ambulance problem – Need for a plan • Ex.: Upscale service in Atlanta, locate in Buckhead or Preston Hollow? • Advanced Problems: – Planning Backup • primary service in 5 min., backup in 10 • Mobile Services - continuous dispatching Chapter 14 – Site Selection
  • 33. Quasi-Manufacturing Service Facility Location • Criteria: logistics cost minimization of multi-echelon system – Example: Stuff Products, Inc. • Stuff Products has customers across the country and warehouses in New York, Chicago and Los Angeles. Below is a table of the costs of shipping a truck of Stuff from each warehouse to each demand point and the total demand at each point. Philadelphia Buffalo Baltimore Minneapolis Cleveland S.F. New York 50 70 70 200 150 500 Chicago 200 200 250 100 50 300 L.A. 350 350 350 300 300 100 Demand 10 15 15 15 15 30 Formulate a linear program to determine the least cost solution to satisfy demand. Also, determine the best solution by hand (where “solution” means who should be served from which warehouse, not the total cost of the solution). Chapter 14 – Site Selection
  • 34. Quasi-Manufacturing Service Facility Location • Example: Stuff Products, Inc.: The Sequel – Stuff Products has customers across the country and wants to know where to build warehouses. They have identified sites in New York, Chicago and Los Angeles. Each warehouse costs $X to maintain per year. Phil Buffalo Baltimore Minn Cleve S.F. Capacity New York 50 70 70 200 150 500 50 Chicago 200 200 250 100 50 300 50 L.A. 350 350 350 300 300 100 50 Demand 10 15 15 15 15 30 Chapter 14 – Site Selection
  • 35. Quasi-Manufacturing Service Facility Location • Meta-problem of "Transportation" linear programming problem • Managerial Decisions: − How many facilities − Location of facilities − Customer assignment to facilities − Staffing/Capacity of each facility − Location decisions reviewed frequently Chapter 14 – Site Selection
  • 36. Quasi-Manufacturing Service Facility Location • Commercial Software – At least 16 vendors – Price $5,000 - $80,000 – Solution Techniques • Heuristics • Deterministic simulation • Mixed integer linear programming – Limitations • Models handle small list of potential sites • No model provides optimal solutions Chapter 14 – Site Selection
  • 37. Quasi-Manufacturing Service Facility Location • Mixed Integer Linear Programming − Some variables must be integers, others can be fractions − Constants • C - cost of serving demand point j with facility i • K - cost of building/maintaining facility i Chapter 14 – Site Selection
  • 38. Quasi-Manufacturing Facility Location Variables: X how much from each facility i to each demand point j Y = 1 if build facility, 0 if not Minimize Costs: ∑i ∑j Cij Xij + ∑KiYk s.t. ∑i Xij > Demand at point j ∑j Xij < Capacity at point i x Yj Yj Є {0,1} Chapter 14 – Site Selection
  • 39. Quasi-Manufacturing Facility Location • Example: AT&T 800 Service Location Decisions for Call Centers – Criteria: minimization of telephone, labor, and real estate costs – Old days: Omaha – the 800 capital of the world – Today: Multiple sites, unusual telephone rate structures (e.g., site in Tennessee may not take calls from within Tennessee) Chapter 14 – Site Selection
  • 40. Quasi-Manufacturing Facility Location • Example: AT&T 800 Service • Model: Mixed integer linear program • Client Range – 46 clients in 1988 – retail catalogue, banking, consumer products, etc. – 1-20 sites – Sites with 30-500 personnel Chapter 14 – Site Selection