The War   on Coal 2012
      West Virginia




          Bill Raney, President
       West Virginia Coal Association
             September 2012
West Virginia Coal
Total Production (2011)                  137,498,509
           Underground                    89,513,004
           Surface                        47,985,505

Coal Companies Operating in WV                   231

Number of Mines                                  229
         Underground                             141
         Surface                                  88

West Virginia Coal Employment          20,705 (UG+SU)
           Underground                         15,469
           Surface                              5,236
           Coal Handling Facilities             2,340
           Contractors                          2,165
           Total Coal Employment               25,210

Estimated Average Annual Coal Wage            $68,500
Estimated Production Value 2011        $9,624,895,630
Estimated Coal Severance Tax Paid         $500 Million
IMPACT this year
• Production
  – Off by 5% YTD
     • 3% in the North
     • 6% in the South
• Employment
  – More than 2,600 to date


        WHY?
 Economic “uncertainty” –
    America and worldwide
 Mild winter
 Natural gas prices
 Federal government – “Encourage, not
  discourage”
    EPA
    MSHA
    OSM
Additional Challenges
• Large stockpiles of coal
    •   Mild winter and decreased demand

• Permit uncertainty
    •   Radicalized Regulatory Agencies
    •   Air quality issues

• More difficult reserve base
• Transportation to export markets
• Competition from other basins/countries
War On Appalachian Coal

EPA INTERFERENCE FROM DAY ONE
• Formal objections to mine permits
  (404 and 402)
• Interagency MOU- Revise
  permitting and policy
• Enhanced Coordinated Review
 Process (Enhanced Permit Delay)
• Nearly All Permits Held Hostage
• Ecological Assessment
• Suspension of NWP 21
• Revocation of Spruce Fork Permit
• Targets All Mining
The War on Coal 2012
• CSAPR               4.8 GW (court)           • GHG NSPS
    • $2-3 billion annually                        • No New Coal Plants
    • SO2                                          • Requirements applied to
    • Nox                                            existing plants per NSR
                                                   • Technology Does Not
• HgMACT                   10 GW (court)              Exist
    • $10-11 billion annually
    • PM?                                      • COAL ASH (legislation)
                                                   • RCRA Hazardous Waste
• NAAQS                                            • $1.5 billion annually
    •   SO2, NOx, PM, CO, Ozone, Lead
    •   Initial Cost = $1.5 billion annually
    •   $19-25 billion annually by 2020.       •TOTAL PROJECTED IMPACT
    •   SO2                                        •$22.5 billion - $40.5 billion
    •   Ozone
    •   PM?
The Courts Strike Back
THE COURTS TRUMP THE EPA
CONDUCTIVITY/ECP
“EPA’s position … is stunning power for an agency to arrogate to itself when
there is absolutely no mention of it in the statute.”

SPRUCE PERMIT
“EPA engaged in magical thinking to reach an illogical and impractical
conclusion.”
“EPA’s position proposes a scenario involving the automatic self-destruction
of a written permit issued by an entirely separate federal agency after years
of study and consideration. POOF!”

CSAPR
“EPA’s decision … has the air of a disappointed player’s threat to take his ball
and go home when he didn’t get to pitch.”
OPPORTUNITIES

The real question is not whether coal will continue to
be used but rather where will it come from
domestically?
        - East of the Mississippi River
                 - 40 percent of the nation’s production
                 - 80 percent of mining jobs
We must MAINTAIN --- SURVIVE
World energy needs and coal usage will increase




                              West Virginia Coal Association 2012
America has MORE than any other
            6,000


            5,000


            4,000

Quadrillion 3,000
   BTUs

            2,000


            1,000

             0
                    USA   Russia     Iran      Saudi Arabia       Venezuela

                              Coal      Natural Gas           Crude Oil
Energy Forecast
Port Development
PLEASE HELP
NURTURE COMPETITIVE SITUATION
   •   In-state power plants’ compliance
   •   Infrastructure development
   •   Continued legal challenge
EDUCATION
ENERGY POLICY
   •   Longview Power Plant
   •   Regional assets
   •   Use it & “get better” everyday
PRESSURE CONGRESS
   •   Rockefeller letter
   •   Bills to “control” EPA
ELECTION
   •   Take care of home
   •   Eastern States Coalition
Pressure Congress
HR 3409 – Coal Miner Employment and Domestic Energy Infrastructure Protection Act
•   Introduced yesterday –– will be passed this morning
•   Combines five bills that have already passed the House

         –   HR 3409 – Prevent Interior from issuing new rules that would adversely affect mining jobs
         –   HR 2018 – Prevent EPA from “bullying” the States and forcing water quality standards
         –   HR 2401 – TRAIN Act – Require analysis of economic effects of proposed rules on jobs
         –   HR 2273 – Fly Ash Bill – Limits EPA’s control of fly ash disposal
         –   HR 910 – Prevent EPA from regulating greenhouse gas emissions
Also –
HR 1540 – National Defense Authorization Act
•   Relieve limitation on military using coal-to-liquid fuels


Senate Bill
•   Introduced yesterday by Manchin (WV) and Toomey (PA)
•   Same as HR 2018
The November election is critical to the future of our industry. As you can see, the
Obama campaign starts out with a substantial electoral vote advantage. This advantage
can only be overcome with hard work and determination.
OUR REGION IS CRITICAL




Moving Ohio (18 EV), Virginia (13 EV), Maryland (10 EV) and Pennsylvania (20 EV) from
the Obama side of the ledger to the Romney side, added to Florida (29 EV), adds a
potential 90 EV to Romney’s total leading to a Romney win. Our concentration is on
Virginia, Pennsylvania and Ohio. West Virginia and Kentucky will STRONGLY support
Romney.
Its all about -- OH-PA-VA
            Coalition                          Cooperation
•   Ohio Coal Association               •   Billboards
     – Citizens for a Working America
                                        •   Radio
•   Pennsylvania Coal Alliance
•   Virginia Coal Association           •   Print ads
     – FACES                            •   Direct mail
•   West Virginia Coal Association      •   Rallies
     – Friends of Coal
                                        •   Grassroots mobilization
     – Citizens for Coal
     – Coalition for Romney             •   Voter registration
     – Friends and Families for Coal
•   Kentucky Coal Association
•   ACCCE

Central Appalachian Coal 2012

  • 1.
    The War on Coal 2012 West Virginia Bill Raney, President West Virginia Coal Association September 2012
  • 2.
    West Virginia Coal TotalProduction (2011) 137,498,509 Underground 89,513,004 Surface 47,985,505 Coal Companies Operating in WV 231 Number of Mines 229 Underground 141 Surface 88 West Virginia Coal Employment 20,705 (UG+SU) Underground 15,469 Surface 5,236 Coal Handling Facilities 2,340 Contractors 2,165 Total Coal Employment 25,210 Estimated Average Annual Coal Wage $68,500 Estimated Production Value 2011 $9,624,895,630 Estimated Coal Severance Tax Paid $500 Million
  • 3.
    IMPACT this year •Production – Off by 5% YTD • 3% in the North • 6% in the South • Employment – More than 2,600 to date WHY?
  • 4.
     Economic “uncertainty”–  America and worldwide  Mild winter  Natural gas prices  Federal government – “Encourage, not discourage”  EPA  MSHA  OSM
  • 5.
    Additional Challenges • Largestockpiles of coal • Mild winter and decreased demand • Permit uncertainty • Radicalized Regulatory Agencies • Air quality issues • More difficult reserve base • Transportation to export markets • Competition from other basins/countries
  • 6.
    War On AppalachianCoal EPA INTERFERENCE FROM DAY ONE • Formal objections to mine permits (404 and 402) • Interagency MOU- Revise permitting and policy • Enhanced Coordinated Review Process (Enhanced Permit Delay) • Nearly All Permits Held Hostage • Ecological Assessment • Suspension of NWP 21 • Revocation of Spruce Fork Permit • Targets All Mining
  • 7.
    The War onCoal 2012 • CSAPR 4.8 GW (court) • GHG NSPS • $2-3 billion annually • No New Coal Plants • SO2 • Requirements applied to • Nox existing plants per NSR • Technology Does Not • HgMACT 10 GW (court) Exist • $10-11 billion annually • PM? • COAL ASH (legislation) • RCRA Hazardous Waste • NAAQS • $1.5 billion annually • SO2, NOx, PM, CO, Ozone, Lead • Initial Cost = $1.5 billion annually • $19-25 billion annually by 2020. •TOTAL PROJECTED IMPACT • SO2 •$22.5 billion - $40.5 billion • Ozone • PM?
  • 8.
    The Courts StrikeBack THE COURTS TRUMP THE EPA CONDUCTIVITY/ECP “EPA’s position … is stunning power for an agency to arrogate to itself when there is absolutely no mention of it in the statute.” SPRUCE PERMIT “EPA engaged in magical thinking to reach an illogical and impractical conclusion.” “EPA’s position proposes a scenario involving the automatic self-destruction of a written permit issued by an entirely separate federal agency after years of study and consideration. POOF!” CSAPR “EPA’s decision … has the air of a disappointed player’s threat to take his ball and go home when he didn’t get to pitch.”
  • 9.
    OPPORTUNITIES The real questionis not whether coal will continue to be used but rather where will it come from domestically? - East of the Mississippi River - 40 percent of the nation’s production - 80 percent of mining jobs We must MAINTAIN --- SURVIVE World energy needs and coal usage will increase West Virginia Coal Association 2012
  • 10.
    America has MOREthan any other 6,000 5,000 4,000 Quadrillion 3,000 BTUs 2,000 1,000 0 USA Russia Iran Saudi Arabia Venezuela Coal Natural Gas Crude Oil
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
    PLEASE HELP NURTURE COMPETITIVESITUATION • In-state power plants’ compliance • Infrastructure development • Continued legal challenge EDUCATION ENERGY POLICY • Longview Power Plant • Regional assets • Use it & “get better” everyday PRESSURE CONGRESS • Rockefeller letter • Bills to “control” EPA ELECTION • Take care of home • Eastern States Coalition
  • 14.
    Pressure Congress HR 3409– Coal Miner Employment and Domestic Energy Infrastructure Protection Act • Introduced yesterday –– will be passed this morning • Combines five bills that have already passed the House – HR 3409 – Prevent Interior from issuing new rules that would adversely affect mining jobs – HR 2018 – Prevent EPA from “bullying” the States and forcing water quality standards – HR 2401 – TRAIN Act – Require analysis of economic effects of proposed rules on jobs – HR 2273 – Fly Ash Bill – Limits EPA’s control of fly ash disposal – HR 910 – Prevent EPA from regulating greenhouse gas emissions Also – HR 1540 – National Defense Authorization Act • Relieve limitation on military using coal-to-liquid fuels Senate Bill • Introduced yesterday by Manchin (WV) and Toomey (PA) • Same as HR 2018
  • 15.
    The November electionis critical to the future of our industry. As you can see, the Obama campaign starts out with a substantial electoral vote advantage. This advantage can only be overcome with hard work and determination.
  • 16.
    OUR REGION ISCRITICAL Moving Ohio (18 EV), Virginia (13 EV), Maryland (10 EV) and Pennsylvania (20 EV) from the Obama side of the ledger to the Romney side, added to Florida (29 EV), adds a potential 90 EV to Romney’s total leading to a Romney win. Our concentration is on Virginia, Pennsylvania and Ohio. West Virginia and Kentucky will STRONGLY support Romney.
  • 17.
    Its all about-- OH-PA-VA Coalition Cooperation • Ohio Coal Association • Billboards – Citizens for a Working America • Radio • Pennsylvania Coal Alliance • Virginia Coal Association • Print ads – FACES • Direct mail • West Virginia Coal Association • Rallies – Friends of Coal • Grassroots mobilization – Citizens for Coal – Coalition for Romney • Voter registration – Friends and Families for Coal • Kentucky Coal Association • ACCCE