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Part IV:Objectives&ContextAnalysis –SystemsThinking
Analyze amajorhistorical systemfailurefromthe perspective of conceptualdesign.Assesshow –or
whether–bettersystemsengineeringconceptualdesigncouldhave avertedoramelioratedthe impact
of systemfailure.
a) Sinkingof the Titanic(1912).
The keyflawsassociatedwiththe conceptualdesignmethodforthe Titanicincludealackof
planningof the followingcategories:objectivesanalysis,scenariodevelopment,functional analysis,and
performance requirements.The tragedythatisknownasthe sinkingof the Titaniccouldhave been
avertedoramelioratedif certaincrucial stepsinthe designprocesswere followed.However,due to
insufficientconceptual design,manyliveswerelostunnecessarily.The aforementionedtopicswill be
assessedaccordingtotheirimpacton the systemfailure.
The systemsengineersmade anothermistakebynotdefiningkeyobjectivesinanobjectives
analysispractice.The worst-case scenarioaccountedforinobjectivesanalysiswasaheadon collision.
The shipwas designedtobe able tohandle frontal collisions,yetfailedtoaddressside collisions.
The icebergthat ultimatelyledtothe tragedyof the Titanicwas spottedamere five minutes
before strikingwiththe ship.Duringthese fiveminutes, therewasnotenoughtime tomaneuver
throughthe icebergstobe able toavoidthe collision.Thus,the icebergsidesweptthe Titanic,
puncturingholesintoitshulls,fillingthe airwithwater
Duringobjectivesanalysis,several conflictingobjectiveswouldhave appeared.Forexample,the
battle of safetyvs.aestheticbeautywouldhave materializedindeterminingwhatobjectiveswere
contradictory.The Titanicwas createdtobe the bestof its kind,a luxurioussteamshipcarryingquite
wealthy(andpoor) passengers.However,akeyobjectivethatwasoverlookedwasthe safetyof all of
these passengers.A lineof boatsforevacuatingthe passengerswasremovedfromthe Titanic,due toits
blockingof the oceanview.
Whenconductingobjectivesanalysis,not all of the environmentalactorswere accountedfor,
such as fog.Preparingasystemforunstable environmental conditionsisfundamental tothe design
process.While asystemisoperatinginproductionphase,aplethoraof environmental changescan
occur, all withinamoment’snotice.Duringthe time of the sinkingof the Titanic,there wasaslighthaze
surroundingthe waterinthe ice floats.
Additionally,if the environmentwasconsideredapotential actor,itshouldhave been
subdividedfurtherintotwocategories,the waterandthe atmosphere.The watercategorieswouldhave
includedicebergs,coral reefs,shallowbanks,andunrulywaves.The atmosphere wouldhave accounted
for anyvariancesinvisibility,suchasclearskies,sun,moon,haze,fog,and rain.Byseparatingthe two
environmentactors,the systemsengineersof the Titanicdesigncouldhave accountedforsituations
where bothenvironmentswouldaffectthe Titanic’sabilitytonavigate the waters,akeyobjective.
Establishingmeasuresof effectiveness(MOEs) forthe objectivescouldhave helpedthe
conceptual designphase aswell.Hadobjectivesanalysisbeendone,anobjectivesuchasmaneuverthe
boat couldhave beenmeasuredbydetermininghow fastthe shipcouldturnin a knots/minute method.
Maneuveringthe boatthroughanytype of situationwhere timeisof the essence isimportanttoensure
the boat isperformingtomaximumcapability.Bymeasuringthe boat’sabilitytoturnrapidly,systems
engineerscouldhave betteraccountedforthe encounteringof submergedobjects.
Anotherfundamentalissue inthe conceptualdesignprocessof the Titanicwasa lack of
scenarioplanning.Planningfordifferentterrainsisakeyelementduringscenariodevelopment. The
physical terrainisimportanttoconsiderinscenarios,forthe waterenvironmentchangedthroughout
the Titanicjourney.The ice floatsbobbinginthe waterwere ariskto shipstravelingtothe Americas.
Whenscenariosare createdduringthe systemconceptual designphase,situationsthatcouldcause the
systemtomalfunctionwouldmanifest.Once these situationsare depictedinsome form, systems
engineerscanbetterunderstandhowtomitigate the risksthathave become apparent,oravoidthe risk
altogether.
For example,the systemsengineersshouldhave createdascenariomodelingasimilarsituation
to the one the Titanicexperienced.Suchascenariocouldhave manifestedasthis:The Titanichas left
dock fora couple of days,runningsmoothlyontargetasplanned.Systemsare runninggreat,andthe
Titanicisrunningfull speedtoAmerica.The nightfallsuponthe Titanic,andthe shipisnow cruising
throughwaterfilledwithice floats.There isaslightfoginthe air,reducing visibilitytolessthana few
hundredmilesfromship.Anicebergisspottedafew milesupaheadandthe captainis alertedandmust
decide howtoact.
From thisscenario,the systemsengineercangatherseveral keyplanningobjectives.The
systemsengineercanaccountfor lowvisibilityinthe environmentandwhichsystemtoimplementto
helpmitigate thatrisk.The icebergspottingwouldcreate anadditional objective astohow to detect
large objectssubmergedpartiallyorfullyunderwater.The scenarioprovidesbasisforproceduresthat
mustbe draftedincase of an emergency,communicationsbetweendifferentengineersonboard,what
safetymechanismsneedtobe putin place forthe passengers,anytrainingrequiredforthe shipcrew
for evacuationpurposes,andsafetytrainingrequiredforpassengersincase of accidents.Hadthis
scenario(ora similarscenario) beencreatedinthe systemconceptual designphase,perhapsthe simple
act of evacuatingmore passengersinasafe methodwould have beenenforced.
Flawedfunctional analysisalsocontributedtothe downfall of the Titanic.Functional analysis,
beingdependentuponobjectivesanalysis,wouldhave providedaclearunderstandingof what
objectivescanbe tracedto functionsforthe steamship.Forexample,if the objective,“increase ship
survivability”were defined,thenthe potential function,“maneuveraroundicebergs”wouldhave been
created.Inthismethod,the ship’sdesigncouldhave beenequippedtohandle maneuveringaround
large obstaclesthreateningitsfoundation.
Had a thoroughperformance requirementsanalysisbeendrafted,the critical designflawin
non-modularcompartmentswouldhave become abundantlyclear.A crucial stepinensuringsystems
are modularisto administercomponent-by-componentengineering,involvingthe leastamountof
overlaprequiredbetweencomponents.The watertightcompartmentsbeneaththe waterlinewere
designedtobe watertight,however,watercouldspilloverfromcompartmentto compartment.Good
modularityinconceptual designwouldhave sealedoff eachcabinindividually,preventingwaterfrom
overflowingfromeachcabin.The rapidlyincreasingamountof waterspillingintothe cabinscouldhave
beenpreventedhadtheynotbeen tightlycoupled.
References: http://www.history.com/topics/titanic

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CDTitanic

  • 1. Part IV:Objectives&ContextAnalysis –SystemsThinking Analyze amajorhistorical systemfailurefromthe perspective of conceptualdesign.Assesshow –or whether–bettersystemsengineeringconceptualdesigncouldhave avertedoramelioratedthe impact of systemfailure. a) Sinkingof the Titanic(1912). The keyflawsassociatedwiththe conceptualdesignmethodforthe Titanicincludealackof planningof the followingcategories:objectivesanalysis,scenariodevelopment,functional analysis,and performance requirements.The tragedythatisknownasthe sinkingof the Titaniccouldhave been avertedoramelioratedif certaincrucial stepsinthe designprocesswere followed.However,due to insufficientconceptual design,manyliveswerelostunnecessarily.The aforementionedtopicswill be assessedaccordingtotheirimpacton the systemfailure. The systemsengineersmade anothermistakebynotdefiningkeyobjectivesinanobjectives analysispractice.The worst-case scenarioaccountedforinobjectivesanalysiswasaheadon collision. The shipwas designedtobe able tohandle frontal collisions,yetfailedtoaddressside collisions. The icebergthat ultimatelyledtothe tragedyof the Titanicwas spottedamere five minutes before strikingwiththe ship.Duringthese fiveminutes, therewasnotenoughtime tomaneuver throughthe icebergstobe able toavoidthe collision.Thus,the icebergsidesweptthe Titanic, puncturingholesintoitshulls,fillingthe airwithwater Duringobjectivesanalysis,several conflictingobjectiveswouldhave appeared.Forexample,the battle of safetyvs.aestheticbeautywouldhave materializedindeterminingwhatobjectiveswere contradictory.The Titanicwas createdtobe the bestof its kind,a luxurioussteamshipcarryingquite wealthy(andpoor) passengers.However,akeyobjectivethatwasoverlookedwasthe safetyof all of these passengers.A lineof boatsforevacuatingthe passengerswasremovedfromthe Titanic,due toits blockingof the oceanview. Whenconductingobjectivesanalysis,not all of the environmentalactorswere accountedfor, such as fog.Preparingasystemforunstable environmental conditionsisfundamental tothe design process.While asystemisoperatinginproductionphase,aplethoraof environmental changescan occur, all withinamoment’snotice.Duringthe time of the sinkingof the Titanic,there wasaslighthaze surroundingthe waterinthe ice floats. Additionally,if the environmentwasconsideredapotential actor,itshouldhave been subdividedfurtherintotwocategories,the waterandthe atmosphere.The watercategorieswouldhave includedicebergs,coral reefs,shallowbanks,andunrulywaves.The atmosphere wouldhave accounted for anyvariancesinvisibility,suchasclearskies,sun,moon,haze,fog,and rain.Byseparatingthe two environmentactors,the systemsengineersof the Titanicdesigncouldhave accountedforsituations where bothenvironmentswouldaffectthe Titanic’sabilitytonavigate the waters,akeyobjective.
  • 2. Establishingmeasuresof effectiveness(MOEs) forthe objectivescouldhave helpedthe conceptual designphase aswell.Hadobjectivesanalysisbeendone,anobjectivesuchasmaneuverthe boat couldhave beenmeasuredbydetermininghow fastthe shipcouldturnin a knots/minute method. Maneuveringthe boatthroughanytype of situationwhere timeisof the essence isimportanttoensure the boat isperformingtomaximumcapability.Bymeasuringthe boat’sabilitytoturnrapidly,systems engineerscouldhave betteraccountedforthe encounteringof submergedobjects. Anotherfundamentalissue inthe conceptualdesignprocessof the Titanicwasa lack of scenarioplanning.Planningfordifferentterrainsisakeyelementduringscenariodevelopment. The physical terrainisimportanttoconsiderinscenarios,forthe waterenvironmentchangedthroughout the Titanicjourney.The ice floatsbobbinginthe waterwere ariskto shipstravelingtothe Americas. Whenscenariosare createdduringthe systemconceptual designphase,situationsthatcouldcause the systemtomalfunctionwouldmanifest.Once these situationsare depictedinsome form, systems engineerscanbetterunderstandhowtomitigate the risksthathave become apparent,oravoidthe risk altogether. For example,the systemsengineersshouldhave createdascenariomodelingasimilarsituation to the one the Titanicexperienced.Suchascenariocouldhave manifestedasthis:The Titanichas left dock fora couple of days,runningsmoothlyontargetasplanned.Systemsare runninggreat,andthe Titanicisrunningfull speedtoAmerica.The nightfallsuponthe Titanic,andthe shipisnow cruising throughwaterfilledwithice floats.There isaslightfoginthe air,reducing visibilitytolessthana few hundredmilesfromship.Anicebergisspottedafew milesupaheadandthe captainis alertedandmust decide howtoact. From thisscenario,the systemsengineercangatherseveral keyplanningobjectives.The systemsengineercanaccountfor lowvisibilityinthe environmentandwhichsystemtoimplementto helpmitigate thatrisk.The icebergspottingwouldcreate anadditional objective astohow to detect large objectssubmergedpartiallyorfullyunderwater.The scenarioprovidesbasisforproceduresthat mustbe draftedincase of an emergency,communicationsbetweendifferentengineersonboard,what safetymechanismsneedtobe putin place forthe passengers,anytrainingrequiredforthe shipcrew for evacuationpurposes,andsafetytrainingrequiredforpassengersincase of accidents.Hadthis scenario(ora similarscenario) beencreatedinthe systemconceptual designphase,perhapsthe simple act of evacuatingmore passengersinasafe methodwould have beenenforced. Flawedfunctional analysisalsocontributedtothe downfall of the Titanic.Functional analysis, beingdependentuponobjectivesanalysis,wouldhave providedaclearunderstandingof what objectivescanbe tracedto functionsforthe steamship.Forexample,if the objective,“increase ship survivability”were defined,thenthe potential function,“maneuveraroundicebergs”wouldhave been created.Inthismethod,the ship’sdesigncouldhave beenequippedtohandle maneuveringaround large obstaclesthreateningitsfoundation. Had a thoroughperformance requirementsanalysisbeendrafted,the critical designflawin non-modularcompartmentswouldhave become abundantlyclear.A crucial stepinensuringsystems
  • 3. are modularisto administercomponent-by-componentengineering,involvingthe leastamountof overlaprequiredbetweencomponents.The watertightcompartmentsbeneaththe waterlinewere designedtobe watertight,however,watercouldspilloverfromcompartmentto compartment.Good modularityinconceptual designwouldhave sealedoff eachcabinindividually,preventingwaterfrom overflowingfromeachcabin.The rapidlyincreasingamountof waterspillingintothe cabinscouldhave beenpreventedhadtheynotbeen tightlycoupled. References: http://www.history.com/topics/titanic