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Causal Research Design:
Experimentation
Definitions and Concepts
 Independent variables are variables or
alternatives that are manipulated and whose effects
are measured and compared, e.g., price levels.
 Test units are individuals, organizations, or other
entities whose response to the independent
variables or treatments is being examined, e.g.,
consumers or stores.
 Dependent variables are the variables which
measure the effect of the independent variables on
the test units, e.g., sales, profits, and market
shares.
 Extraneous variables are all variables other than
the independent variables that affect the response
of the test units, e.g., store size, store location, and
competitive effort.
Experimental Design
An experimental design is a set of
procedures specifying
 the test units and how these units are to be
divided into homogeneous subsamples,
 what independent variables or treatments are
to be manipulated,
 what dependent variables are to be measured,
and
 how the extraneous variables are to be
controlled.
A Classification of Experimental Designs
 Pre-experimental designs do not employ
randomization procedures to control for
extraneous factors:
 The one-shot case study, the one-group pretest-
posttest design, and the static-group.
 In true experimental designs, the
researcher can randomly assign test units to
experimental groups and treatments to
experimental groups:
 The pretest-posttest control group design, the
posttest-only control group design, and the
Solomon four-group design.
A Classification of Experimental Designs
 Quasi-experimental designs result when
the researcher is unable to achieve full
manipulation of scheduling or allocation of
treatments to test units but can still apply part
of the apparatus of true experimentation:
 Time series and multiple time series designs.
 A Statistical design is a series of basic
experiments that allows for statistical control
and analysis of external variables:
 Randomized block design, Latin square design, and
factorial designs.
A Classification of Experimental Designs
Pre-experimental
One-Shot Case
Study
One Group
Pretest-Posttest
Static Group
True
Experimental
Pretest-Posttest
Control Group
Posttest: Only
Control Group
Solomon Four-
Group
Quasi
Experimental
Time Series
Multiple Time
Series
Statistical
Randomized
Blocks
Latin Square
Factorial
Design
Experimental Designs
One-Shot Case Study
X 01
 A single group of test units is exposed to a
treatment X.
 A single measurement on the dependent
variable is taken (01).
 There is no random assignment of test units.
 The one-shot case study is more appropriate
for exploratory than for conclusive research.
One-Group Pretest-Posttest Design
01 X 02
 A group of test units is measured twice.
 There is no control group.
 The treatment effect is computed as
02 – 01.
 The validity of this conclusion is
questionable since extraneous variables
are largely uncontrolled.
Static Group Design
EG: X 01
CG: 02
 A two-group experimental design.
 The experimental group (EG) is exposed to
the treatment, and the control group (CG) is
not.
 Measurements on both groups are made only
after the treatment.
 Test units are not assigned at random.
 The treatment effect would be measured as
01 - 02.
True Experimental Designs:
Pretest-Posttest Control Group Design
EG: R 01 X 02
CG: R 03 04
 Test units are randomly assigned to either the experimental or
the control group.
 A pretreatment measure is taken on each group.
 The treatment effect (TE) is measured as:(02 - 01) - (04 - 03).
 Selection bias is eliminated by randomization.
 The other extraneous effects are controlled as follows:
02 – 01= TE + H + MA + MT + IT + I + SR + MO
04 – 03= H + MA + MT + I + SR + MO
= EV (Extraneous Variables)
 The experimental result is obtained by:
(02 - 01) - (04 - 03) = TE + IT
 Interactive testing effect is not controlled.
Posttest-Only Control Group Design
EG : R X 01
CG : R 02
 The treatment effect is obtained by
TE = 01 - 02
 Except for pre-measurement, the
implementation of this design is very
similar to that of the pretest-posttest
control group design.
Quasi-Experimental Designs:
Time Series Design
01 02 03 04 05 X 06 07 08 09 010
 There is no randomization of test units
to treatments.
 The timing of treatment presentation,
as well as which test units are exposed
to the treatment, may not be within
the researcher's control.
Multiple Time Series Design
EG : 01 02 03 04 05 X 06 07 08 09 010
CG : 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 010
 If the control group is carefully
selected, this design can be an
improvement over the simple time
series experiment.
 Can test the treatment effect twice:
against the pretreatment measurements
in the experimental group and against
the control group.
Statistical Designs
Statistical designs consist of a series of basic
experiments that allow for statistical control and analysis
of external variables and offer the following advantages:
 The effects of more than one independent variable can
be measured.
 Specific extraneous variables can be statistically
controlled.
 Economical designs can be formulated when each test
unit is measured more than once.
The most common statistical designs are the Completely
randomised design, Randomised block design, the Latin
square design, and the Factorial design.
Completely Randomised Design
Pricing Decision Facing Manager of Adani Retail.
 He wants to know what should be the ideal price difference
between their in-store brand and the national brands like
Maggi or Kissan.
 Sets up an experiment involving eighteen Adani Retail Stores
and three price spreads (treatment levels) of Rs.7, Rs.12 &
Rs.17 between the in store brand and the national brands.
 Six stores are assigned randomly to each of the price spread.
 The price difference is maintained for a period, then tally is
made of Sales volume & Gross profits for each group of
stores.
 This can be diagrammed as
R O1 X1 O2
R O3 X2 O4
R O5 X3 O6
O1 O3 & O5 is gross profits of instore brand for a month before
the test
O2 O4 & O6 is gross profits of instore brand for a month after
the test
Assumption is randonmisation of stores to the three treatment
level is sufficient to make the three store group equivalent.
Completely Randomised Design
Randomized Block Design
 Is useful when there is only one major
external variable, such as store size, that
might influence the dependent variable.
 The test units are blocked, or grouped, on
the basis of the external variable.
 By blocking, the researcher ensures that
the various experimental and control
groups are matched closely on the
external variable.
Randomized Block Design
Treatment Groups
Block Customer Price Difference
Number Income Rs. 7 Rs. 12 Rs. 17
R R R
1 Heavy X1 X2 X3
2 Medium X1 X2 X3
3 Low X1 X2 X3
Factorial Design
 Is used to measure the effects of two
or more independent variables at
various levels.
 A factorial design may also be
conceptualized as a table.
 In a two-factor design, each level of
one variable represents a row and
each level of another variable
represents a column.
Factorial Design
Ad A Ad B
Gender
Men X1Y1 X1Y2
60 70 65
Women X2Y1 X2Y2
80 50 65
70 60
Main Effects
of Gender
Main Effects
of Ads
2 x 2 FACTORIAL DESIGN illustrating
effects of gender and Ad on believability
Latin Square Design
 Allows the researcher to statistically control two non-
interacting external variables as well as to manipulate the
independent variable.
 Each external or blocking variable is divided into an equal
number of blocks, or levels.
 The independent variable is also divided into the same
number of levels.
 A Latin square is conceptualized as a table, with the rows and
columns representing the blocks in the two external variables.
 The levels of the independent variable are assigned to the
cells in the table.
 The assignment rule is that each level of the independent
variable should appear only once in each row and each
column, as shown in Table
Latin Square Design
Customer Income
Store Size High Medium Low
Large X3 X1 X2
Medium X2 X3 X1
Small X1 X2 X3
THANK YOU

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causal-research-1219342132452457-8.pptx

  • 2. Definitions and Concepts  Independent variables are variables or alternatives that are manipulated and whose effects are measured and compared, e.g., price levels.  Test units are individuals, organizations, or other entities whose response to the independent variables or treatments is being examined, e.g., consumers or stores.  Dependent variables are the variables which measure the effect of the independent variables on the test units, e.g., sales, profits, and market shares.  Extraneous variables are all variables other than the independent variables that affect the response of the test units, e.g., store size, store location, and competitive effort.
  • 3. Experimental Design An experimental design is a set of procedures specifying  the test units and how these units are to be divided into homogeneous subsamples,  what independent variables or treatments are to be manipulated,  what dependent variables are to be measured, and  how the extraneous variables are to be controlled.
  • 4. A Classification of Experimental Designs  Pre-experimental designs do not employ randomization procedures to control for extraneous factors:  The one-shot case study, the one-group pretest- posttest design, and the static-group.  In true experimental designs, the researcher can randomly assign test units to experimental groups and treatments to experimental groups:  The pretest-posttest control group design, the posttest-only control group design, and the Solomon four-group design.
  • 5. A Classification of Experimental Designs  Quasi-experimental designs result when the researcher is unable to achieve full manipulation of scheduling or allocation of treatments to test units but can still apply part of the apparatus of true experimentation:  Time series and multiple time series designs.  A Statistical design is a series of basic experiments that allows for statistical control and analysis of external variables:  Randomized block design, Latin square design, and factorial designs.
  • 6. A Classification of Experimental Designs Pre-experimental One-Shot Case Study One Group Pretest-Posttest Static Group True Experimental Pretest-Posttest Control Group Posttest: Only Control Group Solomon Four- Group Quasi Experimental Time Series Multiple Time Series Statistical Randomized Blocks Latin Square Factorial Design Experimental Designs
  • 7. One-Shot Case Study X 01  A single group of test units is exposed to a treatment X.  A single measurement on the dependent variable is taken (01).  There is no random assignment of test units.  The one-shot case study is more appropriate for exploratory than for conclusive research.
  • 8. One-Group Pretest-Posttest Design 01 X 02  A group of test units is measured twice.  There is no control group.  The treatment effect is computed as 02 – 01.  The validity of this conclusion is questionable since extraneous variables are largely uncontrolled.
  • 9. Static Group Design EG: X 01 CG: 02  A two-group experimental design.  The experimental group (EG) is exposed to the treatment, and the control group (CG) is not.  Measurements on both groups are made only after the treatment.  Test units are not assigned at random.  The treatment effect would be measured as 01 - 02.
  • 10. True Experimental Designs: Pretest-Posttest Control Group Design EG: R 01 X 02 CG: R 03 04  Test units are randomly assigned to either the experimental or the control group.  A pretreatment measure is taken on each group.  The treatment effect (TE) is measured as:(02 - 01) - (04 - 03).  Selection bias is eliminated by randomization.  The other extraneous effects are controlled as follows: 02 – 01= TE + H + MA + MT + IT + I + SR + MO 04 – 03= H + MA + MT + I + SR + MO = EV (Extraneous Variables)  The experimental result is obtained by: (02 - 01) - (04 - 03) = TE + IT  Interactive testing effect is not controlled.
  • 11. Posttest-Only Control Group Design EG : R X 01 CG : R 02  The treatment effect is obtained by TE = 01 - 02  Except for pre-measurement, the implementation of this design is very similar to that of the pretest-posttest control group design.
  • 12. Quasi-Experimental Designs: Time Series Design 01 02 03 04 05 X 06 07 08 09 010  There is no randomization of test units to treatments.  The timing of treatment presentation, as well as which test units are exposed to the treatment, may not be within the researcher's control.
  • 13. Multiple Time Series Design EG : 01 02 03 04 05 X 06 07 08 09 010 CG : 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 010  If the control group is carefully selected, this design can be an improvement over the simple time series experiment.  Can test the treatment effect twice: against the pretreatment measurements in the experimental group and against the control group.
  • 14. Statistical Designs Statistical designs consist of a series of basic experiments that allow for statistical control and analysis of external variables and offer the following advantages:  The effects of more than one independent variable can be measured.  Specific extraneous variables can be statistically controlled.  Economical designs can be formulated when each test unit is measured more than once. The most common statistical designs are the Completely randomised design, Randomised block design, the Latin square design, and the Factorial design.
  • 15. Completely Randomised Design Pricing Decision Facing Manager of Adani Retail.  He wants to know what should be the ideal price difference between their in-store brand and the national brands like Maggi or Kissan.  Sets up an experiment involving eighteen Adani Retail Stores and three price spreads (treatment levels) of Rs.7, Rs.12 & Rs.17 between the in store brand and the national brands.  Six stores are assigned randomly to each of the price spread.  The price difference is maintained for a period, then tally is made of Sales volume & Gross profits for each group of stores.
  • 16.  This can be diagrammed as R O1 X1 O2 R O3 X2 O4 R O5 X3 O6 O1 O3 & O5 is gross profits of instore brand for a month before the test O2 O4 & O6 is gross profits of instore brand for a month after the test Assumption is randonmisation of stores to the three treatment level is sufficient to make the three store group equivalent. Completely Randomised Design
  • 17. Randomized Block Design  Is useful when there is only one major external variable, such as store size, that might influence the dependent variable.  The test units are blocked, or grouped, on the basis of the external variable.  By blocking, the researcher ensures that the various experimental and control groups are matched closely on the external variable.
  • 18. Randomized Block Design Treatment Groups Block Customer Price Difference Number Income Rs. 7 Rs. 12 Rs. 17 R R R 1 Heavy X1 X2 X3 2 Medium X1 X2 X3 3 Low X1 X2 X3
  • 19. Factorial Design  Is used to measure the effects of two or more independent variables at various levels.  A factorial design may also be conceptualized as a table.  In a two-factor design, each level of one variable represents a row and each level of another variable represents a column.
  • 20. Factorial Design Ad A Ad B Gender Men X1Y1 X1Y2 60 70 65 Women X2Y1 X2Y2 80 50 65 70 60 Main Effects of Gender Main Effects of Ads 2 x 2 FACTORIAL DESIGN illustrating effects of gender and Ad on believability
  • 21. Latin Square Design  Allows the researcher to statistically control two non- interacting external variables as well as to manipulate the independent variable.  Each external or blocking variable is divided into an equal number of blocks, or levels.  The independent variable is also divided into the same number of levels.  A Latin square is conceptualized as a table, with the rows and columns representing the blocks in the two external variables.  The levels of the independent variable are assigned to the cells in the table.  The assignment rule is that each level of the independent variable should appear only once in each row and each column, as shown in Table
  • 22. Latin Square Design Customer Income Store Size High Medium Low Large X3 X1 X2 Medium X2 X3 X1 Small X1 X2 X3