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CALIFORNIA HOUSING
MARKET UPDATE
Monthly Sales and Price Statistics
March 2016
SALES OF EXISTING DETACHED HOMES
California, Mar. 2016 Sales: 414,220 Units, +6.9% YTD, +5.7% YTY
-
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
*Sales are seasonally adjusted and annualized
SERIES: Sales of Existing Single Family Homes
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Mar16:
415,220
Mar-15:
392,660
CALIFORNIA SALES
(JAN 2000 – PRESENT)
SERIES: Sales of Existing Single Family Homes, Not Seasonally Adjusted
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
Year-over-Year % Chg 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Year-over-Year % Chg)
BAY AREA SALES (EXISTING SFH)
SERIES: Sales, Not Seasonally Adjusted
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
Bay Area 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Bay Area)YoY % chg.
CENTRAL VALLEY SALES (EXISTING SFH)
SERIES: Sales, Not Seasonally Adjusted
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
-30%
-25%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Central Valley 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Central Valley)YoY % chg.
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA (EXISTING SFH)
SERIES: Sales, Not Seasonally Adjusted
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
-30%
-25%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
So CA 6 per. Mov. Avg. (So CA)YoY % chg.
SALES SHARE BY PRICE RANGE
14%
18%
17%
14%
19%
9% 8%
3%
11%
18%
17%
14%
20%
9% 9%
3%
0%
10%
20%
30%
Mar-15 Mar-16
SERIES: Sales of Existing Detached Homes
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
SALES OF CONDO UNITS
California, Mar. 2016: 3,685 Units, +2.2% YTD, +1.1% YTY
SERIES: Sales of Condo Units
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
MEDIAN PRICE OF EXISTING DETACHED HOMES
California, Mar. 2016: $483,280, +8.9% MTM, +4.0% YTY
$-
$100,000
$200,000
$300,000
$400,000
$500,000
$600,000
$700,000
P: May-07
$594,530
T: Feb-09
$245,230
-59% from
peak
SERIES: Median Price of Existing Single Family Homes
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Mar-16:
$483,280
Mar-15:
$464,640
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50% Condo Single-Family Homes
HOME PRICE APPRECIATIONS HAVE
MODERATED SINCE MID 2013
SERIES: Sales of SFH and Condo Units
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
YTY% Chg. in Price
CA MEDIAN PRICE (EXISTING SFH)
SERIES: Median Price, Not Seasonally Adjusted
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
Month-to-Month % Chg
PRICE PER SQUARE FOOT
Mar. 2016: $227, Up 4.1% MTM, Even 0% YTY
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400
PRICE PER SQ. FT.
SERIES: Median Price Per Square Feet
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Mar-16:
$227
Mar-15:
$227
SALES PRICE -TO-LIST PRICE RATIO
Mar. 2016: 98.8%, Up 0.6% MTM, Up 0.3% YTY
86%
88%
90%
92%
94%
96%
98%
100%
102%
Sales-to-List Price Ratio
SERIES: Sales-to-List Ratio
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Mar-16:
98.8%
Mar-15:
98.5%
INVENTORY CONTINUED TO
DECLINE FROM LAST YEAR
Mar. 2015: 3.6 Months; Mar. 2016: 3.8 Months
Note: “Unsold Inventory Index” represents the number of months it would take to sell the remaining inventory for the month in
question. The remaining inventory for the month is defined as the number of properties that were “Active”, “Pending”, and
“Contingent” (when available) and divide the sum by the number of “Sold” properties for the month in question.
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
SERIES: Unsold Inventory Index of Existing Single Family Homes
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
INVENTORY DROPPED SIGNIFICANTLY
IN THE BAY AREA SINCE 2009 BUT REMAINED TIGHT
Note: “Unsold Inventory Index” represents the number of months it would take to sell the remaining inventory for the month in
question. The remaining inventory for the month is defined as the number of properties that were “Active”, “Pending”, and
“Contingent” (when available) and divide the sum by the number of “Sold” properties for the month in question.
3.2
4.4
4.1
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0 Bay Area So CA Central Valley
SERIES: Unsold Inventory Index of Existing Single Family Homes
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
DEMAND INCREASED IN FEBRUARY
BUT SUPPLY CONTINUED TO DECLINE
-8%
1%
7%
3%
-3%
-9%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
San Francisco Bay Area Southern California Central Valley
Sales Active ListingsYear-to-Year % Chg
SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Mar. 2016

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California Housing, Real Estate Market Update Shared by Howard E. Perry

  • 1. CALIFORNIA HOUSING MARKET UPDATE Monthly Sales and Price Statistics March 2016
  • 2. SALES OF EXISTING DETACHED HOMES California, Mar. 2016 Sales: 414,220 Units, +6.9% YTD, +5.7% YTY - 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000 *Sales are seasonally adjusted and annualized SERIES: Sales of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® Mar16: 415,220 Mar-15: 392,660
  • 3. CALIFORNIA SALES (JAN 2000 – PRESENT) SERIES: Sales of Existing Single Family Homes, Not Seasonally Adjusted SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% Year-over-Year % Chg 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Year-over-Year % Chg)
  • 4. BAY AREA SALES (EXISTING SFH) SERIES: Sales, Not Seasonally Adjusted SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% Bay Area 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Bay Area)YoY % chg.
  • 5. CENTRAL VALLEY SALES (EXISTING SFH) SERIES: Sales, Not Seasonally Adjusted SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® -30% -25% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% Central Valley 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Central Valley)YoY % chg.
  • 6. SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA (EXISTING SFH) SERIES: Sales, Not Seasonally Adjusted SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® -30% -25% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% So CA 6 per. Mov. Avg. (So CA)YoY % chg.
  • 7. SALES SHARE BY PRICE RANGE 14% 18% 17% 14% 19% 9% 8% 3% 11% 18% 17% 14% 20% 9% 9% 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% Mar-15 Mar-16 SERIES: Sales of Existing Detached Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
  • 8. 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 SALES OF CONDO UNITS California, Mar. 2016: 3,685 Units, +2.2% YTD, +1.1% YTY SERIES: Sales of Condo Units SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
  • 9. MEDIAN PRICE OF EXISTING DETACHED HOMES California, Mar. 2016: $483,280, +8.9% MTM, +4.0% YTY $- $100,000 $200,000 $300,000 $400,000 $500,000 $600,000 $700,000 P: May-07 $594,530 T: Feb-09 $245,230 -59% from peak SERIES: Median Price of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® Mar-16: $483,280 Mar-15: $464,640
  • 10. -50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Condo Single-Family Homes HOME PRICE APPRECIATIONS HAVE MODERATED SINCE MID 2013 SERIES: Sales of SFH and Condo Units SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® YTY% Chg. in Price
  • 11. CA MEDIAN PRICE (EXISTING SFH) SERIES: Median Price, Not Seasonally Adjusted SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% Month-to-Month % Chg
  • 12. PRICE PER SQUARE FOOT Mar. 2016: $227, Up 4.1% MTM, Even 0% YTY $0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 $350 $400 PRICE PER SQ. FT. SERIES: Median Price Per Square Feet SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® Mar-16: $227 Mar-15: $227
  • 13. SALES PRICE -TO-LIST PRICE RATIO Mar. 2016: 98.8%, Up 0.6% MTM, Up 0.3% YTY 86% 88% 90% 92% 94% 96% 98% 100% 102% Sales-to-List Price Ratio SERIES: Sales-to-List Ratio SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® Mar-16: 98.8% Mar-15: 98.5%
  • 14. INVENTORY CONTINUED TO DECLINE FROM LAST YEAR Mar. 2015: 3.6 Months; Mar. 2016: 3.8 Months Note: “Unsold Inventory Index” represents the number of months it would take to sell the remaining inventory for the month in question. The remaining inventory for the month is defined as the number of properties that were “Active”, “Pending”, and “Contingent” (when available) and divide the sum by the number of “Sold” properties for the month in question. 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 18.0 SERIES: Unsold Inventory Index of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
  • 15. INVENTORY DROPPED SIGNIFICANTLY IN THE BAY AREA SINCE 2009 BUT REMAINED TIGHT Note: “Unsold Inventory Index” represents the number of months it would take to sell the remaining inventory for the month in question. The remaining inventory for the month is defined as the number of properties that were “Active”, “Pending”, and “Contingent” (when available) and divide the sum by the number of “Sold” properties for the month in question. 3.2 4.4 4.1 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 Bay Area So CA Central Valley SERIES: Unsold Inventory Index of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
  • 16. DEMAND INCREASED IN FEBRUARY BUT SUPPLY CONTINUED TO DECLINE -8% 1% 7% 3% -3% -9% -20% -10% 0% 10% San Francisco Bay Area Southern California Central Valley Sales Active ListingsYear-to-Year % Chg SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® Mar. 2016