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            MARKET RESEARCH
            A.Valladares & Asociados




 MARKET SIZE AND PROJECTIONS FOR
MILL LINERS AND SMALL GRINDING MEDIA
                      IN
            CHILE & PERU



                  SAMPLE




                       s
IMPORTANT


                                                               Contents:
The period of reserve for this study ended over three years ago. In any case,
for added protection of original client's interest, all references to its name and
        purposes in relation to the target markets have been omitted.


                                           Rights of the model study:
Our intellectual property rights on this and other models of our Ad-hoc Markets
Analysis are protected by Chilean Law No. 17,336 and international law. Copy
              or use without authorization is subject to sanctions.


                                                                 Contact:
 Alejandro Valladares Founder & Senior Analyst at A.Valladares&Asociados
Mobile: +569 9651 4651 e-Mail: avalladares@chilebras.com Skype: alejandro_valladares




                                                   A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS
                                                              (antes chilebras.com)
        Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente
                                       contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
Ad-hoc MARKET RESEARCH OBJECTIVES



 Stage 1: Analyse the market sizes and pricing practices corresponding to imported mill liners and
small grinding media for the mining industry in Chile and Peru.

 Stage 2: Investigate local producers in terms of capacity, sales and prices per product line, as well
as exports flows and end user‟s requirements of liners and small grinding media, concluding the
pricing and total market size in the last period of 12 months and a projection for 2010, in Chile and
Peru.




                                                                    A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS
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                         Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente
                                                        contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
Ad-hoc MARKET RESEARCH METHODOLOGY


                                                PROD. CAPACITY,                      PROD. CAPACITY,
                                               SALES AND PRICES                     SALES AND PRICES
                                                FOR MILL LINERS                    FOR SMALL G. MEDIA



                                                                   MAIN LOCAL
                                                                   PRODUCERS




  MILL LINERS                                                                                                                                           INVENTORY OF
  IMPORTS &                                                                                                                                             MINING MILLS, PER
  EXPORTS
                   TRADE                                                                                                                                MILL TYPE / E. USER

                   ANALYSIS                                         MARKET                                             END USERS
  SMALL G. MEDIA
                                                                                                                                                        INVENTORY OF
  IMPORTS &
                                                                                                                                                        NEW PROJECTS
  EXPORTS
                                                                                                                                                        PER END USER




                                                                       CLIENT



                                              UNDERSTANDING                         UNDERSTANDING
                                                 CLIENT’S                              CLIENT’S
                                                MILL LINERS                         GRINDING MEDIA



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                                                                         (antes chilebras.com)
                   Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente
                                                  contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
                                                              Synthesis:
                                                              Conclusions

CHILE                                                                                           PERU
.                                                                                               .


BALLS:                                                                                           BALLS:
     In 2005, size of balls market was 583.7                                                                In 2005, size of balls market was
      million lb (184 USD million). Size of small                                                             150,900,000 lb (41,3 USD million). Size of
      grinding media segment was 28.4 million lb                                                              small grinding media segment was
      (21 USD million), a 5% of total.                                                                        16,500,000 lb (11 USD million), 11% o total.
     Projection: Total market and small grinding                                                            Projection: Total market and small grinding
      media segment will grow a 18% between                                                                   media segment will grow a 41% between
      2005 and 2010.                                                                                          2005 and 2010.


LINERS:                                                                                         LINERS:
    In 2005, size of liners market was 51.8                                                                In 2005, size of liners market              was
     million lb (30 USD million).                                                                            12,300,000 lb (6.2 USD million).
     Liners for SAG-type Plants, representing a                                                              Liners    for    Tradicional-type    Plants,
     77% of total mill liners consumption.                                                                   representing a 67% of total consumption.
    Projection: Liners‟ market will grow a 18%                                                             Projection: Liners market will grow a 41%
     aprox. between 2005 and 2010.                                                                           between 2005 and 2010.




                                                               A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS
                                                                          (antes chilebras.com)
                    Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente
                                                   contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
INDEX


  -Ad-hoc Market Research Objectives
  -Ad-hoc Market Research Methodology
  -Final Report :
                CHILE                                                                     PERU
                Overview                                                                  Overview
                Small Grinding Media                                                      Small Grinding Media
                      Imports&exports                                                           Imports&exports
                      Local Production                                                          Local Production
                      Price                                                                     Price
                      Market size                                                               Market size
                Mill Liners                                                               Mill Liners
                       Imports&exports                                                           Imports&exports
                       Local Production                                                          Local Production
                       Price                                                                     Price
                       Market size                                                               Market size
                Markets in 2010                                                           Markets in 2010
                Conclusions                                                               Conclusions




                                                                                                                                                        6
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                                                                         (antes chilebras.com)
                   Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente
                                                  contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
FINAL REPORT - CHILE


MINING OVERVIEW:
   Chilean mining is characterized by very big operations ( called Gran Mineria ) where Copper is
    the dominant ore.



                                                                     PRODUCCION IN 2004
                  Mineral                  MT* f ines                                     Comments
           Copper total                     5.412.500          100%
             gran minería                   5.217.901          90%
             other                            194.599          10%
           Gold                                      40         70% obtained as by-product in copper ores processing
           Silver                                 1.360        100% obtained as by-product in copper and gold processing
           Molibdeno                           41.883          100% obtained as by-product in copper ores processing
           Lead                                   2.286        One producer (Toqui) with two ball mills only
           Mn (ore)                            25.801          One producer (Atacama) with two ball mills only
           Zinc                                27.635          One producer (Toqui) with two ball mills only
           Iron                             8.003.500          One producer (CMP) with three ball mills only
           * Metric Tons
           Source: Anuario Estadístico 2004, COCHILCO




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                                                          contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
FINAL REPORT - CHILE


CHILEAN MINING OVERVIEW:                                                                          Operation                                  Ore
                                                                                                                                                                   %        % Milling &
                                                                                                                                                              Lixiviation   Flotation (*)
   There are 22 big operations, treating ore via                                                 El Abra                                Copper                 100%              -
                                                                                                  Zaldívar                               Copper                 100%              -
    lixiviation and/or through milling and flotation                                              Cerro Colorado                         Copper                 100%              -
    plants also called Concentrators.                                                             El Tesoro                              Copper                 100%              -
                                                                                                  Quebrada Blanca                        Copper                 100%              -
                                                                                                  Lomas Bayas                            Copper                 100%              -
   Concentrators are 19, as                                                                      Michilla-Lince                         Copper                 100%              -
       Codelco Norte has 3                                                                       Manto Verde                            Copper                 100%              -
                                                                                                  Carmen de And.                         Copper                 100%              .
       Escondida, Codelco Andina, Codelco                                                        Codelco Norte (*)                      Copper                  40%            60%
        El Teniente and El Soldado have 2                                                         Escondida (**)                         Copper                  15%            85%
        each                                                                                      Collahuasi                             Copper                  20%            80%
                                                                                                  Mantos Blancos                         Copper                  50%            50%
                                                                                                  Salvador                               Copper                  30%            70%
                                                                                                  Teniente (**)                          Copper                     -          100%
                                                                                                  Pelambres                              Copper                     -          100%
                                                                                                  Andina (**)                            Copper                     -          100%
                                                                                                  Candelaria                             Copper                     -          100%
                                                                                                  Bronces                                Copper                     -          100%
                                                                                                  Soldado (**)                           Copper                     -          100%
                                                                                                  Mantos de Oro (***)                    Gold                                  100%
                                                                                                  El Peñón (***)                         Gold                                  100%
                                                                                                 (*)    Operation has 3 Concentrators
                                                                                                 (**) Operation has 2 Concentrators
                                                                                                 (***) Operation includes also gravity concentration stages
                                                                                                 Sources : Operators & Anuario Estadístico 2004 COCHILCO


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                                                        contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
FINAL REPORT - CHILE


CHILEAN MINING OVERVIEW:                                                                                         CONCENTRATOR                                          Proccesed Mineral

                                                                                         Name                                           Type                         MT/Day      MT/Month
   SAG Concentrators process 75% of
    ores while Tradicional Concentrators                                                 Codelco - Chuquicamata                         SAG                            70.000      2.100.000
    responds by rest of 25%                                                                                                             Tradicional (two)             100.000      3.000.000
                                                                                         Codelco - El Teniente                          SAG                            50.000      1.500.000
                                                                                                                                        Tradicional                    75.000      2.250.000
           SAG MTPD*      781000              75%                                        Codelco - Andina                               SAG                            35.000      1.050.000
           Trad MTPD      262000              25%                                                                                       Tradicional                    35.000      1.050.000
           Total MTPD     1043000            100%                                        El Soldado                                     SAG                            12.000        360.000
                                                                                                                                        Tradicional                     7.000        210.000
                                                                                         Escondida- Los Colorados                       SAG                           120.000      3.600.000
   Older copper operations – all Codelco                                                Escondida- Laguna Seca                         SAG                           105.000      3.150.000
    one‟s, for example- show tradicional                                                 Collahuasi                                     SAG                           125.000      3.750.000
    plants togheter with SAG plants. But                                                 Pelambres                                      SAG                           120.000      3.600.000
                                                                                         Candelaria                                     SAG                            70.000      2.100.000
    newer operations use SAG schemes                                                     Los Bronces                                    SAG                            55.000      1.650.000
    only.                                                                                Mantos de Oro                                  SAG                            17.000        510.000
                                                                                         El Peñón                                       SAG                             2.000         60.000
                                                                                         Codelco - Salvador                             Tradicional                    34.000      1.020.000
   Most Concentrators have a regrinding                                                 Mantos Blancos                                 Tradicional                    11.000        330.000
    stage and some of them an additional                                                   Monthly Totals - SAG Concentrators                                         781.000     23.430.000
    grinding and flotation plant for Moly.                                                 Monthly Totals - Trad Concentrators                                        262.000      7.860.000
                                                                                           Monthly Totals - Sag + Tradicional                                        1.043.000    31.290.000
                                                                                           Plant availability, estimated average                                                           95%
    MTPD: Metric Tons Per Day
                                                                                           Annual Totals, after availability                                                     356.706.000
                                                                                        Source : Operators


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FINAL REPORT - CHILE


CHILEAN MINING OVERVIEW:                                                                                                     MILLS INVENTORY

                                                                                        Operation                                 Prim&Sec Grinding                     Regrind&Moly
                                                                            Name                          Type                   SAG       Bars Mills Balls Mills Balls Mills     Vertical           Total
     Concentrators operate 265                                                                                                  Mills                                             Mills
      mills, 211 (80%) in primary &                                Chuquicamata*             SAG and Tradicional                   3           16              34        15                              68
      secondary grinding and 54                                    El Teniente*              SAG and Tradicional                   2           22              44         4             3                75

      (20%) in regrinding and /or                                  Andina*                   SAG and Tradicional                   1           3               11         2                              17
                                                                   El Soldado                SAG and Tradicional                   1           4               6          2                              13
      molybdenum plants.                                           Escondida LC              SAG                                   3                           7                        3                13
                                                                   Escondida LS              SAG                                   1                           3                        4                    8
     Mills used to regrind and moly,                              Collahuasi                SAG                                   3                           4                        5                12

      comprises 33 balls mills and 21                              Los Pelambres             SAG                                   2                           4                        5                11
                                                                   Candelaria                SAG                                   2                           4          1             1                    8
      vertical mills. This, associated                             Los Bronces               SAG                                   2                           3          3                                  8
      with newer plants like as                                    Mantos de Oro             SAG                                   1                           2          1                                  4
      Escondida Los Pelambres and                                  El Peñón                  SAG                                   1                           3                                             4
                                                                   El Salvador*              Tradicional                                        5              9          4                              18
      Collahuasi.                                                  Mantos Blancos            Tradicional                                                       5          1                                  6
                                                                   Total, units                                                   22            50             139        33            21              265

     Codelco‟s Divisions explain a                                Total, %
                                                                   *A Division of Codelco
                                                                                                                                  8%           19%             52%       12%            8%            100%

      67% of mills inventory. Its                                 Source : Operators
                                                                                                                                                                CODELCO
      „share‟ being lower in
                                                                                                                                                 Prim&Sec Grinding Regrind&Mol
      SAG and Verticals.                                                                                                                            SAG         Bars    Balls   Balls        Vert.   Total
                                                                                                                                                    Mills       Mills   Mills   Mills        Mills
                                                                                                                            Total units               22         50      139      33          21      265
                                                                                                                            Codelco                    6         46       98      25           3      178
                                                                                                                            Other                     16          4       41       8          18       87
                                                                                                                            % codelco               27%        92%      71%     76%         14%      67%
                                                                                                                            % other                 73%         8%      29%     24%         86%      33%
                                                                                                                            Source : Operators
                                                                     A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS
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                                                         contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
INDEX


  -Ad-hoc Market Research Objectives
  -Ad-hoc Market Research Methodology
  -Final Report :
                CHILE                                                                   PERU
                Overview                                                                Overview
                Small Grinding Media                                                    Small Grinding Media
                      Imports&exports                                                         Imports&exports
                      Local Production                                                        Local Production
                      Price                                                                   Price
                      Market size                                                             Market size
                Mill Liners                                                             Mill Liners
                       Imports&exports                                                         Imports&exports
                       Local Production                                                        Local Production
                       Price                                                                   Price
                       Market size                                                             Market size
                Markets in 2010                                                         Markets in 2010
                Conclusions                                                             Conclusions




                                                                                                                                                         11
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                    Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente
                                                   contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
FINAL REPORT - CHILE


SMALL GM / IMPORTS & EXPORTS :
   Chile imports 50 million pounds/year
                                                                                                                CHILEAN IMPORTS AND EXPORTS PER YEAR
         53% cast and 47% forged
                                                                                                              Flow                                Datos                 Total
         94% of total coming from Peru
                                                                                                              IMP                                 Weight in Lb        50.410.173
                                                                                                                                                  T. Fob (US$)        14.156.202
   Chile exports 122 million pounds/year                                                                                                         Fob USD/Lb               0,281
                                                                                                              EXP                                 Weight in Lb       122.404.739
         6 % cast and 94% forged                                                                                                                 T. Fob (US$)        38.384.149
                                                                                                                                                  Fob USD/Lb               0,314
         87% of total going to Argentine
          and Brazil                                                                                          Source: CHILEBRAS.COM based on peruvian and chilean official
                                                                                                              trade information

   Price of forged GM is higher than cast
    GM in 10% when imported and 16%                                                                                          PRICE OF IMPORTED / EXPORTED GM (USD/LB)
    when exported                                                                                      CHILE
                                                                                                                        Size :               5"             3"      1"     Total
                                                                                                                      Imp cif                -            0,256   0,507    0,285
                                                                                                   CAST
                                                                                                                      Exp fob              0,257          0,276     -      0,279
   The import as well as export prices                                                                               Imp cif              0,393          0,309     -      0,309
    show in general higher values in the                                                           FORGED
                                                                                                                      Exp fob              0,320          0,281   0,329    0,312
    extreme sizes (1” and 5”) versus middle
    size (3”).




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                                                    contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
FINAL REPORT - CHILE


SMALL GM / LOCAL
                                                                                        LOCAL PRODUCTION OF GRINDING MEDIA ( k Lb / year)
   PRODUCTION:                                                      Player                             Capacity       Production in      Local Sales           Imports    Exports       Local share
                                                                                                                         2004
   Key players in Chile are: Molycop                               Molycop                            770.925           462.555            373.357            23.480 112.678                 69%
    (forged balls), Proacer (cast balls)                            Proacer                            132.159           110.132            105.328             2.064   6.868                 19%
    and local filial of spanish Santa Ana                           Sabo                                88.106            66.079             62.921               535   3.694                 12%
    de Bolueta-Sabo (forged).
                                                                    Forged balls                       859.031           528.634            436.278            24.015 116.372                 81%
   Leader, is Molycop with a local                                 Cast balls                         132.159           110.132            105.328             2.064   6.868                 19%
                                                                    Total                              991.189           638.767            541.606            26.079 123.240                100%
    market share estimated in 69%, the
    highest perceived product quality                               Sources: Interviews and secondary data (corporative reports and news)

    and a services portfolio very
    appreciatted by professionals.
                                                                                        LOCAL PRODUCTION OF GRINDING MEDIA - SIZES (inch)
   Forged balls explain a 81% of local                           Player                                Production Range                                                 Main Sizes *
    consumption and cast balls a 19%.                                                                max size         min size                              Sag mills    Ball mills      Regrinding
                                                                  Molycop                                6"              1"                                    5"           3"             1 1/4"
   Balls sizes that explain over an 80%                          Proacer                                3"              1"                                    5"           3"               1"
    of local consumption are:                                     Sabo                                   6"            1 1/4"                                  5"           3"             1 1/4"
                                                                  *Sizes that concentrate in the order of 80% of total productiom
          5” for SAG mills                                       Sources: Interviews and secondary data (corporative reports and news)
          3” for bigger Balls mills, and
          1 to 1 ½” for Regrinding mills.



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FINAL REPORT - CHILE


SMALL GM / PRICES
   USD 0.700 kg (0.318 /lb) was the                                                                     LOCAL PROD. OF GM - PRICES (USD /lb)
    more frequently mentioned price                                            Player                                        Price of main sizes                Market Price *
    between interwiewed persons, as                                                                                  5"               3"                   1"    ( average )
    being the actual market average,                                           Molycop                           0,341            0,318             0,363
    aproximately.                                                              Proacer                              -             0,286             0,318          0,318
                                                                               Sabo                             not info.        not info.         not info.
                                                                               * When asked for an average price of balls, everybody mentioned USD 700 per ton
   Regarding the difference between                                           Sources: Interviews
    prices of cast and forged balls,
    ranges is 10% to 15%.

   And there is also coincidence into
    describe prices as being higher in
    bigger and smaller balls, situation
    mentioned as „ the price smile‟.




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FINAL REPORT - CHILE

SMALL GM / END USERS
   While a convencional milling circuit consume 0,558 Kg/MT (1.229 lb/MT) of 3” and 1 ¼” balls, a
    SAG circuit consume 0.742 Kg/ton (1.634 lb/MT) of 5”, 3” and 1 ½” balls.

   Following table opens the information gathered from local operators by plant type and ball size. It
    shows that, in average, unitary mill balls consumption is 0,696 Kg/MT (1,533 lb/MT) and size of
    chilean balls market is 265,0 k MT per year (583.8 million lb /year).

   Consumption of small grinding balls is 12,96 k MT (28.5 million lb) per year.


                                                               MILL BALLS MARKET

      Plants           Ball Size                             5"                           3"                   1 - 1 1/2 "                                 Total
      SAG             Kg                            71.266.250                   128.207.984                     12.172.276 211.646.509 79,9%
       781.000 MTPD Kg /MT                               0,250                         0,450                          0,043       0,742
       74,9%          %                                33,67%                        60,58%                          5,75%        100%
      Tradicional     Kg                                                          52.596.500                        788.948 53.385.448 20,1%
        262.000 MTPD Kg /MT                                                            0,550                          0,008       0,558
        25,1%         %                                                              98,52%                          1,48%        100%
      S+T             Kg                            71.266.250                   180.804.484                     12.961.223 265.031.957 100,0%
       1043.000MTPD Kg /MT (av.)                         0,187                         0,475                          0,034       0,696
        100%          %                                26,89%                        68,22%                          4,89%        100%
      Source: Operators


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                                                     contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
FINAL REPORT - CHILE

SMALL GM / END USERS

   Following table opens the information gathered from local operators by plant, size and price. It
    shows that, balls price is 0,695 USD/Kg (0.316 USD/lb) and value of chilean balls market is
    approx. 184,3 million USD per year.

   And as price of small balls is 0,750 USD/Kg (0.341 USD/lb), value of segment is approx. 9,7
    million USD per year.


                                                               MILL BALLS MARKET

          Plants           Ball Size                         5"                        3"                 1 - 1 1/2 "                             Total
          SAG              Kg          71.266.250                             128.207.984                  12.172.276 211.646.509 79,9%
             781.000 tpd Kg /ton            0,250                                   0,450                       0,043       0,742
             74,9%         %              33,67%                                  60,58%                       5,75%        100%
          Tradicional      Kg                                                  52.596.500                     788.948 53.385.448 20,1%
             262.000 tpd Kg /ton                                                    0,550                       0,008       0,558
             25,1%         %                                                      98,52%                       1,48%        100%
          S+T              Kg          71.266.250                             180.804.484                  12.961.223 265.031.957 100,0%
             1043.000 tpdKg /ton (av.)      0,187                                   0,475                       0,034       0,696
             100%          %              26,89%                                  68,22%                       4,89%        100%
          Price (Codelco) P (USD/Kg)        0,800                                   0,650                       0,750       0,695
          Market in USD Value(USD) 57.013.000                                 117.522.914                   9.720.917 184.256.832
          Source: Interviews




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                                                      contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
FINAL REPORT - CHILE


SMALL GM / MARKET SIZE :


Learnings:


    Small grinding media used by mining operators, range from 1” to 1 ½”


    Demand comes from regrinding and moly plants


    Size of segment is 13 k MT (28.5 million lb) /year


    And segment value is 9.7 million USD /year




                                                                    A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS
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                         Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente
                                                        contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
INDEX


  -Ad-hoc Market Research Objectives
  -Ad-hoc Market Research Methodology
  -Final Report :
                CHILE                                                                   PERU
                Overview                                                                Overview
                Small Grinding Media                                                    Small Grinding Media
                      Imports&exports                                                         Imports&exports
                      Local Production                                                        Local Production
                      Price                                                                   Price
                      Market size                                                             Market size
                Mill Liners                                                             Mill Liners
                       Imports&exports                                                         Imports&exports
                       Local Production                                                        Local Production
                       Price                                                                   Price
                       Market size                                                             Market size
                Markets in 2010                                                         Markets in 2010
                Conclusions                                                             Conclusions




                                                                                                                                                         18
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                                                   contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
FINAL REPORT - CHILE


LINERS / IMPORTS & EXPORTS :
                                                                                                               CHILEAN IMPORTS AND EXPORTS PER YEAR
   Chile imports 5.0 million pounds /year
                                                                                                       Flow                                       Datos           Total
          equals FOB USD 4.7 million
                                                                                                       IMPORTS                                    Fob USD        4.708.410
          as u. price is USD/ lb 0.941                                                                                                           Weight, Lb     5.002.203
                                                                                                                                                  Fob USD / Lb       0,941
   And exports 0.80 million pounds/year                                                               EXPORTS                                    Fob USD          755.109
        equals FOB USD 0.76 million                                                                                                              Weight, Lb       795.880
                                                                                                                                                  Fob USD / Lb       0,949
        as u. price is USD/ lb 0.949                                                                  Source: CHILEBRAS.COM based on official trade data




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                                                     contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
FINAL REPORT - CHILE


LINERS / LOCAL PRODUCTON :
   Elecmetal, Talleres and Aceros Chile are the key players in this area. Market leader is
    Elecmetal+Talleres, with a market share estimated in 75%, -as from December 2003 Talleres is
    owned in a 60% by Elecmetal (40% remaining with Codelco).

   According our information and assumptions, total local offer is in ther order of 22.500 ton (49.6
    million lb) that represents 28.6 million USD per year. So, in this moment, the average price is
    1.27 USD/Kg (0.577 USD/lb).
             MILL LINERS MARKET - LOCAL PLAYERS
             Company       Item           Total     % Liners                                                             Liners
             Elecmetal
                Loc.Sales USD            34.200.000    40%                                                                13.680.000
                Capacity Kg              12.500.000    75%                                                                 9.375.000
                Price, av. USD/Kg                                                                                               1,46
             Talleres
                Loc.Sales USD            19.400.000    40%                                                                  7.760.000
                Capacity Kg              10.000.000    75%                                                                  7.500.000
                Price, av. USD/Kg                                                                                                1,03
             Estimated market share of Elecmetal+Talleres, %                                                                75%
             T. Players
                Loc.Sales USD                                                                                             28.586.667
                Capacity Kg                                                                                               22.500.000
                Price, av. USD/Kg                                                                                               1,27

             Sources: Interwiews and corporative data from players



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                                                           contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
FINAL REPORT - CHILE


LINERS / PRICES :

   Elecmetal and Talleres are driving a price recovery process, trying to move the price average from
    USD/Kg 1,000 (USD/lb 0.45) to USD/Kg 1,000 (USD/lb 0.90). According to Aceros Chile, change is
    showing results as new business are closed now in or near the desired price level.
   However, considering average market price is still in the order of 1.27 USD/Kg (0.577 USD/lb), this
    process appears to need more time to accomplish a full effect. In this scenary, an average unitary
    price for imported liners of USD/lb 0.94 seems very high for the moment as internal prices will
    match its new level when new contracts impact real dispatch.
   Regarding pricing practices, players mentioned they actual process will probably give marginal as
    steel cost is principal driver and in Chile liner business is regulated by international evolution. They
    also mentioned that internal prices cann‟t grow over international one‟s as most mining operators
    are multinational players and chilean economy is very open to imports.




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FINAL REPORT - CHILE

LINERS / END USERS

   Unitary consumption of liners is 0,064 Kg/MT (0.141 lb/MT) in SAG and 0,056 Kg/MT (0.123
    lb/MT) in Tradicional circuits, meaning a difference of just a 14%. However, as they grind 74,9%
    of total ores, a 77,3% of total liners consumption comes from SAG circuits. Tradicional circuits
    explain rest of 22,7%.

   As ball mills participate in SAG and Tradicional circuits, highest consumption correspond to
    armours with a 49%. Then, come SAG Lifters (25%) and Liners (16%).

   Following table opens the information gathered from local operators by plant type and liner type.
    It shows that, in average, mill liner consumption is 0,062 Kg/MT (0.137 lb/MT) and size of chilean
    liners market is approx. 23,5 k MT per year (51.7 million lb/year).
                                                                                    MILL LINERS MARKET

                LINERS                 Liner-type                Lifters               Liners            Grates, o.            Arm ours            Ar. (rem )   TOTAL
                SAG             Kg                            5.964.272               3.697.293 1.874.302  6.299.937                                   324.689 18.160.493 77,3%
                 781.000 MTPD Kg /ton                             0,021                   0,013     0,007      0,022                                     0,001      0,064
                 74,9%          %                               32,84%                  20,36%    10,32%     34,69%                                     1,79%       100%
                Tradicional     Kg                                                                         5.259.650                                    71.723 5.331.373 22,7%
                 262.000 MTPD Kg /ton                                                                          0,055                                     0,001      0,056
                   25,1%        %                                                                            98,65%                                     1,35%       100%
                S+T             Kg                            5.964.272               3.697.293 1.874.302 11.559.587                                   396.412 23.491.866 100%
                1043.000 MTPD Kg /ton                             0,016                   0,010     0,005      0,030                                     0,001      0,062
                   100%         %                               25,39%                  15,74%     7,98%     49,21%                                     1,69%       100%
                Source: Interviews


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FINAL REPORT - CHILE

LINERS / END USERS

   Following table, opens the information gathered from local operators by plant-type, liner-type and
    price. It shows that as average liners‟s price is, in this moment, estimated in around 1.27
    USD/Kg (0.577 USD/lb) * value of chilean liners market is approx. 29.4 million USD per year.



                                                                     MILL LINERS MARKET

       LINERS         Liner-type                Lifters                Liners               Grates, o.             Armours              Ar. (rem)            TOTAL
       SAG            Kg                     5.964.272                 3.697.293            1.874.302  6.299.937                            324.689 18.160.493 77,3%
          781.000 tpd Kg /ton                    0,021                     0,013                0,007      0,022                              0,001      0,064
          74,9%       %                        32,84%                    20,36%               10,32%     34,69%                              1,79%       100%
       Tradicional    Kg                                                                               5.259.650                             71.723 5.331.373 22,7%
          262.000 tpd Kg /ton                                                                              0,055                              0,001      0,056
          25,1%       %                                                                                  98,65%                              1,35%       100%
       S+T            Kg                     5.964.272                 3.697.293            1.874.302 11.559.587                            396.412 23.491.866 100%
          1043.000 tpdKg /ton                    0,016                     0,010                0,005      0,030                              0,001      0,062
          100%        %                        25,39%                    15,74%                7,98%     49,21%                              1,69%       100%

                       P (USD/Kg)                 1,27                      1,27                 1,27       1,27                               1,27       1,27
                       Value (USD)           7.574.626                 4.695.562            2.380.364 14.680.675                            503.443 29.834.670
       Source: Interviews




                                   *According persons f rom Alecmetal and Aceros Chile, unitary price is similar f or majority of liners,
                                                                                     being weight the most relevant variable by f ar

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                                                       contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
FINAL REPORT - CHILE


LINERS / MARKET SIZE :


Learnings:


    Demand comes principally from SAG-type plants (77,3% in weight)


    Size of market is 23,5 k MT/year (51.7 million lb/year)


    Market value is 29,4 million USD /year




                                                                    A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS
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                                                        contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
INDEX


  -Ad-hoc Market Research Objectives
  -Ad-hoc Market Research Methodology
  -Final Report :
                CHILE                                                                   PERU
                Overview                                                                Overview
                Small Grinding Media                                                    Small Grinding Media
                      Imports&exports                                                         Imports&exports
                      Local Production                                                        Local Production
                      Price                                                                   Price
                      Market size                                                             Market size
                Mill Liners                                                             Mill Liners
                       Imports&exports                                                         Imports&exports
                       Local Production                                                        Local Production
                       Price                                                                   Price
                       Market size                                                             Market size
                Markets in 2010                                                         Markets in 2010
                Conclusions                                                             Conclusions




                                                                                                                                                         25
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                                                   contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
FINAL REPORT

CHILEAN BALLS & LINERS MARKETS IN 2010

SCENARY 1 (more probable)

World copper demand stay on actual level, the country preserve its economical and political estability and, as economists
projects, chilean GDP grow a 5% per year.
Driving force for balls and liners markets –the evolution of copper proccessing Concentrators- projects strong as there is a
Solid set of expansions and new projects in course. Regarding type of Concentrators to be expanded or installed, trend is to
more SAG-circuits as majority of expansions and sulphur-based projects consider that scheme; a rather good example is
Chuquicamata (now Codelco Norte) that will expand by increasing its SAG plant (see Codelco Norte Master Plan in Annex).

Balls and liners‟s consumption will growth in direct proportion with chilean production of copper concentrates. And according
the Corporación Chilena del Cobre, Cochilco, in 2010 Concentrators will be grinding 1230 k MTPD instead of actual 1043 k
MTPD. An increase of 18%.

Then, both balls and liners markets will growth in aproximately a 18% in the period and, as SAG-type Concentrators include
at least one regrinding stage, the small balls (1” to 1 ½” ) consumption will also growth a 18%.


SCENARY 2 (less probable)

Internacional demand for copper falls and local Concentrators diminish its actual grinding rates. Both expansions and new
decide to wait for better times.

Again, both balls and liners markets will show the same tendency as Concentrators‟s milling rates.


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                                                                                                                                                                26
INDEX


  -Ad-hoc Market Research Objectives
  -Ad-hoc Market Research Methodology
  -Final Report :
                CHILE                                                                   PERU
                Overview                                                                Overview
                Small Grinding Media                                                    Small Grinding Media
                      Imports&exports                                                         Imports&exports
                      Local Production                                                        Local Production
                      Price                                                                   Price
                      Market size                                                             Market size
                Mill Liners                                                             Mill Liners
                       Imports&exports                                                         Imports&exports
                       Local Production                                                        Local Production
                       Price                                                                   Price
                       Market size                                                             Market size
                Markets in 2010                                                         Markets in 2010
                Conclusions                                                             Conclusions




                                                                                                                                                         27
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                                                   contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
FINAL REPORT - CHILE
CONCLUSIONS

BALLS:                                                                                  LINERS:

   In 2005, size of balls market was 583.7                                                         In 2005, size of liners market was 51.8
    million lb (184 USD million).                                                                    million lb (30 USD million).

    Size of small grinding media segment                                                             Liners for SAG-type Plants, representing a
    was 28.4 million lb (21 USD million), a 5%                                                       77% of total mill liners consumption.
    of total.
                                                                                                     Average price for total liners market was
    And average price for total balls market                                                         1.25 USD/Kg (0.577 USD/lb) .
    was 0.316 USD/lb and 0.341 USD/lb in
    the case of small grinding media                                                                Projection, is liners market will grow a 18%
    segment.                                                                                         aprox. between 2005 and 2010.

   Projection, is total market and small
    grinding media segment will grow a 18%
    between 2005 and 2010.




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                                                      contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
INDEX


  -Ad-hoc Market Research Objectives
  -Ad-hoc Market Research Methodology
  -Final Report :
                CHILE                                                                   PERU
                Overview                                                                Overview
                Small Grinding Media                                                    Small Grinding Media
                      Imports&exports                                                         Imports&exports
                      Local Production                                                        Local Production
                      Price                                                                   Price
                      Market size                                                             Market size
                Mill Liners                                                             Mill Liners
                       Imports&exports                                                         Imports&exports
                       Local Production                                                        Local Production
                       Price                                                                   Price
                       Market size                                                             Market size
                Markets in 2010                                                         Markets in 2010
                Conclusions                                                             Conclusions




                                                                                                                                                         29
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                                                   contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
FINAL REPORT - PERU


MINING OVERVIEW :

   Peru is an important producer of several mining products, but its mining represents in total only a
    4% of 68 USD Billion peruvian PIB (versus the 8% of a 90 USD Billion PIB in the case of Chile).

       PRODUCCION METALIC ORES, 2004
    MINERAL           TON FINES IN WORLD
    ZINC                1.300.000       3º                                                          Big operators are just a few.
    COPPER                935.000       5º
    LEAD                  300.000       4º                                                              COPPER PRODUCTION                                    MOLY PRODUCTION
    TIN                    40.000       2º                                                            Operator        Share %                             Operator        Share %
    MOLY                    8.900       4º                                                            Southern Copper    38%                              Southern Copper    75%
    SILVER                  2.800       2º                                                            Antamina           36%                              Antamina           25%
    GOLD                      200       8º                                                            Tintaya            11%
    Source: Ministerio de Minería del Perú                                                            Cº Verde             9%
                                                                                                      Otros                6%
                                                                                                      Total             100%                              Total             100%

                                                                                                          ZINC PRODUCTION                                    GOLD PRODUCTION
   96% of total production come from                                                                 Operator        Share %                             Operator      Share %
    big operations (Gran Mineria).                                                                    Antamina           19%                              Yanacocha        52%
                                                                                                      Volcan             19%                              Barrick          12%
        CONCENTRATION LEVEL
    SEGMENT                   %                                                                       Quenuales          15%                              Otros            36%
    GRAN MINERÍA            96%                                                                       Milpo                8%
    MEDIANA                  4%                                                                       Otros              39%
    LEAD                     0%                                                                       Total             100%                              Total             100%
    TIN                   100%
                                                                                                      Source: Ministerio de Minería del Perú
    Source: Ministerio de Minería del Perú


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FINAL REPORT - PERU


MINING OVERVIEW :                                                                                                                  PLANTS INVENTORY
                                                                                                                                       Operation
   Actually, major peruvian operators grind 264,3 k                                                      Operator                  Concentrator Plant-type                   Milling MTPD
    MTPD of copper, moly, zinc and lead ores.                                                   Antamina                            Yanacancha                SAG                 80.000
                                                                                                Southern                            Cuajone                   Tradicional         87.000
    Distribution per plant-type, is:                                                            Southern                            Toquepala                 Tradicional         60.000
          70% in Tradicional plants                                                            Tintaya                             Tintaya                   Tradicional         15.000
                                                                                                Volcán                              Paragsha                  Tradicional          8.500
          30% in a SAG plant                                                                   Volcán                              Other units               Tradicional          4.500
                                                                                                Quenuales                           Casapalca                 Tradicional          2.700
   Antamina‟s 80 k MTPD plant is the only SAG                                                  Quenuales                           Iscaycruz                 Tradicional          2.600
    circuit operating in Peru and produces 36% of                                               Milpo                               El Porvenir               Tradicional          4.000
    total Cu, 75% of total Mo and 19% of total Zn.                                              Total                                                                            264.300
                                                                                                CºVerde project*                    Cerro Verde               Tradicional        108.000
                                                                                                Total, MTPD                                                                      372.300
   Phelps Dodge‟s 108 k MTPD Cerro Verde project
    will start-up in 2007, total peruvian grinding will                                         * Start-up in 2007
    grows up to 372.3 k MTPD and distribution per                                               Source: Operators, Ministerio de Minería del Peru
    plant-type, will pass to:
           79% in Tradicional plants
                                                                                                                                    PLANTS INVENTORY
           21% in a SAG plant
                                                                                                                                          2005                              2007 *
                                                                                                        Type                                   MTPD                            MTPD
                                                                                                               nº                                    nº
    Details, in Annex.                                                                           Tradicional   11                       184.300 70% 12                      292.300 79%
                                                                                                 SAG           1                         80.000 30% 1                        80.000 21%
                                                                                                 Total         12                       264.300 100% 13                     372.300 100%
                                                                                                 *With Cerro Verde

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FINAL REPORT - PERU


MINING OVERVIEW :
     Peruvian Concentrators operate 132 mills. With Cerro
      Verde, number of mills will be 144, 107 (74%) in primary &                                                                                         MILLS INVENTORY
      secondary grinding stages and 37 (26%) in regrinding                                                                      Prim&Sec Grinding                     Regrind & Moly
                                                                                                                                                                                        Total
      stages.                                                                                                                SAG Rolls Bars      Balls                Balls     Vert.
                                                                                                                              1     4    14       88                   28        9        144
                                                                                                                                      107                                    37           144
     Concentrators used to regrind with balls mills; however,                                                                        74%                                   26%         100%
      Antamina already went to verticals and Cerro Verde will
      install verticals too.
                                                                                   MILLS INVENTORY
                                          Operation                                                    Prim&Sec Grinding                                    Regrind&Moly
                   Operator            Concentrator Plant-type                        Milling MTPD SAG Rolls Bars Balls                                     Balls   Vert.   Total
                                                                                                   Mills Mills Mills Mills                                  Mills   Mills
             Antamina             Yanacancha       SAG                                      80.000  1                     3                                          5        9
             Southern             Cuajone          Tradicional                              87.000                       10                                  4       1        15
             Southern             Toquepala        Tradicional                              60.000                8      25                                  8                41
             Tintaya              Tintaya          Tradicional                              15.000                        3                                  2                5
             Volcán               Paragsha         Tradicional                               8.500                3       5                                  3                11
             Volcán               Other units      Tradicional                               4.500                3      31                                  8                42
             Quenuales            Casapalca*       Tradicional                               2.700                                                                            0
             Quenuales            Iscaycruz        Tradicional                               2.600                        3                                    1              4
             Milpo                El Porvenir      Tradicional                               4.000                        4                                    1              5
             Total                                                                         264.300  1       0    14      84                                   27     6       132
             CºVerde project**    Cerro Verde      Tradicional                             108.000          4             4                                    1     3        12
             Total, MTPD                                                                   372.300  1       4    14      88                                   28     9       144
             * Pending data
             ** Start-up in 2007
                                                           A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS
                                                                                                                                                                                                32
             Source: Operators, Ministerio de Mineria del Peru    (antes chilebras.com)
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                                                              contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
FINAL REPORT - PERU


MINING OVERVIEW :

     1250 and 1000 hp vertical mills
                                                                                                                          Vertical Mills
      are the more frequently used.
                                                            Antamina                                                    Mill-type                   Q          HP        Size
      There is no addicional information                    Concentrator                  Yanacancha                    Sag                         1          27.000   38X21'
      about peruvian vertical mills, but                    Circuit-type                  SAG                           Balls                       3          15.000   24x36'
      Metso Vertimills were mentioned                       Capacity                      80 k tpd                      Vertical                    2           1.250
                                                                                                                        Vertical                    2           1.000
      as equipments Cerro Verde would                                                                                   Vertical                    1             100
      surely use.
                                                            Cerro Verde Project                                             Type                    Q          HP        Size
                                                            Concentrator  Cerro Verde                                   Balls                       4          16.000   24x35'
                                                            Circuit-type  Tradicional                                   Rolls                       4           6.700
                                                            Capacity      108 k tpd                                     Vertical                    3           1.250




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                                                         contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
INDEX


  -Ad-hoc Market Research Objectives
  -Ad-hoc Market Research Methodology
  -Final Report :
                CHILE                                                                   PERU
                Overview                                                                Overview
                Small Grinding Media                                                    Small Grinding Media
                      Imports&exports                                                         Imports&exports
                      Local Production                                                        Local Production
                      Price                                                                   Price
                      Market size                                                             Market size
                Mill Liners                                                             Mill Liners
                       Imports&exports                                                         Imports&exports
                       Local Production                                                        Local Production
                       Price                                                                   Price
                       Market size                                                             Market size
                Markets in 2010                                                         Markets in 2010
                Conclusions                                                             Conclusions




                                                                                                                                                         34
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                                                                          (antes chilebras.com)
                    Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente
                                                   contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
FINAL REPORT - PERU


SMALL GM / IMPORTS & EXPORTS :

   Peru exports 61.3 million pounds/year *.                                                                               PERUVIAN IMPORTS AND EXPORTS PER YEAR
                                                                                                                          Flow                          Datos
                                                                                                                          Imports          Weight in Lb        7.637.969
    FOB export prices being higher for 5”                                                                                                  T. Cif (US$)        2.129.506
    and 1” than for 3”. Again, a „price smile‟.                                                                                            Cif USD/Lb              0,279
                                                                                                                          Exports          Weight in Lb       61.284.922
                                                                                                                                           T. Fob (US$)       16.608.549
   Peru imports 7.6 million pounds/year *.                                                                                                Fob USD/Lb              0,271
                                                                                                                          Source: CHILEBRAS, based on official trade information
           77% cast (coming from China)
                                                                                                                                       PRICE IMPORTED / EXPORTED GM (USD/LB)
           23% forged (c. from Chile)                                                                         PERU
                                                                                                                                Size :              5"          3"      1"         Total
                                                                                                                              Imp cif               -           -     0,226        0,257
                                                                                                           CAST
    CIF import price for forged balls is 0.335                                                                                Exp fob               -         0,238   0,203        0,240
    USD/lb and for cast balls is 0.257                                                                                        Imp cif               -           -     0,336        0,335
                                                                                                           FORGED
                                                                                                                              Exp fob             0,335       0,291   0,418        0,296
    USD/lb.                                                                                                Source: CHILEBRAS, based on official trade information




    * Details in Annex




                                                                    A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS
                                                                                                                                                                                           35
                                                                               (antes chilebras.com)
                         Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente
                                                        contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
(C) Business Potential Analysis, Light
(C) Business Potential Analysis, Light
(C) Business Potential Analysis, Light
(C) Business Potential Analysis, Light
(C) Business Potential Analysis, Light
(C) Business Potential Analysis, Light
(C) Business Potential Analysis, Light
(C) Business Potential Analysis, Light
(C) Business Potential Analysis, Light
(C) Business Potential Analysis, Light
(C) Business Potential Analysis, Light
(C) Business Potential Analysis, Light
(C) Business Potential Analysis, Light
(C) Business Potential Analysis, Light
(C) Business Potential Analysis, Light
(C) Business Potential Analysis, Light
(C) Business Potential Analysis, Light
(C) Business Potential Analysis, Light

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(C) Business Potential Analysis, Light

  • 1. AD HOC MARKET RESEARCH A.Valladares & Asociados MARKET SIZE AND PROJECTIONS FOR MILL LINERS AND SMALL GRINDING MEDIA IN CHILE & PERU SAMPLE s
  • 2. IMPORTANT Contents: The period of reserve for this study ended over three years ago. In any case, for added protection of original client's interest, all references to its name and purposes in relation to the target markets have been omitted. Rights of the model study: Our intellectual property rights on this and other models of our Ad-hoc Markets Analysis are protected by Chilean Law No. 17,336 and international law. Copy or use without authorization is subject to sanctions. Contact: Alejandro Valladares Founder & Senior Analyst at A.Valladares&Asociados Mobile: +569 9651 4651 e-Mail: avalladares@chilebras.com Skype: alejandro_valladares A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS (antes chilebras.com) Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
  • 3. Ad-hoc MARKET RESEARCH OBJECTIVES  Stage 1: Analyse the market sizes and pricing practices corresponding to imported mill liners and small grinding media for the mining industry in Chile and Peru.  Stage 2: Investigate local producers in terms of capacity, sales and prices per product line, as well as exports flows and end user‟s requirements of liners and small grinding media, concluding the pricing and total market size in the last period of 12 months and a projection for 2010, in Chile and Peru. A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS (antes chilebras.com) 4 Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
  • 4. Ad-hoc MARKET RESEARCH METHODOLOGY PROD. CAPACITY, PROD. CAPACITY, SALES AND PRICES SALES AND PRICES FOR MILL LINERS FOR SMALL G. MEDIA MAIN LOCAL PRODUCERS MILL LINERS INVENTORY OF IMPORTS & MINING MILLS, PER EXPORTS TRADE MILL TYPE / E. USER ANALYSIS MARKET END USERS SMALL G. MEDIA INVENTORY OF IMPORTS & NEW PROJECTS EXPORTS PER END USER CLIENT UNDERSTANDING UNDERSTANDING CLIENT’S CLIENT’S MILL LINERS GRINDING MEDIA A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS 5 (antes chilebras.com) Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
  • 5. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Synthesis: Conclusions CHILE PERU . . BALLS: BALLS:  In 2005, size of balls market was 583.7  In 2005, size of balls market was million lb (184 USD million). Size of small 150,900,000 lb (41,3 USD million). Size of grinding media segment was 28.4 million lb small grinding media segment was (21 USD million), a 5% of total. 16,500,000 lb (11 USD million), 11% o total.  Projection: Total market and small grinding  Projection: Total market and small grinding media segment will grow a 18% between media segment will grow a 41% between 2005 and 2010. 2005 and 2010. LINERS: LINERS:  In 2005, size of liners market was 51.8  In 2005, size of liners market was million lb (30 USD million). 12,300,000 lb (6.2 USD million). Liners for SAG-type Plants, representing a Liners for Tradicional-type Plants, 77% of total mill liners consumption. representing a 67% of total consumption.  Projection: Liners‟ market will grow a 18%  Projection: Liners market will grow a 41% aprox. between 2005 and 2010. between 2005 and 2010. A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS (antes chilebras.com) Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
  • 6. INDEX -Ad-hoc Market Research Objectives -Ad-hoc Market Research Methodology -Final Report : CHILE PERU Overview Overview Small Grinding Media Small Grinding Media Imports&exports Imports&exports Local Production Local Production Price Price Market size Market size Mill Liners Mill Liners Imports&exports Imports&exports Local Production Local Production Price Price Market size Market size Markets in 2010 Markets in 2010 Conclusions Conclusions 6 A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS (antes chilebras.com) Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
  • 7. FINAL REPORT - CHILE MINING OVERVIEW:  Chilean mining is characterized by very big operations ( called Gran Mineria ) where Copper is the dominant ore. PRODUCCION IN 2004 Mineral MT* f ines Comments Copper total 5.412.500 100% gran minería 5.217.901 90% other 194.599 10% Gold 40 70% obtained as by-product in copper ores processing Silver 1.360 100% obtained as by-product in copper and gold processing Molibdeno 41.883 100% obtained as by-product in copper ores processing Lead 2.286 One producer (Toqui) with two ball mills only Mn (ore) 25.801 One producer (Atacama) with two ball mills only Zinc 27.635 One producer (Toqui) with two ball mills only Iron 8.003.500 One producer (CMP) with three ball mills only * Metric Tons Source: Anuario Estadístico 2004, COCHILCO A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS 7 (antes chilebras.com) Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
  • 8. FINAL REPORT - CHILE CHILEAN MINING OVERVIEW: Operation Ore % % Milling & Lixiviation Flotation (*)  There are 22 big operations, treating ore via El Abra Copper 100% - Zaldívar Copper 100% - lixiviation and/or through milling and flotation Cerro Colorado Copper 100% - plants also called Concentrators. El Tesoro Copper 100% - Quebrada Blanca Copper 100% - Lomas Bayas Copper 100% -  Concentrators are 19, as Michilla-Lince Copper 100% -  Codelco Norte has 3 Manto Verde Copper 100% - Carmen de And. Copper 100% .  Escondida, Codelco Andina, Codelco Codelco Norte (*) Copper 40% 60% El Teniente and El Soldado have 2 Escondida (**) Copper 15% 85% each Collahuasi Copper 20% 80% Mantos Blancos Copper 50% 50% Salvador Copper 30% 70% Teniente (**) Copper - 100% Pelambres Copper - 100% Andina (**) Copper - 100% Candelaria Copper - 100% Bronces Copper - 100% Soldado (**) Copper - 100% Mantos de Oro (***) Gold 100% El Peñón (***) Gold 100% (*) Operation has 3 Concentrators (**) Operation has 2 Concentrators (***) Operation includes also gravity concentration stages Sources : Operators & Anuario Estadístico 2004 COCHILCO A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS 8 (antes chilebras.com) Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
  • 9. FINAL REPORT - CHILE CHILEAN MINING OVERVIEW: CONCENTRATOR Proccesed Mineral Name Type MT/Day MT/Month  SAG Concentrators process 75% of ores while Tradicional Concentrators Codelco - Chuquicamata SAG 70.000 2.100.000 responds by rest of 25% Tradicional (two) 100.000 3.000.000 Codelco - El Teniente SAG 50.000 1.500.000 Tradicional 75.000 2.250.000 SAG MTPD* 781000 75% Codelco - Andina SAG 35.000 1.050.000 Trad MTPD 262000 25% Tradicional 35.000 1.050.000 Total MTPD 1043000 100% El Soldado SAG 12.000 360.000 Tradicional 7.000 210.000 Escondida- Los Colorados SAG 120.000 3.600.000  Older copper operations – all Codelco Escondida- Laguna Seca SAG 105.000 3.150.000 one‟s, for example- show tradicional Collahuasi SAG 125.000 3.750.000 plants togheter with SAG plants. But Pelambres SAG 120.000 3.600.000 Candelaria SAG 70.000 2.100.000 newer operations use SAG schemes Los Bronces SAG 55.000 1.650.000 only. Mantos de Oro SAG 17.000 510.000 El Peñón SAG 2.000 60.000 Codelco - Salvador Tradicional 34.000 1.020.000  Most Concentrators have a regrinding Mantos Blancos Tradicional 11.000 330.000 stage and some of them an additional Monthly Totals - SAG Concentrators 781.000 23.430.000 grinding and flotation plant for Moly. Monthly Totals - Trad Concentrators 262.000 7.860.000 Monthly Totals - Sag + Tradicional 1.043.000 31.290.000 Plant availability, estimated average 95% MTPD: Metric Tons Per Day Annual Totals, after availability 356.706.000 Source : Operators A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS 9 (antes chilebras.com) Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
  • 10. FINAL REPORT - CHILE CHILEAN MINING OVERVIEW: MILLS INVENTORY Operation Prim&Sec Grinding Regrind&Moly Name Type SAG Bars Mills Balls Mills Balls Mills Vertical Total  Concentrators operate 265 Mills Mills mills, 211 (80%) in primary & Chuquicamata* SAG and Tradicional 3 16 34 15 68 secondary grinding and 54 El Teniente* SAG and Tradicional 2 22 44 4 3 75 (20%) in regrinding and /or Andina* SAG and Tradicional 1 3 11 2 17 El Soldado SAG and Tradicional 1 4 6 2 13 molybdenum plants. Escondida LC SAG 3 7 3 13 Escondida LS SAG 1 3 4 8  Mills used to regrind and moly, Collahuasi SAG 3 4 5 12 comprises 33 balls mills and 21 Los Pelambres SAG 2 4 5 11 Candelaria SAG 2 4 1 1 8 vertical mills. This, associated Los Bronces SAG 2 3 3 8 with newer plants like as Mantos de Oro SAG 1 2 1 4 Escondida Los Pelambres and El Peñón SAG 1 3 4 El Salvador* Tradicional 5 9 4 18 Collahuasi. Mantos Blancos Tradicional 5 1 6 Total, units 22 50 139 33 21 265  Codelco‟s Divisions explain a Total, % *A Division of Codelco 8% 19% 52% 12% 8% 100% 67% of mills inventory. Its Source : Operators CODELCO „share‟ being lower in Prim&Sec Grinding Regrind&Mol SAG and Verticals. SAG Bars Balls Balls Vert. Total Mills Mills Mills Mills Mills Total units 22 50 139 33 21 265 Codelco 6 46 98 25 3 178 Other 16 4 41 8 18 87 % codelco 27% 92% 71% 76% 14% 67% % other 73% 8% 29% 24% 86% 33% Source : Operators A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS 10 (antes chilebras.com) Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
  • 11. INDEX -Ad-hoc Market Research Objectives -Ad-hoc Market Research Methodology -Final Report : CHILE PERU Overview Overview Small Grinding Media Small Grinding Media Imports&exports Imports&exports Local Production Local Production Price Price Market size Market size Mill Liners Mill Liners Imports&exports Imports&exports Local Production Local Production Price Price Market size Market size Markets in 2010 Markets in 2010 Conclusions Conclusions 11 A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS (antes chilebras.com) Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
  • 12. FINAL REPORT - CHILE SMALL GM / IMPORTS & EXPORTS :  Chile imports 50 million pounds/year CHILEAN IMPORTS AND EXPORTS PER YEAR  53% cast and 47% forged Flow Datos Total  94% of total coming from Peru IMP Weight in Lb 50.410.173 T. Fob (US$) 14.156.202  Chile exports 122 million pounds/year Fob USD/Lb 0,281 EXP Weight in Lb 122.404.739  6 % cast and 94% forged T. Fob (US$) 38.384.149 Fob USD/Lb 0,314  87% of total going to Argentine and Brazil Source: CHILEBRAS.COM based on peruvian and chilean official trade information  Price of forged GM is higher than cast GM in 10% when imported and 16% PRICE OF IMPORTED / EXPORTED GM (USD/LB) when exported CHILE Size : 5" 3" 1" Total Imp cif - 0,256 0,507 0,285 CAST Exp fob 0,257 0,276 - 0,279  The import as well as export prices Imp cif 0,393 0,309 - 0,309 show in general higher values in the FORGED Exp fob 0,320 0,281 0,329 0,312 extreme sizes (1” and 5”) versus middle size (3”). A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS 12 (antes chilebras.com) Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
  • 13. FINAL REPORT - CHILE SMALL GM / LOCAL LOCAL PRODUCTION OF GRINDING MEDIA ( k Lb / year) PRODUCTION: Player Capacity Production in Local Sales Imports Exports Local share 2004  Key players in Chile are: Molycop Molycop 770.925 462.555 373.357 23.480 112.678 69% (forged balls), Proacer (cast balls) Proacer 132.159 110.132 105.328 2.064 6.868 19% and local filial of spanish Santa Ana Sabo 88.106 66.079 62.921 535 3.694 12% de Bolueta-Sabo (forged). Forged balls 859.031 528.634 436.278 24.015 116.372 81%  Leader, is Molycop with a local Cast balls 132.159 110.132 105.328 2.064 6.868 19% Total 991.189 638.767 541.606 26.079 123.240 100% market share estimated in 69%, the highest perceived product quality Sources: Interviews and secondary data (corporative reports and news) and a services portfolio very appreciatted by professionals. LOCAL PRODUCTION OF GRINDING MEDIA - SIZES (inch)  Forged balls explain a 81% of local Player Production Range Main Sizes * consumption and cast balls a 19%. max size min size Sag mills Ball mills Regrinding Molycop 6" 1" 5" 3" 1 1/4"  Balls sizes that explain over an 80% Proacer 3" 1" 5" 3" 1" of local consumption are: Sabo 6" 1 1/4" 5" 3" 1 1/4" *Sizes that concentrate in the order of 80% of total productiom  5” for SAG mills Sources: Interviews and secondary data (corporative reports and news)  3” for bigger Balls mills, and  1 to 1 ½” for Regrinding mills. A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS 13 (antes chilebras.com) Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
  • 14. FINAL REPORT - CHILE SMALL GM / PRICES  USD 0.700 kg (0.318 /lb) was the LOCAL PROD. OF GM - PRICES (USD /lb) more frequently mentioned price Player Price of main sizes Market Price * between interwiewed persons, as 5" 3" 1" ( average ) being the actual market average, Molycop 0,341 0,318 0,363 aproximately. Proacer - 0,286 0,318 0,318 Sabo not info. not info. not info. * When asked for an average price of balls, everybody mentioned USD 700 per ton  Regarding the difference between Sources: Interviews prices of cast and forged balls, ranges is 10% to 15%.  And there is also coincidence into describe prices as being higher in bigger and smaller balls, situation mentioned as „ the price smile‟. A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS 14 (antes chilebras.com) Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
  • 15. FINAL REPORT - CHILE SMALL GM / END USERS  While a convencional milling circuit consume 0,558 Kg/MT (1.229 lb/MT) of 3” and 1 ¼” balls, a SAG circuit consume 0.742 Kg/ton (1.634 lb/MT) of 5”, 3” and 1 ½” balls.  Following table opens the information gathered from local operators by plant type and ball size. It shows that, in average, unitary mill balls consumption is 0,696 Kg/MT (1,533 lb/MT) and size of chilean balls market is 265,0 k MT per year (583.8 million lb /year).  Consumption of small grinding balls is 12,96 k MT (28.5 million lb) per year. MILL BALLS MARKET Plants Ball Size 5" 3" 1 - 1 1/2 " Total SAG Kg 71.266.250 128.207.984 12.172.276 211.646.509 79,9% 781.000 MTPD Kg /MT 0,250 0,450 0,043 0,742 74,9% % 33,67% 60,58% 5,75% 100% Tradicional Kg 52.596.500 788.948 53.385.448 20,1% 262.000 MTPD Kg /MT 0,550 0,008 0,558 25,1% % 98,52% 1,48% 100% S+T Kg 71.266.250 180.804.484 12.961.223 265.031.957 100,0% 1043.000MTPD Kg /MT (av.) 0,187 0,475 0,034 0,696 100% % 26,89% 68,22% 4,89% 100% Source: Operators A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS 15 (antes chilebras.com) Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
  • 16. FINAL REPORT - CHILE SMALL GM / END USERS  Following table opens the information gathered from local operators by plant, size and price. It shows that, balls price is 0,695 USD/Kg (0.316 USD/lb) and value of chilean balls market is approx. 184,3 million USD per year.  And as price of small balls is 0,750 USD/Kg (0.341 USD/lb), value of segment is approx. 9,7 million USD per year. MILL BALLS MARKET Plants Ball Size 5" 3" 1 - 1 1/2 " Total SAG Kg 71.266.250 128.207.984 12.172.276 211.646.509 79,9% 781.000 tpd Kg /ton 0,250 0,450 0,043 0,742 74,9% % 33,67% 60,58% 5,75% 100% Tradicional Kg 52.596.500 788.948 53.385.448 20,1% 262.000 tpd Kg /ton 0,550 0,008 0,558 25,1% % 98,52% 1,48% 100% S+T Kg 71.266.250 180.804.484 12.961.223 265.031.957 100,0% 1043.000 tpdKg /ton (av.) 0,187 0,475 0,034 0,696 100% % 26,89% 68,22% 4,89% 100% Price (Codelco) P (USD/Kg) 0,800 0,650 0,750 0,695 Market in USD Value(USD) 57.013.000 117.522.914 9.720.917 184.256.832 Source: Interviews A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS 16 (antes chilebras.com) Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
  • 17. FINAL REPORT - CHILE SMALL GM / MARKET SIZE : Learnings:  Small grinding media used by mining operators, range from 1” to 1 ½”  Demand comes from regrinding and moly plants  Size of segment is 13 k MT (28.5 million lb) /year  And segment value is 9.7 million USD /year A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS 17 (antes chilebras.com) Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
  • 18. INDEX -Ad-hoc Market Research Objectives -Ad-hoc Market Research Methodology -Final Report : CHILE PERU Overview Overview Small Grinding Media Small Grinding Media Imports&exports Imports&exports Local Production Local Production Price Price Market size Market size Mill Liners Mill Liners Imports&exports Imports&exports Local Production Local Production Price Price Market size Market size Markets in 2010 Markets in 2010 Conclusions Conclusions 18 A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS (antes chilebras.com) Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
  • 19. FINAL REPORT - CHILE LINERS / IMPORTS & EXPORTS : CHILEAN IMPORTS AND EXPORTS PER YEAR  Chile imports 5.0 million pounds /year Flow Datos Total  equals FOB USD 4.7 million IMPORTS Fob USD 4.708.410  as u. price is USD/ lb 0.941 Weight, Lb 5.002.203 Fob USD / Lb 0,941  And exports 0.80 million pounds/year EXPORTS Fob USD 755.109  equals FOB USD 0.76 million Weight, Lb 795.880 Fob USD / Lb 0,949  as u. price is USD/ lb 0.949 Source: CHILEBRAS.COM based on official trade data A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS 19 (antes chilebras.com) Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
  • 20. FINAL REPORT - CHILE LINERS / LOCAL PRODUCTON :  Elecmetal, Talleres and Aceros Chile are the key players in this area. Market leader is Elecmetal+Talleres, with a market share estimated in 75%, -as from December 2003 Talleres is owned in a 60% by Elecmetal (40% remaining with Codelco).  According our information and assumptions, total local offer is in ther order of 22.500 ton (49.6 million lb) that represents 28.6 million USD per year. So, in this moment, the average price is 1.27 USD/Kg (0.577 USD/lb). MILL LINERS MARKET - LOCAL PLAYERS Company Item Total % Liners Liners Elecmetal Loc.Sales USD 34.200.000 40% 13.680.000 Capacity Kg 12.500.000 75% 9.375.000 Price, av. USD/Kg 1,46 Talleres Loc.Sales USD 19.400.000 40% 7.760.000 Capacity Kg 10.000.000 75% 7.500.000 Price, av. USD/Kg 1,03 Estimated market share of Elecmetal+Talleres, % 75% T. Players Loc.Sales USD 28.586.667 Capacity Kg 22.500.000 Price, av. USD/Kg 1,27 Sources: Interwiews and corporative data from players A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS 20 (antes chilebras.com) Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
  • 21. FINAL REPORT - CHILE LINERS / PRICES :  Elecmetal and Talleres are driving a price recovery process, trying to move the price average from USD/Kg 1,000 (USD/lb 0.45) to USD/Kg 1,000 (USD/lb 0.90). According to Aceros Chile, change is showing results as new business are closed now in or near the desired price level.  However, considering average market price is still in the order of 1.27 USD/Kg (0.577 USD/lb), this process appears to need more time to accomplish a full effect. In this scenary, an average unitary price for imported liners of USD/lb 0.94 seems very high for the moment as internal prices will match its new level when new contracts impact real dispatch.  Regarding pricing practices, players mentioned they actual process will probably give marginal as steel cost is principal driver and in Chile liner business is regulated by international evolution. They also mentioned that internal prices cann‟t grow over international one‟s as most mining operators are multinational players and chilean economy is very open to imports. A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS 21 (antes chilebras.com) Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
  • 22. FINAL REPORT - CHILE LINERS / END USERS  Unitary consumption of liners is 0,064 Kg/MT (0.141 lb/MT) in SAG and 0,056 Kg/MT (0.123 lb/MT) in Tradicional circuits, meaning a difference of just a 14%. However, as they grind 74,9% of total ores, a 77,3% of total liners consumption comes from SAG circuits. Tradicional circuits explain rest of 22,7%.  As ball mills participate in SAG and Tradicional circuits, highest consumption correspond to armours with a 49%. Then, come SAG Lifters (25%) and Liners (16%).  Following table opens the information gathered from local operators by plant type and liner type. It shows that, in average, mill liner consumption is 0,062 Kg/MT (0.137 lb/MT) and size of chilean liners market is approx. 23,5 k MT per year (51.7 million lb/year). MILL LINERS MARKET LINERS Liner-type Lifters Liners Grates, o. Arm ours Ar. (rem ) TOTAL SAG Kg 5.964.272 3.697.293 1.874.302 6.299.937 324.689 18.160.493 77,3% 781.000 MTPD Kg /ton 0,021 0,013 0,007 0,022 0,001 0,064 74,9% % 32,84% 20,36% 10,32% 34,69% 1,79% 100% Tradicional Kg 5.259.650 71.723 5.331.373 22,7% 262.000 MTPD Kg /ton 0,055 0,001 0,056 25,1% % 98,65% 1,35% 100% S+T Kg 5.964.272 3.697.293 1.874.302 11.559.587 396.412 23.491.866 100% 1043.000 MTPD Kg /ton 0,016 0,010 0,005 0,030 0,001 0,062 100% % 25,39% 15,74% 7,98% 49,21% 1,69% 100% Source: Interviews A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS 22 (antes chilebras.com) Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
  • 23. FINAL REPORT - CHILE LINERS / END USERS  Following table, opens the information gathered from local operators by plant-type, liner-type and price. It shows that as average liners‟s price is, in this moment, estimated in around 1.27 USD/Kg (0.577 USD/lb) * value of chilean liners market is approx. 29.4 million USD per year. MILL LINERS MARKET LINERS Liner-type Lifters Liners Grates, o. Armours Ar. (rem) TOTAL SAG Kg 5.964.272 3.697.293 1.874.302 6.299.937 324.689 18.160.493 77,3% 781.000 tpd Kg /ton 0,021 0,013 0,007 0,022 0,001 0,064 74,9% % 32,84% 20,36% 10,32% 34,69% 1,79% 100% Tradicional Kg 5.259.650 71.723 5.331.373 22,7% 262.000 tpd Kg /ton 0,055 0,001 0,056 25,1% % 98,65% 1,35% 100% S+T Kg 5.964.272 3.697.293 1.874.302 11.559.587 396.412 23.491.866 100% 1043.000 tpdKg /ton 0,016 0,010 0,005 0,030 0,001 0,062 100% % 25,39% 15,74% 7,98% 49,21% 1,69% 100% P (USD/Kg) 1,27 1,27 1,27 1,27 1,27 1,27 Value (USD) 7.574.626 4.695.562 2.380.364 14.680.675 503.443 29.834.670 Source: Interviews *According persons f rom Alecmetal and Aceros Chile, unitary price is similar f or majority of liners, being weight the most relevant variable by f ar A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS 23 (antes chilebras.com) Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
  • 24. FINAL REPORT - CHILE LINERS / MARKET SIZE : Learnings:  Demand comes principally from SAG-type plants (77,3% in weight)  Size of market is 23,5 k MT/year (51.7 million lb/year)  Market value is 29,4 million USD /year A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS 24 (antes chilebras.com) Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
  • 25. INDEX -Ad-hoc Market Research Objectives -Ad-hoc Market Research Methodology -Final Report : CHILE PERU Overview Overview Small Grinding Media Small Grinding Media Imports&exports Imports&exports Local Production Local Production Price Price Market size Market size Mill Liners Mill Liners Imports&exports Imports&exports Local Production Local Production Price Price Market size Market size Markets in 2010 Markets in 2010 Conclusions Conclusions 25 A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS (antes chilebras.com) Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
  • 26. FINAL REPORT CHILEAN BALLS & LINERS MARKETS IN 2010 SCENARY 1 (more probable) World copper demand stay on actual level, the country preserve its economical and political estability and, as economists projects, chilean GDP grow a 5% per year. Driving force for balls and liners markets –the evolution of copper proccessing Concentrators- projects strong as there is a Solid set of expansions and new projects in course. Regarding type of Concentrators to be expanded or installed, trend is to more SAG-circuits as majority of expansions and sulphur-based projects consider that scheme; a rather good example is Chuquicamata (now Codelco Norte) that will expand by increasing its SAG plant (see Codelco Norte Master Plan in Annex). Balls and liners‟s consumption will growth in direct proportion with chilean production of copper concentrates. And according the Corporación Chilena del Cobre, Cochilco, in 2010 Concentrators will be grinding 1230 k MTPD instead of actual 1043 k MTPD. An increase of 18%. Then, both balls and liners markets will growth in aproximately a 18% in the period and, as SAG-type Concentrators include at least one regrinding stage, the small balls (1” to 1 ½” ) consumption will also growth a 18%. SCENARY 2 (less probable) Internacional demand for copper falls and local Concentrators diminish its actual grinding rates. Both expansions and new decide to wait for better times. Again, both balls and liners markets will show the same tendency as Concentrators‟s milling rates. A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS (antes chilebras.com) Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com 26
  • 27. INDEX -Ad-hoc Market Research Objectives -Ad-hoc Market Research Methodology -Final Report : CHILE PERU Overview Overview Small Grinding Media Small Grinding Media Imports&exports Imports&exports Local Production Local Production Price Price Market size Market size Mill Liners Mill Liners Imports&exports Imports&exports Local Production Local Production Price Price Market size Market size Markets in 2010 Markets in 2010 Conclusions Conclusions 27 A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS (antes chilebras.com) Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
  • 28. FINAL REPORT - CHILE CONCLUSIONS BALLS: LINERS:  In 2005, size of balls market was 583.7  In 2005, size of liners market was 51.8 million lb (184 USD million). million lb (30 USD million). Size of small grinding media segment Liners for SAG-type Plants, representing a was 28.4 million lb (21 USD million), a 5% 77% of total mill liners consumption. of total. Average price for total liners market was And average price for total balls market 1.25 USD/Kg (0.577 USD/lb) . was 0.316 USD/lb and 0.341 USD/lb in the case of small grinding media  Projection, is liners market will grow a 18% segment. aprox. between 2005 and 2010.  Projection, is total market and small grinding media segment will grow a 18% between 2005 and 2010. A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS 28 (antes chilebras.com) Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
  • 29. INDEX -Ad-hoc Market Research Objectives -Ad-hoc Market Research Methodology -Final Report : CHILE PERU Overview Overview Small Grinding Media Small Grinding Media Imports&exports Imports&exports Local Production Local Production Price Price Market size Market size Mill Liners Mill Liners Imports&exports Imports&exports Local Production Local Production Price Price Market size Market size Markets in 2010 Markets in 2010 Conclusions Conclusions 29 A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS (antes chilebras.com) Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
  • 30. FINAL REPORT - PERU MINING OVERVIEW :  Peru is an important producer of several mining products, but its mining represents in total only a 4% of 68 USD Billion peruvian PIB (versus the 8% of a 90 USD Billion PIB in the case of Chile). PRODUCCION METALIC ORES, 2004 MINERAL TON FINES IN WORLD ZINC 1.300.000 3º  Big operators are just a few. COPPER 935.000 5º LEAD 300.000 4º COPPER PRODUCTION MOLY PRODUCTION TIN 40.000 2º Operator Share % Operator Share % MOLY 8.900 4º Southern Copper 38% Southern Copper 75% SILVER 2.800 2º Antamina 36% Antamina 25% GOLD 200 8º Tintaya 11% Source: Ministerio de Minería del Perú Cº Verde 9% Otros 6% Total 100% Total 100% ZINC PRODUCTION GOLD PRODUCTION  96% of total production come from Operator Share % Operator Share % big operations (Gran Mineria). Antamina 19% Yanacocha 52% Volcan 19% Barrick 12% CONCENTRATION LEVEL SEGMENT % Quenuales 15% Otros 36% GRAN MINERÍA 96% Milpo 8% MEDIANA 4% Otros 39% LEAD 0% Total 100% Total 100% TIN 100% Source: Ministerio de Minería del Perú Source: Ministerio de Minería del Perú A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS 30 (antes chilebras.com) Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
  • 31. FINAL REPORT - PERU MINING OVERVIEW : PLANTS INVENTORY Operation  Actually, major peruvian operators grind 264,3 k Operator Concentrator Plant-type Milling MTPD MTPD of copper, moly, zinc and lead ores. Antamina Yanacancha SAG 80.000 Southern Cuajone Tradicional 87.000 Distribution per plant-type, is: Southern Toquepala Tradicional 60.000  70% in Tradicional plants Tintaya Tintaya Tradicional 15.000 Volcán Paragsha Tradicional 8.500  30% in a SAG plant Volcán Other units Tradicional 4.500 Quenuales Casapalca Tradicional 2.700  Antamina‟s 80 k MTPD plant is the only SAG Quenuales Iscaycruz Tradicional 2.600 circuit operating in Peru and produces 36% of Milpo El Porvenir Tradicional 4.000 total Cu, 75% of total Mo and 19% of total Zn. Total 264.300 CºVerde project* Cerro Verde Tradicional 108.000 Total, MTPD 372.300  Phelps Dodge‟s 108 k MTPD Cerro Verde project will start-up in 2007, total peruvian grinding will * Start-up in 2007 grows up to 372.3 k MTPD and distribution per Source: Operators, Ministerio de Minería del Peru plant-type, will pass to:  79% in Tradicional plants PLANTS INVENTORY  21% in a SAG plant 2005 2007 * Type MTPD MTPD nº nº Details, in Annex. Tradicional 11 184.300 70% 12 292.300 79% SAG 1 80.000 30% 1 80.000 21% Total 12 264.300 100% 13 372.300 100% *With Cerro Verde A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS 31 (antes chilebras.com) Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
  • 32. FINAL REPORT - PERU MINING OVERVIEW :  Peruvian Concentrators operate 132 mills. With Cerro Verde, number of mills will be 144, 107 (74%) in primary & MILLS INVENTORY secondary grinding stages and 37 (26%) in regrinding Prim&Sec Grinding Regrind & Moly Total stages. SAG Rolls Bars Balls Balls Vert. 1 4 14 88 28 9 144 107 37 144  Concentrators used to regrind with balls mills; however, 74% 26% 100% Antamina already went to verticals and Cerro Verde will install verticals too. MILLS INVENTORY Operation Prim&Sec Grinding Regrind&Moly Operator Concentrator Plant-type Milling MTPD SAG Rolls Bars Balls Balls Vert. Total Mills Mills Mills Mills Mills Mills Antamina Yanacancha SAG 80.000 1 3 5 9 Southern Cuajone Tradicional 87.000 10 4 1 15 Southern Toquepala Tradicional 60.000 8 25 8 41 Tintaya Tintaya Tradicional 15.000 3 2 5 Volcán Paragsha Tradicional 8.500 3 5 3 11 Volcán Other units Tradicional 4.500 3 31 8 42 Quenuales Casapalca* Tradicional 2.700 0 Quenuales Iscaycruz Tradicional 2.600 3 1 4 Milpo El Porvenir Tradicional 4.000 4 1 5 Total 264.300 1 0 14 84 27 6 132 CºVerde project** Cerro Verde Tradicional 108.000 4 4 1 3 12 Total, MTPD 372.300 1 4 14 88 28 9 144 * Pending data ** Start-up in 2007 A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS 32 Source: Operators, Ministerio de Mineria del Peru (antes chilebras.com) Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
  • 33. FINAL REPORT - PERU MINING OVERVIEW :  1250 and 1000 hp vertical mills Vertical Mills are the more frequently used. Antamina Mill-type Q HP Size There is no addicional information Concentrator Yanacancha Sag 1 27.000 38X21' about peruvian vertical mills, but Circuit-type SAG Balls 3 15.000 24x36' Metso Vertimills were mentioned Capacity 80 k tpd Vertical 2 1.250 Vertical 2 1.000 as equipments Cerro Verde would Vertical 1 100 surely use. Cerro Verde Project Type Q HP Size Concentrator Cerro Verde Balls 4 16.000 24x35' Circuit-type Tradicional Rolls 4 6.700 Capacity 108 k tpd Vertical 3 1.250 A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS 33 (antes chilebras.com) Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
  • 34. INDEX -Ad-hoc Market Research Objectives -Ad-hoc Market Research Methodology -Final Report : CHILE PERU Overview Overview Small Grinding Media Small Grinding Media Imports&exports Imports&exports Local Production Local Production Price Price Market size Market size Mill Liners Mill Liners Imports&exports Imports&exports Local Production Local Production Price Price Market size Market size Markets in 2010 Markets in 2010 Conclusions Conclusions 34 A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS (antes chilebras.com) Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com
  • 35. FINAL REPORT - PERU SMALL GM / IMPORTS & EXPORTS :  Peru exports 61.3 million pounds/year *. PERUVIAN IMPORTS AND EXPORTS PER YEAR Flow Datos Imports Weight in Lb 7.637.969 FOB export prices being higher for 5” T. Cif (US$) 2.129.506 and 1” than for 3”. Again, a „price smile‟. Cif USD/Lb 0,279 Exports Weight in Lb 61.284.922 T. Fob (US$) 16.608.549  Peru imports 7.6 million pounds/year *. Fob USD/Lb 0,271 Source: CHILEBRAS, based on official trade information  77% cast (coming from China) PRICE IMPORTED / EXPORTED GM (USD/LB)  23% forged (c. from Chile) PERU Size : 5" 3" 1" Total Imp cif - - 0,226 0,257 CAST CIF import price for forged balls is 0.335 Exp fob - 0,238 0,203 0,240 USD/lb and for cast balls is 0.257 Imp cif - - 0,336 0,335 FORGED Exp fob 0,335 0,291 0,418 0,296 USD/lb. Source: CHILEBRAS, based on official trade information * Details in Annex A.VALLADARES & ASOCIADOS 35 (antes chilebras.com) Desde 1995 en Análisis Ad-hoc de Mercados en Chile y América del Sur - más de cien clientes internacionales atendidos exitosamente contactos: Alejandro Valladares, e-mail: avalladares@chilebras.com