This presentation documents the results of a two day workshop themed Brisbane 2048 in which a group of six designers, academics and planners addressed the threats posed by climate change. Convened by QCA Design Futures Lecturer, Dr Tony Fry, the seminar and workshop aim to communicate the scale of the problems we face in South East Queensland as a result of climate change while also engaging the community with appropriate and affirmative responses. The workshop addressed the large scale impacts and threats of climate change, including environmental refugees, fires, floods, storms and cyclones and disease patterns. The six participants in the workshop – Larry Vint, Petra Perolini, Will Odom, Coral Gillett, Nora Kinnunen and Linda Carroli – developed three types of responses: preparatory actions, protective technologies and affirmative sustainable actions. Convened by QCA Design Futures Lecturer, Dr Tony Fry, the seminar and workshop aim to communicate the scale of the problems we face in South East Queensland as a result of climate change while also engaging the community with appropriate and affirmative responses. Produced in October 2008 by workshop participants and Tony Fry.

1. Brisbane 2048
these times they are a changing
Master of Design Futures Program
Queensland College of Art

2. R
risks H
H
heat & fire
heat islanding
flash flooding
storm surges
cyclonic winds
hail
vector carried disease

3. 2048 concepts / two days + ten years
Urban Farming, incl roof gardens
Warning systems
Home protection
Risk code/ sign
Climate clothing
Retrofit guide
Cyclone washers
Environmental refugee profile
Community equipment stores
SES ODF climate defence org. +
Shade provision
Medical aid volunteers
Stormwater
Change of work patterns
External insulation
School curriculum
Urban firebreaks
Visual campaign
Barriers: mech eg levees
Infill model – plan for development
Protective core
Traffic: human powered
Science shops
Traffic: lightweight renewable
Emergency housing
Traffic: solar/ night delivery
Secure services
Traffic: walking lines
Decentred city
Traffic: car share (hire pools)
LAREN
River/ sea transport
Total transport system
Evaporative cooling using river water
Community hubs
Food: 20% city target (into urban
Urban resource management
farming)

4. risks / de-centered city
Definition ‘Decentred city’ is used in order to characterise City Business
District (CBD) as a heat island which is formed due to adsorption heat from
the thermal mass produced by the city.
City Business District (CBD) includes:
• Infrastructure
• Population
King George Square redevelopment; completion June 2009
www.brisbane.qld.gov.au/BCC:BASE::pc=PC_2072

5. de-centered city/ thermal mass
Causes:
• building materials
• building and street design
Result:
• heat islanding
• little day and night temperature difference
• a warming of 20 from 2048
• +100 temperature difference from outer suburbs and the city centre

6. Brisbane Square
www.construction-innovation.info/index.php?id=1028

7. de-centered city/ thermal mass
stage 1:
• money leaving
stage 2:
• rush of departures
• business closures
stage 3:
• poor move in

8. de-centered city/ thermal mass
stage 4:
• poor move out
• CBD becomes too uncomfortable
for the poor
stage 5:
• hyper neglect
• very undesirable place
flickr.com/photos/craigjewell/2185542104/
Abandoned Albion Flour Mill ,Brisbane

9. de-centered city/ thermal mass
stage 6:
• demolition
• city is getting flattened
stage 7:
• recolonise city in a climate adaptive
infrastructure.
flickr.com/photos/81021905@N00/427863618/
Bellevue Hotel demolished 20 April 1979

10. Tokyo
www.skyscrapercity.com/showthread.php?
t=2008

11. Johannesburg 2007
www.flickr.com/photos/15040225@N06/1568872956/in/set-72157602415317285/

12. Detroit 1958
mywebpage.netscape.com/urbandetroit1/vintage/1797.jpg

13. Detroit 2004
mywebpage.netscape.com/simcityfreak4/IMG_1376.jpg

14. Brisbane 1956
upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/7/70/Brisbane_seen_from_air.jpg

15. Brisbane 2006
commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Image:Brisbane_seen_from_air.jpg

16. Brisbane 2048
DISCUSSIONS – PROPOSALS – SCENARIOS

17. Brisbane 2048 / environmental refugees
3 potential ‘waves’ of environmental refugees:
1. internally displaced persons
(gradual movement)
2. externally displaced persons
(gradual movement)
3. mass influx
(caused by peak global event)

18. environmental refugees /
internally displaced persons
People Image – murray basin Built Env. Image – infill (informal density??)

19. environmental refugees /
internally displaced persons
Built Env. Image??

20. environmental refugees /
internally displaced persons
Built Env. Image??

21. environmental refugees /
externally displaced persons
People Image – pacific islands? Built Env. Image – infill (i.e. squatter)

22. environmental refugees /
externally displaced persons
People Image – pacific islands? Built Env. Image – infill (i.e. squatter)

23. environmental refugees /
externally displaced persons
People Image – pacific islands? Built Env. Image – infill (i.e. squatter)

24. environmental refugees / mass influx
People Image – pacific islands? Built Env. Image – infill (i.e. squatter)

25. environmental refugees / mass influx
People Image – pacific islands? Built Env. Image – infill (i.e. squatter)

26. environmental refugees / mass influx
People Image – pacific islands? Built Env. Image – infill (i.e. squatter)

27. Brisbane 2048 / environmental refugees
creating a profile of future environmental refugees
climatic adaption
knowledge/skills
economic
physical state
social integration

28. retrofitting

29. retrofitting
thermal mass

30. retrofitting
traffic congestion

31. retrofitting
empty shops

32. retrofitting
overhead power lines

33. retrofitting
buildings in bad repair

34. retrofitting
family home

35. retrofitting / internal core

36. retrofitting / internal core
what is available

37. retrofitting / internal core
what is available

38. retrofitting / internal core
for existing building

39. retrofitting / internal core
for new buildings

40. Brisbane 2048 / external insulation
retrofitting external insulation…
onto existing buildings…
to reduce heat load on building envelope…
and reduce energy consumed through
cooling…

41. Brisbane 2048 / external insulation
retrofitting external insulation:
shading
- ‘green screens’
- façade structures
thermal insulation
- aerated concrete

42. external insulation / green screens
Images – ken yeang or etc

43. external insulation / green screens
Images – ken yeang or etc

44. external insulation / green screens
Images – ken yeang or etc

45. external insulation / façade structures
Image – existing building ‘before’ Image – existing building ‘after’ (photoshop)

46. external insulation / façade structures
Image – existing building ‘before’ Image – existing building ‘after’ (photoshop)

47. external insulation / aerated concrete
Image – existing building ‘before’ Image – existing building ‘after’ (photoshop)

48. external insulation / aerated concrete
Image – existing building ‘before’ Image – existing building ‘after’ (photoshop)

49. external insulation / aerated concrete
Image – existing building ‘before’ Image – existing building ‘after’ (photoshop)

50. retrofitting / infill development
urban infill suburban infill infill housing

51. infill development / urban

52. infill development / urban

53. infill development / suburban

55. infill development / suburban

56. infill development / infill housing

58. retrofitting / urban farming
cultivating,
processing and
distributing food
in or around a city
Bailkey, M. and J. Nasr. 2000. From Brownfields to Greenfields: Producing Food in North American Cities.
Community Food Security News. Fall 1999/Winter 2000:6

59. 50% of the world’s population lives in cities;
by 2015 26 cities exceed 10 Million People

60. average produce item travels 1500 miles
4 liters of fuel / 100 lbs when shipped by truck

61. Braddock, Pennsylvania, USA http://flickr.com/photos/warmestregards/2413243209/

62. Cheong-ju, South Korea http://www.flickr.com/photos/daxmelmer/184771143/

63. Antwerp, Belgium http://www.flickr.com/photos/duvel1000/2868641876/

64. urban farming / what it is
Cabrini Green, Chicago http://www.flickr.com/photos/paytonc/259829347/sizes/l/

65. Vancover, Canada http://www.flickr.com/photos/sillydog/63252751/sizes/l/

66. retrofitting / urban farming
disconnected pockets of urban farming

67. urban farming / utilizing roof space

68. urban farming / utilizing roof space

69. retrofitting / urban farming
agricultural land is used for
residential & commercial developments

70. retrofitting / urban farming
meet current & future food demands
proactively harvest rainwater
metabolize food waste
reduce heat islands

71. retrofitting / transport system
“After five millennia of planning cities for people,
in the 20th century we planned cities for cars. Yet
no one goes to France and says - what great
highways Paris has”.
Enrique Pe alosa

72. retrofitting / transport system
reclassify streets for a more efficient traffic flow
scenario which caters to alternative forms of transport
adjust power balance of existing forms of transport
explore and encourage alternative forms of transport
build responsive infrastructure
build amenities along bicycle and pedestrian paths
adopt a new culture

73. reclassify

75. transport system / reclassify
Home Street, Fairfield Kent Street, Perth http://www.bv.com.au
Annerley Road, South Brisbane

76. transport / human-powered
Bike actuated signals, Toronto Bicycle Push-Button – Vancouver
http://www.toronto.ca/cycling/bikeplan/pdf/ http://www.toronto.ca/cycling/bikeplan/pdf/
chapter04.pdf chapter04.pdf

77. transport / power of the pedal

81. Strida foldable bicycle
Trisled recumbent http://www.trisled.com.au
http://stridaaustralia.com

83. transport / lightweight vehicles

84. transport / pedestrian-power

86. transport / car sharing

87. retrofitting / from road to water transport

88. retrofitting / coastal tramping
Brisbane Gold Coast
http://flickr.com/photos/faraway/173111943/

89. retrofitting / river transport

90. retrofitting / river transport
R

91. retrofitting / river transport

92. retrofitting / LAREN

93. retrofitting / LAREN

94. retrofitting / LAREN

95. retrofitting / LAREN

96. retrofitting / LAREN

97. retrofitting / LAREN

99. actions / communication
communication
http://flickr.com/photos/bmoyle/2402526793/

100. communication / science-design shops

101. communication / science shops
<<insert map>>

102. communication / visual campaign
presenting how to see the city in another way

103. visual campaign / micro-metabolic city
http://flickr.com/photos/offchurch-tam/2066559553/sizes/o/

104. Contemporary Art Center, NY, NY, USA http://flickr.com/photos/lingualx/2685750767/

105. Brisbane Park(ing) Day http://flickr.com/photos/30258821@N05/

106. visual campaign / community map
City of Memory http://www.cityofmemory.org/map/index.php

107. visual campaign / re-imaging cityscape
Nuage Vert, Helsinki http://www.pixelache.ac/nuage-blog/

108. communication / visual campaign
<meta-category: communication>
<visual campaign (Will)>
inkahoots http://flickr.com/photos/lightsight/2662870162/sizes/o/

109. inkahoots http://flickr.com/photos/lightsight/2662870162/sizes/o/

110. design futures / dialectic of sustainment

111. the coming moment of sustainment