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Reason for selecting BP for Term paper
One of the major recent shocks to a big corporation to its green image is for the case of BP.
After years of projecting the new logo and the new image as green, BP received an extremely
negative image. Its challenging to have a new marketing campaign when everyone around
has already marked it as Green Washing. I worked in Oil and Gas Industry from last 7 years
and believe that this industry is too complex and hence offer more challenges.

As managers, we are supposed to handle shocks such as these and derive the companies from
negative image to positive image during these difficult times. I believe I can learn the most
by analyzing and putting forward the arguments in the most challenging situation.

Also, one of the biggest take away from the sustainable marketing course for me was –
“Sustainable Marketing is all about the Business Operations especially Supply Chain and not
plain Advertisement campaign”. Hence, I have tried to focus on Business Operations in my
paper.
Table of Contents
I. Abstract
II. Mission, Vision and target of the Marketing plan
III. Development of the Marketing Plan
IV. Marketing Plan
V. Implementation Plan
VI. Communication Plan
VII. Appendix
     a) Expense Estimation
     b) WACC
     c) ROI
     d) Thank You BP campaign of Green Peace
I.     Abstract
In April 2010, BP was struck with one of the worst accident in the history – The deepwater
horizon crisis. All the previous efforts of green washing have been washed away with the real
time crisis. Its share has dipped by 40% and it is looming with costly US government
sanctions, NGO backlash and general US public boycott of downstream operations.

Oil & Gas is a unique industry in the sense that it has very little product differentiation and
flow of products from source (crude oil) to end user (gasoline) is continuous in nature. In
such a scenario the only differentiation is the opinions of the technical and legal experts. This
paper takes this unique property of Oil and Gas industry into consideration while putting
forward the marketing plan for BP.

Various important stakeholders for Oil and Gas industry have been mapped with reference to
their influence and possible support to BP.

$5.9 bn seems to be a big cost on the face of it for a marketing campaign, but the increase in
value for BP from this marketing plan is enormous. The marketing plan has an overall ROI of
96%.
II. Mission
The proposed marketing plan aims to handle the various challenges being faced by BP
currently.
Vision
To become leader in Oil and Gas industry for sustainable business operations
Target of the proposed Marketing Plan
To generate higher returns on investment along with sustainable development of the company

Challenges being faced ( BP Strategy needs)
A. General Challenges
Even if the Oil leak crisis would not have been there we continue to face the following risks
in our business operations.
1. Managing resources capital
    a) Capital Investments in our exploration, distribution, refining and retailing.
    b) Intellectual Capital Pool / IP rights for new process technologies.
2. Accessing capital markets
    a) Commodity Pricing – Trading of the products across the life cycle
    b) Supplies Pricing – Leases for Exploration
3. Globalization and international operations
    a) Remote Locations – Operations offshore and remote fields in Africa
    b) Different Time zones across world – Problems in integrated communication
    c) Regulations and legal issues of different countries – Problems in framing universal
         company policies
4. Mergers and Acquisitions among customers and competitors – Increased B2B
    competition
5. Deployment of new technologies – How to coup up investment in long term oriented
    projects (more than 20 years usually)
6. Complexity in the industry can often give rise to inefficiencies and increased cost as
    there cannot be any universal standard for operations on absolute scale.

B. Current / Recent Challenges
If we analyze the reason for the recent Deepwater Horizon Oil Spill crisis, following are the
most important and biggest reasons
1. Subcontractor’s Failure to monitor and act on warnings (No concrete action on a leak
    spotted weak before the blowout due to Faulty Cementing)
2. Subcontractor’s Unsafe Operation (No pretesting of communication, hydraulic and power
    lines)

Though our company is responsible for putting the subcontractors on board but the main
reason for the accident were some of the faulty and low quality operations standards of the
subcontractors.
III. Development of the Marketing Plan

Research and Analysis for study of situation and future developments
1. All the key stakeholders identified through stakeholder mapping
2. Market Sizing for all the stakeholders done
3. Statistical analysis done for no. of data points required to get 95% confidence limit of the
   results about the customers of BP in US.


                                                   2 Focus Groups Interviews
                                                      with diverse group of
                                                             people


                                                   16 Indepth Interviews with
                                                        Experts and KOL


                                                     1024 surve data points
                                                         among general
                                                       stakeholders of BP




Current Stakeholder Mapping and motivations - Below give chart shows the major
stakeholder for BP in the current scenario.


                              Technical                                              Media
                              Experts                                                KOL
                                                      Legal
                                                      Experts


                                                                                Environmentalist


                             Business                           NGO
  Power
                             Groups
                 Poor                          Citizens /                          Employees
                                               Nature


                                    Interest
Stakeholders                             Motivations

Technical/Legal Experts/KOL              Career Progression and generating business by
                                         alliances with corporations such as BP
Employees                                Stable and Profitable company (BP in our case)

Media / NGO                              Constant feed of news and binding eyeballs

Citizens/Nature/Environmentalists        Protection of environment, increased usage of
                                         alternative energy
Poor in Nigeria                          Economic development




PEST Analysis for Oil & Gas Industry (including BP)
1. The Political scene in US is against Oil companies for their mischief’s.
2. Despite recession, US consumer spending on Oil & Gas is still intact. BP is highly
   profitable and its business operations are still intact.
3. There is an increased backlash against Oil & Gas companies in US
4. Technology for Non renewable sector is developing very fast. This can be major threat to
   oil industry as a whole.

SWOT Analysis for BP



  Strength                                       Weakness
                                                 1. Bad Media coverage from last 4 monts
  1. Strong partnership with KOL / NGO
                                                 2. Poor image trackrecord with KOL/
  2. Strong cash position (after $20 bn
                                                 NGO and no US Govt. support as
  Eschrow Fund)
                                                 provided to Exxon during the leak


                                        SWOT Analysis


  Opportunity                                    Threat
  1. Subcontractors also involved in accidents   1. Strong backlash by US Government
  2. Since, BP has already seen bottom of
  share prices, one time high investment in      2. Big Oil giants of US may lobby
  Alternative energy research                    against BP with local media
Key Leverage Points (KLP)
       1. Strong Cash Position can be used for lobbying with Government
       2. Public/Environmentalist attention can be diverted to subcontractor’s faults
       3. If there are further deterioration of public image, US government can act on BP
          for heavy penalties.
       4. Legal KOL will be useful in later stage of litigations

Marketing Strategy development for BP




Various options on the selection of NGO/KOL and collaboration with the stakeholder have
been analyzed and following are the recommendations
1. There can be only sequential interaction with some of the stakeholders. For example the
   General customers can be engaged only after successful interaction with the technical and
   legal experts
2. Different stakeholder groups have different motives
3. Our Action plan (Marketing plan) should satisfy the needs of all stakeholders in phase
   wise manner
4. Any Marketing plan should have good financial returns ( ROI>WACC)
IV. Marketing Plan.

1. Public Campaign on various fronts
   Public campaign to elaborate that BP has taken strong actions action against the real
   culprits in order to
    a) Engage Key Opinion Leaders (KOL) to reach a consensus with them through
          meaningful dialogue
    b) Put legal claims against Sub vendors
    c) Publicize the legal claims
    d) Engage top Advertising agencies to do a public campaign against
       i.      Operations Contractor, Halliburton1 (who completed cementing of the final
               production casing string)
      ii.      Rig Owner, Transocean (whose blow out preventers (BOP)failed)
    e) There are other parties who may be responsible but focus on only 2subcontratros
          as people will be confused and mark BP campaign as information poisoning by BP.
          Hence, we will not put the other parties in picture.
               1. M-I Swaco, the mud monitoring contractor
               2. Weatherford, did not took enough safety precautions in inserting of pipes
    f) Publicize that BP took approval for all the operations from MMS (Mineral
          Management Services), the approving authority. Also, BP was fully complied with
          all the safety operations. It was the contractors who missed on their obligations.

2. Collaboration with NGO and KOL’s
   Identifying and allying with top 3 biggest NGO’s and reputed industry bodies
    a) Involve top Management to show solid commitment to build up alliance
    b) Fund their programs, research and expenses
    c) Convince them about the faults of the sub vendors
    d) Build consensus among experts

3. Generating public support after crisis.
   Recent news article2 shows that some people are still don’t blame everything on BP and
   are willing to do meaningful task out of Government Bureaucratic setup.


Buy 1 KL of Gasoline and educate 1 child in Nigeria
How it is relevant to Oil and Gas customer and Industry – There is wide spread smuggling
and illegal usage of Crude oil in Nigeria. The local people try to refine the crude oil on their
own in very crude and dangerous form. Most of the people involved in this trade are

1
    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/04/30/halliburton-may-be-culpri_n_558481.html
2

http://www.treehugger.com/files/2010/07/dispatch-from-the-gulf-oil-spill-breaking-the-law-to-save-the-gulf.
php (accessed on 3rd August, 2010)
teenagers as they are less averse to the risk of using open fire. One of the biggest reasons
behind this problem is the lack of education among the people due to which they don’t have
other employment avenues. If the customer in US can donate money for education of people
in Nigeria, they will be not be diverted to illegal activities related to Oil and gas.



                                                     Buy 1 KL to
                                                     educate 1




                             Nigeria                                     Effect on
                             Children                                    customer



                              More               Diversifying of
        Better                                                           Ability to
                           Employment               Nigeria
      Education                                                        participate in
                             avenues               Economy


Visit of benefited children to US ( Not Just Oil Campaign)
In addition to the education in Nigeria, BP will take these children to US on visit to create
intense media/NGO Campaign.


As we can see from the diagram above the most effective method for BP is to coordinate with
the Technical and legal experts in stage 1 and NGO in later stages.

 Ist Stage
 Partner with Technical Experts and Legal Experts.
 Engage Environmentalists and Key Opinion leaders in Media
 Empower Employees to promote company image


        2nd Stage
        Monitor continuously the citizens and competitors for thier
        inappropriate activites for BP
        Engage environmentalist in futursitics dialogue and events



               3rd Stage
               Collaborate with NGO to spread good word about BP and
               help in restructuring business operations
Effect of Marketing Plan on stakeholders
After implementation of Business Plan, the positioning of the stakeholders can be shown in
the following manner.


                                Employees


                                                                            Technical
                                                                            Experts
                 Poor    in
                 Nigeria                           KOL
                                                                      Legal
                                                                      Experts

                                                                                        Media /
                  Competitors                                                           NGO
                                       Citizens
 Support
                                                         Environmentalist




                                    Influence




                                                         Status
Stakeholders                      Before Marketing            After Marketing
                                  Plan                        Plan
Technical/Legal Experts/KOL       Negative View about         Partner of BP
                                  BP
Employees                         Frustrated and Insecure Motivated and
                                                              Confident
Media / NGO                       Spreading Poison            Engaged with BP
                                  against BP
Citizens/Nature/Environmentalists Scared and Skeptical of Engaged with BP
                                  BP
Poor in Nigeria                   Harming BP assets and Empowered by BP by
                                  interests by stealing and education
                                  smuggling crude oil
Implementation Strategy of Marketing Campaign
           1. Opinion Generation
                a) Key Opinion leaders
                b) Technical Experts
           2. Damage Control Activities
                a) Legal and exposing contractors campaign
                b) Collaborating with other industry members for prevention of backlash from
                   sub-contractors
           3. Leadership in Industry
                a) Industry Lobby for indemnification from Subcontractors mistakes
                b) Pushing KOL of legal space for the same.
           4. Preparing for the next phase
                a) New terms of contracts with the Sub- contractors
                b) Improvements in Vendor selection process
                c) Improvements in other components of Supply Chain

           Time line Chart




External                                          Partnering with NGO’s


                             Publicizing      Legal       Actions    against
                             Subcontractors



Industry                                          Lobbying with Other industry Members against Backlash
 Level
                                 Taking KOL into confidence


Internal
                       Task Force of Top Management to overview Marketing Campaign




                         3 months              6 months             9 months     12 months




                                                      Time Period
Expenses
Each stage has a cost associated with it. But these cost components are negligible if we just
consider the impact of the negative publicity which currently the company is having in the
current negative environment about the company. The impact of the crisis is both within the
downstream retail channel as well as with the upstream operations.
Total Expense = $5.9bn (Details given in appendix)

Identification of NGO
Based on the various parameters identified through our research as mentioned previously,
NGO B is selected (Creative Data)




    NGO D

                                                                              Relevance to BP customers

    NGO C
                                                                              Relevance to Oil Industry


                                                                              Relevance to Business
    NGO B                                                                     Operations
                                                                              Relevance to KOL

    NGO A


            0           5            10           15           20



                                                                          Target NGO
                                                                          Partner




Gains from the new Marketing Campaign
1. Increase in Share Price3 - After the crisis, BP stock price dropped to $33 from $62. Now
   the market Cap of the firm is only $91 bn.
   Hence, the total loss = (91/33*(62-33))bn = $ 78 bn
   Even if BP manages to get back 25% of the loss in the market cap, then the total gain for
   the company = 78/4 = $ 19 bn
    2. Gain in Revenues – Since, Oil & Gas is a commodity product, there will be

3
  Drop in BP Share Price
http://newtermlifeinsurance.net/bp-stock-price-drop-since-oil-spell-begins/
http://www.dailyfinance.com/story/investing/bp-stock-plunges/19510758/
negligible effects of the marketing campaign on upstream operations. Most of the effect
   will be felt in the downstream operations. Hence, following are the estimates from the
   Marketing department in 3 possible scenarios

                                                                    Highly
                                                                  Successful
                                       Successful
                                                                 Moderately
              Future                                             Successful
             Scenarios
                                          Failure                   Failure

NPV of the project is positive = 5.7 bn USD
ROI of the project is very high = 96%
 (Calculations given in appendix)


Implementation of the Marketing Plan in the whole Value Chain

Michael Porter Diamond diagram can be used to demonstrate the effect of sustainability
initiative on the overall profit margins for the business. There are 2 types of activities
highlighted by Michael porter
1. Primary Activities - Activities that are directly concerned with creating and delivering a
     product (e.g. component assembly); and packaging
2. Support Activities – Activities which are not directly involved in production, but may
     increase effectiveness or efficiency (e.g. human resource management).
Primary Activity    Description

Inbound logistics    Increase the proportion of long term

                       leases in the overall sourcing

                     Cost of receiving, storing, and carrying

                       inventory will be lower

                     Transportation scheduling stability will

                       reduce logistics cost

                     Long term contracts with pipeline and
shipping tanker companies will ensure

                         stability in freight charges

Operations             Use organic packaging for lubricants

                       Increase audit standards for Sub

                         contractors for all the project by using

                         the highest standards of OHSA and HSE

                       Appoint 3rd party audits for

                         subcontractors works

                       Environment and safety risk reduction

                         will reduce the insurance cost for

                         operations.

Outbound logistics     Loyalty program will reduce the cost of

                         distribution, warehousing and manpower.

Marketing and sales    Collaborate with the NGO, technical

                         expert and media to gain greater mind

                         share

Service                Customer service and understanding of

                         his needs and concerns will increase

                         Loyalty

                       Higher loyalty will help in introduction

                         of premium products, which results in

                         higher margins
Secondary Activity   Description

Procurement           Liaison with local governments of the

                        major oil producing nations such as

                        Middle East and Africa will enable lower

                        Exploration lease acquisition cost.

Human Resource        Recruiting will be exclusively based on

Management              the local population profile in all the

                        three components of value chain – raw

                        material sourcing, processing and sales.

                      Increased training of staff will increase

                        productivity per person.

Technology            Increased role of IT and banking

Development             technology will reduce the retail fuel

                        stations and Oil & Gas distribution cost.

Infrastructure        It is easy to plan out infrastructure

                        spending for stable demand and safe

                        operations

                      This will reduce the cost of funding the

                        project (because cost of funding

                        increases if the risk is lower)
V.      Communication Strategy
1. Collaborate with Greenpeace (Thank you BP Campaign)
   In 2008, BP was awarded the “Emerald Paintbrush4” award and BP was nominee for the
   award again in 2009. Hence, BP image had been tarnished a lot by Greenpeace in last
   couple of years. BP will show its commitment to alternative energies by investing $3bn in
   Alternative energies. This will provide a greater push to the BP’s image. Our lobbyers in
   Green peace will force it to go to the public with new campaign on – “Thank You BP”.
   This campaign will highlight that BP had emerged stronger out of the crisis and the new
   BP is really credible.

     Also the campaign will feature the new $2bn investment in to making the supply chains
     and business operations more sustainable in near immediate future.




     Lobby with Greenpeace to include the recent spending in both Sustainable operations and
     Alternative Energy into total spending into new initiatives ($2bn +$ 3bn = $5bn).
     Greenpeace to be forced by lobbying to come up with new advertisement that BP is now
     spending 22% instead of just 7 % on green initiatives. Hence, they want to thanks BP for
     accepting their voice

     (Please see attachment for the advertisement campaign)


2. In this campaign, Books, study material and other aid material will be collected at the
   retail fuel stations of BP. These books will be later distributed to the African (Nigeria in
   our case) for distribution.




4
  GreenPeace Award for Green Washing by companies
http://weblog.greenpeace.org/makingwaves/archives/2008/12/bp_wins_coveted_emerald_paintb.html
More than Just Oil Campaign
VI. Appendix

1. Expenses

S.   No. Expense Item                       Estimated Basis of Cost Estimation
                                            (m $)
1         Internal Mobilization             2000      BP cost estimation by top
          resources for sustainability in             Management Accounting department
          Supply chain and business
          operations for OSHA
          (Occupational Safety and
          Health Administration)
2         Survey and Research               10        Average of Quotations from Ogilvy
                                                      and Mather, Lintas, Publicis and
                                                      other PR agencies
3         Organizing events of Key          50        Estimation for sum of cost of all
          Opinion Leaders of HSE                      possible events given by Marketing
          (Health, Safety and                         Department
          Environment related) in Oil
          & Gas Industry
4         Facilitating unaccounted          200       PR and Corporate Relations
          activities of Key Opinion                   department estimation
          Leaders in Oil & Gas
          Industry
5         Cost of lobbying with other       5         Joints Events and Visits with
          industry Members to build                   Members for regulatory Authorities
          multilateral agreements on
          Offshore drillings and
          explorations in future
6         Cost of Legal Fight against       100       Estimation by Legal Department and
          subcontractors                              other top notch legal firms
7         Advertising and publication       100       Marketing department Estimation
          cost to make people more
          aware about HSE initiatives
          and record of BP
8         Cost of sponsoring                50        Cost of Identification, liason and
          NGO/Industry Body events /                  collaborating in events and
          Activities to showcase BP                   campaigns
          track record on HSE
9         Cost of Collaborating /           300       PR and Corporate Strategy
          Accounted / Secret Activities               Department Estimation
          with big Media Houses to
          defame Subcontractors and
clean up the image of BP




    10           Contingency and risk             100         McKinsey / BCG / AT Kearney cost
                 Management cost                              estimation
    11           Extra Strategic Losses due to    3000        E&Y / PwC / KPMG and internal
                 investment into Alternative                  strategy department estimation
                 Energies and other initiatives
                 Total                            5915

2. WACC (Weighted Average Cost) of BP




         Where:
         Re = cost of equity
         Rd = cost of debt
         E = market value of the firm's equity
         D = market value of the firm's debt
         V=E+D
         E/V = percentage of financing that is equity
         D/V = percentage of financing that is debt
         Tc = corporate tax rate
         We will use WACC5 to determine the Net Present Value (NPV) of our marketing project




5
    WACC calculations
    mdi.typepad.com/blog/files/exxonmobil_energizing_change.ppt
3. ROI (Return on Investment Calculations) considering all possible scenarios
    Assumptions for simplifications of Calculations – Due to lack of time and resources for
    research, I have made the following assumptions for ROI calculations
 a. Downstream Revenue ( from 2009 Income Statement)
 b. Assuming this return will be realised in 3 years, a year hereafter
 c. Assuming 50% of BP revenues are from Downstream opearation which will
     have the real effect of marketing campaign

  Scenario Analysis                   Highly           Moderately      Failure
                                      successful       Sucessful
  Probability                         20               70              10
  Expenses in each scenario           5.9              5.9             5.9
  in bn USD
  Increase in Revenue in Each         20               10              -10
  Scenario
  %age Increase
  Down stream Revenues                123              123             123


  Absolute increase over revenue      147.6            135.3           110.7
  base of 246 bn USD
  Net Gain in each scenario           18.7             6.4             -18.2
  Absolute Return                     3.74             4.48            -1.82


                  ROI Calculations

Total Return on the Marketing        6.4

expense

Return per year                      2.1

WACC                                 5.9




NPV (year 1 Cash Flow)               2.0

NPV (year 2 Cash Flow)               1.9

NPV (year 3 Cash Flow)               1.8
Total NPV                      5.7




ROI (%)                        96.4




4. Green Peace ( Thank you BP campaign)
   Attachment as PPT file

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BP Marketing Plan Targets Stakeholders After Oil Spill

  • 1. Reason for selecting BP for Term paper One of the major recent shocks to a big corporation to its green image is for the case of BP. After years of projecting the new logo and the new image as green, BP received an extremely negative image. Its challenging to have a new marketing campaign when everyone around has already marked it as Green Washing. I worked in Oil and Gas Industry from last 7 years and believe that this industry is too complex and hence offer more challenges. As managers, we are supposed to handle shocks such as these and derive the companies from negative image to positive image during these difficult times. I believe I can learn the most by analyzing and putting forward the arguments in the most challenging situation. Also, one of the biggest take away from the sustainable marketing course for me was – “Sustainable Marketing is all about the Business Operations especially Supply Chain and not plain Advertisement campaign”. Hence, I have tried to focus on Business Operations in my paper.
  • 2. Table of Contents I. Abstract II. Mission, Vision and target of the Marketing plan III. Development of the Marketing Plan IV. Marketing Plan V. Implementation Plan VI. Communication Plan VII. Appendix a) Expense Estimation b) WACC c) ROI d) Thank You BP campaign of Green Peace
  • 3. I. Abstract In April 2010, BP was struck with one of the worst accident in the history – The deepwater horizon crisis. All the previous efforts of green washing have been washed away with the real time crisis. Its share has dipped by 40% and it is looming with costly US government sanctions, NGO backlash and general US public boycott of downstream operations. Oil & Gas is a unique industry in the sense that it has very little product differentiation and flow of products from source (crude oil) to end user (gasoline) is continuous in nature. In such a scenario the only differentiation is the opinions of the technical and legal experts. This paper takes this unique property of Oil and Gas industry into consideration while putting forward the marketing plan for BP. Various important stakeholders for Oil and Gas industry have been mapped with reference to their influence and possible support to BP. $5.9 bn seems to be a big cost on the face of it for a marketing campaign, but the increase in value for BP from this marketing plan is enormous. The marketing plan has an overall ROI of 96%.
  • 4. II. Mission The proposed marketing plan aims to handle the various challenges being faced by BP currently. Vision To become leader in Oil and Gas industry for sustainable business operations Target of the proposed Marketing Plan To generate higher returns on investment along with sustainable development of the company Challenges being faced ( BP Strategy needs) A. General Challenges Even if the Oil leak crisis would not have been there we continue to face the following risks in our business operations. 1. Managing resources capital a) Capital Investments in our exploration, distribution, refining and retailing. b) Intellectual Capital Pool / IP rights for new process technologies. 2. Accessing capital markets a) Commodity Pricing – Trading of the products across the life cycle b) Supplies Pricing – Leases for Exploration 3. Globalization and international operations a) Remote Locations – Operations offshore and remote fields in Africa b) Different Time zones across world – Problems in integrated communication c) Regulations and legal issues of different countries – Problems in framing universal company policies 4. Mergers and Acquisitions among customers and competitors – Increased B2B competition 5. Deployment of new technologies – How to coup up investment in long term oriented projects (more than 20 years usually) 6. Complexity in the industry can often give rise to inefficiencies and increased cost as there cannot be any universal standard for operations on absolute scale. B. Current / Recent Challenges If we analyze the reason for the recent Deepwater Horizon Oil Spill crisis, following are the most important and biggest reasons 1. Subcontractor’s Failure to monitor and act on warnings (No concrete action on a leak spotted weak before the blowout due to Faulty Cementing) 2. Subcontractor’s Unsafe Operation (No pretesting of communication, hydraulic and power lines) Though our company is responsible for putting the subcontractors on board but the main reason for the accident were some of the faulty and low quality operations standards of the subcontractors.
  • 5. III. Development of the Marketing Plan Research and Analysis for study of situation and future developments 1. All the key stakeholders identified through stakeholder mapping 2. Market Sizing for all the stakeholders done 3. Statistical analysis done for no. of data points required to get 95% confidence limit of the results about the customers of BP in US. 2 Focus Groups Interviews with diverse group of people 16 Indepth Interviews with Experts and KOL 1024 surve data points among general stakeholders of BP Current Stakeholder Mapping and motivations - Below give chart shows the major stakeholder for BP in the current scenario. Technical Media Experts KOL Legal Experts Environmentalist Business NGO Power Groups Poor Citizens / Employees Nature Interest
  • 6. Stakeholders Motivations Technical/Legal Experts/KOL Career Progression and generating business by alliances with corporations such as BP Employees Stable and Profitable company (BP in our case) Media / NGO Constant feed of news and binding eyeballs Citizens/Nature/Environmentalists Protection of environment, increased usage of alternative energy Poor in Nigeria Economic development PEST Analysis for Oil & Gas Industry (including BP) 1. The Political scene in US is against Oil companies for their mischief’s. 2. Despite recession, US consumer spending on Oil & Gas is still intact. BP is highly profitable and its business operations are still intact. 3. There is an increased backlash against Oil & Gas companies in US 4. Technology for Non renewable sector is developing very fast. This can be major threat to oil industry as a whole. SWOT Analysis for BP Strength Weakness 1. Bad Media coverage from last 4 monts 1. Strong partnership with KOL / NGO 2. Poor image trackrecord with KOL/ 2. Strong cash position (after $20 bn NGO and no US Govt. support as Eschrow Fund) provided to Exxon during the leak SWOT Analysis Opportunity Threat 1. Subcontractors also involved in accidents 1. Strong backlash by US Government 2. Since, BP has already seen bottom of share prices, one time high investment in 2. Big Oil giants of US may lobby Alternative energy research against BP with local media
  • 7. Key Leverage Points (KLP) 1. Strong Cash Position can be used for lobbying with Government 2. Public/Environmentalist attention can be diverted to subcontractor’s faults 3. If there are further deterioration of public image, US government can act on BP for heavy penalties. 4. Legal KOL will be useful in later stage of litigations Marketing Strategy development for BP Various options on the selection of NGO/KOL and collaboration with the stakeholder have been analyzed and following are the recommendations 1. There can be only sequential interaction with some of the stakeholders. For example the General customers can be engaged only after successful interaction with the technical and legal experts 2. Different stakeholder groups have different motives 3. Our Action plan (Marketing plan) should satisfy the needs of all stakeholders in phase wise manner 4. Any Marketing plan should have good financial returns ( ROI>WACC)
  • 8. IV. Marketing Plan. 1. Public Campaign on various fronts Public campaign to elaborate that BP has taken strong actions action against the real culprits in order to a) Engage Key Opinion Leaders (KOL) to reach a consensus with them through meaningful dialogue b) Put legal claims against Sub vendors c) Publicize the legal claims d) Engage top Advertising agencies to do a public campaign against i. Operations Contractor, Halliburton1 (who completed cementing of the final production casing string) ii. Rig Owner, Transocean (whose blow out preventers (BOP)failed) e) There are other parties who may be responsible but focus on only 2subcontratros as people will be confused and mark BP campaign as information poisoning by BP. Hence, we will not put the other parties in picture. 1. M-I Swaco, the mud monitoring contractor 2. Weatherford, did not took enough safety precautions in inserting of pipes f) Publicize that BP took approval for all the operations from MMS (Mineral Management Services), the approving authority. Also, BP was fully complied with all the safety operations. It was the contractors who missed on their obligations. 2. Collaboration with NGO and KOL’s Identifying and allying with top 3 biggest NGO’s and reputed industry bodies a) Involve top Management to show solid commitment to build up alliance b) Fund their programs, research and expenses c) Convince them about the faults of the sub vendors d) Build consensus among experts 3. Generating public support after crisis. Recent news article2 shows that some people are still don’t blame everything on BP and are willing to do meaningful task out of Government Bureaucratic setup. Buy 1 KL of Gasoline and educate 1 child in Nigeria How it is relevant to Oil and Gas customer and Industry – There is wide spread smuggling and illegal usage of Crude oil in Nigeria. The local people try to refine the crude oil on their own in very crude and dangerous form. Most of the people involved in this trade are 1 http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/04/30/halliburton-may-be-culpri_n_558481.html 2 http://www.treehugger.com/files/2010/07/dispatch-from-the-gulf-oil-spill-breaking-the-law-to-save-the-gulf. php (accessed on 3rd August, 2010)
  • 9. teenagers as they are less averse to the risk of using open fire. One of the biggest reasons behind this problem is the lack of education among the people due to which they don’t have other employment avenues. If the customer in US can donate money for education of people in Nigeria, they will be not be diverted to illegal activities related to Oil and gas. Buy 1 KL to educate 1 Nigeria Effect on Children customer More Diversifying of Better Ability to Employment Nigeria Education participate in avenues Economy Visit of benefited children to US ( Not Just Oil Campaign) In addition to the education in Nigeria, BP will take these children to US on visit to create intense media/NGO Campaign. As we can see from the diagram above the most effective method for BP is to coordinate with the Technical and legal experts in stage 1 and NGO in later stages. Ist Stage Partner with Technical Experts and Legal Experts. Engage Environmentalists and Key Opinion leaders in Media Empower Employees to promote company image 2nd Stage Monitor continuously the citizens and competitors for thier inappropriate activites for BP Engage environmentalist in futursitics dialogue and events 3rd Stage Collaborate with NGO to spread good word about BP and help in restructuring business operations
  • 10. Effect of Marketing Plan on stakeholders After implementation of Business Plan, the positioning of the stakeholders can be shown in the following manner. Employees Technical Experts Poor in Nigeria KOL Legal Experts Media / Competitors NGO Citizens Support Environmentalist Influence Status Stakeholders Before Marketing After Marketing Plan Plan Technical/Legal Experts/KOL Negative View about Partner of BP BP Employees Frustrated and Insecure Motivated and Confident Media / NGO Spreading Poison Engaged with BP against BP Citizens/Nature/Environmentalists Scared and Skeptical of Engaged with BP BP Poor in Nigeria Harming BP assets and Empowered by BP by interests by stealing and education smuggling crude oil
  • 11. Implementation Strategy of Marketing Campaign 1. Opinion Generation a) Key Opinion leaders b) Technical Experts 2. Damage Control Activities a) Legal and exposing contractors campaign b) Collaborating with other industry members for prevention of backlash from sub-contractors 3. Leadership in Industry a) Industry Lobby for indemnification from Subcontractors mistakes b) Pushing KOL of legal space for the same. 4. Preparing for the next phase a) New terms of contracts with the Sub- contractors b) Improvements in Vendor selection process c) Improvements in other components of Supply Chain Time line Chart External Partnering with NGO’s Publicizing Legal Actions against Subcontractors Industry Lobbying with Other industry Members against Backlash Level Taking KOL into confidence Internal Task Force of Top Management to overview Marketing Campaign 3 months 6 months 9 months 12 months Time Period
  • 12. Expenses Each stage has a cost associated with it. But these cost components are negligible if we just consider the impact of the negative publicity which currently the company is having in the current negative environment about the company. The impact of the crisis is both within the downstream retail channel as well as with the upstream operations. Total Expense = $5.9bn (Details given in appendix) Identification of NGO Based on the various parameters identified through our research as mentioned previously, NGO B is selected (Creative Data) NGO D Relevance to BP customers NGO C Relevance to Oil Industry Relevance to Business NGO B Operations Relevance to KOL NGO A 0 5 10 15 20 Target NGO Partner Gains from the new Marketing Campaign 1. Increase in Share Price3 - After the crisis, BP stock price dropped to $33 from $62. Now the market Cap of the firm is only $91 bn. Hence, the total loss = (91/33*(62-33))bn = $ 78 bn Even if BP manages to get back 25% of the loss in the market cap, then the total gain for the company = 78/4 = $ 19 bn 2. Gain in Revenues – Since, Oil & Gas is a commodity product, there will be 3 Drop in BP Share Price http://newtermlifeinsurance.net/bp-stock-price-drop-since-oil-spell-begins/ http://www.dailyfinance.com/story/investing/bp-stock-plunges/19510758/
  • 13. negligible effects of the marketing campaign on upstream operations. Most of the effect will be felt in the downstream operations. Hence, following are the estimates from the Marketing department in 3 possible scenarios Highly Successful Successful Moderately Future Successful Scenarios Failure Failure NPV of the project is positive = 5.7 bn USD ROI of the project is very high = 96% (Calculations given in appendix) Implementation of the Marketing Plan in the whole Value Chain Michael Porter Diamond diagram can be used to demonstrate the effect of sustainability initiative on the overall profit margins for the business. There are 2 types of activities highlighted by Michael porter 1. Primary Activities - Activities that are directly concerned with creating and delivering a product (e.g. component assembly); and packaging 2. Support Activities – Activities which are not directly involved in production, but may increase effectiveness or efficiency (e.g. human resource management).
  • 14. Primary Activity Description Inbound logistics  Increase the proportion of long term leases in the overall sourcing  Cost of receiving, storing, and carrying inventory will be lower  Transportation scheduling stability will reduce logistics cost  Long term contracts with pipeline and
  • 15. shipping tanker companies will ensure stability in freight charges Operations  Use organic packaging for lubricants  Increase audit standards for Sub contractors for all the project by using the highest standards of OHSA and HSE  Appoint 3rd party audits for subcontractors works  Environment and safety risk reduction will reduce the insurance cost for operations. Outbound logistics  Loyalty program will reduce the cost of distribution, warehousing and manpower. Marketing and sales  Collaborate with the NGO, technical expert and media to gain greater mind share Service  Customer service and understanding of his needs and concerns will increase Loyalty  Higher loyalty will help in introduction of premium products, which results in higher margins
  • 16. Secondary Activity Description Procurement  Liaison with local governments of the major oil producing nations such as Middle East and Africa will enable lower Exploration lease acquisition cost. Human Resource  Recruiting will be exclusively based on Management the local population profile in all the three components of value chain – raw material sourcing, processing and sales.  Increased training of staff will increase productivity per person. Technology  Increased role of IT and banking Development technology will reduce the retail fuel stations and Oil & Gas distribution cost. Infrastructure  It is easy to plan out infrastructure spending for stable demand and safe operations  This will reduce the cost of funding the project (because cost of funding increases if the risk is lower)
  • 17. V. Communication Strategy 1. Collaborate with Greenpeace (Thank you BP Campaign) In 2008, BP was awarded the “Emerald Paintbrush4” award and BP was nominee for the award again in 2009. Hence, BP image had been tarnished a lot by Greenpeace in last couple of years. BP will show its commitment to alternative energies by investing $3bn in Alternative energies. This will provide a greater push to the BP’s image. Our lobbyers in Green peace will force it to go to the public with new campaign on – “Thank You BP”. This campaign will highlight that BP had emerged stronger out of the crisis and the new BP is really credible. Also the campaign will feature the new $2bn investment in to making the supply chains and business operations more sustainable in near immediate future. Lobby with Greenpeace to include the recent spending in both Sustainable operations and Alternative Energy into total spending into new initiatives ($2bn +$ 3bn = $5bn). Greenpeace to be forced by lobbying to come up with new advertisement that BP is now spending 22% instead of just 7 % on green initiatives. Hence, they want to thanks BP for accepting their voice (Please see attachment for the advertisement campaign) 2. In this campaign, Books, study material and other aid material will be collected at the retail fuel stations of BP. These books will be later distributed to the African (Nigeria in our case) for distribution. 4 GreenPeace Award for Green Washing by companies http://weblog.greenpeace.org/makingwaves/archives/2008/12/bp_wins_coveted_emerald_paintb.html
  • 18. More than Just Oil Campaign
  • 19. VI. Appendix 1. Expenses S. No. Expense Item Estimated Basis of Cost Estimation (m $) 1 Internal Mobilization 2000 BP cost estimation by top resources for sustainability in Management Accounting department Supply chain and business operations for OSHA (Occupational Safety and Health Administration) 2 Survey and Research 10 Average of Quotations from Ogilvy and Mather, Lintas, Publicis and other PR agencies 3 Organizing events of Key 50 Estimation for sum of cost of all Opinion Leaders of HSE possible events given by Marketing (Health, Safety and Department Environment related) in Oil & Gas Industry 4 Facilitating unaccounted 200 PR and Corporate Relations activities of Key Opinion department estimation Leaders in Oil & Gas Industry 5 Cost of lobbying with other 5 Joints Events and Visits with industry Members to build Members for regulatory Authorities multilateral agreements on Offshore drillings and explorations in future 6 Cost of Legal Fight against 100 Estimation by Legal Department and subcontractors other top notch legal firms 7 Advertising and publication 100 Marketing department Estimation cost to make people more aware about HSE initiatives and record of BP 8 Cost of sponsoring 50 Cost of Identification, liason and NGO/Industry Body events / collaborating in events and Activities to showcase BP campaigns track record on HSE 9 Cost of Collaborating / 300 PR and Corporate Strategy Accounted / Secret Activities Department Estimation with big Media Houses to defame Subcontractors and
  • 20. clean up the image of BP 10 Contingency and risk 100 McKinsey / BCG / AT Kearney cost Management cost estimation 11 Extra Strategic Losses due to 3000 E&Y / PwC / KPMG and internal investment into Alternative strategy department estimation Energies and other initiatives Total 5915 2. WACC (Weighted Average Cost) of BP Where: Re = cost of equity Rd = cost of debt E = market value of the firm's equity D = market value of the firm's debt V=E+D E/V = percentage of financing that is equity D/V = percentage of financing that is debt Tc = corporate tax rate We will use WACC5 to determine the Net Present Value (NPV) of our marketing project 5 WACC calculations mdi.typepad.com/blog/files/exxonmobil_energizing_change.ppt
  • 21. 3. ROI (Return on Investment Calculations) considering all possible scenarios Assumptions for simplifications of Calculations – Due to lack of time and resources for research, I have made the following assumptions for ROI calculations a. Downstream Revenue ( from 2009 Income Statement) b. Assuming this return will be realised in 3 years, a year hereafter c. Assuming 50% of BP revenues are from Downstream opearation which will have the real effect of marketing campaign Scenario Analysis Highly Moderately Failure successful Sucessful Probability 20 70 10 Expenses in each scenario 5.9 5.9 5.9 in bn USD Increase in Revenue in Each 20 10 -10 Scenario %age Increase Down stream Revenues 123 123 123 Absolute increase over revenue 147.6 135.3 110.7 base of 246 bn USD Net Gain in each scenario 18.7 6.4 -18.2 Absolute Return 3.74 4.48 -1.82 ROI Calculations Total Return on the Marketing 6.4 expense Return per year 2.1 WACC 5.9 NPV (year 1 Cash Flow) 2.0 NPV (year 2 Cash Flow) 1.9 NPV (year 3 Cash Flow) 1.8
  • 22. Total NPV 5.7 ROI (%) 96.4 4. Green Peace ( Thank you BP campaign) Attachment as PPT file