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Perspectives
on the
Energy Industry
Breakfast Forum
March 2014
Thoughts on
Oil & Gas Markets
Dave Pursell
dpursell@tphco.com
713-333-2962
March 2014
Houston, TX
*Disclosures on page 9*
Cold Weather Matters!
___________________________________
Source: EIA
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
27-Dec 28-Mar 27-Jun 26-Sep 26-Dec
WorkingGas,bcf
Normal
Max
2014
Min
2013
Gas Production Growth
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15
OnshoreGasProduction,bcf/day
Onshore Growth
Shale Deniers Repent!
Bueller? …Bueller? …Bueller?
___________________________________
Source: EIA
Hydraulic Fracturing Saved the U.S. Industrial Sector
___________________________________
Source: TPH Research
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
GasProduction(bcf/d)
All other basins
Marcellus, Utica, Eagle Ford
Inventories point to a balanced (or better) global market
Global Inventories – Crude Oil & Refined Products
"That's mathematics, son. You can argue with me, but
you can't argue with figures” Foghorn Leghorn
___________________________________
Source: IEA, TPH Research
2,200
2,400
2,600
2,800
3,000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
MillionBarrels
2013
Max
Min
Norm
2012
Non-OPEC Oil Production
25
30
35
40
45
50
5.0
5.5
6.0
6.5
7.0
7.5
8.0
8.5
9.0
9.5
10.0
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Non-OPEC(ex-U.S.)Supply,mmbpd
U.S.Supply,mmbpd
United States
Non-US, Non-OPEC
“I can hardly remember how I built my bankroll, but I can't stop
thinking of how I lost it” Mike McDermott, Rounders
___________________________________
Source: IEA, TPH Research
Non-U.S., Non-OPEC supply is stagnant
U.S. Crude Oil Growth!
___________________________________
Source: EIA
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
5,500
6,000
6,500
Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13
U.S.OnshoreOilProduction(kbpd)
…And We Can’t Export Crude Oil?!
“According to this map we have gone 4 inches”
Harry, Dumb & Dumber
___________________________________
Source: Bloomberg, TPH Research
$2
$15
$12
$93
$95
$91
BAKKEN
$82
WTI OK
$87
WTI/MID
$87
LLS
$91
ARAB-MEDIUM
$89
MARS
$89
MAYA
$86
WCS
$73
ANS
$98
EASTCOAST
$95
BRENT
$100
$13
$5
$4
$2
$14
$2
$9 Pipe
$14 Rail
Minimum
$2/bbl Quality
Differential
$77
$13
$103
$21
$5
$108 $87
$10
$20
$104
$107
$2
$3
$102
$110
$15
$18
$93
$2
$95
$91
$16
$12
Analyst Certification:
I, Dave Pursell, do hereby certify that, to the best of my knowledge, the views
and opinions in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about
the company and its securities. I have not nor will not receive direct or indirect
compensation in return for expressing specific recommendations or viewpoints in
this report.
Important Disclosure:
Dave Pursell does not own any securities mentioned in this report.
Ratings: B = buy, A = accumulate, H = hold, T = trim, S = sell, NR = not rated
For detailed rating information, distribution of ratings, price charts and other
important disclosures, please visit our website at www.TPHco.com. To request a
written copy of the disclosures please call 800-507-2400 or write to Tudor,
Pickering, Holt & Co. Securities, Inc. 1111 Bagby, Suite 4800, Houston, TX 77002.
OTHER DISCLOSURES
Trade Name
Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. is the global brand name for Tudor, Pickering,
Holt & Co. Securities, Inc. (TPHCSI) and its non-US affiliates worldwide.
Legal Entities Disclosures
U.S.: TPHCSI is a member of FINRA and SIPC. U.K.: Tudor, Pickering, Holt &
Co. International, LLP is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct
Authority. Registered in England & Wales No. OC349535. Registered Office
is 5th Floor, 6 St. Andrew Street, London EC4A 3AE.
Canada
The information contained herein is not, and under no circumstances is to be
construed as, a prospectus, an advertisement, a public offering, an offer to
sell securities described herein, or solicitation of an offer to buy securities
described herein, in Canada or any province or territory thereof. Any offer or
sale of the securities described herein in Canada will be made only under an
exemption from the requirements to file a prospectus with the relevant
Canadian securities regulators and only in the relevant province or territory of
Canada in which such offer or sale is made. The information contained herein
is under no circumstances to be construed as investment advice in any
province or territory of Canada and is not tailored to the needs of the
recipient. To the extent that the information contained herein references
securities of an issuer incorporated, formed or created under the laws of
Canada or a province or territory of Canada, any trades in such securities must
be conducted through a dealer registered in Canada. No securities commission
or similar regulatory authority has reviewed or in any way passed judgment
upon these materials, the information contained herein or the merits of the
securities described herein and any representation to the contrary is an
offense.
United Kingdom
Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co International LLP does not provide accounting, tax
or legal advice. In addition, we mutually agree that, subject to applicable law,
you (and your employees, representatives and other agents) may disclose any
aspects of any potential transaction or structure described herein that are
necessary to support any UK income tax benefits, and all materials of any kind
(including tax opinions and other tax analyses) related to those benefits, with
no limitations imposed by Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co International LLP or its
affiliates.
The information contained herein is confidential (except for information
relating to tax issues) and may not be reproduced in whole or in part. Tudor,
Pickering, Holt & Co International LLP assumes no responsibility for independent
verification of third-party information and has relied on such information being
complete and accurate in all material respects. To the extent such information
includes estimates and forecasts of future financial performance (including
estimates of potential cost savings and synergies) prepared by, reviewed or
discussed with the managements of your company and/ or other potential
transaction participants or obtained from public sources, we have assumed that
such estimates and forecasts have been reasonably prepared on bases reflecting
the best currently available estimates and judgments of such managements (or,
with respect to estimates and forecasts obtained from public sources, represent
reasonable estimates). These materials were designed for use by specific
persons familiar with the business and the affairs of your company and Tudor,
Pickering, Holt & Co International LLP materials.
This information is intended only for the use of professional clients and eligible
counterparties or persons who would fall into these categories if they were
clients of Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co International, LLP, or any of its
affiliates. Retail clients must not rely on this document and should note that
the services of Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co International, LLP, are not available
to them.
Under no circumstances is this presentation to be used or considered as an offer
to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy, any security. Prior to making any
trade, you should discuss with your professional tax, accounting, or regulatory
advisers how such particular trade(s) affect you. This brief statement does not
disclose all of the risks and other significant aspects of entering into any
particular transaction.
Notice to UK Investors: This publication is produced by Tudor, Pickering, Holt &
Co. Securities, Inc. which is regulated in the United States by FINRA. It is to be
communicated only to persons of a kind described in Articles 19 and 49 of the
Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005. It
must not be further transmitted to any other person without our consent. Any
other person should not rely on or act upon the content of this publication.
Persons falling within Article 19 include authorised or exempt investment firms,
UK or overseas governments, UK or overseas local authorities or international
organisations. Person falling within Article 49 include companies or
unincorporated associations with net assets or called-up share capital of £5
million or subsidiary companies of the same that have net assets or called-up
share capital of £500,000
Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. International, LLP is a limited liability partnership
registered in England and Wales (registered number OC349535). Its registered
Office is 5th Floor, 6 St. Andrew Street, London EC4A 3AE.
Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. International, LLP (TPH International) is authorised
and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, and is a separate but
affiliated entity of Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. Securities, Inc. (TPH
Securities). TPH Securities is a member of FINRA and SIPC. Unless governing
law permits otherwise, you must contact the Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co.
entity in your home jurisdiction if you want to use our services in effecting a
transaction.
See http://www.TPHco.com/Disclosure/ for further information on regulatory
disclosures including disclosures relating to potential conflicts of interest.
Copyright 2014, Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. This information is confidential
and is intended only for the individual named. This information may not be
disclosed, copied or disseminated, in whole or in part, without the prior
written permission of Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. This communication is based
on information which Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. believes is reliable.
However, Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. does not represent or warrant its
accuracy. The viewpoints and opinions expressed in this communication
represent the views of TPH as of the date of this report. These viewpoints and
opinions may be subject to change without notice and TPH will not be
responsible for any consequences associated with reliance on any statement or
opinion contained in this communication. The viewpoints and opinions herein
do not take into consideration individual client circumstances, objectives, or
needs and are not intended as recommendations of particular securities,
financial instruments or strategies to particular clients. Past performance is
not indicative of future results. This message should not be considered as an
offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Institutional Communication
Only. Under FINRA Rule 2210, this communication is deemed institutional
sales material and it is not meant for distribution to retail investors.
Recipients should not forward this communication to a retail investor.
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
- A Manufacture’s Perspective -
Presented by:
Paul DeWeese
CEO – Southwest Oilfield Products
Global Market Climates
A Manufacture’s Perspective
INTRO
Global Market Climates
A Manufacture’s Perspective
FAST FACTS
• Established in 1947 (65+ years)
• Global Footprint
– Headquarters / Mud Pump Solutions Manufacturing; Houston, TX
– Well Service Equipment Manufacturing; Ft. Worth, TX
– 15 SWOP Owned Locations / 20+ Agent locations
• Sales Overview
– Global Sales Force
– Sales in over 80 Countries
– Over 450 Customers
• Product Portfolio
– Mud Pump Solutions: L-Shaped Fluid-Ends, Pistons, Liners, Valves & Seats….
– Well Servicing Equipment: Coil Tubing Units, Nitrogen Pumping, Frac Pumps &
Consumables
Southwest Oilfield Products is a premier oil and gas equipment manufacturer that provides our
global customer base with best-in-class well servicing equipment and mud pump solutions.
Global Market Climates
A Manufacture’s Perspective
INDUSTRY OVERVIEWS
Well ServicesExploration & Production
 Geographically Concentrated
 North America largest market
 Highly fragmented equipment & service market
 Continued domestic equipment surplus /
Increasing potential internationally
 A record 400 shale wells may be drilled beyond U.S.
borders in 2014
 Technology renaissance in US land drilling
boosts efficiency
 US rig count relatively flat / Increasing
International activity
 Positive trend in global offshore drilling fleet
 Overall positive outlook due to growing demand
from China, Middle East and Latin America
Global Market Climates
A Manufacture’s Perspective
Technology Renaissance
Source: Wyatt Investment Research
In 2013, 17 Million More Feet Drilled with 100 less rigs…
 Pad Drilling /Walking Rigs
 Reduces impact on developable land
 More efficient approach than traditional vertical drilling
 Increased # of AC Rigs
 More accurate control of speed and torque
 Improved motor efficiency
 Less Noise & Reduced Emissions
 7500 PSI Mud Pumps System Upgrades Boost Efficiency
 Increased Drilling Efficiency & Depth Range
 Broadens Operating Range for Mud Pump System
 Increases Rig Versatility
Global Market Climates
A Manufacture’s Perspective
The “C” Word
From a Manufacture’s Perspective…
 Increased adoption of foreign manufactured
items
 5 Years Ago you were kicked off the rig for saying
“Chinese-made”
 Lower cost has put downward price pressure
on American manufactures
 “I can buy 2 for the price of 1!”
 Improved manufacturing sophistication has
yielded better quality
Global Market Climates
A Manufacture’s Perspective
Manufacturing
 Increasing raw material costs
 Labor costs & availability
 Technology Efficiencies
 General Overhead Cost
 Healthcare
 Environmental
 Taxes
Global Market Climates
A Manufacture’s Perspective
North America
 Rig Activity and Utilization
expected to remain flat in 2014
 Land Rig Rates unchanged at an
average of $26K/day, while
offshore rates climb 2 – 3%
 Rig Efficiency is a key contributor
to declined rig counts
 Continued shift towards modern
drilling rigs(7500psi, AC, Pad Drilling)
 Ongoing consolidations,
restructuring & bankruptcies
 2014 frac pricing rates expected to
decrease
 US Aftermarket remains strong!
10
12
14
16
18
11Q4
12Q1
12Q2
12Q3
12Q4
13Q1
13Q2
13Q3
13Q4
14Q1
14Q2
14Q3
14Q4
FracHorsepower(MMHHP)
US FRAC SUPPLY & DEMAND
Frac Demand Frac Capacity
SURPLUS
$590
$450
$400
$220
$26
$- $200 $400 $600 $800
Ultra-Deepwater
Deepwater
Mid Water Floater
Jack Up
US Land Rig
Avg. Day Rate ($K)
Sources: Spears & Associates DPO, www.deepwater.com,
PacWest Consulting
Global Market Climates
A Manufacture’s Perspective
LATIN AMERICA
 Despite political instabilities,
2014 rig activity projected to
increase 6%
 Mexico Energy Reform opens
door?
 Market has significant demand
but risk is high due to instability
Global Market Climates
A Manufacture’s Perspective
MIDDLE EAST / AFRICA
 2014 MEA Rig activity is robust;
10% increase expected
 Political uncertainty in North
Africa continues to impact
growth
 Strong West Africa Market /
Promising E. Africa Development
 A very optimistic outlook for
2014.
 80% of our WSE business has
been destined for M.E.
 Highest demand units are:
 Coil Tubing Units
 Nitrogen Pumpers
 We expect aftermarket business
to blossom in coming years
479
542
440
460
480
500
520
540
560
Middle East & Africa Rig Count
Sources: BakerHughes
Global Market Climates
A Manufacture’s Perspective
EUROPE
 2014 Rig activity is healthy with
a projected 6% increase
 Primary market of focus is North
Sea
 Mature but stable market
 Russia – High Potential / High
Risk
 Small Market / Low Potential
International
Frac HP
Europe
5%
Global Market Climates
A Manufacture’s Perspective
ASIA
 2014 Rig activity is modest with a
projected 4% increase
 Stable regional activity
 Significant growth potential in
Australia LNG
 Positioned to become largest LNG
Exporter
 Abundance of activity at Keppel FELS
 China presents growing well
intervention market
 Large shale gas reserves is
boosting market momentum
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
0.71
1.46
2.59
3.07
3.45
4.2
5.83
7.57
FracHP(MMHHP)
China Frac Capacity
Sources: PacWest Energy Consultants
Global Market Climates
A Manufacture’s Perspective
CLOSING THOUGHTS
POSITIVE OUTLOOK
• North America Drilling
• Middle East Drilling
• Middle East Well
Service
• Global Offshore
Market
• Asia Drilling
• China Well Service
CAUTIOUSLY OPTIMISTIC
• North America Frac &
Well Services Market
• Mexico Energy Reform
• East & West Africa
Development
CONCERNS
• Venezuela
• Argentina
• North Africa
Questions & Answers

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BoyarMiller Breakfast Forum: Perspectives on the Energy Industry – March 2014

  • 2. Thoughts on Oil & Gas Markets Dave Pursell dpursell@tphco.com 713-333-2962 March 2014 Houston, TX *Disclosures on page 9*
  • 3. Cold Weather Matters! ___________________________________ Source: EIA 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 27-Dec 28-Mar 27-Jun 26-Sep 26-Dec WorkingGas,bcf Normal Max 2014 Min 2013
  • 4. Gas Production Growth 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 OnshoreGasProduction,bcf/day Onshore Growth Shale Deniers Repent! Bueller? …Bueller? …Bueller? ___________________________________ Source: EIA
  • 5. Hydraulic Fracturing Saved the U.S. Industrial Sector ___________________________________ Source: TPH Research 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 GasProduction(bcf/d) All other basins Marcellus, Utica, Eagle Ford
  • 6. Inventories point to a balanced (or better) global market Global Inventories – Crude Oil & Refined Products "That's mathematics, son. You can argue with me, but you can't argue with figures” Foghorn Leghorn ___________________________________ Source: IEA, TPH Research 2,200 2,400 2,600 2,800 3,000 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec MillionBarrels 2013 Max Min Norm 2012
  • 7. Non-OPEC Oil Production 25 30 35 40 45 50 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0 9.5 10.0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Non-OPEC(ex-U.S.)Supply,mmbpd U.S.Supply,mmbpd United States Non-US, Non-OPEC “I can hardly remember how I built my bankroll, but I can't stop thinking of how I lost it” Mike McDermott, Rounders ___________________________________ Source: IEA, TPH Research Non-U.S., Non-OPEC supply is stagnant
  • 8. U.S. Crude Oil Growth! ___________________________________ Source: EIA 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000 6,500 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 U.S.OnshoreOilProduction(kbpd)
  • 9. …And We Can’t Export Crude Oil?! “According to this map we have gone 4 inches” Harry, Dumb & Dumber ___________________________________ Source: Bloomberg, TPH Research $2 $15 $12 $93 $95 $91 BAKKEN $82 WTI OK $87 WTI/MID $87 LLS $91 ARAB-MEDIUM $89 MARS $89 MAYA $86 WCS $73 ANS $98 EASTCOAST $95 BRENT $100 $13 $5 $4 $2 $14 $2 $9 Pipe $14 Rail Minimum $2/bbl Quality Differential $77 $13 $103 $21 $5 $108 $87 $10 $20 $104 $107 $2 $3 $102 $110 $15 $18 $93 $2 $95 $91 $16 $12
  • 10. Analyst Certification: I, Dave Pursell, do hereby certify that, to the best of my knowledge, the views and opinions in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about the company and its securities. I have not nor will not receive direct or indirect compensation in return for expressing specific recommendations or viewpoints in this report. Important Disclosure: Dave Pursell does not own any securities mentioned in this report. Ratings: B = buy, A = accumulate, H = hold, T = trim, S = sell, NR = not rated For detailed rating information, distribution of ratings, price charts and other important disclosures, please visit our website at www.TPHco.com. To request a written copy of the disclosures please call 800-507-2400 or write to Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. Securities, Inc. 1111 Bagby, Suite 4800, Houston, TX 77002. OTHER DISCLOSURES Trade Name Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. is the global brand name for Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. Securities, Inc. (TPHCSI) and its non-US affiliates worldwide. Legal Entities Disclosures U.S.: TPHCSI is a member of FINRA and SIPC. U.K.: Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. International, LLP is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Registered in England & Wales No. OC349535. Registered Office is 5th Floor, 6 St. Andrew Street, London EC4A 3AE. Canada The information contained herein is not, and under no circumstances is to be construed as, a prospectus, an advertisement, a public offering, an offer to sell securities described herein, or solicitation of an offer to buy securities described herein, in Canada or any province or territory thereof. Any offer or sale of the securities described herein in Canada will be made only under an exemption from the requirements to file a prospectus with the relevant Canadian securities regulators and only in the relevant province or territory of Canada in which such offer or sale is made. The information contained herein is under no circumstances to be construed as investment advice in any province or territory of Canada and is not tailored to the needs of the recipient. To the extent that the information contained herein references securities of an issuer incorporated, formed or created under the laws of Canada or a province or territory of Canada, any trades in such securities must be conducted through a dealer registered in Canada. No securities commission or similar regulatory authority has reviewed or in any way passed judgment upon these materials, the information contained herein or the merits of the securities described herein and any representation to the contrary is an offense. United Kingdom Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co International LLP does not provide accounting, tax or legal advice. In addition, we mutually agree that, subject to applicable law, you (and your employees, representatives and other agents) may disclose any aspects of any potential transaction or structure described herein that are necessary to support any UK income tax benefits, and all materials of any kind (including tax opinions and other tax analyses) related to those benefits, with no limitations imposed by Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co International LLP or its affiliates.
  • 11. The information contained herein is confidential (except for information relating to tax issues) and may not be reproduced in whole or in part. Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co International LLP assumes no responsibility for independent verification of third-party information and has relied on such information being complete and accurate in all material respects. To the extent such information includes estimates and forecasts of future financial performance (including estimates of potential cost savings and synergies) prepared by, reviewed or discussed with the managements of your company and/ or other potential transaction participants or obtained from public sources, we have assumed that such estimates and forecasts have been reasonably prepared on bases reflecting the best currently available estimates and judgments of such managements (or, with respect to estimates and forecasts obtained from public sources, represent reasonable estimates). These materials were designed for use by specific persons familiar with the business and the affairs of your company and Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co International LLP materials. This information is intended only for the use of professional clients and eligible counterparties or persons who would fall into these categories if they were clients of Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co International, LLP, or any of its affiliates. Retail clients must not rely on this document and should note that the services of Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co International, LLP, are not available to them. Under no circumstances is this presentation to be used or considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy, any security. Prior to making any trade, you should discuss with your professional tax, accounting, or regulatory advisers how such particular trade(s) affect you. This brief statement does not disclose all of the risks and other significant aspects of entering into any particular transaction. Notice to UK Investors: This publication is produced by Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. Securities, Inc. which is regulated in the United States by FINRA. It is to be communicated only to persons of a kind described in Articles 19 and 49 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005. It must not be further transmitted to any other person without our consent. Any other person should not rely on or act upon the content of this publication. Persons falling within Article 19 include authorised or exempt investment firms, UK or overseas governments, UK or overseas local authorities or international organisations. 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  • 33. - A Manufacture’s Perspective - Presented by: Paul DeWeese CEO – Southwest Oilfield Products
  • 34. Global Market Climates A Manufacture’s Perspective INTRO
  • 35. Global Market Climates A Manufacture’s Perspective FAST FACTS • Established in 1947 (65+ years) • Global Footprint – Headquarters / Mud Pump Solutions Manufacturing; Houston, TX – Well Service Equipment Manufacturing; Ft. Worth, TX – 15 SWOP Owned Locations / 20+ Agent locations • Sales Overview – Global Sales Force – Sales in over 80 Countries – Over 450 Customers • Product Portfolio – Mud Pump Solutions: L-Shaped Fluid-Ends, Pistons, Liners, Valves & Seats…. – Well Servicing Equipment: Coil Tubing Units, Nitrogen Pumping, Frac Pumps & Consumables Southwest Oilfield Products is a premier oil and gas equipment manufacturer that provides our global customer base with best-in-class well servicing equipment and mud pump solutions.
  • 36. Global Market Climates A Manufacture’s Perspective INDUSTRY OVERVIEWS Well ServicesExploration & Production  Geographically Concentrated  North America largest market  Highly fragmented equipment & service market  Continued domestic equipment surplus / Increasing potential internationally  A record 400 shale wells may be drilled beyond U.S. borders in 2014  Technology renaissance in US land drilling boosts efficiency  US rig count relatively flat / Increasing International activity  Positive trend in global offshore drilling fleet  Overall positive outlook due to growing demand from China, Middle East and Latin America
  • 37. Global Market Climates A Manufacture’s Perspective Technology Renaissance Source: Wyatt Investment Research In 2013, 17 Million More Feet Drilled with 100 less rigs…  Pad Drilling /Walking Rigs  Reduces impact on developable land  More efficient approach than traditional vertical drilling  Increased # of AC Rigs  More accurate control of speed and torque  Improved motor efficiency  Less Noise & Reduced Emissions  7500 PSI Mud Pumps System Upgrades Boost Efficiency  Increased Drilling Efficiency & Depth Range  Broadens Operating Range for Mud Pump System  Increases Rig Versatility
  • 38. Global Market Climates A Manufacture’s Perspective The “C” Word From a Manufacture’s Perspective…  Increased adoption of foreign manufactured items  5 Years Ago you were kicked off the rig for saying “Chinese-made”  Lower cost has put downward price pressure on American manufactures  “I can buy 2 for the price of 1!”  Improved manufacturing sophistication has yielded better quality
  • 39. Global Market Climates A Manufacture’s Perspective Manufacturing  Increasing raw material costs  Labor costs & availability  Technology Efficiencies  General Overhead Cost  Healthcare  Environmental  Taxes
  • 40. Global Market Climates A Manufacture’s Perspective North America  Rig Activity and Utilization expected to remain flat in 2014  Land Rig Rates unchanged at an average of $26K/day, while offshore rates climb 2 – 3%  Rig Efficiency is a key contributor to declined rig counts  Continued shift towards modern drilling rigs(7500psi, AC, Pad Drilling)  Ongoing consolidations, restructuring & bankruptcies  2014 frac pricing rates expected to decrease  US Aftermarket remains strong! 10 12 14 16 18 11Q4 12Q1 12Q2 12Q3 12Q4 13Q1 13Q2 13Q3 13Q4 14Q1 14Q2 14Q3 14Q4 FracHorsepower(MMHHP) US FRAC SUPPLY & DEMAND Frac Demand Frac Capacity SURPLUS $590 $450 $400 $220 $26 $- $200 $400 $600 $800 Ultra-Deepwater Deepwater Mid Water Floater Jack Up US Land Rig Avg. Day Rate ($K) Sources: Spears & Associates DPO, www.deepwater.com, PacWest Consulting
  • 41. Global Market Climates A Manufacture’s Perspective LATIN AMERICA  Despite political instabilities, 2014 rig activity projected to increase 6%  Mexico Energy Reform opens door?  Market has significant demand but risk is high due to instability
  • 42. Global Market Climates A Manufacture’s Perspective MIDDLE EAST / AFRICA  2014 MEA Rig activity is robust; 10% increase expected  Political uncertainty in North Africa continues to impact growth  Strong West Africa Market / Promising E. Africa Development  A very optimistic outlook for 2014.  80% of our WSE business has been destined for M.E.  Highest demand units are:  Coil Tubing Units  Nitrogen Pumpers  We expect aftermarket business to blossom in coming years 479 542 440 460 480 500 520 540 560 Middle East & Africa Rig Count Sources: BakerHughes
  • 43. Global Market Climates A Manufacture’s Perspective EUROPE  2014 Rig activity is healthy with a projected 6% increase  Primary market of focus is North Sea  Mature but stable market  Russia – High Potential / High Risk  Small Market / Low Potential International Frac HP Europe 5%
  • 44. Global Market Climates A Manufacture’s Perspective ASIA  2014 Rig activity is modest with a projected 4% increase  Stable regional activity  Significant growth potential in Australia LNG  Positioned to become largest LNG Exporter  Abundance of activity at Keppel FELS  China presents growing well intervention market  Large shale gas reserves is boosting market momentum 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 0.71 1.46 2.59 3.07 3.45 4.2 5.83 7.57 FracHP(MMHHP) China Frac Capacity Sources: PacWest Energy Consultants
  • 45. Global Market Climates A Manufacture’s Perspective CLOSING THOUGHTS POSITIVE OUTLOOK • North America Drilling • Middle East Drilling • Middle East Well Service • Global Offshore Market • Asia Drilling • China Well Service CAUTIOUSLY OPTIMISTIC • North America Frac & Well Services Market • Mexico Energy Reform • East & West Africa Development CONCERNS • Venezuela • Argentina • North Africa