This document discusses basic forecasting using DynMX Supply Chain Apps. It provides an overview of what basic forecasting is, what is needed to do a basic forecast, and how to perform and interpret the analysis. Basic forecasting predicts future demand values based on historical data using time series algorithms and calculates prediction accuracy. It requires Excel, the DynMX Supply Chain Add-In downloaded from their website, and historical data points to forecast future periods. The analysis provides a forecasted values table, time series graph, box plots of grouped data, and prediction accuracy level.

1. DynMX® -Basic
Forecasting
Improve decision making using statistics
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3. DynMX® Supply Chain Apps
You will not find faster high quality analysis tools for your supply chain. The analysis
provide perfect insight for your organization to optimize your supply chain.
Download and test the Supply Chain Add Inns – apps for a free
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4. Basic Forecasting, what is it?
• A prediction visual demand based in historical
values, with set points for prediction accuracy.
• This Time series uses algorithms to predict future
values based on your historic data.
• Calculates predictability uncertainty
• The number of stars indicate the complexity of the
required input data and analysis
BASIC FORECASTING
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5. What do you need?
• MS Office - Excel
• DynMX Supply Chain Apps
• Go to the website and download the apps
• Follow the instructions Office Add-ins
• Install Supply Chain Add-In
• Get started, select the module BASIC FORECASTING
• Data of the routes you want to optimize
• Historic data points in sequence
• Value of the data point – use data from a ratio scale
possesses a meaningful (unique and non-arbitrary) zero value
• Set the number of prediction periods of choice
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6. Do the analysis
• Follow the easy and fast 4-step process
• Select between several modes of transportation,
including driving, walking or cycling
• Set Restrictions for avoiding tolls, highways and ferries
can also be set.
• In the free trail, the input data is limited
• Upgrade your account to use the full potential of all the
apps
• Not a frequent user, but need the data results?
• Contact Act2Vision and we will do the analysis for you
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7. The Result 1. A table with number of predicted values
2. A Time Series graph with predicted values
3. A series of Box plots with grouped data
(Median, Range, Outliers)
4. Prediction Accuracy (Accuracy of 1 indicates a
perfect accuracy, whereas the accuracy of 0
indicates a random guess)
Your benefit?
• Insight in patterns, seasonality, business development
• Study Grouped data and get better understanding of variance, stability
• Predictability Accuracy with 1 = perfect accuracy and 0 = random guess
Advice?
Understand your data, but never keep your mind working as nobody can
predict the future!
Time SeriesBox Plot
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8. Don’t have time but need insight
in your Supply Chain?
• Sent an email to info@Act2Vision.com
• Together we will start up the four steps process and do the analyses for
you.
• Because your data is confidential we sent a confidentiality agreement.
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9. Act2Vision
• SME, founded in 2016, with Vision
• Sharing knowledge and experience
• Drive for excellence (quality, delivery, flexibility and costs)
• Sustainable and responsible approach (re-use of materials, GHG-
reduction, smart solutions)
• Focus on Supply Chains
• Contractlogistics, Warehousing, Operations
• Supply Chain Solutions
• Supply Chain Apps & Analysis
• Contact Act2Vision
• Amsterdam region, The Netherlands
• www.act2vision.com
• info@act2vision.com
“excellent operations and supply chains”
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