SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1
F P E N T R E P R E N E U R
Avoid today’s valuation
black hole
Brad Cherniak | Sapient Capital Partners
Reprinted May 31, 2017
University of Toronto Falling into the valuation black hole in today's market can be confusing, unpredictable and
costly.
2
Black holes are those fascinating and mysterious distant formations in our universe — big, dark and
dangerous, and you shouldn’t go near them. Which is exactly how owners of private companies looking to
sell should view the valuation black hole in the market today. Falling into this black hole can be confusing,
unpredictable and costly.
The world of private companies and mergers and acquisitions transactions can be broken down into the
following value grades:
“A” Companies, considered “leaders” in their space, with strong historical and forecast sales and
operating margins, and few to no perceived weaknesses.
“B” Companies, considered “good.” They may have suffered a bit in the economic downturn post-
2008, but their performance has rebounded and their outlook is good overall, with few critical
weaknesses.
“C” Companies, considered “average”. Their historical performance has its ups and downs, and
their results may not have bounced back fully post-2008. They may have material, even critical,
weaknesses, but are still relatively good companies overall.
“D” Companies that are the turnarounds, or “challenged” and may be labouring under a flawed
business model or weak balance sheet.
About now, you may be thinking, “this doesn’t seem to be a big problem for me and my company. Sure we
have our flaws, but overall, I would place us as a solid B. That would suggest there is significant buyer
demand for my company. And valuations being volatile for B companies suggests upside as well as
downside.”
But the crux is whether the buyer universe rates your company the same as you do. In part due to the state
of the global economy, the moneyholders are still in a position of unprecedented power in most cases.
Interestingly, for A companies, the opposite is true. They often experience buyer feeding frenzies that can
result in crazily high valuations. In a dangerous, volatile world, but with lots of capital to invest, there is no
better place to put it than with the market leaders. Right? These tend to be larger companies, whether
private or publicly listed.
But back to the more typical small to mid-sized business, and the valuation black hole. Risk-averse and
generally stressed about everything, buyers are having a difficult time finding what they consider to be B
companies.
3
To make matters worse, the criteria to distinguish between B and C companies is amorphous and
subjective. Often, the same set of facts with the same buyer will result in a different assessment. That
might be due to the smallest thing in discussions with the prospective buyer or in due diligence.
What it really means is buyers are looking for reasons to make you a C at the least provocation. This is self-
serving, as the valuation of a B company can be twice that of a C, all else being equal. The result is a large
number of B companies have been painted as Cs by prospective buyers, so while buyer demand for Bs is
high, deal activity in this segment is low. At the C level, buyer interest and deal activity are both very low,
although the segment is very large. This is the black hole.
Much of what you need to do to avoid the black hole is pretty traditional stuff, but it is surprising how many
companies fail to check these boxes. It is also surprising how long it takes and how costly it is to do so if you
leave it too late.
In a nutshell, they are:
— Clean up your balance sheet, don’t force the buyer to do it. This can take time and involve some cost.
— Get rid of extraneous investments or lines of business that complicate the assessment of your company
and its fundamentals, which is also time consuming and costly.
— Craft the message of the opportunity your company represents carefully. Don’t just lay out the facts and
hope the buyer gets the core message.
— Find ways to create the pattern of growth in sales and profit margins that buyers look for. Be ruthless and
obsessive about it.
— Have a good process for identifying and approaching buyers.
— Assess your team and fix any holes now.
— Have several years of financial statements, ideally audited or reviewed.
— Tidy up your contracts and records. Be ready for buyer due diligence, don’t scramble.
— Have a forecasting/budgeting process and show you can hit your targets and explain variances. This is a
critical one for getting into the B category.
— Avoid being reactive to the buyer and being put on the defensive. Lead the agenda as much as you can.
4
Ensuring your company is a B can take years of preparation, so plan and act accordingly. The reward for
doing so can be great.
Brad Cherniak has spent more than 20 years as a principal, advisor to and investor in private
companies. He is co-founder and partner at Sapient Capital Partners, a Toronto-based advisory
firm to companies from early stage to $50-million in revenues (www.sapientcap.com). He can be
reached at brad@sapientcap.com and you can follow him on Twitter as @SapientCapital.
This article originally appeared in the Financial Post on February 11, 2013.

More Related Content

What's hot

Tips for a Good Pitch
Tips for a Good PitchTips for a Good Pitch
Tips for a Good Pitch
Todd Hixon
 
The Exit Process- August 27 2018
The Exit Process- August 27 2018The Exit Process- August 27 2018
The Exit Process- August 27 2018
homebrew65
 
Exit Strategy and Succession Planning - From Plan to Execution
Exit Strategy and Succession Planning - From Plan to ExecutionExit Strategy and Succession Planning - From Plan to Execution
Exit Strategy and Succession Planning - From Plan to Execution
CBIZ, Inc.
 
When to Sell Your Company
When to Sell Your CompanyWhen to Sell Your Company
When to Sell Your Company
Jeffrey Bussgang
 
Riding the raise
Riding the raiseRiding the raise
Riding the raise
Jonathan Patrick
 
Summary: Rules in Business Reputation
Summary: Rules in Business ReputationSummary: Rules in Business Reputation
Summary: Rules in Business Reputation
Leo Vidal
 
Private Equity Turns To Performance-Based Metrics To Get Deals Done
Private Equity Turns To Performance-Based Metrics To Get Deals DonePrivate Equity Turns To Performance-Based Metrics To Get Deals Done
Private Equity Turns To Performance-Based Metrics To Get Deals Done
Scott Tominaga
 
Peter Bardwick Pragmatic Smart IPO Preparation Accelerating Growth Summit 2017
Peter Bardwick Pragmatic Smart IPO Preparation Accelerating Growth Summit 2017Peter Bardwick Pragmatic Smart IPO Preparation Accelerating Growth Summit 2017
Peter Bardwick Pragmatic Smart IPO Preparation Accelerating Growth Summit 2017
Peter Bardwick
 
what_is_your_ent_profile_14apr07
what_is_your_ent_profile_14apr07what_is_your_ent_profile_14apr07
what_is_your_ent_profile_14apr07
Lisa Gerr
 
Finding the Upside Of Downturn
Finding the Upside Of DownturnFinding the Upside Of Downturn
Finding the Upside Of Downturn
Jennifer H. Elder
 
How Venture Capital is Like a Relationship
How Venture Capital is Like a RelationshipHow Venture Capital is Like a Relationship
How Venture Capital is Like a Relationship
Lisa Suennen
 
The Ultimate Guide to Startup Marketing
The Ultimate Guide to Startup MarketingThe Ultimate Guide to Startup Marketing
The Ultimate Guide to Startup Marketing
Onboardly
 
The 5 Levers For An Entrepreneur's Most Valuable Creation: Personal Wealth
The 5 Levers For An Entrepreneur's Most Valuable Creation: Personal WealthThe 5 Levers For An Entrepreneur's Most Valuable Creation: Personal Wealth
The 5 Levers For An Entrepreneur's Most Valuable Creation: Personal Wealth
obeisantbreeze194
 
A-Z digital marketing hand look
A-Z digital marketing hand lookA-Z digital marketing hand look
A-Z digital marketing hand look
Hany Sewilam Abdel Hamid
 
Seasons earnings jan_18_13
Seasons earnings jan_18_13Seasons earnings jan_18_13
Seasons earnings jan_18_13
theretirementengineer
 
Buy A Business Begin A Dream 2012
Buy A Business   Begin A Dream 2012Buy A Business   Begin A Dream 2012
Buy A Business Begin A Dream 2012
bzstephens
 
STEP BY STEP BUILD BUSINESS.pdf
STEP BY STEP BUILD BUSINESS.pdfSTEP BY STEP BUILD BUSINESS.pdf
STEP BY STEP BUILD BUSINESS.pdf
ssuserde1115
 
Fundraising-faq
Fundraising-faqFundraising-faq
Fundraising-faq
Takayuki Yamazaki
 
Anything Commercial Nationwide Commercial & Business Loan Opportunity
Anything Commercial Nationwide Commercial & Business Loan OpportunityAnything Commercial Nationwide Commercial & Business Loan Opportunity
Anything Commercial Nationwide Commercial & Business Loan Opportunity
Anything Commercial
 

What's hot (19)

Tips for a Good Pitch
Tips for a Good PitchTips for a Good Pitch
Tips for a Good Pitch
 
The Exit Process- August 27 2018
The Exit Process- August 27 2018The Exit Process- August 27 2018
The Exit Process- August 27 2018
 
Exit Strategy and Succession Planning - From Plan to Execution
Exit Strategy and Succession Planning - From Plan to ExecutionExit Strategy and Succession Planning - From Plan to Execution
Exit Strategy and Succession Planning - From Plan to Execution
 
When to Sell Your Company
When to Sell Your CompanyWhen to Sell Your Company
When to Sell Your Company
 
Riding the raise
Riding the raiseRiding the raise
Riding the raise
 
Summary: Rules in Business Reputation
Summary: Rules in Business ReputationSummary: Rules in Business Reputation
Summary: Rules in Business Reputation
 
Private Equity Turns To Performance-Based Metrics To Get Deals Done
Private Equity Turns To Performance-Based Metrics To Get Deals DonePrivate Equity Turns To Performance-Based Metrics To Get Deals Done
Private Equity Turns To Performance-Based Metrics To Get Deals Done
 
Peter Bardwick Pragmatic Smart IPO Preparation Accelerating Growth Summit 2017
Peter Bardwick Pragmatic Smart IPO Preparation Accelerating Growth Summit 2017Peter Bardwick Pragmatic Smart IPO Preparation Accelerating Growth Summit 2017
Peter Bardwick Pragmatic Smart IPO Preparation Accelerating Growth Summit 2017
 
what_is_your_ent_profile_14apr07
what_is_your_ent_profile_14apr07what_is_your_ent_profile_14apr07
what_is_your_ent_profile_14apr07
 
Finding the Upside Of Downturn
Finding the Upside Of DownturnFinding the Upside Of Downturn
Finding the Upside Of Downturn
 
How Venture Capital is Like a Relationship
How Venture Capital is Like a RelationshipHow Venture Capital is Like a Relationship
How Venture Capital is Like a Relationship
 
The Ultimate Guide to Startup Marketing
The Ultimate Guide to Startup MarketingThe Ultimate Guide to Startup Marketing
The Ultimate Guide to Startup Marketing
 
The 5 Levers For An Entrepreneur's Most Valuable Creation: Personal Wealth
The 5 Levers For An Entrepreneur's Most Valuable Creation: Personal WealthThe 5 Levers For An Entrepreneur's Most Valuable Creation: Personal Wealth
The 5 Levers For An Entrepreneur's Most Valuable Creation: Personal Wealth
 
A-Z digital marketing hand look
A-Z digital marketing hand lookA-Z digital marketing hand look
A-Z digital marketing hand look
 
Seasons earnings jan_18_13
Seasons earnings jan_18_13Seasons earnings jan_18_13
Seasons earnings jan_18_13
 
Buy A Business Begin A Dream 2012
Buy A Business   Begin A Dream 2012Buy A Business   Begin A Dream 2012
Buy A Business Begin A Dream 2012
 
STEP BY STEP BUILD BUSINESS.pdf
STEP BY STEP BUILD BUSINESS.pdfSTEP BY STEP BUILD BUSINESS.pdf
STEP BY STEP BUILD BUSINESS.pdf
 
Fundraising-faq
Fundraising-faqFundraising-faq
Fundraising-faq
 
Anything Commercial Nationwide Commercial & Business Loan Opportunity
Anything Commercial Nationwide Commercial & Business Loan OpportunityAnything Commercial Nationwide Commercial & Business Loan Opportunity
Anything Commercial Nationwide Commercial & Business Loan Opportunity
 

Similar to Avoid today's valuation black hole

Surviving The Recession
Surviving The RecessionSurviving The Recession
Surviving The Recession
guest843193
 
Surviving The Recession
Surviving The RecessionSurviving The Recession
Surviving The Recession
Alan Walsh
 
The Real Reasons Why a VC Says No To You
The Real Reasons Why a VC Says No To YouThe Real Reasons Why a VC Says No To You
The Real Reasons Why a VC Says No To You
Barry Jahansetan
 
Transcript: Alternatives for a Distressed Company in Apparel and Retail
Transcript: Alternatives for a Distressed Company in Apparel and RetailTranscript: Alternatives for a Distressed Company in Apparel and Retail
Transcript: Alternatives for a Distressed Company in Apparel and Retail
Expert Webcast
 
The Brand in the Boardroom: Making the case for investment in brand by Joanna...
The Brand in the Boardroom: Making the case for investment in brand by Joanna...The Brand in the Boardroom: Making the case for investment in brand by Joanna...
The Brand in the Boardroom: Making the case for investment in brand by Joanna...
Ogilvy
 
Essay On Cross 9E TBB Ch17
Essay On Cross 9E TBB Ch17Essay On Cross 9E TBB Ch17
Essay On Cross 9E TBB Ch17
Sandra Arveseth
 
China Due Diligence - Red Flags to Avoid Some of the Pitfalls
China Due Diligence - Red Flags to Avoid Some of the PitfallsChina Due Diligence - Red Flags to Avoid Some of the Pitfalls
China Due Diligence - Red Flags to Avoid Some of the Pitfalls
asianextractor
 
NVBC Dialing For Dollars 2007
NVBC Dialing For Dollars 2007NVBC Dialing For Dollars 2007
NVBC Dialing For Dollars 2007
David Shore
 
Value Screening
Value ScreeningValue Screening
Value Screening
AJ Noronha
 
Business Valuation in the age of COVID-19.pdf
Business Valuation in the age of COVID-19.pdfBusiness Valuation in the age of COVID-19.pdf
Business Valuation in the age of COVID-19.pdf
Fiyona Nourin
 
The Brand in the Boardroom by Joanna Seddon
 The Brand in the Boardroom by Joanna Seddon  The Brand in the Boardroom by Joanna Seddon
The Brand in the Boardroom by Joanna Seddon
NOEMÍ MEDINA
 
True or False? 10 M&A assumptions private companies should be testing
True or False? 10 M&A assumptions private companies should be testingTrue or False? 10 M&A assumptions private companies should be testing
True or False? 10 M&A assumptions private companies should be testing
Deloitte Canada
 
9 Experts on Rethinking Demand Generation: Strategically Target Your Content ...
9 Experts on Rethinking Demand Generation: Strategically Target Your Content ...9 Experts on Rethinking Demand Generation: Strategically Target Your Content ...
9 Experts on Rethinking Demand Generation: Strategically Target Your Content ...
Mighty Guides, Inc.
 
Neverfail Computing
Neverfail ComputingNeverfail Computing
Neverfail Computing
Sheena Crouch
 
Pitch Imperfect: A Swystun Communications Paper
Pitch Imperfect: A Swystun Communications PaperPitch Imperfect: A Swystun Communications Paper
Pitch Imperfect: A Swystun Communications Paper
Swystun Communications
 
Getting investment ready tech4 africa (zach)
Getting investment ready   tech4 africa (zach)Getting investment ready   tech4 africa (zach)
Getting investment ready tech4 africa (zach)
Saratoga
 
The Echelon RIA M&A Dealbook
The Echelon RIA M&A DealbookThe Echelon RIA M&A Dealbook
The Echelon RIA M&A Dealbook
Carolyn Armitage
 
The brand in_the_boardroom_making_the_case_for_investment_in_brand
The brand in_the_boardroom_making_the_case_for_investment_in_brandThe brand in_the_boardroom_making_the_case_for_investment_in_brand
The brand in_the_boardroom_making_the_case_for_investment_in_brand
AdCMO
 
Idea for reject the recession
Idea for reject the recessionIdea for reject the recession
Idea for reject the recession
adityakishore099
 
Why do Startups Fail 2024.pdf - avoid mistakes
Why do Startups Fail 2024.pdf - avoid mistakesWhy do Startups Fail 2024.pdf - avoid mistakes
Why do Startups Fail 2024.pdf - avoid mistakes
Richard Guha
 

Similar to Avoid today's valuation black hole (20)

Surviving The Recession
Surviving The RecessionSurviving The Recession
Surviving The Recession
 
Surviving The Recession
Surviving The RecessionSurviving The Recession
Surviving The Recession
 
The Real Reasons Why a VC Says No To You
The Real Reasons Why a VC Says No To YouThe Real Reasons Why a VC Says No To You
The Real Reasons Why a VC Says No To You
 
Transcript: Alternatives for a Distressed Company in Apparel and Retail
Transcript: Alternatives for a Distressed Company in Apparel and RetailTranscript: Alternatives for a Distressed Company in Apparel and Retail
Transcript: Alternatives for a Distressed Company in Apparel and Retail
 
The Brand in the Boardroom: Making the case for investment in brand by Joanna...
The Brand in the Boardroom: Making the case for investment in brand by Joanna...The Brand in the Boardroom: Making the case for investment in brand by Joanna...
The Brand in the Boardroom: Making the case for investment in brand by Joanna...
 
Essay On Cross 9E TBB Ch17
Essay On Cross 9E TBB Ch17Essay On Cross 9E TBB Ch17
Essay On Cross 9E TBB Ch17
 
China Due Diligence - Red Flags to Avoid Some of the Pitfalls
China Due Diligence - Red Flags to Avoid Some of the PitfallsChina Due Diligence - Red Flags to Avoid Some of the Pitfalls
China Due Diligence - Red Flags to Avoid Some of the Pitfalls
 
NVBC Dialing For Dollars 2007
NVBC Dialing For Dollars 2007NVBC Dialing For Dollars 2007
NVBC Dialing For Dollars 2007
 
Value Screening
Value ScreeningValue Screening
Value Screening
 
Business Valuation in the age of COVID-19.pdf
Business Valuation in the age of COVID-19.pdfBusiness Valuation in the age of COVID-19.pdf
Business Valuation in the age of COVID-19.pdf
 
The Brand in the Boardroom by Joanna Seddon
 The Brand in the Boardroom by Joanna Seddon  The Brand in the Boardroom by Joanna Seddon
The Brand in the Boardroom by Joanna Seddon
 
True or False? 10 M&A assumptions private companies should be testing
True or False? 10 M&A assumptions private companies should be testingTrue or False? 10 M&A assumptions private companies should be testing
True or False? 10 M&A assumptions private companies should be testing
 
9 Experts on Rethinking Demand Generation: Strategically Target Your Content ...
9 Experts on Rethinking Demand Generation: Strategically Target Your Content ...9 Experts on Rethinking Demand Generation: Strategically Target Your Content ...
9 Experts on Rethinking Demand Generation: Strategically Target Your Content ...
 
Neverfail Computing
Neverfail ComputingNeverfail Computing
Neverfail Computing
 
Pitch Imperfect: A Swystun Communications Paper
Pitch Imperfect: A Swystun Communications PaperPitch Imperfect: A Swystun Communications Paper
Pitch Imperfect: A Swystun Communications Paper
 
Getting investment ready tech4 africa (zach)
Getting investment ready   tech4 africa (zach)Getting investment ready   tech4 africa (zach)
Getting investment ready tech4 africa (zach)
 
The Echelon RIA M&A Dealbook
The Echelon RIA M&A DealbookThe Echelon RIA M&A Dealbook
The Echelon RIA M&A Dealbook
 
The brand in_the_boardroom_making_the_case_for_investment_in_brand
The brand in_the_boardroom_making_the_case_for_investment_in_brandThe brand in_the_boardroom_making_the_case_for_investment_in_brand
The brand in_the_boardroom_making_the_case_for_investment_in_brand
 
Idea for reject the recession
Idea for reject the recessionIdea for reject the recession
Idea for reject the recession
 
Why do Startups Fail 2024.pdf - avoid mistakes
Why do Startups Fail 2024.pdf - avoid mistakesWhy do Startups Fail 2024.pdf - avoid mistakes
Why do Startups Fail 2024.pdf - avoid mistakes
 

Recently uploaded

Observation Lab PowerPoint Assignment for TEM 431
Observation Lab PowerPoint Assignment for TEM 431Observation Lab PowerPoint Assignment for TEM 431
Observation Lab PowerPoint Assignment for TEM 431
ecamare2
 
-- June 2024 is National Volunteer Month --
-- June 2024 is National Volunteer Month ---- June 2024 is National Volunteer Month --
-- June 2024 is National Volunteer Month --
NZSG
 
Lundin Gold Corporate Presentation - June 2024
Lundin Gold Corporate Presentation - June 2024Lundin Gold Corporate Presentation - June 2024
Lundin Gold Corporate Presentation - June 2024
Adnet Communications
 
Exploring Patterns of Connection with Social Dreaming
Exploring Patterns of Connection with Social DreamingExploring Patterns of Connection with Social Dreaming
Exploring Patterns of Connection with Social Dreaming
Nicola Wreford-Howard
 
LA HUG - Video Testimonials with Chynna Morgan - June 2024
LA HUG - Video Testimonials with Chynna Morgan - June 2024LA HUG - Video Testimonials with Chynna Morgan - June 2024
LA HUG - Video Testimonials with Chynna Morgan - June 2024
Lital Barkan
 
Unveiling the Dynamic Personalities, Key Dates, and Horoscope Insights: Gemin...
Unveiling the Dynamic Personalities, Key Dates, and Horoscope Insights: Gemin...Unveiling the Dynamic Personalities, Key Dates, and Horoscope Insights: Gemin...
Unveiling the Dynamic Personalities, Key Dates, and Horoscope Insights: Gemin...
my Pandit
 
How to Implement a Real Estate CRM Software
How to Implement a Real Estate CRM SoftwareHow to Implement a Real Estate CRM Software
How to Implement a Real Estate CRM Software
SalesTown
 
The effects of customers service quality and online reviews on customer loyal...
The effects of customers service quality and online reviews on customer loyal...The effects of customers service quality and online reviews on customer loyal...
The effects of customers service quality and online reviews on customer loyal...
balatucanapplelovely
 
Authentically Social Presented by Corey Perlman
Authentically Social Presented by Corey PerlmanAuthentically Social Presented by Corey Perlman
Authentically Social Presented by Corey Perlman
Corey Perlman, Social Media Speaker and Consultant
 
Best practices for project execution and delivery
Best practices for project execution and deliveryBest practices for project execution and delivery
Best practices for project execution and delivery
CLIVE MINCHIN
 
Company Valuation webinar series - Tuesday, 4 June 2024
Company Valuation webinar series - Tuesday, 4 June 2024Company Valuation webinar series - Tuesday, 4 June 2024
Company Valuation webinar series - Tuesday, 4 June 2024
FelixPerez547899
 
3 Simple Steps To Buy Verified Payoneer Account In 2024
3 Simple Steps To Buy Verified Payoneer Account In 20243 Simple Steps To Buy Verified Payoneer Account In 2024
3 Simple Steps To Buy Verified Payoneer Account In 2024
SEOSMMEARTH
 
Zodiac Signs and Food Preferences_ What Your Sign Says About Your Taste
Zodiac Signs and Food Preferences_ What Your Sign Says About Your TasteZodiac Signs and Food Preferences_ What Your Sign Says About Your Taste
Zodiac Signs and Food Preferences_ What Your Sign Says About Your Taste
my Pandit
 
An introduction to the cryptocurrency investment platform Binance Savings.
An introduction to the cryptocurrency investment platform Binance Savings.An introduction to the cryptocurrency investment platform Binance Savings.
An introduction to the cryptocurrency investment platform Binance Savings.
Any kyc Account
 
Event Report - SAP Sapphire 2024 Orlando - lots of innovation and old challenges
Event Report - SAP Sapphire 2024 Orlando - lots of innovation and old challengesEvent Report - SAP Sapphire 2024 Orlando - lots of innovation and old challenges
Event Report - SAP Sapphire 2024 Orlando - lots of innovation and old challenges
Holger Mueller
 
buy old yahoo accounts buy yahoo accounts
buy old yahoo accounts buy yahoo accountsbuy old yahoo accounts buy yahoo accounts
buy old yahoo accounts buy yahoo accounts
Susan Laney
 
The Influence of Marketing Strategy and Market Competition on Business Perfor...
The Influence of Marketing Strategy and Market Competition on Business Perfor...The Influence of Marketing Strategy and Market Competition on Business Perfor...
The Influence of Marketing Strategy and Market Competition on Business Perfor...
Adam Smith
 
Dpboss Matka Guessing Satta Matta Matka Kalyan Chart Satta Matka
Dpboss Matka Guessing Satta Matta Matka Kalyan Chart Satta MatkaDpboss Matka Guessing Satta Matta Matka Kalyan Chart Satta Matka
Dpboss Matka Guessing Satta Matta Matka Kalyan Chart Satta Matka
➒➌➎➏➑➐➋➑➐➐Dpboss Matka Guessing Satta Matka Kalyan Chart Indian Matka
 
Best Forex Brokers Comparison in INDIA 2024
Best Forex Brokers Comparison in INDIA 2024Best Forex Brokers Comparison in INDIA 2024
Best Forex Brokers Comparison in INDIA 2024
Top Forex Brokers Review
 
Industrial Tech SW: Category Renewal and Creation
Industrial Tech SW:  Category Renewal and CreationIndustrial Tech SW:  Category Renewal and Creation
Industrial Tech SW: Category Renewal and Creation
Christian Dahlen
 

Recently uploaded (20)

Observation Lab PowerPoint Assignment for TEM 431
Observation Lab PowerPoint Assignment for TEM 431Observation Lab PowerPoint Assignment for TEM 431
Observation Lab PowerPoint Assignment for TEM 431
 
-- June 2024 is National Volunteer Month --
-- June 2024 is National Volunteer Month ---- June 2024 is National Volunteer Month --
-- June 2024 is National Volunteer Month --
 
Lundin Gold Corporate Presentation - June 2024
Lundin Gold Corporate Presentation - June 2024Lundin Gold Corporate Presentation - June 2024
Lundin Gold Corporate Presentation - June 2024
 
Exploring Patterns of Connection with Social Dreaming
Exploring Patterns of Connection with Social DreamingExploring Patterns of Connection with Social Dreaming
Exploring Patterns of Connection with Social Dreaming
 
LA HUG - Video Testimonials with Chynna Morgan - June 2024
LA HUG - Video Testimonials with Chynna Morgan - June 2024LA HUG - Video Testimonials with Chynna Morgan - June 2024
LA HUG - Video Testimonials with Chynna Morgan - June 2024
 
Unveiling the Dynamic Personalities, Key Dates, and Horoscope Insights: Gemin...
Unveiling the Dynamic Personalities, Key Dates, and Horoscope Insights: Gemin...Unveiling the Dynamic Personalities, Key Dates, and Horoscope Insights: Gemin...
Unveiling the Dynamic Personalities, Key Dates, and Horoscope Insights: Gemin...
 
How to Implement a Real Estate CRM Software
How to Implement a Real Estate CRM SoftwareHow to Implement a Real Estate CRM Software
How to Implement a Real Estate CRM Software
 
The effects of customers service quality and online reviews on customer loyal...
The effects of customers service quality and online reviews on customer loyal...The effects of customers service quality and online reviews on customer loyal...
The effects of customers service quality and online reviews on customer loyal...
 
Authentically Social Presented by Corey Perlman
Authentically Social Presented by Corey PerlmanAuthentically Social Presented by Corey Perlman
Authentically Social Presented by Corey Perlman
 
Best practices for project execution and delivery
Best practices for project execution and deliveryBest practices for project execution and delivery
Best practices for project execution and delivery
 
Company Valuation webinar series - Tuesday, 4 June 2024
Company Valuation webinar series - Tuesday, 4 June 2024Company Valuation webinar series - Tuesday, 4 June 2024
Company Valuation webinar series - Tuesday, 4 June 2024
 
3 Simple Steps To Buy Verified Payoneer Account In 2024
3 Simple Steps To Buy Verified Payoneer Account In 20243 Simple Steps To Buy Verified Payoneer Account In 2024
3 Simple Steps To Buy Verified Payoneer Account In 2024
 
Zodiac Signs and Food Preferences_ What Your Sign Says About Your Taste
Zodiac Signs and Food Preferences_ What Your Sign Says About Your TasteZodiac Signs and Food Preferences_ What Your Sign Says About Your Taste
Zodiac Signs and Food Preferences_ What Your Sign Says About Your Taste
 
An introduction to the cryptocurrency investment platform Binance Savings.
An introduction to the cryptocurrency investment platform Binance Savings.An introduction to the cryptocurrency investment platform Binance Savings.
An introduction to the cryptocurrency investment platform Binance Savings.
 
Event Report - SAP Sapphire 2024 Orlando - lots of innovation and old challenges
Event Report - SAP Sapphire 2024 Orlando - lots of innovation and old challengesEvent Report - SAP Sapphire 2024 Orlando - lots of innovation and old challenges
Event Report - SAP Sapphire 2024 Orlando - lots of innovation and old challenges
 
buy old yahoo accounts buy yahoo accounts
buy old yahoo accounts buy yahoo accountsbuy old yahoo accounts buy yahoo accounts
buy old yahoo accounts buy yahoo accounts
 
The Influence of Marketing Strategy and Market Competition on Business Perfor...
The Influence of Marketing Strategy and Market Competition on Business Perfor...The Influence of Marketing Strategy and Market Competition on Business Perfor...
The Influence of Marketing Strategy and Market Competition on Business Perfor...
 
Dpboss Matka Guessing Satta Matta Matka Kalyan Chart Satta Matka
Dpboss Matka Guessing Satta Matta Matka Kalyan Chart Satta MatkaDpboss Matka Guessing Satta Matta Matka Kalyan Chart Satta Matka
Dpboss Matka Guessing Satta Matta Matka Kalyan Chart Satta Matka
 
Best Forex Brokers Comparison in INDIA 2024
Best Forex Brokers Comparison in INDIA 2024Best Forex Brokers Comparison in INDIA 2024
Best Forex Brokers Comparison in INDIA 2024
 
Industrial Tech SW: Category Renewal and Creation
Industrial Tech SW:  Category Renewal and CreationIndustrial Tech SW:  Category Renewal and Creation
Industrial Tech SW: Category Renewal and Creation
 

Avoid today's valuation black hole

  • 1. 1 F P E N T R E P R E N E U R Avoid today’s valuation black hole Brad Cherniak | Sapient Capital Partners Reprinted May 31, 2017 University of Toronto Falling into the valuation black hole in today's market can be confusing, unpredictable and costly.
  • 2. 2 Black holes are those fascinating and mysterious distant formations in our universe — big, dark and dangerous, and you shouldn’t go near them. Which is exactly how owners of private companies looking to sell should view the valuation black hole in the market today. Falling into this black hole can be confusing, unpredictable and costly. The world of private companies and mergers and acquisitions transactions can be broken down into the following value grades: “A” Companies, considered “leaders” in their space, with strong historical and forecast sales and operating margins, and few to no perceived weaknesses. “B” Companies, considered “good.” They may have suffered a bit in the economic downturn post- 2008, but their performance has rebounded and their outlook is good overall, with few critical weaknesses. “C” Companies, considered “average”. Their historical performance has its ups and downs, and their results may not have bounced back fully post-2008. They may have material, even critical, weaknesses, but are still relatively good companies overall. “D” Companies that are the turnarounds, or “challenged” and may be labouring under a flawed business model or weak balance sheet. About now, you may be thinking, “this doesn’t seem to be a big problem for me and my company. Sure we have our flaws, but overall, I would place us as a solid B. That would suggest there is significant buyer demand for my company. And valuations being volatile for B companies suggests upside as well as downside.” But the crux is whether the buyer universe rates your company the same as you do. In part due to the state of the global economy, the moneyholders are still in a position of unprecedented power in most cases. Interestingly, for A companies, the opposite is true. They often experience buyer feeding frenzies that can result in crazily high valuations. In a dangerous, volatile world, but with lots of capital to invest, there is no better place to put it than with the market leaders. Right? These tend to be larger companies, whether private or publicly listed. But back to the more typical small to mid-sized business, and the valuation black hole. Risk-averse and generally stressed about everything, buyers are having a difficult time finding what they consider to be B companies.
  • 3. 3 To make matters worse, the criteria to distinguish between B and C companies is amorphous and subjective. Often, the same set of facts with the same buyer will result in a different assessment. That might be due to the smallest thing in discussions with the prospective buyer or in due diligence. What it really means is buyers are looking for reasons to make you a C at the least provocation. This is self- serving, as the valuation of a B company can be twice that of a C, all else being equal. The result is a large number of B companies have been painted as Cs by prospective buyers, so while buyer demand for Bs is high, deal activity in this segment is low. At the C level, buyer interest and deal activity are both very low, although the segment is very large. This is the black hole. Much of what you need to do to avoid the black hole is pretty traditional stuff, but it is surprising how many companies fail to check these boxes. It is also surprising how long it takes and how costly it is to do so if you leave it too late. In a nutshell, they are: — Clean up your balance sheet, don’t force the buyer to do it. This can take time and involve some cost. — Get rid of extraneous investments or lines of business that complicate the assessment of your company and its fundamentals, which is also time consuming and costly. — Craft the message of the opportunity your company represents carefully. Don’t just lay out the facts and hope the buyer gets the core message. — Find ways to create the pattern of growth in sales and profit margins that buyers look for. Be ruthless and obsessive about it. — Have a good process for identifying and approaching buyers. — Assess your team and fix any holes now. — Have several years of financial statements, ideally audited or reviewed. — Tidy up your contracts and records. Be ready for buyer due diligence, don’t scramble. — Have a forecasting/budgeting process and show you can hit your targets and explain variances. This is a critical one for getting into the B category. — Avoid being reactive to the buyer and being put on the defensive. Lead the agenda as much as you can.
  • 4. 4 Ensuring your company is a B can take years of preparation, so plan and act accordingly. The reward for doing so can be great. Brad Cherniak has spent more than 20 years as a principal, advisor to and investor in private companies. He is co-founder and partner at Sapient Capital Partners, a Toronto-based advisory firm to companies from early stage to $50-million in revenues (www.sapientcap.com). He can be reached at brad@sapientcap.com and you can follow him on Twitter as @SapientCapital. This article originally appeared in the Financial Post on February 11, 2013.