Asia Property Capital Quarterly - September 2016

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Colliers International | Vietnam

UK economy and property hold steady despite shock wave from EU exit vote

Asia Property Capital Quarterly - September 2016

The outcome of the US presidential election raises challenges for Asia. However, Chinese growth remains high and a financial crisis is unlikely, while growth in Hong Kong is improving. The brighter outlook in these markets should boost office property, as firm investment demand suggests, although residential property faces risks. Singapore's long-run attractions outweigh near-term pressure in the office market. Australia's economy is buoyant, but the positive story is well-known. Global investors and occupiers should stay focused on China and look again at Singapore.

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• Heavy Asian investment in property in other regions in recent years has been led by Chinese groups and focused on the US • The investment outside Asia has obscured strong and rising intra-regional capital flows, which in 2016 were 18% higher than Asia-to-global flows • From 2017 we expect slower RMB depreciation and political pressures to cause Chinese investment to shift towards Asian markets • If so, the weight of investment capital should offset likely rising cost of funds, so that property yields on average at least stay flat across Asia in 2017

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