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               Edition 5
             January 2010                      The Global Snapshot
         A survey of hiring and firing trends in key employment markets around the world 

                                           The Antal International ‘Global Snapshot’

              UK    +44 (0) 207 467 2520   The Antal International ‘Global Snapshot’ is a regular survey
       Belgium      +32 (0)2 719 04 85     of hiring (and firing) trends in some of the world’s most
          Brazil    +55 (62) 3091 3545     important employment markets and in those likely to join this
      Bulgaria      +359 2 952 3660        group over the coming decade. This fifth report in the series,
          China     +86 (10) 6410 8866
                                           is based upon material sourced from over 6000 businesses in
        Croatia     +385 1 4576 200
                    +20 2 2623 0551        commerce, industry and the financial services sector in 30 key
          Egypt
         France     +33 (0) 143 49 52 21   countries on five continents.
      Germany       +49 69 976 750
                                            
         Ghana      +233 (21) 740 600
      Hungary       +36 1 336 2414
           India    +91 (0)22 4010 8100
            Italy   +39 02 80 60 601
   Luxembourg       +352 276 26 701
          Malta     +356 27 377443
   Netherlands      +31 (0) 20 751 6100
        Nigeria     +234 1 741 4783
      Pakistan      +92 21 4312149
    Philippines     +63 2 479 1859
         Poland     +48 22 483 5000
      Romania       +4 021 411 611 4
         Russia     +7 (495) 935 8606
   South Africa     +27 21 5574952
          Spain     +34 91 310 60 15
    Switzerland     +41 (0)71 912 48 50
         Turkey     + 9 0533 965 38 38
            UAE     + 971 4 447 2835
            USA     +1 (216) 912 1500




     •    Accounting & Finance
     •    Engineering                          We hope that you find it both interesting and useful.
     •    Human Resources
     •    IT Technical                         Tony Goodwin
     •    Legal                                Chairman and CEO
     •    Logistics                            Antal International
     •    Operations
     •    Sales & Marketing
     •    Scientific




  snapshot@antal.com                               w w w.antal.com                       INTRODUCTION   1
––––––– ––––––– –––– ––– 
                Edition 5
              January 2010
                                                 The Global Snapshot
          A survey of hiring and firing trends in key employment markets around the world 

                                             About Antal International

                UK    +44 (0) 207 467 2520
                                             Founded in 1993, Antal International is a management and
         Belgium      +32 (0)2 719 04 85
                      +55 (62) 3091 3545     professional recruitment specialist with a particular focus on
            Brazil
        Bulgaria      +359 2 952 3660        the sourcing and retention of candidates in the ‘Generation
            China     +86 (10) 6410 8866     Y’ bracket. One of the first recruitment organisations to
          Croatia     +385 1 4576 200        devote substantial resources to emerging markets, the
            Egypt     +20 2 2623 0551        company now has 66 offices in 29 countries and works with
           France     +33 (0) 143 49 52 21   many of the world’s most successful and ambitious multi-
        Germany       +49 69 976 750
                                             nationals.
           Ghana      +233 (21) 740 600
        Hungary       +36 1 336 2414
             India    +91 (0)22 4010 8100
              Italy   +39 02 80 60 601
     Luxembourg       +352 276 26 701
            Malta     +356 27 377443
     Netherlands      +31 (0) 20 751 6100
          Nigeria     +234 1 741 4783
        Pakistan      +92 21 4312149                                                                           
      Philippines     +63 2 479 1859
           Poland     +48 22 483 5000
        Romania       +4 021 411 611 4
           Russia     +7 (495) 935 8606
                      +27 21 5574952         Methodology
     South Africa
            Spain     +34 91 310 60 15
                                             This edition of the Antal
      Switzerland     +41 (0)71 912 48 50
           Turkey     + 9 0533 965 38 38     International ‘Global
              UAE     + 971 4 447 2835       Snapshot’ is based upon
              USA     +1 (216) 912 1500      survey forms and telephone
                                             interviews completed by line
                                             and HR managers in 6151 
      •    Accounting & Finance              companies, professional partnerships and financial
      •    Engineering                       institutions across 30 countries in December 2009 and
      •    Human Resources                   January 2010.
      •    IT Technical
      •    Legal                             Each respondent was asked whether they were currently
      •    Logistics                         hiring or letting go professional/managerial staff and whether
      •    Operations                        they intended to do so over the coming quarter. All
      •    Sales & Marketing                 respondents were guaranteed anonymity to encourage open
      •    Scientific                        and honest answers.

                                              




     snapshot@antal.com                           w w w.antal.com                        ABOUT ANTAL          2
––––––– ––––––– –––– ––– 
                      Edition 5

                                                                      The Global Snapshot
                    January 2010
––––––– ––––––– –––– ––– 
           A survey of hiring and firing trends in key employment markets around the world 

  Global Snapshot – The local picture
 Germany
                                                                        Currently hiring at managerial/professional level
   Reflecting information onGermany has beensurveyed.
     Detailed the fact that the 30 key markets left relatively          Expect to hire at managerial/professional level over the coming quarter
   unscathed by the ‘credit crunch’, employers in the country
   are recruiting heavily at managerial and professional level
     Austria                                                            Currently letting people go at managerial/professional level
   and are expecting thatAustria has improved markedly since
     The hiring picture in demand for such staff will actually
                                                                        Expect to let people go at managerial/professional level over the coming quarter 
   increase over the next quarter.
     the last Snapshot with the percentage of businesses
     recruiting now on the rise. Hiring intentions for the coming
   Hiring plans extremely strong positive in same time, the
     quarter are are particularly and, at the the country in
   the key discipline of engineering to shed staff at the
     number of organisations planning                                  Western Europe 
     managerial and professional level has dropped.

     Belgium
     In the last edition of Snapshot businesses were registering
     very high levels of optimism about the future with 70%              Austria
     expecting to hire over the coming quarter. It now appears
     that this confidence was somewhat premature. However,
     despite this, it is reassuring to see that around a half of
     employers are still planning to expand their teams over the
     next three months.
                                                                        Belgium
  UK
     France
  The survey helped to give credence to the perception that
     The professional and managerial employment market in
  the country is experiencing a downturn in economic activity
     France remains stable with the results of the latest survey
  and that this is feeding into the demand for managerial and
     almost identical to those returned in the last edition of
  professional staff. However the poll did produce two key
     Snapshot in September 2009.
  findings which qualify this generally gloomy picture. First,
  employers do appear relatively optimistic about the future             France
     Germany
  and are consequently expecting to ramp up their hiring
     Hiring levels in Germany have risen steadily since the last
  plans as the year progresses. And secondly, the hiring and
     Snapshot report in September when only 46% of
  firing picture is by no means a uniform one. Whilst the
     organisations were recruiting and 45% expecting to do so.
  construction and property sectors and certain parts of the
     A decrease in the percentage of businesses expecting to
  financial services industry are suffering a real crisis of
     shed staff from 31% in September to 28% now gives further         Germany
  confidence, organisations in other areas such as telecoms
     cause for optimism about sustained recovery.
  and technology are generally positive about hiring.
     Italy
     Current hiring levels are very similar to those registered in
     the last Snapshot in September although future hiring
     intentions are down slightly from 56% to 48%. The                      Italy
     percentage of businesses shedding staff has dropped,
     albeit only slightly, from 28% to 24%.

   Luxembourg
   Current hiring levels are up dramatically from 37% in
   September to 58% now – along with Austria the highest
                                                                     Luxembourg
 Spain registered in Western Europe. Further optimism about
   level
   the country’s employment market can be derived from the
 Although well percentage of organisations making headcount
   fact that the over half of Spanish businesses questioned
 are currently hiring, the deteriorating economy now. a
   cuts has dropped from 35% in September to 29% and
 slowing of growth in GDP seem set to bite into the
 managerial/professional employment market next quarter
   Malta
 unlessdownturn continues to affect Malta with hiring down a
   The the government can take strong remedial action as
 matter of urgency.
   from 41% recorded in the last Snapshot to 31% now.                      Malta
   However employers do seem positive about the future with
 Italy than half expecting to recruit at professional or
   more
   managerial level over the next three months. The country
 Whilst Italy shares many economic and social
   still has a low rate of shedding staff, in fact the lowest in
 characteristics with Spain, the employment market for
   Western Europe.
 managers and professionals in the country appears to be a           Netherlands
 much more healthy one. 47% of employers questioned
   Netherlands
 believed that trends for business were positive, 29% that                                                                                     
 they were stable and only 23% felt that amount of recruitment
   After ‘flat-lining’ throughout 2009 the they were negative.
   at professional and managerial level is now on the rise, up
   from 44% in September to 52% now. Confidence about the
   future also seems to be improving with 55% of employers
   aiming to hire over the next three months.




  snapshot@antal.com
  snapshot@antal.com                                                     w w w.antal.com                                    WESTERN EUROPE 3
Edition 5
              January 2010
                                                               The Global Snapshot
     A survey of hiring and firing trends in key employment markets around the world 
Western Europe Continued...
                                                                 Currently hiring at managerial/professional level
Spain                                                            Expect to hire at managerial/professional level over the coming quarter
After a climb in hiring levels from 23% in April 2009 to         Currently letting people go at managerial/professional level
40% in September the market appears to have slipped
backwards again with only 30% of businesses recruiting at        Expect to let people go at managerial/professional level over the coming quarter 
professional or managerial level now. The percentage of
companies shedding staff has also risen, from just 17% in      Western Europe Continued...
September to a current level of 29%.

Switzerland
After a relatively flat 2009 when recruitment levels hovered
between 20% and 35% the professional and managerial                  Spain
jobs market in Switzerland appears to have bounced back
with a vengeance and businesses appear confident that
this will continue well into the coming quarter.

UK
Despite continuing mixed reports about the state of the
jobs market, the latest Snapshot shows that the UK has         Switzerland
one of the highest hiring rates in Western Europe, up from
50% in September to 59% now. However as the market
picks up it seems that staff ‘churn’ will be an inevitable
consequence as businesses act to source the best talent
and rid themselves of weaker team members – the
percentage of firms shedding staff at the moment has risen
from 31% to 38%.
                                                                           UK

 
 
 
Global Snapshot – The UK picture                                 UK – By Sector 
Detailed information on the UK key areas surveyed

 
                                                                 Telecoms




                                                               Manufacturing




                                                                      IT




                                                                  Energy




                                                                Banking and
                                                                  Finance




snapshot@antal.com                                                w w w.antal.com                                    WESTERN EUROPE 4 3
Edition 5
               January 2010
                                                                 The Global Snapshot
      A survey of hiring and firing trends in key employment markets around the world 

                                                                   Currently hiring at managerial/professional level
Bulgaria
After a substantial rise in September last year to 54% hiring      Expect to hire at managerial/professional level over the coming quarter
levels in Bulgaria have slipped back again to their April
                                                                   Currently letting people go at managerial/professional level
figure. At the same time however the percentage of
organisations shedding managers and professionals has              Expect to let people go at managerial/professional level over the coming quarter
dropped slightly from 31% to 28%.

Croatia
Confidence in the Croatian jobs market continues to
improve with hiring levels rising from 32% in September to          Eastern Europe and Eurasia 
39% now although employers remain cautious about the
prospect of recruitment over the coming quarter.

Czech Republic
Although current hiring levels are down slightly from 60% in
September, recruitment plans for the coming quarter
                                                                Bulgaria
suggests cautious optimism about the state of the jobs
market for managers and professionals.

Hungary
Hungary’s ongoing economic problems had a severe effect
on the jobs market throughout 2009 although there are now
some signs of optimism with hiring levels rising from 26% in     Croatia
September to 28% now and future hiring intentions rising
from just 23% to 34%. At the same time the percentage of
organisations shedding staff is down from 29% to 25%

Poland
The jobs market for managers and professionals in Poland          Czech
has dipped slightly since the last Snapshot in September        Republic
with hiring levels down from 53%. However this somewhat
negative picture is countered by the fact that the
percentage of organisations shedding staff has dropped
significantly to one of the lowest levels in the world – just
15%, down from 28% in September.                                Hungary
Romania
The slow but sure improvement in the professional and
managerial jobs market continues into this edition of
Snapshot with 55% of businesses now recruiting in contrast
to 41% in September. Not only are hiring levels rising but
the percentage of organisations shedding staff has               Poland
remained stable at a relatively low 27%.

Russia
The percentage of organisations recruiting managers and
professionals continues to rise from 62% in September and
58% in April. However there is again evidence of a ‘flight to   Romania
quality’ with as many as 40% of businesses currently
shedding staff and 43% expecting to do so in the coming
three months.

Turkey
Hiring levels have now begun to rise slowly from the record      Russia
low registered in the September survey and the country
retains one of the lowest firing rates in the
European/Eurasian region. The professional and
managerial jobs market also exhibits a positive outlook with
hiring set to increase noticeably over the coming quarter.

                                                                 Turkey




snapshot@antal.com                                                     w w w.antal.com                                 EASTERN EUROPE            5
––– ––––––– –––– –––
                Edition 5
              January 2010
                                                            The Global Snapshot
     A survey of hiring and firing trends in key employment markets around the world 

Global Snapshot – The Polish picture
                                                              Currently hiring at managerial/professional level
Detailed information on the Polish key areas surveyed.        Expect to hire at managerial/professional level over the coming quarter
                                                              Currently letting people go at managerial/professional level
                                                              Expect to let people go at managerial/professional level over the coming quarter




                                                             Poland by Sector 




                                                           Automotive




                                                            Banking




                                                           Engineering




                                                             FMCG




                                                          IT - Software




                                                         Pharmaceuticals




                                                            Telecoms


                                                                                                                                          



snapshot@antal.com                                             w w w.antal.com                                    EASTERN EUROPE 6
Edition 5
                 January 2010
                                                                    The Global Snapshot
        A survey of hiring and firing trends in key employment markets around the world 

                                                                    Currently hiring at managerial/professional level
Egypt                                                               Expect to hire at managerial/professional level over the coming quarter
After a rebound to 61% in September from April’s low of
                                                                    Currently letting people go at managerial/professional level
51%, hiring levels in Egypt continue to rise, albeit at a more
modest rate. Confidence in the coming quarter also seems            Expect to let people go at managerial/professional level over the coming quarter
strong and, whilst the percentage of businesses currently
shedding staff is very high, this appears due to drop
significantly over the next three months.
                                                                    Africa and the Middle East 
UAE
Despite the well-publicised economic pains of Dubai, the
region as a whole seems to be holding up well with hiring
levels rising from 46% in September to 51% now.
Confidence in the future is also gathering strength with 62%
of businesses expecting to hire in the coming quarter in
comparison to only 49% in September.

Ghana
After registering one of the lowest hiring rates in                  Egypt
September, the professional and managerial jobs market in
Ghana appears to have staged something of a recovery
and the country is also still retaining the lowest level of staff
shrinkage in the whole global survey.

Nigeria
After the spectacular drop in hiring rates to 38% recorded in
our April report, the jobs market for managers and
                                                                     UAE
professionals rebounded to a distinctly healthy 57% in
September and has now continued to recover. Businesses
in the country appear to believe this improvement in the
professional and managerial jobs market will be sustained
throughout the coming quarter.

South Africa
After a significant dip in hiring rates to 39% recorded in the      Ghana
April 2009 Snapshot, there was evidence of greater
confidence in the jobs market in September with rates
climbing to a more comforting 45%. This positive trend has
continued and appears likely to be sustained over the next
three months.

                                                                    Nigeria




                                                                     South
                                                                     Africa




    snapshot@antal.com                                                w w w.antal.com                                    AFRICA & M.E.           7
Edition 5
               January 2010
                                                                 The Global Snapshot
      A survey of hiring and firing trends in key employment markets around the world 

China
                                                                    Currently hiring at managerial/professional level
Hiring levels have dipped slightly in China from a high of
74% recorded in September, but employers appear to be               Expect to hire at managerial/professional level over the coming quarter
confident about recruitment plans for the coming quarter.
                                                                    Currently letting people go at managerial/professional level
The percentage of organisations shedding staff at
professional and managerial level has dropped markedly              Expect to let people go at managerial/professional level over the coming quarter
from 34% to 25% and looks set to drop again over the next
three months.
                                                                    Asia
India
After a depressing start to 2009 when hiring levels at
professional and managerial level had sunk as low as 29%          China
India was showing strong signs of recovery by September
with hiring at 51% and this positive trend has now                                   
continued into 2010. The percentage of organisations
shedding staff has also dropped from 22% in September to
just 16% now.

Pakistan                                                           India
Despite continuing uncertainty in the political climate the
outlook for managers and professionals remains positive
with hiring levels rising from the 65% recorded in our last
Snapshot in September. However the percentage of
organisations shedding staff has risen from 35% to 53%
suggesting some underlying instability in the jobs market.       Pakistan
Philippines
The level of hiring is down slightly from the 49% registered
in September although businesses in the Philippines
appear more confident about prospects for the executive
jobs market in the coming quarter.
                                                                Philippines
                                                                      
                                                                      




Global Snapshot – The Chinese picture
                                                                   China – By Sector

Detailed information on the Chinese key areas surveyed.



                                                                Chemicals




                                                                  Energy




                                                               Manufacturing




                                                               Professional
                                                                 Services




snapshot@antal.com                                                   w w w.antal.com                                               ASIA          8
Edition 5
               January 2010 
                                                               The Global Snapshot
      A survey of hiring and firing
      A survey of hiring and firing trends in key employment markets around the world 

Brazil                                                          Currently hiring at managerial/professional level
Hiring levels in Brazil have dropped slightly from the 56%
registered in September but employers seem optimistic
                                                                Expect to hire at managerial/professional level over the coming quarter
about growth in the executive jobs market over the coming       Currently letting people go at managerial/professional level
quarter. At the same time the percentage of organisations
                                                                Expect to let people go at managerial/professional level over the coming quarter
shedding staff has dropped markedly, from 28% to just
16% now.


                                                                 The Americas
USA
Hiring levels for managers and professionals in the USA
have remained relatively static since September although,
reassuringly, the percentage of organisations shedding
staff has declined from 34% to 29% with employers
expecting a further drop over the next three months.

 
                                                                   Brazil
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
                                                                    USA
 
 
 
 
 

                                                                 Winners and Losers - Sectors 
Winners and Losers – Regions

In a clear demonstration of the shifting balance of
economic power in recent years the region with the highest     Across the globe the sectors with the highest levels of
level of recruitment activity at managerial and professional
level was the Asia-Pacific area at 62%. The Americas and       recruitment at professional and managerial level were:
Western Europe lagged well behind this at 53% and 50%
respectively. 
 
                                                                   1)   Pharmaceuticals
                                                                   2)   Manufacturing
                                                                   3)   Engineering
                                                                   4)   IT software
                                                                   5)   Banking


                                                               The lowest sectors were Education and Shipbuilding.




snapshot@antal.com                                               w w w.antal.com                                          ASIA
                                                                                                                    THE AMERICAS             9
 
               Edition 5
             January 2010 
                                                 The Global Snapshot
         A survey of hiring and firing trends in key employment markets around the world 

               UK    +44 (0) 207 467 2520          Global Snapshot – The Worldwide picture
        Belgium      +32 (0)2 719 04 85
           Brazil    +55 (62) 3091 3545
       Bulgaria      +359 2 952 3660
           China     +86 (10) 6410 8866
         Croatia     +385 1 4576 200
           Egypt     +20 2 2623 0551
          France     +33 (0) 143 49 52 21
       Germany       +49 69 976 750
          Ghana      +233 (21) 740 600
       Hungary       +36 1 336 2414
            India    +91 (0)22 4010 8100
             Italy   +39 02 80 60 601
    Luxembourg       +352 276 26 701
           Malta     +356 27 377443                                                                             
    Netherlands      +31 (0) 20 751 6100
         Nigeria     +234 1 741 4783
       Pakistan      +92 21 4312149
     Philippines     +63 2 479 1859             “Light at the end of the tunnel?”
          Poland     +48 22 483 5000
       Romania       +4 021 411 611 4
          Russia     +7 (495) 935 8606          When we produced our last Global Snapshot in September 2009
    South Africa     +27 21 5574952             we cautiously (very cautiously) suggested that the results provided
           Spain     +34 91 310 60 15           some cause for optimism about job prospects for professionals and
     Switzerland     +41 (0)71 912 48 50        managers. Now, in January 2010, it seems that this optimism was
          Turkey     + 9 0533 965 38 38         not misplaced. Although a few countries are still seeing a decline in
             UAE     + 971 4 447 2835           the employment market, the global picture has definitely improved
             USA     +1 (216) 912 1500          once again. Across the world the level of hiring has risen to an
                                                average of 53% from 50% in September and organisations are
                                                expecting this to rise again over the coming quarter to 55%,
                      
     •    Accounting & Finance                  whereas, when last questioned, they expected the jobs market to
     •    Engineering                           shrink in the immediate future. Of course nothing is ever perfect
     •    Human Resources                       and the percentage of employers shedding staff has actually risen
     •    IT Technical                          slightly from 25% from 28%. However the general consensus
     •    Legal                                 seems to be that this figure will drop over the next three months.
     •    Logistics
     •    Operations
                                                As we said in September, we are most certainly not ‘out of the
     •    Sales & Marketing
                                                woods’ as yet and there may be more unpleasant economic
     •    Scientific
                                                surprises to come but it does seem as if organisations of all sizes
    If you would like any further information   are approaching 2010 with more confidence than would have
    about material included in this report or   seemed possible in the very dark days of January 2009. As a result
    would like to reserve a copy of the next    we are already seeing the first clear signs of organisations thinking
    ‘Global Snapshot’, contact Sarah Jones      in terms of the ‘war for talent’ once more with more robust
    at snapshot@antal.com or your local         businesses making early moves to snap up the best people in their
    Antal office – see www.antal.com for        markets before general recovery becomes too apparent.
    more details.


    snapshot@antal.com                                 w w w.antal.com                           CONTACT US         10

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Antal Global Snapshot Edition 5

  • 1. ––––––– ––––––– –––– –––  Edition 5 January 2010 The Global Snapshot A survey of hiring and firing trends in key employment markets around the world  The Antal International ‘Global Snapshot’ UK +44 (0) 207 467 2520 The Antal International ‘Global Snapshot’ is a regular survey Belgium +32 (0)2 719 04 85 of hiring (and firing) trends in some of the world’s most Brazil +55 (62) 3091 3545 important employment markets and in those likely to join this Bulgaria +359 2 952 3660 group over the coming decade. This fifth report in the series, China +86 (10) 6410 8866 is based upon material sourced from over 6000 businesses in Croatia +385 1 4576 200 +20 2 2623 0551 commerce, industry and the financial services sector in 30 key Egypt France +33 (0) 143 49 52 21 countries on five continents. Germany +49 69 976 750   Ghana +233 (21) 740 600 Hungary +36 1 336 2414 India +91 (0)22 4010 8100 Italy +39 02 80 60 601 Luxembourg +352 276 26 701 Malta +356 27 377443 Netherlands +31 (0) 20 751 6100 Nigeria +234 1 741 4783 Pakistan +92 21 4312149 Philippines +63 2 479 1859 Poland +48 22 483 5000 Romania +4 021 411 611 4 Russia +7 (495) 935 8606 South Africa +27 21 5574952 Spain +34 91 310 60 15 Switzerland +41 (0)71 912 48 50 Turkey + 9 0533 965 38 38 UAE + 971 4 447 2835 USA +1 (216) 912 1500 • Accounting & Finance • Engineering We hope that you find it both interesting and useful. • Human Resources • IT Technical Tony Goodwin • Legal Chairman and CEO • Logistics Antal International • Operations • Sales & Marketing • Scientific snapshot@antal.com w w w.antal.com INTRODUCTION 1
  • 2. ––––––– ––––––– –––– –––  Edition 5 January 2010 The Global Snapshot A survey of hiring and firing trends in key employment markets around the world  About Antal International UK +44 (0) 207 467 2520 Founded in 1993, Antal International is a management and Belgium +32 (0)2 719 04 85 +55 (62) 3091 3545 professional recruitment specialist with a particular focus on Brazil Bulgaria +359 2 952 3660 the sourcing and retention of candidates in the ‘Generation China +86 (10) 6410 8866 Y’ bracket. One of the first recruitment organisations to Croatia +385 1 4576 200 devote substantial resources to emerging markets, the Egypt +20 2 2623 0551 company now has 66 offices in 29 countries and works with France +33 (0) 143 49 52 21 many of the world’s most successful and ambitious multi- Germany +49 69 976 750 nationals. Ghana +233 (21) 740 600 Hungary +36 1 336 2414 India +91 (0)22 4010 8100 Italy +39 02 80 60 601 Luxembourg +352 276 26 701 Malta +356 27 377443 Netherlands +31 (0) 20 751 6100 Nigeria +234 1 741 4783 Pakistan +92 21 4312149   Philippines +63 2 479 1859 Poland +48 22 483 5000 Romania +4 021 411 611 4 Russia +7 (495) 935 8606 +27 21 5574952 Methodology South Africa Spain +34 91 310 60 15 This edition of the Antal Switzerland +41 (0)71 912 48 50 Turkey + 9 0533 965 38 38 International ‘Global UAE + 971 4 447 2835 Snapshot’ is based upon USA +1 (216) 912 1500 survey forms and telephone     interviews completed by line and HR managers in 6151  • Accounting & Finance companies, professional partnerships and financial • Engineering institutions across 30 countries in December 2009 and • Human Resources January 2010. • IT Technical • Legal Each respondent was asked whether they were currently • Logistics hiring or letting go professional/managerial staff and whether • Operations they intended to do so over the coming quarter. All • Sales & Marketing respondents were guaranteed anonymity to encourage open • Scientific and honest answers.   snapshot@antal.com w w w.antal.com ABOUT ANTAL 2
  • 3. ––––––– ––––––– –––– –––  Edition 5 The Global Snapshot January 2010 ––––––– ––––––– –––– –––  A survey of hiring and firing trends in key employment markets around the world  Global Snapshot – The local picture Germany Currently hiring at managerial/professional level Reflecting information onGermany has beensurveyed.   Detailed the fact that the 30 key markets left relatively Expect to hire at managerial/professional level over the coming quarter    unscathed by the ‘credit crunch’, employers in the country are recruiting heavily at managerial and professional level Austria Currently letting people go at managerial/professional level and are expecting thatAustria has improved markedly since The hiring picture in demand for such staff will actually Expect to let people go at managerial/professional level over the coming quarter  increase over the next quarter. the last Snapshot with the percentage of businesses recruiting now on the rise. Hiring intentions for the coming Hiring plans extremely strong positive in same time, the quarter are are particularly and, at the the country in the key discipline of engineering to shed staff at the number of organisations planning Western Europe  managerial and professional level has dropped.   Belgium In the last edition of Snapshot businesses were registering very high levels of optimism about the future with 70% Austria expecting to hire over the coming quarter. It now appears that this confidence was somewhat premature. However, despite this, it is reassuring to see that around a half of employers are still planning to expand their teams over the next three months. Belgium UK France The survey helped to give credence to the perception that The professional and managerial employment market in the country is experiencing a downturn in economic activity France remains stable with the results of the latest survey and that this is feeding into the demand for managerial and almost identical to those returned in the last edition of professional staff. However the poll did produce two key Snapshot in September 2009. findings which qualify this generally gloomy picture. First, employers do appear relatively optimistic about the future France Germany and are consequently expecting to ramp up their hiring Hiring levels in Germany have risen steadily since the last plans as the year progresses. And secondly, the hiring and Snapshot report in September when only 46% of firing picture is by no means a uniform one. Whilst the organisations were recruiting and 45% expecting to do so. construction and property sectors and certain parts of the A decrease in the percentage of businesses expecting to financial services industry are suffering a real crisis of shed staff from 31% in September to 28% now gives further Germany confidence, organisations in other areas such as telecoms cause for optimism about sustained recovery. and technology are generally positive about hiring. Italy Current hiring levels are very similar to those registered in the last Snapshot in September although future hiring intentions are down slightly from 56% to 48%. The Italy percentage of businesses shedding staff has dropped, albeit only slightly, from 28% to 24%. Luxembourg Current hiring levels are up dramatically from 37% in September to 58% now – along with Austria the highest Luxembourg Spain registered in Western Europe. Further optimism about level the country’s employment market can be derived from the Although well percentage of organisations making headcount fact that the over half of Spanish businesses questioned are currently hiring, the deteriorating economy now. a cuts has dropped from 35% in September to 29% and slowing of growth in GDP seem set to bite into the managerial/professional employment market next quarter Malta unlessdownturn continues to affect Malta with hiring down a The the government can take strong remedial action as matter of urgency. from 41% recorded in the last Snapshot to 31% now. Malta However employers do seem positive about the future with Italy than half expecting to recruit at professional or more managerial level over the next three months. The country Whilst Italy shares many economic and social still has a low rate of shedding staff, in fact the lowest in characteristics with Spain, the employment market for Western Europe. managers and professionals in the country appears to be a Netherlands much more healthy one. 47% of employers questioned Netherlands believed that trends for business were positive, 29% that   they were stable and only 23% felt that amount of recruitment After ‘flat-lining’ throughout 2009 the they were negative. at professional and managerial level is now on the rise, up from 44% in September to 52% now. Confidence about the future also seems to be improving with 55% of employers aiming to hire over the next three months. snapshot@antal.com snapshot@antal.com w w w.antal.com WESTERN EUROPE 3
  • 4. Edition 5 January 2010 The Global Snapshot A survey of hiring and firing trends in key employment markets around the world  Western Europe Continued... Currently hiring at managerial/professional level Spain Expect to hire at managerial/professional level over the coming quarter After a climb in hiring levels from 23% in April 2009 to Currently letting people go at managerial/professional level 40% in September the market appears to have slipped backwards again with only 30% of businesses recruiting at Expect to let people go at managerial/professional level over the coming quarter  professional or managerial level now. The percentage of companies shedding staff has also risen, from just 17% in Western Europe Continued... September to a current level of 29%. Switzerland After a relatively flat 2009 when recruitment levels hovered between 20% and 35% the professional and managerial Spain jobs market in Switzerland appears to have bounced back with a vengeance and businesses appear confident that this will continue well into the coming quarter. UK Despite continuing mixed reports about the state of the jobs market, the latest Snapshot shows that the UK has Switzerland one of the highest hiring rates in Western Europe, up from 50% in September to 59% now. However as the market picks up it seems that staff ‘churn’ will be an inevitable consequence as businesses act to source the best talent and rid themselves of weaker team members – the percentage of firms shedding staff at the moment has risen from 31% to 38%. UK       Global Snapshot – The UK picture UK – By Sector  Detailed information on the UK key areas surveyed   Telecoms Manufacturing IT Energy Banking and Finance snapshot@antal.com w w w.antal.com WESTERN EUROPE 4 3
  • 5. Edition 5 January 2010 The Global Snapshot A survey of hiring and firing trends in key employment markets around the world  Currently hiring at managerial/professional level Bulgaria After a substantial rise in September last year to 54% hiring Expect to hire at managerial/professional level over the coming quarter levels in Bulgaria have slipped back again to their April Currently letting people go at managerial/professional level figure. At the same time however the percentage of organisations shedding managers and professionals has Expect to let people go at managerial/professional level over the coming quarter dropped slightly from 31% to 28%. Croatia Confidence in the Croatian jobs market continues to improve with hiring levels rising from 32% in September to Eastern Europe and Eurasia  39% now although employers remain cautious about the prospect of recruitment over the coming quarter. Czech Republic Although current hiring levels are down slightly from 60% in September, recruitment plans for the coming quarter Bulgaria suggests cautious optimism about the state of the jobs market for managers and professionals. Hungary Hungary’s ongoing economic problems had a severe effect on the jobs market throughout 2009 although there are now some signs of optimism with hiring levels rising from 26% in Croatia September to 28% now and future hiring intentions rising from just 23% to 34%. At the same time the percentage of organisations shedding staff is down from 29% to 25% Poland The jobs market for managers and professionals in Poland Czech has dipped slightly since the last Snapshot in September Republic with hiring levels down from 53%. However this somewhat negative picture is countered by the fact that the percentage of organisations shedding staff has dropped significantly to one of the lowest levels in the world – just 15%, down from 28% in September. Hungary Romania The slow but sure improvement in the professional and managerial jobs market continues into this edition of Snapshot with 55% of businesses now recruiting in contrast to 41% in September. Not only are hiring levels rising but the percentage of organisations shedding staff has Poland remained stable at a relatively low 27%. Russia The percentage of organisations recruiting managers and professionals continues to rise from 62% in September and 58% in April. However there is again evidence of a ‘flight to Romania quality’ with as many as 40% of businesses currently shedding staff and 43% expecting to do so in the coming three months. Turkey Hiring levels have now begun to rise slowly from the record Russia low registered in the September survey and the country retains one of the lowest firing rates in the European/Eurasian region. The professional and managerial jobs market also exhibits a positive outlook with hiring set to increase noticeably over the coming quarter. Turkey snapshot@antal.com w w w.antal.com EASTERN EUROPE 5
  • 6. ––– ––––––– –––– ––– Edition 5 January 2010 The Global Snapshot A survey of hiring and firing trends in key employment markets around the world  Global Snapshot – The Polish picture Currently hiring at managerial/professional level Detailed information on the Polish key areas surveyed. Expect to hire at managerial/professional level over the coming quarter Currently letting people go at managerial/professional level Expect to let people go at managerial/professional level over the coming quarter Poland by Sector  Automotive Banking Engineering FMCG IT - Software Pharmaceuticals Telecoms   snapshot@antal.com w w w.antal.com EASTERN EUROPE 6
  • 7. Edition 5 January 2010 The Global Snapshot A survey of hiring and firing trends in key employment markets around the world  Currently hiring at managerial/professional level Egypt Expect to hire at managerial/professional level over the coming quarter After a rebound to 61% in September from April’s low of Currently letting people go at managerial/professional level 51%, hiring levels in Egypt continue to rise, albeit at a more modest rate. Confidence in the coming quarter also seems Expect to let people go at managerial/professional level over the coming quarter strong and, whilst the percentage of businesses currently shedding staff is very high, this appears due to drop significantly over the next three months. Africa and the Middle East  UAE Despite the well-publicised economic pains of Dubai, the region as a whole seems to be holding up well with hiring levels rising from 46% in September to 51% now. Confidence in the future is also gathering strength with 62% of businesses expecting to hire in the coming quarter in comparison to only 49% in September. Ghana After registering one of the lowest hiring rates in Egypt September, the professional and managerial jobs market in Ghana appears to have staged something of a recovery and the country is also still retaining the lowest level of staff shrinkage in the whole global survey. Nigeria After the spectacular drop in hiring rates to 38% recorded in our April report, the jobs market for managers and UAE professionals rebounded to a distinctly healthy 57% in September and has now continued to recover. Businesses in the country appear to believe this improvement in the professional and managerial jobs market will be sustained throughout the coming quarter. South Africa After a significant dip in hiring rates to 39% recorded in the Ghana April 2009 Snapshot, there was evidence of greater confidence in the jobs market in September with rates climbing to a more comforting 45%. This positive trend has continued and appears likely to be sustained over the next three months.   Nigeria South Africa snapshot@antal.com w w w.antal.com AFRICA & M.E. 7
  • 8. Edition 5 January 2010 The Global Snapshot A survey of hiring and firing trends in key employment markets around the world  China Currently hiring at managerial/professional level Hiring levels have dipped slightly in China from a high of 74% recorded in September, but employers appear to be Expect to hire at managerial/professional level over the coming quarter confident about recruitment plans for the coming quarter. Currently letting people go at managerial/professional level The percentage of organisations shedding staff at professional and managerial level has dropped markedly Expect to let people go at managerial/professional level over the coming quarter from 34% to 25% and looks set to drop again over the next three months. Asia India After a depressing start to 2009 when hiring levels at professional and managerial level had sunk as low as 29% China India was showing strong signs of recovery by September with hiring at 51% and this positive trend has now   continued into 2010. The percentage of organisations shedding staff has also dropped from 22% in September to just 16% now. Pakistan India Despite continuing uncertainty in the political climate the outlook for managers and professionals remains positive with hiring levels rising from the 65% recorded in our last Snapshot in September. However the percentage of organisations shedding staff has risen from 35% to 53% suggesting some underlying instability in the jobs market. Pakistan Philippines The level of hiring is down slightly from the 49% registered in September although businesses in the Philippines appear more confident about prospects for the executive jobs market in the coming quarter. Philippines     Global Snapshot – The Chinese picture China – By Sector Detailed information on the Chinese key areas surveyed. Chemicals Energy Manufacturing Professional Services snapshot@antal.com w w w.antal.com ASIA 8
  • 9. Edition 5 January 2010  The Global Snapshot A survey of hiring and firing A survey of hiring and firing trends in key employment markets around the world  Brazil Currently hiring at managerial/professional level Hiring levels in Brazil have dropped slightly from the 56% registered in September but employers seem optimistic Expect to hire at managerial/professional level over the coming quarter about growth in the executive jobs market over the coming Currently letting people go at managerial/professional level quarter. At the same time the percentage of organisations Expect to let people go at managerial/professional level over the coming quarter shedding staff has dropped markedly, from 28% to just 16% now. The Americas USA Hiring levels for managers and professionals in the USA have remained relatively static since September although, reassuringly, the percentage of organisations shedding staff has declined from 34% to 29% with employers expecting a further drop over the next three months.     Brazil                 USA           Winners and Losers - Sectors  Winners and Losers – Regions In a clear demonstration of the shifting balance of economic power in recent years the region with the highest Across the globe the sectors with the highest levels of level of recruitment activity at managerial and professional level was the Asia-Pacific area at 62%. The Americas and recruitment at professional and managerial level were: Western Europe lagged well behind this at 53% and 50% respectively.    1) Pharmaceuticals 2) Manufacturing   3) Engineering 4) IT software 5) Banking The lowest sectors were Education and Shipbuilding. snapshot@antal.com w w w.antal.com ASIA THE AMERICAS 9
  • 10.   Edition 5 January 2010  The Global Snapshot A survey of hiring and firing trends in key employment markets around the world  UK +44 (0) 207 467 2520 Global Snapshot – The Worldwide picture Belgium +32 (0)2 719 04 85 Brazil +55 (62) 3091 3545 Bulgaria +359 2 952 3660 China +86 (10) 6410 8866 Croatia +385 1 4576 200 Egypt +20 2 2623 0551 France +33 (0) 143 49 52 21 Germany +49 69 976 750 Ghana +233 (21) 740 600 Hungary +36 1 336 2414 India +91 (0)22 4010 8100 Italy +39 02 80 60 601 Luxembourg +352 276 26 701 Malta +356 27 377443   Netherlands +31 (0) 20 751 6100 Nigeria +234 1 741 4783 Pakistan +92 21 4312149 Philippines +63 2 479 1859 “Light at the end of the tunnel?” Poland +48 22 483 5000 Romania +4 021 411 611 4 Russia +7 (495) 935 8606 When we produced our last Global Snapshot in September 2009 South Africa +27 21 5574952 we cautiously (very cautiously) suggested that the results provided Spain +34 91 310 60 15 some cause for optimism about job prospects for professionals and Switzerland +41 (0)71 912 48 50 managers. Now, in January 2010, it seems that this optimism was Turkey + 9 0533 965 38 38 not misplaced. Although a few countries are still seeing a decline in UAE + 971 4 447 2835 the employment market, the global picture has definitely improved USA +1 (216) 912 1500 once again. Across the world the level of hiring has risen to an     average of 53% from 50% in September and organisations are expecting this to rise again over the coming quarter to 55%,   • Accounting & Finance whereas, when last questioned, they expected the jobs market to • Engineering shrink in the immediate future. Of course nothing is ever perfect • Human Resources and the percentage of employers shedding staff has actually risen • IT Technical slightly from 25% from 28%. However the general consensus • Legal seems to be that this figure will drop over the next three months. • Logistics • Operations As we said in September, we are most certainly not ‘out of the • Sales & Marketing woods’ as yet and there may be more unpleasant economic • Scientific surprises to come but it does seem as if organisations of all sizes If you would like any further information are approaching 2010 with more confidence than would have about material included in this report or seemed possible in the very dark days of January 2009. As a result would like to reserve a copy of the next we are already seeing the first clear signs of organisations thinking ‘Global Snapshot’, contact Sarah Jones in terms of the ‘war for talent’ once more with more robust at snapshot@antal.com or your local businesses making early moves to snap up the best people in their Antal office – see www.antal.com for markets before general recovery becomes too apparent. more details. snapshot@antal.com w w w.antal.com CONTACT US 10