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© INFINITY BUSINESS SCHOOL
2011-12                             THE INDIAN ECONOMY
                                   The Potential Of A Billion Dreams


                                         Alexander Tytler: The 200 Year Cycle Of Nations
                                                   (The Fall Of The Athenian Republic 1787)
                                                                                                Neeraj Batra
                                                                                                GCMI-Term I
                                                        From Bondage To Unity
                                                    From Unity To Righteous Faith
                                                 From Righteous Faith To Great Courage
                                                       From Courage To Liberty
                                                      From Liberty To Abundance
                                                    From Abundance To Complacency
                                                     From Complacency To Selfishness
                                                       From Selfishness To Apathy
                                                      From Apathy To Dependence
                                                      From Dependence To Bondage




© Neeraj Batra               INDIA: AN ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVE            Data/Charts Draws From Reports By CLSA,
                                                                       McKinsey, U.N.,Goldman Sachs,The Economist,
                                                                       Enam and IMF
© INFINITY BUSINESS SCHOOL
2011-12                                 THE INDIAN ECONOMY
                                       The Potential Of A Billion Dreams


Remarkable History:

   Inventor of The Pi,Decimal                                                                       Neeraj Batra
     System,Zero and The Land Of                                                                    GCMI-Term I
     Kamasutra

  5000 Year History and the Worlds
     economic Superpower till the
     17th Century.

   Till 300 years India was 26 % of
     World GDP , larger than the
     combined GDP of Europe.
     Share Fell Below 2 % in the
     1970s, now up to 4 %

  Plundered & Enslaved For the
  next 300 Years. Gained
  Independence In 1947 and
  Liberalised in 1991 the
  economy.

© Neeraj Batra                   INDIA: AN ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVE            Data/Charts Draws From Reports By CLSA,
                                                                           McKinsey, U.N.,Goldman Sachs,The Economist,
                                                                           Enam and IMF
© INFINITY BUSINESS SCHOOL
2011-12                             THE INDIAN ECONOMY
                                   The Potential Of A Billion Dreams




                                                                                                Neeraj Batra
                                                                                                GCMI-Term I




© Neeraj Batra               INDIA: AN ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVE            Data/Charts Draws From Reports By CLSA,
                                                                       McKinsey, U.N.,Goldman Sachs,The Economist,
                                                                       Enam and IMF
© INFINITY BUSINESS SCHOOL
2011-12                              THE INDIAN ECONOMY
                                     The Potential Of A Billion Dreams


                      KEY EVENTS OF THE LAST 100 YEARS

                                                                                                  Neeraj Batra
                              1914-18 :  WORLD WAR I
                                                                                                  GCMI-Term I
                              1929-39 :  GREAT DEPRESSION
                              1939-45 :  WORLD WAR II
                              1950-60 :  REBUILDING JAPAN/EUROPE
                              1960-70 :  USA DOMINATES
                              1971    :  BRETTON WOOD COLLAPSES
                              1972-82 :  OIL PRICES GO UP 12x In 1 YEAR
                              1979-82 :  PETRO DOLLAR/LAM CRISIS
                              1997-98 :  LTCM/ASIAN TIGERS CRISIS
                              2000-01 :  DOTCOM CRISIS
                              2003-04 :  911 TERRORISM
                              2007 :     SUB PRIME IMBROGLIO/GLOBAL
                                         MELTDOWN
                              2008     : DELEVERAGING-YEN CARRY
                                         FWD UNWIND. WESTERN WORLD
                                         LEADERSHIP ?
                              2010     : PIIGS- SOVEREIGN RISK

© Neeraj Batra               INDIA: AN ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVE              Data/Charts Draws From Reports By CLSA,
                                                                         McKinsey, U.N.,Goldman Sachs,The Economist,
                                                                         Enam and IMF
© INFINITY BUSINESS SCHOOL
2011-12                             THE INDIAN ECONOMY
                                   The Potential Of A Billion Dreams



                         THEMES OF THE LAST 5 DECADES
                                                                                                Neeraj Batra
                                 THE LAST 50 YEARS                                              GCMI-Term I
                   MID-70s  OPEC COUNTRIES SURGE ON PETRO-
                            DOLLARS
                   MID-80s JAPAN DOMINATED WITH EXPORTS LED
                            ECONOMY
                   1990s    ASIAN TIGERS:TAIWAN/THAILAND/MALAYSIA
                   LATE-90s USA RE-EMERGES WITH THE TECHNOLOGY
                            & INTERNET BOOM
                   2000s    CHINA DOMINANCE/BRIC ECONOMIES
                   2010     PIIGS ROLL IN THE MUD
                   2020-    THE ELEPHANT DANCES ? THE DRAGON
                            SPITS FIRE: A NEW ECONOMIC ORDER

© Neeraj Batra               INDIA: AN ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVE            Data/Charts Draws From Reports By CLSA,
                                                                       McKinsey, U.N.,Goldman Sachs,The Economist,
                                                                       Enam and IMF
© INFINITY BUSINESS SCHOOL
2011-12                             THE INDIAN ECONOMY
                                   The Potential Of A Billion Dreams

                                                    THE VIRTUOUS CYCLES OF MARKETS

                                                                                                Neeraj Batra
                                                                                                GCMI-Term I




© Neeraj Batra               INDIA: AN ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVE            Data/Charts Draws From Reports By CLSA,
                                                                       McKinsey, U.N.,Goldman Sachs,The Economist,
                                                                       Enam and IMF

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Alex tytler global trends

  • 1. © INFINITY BUSINESS SCHOOL 2011-12 THE INDIAN ECONOMY The Potential Of A Billion Dreams Alexander Tytler: The 200 Year Cycle Of Nations (The Fall Of The Athenian Republic 1787) Neeraj Batra GCMI-Term I From Bondage To Unity From Unity To Righteous Faith From Righteous Faith To Great Courage From Courage To Liberty From Liberty To Abundance From Abundance To Complacency From Complacency To Selfishness From Selfishness To Apathy From Apathy To Dependence From Dependence To Bondage © Neeraj Batra INDIA: AN ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVE Data/Charts Draws From Reports By CLSA, McKinsey, U.N.,Goldman Sachs,The Economist, Enam and IMF
  • 2. © INFINITY BUSINESS SCHOOL 2011-12 THE INDIAN ECONOMY The Potential Of A Billion Dreams Remarkable History: Inventor of The Pi,Decimal Neeraj Batra System,Zero and The Land Of GCMI-Term I Kamasutra 5000 Year History and the Worlds economic Superpower till the 17th Century. Till 300 years India was 26 % of World GDP , larger than the combined GDP of Europe. Share Fell Below 2 % in the 1970s, now up to 4 % Plundered & Enslaved For the next 300 Years. Gained Independence In 1947 and Liberalised in 1991 the economy. © Neeraj Batra INDIA: AN ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVE Data/Charts Draws From Reports By CLSA, McKinsey, U.N.,Goldman Sachs,The Economist, Enam and IMF
  • 3. © INFINITY BUSINESS SCHOOL 2011-12 THE INDIAN ECONOMY The Potential Of A Billion Dreams Neeraj Batra GCMI-Term I © Neeraj Batra INDIA: AN ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVE Data/Charts Draws From Reports By CLSA, McKinsey, U.N.,Goldman Sachs,The Economist, Enam and IMF
  • 4. © INFINITY BUSINESS SCHOOL 2011-12 THE INDIAN ECONOMY The Potential Of A Billion Dreams KEY EVENTS OF THE LAST 100 YEARS Neeraj Batra 1914-18 : WORLD WAR I GCMI-Term I 1929-39 : GREAT DEPRESSION 1939-45 : WORLD WAR II 1950-60 : REBUILDING JAPAN/EUROPE 1960-70 : USA DOMINATES 1971 : BRETTON WOOD COLLAPSES 1972-82 : OIL PRICES GO UP 12x In 1 YEAR 1979-82 : PETRO DOLLAR/LAM CRISIS 1997-98 : LTCM/ASIAN TIGERS CRISIS 2000-01 : DOTCOM CRISIS 2003-04 : 911 TERRORISM 2007 : SUB PRIME IMBROGLIO/GLOBAL MELTDOWN 2008 : DELEVERAGING-YEN CARRY FWD UNWIND. WESTERN WORLD LEADERSHIP ? 2010 : PIIGS- SOVEREIGN RISK © Neeraj Batra INDIA: AN ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVE Data/Charts Draws From Reports By CLSA, McKinsey, U.N.,Goldman Sachs,The Economist, Enam and IMF
  • 5. © INFINITY BUSINESS SCHOOL 2011-12 THE INDIAN ECONOMY The Potential Of A Billion Dreams THEMES OF THE LAST 5 DECADES Neeraj Batra THE LAST 50 YEARS GCMI-Term I MID-70s OPEC COUNTRIES SURGE ON PETRO- DOLLARS MID-80s JAPAN DOMINATED WITH EXPORTS LED ECONOMY 1990s ASIAN TIGERS:TAIWAN/THAILAND/MALAYSIA LATE-90s USA RE-EMERGES WITH THE TECHNOLOGY & INTERNET BOOM 2000s CHINA DOMINANCE/BRIC ECONOMIES 2010 PIIGS ROLL IN THE MUD 2020- THE ELEPHANT DANCES ? THE DRAGON SPITS FIRE: A NEW ECONOMIC ORDER © Neeraj Batra INDIA: AN ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVE Data/Charts Draws From Reports By CLSA, McKinsey, U.N.,Goldman Sachs,The Economist, Enam and IMF
  • 6. © INFINITY BUSINESS SCHOOL 2011-12 THE INDIAN ECONOMY The Potential Of A Billion Dreams THE VIRTUOUS CYCLES OF MARKETS Neeraj Batra GCMI-Term I © Neeraj Batra INDIA: AN ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVE Data/Charts Draws From Reports By CLSA, McKinsey, U.N.,Goldman Sachs,The Economist, Enam and IMF