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Agile = No Planning = Bull$h!t
Reese Schmit, Agile Coach
Agile Velocity
Sponsors
Advocates
In	Kind
Supporters
“…I have
always found
that plans are
useless, but
planning is
indispensable.
”
-Dwight D.
Eisenhower
The point is not
to Deliver the
plan
@ReeseNDesist
Agile Teams
plan product
construction
in layers
• One item per sticky written
with sharpie
• 1 major project
• 1 minor update
• Something in the middle
Let’s get your house ready to sell
Story
Points
Story Points
A relative measure of
scope of a Story
i.e. How big a feature
is compared to other
features taking into
account complexity,
uncertainty and risk
Velocity
The average amount
of work the team has
Finished over
previous Sprints
Let’s Size this
Backlog
Let’s Prioritize
Now that it’s Sized
by ROI
Ordering MoSCoW
Feature Points Cumulative Total
Story A 2 2
Story B 5 7
Story C 3 10
Story D 1 11
Story E 3 14
Story F 2 16
Story G 5 21
Story H 2 23
Story I 2 25
Story J 3 28
Story K 5 33
Story L 2 35
Story M 8 43
Story N 2 45
Story O 5 50
Story P 2 52
Story Q 8 60
•Team Historical Velocity = 10 Points/ Sprint
•Sprints are 2 weeks each
•Release is scheduled for 6 Sprints/ 12 weeks
•Backlog has been reduced to 60 points
How comfortable would you be committing to the
business that the team will deliver the scope of
Story A-Q in 12 weeks?
Do we commit to our
Capacity?
Feature Points Cumulative Total
Story A 2 2
Story B 5 7
Story C 3 10
Story D 1 11
Story E 3 14
Story F 2 16
Story G 5 21
Story H 2 23
Story I 2 25
Story J 3 28
Story K 5 33
Story L 2 35
Story M 8 43
Story N 2 45
Story O 5 50
Story P 2 52
Story Q 8 60
While we are still forecasting to deliver 60 points, as far as committing
to features we would say:
“We are virtually certain we will deliver stories A-K,
and Stories L and M have a 50% chance. It is unlikely
that Stories N-Q will make it in the release.”
90% Confidence
50% Confidence
10% Confidence
Do we commit to our
Full Capacity?
Fixed Date - (#Sprints x Velocity) / Risk Factors = Confidence Target
Fixed Scope - Total Scope x Risk Factor / Velocity = #Sprints
Chance Story Points Confidence
10% (6x10) / 1 = 60
50% (6x10) / 1.4 = 43
90% (6x10) / 1.8 = 33
inscopeatrisk
1.Total up your backlog
2.Determine you are 90%
confidant you can complete
3.Determine what you are
10% confidant you can
complete
4.Create stickies and place
them at those spots next to
your backlog
Your turn!
After 2 Sprints we completed A-G and achieved our target velocity. New
Stories X-Z arrived. Now we would say,
“We are virtually certain we will deliver stories H-L
incl. X, and Stories Y & Z have a 50% chance. It is
unlikely that Stories M-N will make it in the release,
and we almost certainly won’t have time for O-Q.”
is ongoing
RELEASE PLANNING
Feature Points Cumulative Total
Story A 2 Done
Story B 5 Done
Story C 3 Done
Story D 1 Done
Story E 3 Done
Story F 2 Done
Story G 5 Done
Story H 2 2
Story I 2 4
Story J 3 7
Story X 8 15
Story K 5 20
Story L 2 22
Story Y 5 27
Story Z 2 29
Story M 8 37
Story N 2 39
Story O 5 44
Story P 2 46
Story Q 8 54
inscopeatriskoutofscope
BurnUP
Release
And just like
that we have
a Plan

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Agile = No Planning = Bull$h!t

  • 1. Copyright © 2017 Agile Velocity, LLC.  All Rights Reserved. AGILE VELOCITY PROPRIETARY Agile = No Planning = Bull$h!t Reese Schmit, Agile Coach Agile Velocity
  • 3. “…I have always found that plans are useless, but planning is indispensable. ” -Dwight D. Eisenhower
  • 4. The point is not to Deliver the plan @ReeseNDesist
  • 6. • One item per sticky written with sharpie • 1 major project • 1 minor update • Something in the middle Let’s get your house ready to sell
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  • 8. Story Points Story Points A relative measure of scope of a Story i.e. How big a feature is compared to other features taking into account complexity, uncertainty and risk Velocity The average amount of work the team has Finished over previous Sprints
  • 12. Feature Points Cumulative Total Story A 2 2 Story B 5 7 Story C 3 10 Story D 1 11 Story E 3 14 Story F 2 16 Story G 5 21 Story H 2 23 Story I 2 25 Story J 3 28 Story K 5 33 Story L 2 35 Story M 8 43 Story N 2 45 Story O 5 50 Story P 2 52 Story Q 8 60 •Team Historical Velocity = 10 Points/ Sprint •Sprints are 2 weeks each •Release is scheduled for 6 Sprints/ 12 weeks •Backlog has been reduced to 60 points How comfortable would you be committing to the business that the team will deliver the scope of Story A-Q in 12 weeks? Do we commit to our Capacity?
  • 13. Feature Points Cumulative Total Story A 2 2 Story B 5 7 Story C 3 10 Story D 1 11 Story E 3 14 Story F 2 16 Story G 5 21 Story H 2 23 Story I 2 25 Story J 3 28 Story K 5 33 Story L 2 35 Story M 8 43 Story N 2 45 Story O 5 50 Story P 2 52 Story Q 8 60 While we are still forecasting to deliver 60 points, as far as committing to features we would say: “We are virtually certain we will deliver stories A-K, and Stories L and M have a 50% chance. It is unlikely that Stories N-Q will make it in the release.” 90% Confidence 50% Confidence 10% Confidence Do we commit to our Full Capacity? Fixed Date - (#Sprints x Velocity) / Risk Factors = Confidence Target Fixed Scope - Total Scope x Risk Factor / Velocity = #Sprints Chance Story Points Confidence 10% (6x10) / 1 = 60 50% (6x10) / 1.4 = 43 90% (6x10) / 1.8 = 33 inscopeatrisk
  • 14. 1.Total up your backlog 2.Determine you are 90% confidant you can complete 3.Determine what you are 10% confidant you can complete 4.Create stickies and place them at those spots next to your backlog Your turn!
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  • 16. After 2 Sprints we completed A-G and achieved our target velocity. New Stories X-Z arrived. Now we would say, “We are virtually certain we will deliver stories H-L incl. X, and Stories Y & Z have a 50% chance. It is unlikely that Stories M-N will make it in the release, and we almost certainly won’t have time for O-Q.” is ongoing RELEASE PLANNING Feature Points Cumulative Total Story A 2 Done Story B 5 Done Story C 3 Done Story D 1 Done Story E 3 Done Story F 2 Done Story G 5 Done Story H 2 2 Story I 2 4 Story J 3 7 Story X 8 15 Story K 5 20 Story L 2 22 Story Y 5 27 Story Z 2 29 Story M 8 37 Story N 2 39 Story O 5 44 Story P 2 46 Story Q 8 54 inscopeatriskoutofscope
  • 18. And just like that we have a Plan