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“ Valuation and Financial Forensics –  Educate, Communicate, Preserve” NACVA and IBA’s Annual Consultants’ Conference Discount for Lack of  Marketability (Liquidity) Models:  A Comparative Analysis Mainstream Track and Ashok Abbott, PhD  present May 27-30, 2009 Boston, MA
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Discount for Lack of  Marketability (Liquidity) Models:  A Comparative Analysis Ashok Abbott, PhD
Comparative Analysis of Liquidity and Marketability Discount Models
Core Concepts in Discounting ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Distinction between Marketability and Liquidity ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Marketability versus liquidity: ASA definitions adopted July 2004 ,[object Object],[object Object]
Degrees of Marketability ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Model Classes for DLOM ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Models considering Marketability and assuming Liquidity ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Silber Model  LN (RPRS) = 4.33 + 0.036 LN (REV) - 0.142 LN (RBRT) + 0.174 DERN - 0.332 DCUST ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Bajaj ( 2001) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Abbott (2004) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Models Considering lack of diversification but assuming Marketability and Liquidity ,[object Object],[object Object]
Tabak ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Meulbroek ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Models considering Delayed Liquidation as lack of Marketability ,[object Object],[object Object]
DCF Models QMDM /Stockdale ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Stockdale ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Time Volatility (Option) Models  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
BSP ,[object Object]
BSP  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
BSP Basics ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Finnerty model :Asian Average Put ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Finnerty Model Discount ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Look Back Put ,[object Object],[object Object]
Look back Put DISCOUNT ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Estimated DLOL ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Discounts Comparison 7.90% 20.81% 9.36% 0.3 7.71% 20.20% 9.04% 0.29 7.52% 19.60% 8.72% 0.28 7.33% 18.98% 8.40% 0.27 7.14% 18.36% 8.07% 0.26 6.94% 17.74% 7.74% 0.25 6.75% 17.10% 7.41% 0.24 6.55% 16.47% 7.08% 0.23 6.35% 15.82% 6.74% 0.22 6.16% 15.17% 6.41% 0.21 5.96% 14.52% 6.07% 0.2 5.76% 13.86% 5.72% 0.19 5.56% 13.19% 5.38% 0.18 5.37% 12.51% 5.03% 0.17 5.17% 11.83% 4.68% 0.16 4.97% 11.14% 4.33% 0.15 4.77% 10.45% 3.98% 0.14 4.58% 9.75% 3.63% 0.13 4.38% 9.04% 3.27% 0.12 4.19% 8.33% 2.92% 0.11 4.00% 7.61% 2.56% 0.1 AAP LBP BSP Annual Standard Deviation
Estimated DLOL ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
40.64% 61.52% 23.82% 0.6 40.39% 60.97% 23.47% 0.59 40.13% 60.42% 23.12% 0.58 39.86% 59.85% 22.76% 0.57 39.58% 59.27% 22.39% 0.56 39.30% 58.68% 22.02% 0.55 39.00% 58.08% 21.64% 0.54 38.69% 57.47% 21.26% 0.53 38.37% 56.84% 20.87% 0.52 38.04% 56.21% 20.47% 0.51 37.70% 55.56% 20.07% 0.5 37.36% 54.90% 19.66% 0.49 37.00% 54.23% 19.25% 0.48 36.63% 53.55% 18.83% 0.47 36.25% 52.85% 18.40% 0.46 35.86% 52.14% 17.97% 0.45 35.46% 51.41% 17.53% 0.44 35.06% 50.68% 17.09% 0.43 34.64% 49.92% 16.64% 0.42 34.22% 49.16% 16.18% 0.41 33.79% 48.38% 15.72% 0.4 AAP LBP BSP Annual Standard Deviation
Estimated DLOL ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
59.63% 83.32% 23.72% 0.9 59.63% 83.06% 23.56% 0.89 59.63% 82.79% 23.39% 0.88 59.63% 82.52% 23.22% 0.87 59.63% 82.25% 23.04% 0.86 59.62% 81.97% 22.86% 0.85 59.62% 81.68% 22.68% 0.84 59.62% 81.38% 22.49% 0.83 59.62% 81.08% 22.29% 0.82 59.62% 80.78% 22.09% 0.81 59.61% 80.46% 21.89% 0.8 59.61% 80.14% 21.68% 0.79 59.61% 79.81% 21.46% 0.78 59.60% 79.48% 21.24% 0.77 59.60% 79.14% 21.02% 0.76 59.60% 78.79% 20.79% 0.75 59.59% 78.43% 20.55% 0.74 59.59% 78.06% 20.31% 0.73 59.58% 77.69% 20.07% 0.72 59.57% 77.30% 19.81% 0.71 59.57% 76.91% 19.56% 0.7 AAP LBP BSP Annual Standard Deviation
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Abbott Disc Lack Marketability Presentation 2

  • 1. “ Valuation and Financial Forensics – Educate, Communicate, Preserve” NACVA and IBA’s Annual Consultants’ Conference Discount for Lack of Marketability (Liquidity) Models: A Comparative Analysis Mainstream Track and Ashok Abbott, PhD present May 27-30, 2009 Boston, MA
  • 2.
  • 3. Discount for Lack of Marketability (Liquidity) Models: A Comparative Analysis Ashok Abbott, PhD
  • 4. Comparative Analysis of Liquidity and Marketability Discount Models
  • 5.
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  • 11.
  • 12.
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  • 18.
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  • 20.
  • 21.
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  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29. Discounts Comparison 7.90% 20.81% 9.36% 0.3 7.71% 20.20% 9.04% 0.29 7.52% 19.60% 8.72% 0.28 7.33% 18.98% 8.40% 0.27 7.14% 18.36% 8.07% 0.26 6.94% 17.74% 7.74% 0.25 6.75% 17.10% 7.41% 0.24 6.55% 16.47% 7.08% 0.23 6.35% 15.82% 6.74% 0.22 6.16% 15.17% 6.41% 0.21 5.96% 14.52% 6.07% 0.2 5.76% 13.86% 5.72% 0.19 5.56% 13.19% 5.38% 0.18 5.37% 12.51% 5.03% 0.17 5.17% 11.83% 4.68% 0.16 4.97% 11.14% 4.33% 0.15 4.77% 10.45% 3.98% 0.14 4.58% 9.75% 3.63% 0.13 4.38% 9.04% 3.27% 0.12 4.19% 8.33% 2.92% 0.11 4.00% 7.61% 2.56% 0.1 AAP LBP BSP Annual Standard Deviation
  • 30.
  • 31. 40.64% 61.52% 23.82% 0.6 40.39% 60.97% 23.47% 0.59 40.13% 60.42% 23.12% 0.58 39.86% 59.85% 22.76% 0.57 39.58% 59.27% 22.39% 0.56 39.30% 58.68% 22.02% 0.55 39.00% 58.08% 21.64% 0.54 38.69% 57.47% 21.26% 0.53 38.37% 56.84% 20.87% 0.52 38.04% 56.21% 20.47% 0.51 37.70% 55.56% 20.07% 0.5 37.36% 54.90% 19.66% 0.49 37.00% 54.23% 19.25% 0.48 36.63% 53.55% 18.83% 0.47 36.25% 52.85% 18.40% 0.46 35.86% 52.14% 17.97% 0.45 35.46% 51.41% 17.53% 0.44 35.06% 50.68% 17.09% 0.43 34.64% 49.92% 16.64% 0.42 34.22% 49.16% 16.18% 0.41 33.79% 48.38% 15.72% 0.4 AAP LBP BSP Annual Standard Deviation
  • 32.
  • 33. 59.63% 83.32% 23.72% 0.9 59.63% 83.06% 23.56% 0.89 59.63% 82.79% 23.39% 0.88 59.63% 82.52% 23.22% 0.87 59.63% 82.25% 23.04% 0.86 59.62% 81.97% 22.86% 0.85 59.62% 81.68% 22.68% 0.84 59.62% 81.38% 22.49% 0.83 59.62% 81.08% 22.29% 0.82 59.62% 80.78% 22.09% 0.81 59.61% 80.46% 21.89% 0.8 59.61% 80.14% 21.68% 0.79 59.61% 79.81% 21.46% 0.78 59.60% 79.48% 21.24% 0.77 59.60% 79.14% 21.02% 0.76 59.60% 78.79% 20.79% 0.75 59.59% 78.43% 20.55% 0.74 59.59% 78.06% 20.31% 0.73 59.58% 77.69% 20.07% 0.72 59.57% 77.30% 19.81% 0.71 59.57% 76.91% 19.56% 0.7 AAP LBP BSP Annual Standard Deviation
  • 34.