This document discusses the need for systems thinking in developing urban resilience. It describes the urban system as highly complex with interconnected cities and rural areas. Urban resiliency itself is described as a highly complex adaptive system. The document advocates shifting from an ego-system mindset, where the wants of power holders are prioritized over transparency and social costs, to an eco-system mindset of system prosperity thinking to fulfill the needs of all within environmental means. It then outlines various methods and methodologies for applying systems thinking, including iceberg systems thinking, multi-layer network mapping, link prediction mapping, self-organizing system mapping, and collective sense-making modeling.

1. ‫اتمی‬ ‫های‬ ‫عادت‬
‫کوچک‬ ‫تغییرات‬
-
‫بزرگ‬ ‫نتایج‬

2. ‫تکرار‬
-
‫اتوماتیسیته‬

3. ‫تکرار‬
-
‫اتوماتیسیته‬

4. ‫تکرار‬
-
‫اتوماتیسیته‬

5. ‫کشاورزان‬ ‫رفتار‬ ‫و‬ ‫کشورها‬ ‫وعرض‬ ‫طول‬

6. ‫ا‬
‫افق‬ ‫در‬ ‫همکار‬ ‫وشبکه‬ ‫وشیالت‬ ‫کشاورزی‬ ‫های‬ ‫فعالیت‬ ‫مطلوب‬ ‫ستقرار‬
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7. THE NEED FOR SYSTEM THINKING IN URBAN RESILIENCE
DR. AMIR ALBADVI
TARBIAT MODARES UNIVERSITY, INDUSTRIAL & SYSTEMS ENG.
ASSOCIATE MEMBER OF THE ACADEMY OF SCIENCE
‫هستی‬‫لق‬‫خا‬‫نام‬‫به‬

8. OUR BODY – OUR
CITY
Urban System: highly Complex
Human-activity System
System Environment: highly complex
interconnected cities and rural areas
Urban Resiliency: a highly complex
adaptive system
Dr. A. Albadvi Oct. 2022 8

9. WHY WE ARE HERE?
HOW DID WE GET HERE?
Dr. A. Albadvi Oct. 2022 9
An Ego-system is structured to satisfy power-holders wants and to privatize decision-making, Financial
capital is valued over human contribution, the social cost of policy decision-makers is not fully disclosed
and social transactions lack transparency.

10. HOW WE CAN HEAL THE PROBLEM?
Dr. A. Albadvi Oct. 2022 10
FROM EGO-SYSTEM TO ECO-SYSTEM MINDSET
System Prosperity thinking: A methodological approach to analyze and design systems
that fulfill all its beings’ needs within the ecological means.

11. METHODS &
METHODOLOGIES:
“We cannot impose our will on a complex human-
activity system. We can only listen to what the
system and its highly interconnected sub-systems
tell us and discover how system properties and our
values can work together to bring forth something
much better than could ever be produced by our
will alone”. (D.H. Meadows, Thinking in Systems, 2008)
Dr. A. Albadvi Oct. 2022 11

12. 1. ICEBERG SYSTEMS
THINKING
(GOODMAN, 2020)
“U” MODEL
Dr. A. Albadvi Oct. 2022 12

13. 2. MULTI-LAYER /
MULTIPLEX NETWORK
SYSTEM MAPPING
LAYERS REPRESENT SYSTEM ASPECTS
CONSISTING OF NODES AND EDGES, BUT
THE NODES EXIST IN SEPARATE LAYERS,
REPRESENTING DIFFERENT FORMS OF
INTERACTIONS.
Dr. A. Albadvi Oct. 2022 13

14. 3. LINK PREDICTION MAPPING:
PREDICTING THE EXISTENCE OR A
CHARACTERISTIC OF THE RELATIONSHIP
BETWEEN ENTITIES WITHIN A NETWORK.
GRAPH-BASED (AUTOIMMUNE) NEURAL
NETWORK MODEL
Dr. A. Albadvi Oct. 2022 14

15. CONTINUUM OF SELF-
ORGANIZING SYSTEMS
Dr. A. Albadvi Oct. 2022 15
4. SELF-ORGANIZING
SYSTEM MAPPING
AUTOPOIETIC SYSTEMS: A SYSTEM THAT
RECURSIVELY REPRODUCES ITS ELEMENTS
THROUGH ITS OWN ELEMENTS.
SYMPOIETIC SYSTEMS: COMPLEX, SELF-
ORGANIZING BUT COLLECTIVELY
PRODUCING, BOUNDARYLESS SYSTEMS.
BIOMIMICRY PRACTICE FOR LIVING
COMPLEX SYSTEMS.

16. A SIMPLIFIED EXAMPLE OF A
SELF-ORGANIZING INNOVATION
ECO-SYSTEM
Dr. A. Albadvi Oct. 2022 16

17. 5. COLLECTIVE SENSE-
MAKING MODELING
FOR SYMPOIETIC
SYSTEMS
Dr. A. Albadvi Oct. 2022 17

18. AN EXAMPLE OF COLLECTIVE SENSE-
MAKING MAPPING USING SOCIAL
NETWORK MODELING IN TIMES OF
CRISIS
Hurricane Harvey communication network Day 1–6
For over 12 million tweets
(https://doi.org/10.1177/0268396220929258)
Dr. A. Albadvi Oct. 2022 18