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Committed Towards an Self-dependent India
“Why Communist Party of China Will not make
Peace with Democratic India”
A. Political Foundations (Socialism vs Capitalism)
B. Economic Structure & Competition ( Trade Wars)
C. Geo-Political and Geo-Strategic Rivalry (BRI)
D. Social and Cultural Attitudes ;
E. China’s Overall Behaviour in last 7 decades ;
F. Conclusion & Suggestions;
G. Q & A
LECTURE OUTLINE
Stele Rubbing of Confucius
(551-479 B.C.)
Édouard Chavannes, Mission
Archéologique dans la Chine
Septentrionale (Paris:
The Mao Years,
1949-1976
1949- The Chinese Communist Party Comes to Power
“A property-less class”: a (party-led) peasant revolution
The Party and Army rule China together after a civil war victory Over
KMT’s Chiang Kaishek who Fleee to Taiwan (Republic of China )
Mao’s Philosophy: political power grows from the barrel of a gun.
Then he declares that “China has stood up”:
It s a nationalist victory as Mao claims.
China marches on the road to become a developmental state but with
many disasters such as great leap forward and cultural revolution; 8
From a “A revolution is not a dinner party”
to
“It does not matter if the cat is black or white,
so long as it catches mice”:
The Industrial Revolution was built on the grave of the
Indian economy.
The Industrial Revolution was made in Britain, but it was
funded by India (against her will).
The Industrial Revolution gave birth to the Industrial Age,
or the Modern Age.
Though the Modern Age was inaugurated in Britain, the real
driving force behind it was India.
That was the role of India in the Industrial Revolution (and
consequently, the birth of the Modern Age).
Why India lagged Behind.…
Parliamentary system with cabinet VS. ONE party rule
Bicameral Parliament VS. Polit Bureau.
President as a Nominal head of the Nation VS.
Prime Minister elected directly by the people.
President is indirectly elected.
Common law vs. Civil law
Federal vs. Unitary
Separation of powers vs. Concentration of powers
Judicial review vs. Legislative review (if at all)
Independent judiciary vs. Subservient courts
Free NGOs/media vs. Controlled media & NGOs
India-China Legal System Differences
India and China : A Contrast
1. India was one of the earliest countries, the second in the non-socialist
world and the first in South Asia to recognize the People¡¯s Republic of
China (PRC)
2. The two countries established diplomatic relations on April 1, 1950.
3. Premier Zhou Enlai visited India in June 1954.
4. Prime Minister Nehru visited China in October 1954.
5. In the same year, India and China evolved the Five Principles of Peaceful
Co-existence.
6. the war of 1962 led to a serious setback in bilateral relations.
7. India and China restored ambassadorial relations in 1976.
8. In 1979, the then External Affairs Minister A.B. Vajpayee made a path-
breaking visit to China, which lead to the renewal of contacts at the
highest political level after two decades.
9. Chinese Foreign Minister Huang Hua made a return visit to India in
1981.
Indian Gestures and China’s Betrayal
=#China never practiced an independent foreign policy
#$It allied with USSR (1949-59) and then With USA
(1976-1999), now again back to Putin’s Russia camp.
==India has been throughout
non-aligned and infant leader of non-aligned countries.
Conclusion: In foreign policy it never does what it says,
and it never says what it does.
1. Chinese thinks they are at the centre of the world.
2. Chinese means Han Chinese…there are other 55 other nationalities but more
or less culturally hanihfied.
3. Their only dream is that whole world speaks Chinese and eats noodle ?
3. It is Development vs. Freedom, as long as means justify the goals, it does not
matter at all. In India its Gandhian…….
2. India has Rule-of-Law vs. China have Rule of the Party…
3. Getting rich is the only goal Chinese have?…We Indians have so many goals,
such as World Guru….
4. The Indian democracy is no real as poor continue to be poor and rich become
richer. China would never want Indian democracy.
5. As long as Chinese economy keeps growing and living standard rising, no one
can question the legitimacy of CCP to rule Chinese people.
What is “China Dream”or “China Model”
“Chinese Belt and Road is latest to make
india as China’s Enemy?
It is their initiative to build a twenty-
first-century Silk Road land and
maritime trade corridor that could
outdo America’s postwar reconstruction
Marshall Plan to foster economic
integration with neighboring countries,
boost demand for Chinese products,
and develop China’s poorer western
provinces.”
INDIA not fitting in China’s
BELT & ROAD
A Long-term Debt Trap for Smaller Countries
clash of civilizations=clash of
visions
Role of STATE in Enabling Chinese Economy
1. Example of China shows that State can
be a major platform for enabling the fast
growth of economy
3. The role of the state is significant in
supporting the start-up ecosystem,
5. Setting up complex high-tech projects in
cooperation with universities,
7. Stimulating commercialisation of
research results and creation of
innovative businesses in universities,
9. Digital regulation, data Protection
regime and Taxing of cross-border a
major issue.
The “triple helix” model of government-
university-industry
research funding.
1. Indians have no history of their own, they have been always ruled by foreigners,
and
2. China has subdued India several times in History.
3. China spends more on domestic security than their military
4. China fears their own people more than fear the world.
4. What is happening in HK has made Xi very nervous.
5. Xi is accused of signing a humiliating trade agreement with trump,
6. China lost its bid to influence politics of Taiwan,
7. CCP is now being most distrustful leader in the world.
8. China persecuted more people than any other regime in the world.
There is no freedom of religion, information, Press, or any freedom.
Chinese nervousness and their behaviour
1. Openly supports Pakistan Nuclear Program
2. Membership in the UN security Council
3. Opposed to our Entry into NSG
4. Opposing declaration of Hafeez Sayeed, and LeT as terrorist
organisation
5. Always supported Maoists and communist in India now
supports Kanhaiya Kumar
6. Training 5 000 Paki n Nepali students to speak against India
7. It supports insurgency in North East India
8. It funds chairs in top Univrersities to spit venom against India
CCP only goal is to Breakup India and limit her to South
Asian region
1. History of China is all about war among different ethnic groups
and warlords for thousands of years.
2. The CCP control is totally based on PLA control, if no PLA
CCP cannot rule one day in China.
3. CCP is illegitimate and it got power from Russians help.
4. Its not Bec of money power today, China has always behaved
abnormal and lived in its own utopian world.
5. No one could predict their next step.
6. China fought war with almost all of its neighbors, and continues
to fight even today.
7. It does not behave like a great power, its so tricky…if you
disagree with them they will just want to finish you.
8. Today China has active military base in the Indian Ocean
9. PLA is taking all advantage of their own domestic unrest and
building across Indian border in Ladakh.
10. This is quite normal Chinese behaviour.
China’s Cannot Rise Peacefully
1. China Practices State Mercantilism
2. China is Opposed to free-trade
3. China Stills others technology by overt and covert means
4. China Forces MNCs in China to transfer their technology
5. China Joined WTO but never followed its rules
6. China is Dumping of cheap Chinese products
7. Chinese do not allow Indian products on the various excuses.
8. India is running 50 billion trade deficit with China.
Conclusion: The Chinese model is fake on all fronts and levels. It has faked its
legitimacy and illegally rules Chinese people without any mandate. It’s economy
is all stolen and reversed engineering. And it’s culture is all translation and
retranslation.
चीनी दृिष्टकोण में भारत
1. भारत एक अद्भुत तथा रहस्यमय देश
2. भारत एक प्राचीन सभ्यता एवं बुद्ध की जन्मभूिम
3. भारत पिश्चमी साम्राज्यवाद का एक िपछलगु
4. भारत एक चीन-िवरोधी राष्ट्र
5. भारत एक गरीब देश
6. भारत में िस्त्रयों की सामािजक िस्थित
7. भारत एक उभरती हुई आिथर् क शिक्त
8. Caste System is the worst
9. Women have no rights
10. Indian Democracy is farce
1. Buddhism did originate from India but Chinese totally
Changed it so that you cannot recognise anything Indian in
that.
2. Hinduism is seen as a cult and it was banned in China.
The Red-Guards burnt the Indian Embassy in 1960s.
Amb.
Nirupama Rao, the female ambassador was asked to meet
Chinese leader at 2 AM midnight.
India means Curry and Cow
Aa-San is the name they use for Indians.
What Chinese thinks and teach about India
औपिनवेिशक काल
आज़ादी की लड़ाई ,िद्वत्य िवश्व-युद्ध, िस्टलवेल रोड
िलआंग छीछाओ (LIANG QICHAO)
खांग योऊवेई (KANG YOUWEI)
टैगोर की चीन यात्रा (१९२४)
स्यू िचमो (XU ZHIMO)
नेहरु जी का चीन क
े साथ रोमांस
प्रो. थान युनशान (TAN YUNSHAN)
प्रो. िच श्येन िलन
चीन क
े अप्रितम बुिद्धजीवी जीवन भर भारतीय
अध्ययन से जुड़े रहे
१९४६ वे जमर्नी से संस्क
ृ त और बौद्ध सािहत्य में
पीएचडी की िडग्री हािसल कर चीन लौटे
१९५५ में वे भारत सरकार क
े आमंत्रण पर भारत
आये तो नेहरूजी ने उनक
े िलए सेना क
े िवमान
का प्रबंध कर िदया था तािक वे सुिवधापूवर्क
बौद्धधमर्ं क
े ऐितहािसक स्थानों को देख पायें.
१९७८ में हुई चीनी प्रितिनिधमंडल क
े सदस्य क
े
रूप में दुबारा भारत आगमन
All Communist Hates
Hindus
Chinese Doubt our ICT Productivity &
Innovation
Make in India ——Chinese laugh
Modi Jee pitting for Make in India in Shanghai
2015年年05⽉月16⽇日
在印度总理理莫迪访华,GIIC推动贵州省签署4份MOU
Modi in China.2015
Outcome is ZERO
Wang Jianlin was in India this week to meet with PM Modi
China’s largest commercial developer,
Haryana government has signed a total of 406 MoUs for
an investment of Rs 6.41 lakh crore in the state;
>10,000
4,000 – 5,000
2,000 – 4,000
1,000 – 2,000
500 – 1,000
300 – 500
100 – 300
0 – 100
FDI Total Value
(US$ million)
Heilongjiang
Jilin
Liaoning
Hebei
Beijing
Tianjin
Inner Mongolia
Shandong
Jiangsu
Shanghai
Zhejiang
Fujian
Guangdong
Guangxi
Hainan
Hunan
Jiangxi
Anhui
Hubei
Henan
Guizhou
Yunnan
Sichuan
Chongqing
Gansu
Ningxia
Shaanxi
Shanxi
Qinghai
Xinjiang
Tibet
Shanghai
SICHUAN
Beijing
HUBEI
LIAONING
GUANGDONG
HEBEI
SHANXI
SHAANXI
JIANGSU
ANHUI
JIANGXI
FUJIAN
YUNNAN
GANSU
HEILONGJIANG
JILIN
XINJIANG
SHANDONG
NINGXIA
QINGHAI
NEIMENGGU
HENAN
ZHEJIANG
GUANGXI
TIBET
HAINAN
Hong Kong
Guangzhou
Xiamen
Nanjing
HUNAN
GUIZHOU
(unit: 12 million US$)
2,000 and below
2,000 - 4,000
4,000 - 10,000
10,000 and above
Gross Output value range
Provincial Gross Output
Beijing
Population: 14M
GDP: $39B
*Growth rate: 10.4%*
Guangdong
Population: 78M
GDP: $142B
Growth rate: 11.7%*
Shanghai
Population: 16M
GDP: $65B
Growth rate: 10.9%*
Jiangsu
Population: 73M
GDP: $129B
Growth rate: 11.6%*
Gansu
Population: 26M
GDP: $14B
Growth rate: 9.4%*
Qinghai
Population: 5M
GDP: $4B
Growth rate: 12.4%*
Foreign Direct Investment
Regional Variation: East / West & Urban / Rural Divide
47
Political Practice: Resilient and/or
Reforming Authoritarianism?
Challenges: Popular Unrest
Protests: 100,000?
“incidents” per year
Defining “incidents”
Petitioners’ villages
Letters and Visits
Media storms
Issues / Causes
Property Seizures
Unpaid Wages
Environment Issues
Official misbehavior
48
Political Practice: Resilient and/or
Reforming Authoritarianism?
Challenges: Environment
Magnitude of the problem:
12 of 20 world cities with worst
air pollution (particulate) are in China
(WB)
Acid rain “seriously affects” 30% of China
(WB)
70% of 7 major river systems “severely
polluted” (WHO)
650,000 (of global 2,000,000) premature
deaths due to air pollution (WHO 2017)
49
Repression: Monopoly of coercive force
Falun Gong
April 25, 1999, Zhongnanhai incident
Differentiated response—
100s to 1000s? deaths in custody; 6000 imprisoned;
labor reeducation?; torture (USDoS HR Rept 2019)
Ethnic Unrest: Tibet
March 2018 uprising (toward 40th anniversary); 2019
100+ protests; 300 sentenced for Lhasa riots; 20-200 dead;
1000 missing; torture/abuse (USDoS, CRS)
Dalai Lama’s role and Beijing’s response
Ethnic Unrest: Xinjiang
National Security and terrorism?
1000+ prosecutions (2018, increase for terrorism, separatism,
extremism)
August 2018 Kashgar police station assault;
2019 resurgence of unrest
50
GREAT FIREWALL OF CHINA
-- Internet police force; blocking
-- ISP cooperation
-- $.50 party
Village Democracy in China ?
Village elections’ mixed record
610,000 villagers committees
35% free nomination; 40% secret ballot;
70% open count
Incumbent / orthodox candidate advantages
Checking functions….
Non-extension to higher levels
Buyun township and other experiments
Local “deliberative” government?
Budgets and other matters
Highly constrained contests
for higher office:
Local people’s congress elections
All fixed!
Buyun Township, 1998 51
Average Median Age
2020
INDIA 印度 29
CHINA 中国 37
USA 美国 38
EU 欧盟 45
JAPAN ⽇本 49
WHY “MAKE IN INDIA”?
为什么在印度制造?
Market Demand
Cheap Labor
Open System
PM Modi’s Leadership
Demographic Dividend
Export of Ideas & Philosophy
Export of Manpower
Export of Yoga & Spirituality
Export of Bollywood
India as a ‘soft power’
Priorities & Policies
“Internet Plus” plan to build up China’s companies
as world-class competitors in mobile internet, big
data, cloud computing, and Internet of Things”
India & HUAWEI
Power of State Finance making the Chinese
Companies go and buy everywhere !
Its Just 400 people ruling China!
Most of them are Princelings.
! One quality that unites all military leaders is Self Confident.
! Each Nation is self confident in its own Way, for example:
! A German is self confident because he imagines that he Knows
the Truth
! French thinks he is irresistible (both mind and Body) to both
Men and Women
! An Italian is excitable and easily forgets himself and all the
people.
! An Englishman is self assured he is the citizen of best organise
State in the World, there he always knows what he should do
and he is undoubtedly correct.
! A Russian is self assured because He knows Nothing, and does
not want to know anything.
! An Indian is self assured because he Knows everything this li
and also belong life. He only fears GOD who knows about him
! A Chinese man is self assured Bec he can buy any Knowledge
he never worries who knows what. He is just focused about
money as it can buy anything.
Will China overtake USA?
——-NO!
Will there be peaceful coexistence between India and
China?
———- NO!
Will china become a liberal Democracy?
——-Not exactly.
Will there be war between China and US
——Cold War2.0
Thank you!
Now Open to Q & A Session.
My Conclusion: China facing many challenges
Demographic environmental, political and so may
others that its decline has started even before it
became a superpower.
The BRICS FOUNDATION
NEW DELHI

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29th may Haryana Webinar .pdf

  • 1. Committed Towards an Self-dependent India “Why Communist Party of China Will not make Peace with Democratic India”
  • 2. A. Political Foundations (Socialism vs Capitalism) B. Economic Structure & Competition ( Trade Wars) C. Geo-Political and Geo-Strategic Rivalry (BRI) D. Social and Cultural Attitudes ; E. China’s Overall Behaviour in last 7 decades ; F. Conclusion & Suggestions; G. Q & A LECTURE OUTLINE
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  • 5. Stele Rubbing of Confucius (551-479 B.C.) Édouard Chavannes, Mission Archéologique dans la Chine Septentrionale (Paris:
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  • 8. The Mao Years, 1949-1976 1949- The Chinese Communist Party Comes to Power “A property-less class”: a (party-led) peasant revolution The Party and Army rule China together after a civil war victory Over KMT’s Chiang Kaishek who Fleee to Taiwan (Republic of China ) Mao’s Philosophy: political power grows from the barrel of a gun. Then he declares that “China has stood up”: It s a nationalist victory as Mao claims. China marches on the road to become a developmental state but with many disasters such as great leap forward and cultural revolution; 8
  • 9. From a “A revolution is not a dinner party” to “It does not matter if the cat is black or white, so long as it catches mice”:
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  • 12. The Industrial Revolution was built on the grave of the Indian economy. The Industrial Revolution was made in Britain, but it was funded by India (against her will). The Industrial Revolution gave birth to the Industrial Age, or the Modern Age. Though the Modern Age was inaugurated in Britain, the real driving force behind it was India. That was the role of India in the Industrial Revolution (and consequently, the birth of the Modern Age). Why India lagged Behind.…
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  • 15. Parliamentary system with cabinet VS. ONE party rule Bicameral Parliament VS. Polit Bureau. President as a Nominal head of the Nation VS. Prime Minister elected directly by the people. President is indirectly elected. Common law vs. Civil law Federal vs. Unitary Separation of powers vs. Concentration of powers Judicial review vs. Legislative review (if at all) Independent judiciary vs. Subservient courts Free NGOs/media vs. Controlled media & NGOs India-China Legal System Differences India and China : A Contrast
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  • 17. 1. India was one of the earliest countries, the second in the non-socialist world and the first in South Asia to recognize the People¡¯s Republic of China (PRC) 2. The two countries established diplomatic relations on April 1, 1950. 3. Premier Zhou Enlai visited India in June 1954. 4. Prime Minister Nehru visited China in October 1954. 5. In the same year, India and China evolved the Five Principles of Peaceful Co-existence. 6. the war of 1962 led to a serious setback in bilateral relations. 7. India and China restored ambassadorial relations in 1976. 8. In 1979, the then External Affairs Minister A.B. Vajpayee made a path- breaking visit to China, which lead to the renewal of contacts at the highest political level after two decades. 9. Chinese Foreign Minister Huang Hua made a return visit to India in 1981. Indian Gestures and China’s Betrayal
  • 18. =#China never practiced an independent foreign policy #$It allied with USSR (1949-59) and then With USA (1976-1999), now again back to Putin’s Russia camp. ==India has been throughout non-aligned and infant leader of non-aligned countries. Conclusion: In foreign policy it never does what it says, and it never says what it does.
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  • 24. 1. Chinese thinks they are at the centre of the world. 2. Chinese means Han Chinese…there are other 55 other nationalities but more or less culturally hanihfied. 3. Their only dream is that whole world speaks Chinese and eats noodle ? 3. It is Development vs. Freedom, as long as means justify the goals, it does not matter at all. In India its Gandhian……. 2. India has Rule-of-Law vs. China have Rule of the Party… 3. Getting rich is the only goal Chinese have?…We Indians have so many goals, such as World Guru…. 4. The Indian democracy is no real as poor continue to be poor and rich become richer. China would never want Indian democracy. 5. As long as Chinese economy keeps growing and living standard rising, no one can question the legitimacy of CCP to rule Chinese people. What is “China Dream”or “China Model”
  • 25. “Chinese Belt and Road is latest to make india as China’s Enemy? It is their initiative to build a twenty- first-century Silk Road land and maritime trade corridor that could outdo America’s postwar reconstruction Marshall Plan to foster economic integration with neighboring countries, boost demand for Chinese products, and develop China’s poorer western provinces.” INDIA not fitting in China’s BELT & ROAD A Long-term Debt Trap for Smaller Countries
  • 27. Role of STATE in Enabling Chinese Economy 1. Example of China shows that State can be a major platform for enabling the fast growth of economy 3. The role of the state is significant in supporting the start-up ecosystem, 5. Setting up complex high-tech projects in cooperation with universities, 7. Stimulating commercialisation of research results and creation of innovative businesses in universities, 9. Digital regulation, data Protection regime and Taxing of cross-border a major issue. The “triple helix” model of government- university-industry research funding.
  • 28. 1. Indians have no history of their own, they have been always ruled by foreigners, and 2. China has subdued India several times in History. 3. China spends more on domestic security than their military 4. China fears their own people more than fear the world. 4. What is happening in HK has made Xi very nervous. 5. Xi is accused of signing a humiliating trade agreement with trump, 6. China lost its bid to influence politics of Taiwan, 7. CCP is now being most distrustful leader in the world. 8. China persecuted more people than any other regime in the world. There is no freedom of religion, information, Press, or any freedom. Chinese nervousness and their behaviour
  • 29. 1. Openly supports Pakistan Nuclear Program 2. Membership in the UN security Council 3. Opposed to our Entry into NSG 4. Opposing declaration of Hafeez Sayeed, and LeT as terrorist organisation 5. Always supported Maoists and communist in India now supports Kanhaiya Kumar 6. Training 5 000 Paki n Nepali students to speak against India 7. It supports insurgency in North East India 8. It funds chairs in top Univrersities to spit venom against India CCP only goal is to Breakup India and limit her to South Asian region
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  • 31. 1. History of China is all about war among different ethnic groups and warlords for thousands of years. 2. The CCP control is totally based on PLA control, if no PLA CCP cannot rule one day in China. 3. CCP is illegitimate and it got power from Russians help. 4. Its not Bec of money power today, China has always behaved abnormal and lived in its own utopian world. 5. No one could predict their next step. 6. China fought war with almost all of its neighbors, and continues to fight even today. 7. It does not behave like a great power, its so tricky…if you disagree with them they will just want to finish you. 8. Today China has active military base in the Indian Ocean 9. PLA is taking all advantage of their own domestic unrest and building across Indian border in Ladakh. 10. This is quite normal Chinese behaviour. China’s Cannot Rise Peacefully
  • 32. 1. China Practices State Mercantilism 2. China is Opposed to free-trade 3. China Stills others technology by overt and covert means 4. China Forces MNCs in China to transfer their technology 5. China Joined WTO but never followed its rules 6. China is Dumping of cheap Chinese products 7. Chinese do not allow Indian products on the various excuses. 8. India is running 50 billion trade deficit with China. Conclusion: The Chinese model is fake on all fronts and levels. It has faked its legitimacy and illegally rules Chinese people without any mandate. It’s economy is all stolen and reversed engineering. And it’s culture is all translation and retranslation.
  • 33. चीनी दृिष्टकोण में भारत 1. भारत एक अद्भुत तथा रहस्यमय देश 2. भारत एक प्राचीन सभ्यता एवं बुद्ध की जन्मभूिम 3. भारत पिश्चमी साम्राज्यवाद का एक िपछलगु 4. भारत एक चीन-िवरोधी राष्ट्र 5. भारत एक गरीब देश 6. भारत में िस्त्रयों की सामािजक िस्थित 7. भारत एक उभरती हुई आिथर् क शिक्त 8. Caste System is the worst 9. Women have no rights 10. Indian Democracy is farce
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  • 35. 1. Buddhism did originate from India but Chinese totally Changed it so that you cannot recognise anything Indian in that. 2. Hinduism is seen as a cult and it was banned in China. The Red-Guards burnt the Indian Embassy in 1960s. Amb. Nirupama Rao, the female ambassador was asked to meet Chinese leader at 2 AM midnight. India means Curry and Cow Aa-San is the name they use for Indians. What Chinese thinks and teach about India
  • 36. औपिनवेिशक काल आज़ादी की लड़ाई ,िद्वत्य िवश्व-युद्ध, िस्टलवेल रोड िलआंग छीछाओ (LIANG QICHAO) खांग योऊवेई (KANG YOUWEI) टैगोर की चीन यात्रा (१९२४) स्यू िचमो (XU ZHIMO) नेहरु जी का चीन क े साथ रोमांस प्रो. थान युनशान (TAN YUNSHAN)
  • 37. प्रो. िच श्येन िलन चीन क े अप्रितम बुिद्धजीवी जीवन भर भारतीय अध्ययन से जुड़े रहे १९४६ वे जमर्नी से संस्क ृ त और बौद्ध सािहत्य में पीएचडी की िडग्री हािसल कर चीन लौटे १९५५ में वे भारत सरकार क े आमंत्रण पर भारत आये तो नेहरूजी ने उनक े िलए सेना क े िवमान का प्रबंध कर िदया था तािक वे सुिवधापूवर्क बौद्धधमर्ं क े ऐितहािसक स्थानों को देख पायें. १९७८ में हुई चीनी प्रितिनिधमंडल क े सदस्य क े रूप में दुबारा भारत आगमन All Communist Hates Hindus
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  • 41. Chinese Doubt our ICT Productivity & Innovation
  • 42. Make in India ——Chinese laugh Modi Jee pitting for Make in India in Shanghai
  • 45. Outcome is ZERO Wang Jianlin was in India this week to meet with PM Modi China’s largest commercial developer,
  • 46. Haryana government has signed a total of 406 MoUs for an investment of Rs 6.41 lakh crore in the state;
  • 47. >10,000 4,000 – 5,000 2,000 – 4,000 1,000 – 2,000 500 – 1,000 300 – 500 100 – 300 0 – 100 FDI Total Value (US$ million) Heilongjiang Jilin Liaoning Hebei Beijing Tianjin Inner Mongolia Shandong Jiangsu Shanghai Zhejiang Fujian Guangdong Guangxi Hainan Hunan Jiangxi Anhui Hubei Henan Guizhou Yunnan Sichuan Chongqing Gansu Ningxia Shaanxi Shanxi Qinghai Xinjiang Tibet Shanghai SICHUAN Beijing HUBEI LIAONING GUANGDONG HEBEI SHANXI SHAANXI JIANGSU ANHUI JIANGXI FUJIAN YUNNAN GANSU HEILONGJIANG JILIN XINJIANG SHANDONG NINGXIA QINGHAI NEIMENGGU HENAN ZHEJIANG GUANGXI TIBET HAINAN Hong Kong Guangzhou Xiamen Nanjing HUNAN GUIZHOU (unit: 12 million US$) 2,000 and below 2,000 - 4,000 4,000 - 10,000 10,000 and above Gross Output value range Provincial Gross Output Beijing Population: 14M GDP: $39B *Growth rate: 10.4%* Guangdong Population: 78M GDP: $142B Growth rate: 11.7%* Shanghai Population: 16M GDP: $65B Growth rate: 10.9%* Jiangsu Population: 73M GDP: $129B Growth rate: 11.6%* Gansu Population: 26M GDP: $14B Growth rate: 9.4%* Qinghai Population: 5M GDP: $4B Growth rate: 12.4%* Foreign Direct Investment Regional Variation: East / West & Urban / Rural Divide 47
  • 48. Political Practice: Resilient and/or Reforming Authoritarianism? Challenges: Popular Unrest Protests: 100,000? “incidents” per year Defining “incidents” Petitioners’ villages Letters and Visits Media storms Issues / Causes Property Seizures Unpaid Wages Environment Issues Official misbehavior 48
  • 49. Political Practice: Resilient and/or Reforming Authoritarianism? Challenges: Environment Magnitude of the problem: 12 of 20 world cities with worst air pollution (particulate) are in China (WB) Acid rain “seriously affects” 30% of China (WB) 70% of 7 major river systems “severely polluted” (WHO) 650,000 (of global 2,000,000) premature deaths due to air pollution (WHO 2017) 49
  • 50. Repression: Monopoly of coercive force Falun Gong April 25, 1999, Zhongnanhai incident Differentiated response— 100s to 1000s? deaths in custody; 6000 imprisoned; labor reeducation?; torture (USDoS HR Rept 2019) Ethnic Unrest: Tibet March 2018 uprising (toward 40th anniversary); 2019 100+ protests; 300 sentenced for Lhasa riots; 20-200 dead; 1000 missing; torture/abuse (USDoS, CRS) Dalai Lama’s role and Beijing’s response Ethnic Unrest: Xinjiang National Security and terrorism? 1000+ prosecutions (2018, increase for terrorism, separatism, extremism) August 2018 Kashgar police station assault; 2019 resurgence of unrest 50 GREAT FIREWALL OF CHINA -- Internet police force; blocking -- ISP cooperation -- $.50 party
  • 51. Village Democracy in China ? Village elections’ mixed record 610,000 villagers committees 35% free nomination; 40% secret ballot; 70% open count Incumbent / orthodox candidate advantages Checking functions…. Non-extension to higher levels Buyun township and other experiments Local “deliberative” government? Budgets and other matters Highly constrained contests for higher office: Local people’s congress elections All fixed! Buyun Township, 1998 51
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  • 54. Average Median Age 2020 INDIA 印度 29 CHINA 中国 37 USA 美国 38 EU 欧盟 45 JAPAN ⽇本 49 WHY “MAKE IN INDIA”? 为什么在印度制造? Market Demand Cheap Labor Open System PM Modi’s Leadership Demographic Dividend Export of Ideas & Philosophy Export of Manpower Export of Yoga & Spirituality Export of Bollywood India as a ‘soft power’
  • 56. “Internet Plus” plan to build up China’s companies as world-class competitors in mobile internet, big data, cloud computing, and Internet of Things” India & HUAWEI
  • 57. Power of State Finance making the Chinese Companies go and buy everywhere ! Its Just 400 people ruling China! Most of them are Princelings.
  • 58. ! One quality that unites all military leaders is Self Confident. ! Each Nation is self confident in its own Way, for example: ! A German is self confident because he imagines that he Knows the Truth ! French thinks he is irresistible (both mind and Body) to both Men and Women ! An Italian is excitable and easily forgets himself and all the people. ! An Englishman is self assured he is the citizen of best organise State in the World, there he always knows what he should do and he is undoubtedly correct. ! A Russian is self assured because He knows Nothing, and does not want to know anything. ! An Indian is self assured because he Knows everything this li and also belong life. He only fears GOD who knows about him ! A Chinese man is self assured Bec he can buy any Knowledge he never worries who knows what. He is just focused about money as it can buy anything.
  • 59. Will China overtake USA? ——-NO! Will there be peaceful coexistence between India and China? ———- NO! Will china become a liberal Democracy? ——-Not exactly. Will there be war between China and US ——Cold War2.0 Thank you! Now Open to Q & A Session.
  • 60. My Conclusion: China facing many challenges Demographic environmental, political and so may others that its decline has started even before it became a superpower. The BRICS FOUNDATION NEW DELHI