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Second Quarter 2017 Earnings Results
July 20, 2017
POLARIS INDUSTRIES INC.
SAFE HARBOR & NON-GAAP MEASURES
2Q2'17 Earnings
Except for historical information contained herein, the matters set forth in this presentation, including management’s expectations regarding 2017
future sales, shipments, net income, and net income per share, and operational initiatives are forward-looking statements that involve certain risks
and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those forward-looking statements. Potential risks and uncertainties include
such factors as the Company’s ability to successfully implement its manufacturing operations expansion initiatives, product offerings, promotional
activities and pricing strategies by competitors; economic conditions that impact consumer spending; acquisition integration costs; product recalls,
warranty expenses; impact of changes in Polaris stock price on incentive compensation plan costs; foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations;
environmental and product safety regulatory activity; effects of weather; commodity costs; uninsured product liability claims; uncertainty in the retail
and wholesale credit markets; performance of affiliate partners; changes in tax policy and overall economic conditions, including inflation, consumer
confidence and spending and relationships with dealers and suppliers. Investors are also directed to consider other risks and uncertainties
discussed in documents filed by the Company with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The Company does not undertake any duty to any
person to provide updates to its forward-looking statements. The data source for retail sales figures included in this presentation is registration
information provided by Polaris dealers in North America and compiled by the Company or Company estimates. The Company must rely on
information that its dealers supply concerning retail sales, and other retail sales data sources and this information is subject to revision.
This presentation contains certain non-GAAP financial measures, consisting of “adjusted” sales, gross profit, operating expenses, net income and
net income per diluted share as measures of our operating performance. Management believes these measures may be useful in performing
meaningful comparisons of past and present operating results, to understand the performance of its ongoing operations and how management
views the business. Reconciliations of adjusted non-GAAP measures to reported GAAP measures for Q2 are included on slide 3 and Q2 year-to-
date are included in the appendix contained in this presentation. These measures, however, should not be construed as an alternative to any other
measure of performance determined in accordance with GAAP.
Q2 NON-GAAP DISCLOSURE
3Q2'17 Earnings
Reconciliation of GAAP "Reported" Results to Non-GAAP "Adjusted" Results
(IN THOUSANDS, EXCEPT PER SHARE DATA; UNAUDITED)
Key Definitions: Throughout this presentation, the word “Adjusted” is used to refer to GAAP results excluding: TAP inventory step-up purchase accounting, TAP integration
expenses, impacts associated with the Victory Motorcycles® wind down and manufacturing network realignment costs.
Adjustments: (1) Represents adjustments for the wind down of Victory Motorcycles, including wholegoods, accessories and apparel
(2) Represents adjustments for TAP acquisition inventory step-up and TAP integration expenses
(3) Represents adjustments for manufacturing network realignment costs
(4) The Company used its estimated statutory tax rate of 37.1% for the non-GAAP adjustments, except for the non-deductible items
2016 Reclassified Results: 2016 sales and gross profit results for ORV/Snowmobiles, Motorcycles and Aftermarket are reclassified for the new Aftermarket reporting segment.
Reported GAAP Measures 2017 Adjustments(4) Adjusted Measures
Three months ended June 30, Three months ended June 30, Three months ended June 30,
2017 2016 % Change
Victory
Wind Down(1) TAP(2) Realignment(3) Total 2017 2016 % Change
Sales
ORV/Snowmobiles $ 845,508 $ 799,332 6% — — — — $ 845,508 $ 799,332 6%
Motorcycles 197,997 228,392 (13)% $ (6,157) — — $ (6,157) 191,840 228,392 (16)%
Global Adj. Markets 97,022 90,959 7% — — — — 97,022 90,959 7%
Aftermarket 224,393 12,094 1,755% — — — — 224,393 12,094 1,755%
Total sales 1,364,920 1,130,777 21% (6,157) — — (6,157) 1,358,763 1,130,777 20%
Gross profit
ORV/Snowmobiles 266,150 228,494 16% — — — — 266,150 228,494 16%
% of sales 31.5% 28.6% +289 bps 31.5% 28.6% +289 bps
Motorcycles 21,116 38,915 (46)% 8,852 — — 8,852 29,968 38,915 (23)%
% of sales 10.7% 17.0% -637 bps 15.6% 17.0% -142 bps
Global Adj. Markets 21,216 23,952 (11)% — — 4,303 4,303 25,519 23,952 7%
% of sales 21.9% 26.3% -447 bps 26.3% 26.3% -3 bps
Aftermarket 59,918 2,982 1,909% — 53 — 53 59,971 2,982 1,911%
% of sales 26.7% 24.7% +205 bps 26.7% 24.7% +207 bps
Corporate (18,014) (9,840) — — — — (18,014) (9,840)
Total gross profit 350,386 284,503 23% 8,852 53 4,303 13,208 363,595 284,503 28%
Gross profit % 25.7% 25.2% +51 bps 26.8% 25.2% +160 bps
Operating expenses 270,347 187,965 44% (1,999) (3,714) — (5,713) 264,634 187,965 41%
Other expense (income), net (2,152) 1,805 NM — — — — (2,152) 1,805 NM
Net income $ 62,041 $ 71,166 (13)% $ 6,820 $ 2,368 $ 2,705 $ 11,893 $ 73,934 $ 71,166 4%
Diluted EPS $ 0.97 $ 1.09 (11)% $ 0.11 $ 0.04 $ 0.04 $ 0.19 $ 1.16 $ 1.09 6%
Scott W. Wine, Chairman & CEO
Second Quarter 2017 Earnings Results
July 20, 2017
POLARIS INDUSTRIES INC.
Q2 SUMMARY
5Q2'17 Earnings
Q2 Slightly Ahead of Plan – Raising Sales Guidance and Lower End of EPS Guidance Range
Foundational improvements gaining momentum
Operational execution offset impact of major headwinds:
Competitive ORV industry
ORV retail sales building momentum
SxS retail up slightly in Q2; RZR sales up for first time in 6 quarters; ORV share remains challenged
Indian Motorcycle retail up 17% - share gains accelerating
Slingshot weakness continues; Victory wind down progressing well
International and PG&A outperforming
Adjacent markets / Aftermarket business growth on plan
TAP integration on track
* See GAAP/Non-GAAP Reconciliation on Slide #3
NORTH AMERICAN POWERSPORTS RETAIL SALES
Polaris N.A. retail down 3% for Q2 2017 vs. Q2 2016
Indian Motorcycle retail was up 17% - two new motorcycles launched
ORV retail down, but improved sequentially
North American Industry up slightly
SxS growth driven by new products; ATVs weak
Oil & gas/ag industry challenges ongoing
-7%
-9%
-4%
-6%
-3%
Q2
2016
Q3
2016
Q4
2016
Q1
2017
Q2
2017
(# vehicle units) POLARIS INDUSTRY
Off-Road Vehicles low-single digits % mid-single digits %
(estimated)
Side-by-Sides
ATVs
low-single digits %
high-single digits %
Motorcycles low-single digits % mid-single digits %
(900cc & above)
Indian
Slingshot
high-teens %
significantly
Snowmobiles
(season-end Mar’17)
(off-season) (off-season)
SxS Retail Turned Positive After 6 Quarter Decline Driven by RZR
Q2’17 Retail Sales by Business (vs. Q2’16)Polaris Retail Sales
Q2'17 Earnings 6
Year-Over-Year Retail % Change (units)
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2015 2016 2017
Polaris Q2 2017 N.A. dealer inventory down 6% vs. Q2 2016
ORV down 6%, RZR down double digits %
Motorcycles up as expected, new products
SxS RFM implementation to start by year-end
Dealer inventory at year-end expected flat to prior year
Healthy Dealer Inventory Levels; Working to Improve On-time Delivery
Q2 Total N.A. Dealer InventoryPolaris N.A. Total Dealer Inventory
NORTH AMERICAN DEALER INVENTORY
Q2 2016 Existing ORV
Models
New ORV
Models
Snowmobiles Motorcycles Q2 2017
-6%
Q2'17 Earnings 7
2017 YE expectations
~flat vs. LY
(unchanged)
-6%
Year-over-year % Change in Units
-7%
+2% -2% +1%
-10%
vs. 2015
-8%
vs. 2015-8%
– – – 2017 expectations
CRUSHING THE COMPETITION
WON OVER 3/4 OF ALL RACES
33 Championship Wins
106 Podium Finishes
RACING
DOMINATING THE FLAT TRACK
9 Championship Wins out of 10 Races
23 Podium Finishes out of 30
Racing Success a Reflection of Product Expertise
Indian MotorcyclePolaris RZR
Q2'17 Earnings 8
TRANSAMERICAN AUTO PARTS (TAP) UPDATE
9Q2'17 Earnings
Acquisition Performing as Expected
$209 million in sales in Q2; $411 million year-to-date
Operating performance on plan, integration progressing as
expected
Opened four new 4Wheel Parts Stores year-to-date
Cost synergies of ~$20 million by 2019; slightly ahead of plan
Full-year sales expectation of $775 to $800 million
(unchanged)
Mike Speetzen, EVP Finance & CFO
Second Quarter 2017 Earnings Results
July 20, 2017
POLARIS INDUSTRIES INC.
Q2 2017 SALES AND INCOME
Q2 reported sales were $1,365 million, up 21% from Q2 2016; Reported net income was $62 million, down 13% from prior year
Adjusted* sales were up 20% finishing ahead of expectations
Acquisition of Transamerican Auto Parts (TAP) added $209 million of sales in Q2 2017
Q2 2016 includes Victory sales of $54 million
ORV/Snowmobile sales up 6%; Motorcycles down 13% (up 10% excluding Victory); Global Adjacent Markets up 7%; Aftermarket up significantly
(TAP)
Adjusted* earnings reported at $1.16 per diluted share, up 6% from prior year (GAAP earnings per share at $0.97, down 11%)
Adjusted* gross profit margin up 160 bps: VIP, product mix, promo (GAAP gross profit margin up 51 bps)
Results Slightly Ahead of Expectations on an Adjusted* Basis
Q2 2017 Net IncomeQ2 2017 Sales
$1,131
+21%
$1,365
+20%
$1,359
Q2 2016
Reported
Q2 2017
GAAP*
Q2 2017
Adjusted*
$71 -13%
$62
+4%
$74
Q2 2016
Reported
Q2 2017
GAAP*
Q2 2017
Adjusted*
($ millions)($ millions)
Q2'17 Earnings 11
* See GAAP/Non-GAAP Reconciliation on Slide #3
Sales Guidance by Segment (1)Adjusted* Earnings Per Share Guidance
Q2'17 Earnings
Total Company Adjusted* Sales Guidance
$4,517
2016
Actual
2017
Guidance
$3.48
2016 Adjusted* 2017 Adjusted*
Guidance
Full Year Sales Guidance Increased & EPS Guidance Narrowed
2017 FULL YEAR SALES GUIDANCE
Powersports market improving globally
Organic** revenue expectations flat to +2%
TAP FY’17 = incremental $665 to $690,
unchanged
Victory wind down / FX = ~($175)
+ $120M non-recurring warranty, legal and
other recall related costs
+ TAP accretive in 2017 approx. 25¢ to 30¢
+ VIP positive
+ Lower tax rate
+ Share count
– Higher R&D expense
– Higher promotional costs
– Higher variable compensation costs
– Negative FX impact
($ millions)
+12% to +14%
$5,050 to $5,150
(increased)
+25% to +29%
$4.35 to $4.50
(narrowed)
*See appendix for discussion regarding non-GAAP
adjustments excluded from 2017 guidance
**Organic revenue excludes TAP, Victory sales and the
effects of FX
ORV/SNOW
APPROX. FLAT
MOTORCYCLES
HIGH-TEENS %
(Victory included in 2016 #’s)
MID-SINGLE DIGITS %(2)
(Victory excluded in 2016 #’s)
ADJACENT MARKETS
MID-SINGLE DIGITS %
AFTERMARKET
SIGNIFICANTLY
(1) Includes respective PG&A. 2016 sales, for comparison purposes, have been
reclassified to account for the new Aftermarket segment which included
aftermarket brands previously reported in their respective segments
(2) On a comparable basis, motorcycle expectations is “Up mid-single digits %” in
2017 after adjusting for Victory wholegood, accessories and apparel sales
reported in 2016
12
GROSS PROFIT MARGIN GUIDANCE
Adjusted* Gross Profit 2017 GuidanceGross Profit Q2 2017
25.2%
+51 bps
25.7%
+160 bps
26.8%
Q2 2016 Q2 2017
GAAP*
Q2 2017
Adjusted*
24.7%
FY 2016 FY 2017 Adjusted*
Guidance
GM Growth Drivers
+ VIP
+ One-time warranty
+ Acquisitions
– Quality feature adds
– Promos / Incentives
– FX
Q2 2017 Gross Margin Improvement Driven Primarily by VIP & Product Mix
Q2'17 Earnings 13
Increase up
to ~180 bps
KEY: Improvement Headwind Neutral
Adjusted* GM by Segment Q2 2016 Q2 2017
ORV/Snow 28.6% 31.5%
Motorcycles* 17.0% 15.6%
Adjacent Markets* 26.3% 26.3%
Aftermarket* 24.7% 26.7%
Adjusted* GM by Segment
2017
Expectations
ORV/Snow
Motorcycles
Adjacent Markets
Aftermarket
*See appendix for discussion regarding non-GAAP adjustments excluded from 2017 guidance
GM Growth Drivers
+ Product Mix
+ VIP
+ Acquisitions
– Promos / Incentives
OFF-ROAD VEHICLES (ORV) / SNOWMOBILES
Q2 2017 ORV/Snow Segment Sales
Q2 2016 Q2 2017
ORV up 6% in Q2 2017 vs. Q2 2016
Growth in all product lines
PG&A up 5%
ORV average selling price up 3% in Q2’17
2017 Guidance: Approx. Flat (increased)
PII ORV improving worldwide
Promotional levels remain elevated
Regaining Footing as Leading Powersports Manufacturer
Q2'17 Earnings 14
6%
$846
ORV
PG&A
Snow
$799
ORV
PG&A
Snow
5%
22%
6%
% ∆
($ millions)
(1) 2016 sales, for comparison purposes, have been reclassified to account for the new Aftermarket segment
which included aftermarket brands previously reported in their respective segments
Reclassified(1)
4%
17%
1%
90%
8%
Reported sales down 13%; Adjusted* sales down 16%
Motorcycles up 10% excluding $54M of Victory sales reported in 2016
Indian shipments up; Slingshot sales lower
Average selling price, excl. Victory, was down 1% in Q2
2017 Guidance: Down high-teens %** (lowered)
On a comparable basis, motorcycle expectations is “Up mid-single
digits %” in 2017 after adjusting for Victory wholegood, apparel and
accessories sales reported in 2016
Overall motorcycle market remains weak
Q2 2016 Q2 2017
GAAP*
Q2 2017
Adjusted*
% ∆
MOTORCYCLES
Q2 2017 Motorcycles Segment Sales
Continued Market Share Gains for Indian Motorcycle; Momentum Accelerating
Q2'17 Earnings 15
16%
$192
PG&A
$228
PG&A
Indian
Slingshot
Indian
Slingshot
($ millions)
Victory
* See GAAP/Non-GAAP Reconciliation on Slide #3
** See appendix for 2017 guidance adjustments
(1) 2016 sales, for comparison purposes, have been reclassified to account for the new Aftermarket segment which
included aftermarket brands previously reported in their respective segments
Reclassified(1)
PG&A
Indian
Slingshot
% ∆13%
$198
Victory
Q2 2016 Q2 2017
13%
5%
GLOBAL ADJACENT MARKETS (GAM)
Q2 2017 GAM Segment Sales
GAM 7% due to Aixam and Goupil strong performance;
PG&A
Average selling price for GAM was down 1% in Q2’17
2017 Sales Guidance: Up mid-single digits % (increased)
Aixam and Goupil Driving Increase in Q2
Q2'17 Earnings 16
7%
$97
PG&A
$91
PG&A
% ∆
W&T /
Defense
W&T /
Defense
($ millions)
Aixam Ambiance 3 Quadricycle
AFTERMARKET
Q2 2017 Aftermarket Segment Sales
TAP added $209 million to Q2 sales
Integration on plan, moving Pro Armor® production to
TAP facility
2017 Sales Guidance: Up significantly from TAP sales
(unchanged)
TAP Performing Well; Integration on Track
Q2'17 Earnings 17
$224
Q2 2016 Q2 2017
($ millions)
Significantly
$209
Reclassified*
*2016 sales, for comparison purposes, have been reclassified to account for the new Aftermarket segment which
included aftermarket brands previously reported in their respective segments
$12
First Minnesota Store
Grand Opening July 22nd
Brooklyn Park, MN
2017 POLARIS FINANCIAL POSITION
18Q2'17 Earnings
Capital Summary June 2017Cash Drivers
Variance to
June 2016
Cash $ 127 -13%
Debt /Capital Lease Obligations $1,068 +128%
Shareholders’ Equity $ 854 -8%
Total Capital $1,922 +38%
Debt to Total Capital 56% -22 % points
2015
Operating cash flow down, as expected
Factory inventory up sequentially from Q1, new model year
introduction
Cap Ex expected to be lower than 2016 (unchanged)
Operating cash flow expected to be down significantly – timing of
accrual payments, Victory wind down and manufacturing
realignment
Operating Cash Flow
Financial Position Unchanged – Solid
Cash
YE 2016
Operating
Activities
Dividends Capex Net Debt Share
Repurchase
Other Cash
Q2 2017
$127 $127
$348 -24%
$264
YTD Q2 2016 YTD Q2 2017
($ millions) ($ millions)
($ millions)
Q2 Year-to-date 2017 Summary
FY 2017 Expectations
$572
YE 2016 YE 2017
Down
significantly
Expectations
+$264 -$73
-$82
-$79
-$66
+$36
60% 62%
Q2 2016 Q2 2017
Retail CreditWholesale Credit PA Receivables
19Q2'17 Earnings
Income from Financial Services
Other
Wholesale
Credit
Q2 2016 Q2 2017 Q2 2016 Q2 2017
Portfolio Remains Healthy
INCOME FROM FINANCIAL SERVICES
Polaris Acceptance (PA) receivables down, trending with dealer inventory
Q2 income from financial services down – lower wholesale and retail income
FY 2017 Guidance: Income from financial services down about 10% (unchanged)
$20
6%
$19
9%
$1,078
$1,180
($ millions) ($ millions)
30% 30%
Q2 2016 Q2 2017
Approval Rate Penetration Rate
Wholesale
Credit
Retail
Financing
Retail
Financing
Scott W. Wine, Chairman & CEO
Second Quarter 2017 Earnings Results
July 20, 2017
POLARIS INDUSTRIES INC.
21Q2'17 Earnings
CLOSING COMMENTS
2nd Half Performance Expected Up Significantly on a Year-over-year Basis
Powersports market outlook improved globally; remains highly competitive
Polaris ORV business, particularly SxS, regaining footing
Indian Motorcycle market share gains continue
Safety and Quality processes/results improving
Cost & Productivity initiatives gaining traction; VIP savings accelerating
Dealer show will kickoff 2nd
half: product news, quality, dealer relations
Thank You
Questions?
POLARIS INDUSTRIES INC.
APPENDIX
Q2 2017 SUPPLEMENTAL SALES PERFORMANCE (PG&A / INTERNATIONAL)
Q2 YEAR-TO-DATE NON-GAAP DISCLOSURE
2017 GUIDANCE ADJUSTMENTS
2017 OTHER FULL YEAR EXPECTATIONS
ORV/
Snow
Motorcycles
GAM
Q2 2017
ORV
76% 13%
9%
ORV /
Snow
53%
22%
25%
Parts
49%
Accessories
50%
1%
11%
EMEA
70%
Asia
Pacific
19%
EMEA
AP
LA
Q2 2017
International**Core Parts, Garments & Accessories (PG&A)*
24Q2'17 Earnings
Q2 2017 SUPPLEMENTAL SALES PERFORMANCE
Motorcycles
Global Adjacent
Markets (GAM)
2% Snowmobiles
Motorcycles
Global Adjacent
Markets (GAM)
Apparel
Latin
America
20%
11%
19%
9%
11%
Q2 Sales 4% to 193 Million Q2 Sales 12% to $191 Million
∆ from
Q2'16
∆ from
Q2'16
*Based on GAAP reporting; does not include Aftermarket **Based on GAAP reporting
Q2 YEAR-TO-DATE NON-GAAP DISCLOSURE
25Q2'17 Earnings
Reconciliation of GAAP "Reported" Results to Non-GAAP "Adjusted" Results
(IN THOUSANDS, EXCEPT PER SHARE DATA; UNAUDITED)
Reported GAAP Measures 2017 Adjustments(3) Adjusted Measures
Six months ended June 30, Six months ended June 30, Six months ended June 30,
2017 2016 % Change
Victory
Wind Down(1) TAP(2) Realignment(3) Total 2017 2016 % Change
Sales
ORV/Snowmobiles $ 1,569,611 $ 1,507,435 4% — — — — $ 1,569,611 $ 1,507,435 4%
Motorcycles 318,286 413,659 (23)% $ (1,053) — — $ (1,053) 317,233 413,659 (23)%
Global Adj. Markets 188,577 165,068 14% — — — — 188,577 165,068 14%
Aftermarket 442,228 27,611 1,502% — — — — 442,228 27,611 1,502%
Total sales 2,518,702 2,113,773 19% (1,053) — — (1,053) 2,517,649 2,113,773 19%
Gross profit
ORV/Snowmobiles 479,109 434,481 10% — — — — 479,109 434,481 10%
% of sales 30.5% 28.8% +170 bps 30.5% 28.8% +170 bps
Motorcycles 1,235 66,174 (98)% 47,415 — — 47,415 48,650 66,174 (26)%
% of sales 0.4% 16.0% -1,561 bps 15.3% 16.0% -66 bps
Global Adj. Markets 49,314 44,335 11% — — 4,303 4,303 53,617 44,335 21%
% of sales 26.2% 26.9% -71 bps 28.4% 26.9% +157 bps
Aftermarket 101,482 7,681 1,221% — 12,950 — 12,950 114,432 7,681 1,390%
% of sales 22.9% 27.8% -487 bps 25.9% 27.8% -194 bps
Corporate (38,263) (20,590) — — — — (38,263) (20,590)
Total gross profit 592,877 532,081 11% 47,415 12,950 4,303 64,668 657,545 532,081 24%
Gross profit % 23.5% 25.2% -163 bps 26.1% 25.2% +95 bps
Operating expenses 512,179 377,895 36% (8,016) (7,017) — (15,033) 497,146 377,895 32%
Other expense (income), net 9,456 1,886 401% (13,000) — — (13,000) (3,544) 1,886 NM
Net income $ 59,130 $ 118,055 (50)% $ 47,841 $ 12,551 $ 2,705 $ 63,097 $ 122,227 $ 118,055 4%
Diluted EPS $ 0.92 $ 1.80 (49)% $ 0.75 $ 0.20 $ 0.04 $ 0.99 $ 1.91 $ 1.80 6%
Key Definitions: Throughout this presentation, the word “Adjusted” is used to refer to GAAP results excluding: TAP inventory step-up purchase accounting, TAP integration
expenses, impacts associated with the Victory Motorcycles® wind down and manufacturing network realignment costs.
Adjustments: (1) Represents adjustments for the wind down of Victory Motorcycles, including wholegoods, accessories and apparel
(2) Represents adjustments for TAP acquisition inventory step-up and TAP integration expenses
(3) Represents adjustments for manufacturing network realignment costs
(4) The Company used its estimated statutory tax rate of 37.1% for the non-GAAP adjustments, except for the non-deductible items
2016 Reclassified Results: 2016 sales and gross profit results for ORV/Snowmobiles, Motorcycles and Aftermarket are reclassified for the new Aftermarket reporting segment.
2017 GUIDANCE ADJUSTMENTS
26Q2'17 Earnings
2017 guidance excludes the pre-tax effect of TAP inventory step-up purchase accounting of approx. $15 million, acquisition
integration costs of approx. $15 million, manufacturing network realignment costs of approx. $10 million to $15 million and the
impacts associated with the Victory wind down which is estimated to be in the range of $80 million to $90 million. 2017 adjusted
sales guidance excludes any Victory wholegood, accessories and apparel sales and corresponding promotional costs as the
Company is in the process of exiting the brand. The Company has not provided reconciliations of guidance for adjusted diluted
net income per share, in reliance on the unreasonable efforts exception provided under Item 10(e)(1)(i)(B) of Regulation S-K.
The Company is unable, without unreasonable efforts, to forecast certain items required to develop meaningful comparable
GAAP financial measures. These items include costs associated with the Victory wind down that are difficult to predict in advance
in order to include in a GAAP estimate.
2017 OTHER FULL YEAR EXPECTATIONS
27Q2'17 Earnings
Gross Margins: increase up to 180 bps (unchanged)
Adjusted operating expenses: increase in the 60 to 70 bps range, as a percent of sales (lowered)
Increased R&D – up high-teens % excluding TAP; quality & innovation
Higher variable compensation costs
TAP operating expense
Income from financial services: down ~10% due to lower dealer inventory levels and lower retail credit income (unchanged)
Interest expense: more than double due to TAP acquisition funding (unchanged)
Income taxes: approximately 34.0% of pretax profits (lowered)
Supplemental:
International sales: up over 2016 (increased)
PG&A: up mid-single digits % (increased)
Diluted shares outstanding: down 1% to 2% (improved)
28Q2'17 Earnings

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2017 q2 pii earnings pres 7 20-17 f

  • 1. Second Quarter 2017 Earnings Results July 20, 2017 POLARIS INDUSTRIES INC.
  • 2. SAFE HARBOR & NON-GAAP MEASURES 2Q2'17 Earnings Except for historical information contained herein, the matters set forth in this presentation, including management’s expectations regarding 2017 future sales, shipments, net income, and net income per share, and operational initiatives are forward-looking statements that involve certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those forward-looking statements. Potential risks and uncertainties include such factors as the Company’s ability to successfully implement its manufacturing operations expansion initiatives, product offerings, promotional activities and pricing strategies by competitors; economic conditions that impact consumer spending; acquisition integration costs; product recalls, warranty expenses; impact of changes in Polaris stock price on incentive compensation plan costs; foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations; environmental and product safety regulatory activity; effects of weather; commodity costs; uninsured product liability claims; uncertainty in the retail and wholesale credit markets; performance of affiliate partners; changes in tax policy and overall economic conditions, including inflation, consumer confidence and spending and relationships with dealers and suppliers. Investors are also directed to consider other risks and uncertainties discussed in documents filed by the Company with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The Company does not undertake any duty to any person to provide updates to its forward-looking statements. The data source for retail sales figures included in this presentation is registration information provided by Polaris dealers in North America and compiled by the Company or Company estimates. The Company must rely on information that its dealers supply concerning retail sales, and other retail sales data sources and this information is subject to revision. This presentation contains certain non-GAAP financial measures, consisting of “adjusted” sales, gross profit, operating expenses, net income and net income per diluted share as measures of our operating performance. Management believes these measures may be useful in performing meaningful comparisons of past and present operating results, to understand the performance of its ongoing operations and how management views the business. Reconciliations of adjusted non-GAAP measures to reported GAAP measures for Q2 are included on slide 3 and Q2 year-to- date are included in the appendix contained in this presentation. These measures, however, should not be construed as an alternative to any other measure of performance determined in accordance with GAAP.
  • 3. Q2 NON-GAAP DISCLOSURE 3Q2'17 Earnings Reconciliation of GAAP "Reported" Results to Non-GAAP "Adjusted" Results (IN THOUSANDS, EXCEPT PER SHARE DATA; UNAUDITED) Key Definitions: Throughout this presentation, the word “Adjusted” is used to refer to GAAP results excluding: TAP inventory step-up purchase accounting, TAP integration expenses, impacts associated with the Victory Motorcycles® wind down and manufacturing network realignment costs. Adjustments: (1) Represents adjustments for the wind down of Victory Motorcycles, including wholegoods, accessories and apparel (2) Represents adjustments for TAP acquisition inventory step-up and TAP integration expenses (3) Represents adjustments for manufacturing network realignment costs (4) The Company used its estimated statutory tax rate of 37.1% for the non-GAAP adjustments, except for the non-deductible items 2016 Reclassified Results: 2016 sales and gross profit results for ORV/Snowmobiles, Motorcycles and Aftermarket are reclassified for the new Aftermarket reporting segment. Reported GAAP Measures 2017 Adjustments(4) Adjusted Measures Three months ended June 30, Three months ended June 30, Three months ended June 30, 2017 2016 % Change Victory Wind Down(1) TAP(2) Realignment(3) Total 2017 2016 % Change Sales ORV/Snowmobiles $ 845,508 $ 799,332 6% — — — — $ 845,508 $ 799,332 6% Motorcycles 197,997 228,392 (13)% $ (6,157) — — $ (6,157) 191,840 228,392 (16)% Global Adj. Markets 97,022 90,959 7% — — — — 97,022 90,959 7% Aftermarket 224,393 12,094 1,755% — — — — 224,393 12,094 1,755% Total sales 1,364,920 1,130,777 21% (6,157) — — (6,157) 1,358,763 1,130,777 20% Gross profit ORV/Snowmobiles 266,150 228,494 16% — — — — 266,150 228,494 16% % of sales 31.5% 28.6% +289 bps 31.5% 28.6% +289 bps Motorcycles 21,116 38,915 (46)% 8,852 — — 8,852 29,968 38,915 (23)% % of sales 10.7% 17.0% -637 bps 15.6% 17.0% -142 bps Global Adj. Markets 21,216 23,952 (11)% — — 4,303 4,303 25,519 23,952 7% % of sales 21.9% 26.3% -447 bps 26.3% 26.3% -3 bps Aftermarket 59,918 2,982 1,909% — 53 — 53 59,971 2,982 1,911% % of sales 26.7% 24.7% +205 bps 26.7% 24.7% +207 bps Corporate (18,014) (9,840) — — — — (18,014) (9,840) Total gross profit 350,386 284,503 23% 8,852 53 4,303 13,208 363,595 284,503 28% Gross profit % 25.7% 25.2% +51 bps 26.8% 25.2% +160 bps Operating expenses 270,347 187,965 44% (1,999) (3,714) — (5,713) 264,634 187,965 41% Other expense (income), net (2,152) 1,805 NM — — — — (2,152) 1,805 NM Net income $ 62,041 $ 71,166 (13)% $ 6,820 $ 2,368 $ 2,705 $ 11,893 $ 73,934 $ 71,166 4% Diluted EPS $ 0.97 $ 1.09 (11)% $ 0.11 $ 0.04 $ 0.04 $ 0.19 $ 1.16 $ 1.09 6%
  • 4. Scott W. Wine, Chairman & CEO Second Quarter 2017 Earnings Results July 20, 2017 POLARIS INDUSTRIES INC.
  • 5. Q2 SUMMARY 5Q2'17 Earnings Q2 Slightly Ahead of Plan – Raising Sales Guidance and Lower End of EPS Guidance Range Foundational improvements gaining momentum Operational execution offset impact of major headwinds: Competitive ORV industry ORV retail sales building momentum SxS retail up slightly in Q2; RZR sales up for first time in 6 quarters; ORV share remains challenged Indian Motorcycle retail up 17% - share gains accelerating Slingshot weakness continues; Victory wind down progressing well International and PG&A outperforming Adjacent markets / Aftermarket business growth on plan TAP integration on track * See GAAP/Non-GAAP Reconciliation on Slide #3
  • 6. NORTH AMERICAN POWERSPORTS RETAIL SALES Polaris N.A. retail down 3% for Q2 2017 vs. Q2 2016 Indian Motorcycle retail was up 17% - two new motorcycles launched ORV retail down, but improved sequentially North American Industry up slightly SxS growth driven by new products; ATVs weak Oil & gas/ag industry challenges ongoing -7% -9% -4% -6% -3% Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 (# vehicle units) POLARIS INDUSTRY Off-Road Vehicles low-single digits % mid-single digits % (estimated) Side-by-Sides ATVs low-single digits % high-single digits % Motorcycles low-single digits % mid-single digits % (900cc & above) Indian Slingshot high-teens % significantly Snowmobiles (season-end Mar’17) (off-season) (off-season) SxS Retail Turned Positive After 6 Quarter Decline Driven by RZR Q2’17 Retail Sales by Business (vs. Q2’16)Polaris Retail Sales Q2'17 Earnings 6 Year-Over-Year Retail % Change (units)
  • 7. Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2015 2016 2017 Polaris Q2 2017 N.A. dealer inventory down 6% vs. Q2 2016 ORV down 6%, RZR down double digits % Motorcycles up as expected, new products SxS RFM implementation to start by year-end Dealer inventory at year-end expected flat to prior year Healthy Dealer Inventory Levels; Working to Improve On-time Delivery Q2 Total N.A. Dealer InventoryPolaris N.A. Total Dealer Inventory NORTH AMERICAN DEALER INVENTORY Q2 2016 Existing ORV Models New ORV Models Snowmobiles Motorcycles Q2 2017 -6% Q2'17 Earnings 7 2017 YE expectations ~flat vs. LY (unchanged) -6% Year-over-year % Change in Units -7% +2% -2% +1% -10% vs. 2015 -8% vs. 2015-8% – – – 2017 expectations
  • 8. CRUSHING THE COMPETITION WON OVER 3/4 OF ALL RACES 33 Championship Wins 106 Podium Finishes RACING DOMINATING THE FLAT TRACK 9 Championship Wins out of 10 Races 23 Podium Finishes out of 30 Racing Success a Reflection of Product Expertise Indian MotorcyclePolaris RZR Q2'17 Earnings 8
  • 9. TRANSAMERICAN AUTO PARTS (TAP) UPDATE 9Q2'17 Earnings Acquisition Performing as Expected $209 million in sales in Q2; $411 million year-to-date Operating performance on plan, integration progressing as expected Opened four new 4Wheel Parts Stores year-to-date Cost synergies of ~$20 million by 2019; slightly ahead of plan Full-year sales expectation of $775 to $800 million (unchanged)
  • 10. Mike Speetzen, EVP Finance & CFO Second Quarter 2017 Earnings Results July 20, 2017 POLARIS INDUSTRIES INC.
  • 11. Q2 2017 SALES AND INCOME Q2 reported sales were $1,365 million, up 21% from Q2 2016; Reported net income was $62 million, down 13% from prior year Adjusted* sales were up 20% finishing ahead of expectations Acquisition of Transamerican Auto Parts (TAP) added $209 million of sales in Q2 2017 Q2 2016 includes Victory sales of $54 million ORV/Snowmobile sales up 6%; Motorcycles down 13% (up 10% excluding Victory); Global Adjacent Markets up 7%; Aftermarket up significantly (TAP) Adjusted* earnings reported at $1.16 per diluted share, up 6% from prior year (GAAP earnings per share at $0.97, down 11%) Adjusted* gross profit margin up 160 bps: VIP, product mix, promo (GAAP gross profit margin up 51 bps) Results Slightly Ahead of Expectations on an Adjusted* Basis Q2 2017 Net IncomeQ2 2017 Sales $1,131 +21% $1,365 +20% $1,359 Q2 2016 Reported Q2 2017 GAAP* Q2 2017 Adjusted* $71 -13% $62 +4% $74 Q2 2016 Reported Q2 2017 GAAP* Q2 2017 Adjusted* ($ millions)($ millions) Q2'17 Earnings 11 * See GAAP/Non-GAAP Reconciliation on Slide #3
  • 12. Sales Guidance by Segment (1)Adjusted* Earnings Per Share Guidance Q2'17 Earnings Total Company Adjusted* Sales Guidance $4,517 2016 Actual 2017 Guidance $3.48 2016 Adjusted* 2017 Adjusted* Guidance Full Year Sales Guidance Increased & EPS Guidance Narrowed 2017 FULL YEAR SALES GUIDANCE Powersports market improving globally Organic** revenue expectations flat to +2% TAP FY’17 = incremental $665 to $690, unchanged Victory wind down / FX = ~($175) + $120M non-recurring warranty, legal and other recall related costs + TAP accretive in 2017 approx. 25¢ to 30¢ + VIP positive + Lower tax rate + Share count – Higher R&D expense – Higher promotional costs – Higher variable compensation costs – Negative FX impact ($ millions) +12% to +14% $5,050 to $5,150 (increased) +25% to +29% $4.35 to $4.50 (narrowed) *See appendix for discussion regarding non-GAAP adjustments excluded from 2017 guidance **Organic revenue excludes TAP, Victory sales and the effects of FX ORV/SNOW APPROX. FLAT MOTORCYCLES HIGH-TEENS % (Victory included in 2016 #’s) MID-SINGLE DIGITS %(2) (Victory excluded in 2016 #’s) ADJACENT MARKETS MID-SINGLE DIGITS % AFTERMARKET SIGNIFICANTLY (1) Includes respective PG&A. 2016 sales, for comparison purposes, have been reclassified to account for the new Aftermarket segment which included aftermarket brands previously reported in their respective segments (2) On a comparable basis, motorcycle expectations is “Up mid-single digits %” in 2017 after adjusting for Victory wholegood, accessories and apparel sales reported in 2016 12
  • 13. GROSS PROFIT MARGIN GUIDANCE Adjusted* Gross Profit 2017 GuidanceGross Profit Q2 2017 25.2% +51 bps 25.7% +160 bps 26.8% Q2 2016 Q2 2017 GAAP* Q2 2017 Adjusted* 24.7% FY 2016 FY 2017 Adjusted* Guidance GM Growth Drivers + VIP + One-time warranty + Acquisitions – Quality feature adds – Promos / Incentives – FX Q2 2017 Gross Margin Improvement Driven Primarily by VIP & Product Mix Q2'17 Earnings 13 Increase up to ~180 bps KEY: Improvement Headwind Neutral Adjusted* GM by Segment Q2 2016 Q2 2017 ORV/Snow 28.6% 31.5% Motorcycles* 17.0% 15.6% Adjacent Markets* 26.3% 26.3% Aftermarket* 24.7% 26.7% Adjusted* GM by Segment 2017 Expectations ORV/Snow Motorcycles Adjacent Markets Aftermarket *See appendix for discussion regarding non-GAAP adjustments excluded from 2017 guidance GM Growth Drivers + Product Mix + VIP + Acquisitions – Promos / Incentives
  • 14. OFF-ROAD VEHICLES (ORV) / SNOWMOBILES Q2 2017 ORV/Snow Segment Sales Q2 2016 Q2 2017 ORV up 6% in Q2 2017 vs. Q2 2016 Growth in all product lines PG&A up 5% ORV average selling price up 3% in Q2’17 2017 Guidance: Approx. Flat (increased) PII ORV improving worldwide Promotional levels remain elevated Regaining Footing as Leading Powersports Manufacturer Q2'17 Earnings 14 6% $846 ORV PG&A Snow $799 ORV PG&A Snow 5% 22% 6% % ∆ ($ millions) (1) 2016 sales, for comparison purposes, have been reclassified to account for the new Aftermarket segment which included aftermarket brands previously reported in their respective segments Reclassified(1)
  • 15. 4% 17% 1% 90% 8% Reported sales down 13%; Adjusted* sales down 16% Motorcycles up 10% excluding $54M of Victory sales reported in 2016 Indian shipments up; Slingshot sales lower Average selling price, excl. Victory, was down 1% in Q2 2017 Guidance: Down high-teens %** (lowered) On a comparable basis, motorcycle expectations is “Up mid-single digits %” in 2017 after adjusting for Victory wholegood, apparel and accessories sales reported in 2016 Overall motorcycle market remains weak Q2 2016 Q2 2017 GAAP* Q2 2017 Adjusted* % ∆ MOTORCYCLES Q2 2017 Motorcycles Segment Sales Continued Market Share Gains for Indian Motorcycle; Momentum Accelerating Q2'17 Earnings 15 16% $192 PG&A $228 PG&A Indian Slingshot Indian Slingshot ($ millions) Victory * See GAAP/Non-GAAP Reconciliation on Slide #3 ** See appendix for 2017 guidance adjustments (1) 2016 sales, for comparison purposes, have been reclassified to account for the new Aftermarket segment which included aftermarket brands previously reported in their respective segments Reclassified(1) PG&A Indian Slingshot % ∆13% $198 Victory
  • 16. Q2 2016 Q2 2017 13% 5% GLOBAL ADJACENT MARKETS (GAM) Q2 2017 GAM Segment Sales GAM 7% due to Aixam and Goupil strong performance; PG&A Average selling price for GAM was down 1% in Q2’17 2017 Sales Guidance: Up mid-single digits % (increased) Aixam and Goupil Driving Increase in Q2 Q2'17 Earnings 16 7% $97 PG&A $91 PG&A % ∆ W&T / Defense W&T / Defense ($ millions) Aixam Ambiance 3 Quadricycle
  • 17. AFTERMARKET Q2 2017 Aftermarket Segment Sales TAP added $209 million to Q2 sales Integration on plan, moving Pro Armor® production to TAP facility 2017 Sales Guidance: Up significantly from TAP sales (unchanged) TAP Performing Well; Integration on Track Q2'17 Earnings 17 $224 Q2 2016 Q2 2017 ($ millions) Significantly $209 Reclassified* *2016 sales, for comparison purposes, have been reclassified to account for the new Aftermarket segment which included aftermarket brands previously reported in their respective segments $12 First Minnesota Store Grand Opening July 22nd Brooklyn Park, MN
  • 18. 2017 POLARIS FINANCIAL POSITION 18Q2'17 Earnings Capital Summary June 2017Cash Drivers Variance to June 2016 Cash $ 127 -13% Debt /Capital Lease Obligations $1,068 +128% Shareholders’ Equity $ 854 -8% Total Capital $1,922 +38% Debt to Total Capital 56% -22 % points 2015 Operating cash flow down, as expected Factory inventory up sequentially from Q1, new model year introduction Cap Ex expected to be lower than 2016 (unchanged) Operating cash flow expected to be down significantly – timing of accrual payments, Victory wind down and manufacturing realignment Operating Cash Flow Financial Position Unchanged – Solid Cash YE 2016 Operating Activities Dividends Capex Net Debt Share Repurchase Other Cash Q2 2017 $127 $127 $348 -24% $264 YTD Q2 2016 YTD Q2 2017 ($ millions) ($ millions) ($ millions) Q2 Year-to-date 2017 Summary FY 2017 Expectations $572 YE 2016 YE 2017 Down significantly Expectations +$264 -$73 -$82 -$79 -$66 +$36
  • 19. 60% 62% Q2 2016 Q2 2017 Retail CreditWholesale Credit PA Receivables 19Q2'17 Earnings Income from Financial Services Other Wholesale Credit Q2 2016 Q2 2017 Q2 2016 Q2 2017 Portfolio Remains Healthy INCOME FROM FINANCIAL SERVICES Polaris Acceptance (PA) receivables down, trending with dealer inventory Q2 income from financial services down – lower wholesale and retail income FY 2017 Guidance: Income from financial services down about 10% (unchanged) $20 6% $19 9% $1,078 $1,180 ($ millions) ($ millions) 30% 30% Q2 2016 Q2 2017 Approval Rate Penetration Rate Wholesale Credit Retail Financing Retail Financing
  • 20. Scott W. Wine, Chairman & CEO Second Quarter 2017 Earnings Results July 20, 2017 POLARIS INDUSTRIES INC.
  • 21. 21Q2'17 Earnings CLOSING COMMENTS 2nd Half Performance Expected Up Significantly on a Year-over-year Basis Powersports market outlook improved globally; remains highly competitive Polaris ORV business, particularly SxS, regaining footing Indian Motorcycle market share gains continue Safety and Quality processes/results improving Cost & Productivity initiatives gaining traction; VIP savings accelerating Dealer show will kickoff 2nd half: product news, quality, dealer relations
  • 23. APPENDIX Q2 2017 SUPPLEMENTAL SALES PERFORMANCE (PG&A / INTERNATIONAL) Q2 YEAR-TO-DATE NON-GAAP DISCLOSURE 2017 GUIDANCE ADJUSTMENTS 2017 OTHER FULL YEAR EXPECTATIONS
  • 24. ORV/ Snow Motorcycles GAM Q2 2017 ORV 76% 13% 9% ORV / Snow 53% 22% 25% Parts 49% Accessories 50% 1% 11% EMEA 70% Asia Pacific 19% EMEA AP LA Q2 2017 International**Core Parts, Garments & Accessories (PG&A)* 24Q2'17 Earnings Q2 2017 SUPPLEMENTAL SALES PERFORMANCE Motorcycles Global Adjacent Markets (GAM) 2% Snowmobiles Motorcycles Global Adjacent Markets (GAM) Apparel Latin America 20% 11% 19% 9% 11% Q2 Sales 4% to 193 Million Q2 Sales 12% to $191 Million ∆ from Q2'16 ∆ from Q2'16 *Based on GAAP reporting; does not include Aftermarket **Based on GAAP reporting
  • 25. Q2 YEAR-TO-DATE NON-GAAP DISCLOSURE 25Q2'17 Earnings Reconciliation of GAAP "Reported" Results to Non-GAAP "Adjusted" Results (IN THOUSANDS, EXCEPT PER SHARE DATA; UNAUDITED) Reported GAAP Measures 2017 Adjustments(3) Adjusted Measures Six months ended June 30, Six months ended June 30, Six months ended June 30, 2017 2016 % Change Victory Wind Down(1) TAP(2) Realignment(3) Total 2017 2016 % Change Sales ORV/Snowmobiles $ 1,569,611 $ 1,507,435 4% — — — — $ 1,569,611 $ 1,507,435 4% Motorcycles 318,286 413,659 (23)% $ (1,053) — — $ (1,053) 317,233 413,659 (23)% Global Adj. Markets 188,577 165,068 14% — — — — 188,577 165,068 14% Aftermarket 442,228 27,611 1,502% — — — — 442,228 27,611 1,502% Total sales 2,518,702 2,113,773 19% (1,053) — — (1,053) 2,517,649 2,113,773 19% Gross profit ORV/Snowmobiles 479,109 434,481 10% — — — — 479,109 434,481 10% % of sales 30.5% 28.8% +170 bps 30.5% 28.8% +170 bps Motorcycles 1,235 66,174 (98)% 47,415 — — 47,415 48,650 66,174 (26)% % of sales 0.4% 16.0% -1,561 bps 15.3% 16.0% -66 bps Global Adj. Markets 49,314 44,335 11% — — 4,303 4,303 53,617 44,335 21% % of sales 26.2% 26.9% -71 bps 28.4% 26.9% +157 bps Aftermarket 101,482 7,681 1,221% — 12,950 — 12,950 114,432 7,681 1,390% % of sales 22.9% 27.8% -487 bps 25.9% 27.8% -194 bps Corporate (38,263) (20,590) — — — — (38,263) (20,590) Total gross profit 592,877 532,081 11% 47,415 12,950 4,303 64,668 657,545 532,081 24% Gross profit % 23.5% 25.2% -163 bps 26.1% 25.2% +95 bps Operating expenses 512,179 377,895 36% (8,016) (7,017) — (15,033) 497,146 377,895 32% Other expense (income), net 9,456 1,886 401% (13,000) — — (13,000) (3,544) 1,886 NM Net income $ 59,130 $ 118,055 (50)% $ 47,841 $ 12,551 $ 2,705 $ 63,097 $ 122,227 $ 118,055 4% Diluted EPS $ 0.92 $ 1.80 (49)% $ 0.75 $ 0.20 $ 0.04 $ 0.99 $ 1.91 $ 1.80 6% Key Definitions: Throughout this presentation, the word “Adjusted” is used to refer to GAAP results excluding: TAP inventory step-up purchase accounting, TAP integration expenses, impacts associated with the Victory Motorcycles® wind down and manufacturing network realignment costs. Adjustments: (1) Represents adjustments for the wind down of Victory Motorcycles, including wholegoods, accessories and apparel (2) Represents adjustments for TAP acquisition inventory step-up and TAP integration expenses (3) Represents adjustments for manufacturing network realignment costs (4) The Company used its estimated statutory tax rate of 37.1% for the non-GAAP adjustments, except for the non-deductible items 2016 Reclassified Results: 2016 sales and gross profit results for ORV/Snowmobiles, Motorcycles and Aftermarket are reclassified for the new Aftermarket reporting segment.
  • 26. 2017 GUIDANCE ADJUSTMENTS 26Q2'17 Earnings 2017 guidance excludes the pre-tax effect of TAP inventory step-up purchase accounting of approx. $15 million, acquisition integration costs of approx. $15 million, manufacturing network realignment costs of approx. $10 million to $15 million and the impacts associated with the Victory wind down which is estimated to be in the range of $80 million to $90 million. 2017 adjusted sales guidance excludes any Victory wholegood, accessories and apparel sales and corresponding promotional costs as the Company is in the process of exiting the brand. The Company has not provided reconciliations of guidance for adjusted diluted net income per share, in reliance on the unreasonable efforts exception provided under Item 10(e)(1)(i)(B) of Regulation S-K. The Company is unable, without unreasonable efforts, to forecast certain items required to develop meaningful comparable GAAP financial measures. These items include costs associated with the Victory wind down that are difficult to predict in advance in order to include in a GAAP estimate.
  • 27. 2017 OTHER FULL YEAR EXPECTATIONS 27Q2'17 Earnings Gross Margins: increase up to 180 bps (unchanged) Adjusted operating expenses: increase in the 60 to 70 bps range, as a percent of sales (lowered) Increased R&D – up high-teens % excluding TAP; quality & innovation Higher variable compensation costs TAP operating expense Income from financial services: down ~10% due to lower dealer inventory levels and lower retail credit income (unchanged) Interest expense: more than double due to TAP acquisition funding (unchanged) Income taxes: approximately 34.0% of pretax profits (lowered) Supplemental: International sales: up over 2016 (increased) PG&A: up mid-single digits % (increased) Diluted shares outstanding: down 1% to 2% (improved)