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The Story of Recycling in 2016
Dylan de Thomas,
Resource Recycling
MassRecycle R3 2016
Recycling & Organics
Conference
Mar. 29, 2016
About Resource Recycling, Inc.
About Resource Recycling, Inc.
Recycling is Dying…
And It’s All Glass’ Fault
And It’s All Oil’s Fault
And It’s All Single-Stream’s Fault
And It’s All Our Fault?
What We’re Talking About Today
• Why is the Sky Falling?
• Going Global
• From MRFs to Markets
• Sustainable Materials
Management
• Partnering Up for Next Steps
Recycling Commodity Markets Overview
The Big Picture
• Strong dollar +
• Excess production of crude and
other commodities +
• Changes in China +
• = Down market, disappearing
margins, hurting industry
Strong U.S. Dollar
Low Oil Prices
Source: New York Times, Mar. 24, 2016
Excess Capacity
----
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
-2.0
-1.5
-1.0
-0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
DAK Indorama M&G
Nan Ya Selenis Eastman
OperatingRate,Percent
North American Capacity Growth
© 2016 IHS
MillionMetricTons
Source: IHS
Recycling Commodity Markets Overview
It’s Not Just the Green Fence…
Context of China
China’s Working-Age Population Peaking
Source: United Nations World Population Prospects
Going from this:
China’s Shifting Labor Landscape
To this:
China’s Shifting Labor Landscape
From this:
China’s Shifting Labor Landscape
To this:
China’s Shifting Labor Landscape
Which Leads (In Part) To…
Aggregate Scrap Material Values
Source: Institute of Scrap Recycling Industries, 2016
Value of a Commingled Ton
Source: Scott Mouw, NC DNER, 2016
$-
$20.00
$40.00
$60.00
$80.00
$100.00
$120.00
$140.00
$160.00
$180.00
From MRFs to Markets
Growth of Single-Stream
Processing in No. Am.
Source: Government Advisory Associates, Inc., 2013
& Resource Recycling, 2016
Single-Stream MRFs in the U.S.
• Map
Source, Resource Recycling, 2013
Increasing contamination
• According to WM figures, contamination of loads is an average of 16% of
inbound tons.
• Contamination can be up to 50% of incoming loads
• Processing costs continue to increase as markets demand reduced
contamination. This drives up cost to customers.
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
20.0%
-
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
Contamination Percent
Inbound Tons Residue %
Source: Waste Management, 2015
The Evolution of Packaging
From steel can, paper
label adhesive to
multi-layer, foil-lined
flexible film pouch
From glass jar, metal
lid and paper label
adhesive to multi-
layer, multi-resin
pouch with PP
enclosure
The Evolution of Packaging
Coffee
Cookies /
CrackersPharma /
Over-the-counter
Personal Care
Pet Food
Shaving
Juice
Baby Food & Formula
Nuts
Reframing Recycling in Sustainable
Materials Management
SMM & Recycling
Source: Oregon DEQ, 2015
Growing Partnerships
Growing Partnerships
And the Good News Is…
• SE Asian Markets
Growing
• Markets Cyclical
• Low Oil Also Means
Fuel Savings
• Increased
Partnerships/Industry
Engagement
• Innovations Abound
• Acting Local…
And Thank You!
Dylan de Thomas
Editorial Director
Resource Recycling, Inc.
dylan@resource-recycling.com
503-309-5142
Resource-Recycling.com

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