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2014
Foodservice
Industry
Overview
March 2014 Updates
Polar Vortex Update
• Weather affecting businesses across most of the U.S.
• Retail down 0.4% in Jan 2014 (projected to be flat)
• Flight cancellations – hurts restaurant travel/tourism
spending
• Online shopping increased (foodservice delivery,
however, did not increase as a result)
• FSR hit hardest along with B&I and K-12 (office and
school closings)
• Across all segments, Technomic forecasted growth for
2014 is expected to decrease by a full percentage point
Source: Technomic, Inc.
Foodservice
doesn’t have
the benefit of
a “catch up”
(purchases not deferred
to a later time)
Fast Casual Quadrupled in a Decade
• Food offerings competitive
• Environments are pleasing and many facilities are new
• No tipping at FC leads to increased overall value to customers
• FC also has more control over experience (no servers)
• Customers also in control consumption and customization
The top 150 fast-
casual concepts
posted aggregate
sales of nearly $26
billion in 2012, up
13.1% from 2011,
and is expected to
have maintained
momentum
through 2013.
Sources: Bellwether Food Group, Inc.; Technomic, Inc.
QSR
69.5%
FCR
8.1%
CDR
17.6%
MSR
4.8%
QSR
72.6%
FCR
2.7%
CDR
17.8%
MSR
6.9%
2012 Total
Top 100 Sales: $211 B
2002 Total
Top 100 Sales: $135 B
5.4%
FCRs
3.1%
QSR
2.1%
MSR
0.2%
CDR
Technology
Trends
Growth in Smartphone Usage
Source: Go-Globe.com
… with continuing
growth in smartphone
ownership worldwide.
Most of the world is
already on mobile…
2O2O
VISION
How Consumers Interact with Restaurants Today
Sources: National Restaurant Association, 2014 Restaurant Industry Forecast
All Adults
Children
under 18 in
household
Look up locations or directions 67% 80%
Order takeout or delivery 52% 67%
Use rewards or special deals 50% 65%
Make a reservation 46% 56%
Look up nutrition information 42% 54%
Pay for your meal 24% 32%
Consumers who say
they would be likely to
use a smartphone or
tablet or restaurant-
related activities
Smartphone
Activities in Restaurant
All Adults
Children
under 18 in
household
Electronic payment system at
the table
47% 55%
Electronic ordering system at
the table
40% 52%
Menus on iPad/tablets 37% 48%
Self-service, touch-screen kiosk
for ordering
43% 54%
Consumers who say
they would be likely
to use the following
technology options
in restaurants
Using Restaurant Technology
Investing in the Technology
21%
24%
9%
27%
18%
13%
23%
16%
22%
21%
4%
Equipment
upgrades
Redesign of
exterior/interior
Technology
upgrades
Marketing Can't invest right
now
Other investment
area
2012
2014
Source: NRN Restaurant Operator Survey (December 2013)
In 2014, my business plans to put more money behind:
Operators Willing to Invest in Technologies
Sources: National Restaurant Association, 2014 Restaurant Industry Forecast
Family
Dining
Casual
Dining
Fine
Dining
Quick
Service
Fast
Casual
ALL RESTAURANTS
Online ordering 57% 63% 48% 77% 89%
Ordering via smartphone app 45% 49% 30% 73% 88%
Wi-fi for customers 85% 93% 87% 87% 77%
Mobile/wireless payment options 43% 58% 54% 75% 77%
Nutrition information online or via smartphone/tablet app 46% 57% 48% 80% 80%
FULL SERVICE RESTAURANTS
Electronic ordering at the table 28% 48% 30%
Electronic payment at the table 48% 65% 59%
Menu of iPad/tablet at the table 36% 54% 50%
Wine/beer/cocktail list on iPad/tablet at the table 31% 53% 56%
LIMITED-SERVICE RESTAURANTS
Self-service, touch-screen ordering terminals 47% 57%
Video menu boards 78% 68%
Restaurant operators who believe these
technology options will become popular
within their segments in the future
More Technology Options on the Horizon
At the Table
• Guest self-ordering
• Suggestive selling
• Interactive feedback from
guests to the restaurant
• Wireless networking
• Some touch-screen devices
that make up the entire
tabletop
2O2O
VISION
At the Counter (F.O.H.)
• Mobile point-of-sale
• Digital wallets
• Facial-recognition software
 Immediate recognition of customers and their preferences
• Digital menu and marketing boards
2O2O
VISION
Technology vs. Adoption
• Technology is coming,
question is around adoption
• Which chains will convert
first?
• Will independents be able to
implement or afford?
Technology will certainly make operators’ jobs easier…
but it must also enhance the customer experience to drive value
REAL GROWTH (2014):
0.5%
PURCHASES (2013):
$10.0 billion
SALES (2013):
$18.2 billion
K-12 Schools
Sources: Technomic, Inc.; Food Management
What’s Trending?
• Final requirements from Healthy Hunger-Free Kids Act
being implemented
• July 1 requirement that a full cup of fruit is served at
breakfast comes into effect
• New regulations decreasing lunch program
participation
• 1.8 million kids lost from program in 3 years
• Supper programs replacing after-school snack
programs
• Unpaid meal charges remain an issue
• 2017 looms large because of sodium restrictions
Summary
• Big Stable Market
• Sluggish Growth Continues
• Labor, Healthcare, Food Costs Remain a Problem
• Market Share Theft Plus Operational Efficiency
• Big Winners Amongst the Flatness
• Technology Adoption Soaring
• Fast Casual Continues to Drive the Market

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2014 penton industry overview 3 17-14 (march update)

  • 2. Polar Vortex Update • Weather affecting businesses across most of the U.S. • Retail down 0.4% in Jan 2014 (projected to be flat) • Flight cancellations – hurts restaurant travel/tourism spending • Online shopping increased (foodservice delivery, however, did not increase as a result) • FSR hit hardest along with B&I and K-12 (office and school closings) • Across all segments, Technomic forecasted growth for 2014 is expected to decrease by a full percentage point Source: Technomic, Inc. Foodservice doesn’t have the benefit of a “catch up” (purchases not deferred to a later time)
  • 3. Fast Casual Quadrupled in a Decade • Food offerings competitive • Environments are pleasing and many facilities are new • No tipping at FC leads to increased overall value to customers • FC also has more control over experience (no servers) • Customers also in control consumption and customization The top 150 fast- casual concepts posted aggregate sales of nearly $26 billion in 2012, up 13.1% from 2011, and is expected to have maintained momentum through 2013. Sources: Bellwether Food Group, Inc.; Technomic, Inc. QSR 69.5% FCR 8.1% CDR 17.6% MSR 4.8% QSR 72.6% FCR 2.7% CDR 17.8% MSR 6.9% 2012 Total Top 100 Sales: $211 B 2002 Total Top 100 Sales: $135 B 5.4% FCRs 3.1% QSR 2.1% MSR 0.2% CDR
  • 5. Growth in Smartphone Usage Source: Go-Globe.com … with continuing growth in smartphone ownership worldwide. Most of the world is already on mobile… 2O2O VISION
  • 6. How Consumers Interact with Restaurants Today Sources: National Restaurant Association, 2014 Restaurant Industry Forecast All Adults Children under 18 in household Look up locations or directions 67% 80% Order takeout or delivery 52% 67% Use rewards or special deals 50% 65% Make a reservation 46% 56% Look up nutrition information 42% 54% Pay for your meal 24% 32% Consumers who say they would be likely to use a smartphone or tablet or restaurant- related activities Smartphone Activities in Restaurant All Adults Children under 18 in household Electronic payment system at the table 47% 55% Electronic ordering system at the table 40% 52% Menus on iPad/tablets 37% 48% Self-service, touch-screen kiosk for ordering 43% 54% Consumers who say they would be likely to use the following technology options in restaurants Using Restaurant Technology
  • 7. Investing in the Technology 21% 24% 9% 27% 18% 13% 23% 16% 22% 21% 4% Equipment upgrades Redesign of exterior/interior Technology upgrades Marketing Can't invest right now Other investment area 2012 2014 Source: NRN Restaurant Operator Survey (December 2013) In 2014, my business plans to put more money behind:
  • 8. Operators Willing to Invest in Technologies Sources: National Restaurant Association, 2014 Restaurant Industry Forecast Family Dining Casual Dining Fine Dining Quick Service Fast Casual ALL RESTAURANTS Online ordering 57% 63% 48% 77% 89% Ordering via smartphone app 45% 49% 30% 73% 88% Wi-fi for customers 85% 93% 87% 87% 77% Mobile/wireless payment options 43% 58% 54% 75% 77% Nutrition information online or via smartphone/tablet app 46% 57% 48% 80% 80% FULL SERVICE RESTAURANTS Electronic ordering at the table 28% 48% 30% Electronic payment at the table 48% 65% 59% Menu of iPad/tablet at the table 36% 54% 50% Wine/beer/cocktail list on iPad/tablet at the table 31% 53% 56% LIMITED-SERVICE RESTAURANTS Self-service, touch-screen ordering terminals 47% 57% Video menu boards 78% 68% Restaurant operators who believe these technology options will become popular within their segments in the future More Technology Options on the Horizon
  • 9. At the Table • Guest self-ordering • Suggestive selling • Interactive feedback from guests to the restaurant • Wireless networking • Some touch-screen devices that make up the entire tabletop 2O2O VISION
  • 10. At the Counter (F.O.H.) • Mobile point-of-sale • Digital wallets • Facial-recognition software  Immediate recognition of customers and their preferences • Digital menu and marketing boards 2O2O VISION
  • 11. Technology vs. Adoption • Technology is coming, question is around adoption • Which chains will convert first? • Will independents be able to implement or afford? Technology will certainly make operators’ jobs easier… but it must also enhance the customer experience to drive value
  • 12. REAL GROWTH (2014): 0.5% PURCHASES (2013): $10.0 billion SALES (2013): $18.2 billion K-12 Schools Sources: Technomic, Inc.; Food Management What’s Trending? • Final requirements from Healthy Hunger-Free Kids Act being implemented • July 1 requirement that a full cup of fruit is served at breakfast comes into effect • New regulations decreasing lunch program participation • 1.8 million kids lost from program in 3 years • Supper programs replacing after-school snack programs • Unpaid meal charges remain an issue • 2017 looms large because of sodium restrictions
  • 13. Summary • Big Stable Market • Sluggish Growth Continues • Labor, Healthcare, Food Costs Remain a Problem • Market Share Theft Plus Operational Efficiency • Big Winners Amongst the Flatness • Technology Adoption Soaring • Fast Casual Continues to Drive the Market

Editor's Notes

  1. https://blogs.technomic.com/a-look-back-on-the-year-in-fast-casual/
  2. Investing in the Future Operators who planned to make improvements this year were almost evenly split between investing in a redesign and putting money behind marketing efforts. A slightly smaller group said they planned to invest in technology upgrades. About one-fifth of respondents said they can’t divert any funds for improvements now.
  3. Idea: start with what Operators are implementing
  4. Problem: Will consumers adopt and use?
  5. Arrows indicate increase for that statistic over previous year. Dash means equal to previous year.