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Scarily Running Towards The
        Centre: Political centrism
    adherence as an effect of mortality
                 salience.
                                   Carlos Rivera.
                           Supervisor: Dr. Philip J. Cozzolino.




Tuesday, 22 January 2013                                          1
Background
• Motivated Social Cognition (Jost et al., 2003).

         • Psychological tendencies underline ideological
           differences between the political Right and Left.

         • The adoption of conservative ideologies is a ‘matching
           process’ to satisfy psychological needs.

         • Psychological model of epistemic, ideological and
           existential motivations.




Tuesday, 22 January 2013                                            2
Background




                                        Jost, et al.
                                         (2003).

Tuesday, 22 January 2013                               3
Background




                                        Jost, et al.
                                         (2003).

Tuesday, 22 January 2013                               3
Background




                                        Jost, et al.
                                         (2003).

Tuesday, 22 January 2013                               4
Background
    • Terror management theory (TMT; Greenberg,
      Pyszczynski, & Solomon, 1986).

          • Humans share with animals a fundamental orientation
            toward survival.

          • Cultural worldviews are sets of beliefs about the
             nature of reality.
            • Provide meaning and the promise of symbolic
               immortality.
            • Serve as a shield against the anxiety of inevitable
               death.
Tuesday, 22 January 2013                                            5
Background
     • TMT shows that cultural worldviews provide protection
       against reminders of death.

                 • ‘Mortality Salience’ manipulation (MS) creates
                   worldview defence, protection, guides for action

                       1. Describe the emotions that the thought of
                          your own death arouses in you.
                       2. What do you think will happen to you as
                          you physically die and once you are
                          physically dead?



Tuesday, 22 January 2013                                              6
Background
     • TMT & MS.
       • Overwhelming fear of death must be managed.
       • Generates defensive states with a focus on protecting
         the symbolic self against threats.
       • MS manipulation sets attention to external sources of
         information.
                           External Validity?
      • President Bush approval rating on
         September 5, 2001:
        • 51% (PollingReport.com, 2004).
            • 13 of September, 2001: 86%
              (Morin & Deane, 2001).
Tuesday, 22 January 2013                                         7
Background
     • TMT & MS.
       • President Bush image
         served as protective shield
         against death. (Landau, et al,
         2004).
       • Again, MS inflates regard for
         people, concepts and
         objects that represent own
         culture.
       • MS enhance appeal of
         charismatic leader (Cohen,
         et al, 2004).

Tuesday, 22 January 2013                  8
Background
      • Is Voting a Rational Choice?
         TMT & MS.
        • Participants in CN gave
           higher ratings to John Kerry
           over George Bush. (Landau,
           et al, 2004).

            • When reminded of their
              mortality (MS) George
              Bush’s evaluation increased.   Landau, et al, (2004).




Tuesday, 22 January 2013                                              9
Background
                           Need for Closure

     • Desire to have closure urgently and maintain it
       permanently as compared to confusion and/or
       ambiguity (Kruglanski, 2004, p. 6).

     • Strong need for closure tend to “seize” on information
       permitting a judgement on a topic of interest and to
       “freeze” on such judgement, becoming relatively
       impermeable or closed-minded to further relevant
       information (Kruglanski & Webster, 1996).



Tuesday, 22 January 2013                                        10
Background
                                Need for Closure

     • Refers to the way in which individuals approach and
       reduce cognitive uncertainty (Golec & Federico, 2004).

     • High NFCS’s:

               • Favours homogeneous in-groups because their
                 shared beliefs provide firm, socially validated reality.

               • May induce a general group centrism (De Grada et
                 al., 1999; Kruglanski, et al., 2002).

               • Look to reach a clear consensus.
Tuesday, 22 January 2013                                                   11
Background
                               Need for Closure


     • NFC means ‘black-and-white’ schema but...

               • there are times when need for uniformity is high.

     • Hypothesis.

         • MS should interact with need for closure.

               • Deviants from the political centre should not be
                 highly regarded by people high in NFC.

Tuesday, 22 January 2013                                             12
Study 1
  • 161 psychology students (UoE).
         (female= 101, men= 58 (2 not reported); M = 21.92, SD = 5.21).

  • Presented psychological inventories:

                 •         Nationalism/Patriotism (UK version).
                 •         Party Preference scale.
                 •         Need for Closure.
                 •         Social Dominance Orientation.
                 •         Political Knowledge.
                 •         Other psychological scales.



  • Participants assigned to MS or control conditions.
  • Read biographies of four politicians who switched political
    ideologies.

Tuesday, 22 January 2013                                                  13
Study 1




Tuesday, 22 January 2013             14
Study 1
  • Political Approval
  • “I respect this politician.”
  • “I do not think that this politician is worthy of esteem.” (R)
  • “I do not have a high opinion of this
         politician.” (R)
  •      “I think that this politician is in politics for the ‘right
         reasons’.”

  • Alphas:
    • Politician 1 (Right > Left) (Out > Centre) .764
    • Politician 2 (Right > Left) (Centre > Out) .767
    • Politician 3 (Left > Right) (Centre > Out) .775
    • Politician 4 (Left > Right) (Out > Centre) .802
Tuesday, 22 January 2013                                               15
Study 1
     • Design

     • 2 X 2 X 2 X 2 mixed ANOVA
           •
         Condition (MS/CN); Need for Closure (NFC) - Between
         subjects.

           •      Movement (LR/RL) and Direction (Out-Centre/Centre-
                  out) - Within subjects.

     •       Expectation

           •      Direction of the politicians movement will mean more
                  for those in the MS condition and high in NFC.


Tuesday, 22 January 2013                                                 16
Study 1
               • Primary hypothesis test
                       •
                   Need for Closure X Condition X Direction interaction.
                            •
                     Only higher-order significant interaction.
                                •
                       F(1, 152) = 5.80, p < .05

                                Out > Centre
                     5.00
                                    MS
                                    CN
Political Approval




                     4.75



                     4.50



                     4.25



                     4.00
                      Low NFC                  High NFC


 Tuesday, 22 January 2013                                                  17
Study 1
               • Primary hypothesis test
                       •
                   Need for Closure X Condition X Direction interaction.
                            •
                     Only higher-order significant interaction.
                                •
                       F(1, 152) = 5.80, p < .05

                                Out > Centre                                              Centre > Out
                     5.00                                                      5.00
                                    MS                                                    MS
                                    CN                                                    CN




                                                          Political Approval
Political Approval




                     4.75                                                      4.75



                     4.50                                                      4.50



                     4.25                                                      4.25



                     4.00                                                      4.00
                      Low NFC                  High NFC                         Low NFC                  High NFC


 Tuesday, 22 January 2013                                                                                       17
Study 1
     • Brief Discussion

     • MS induce people high in NFC to seek comfort in social
       groups.

     • Psychological processes of social bonding in line with
       Cozzolino (2006) dual-existential model.

     • Group-centrism, is related to the needs to reduce
       uncertainty and to dispel ambiguity.




Tuesday, 22 January 2013                                        18
Study 2

     • Study 1 looked at political support for individual
       politicians.


     • Study 2 is making holistic judgements, looking at
       political parties.




Tuesday, 22 January 2013                                    19
A Little Quote
   “Anywhere where the ruling elites, particularly the
   Labour Party which was the, everything, for a
   place like this years ago has abandoned the
   working class, you got this enormous gulf
   which is going to be filled by somebody
   and where possible we make sure that
   is filled by us”.




Tuesday, 22 January 2013                                 20
A Little Quote
   “Anywhere where the ruling elites, particularly the
   Labour Party which was the, everything, for a
   place like this years ago has abandoned the
   working class, you got this enormous gulf
   which is going to be filled by somebody
   and where possible we make sure that
   is filled by us”.




Tuesday, 22 January 2013                                 20
A Little Quote
   “Anywhere where the ruling elites, particularly the
   Labour Party which was the, everything, for a
   place like this years ago has abandoned the
   working class, you got this enormous gulf
   which is going to be filled by somebody
   and where possible we make sure that
   is filled by us”.

                                  Nick Griffin.
              Chairman of British National Party.
              (BBC “Panorama” Interview, 2008)

Tuesday, 22 January 2013                                 20
Study 2
     • Change of context (individual politicians to political
       parties across the spectrum).
           •
         Moving from individual to social.
           •
         Also support for fringe, that now seem “less
         extreme”.
                 •
           Because traditional parties move to centre.
     • Two conditions:
           •
         No party movement.
           •
         Parties move toward centre (gaps filled).




Tuesday, 22 January 2013                                        21
Study 2




Tuesday, 22 January 2013             22
Study 2




Tuesday, 22 January 2013             23
Discussion
  • Design
  • 2 X 2 X 2 X 2 mixed ANOVA
     •
     Condition, Need for Closure, & Movement - Between
     subjects
     •
     Support for left/right - Within subjects




Tuesday, 22 January 2013                                 24
Study 2
  • 78 psychology students (UoE).
         (female= 48, men= 30; M = 24.71, SD = 9.25).

  • Presented psychological inventories:

                 •         Nationalism/Patriotism (UK version).
                 •         Party Preference scale.
                 •         Need for Closure.
                 •         Social Dominance Orientation.
                 •         Political Knowledge.
                 •         Other psychological scales.



  • Participants assigned to MS or control conditions.
  • Read alleged Political Science textbook.
  • Ask to rate their support.

Tuesday, 22 January 2013                                          25
Study 2




                              “New” Left Support                                “New” Right Support
                     5.0000                 MS                               5.0000              MS
Political Approval




                                                        Political Approval
                                            CN                                                   CN

                     4.5203                                                  4.5425


                     4.0405                                                  4.0849


                     3.5608                                                  3.6274


                     3.0810                                                  3.1698
                         Low NFC             High NFC                            Low NFC       High NFC

Tuesday, 22 January 2013                                                                              26
Study 2
                     • Primary hypothesis test
                       • 4-way interaction, F(1, 70) = 3.49, p = .06
                       • Splitting sample on “movement” (no move or all move).
                       • No interactive effects in “no movement” condition, but
                         significant three-way between condition, NFC, and
                         support in the ‘all move’ condition (p < .05).
                               “New” Left Support                                “New” Right Support
                      5.0000                 MS                               5.0000              MS
Political Approval




                                                         Political Approval
                                             CN                                                   CN

                      4.5203                                                  4.5425


                      4.0405                                                  4.0849


                      3.5608                                                  3.6274


                      3.0810                                                  3.1698
                          Low NFC             High NFC                            Low NFC       High NFC

Tuesday, 22 January 2013                                                                               26
Conclusions




Tuesday, 22 January 2013                 27
Conclusions
        •      Existential and Epistemic motives interact to console
               people when feeling intimidated.

        •      Threatening remainders seem to amplify demands for
               consensus and clarity on for those high in need for closure.

        •      In a context of changing political positions, when
               MORTALITY SALIENCE and NEED FOR CLOSURE are
               combined not all “CENTRISM” is equal.

        •      Psychological appeal about the “NEW RIGHT” for high in
               Need for Closure who have had been reminded about
               their mortality.

        •      Political Psychology: Micro-level answers to Macro-level
               issues issues.
Tuesday, 22 January 2013                                                  27
Thank you!

                            Any questions?


Tuesday, 22 January 2013                     28

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Scarily Running Towards The Centre: Political centrism adherence as an effect of mortality salience.

  • 1. Scarily Running Towards The Centre: Political centrism adherence as an effect of mortality salience. Carlos Rivera. Supervisor: Dr. Philip J. Cozzolino. Tuesday, 22 January 2013 1
  • 2. Background • Motivated Social Cognition (Jost et al., 2003). • Psychological tendencies underline ideological differences between the political Right and Left. • The adoption of conservative ideologies is a ‘matching process’ to satisfy psychological needs. • Psychological model of epistemic, ideological and existential motivations. Tuesday, 22 January 2013 2
  • 3. Background Jost, et al. (2003). Tuesday, 22 January 2013 3
  • 4. Background Jost, et al. (2003). Tuesday, 22 January 2013 3
  • 5. Background Jost, et al. (2003). Tuesday, 22 January 2013 4
  • 6. Background • Terror management theory (TMT; Greenberg, Pyszczynski, & Solomon, 1986). • Humans share with animals a fundamental orientation toward survival. • Cultural worldviews are sets of beliefs about the nature of reality. • Provide meaning and the promise of symbolic immortality. • Serve as a shield against the anxiety of inevitable death. Tuesday, 22 January 2013 5
  • 7. Background • TMT shows that cultural worldviews provide protection against reminders of death. • ‘Mortality Salience’ manipulation (MS) creates worldview defence, protection, guides for action 1. Describe the emotions that the thought of your own death arouses in you. 2. What do you think will happen to you as you physically die and once you are physically dead? Tuesday, 22 January 2013 6
  • 8. Background • TMT & MS. • Overwhelming fear of death must be managed. • Generates defensive states with a focus on protecting the symbolic self against threats. • MS manipulation sets attention to external sources of information. External Validity? • President Bush approval rating on September 5, 2001: • 51% (PollingReport.com, 2004). • 13 of September, 2001: 86% (Morin & Deane, 2001). Tuesday, 22 January 2013 7
  • 9. Background • TMT & MS. • President Bush image served as protective shield against death. (Landau, et al, 2004). • Again, MS inflates regard for people, concepts and objects that represent own culture. • MS enhance appeal of charismatic leader (Cohen, et al, 2004). Tuesday, 22 January 2013 8
  • 10. Background • Is Voting a Rational Choice? TMT & MS. • Participants in CN gave higher ratings to John Kerry over George Bush. (Landau, et al, 2004). • When reminded of their mortality (MS) George Bush’s evaluation increased. Landau, et al, (2004). Tuesday, 22 January 2013 9
  • 11. Background Need for Closure • Desire to have closure urgently and maintain it permanently as compared to confusion and/or ambiguity (Kruglanski, 2004, p. 6). • Strong need for closure tend to “seize” on information permitting a judgement on a topic of interest and to “freeze” on such judgement, becoming relatively impermeable or closed-minded to further relevant information (Kruglanski & Webster, 1996). Tuesday, 22 January 2013 10
  • 12. Background Need for Closure • Refers to the way in which individuals approach and reduce cognitive uncertainty (Golec & Federico, 2004). • High NFCS’s: • Favours homogeneous in-groups because their shared beliefs provide firm, socially validated reality. • May induce a general group centrism (De Grada et al., 1999; Kruglanski, et al., 2002). • Look to reach a clear consensus. Tuesday, 22 January 2013 11
  • 13. Background Need for Closure • NFC means ‘black-and-white’ schema but... • there are times when need for uniformity is high. • Hypothesis. • MS should interact with need for closure. • Deviants from the political centre should not be highly regarded by people high in NFC. Tuesday, 22 January 2013 12
  • 14. Study 1 • 161 psychology students (UoE). (female= 101, men= 58 (2 not reported); M = 21.92, SD = 5.21). • Presented psychological inventories: • Nationalism/Patriotism (UK version). • Party Preference scale. • Need for Closure. • Social Dominance Orientation. • Political Knowledge. • Other psychological scales. • Participants assigned to MS or control conditions. • Read biographies of four politicians who switched political ideologies. Tuesday, 22 January 2013 13
  • 15. Study 1 Tuesday, 22 January 2013 14
  • 16. Study 1 • Political Approval • “I respect this politician.” • “I do not think that this politician is worthy of esteem.” (R) • “I do not have a high opinion of this politician.” (R) • “I think that this politician is in politics for the ‘right reasons’.” • Alphas: • Politician 1 (Right > Left) (Out > Centre) .764 • Politician 2 (Right > Left) (Centre > Out) .767 • Politician 3 (Left > Right) (Centre > Out) .775 • Politician 4 (Left > Right) (Out > Centre) .802 Tuesday, 22 January 2013 15
  • 17. Study 1 • Design • 2 X 2 X 2 X 2 mixed ANOVA • Condition (MS/CN); Need for Closure (NFC) - Between subjects. • Movement (LR/RL) and Direction (Out-Centre/Centre- out) - Within subjects. • Expectation • Direction of the politicians movement will mean more for those in the MS condition and high in NFC. Tuesday, 22 January 2013 16
  • 18. Study 1 • Primary hypothesis test • Need for Closure X Condition X Direction interaction. • Only higher-order significant interaction. • F(1, 152) = 5.80, p < .05 Out > Centre 5.00 MS CN Political Approval 4.75 4.50 4.25 4.00 Low NFC High NFC Tuesday, 22 January 2013 17
  • 19. Study 1 • Primary hypothesis test • Need for Closure X Condition X Direction interaction. • Only higher-order significant interaction. • F(1, 152) = 5.80, p < .05 Out > Centre Centre > Out 5.00 5.00 MS MS CN CN Political Approval Political Approval 4.75 4.75 4.50 4.50 4.25 4.25 4.00 4.00 Low NFC High NFC Low NFC High NFC Tuesday, 22 January 2013 17
  • 20. Study 1 • Brief Discussion • MS induce people high in NFC to seek comfort in social groups. • Psychological processes of social bonding in line with Cozzolino (2006) dual-existential model. • Group-centrism, is related to the needs to reduce uncertainty and to dispel ambiguity. Tuesday, 22 January 2013 18
  • 21. Study 2 • Study 1 looked at political support for individual politicians. • Study 2 is making holistic judgements, looking at political parties. Tuesday, 22 January 2013 19
  • 22. A Little Quote “Anywhere where the ruling elites, particularly the Labour Party which was the, everything, for a place like this years ago has abandoned the working class, you got this enormous gulf which is going to be filled by somebody and where possible we make sure that is filled by us”. Tuesday, 22 January 2013 20
  • 23. A Little Quote “Anywhere where the ruling elites, particularly the Labour Party which was the, everything, for a place like this years ago has abandoned the working class, you got this enormous gulf which is going to be filled by somebody and where possible we make sure that is filled by us”. Tuesday, 22 January 2013 20
  • 24. A Little Quote “Anywhere where the ruling elites, particularly the Labour Party which was the, everything, for a place like this years ago has abandoned the working class, you got this enormous gulf which is going to be filled by somebody and where possible we make sure that is filled by us”. Nick Griffin. Chairman of British National Party. (BBC “Panorama” Interview, 2008) Tuesday, 22 January 2013 20
  • 25. Study 2 • Change of context (individual politicians to political parties across the spectrum). • Moving from individual to social. • Also support for fringe, that now seem “less extreme”. • Because traditional parties move to centre. • Two conditions: • No party movement. • Parties move toward centre (gaps filled). Tuesday, 22 January 2013 21
  • 26. Study 2 Tuesday, 22 January 2013 22
  • 27. Study 2 Tuesday, 22 January 2013 23
  • 28. Discussion • Design • 2 X 2 X 2 X 2 mixed ANOVA • Condition, Need for Closure, & Movement - Between subjects • Support for left/right - Within subjects Tuesday, 22 January 2013 24
  • 29. Study 2 • 78 psychology students (UoE). (female= 48, men= 30; M = 24.71, SD = 9.25). • Presented psychological inventories: • Nationalism/Patriotism (UK version). • Party Preference scale. • Need for Closure. • Social Dominance Orientation. • Political Knowledge. • Other psychological scales. • Participants assigned to MS or control conditions. • Read alleged Political Science textbook. • Ask to rate their support. Tuesday, 22 January 2013 25
  • 30. Study 2 “New” Left Support “New” Right Support 5.0000 MS 5.0000 MS Political Approval Political Approval CN CN 4.5203 4.5425 4.0405 4.0849 3.5608 3.6274 3.0810 3.1698 Low NFC High NFC Low NFC High NFC Tuesday, 22 January 2013 26
  • 31. Study 2 • Primary hypothesis test • 4-way interaction, F(1, 70) = 3.49, p = .06 • Splitting sample on “movement” (no move or all move). • No interactive effects in “no movement” condition, but significant three-way between condition, NFC, and support in the ‘all move’ condition (p < .05). “New” Left Support “New” Right Support 5.0000 MS 5.0000 MS Political Approval Political Approval CN CN 4.5203 4.5425 4.0405 4.0849 3.5608 3.6274 3.0810 3.1698 Low NFC High NFC Low NFC High NFC Tuesday, 22 January 2013 26
  • 33. Conclusions • Existential and Epistemic motives interact to console people when feeling intimidated. • Threatening remainders seem to amplify demands for consensus and clarity on for those high in need for closure. • In a context of changing political positions, when MORTALITY SALIENCE and NEED FOR CLOSURE are combined not all “CENTRISM” is equal. • Psychological appeal about the “NEW RIGHT” for high in Need for Closure who have had been reminded about their mortality. • Political Psychology: Micro-level answers to Macro-level issues issues. Tuesday, 22 January 2013 27
  • 34. Thank you! Any questions? Tuesday, 22 January 2013 28