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Media Strategies to Reduce Mortality

Roy Head
Managing Director
Development Media International
www.developmentmedia.net
Impact on behaviour (Cambodia)
                         A dose response


       Parents reporting washing their childrens' hands to
                        prevent diarrhoea

100
 90
 80
 70
 60                                                                    No
 50
 40                                                                    Yes
 30
 20
                            21.7            25.2           28.4
 10
            10
  0
      Baseline (2004)   Low exposure      Medium       High exposure
                           (2006)      exposure (2006)     (2006)
Impact on service uptake (ANC care, Cambodia)
                A dose response




           Pregnant women only
Impact on observed behaviours (Ethiopia)


Trachoma/hygiene campaigns conducted in Ethiopia, LSHTM published
    survey

                                                                             Baseline           Endline
                                                                              (2002)             (2005)
Observed impact: dirty hands                                                   73.7                26.0
observed impact: dirty scalp or hair                                           47.3                21.8

Trachoma prevalence (in areas receiving no antibiotics)                        72.0                51.6
Ocular discharge (no antibiotics)                                              50.8                16.0




* Edwards et al, Ophthalmology. 2006 Apr;113(4):548-55, and Tropical Medicine and International Health, Vol.13, no.4 pp556-

565. Sample size 2008. P-values calculated, ranging from p<0.001 to p=0.17
Moving away from verticality


January:    Malaria
February:   Diarrhoea
March:      Pneumonia
April:      Breastfeeding
May:        Immunisation
June:       Nutrition
July:       Ante-natal care
            etc
But can we reduce mortality?


Original Research:

DMI + Prof. Simon Cousens (LSHTM), Anne Mills (LSHTM)

Based on statistical models created for
The Lancet’s 2003 and 2005 series.
The model’s predictions


                      Child deaths                Media                          Lives saved              Reduction in
Country                                                                                                                                    Cost/DALY
                      (pa)                        penetration                    (pa)                     mortality
Bangladesh            183,000                     67.3                           36,517                   13.2%                            $2.88
Ethiopia              321,000                     28.1                           26,787                   6.9%                             $3.43
Ghana                 55,000                      86.0                           13,228                   15.7%                            $8.00
Kenya                 189,000                     85.1                           31,286                   17.9%                            $3.50
Malawi                56,000                      77.8                           9,591                    14.1%                            $9.59
Mozambique            110,000                     63.8                           17,039                   14.4%                            $5.92
Tanzania              175,000                     68.8                           27,161                   14.4%                            $3.41



[1] Total number of under-five deaths in 2008. Source: Countdown to 2015.
[2] Percentage of men and women (averaged) who listen to the radio or watch television at least once a week. Source: DHS (year varies by country).
[3] Number of child (under-five) lives we expect to save each year by running a campaign, from the third year of a campaign onwards. Source: DMI.
[4] Reduction in under-five mortality rate from the third year of a campaign onwards. Source: DMI.
[5] Cost per disability-adjusted life year. Source: DMI.
A scientific trial (Burkina Faso)
Media for information and accountability


1.   Media for behaviour change as part of health systems:

     (Save 1.1 million lives by implementing campaigns in 10 countries)

2.   Media to promote services and entitlements (eg. civil registration, ANC)

3.   Media to promote accountability:

     Phone-ins (“In the hot seat”)


     Culture of health as political issue


     Holy grail of media economics…


                                                         www.developmentmedia.net

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“Media Strategies to Reduce Mortality” (English)

  • 1. Media Strategies to Reduce Mortality Roy Head Managing Director Development Media International www.developmentmedia.net
  • 2. Impact on behaviour (Cambodia) A dose response Parents reporting washing their childrens' hands to prevent diarrhoea 100 90 80 70 60 No 50 40 Yes 30 20 21.7 25.2 28.4 10 10 0 Baseline (2004) Low exposure Medium High exposure (2006) exposure (2006) (2006)
  • 3. Impact on service uptake (ANC care, Cambodia) A dose response Pregnant women only
  • 4. Impact on observed behaviours (Ethiopia) Trachoma/hygiene campaigns conducted in Ethiopia, LSHTM published survey Baseline Endline (2002) (2005) Observed impact: dirty hands 73.7 26.0 observed impact: dirty scalp or hair 47.3 21.8 Trachoma prevalence (in areas receiving no antibiotics) 72.0 51.6 Ocular discharge (no antibiotics) 50.8 16.0 * Edwards et al, Ophthalmology. 2006 Apr;113(4):548-55, and Tropical Medicine and International Health, Vol.13, no.4 pp556- 565. Sample size 2008. P-values calculated, ranging from p<0.001 to p=0.17
  • 5. Moving away from verticality January: Malaria February: Diarrhoea March: Pneumonia April: Breastfeeding May: Immunisation June: Nutrition July: Ante-natal care etc
  • 6. But can we reduce mortality? Original Research: DMI + Prof. Simon Cousens (LSHTM), Anne Mills (LSHTM) Based on statistical models created for The Lancet’s 2003 and 2005 series.
  • 7. The model’s predictions Child deaths Media Lives saved Reduction in Country Cost/DALY (pa) penetration (pa) mortality Bangladesh 183,000 67.3 36,517 13.2% $2.88 Ethiopia 321,000 28.1 26,787 6.9% $3.43 Ghana 55,000 86.0 13,228 15.7% $8.00 Kenya 189,000 85.1 31,286 17.9% $3.50 Malawi 56,000 77.8 9,591 14.1% $9.59 Mozambique 110,000 63.8 17,039 14.4% $5.92 Tanzania 175,000 68.8 27,161 14.4% $3.41 [1] Total number of under-five deaths in 2008. Source: Countdown to 2015. [2] Percentage of men and women (averaged) who listen to the radio or watch television at least once a week. Source: DHS (year varies by country). [3] Number of child (under-five) lives we expect to save each year by running a campaign, from the third year of a campaign onwards. Source: DMI. [4] Reduction in under-five mortality rate from the third year of a campaign onwards. Source: DMI. [5] Cost per disability-adjusted life year. Source: DMI.
  • 8. A scientific trial (Burkina Faso)
  • 9. Media for information and accountability 1. Media for behaviour change as part of health systems: (Save 1.1 million lives by implementing campaigns in 10 countries) 2. Media to promote services and entitlements (eg. civil registration, ANC) 3. Media to promote accountability: Phone-ins (“In the hot seat”) Culture of health as political issue Holy grail of media economics… www.developmentmedia.net