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2. Introduction, Literature Review, Model, & partial Data: (Due
Tuesday, February 27th) Turn in a draft of the paper (less than 4
pages, excluding tables and references) that includes the
Introduction, Literature Review, and Model sections, as well as
a partial Data section. Include an updated version of Table A1
and add Tables 1 and 2. • Introduction: The introduction should
briefly provide background on the topic, introduce the research
question and why it is interesting, and preview the rest of the
paper. Much of this can be derived from your research proposal.
Note that you will eventually update the introduction after you
complete the full project. • Literature Review: A literature
review is not an annotated bibliography. A well-written
literature review compares and contrasts the relevant papers and
relates them to the current study. Your research must reference
at least 5 relevant peer-reviewed journal articles. • Model:
Discussion of the empirical model should include (a) the
regression equation, (b) justification for the functional form and
choice of independent variables, and (c) clear, testable
hypotheses for coefficient estimates supported by relevant
economic theory. Create Table 1 summarizing your econometric
model and predicted coefficient estimates for key independent
and some control variables, as illustrated in the example packet.
• Partial Data: This section should briefly describe the data
source(s) and present summary statistics in Table 2. See table
examples in research paper packet. Basic summary statistics
should include: sample size, mean, standard deviation,
minimum, 25th percentile, median, 75th percentile, and
maximum. • Submit an electronic copy of the STATA code used
to generate the summary statistics.
3. Initial Empirical Analysis: (Due Tuesday, March 14th) This
component should include revised versions of your Introduction,
Literature Review, and Model sections (including Table A1 and
Table 1). You should now include a complete Data section with
an updated version of Table 2, as well as an Empirical Results
section with Table 3. The draft should be less than 6 pages,
excluding tables and references. • Data: In this section, describe
the data set (e.g., cross-section, time series, or panel data).
Address variable names, units of measurement, and reliability
of the data. Is it reasonable to assume the data are unbiased?
Discuss whether the data correspond to economic variables
proposed by the theory. Include an updated version of Table 2
with basic summary statistics, and any other subsequent tables
required to describe the data (e.g., one might break dummy
variables 3 out by subgroup).2 Discuss interesting points about
the summary statistics for key dependent and independent
variables. Consider any other problems that might affect your
analysis such as multicollinearity, missing observations, or
concerns over data quality. • Empirical Results: Create Table 3
that reports regression results for at least one model. Include
additional models in subsequent columns of the table as needed.
Include a brief write-up that (a) interprets the regression results
as they relate to the predicted hypotheses, (b) discusses the
most appropriate model, and (c) addresses any concerns with the
regression model raised by the results. Keep the writing brief
because the analysis may be revised substantially. • Submit an
electronic copy of the STATA code used to generate the
summary statistics and results.
4. Second Empirical Analysis: (Due Thursday, March 23rd)
Include all of the same components as in the Initial Empirical
Analysis, with all necessary revisions. In addition, create the
following: • Table 4 that reports an analysis of the error term
for your preferred model (normality, autocorrelation,
heteroskedasticity). Refer to the research paper packet and class
notes for examples. Update the writing from the initial
empirical analysis to accommodate all revisions and to address
any concerns raised by the error analysis. • A Robustness
section, which addresses any necessary modifications to the
empirical model used to rule out alternative stories that would
explain your results. To the extent possible, the section should
also attempt to address any serious concerns regarding quality
of data, mismatch between data and theoretical variables, or
outliers. Report robustness checks in Table 5. • Again, submit
STATA code on-line.
5. Draft of Slides for Stander: (Due Thursday, March 30th)
Students should prepare to give a 10 minute presentation of
their research. Slides should be neat, informative, and readable.
Regression results tables are often difficult to fit on a slide in
appropriately large font. Do not sacrifice readability to squeeze
results onto the slide. Slides should appropriately cover all
sections of the paper, including a conclusion slide. These are
ungraded, but necessary for peer feedback.
6. Presentation at Stander Symposium: (Due Wednesday, April
5th) Students should e-mail their slides to [email protected] by
8 a.m. on Wednesday, April 5th. Presentations will occur every
15 minutes at assigned times. Students are expected to attend at
least 8 other presentations.
7. Final Research Paper: (Due Thursday, April 20th) The final
research paper should include revised versions of all sections
and tables discussed above (Introduction, Literature Review,
Model, Data, Empirical Results, & Robustness). In addition, the
final research paper should also include a Conclusion that
summarizes the research, addresses the relevance of the
findings, and discusses possible gaps or extensions for future
work in a couple of paragraphs. The final product should be 5-8
pages in length, excluding tables and references. It should also
include a title page with an abstract. The abstract is a short
paragraph that summarizes the research question, contribution,
method, and key findings. The paper should be polished and
well-written, with appropriate citations. Again, submit final
STATA code on-line.
Eco 490, Haskell Spring 2017
Research Project Information Packet
1
A. General Tips for Getting Started
ur research
question by (1)
geographic location, (2) time period, (3) specific event, (4)
specific policy change,
(5) demographic group, or (6) some combination of these.
questions that arise as
you go. Eventually one of these questions will be your final
research question, but
seldom is it the one you started with.
before you have a clear
question. Research is an iterative process – a topic, some
reading, a question, more
reading, other questions, more reading, more questions, etc.
available. Sometimes
variables or trends in data can spark interesting questions.
articles, other classes,
and casual conversations can spark great research questions.
B. Journal Resources
ictionary of Economics
Sciences
other sources and
identifying open questions in the literature)
accessible)
Tips:
the “meat” of an
academic journal article – this saves time and increases
comprehension relative to
reading “front-to-back” as you would a novel.
possibly more relevant
articles.
newer,
related articles that cited a
given article
https://scholar.google.com/
http://web.a.ebscohost.com/ehost/search/basic?sid=5324ee35-
f4ec-4a50-b6a3-
8529c0c5fef3%40sessionmgr4005&vid=0&hid=4201
http://www.dictionaryofeconomics.com/dictionary
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/referenceworks/97800804
30768
https://www.elsevier.com/books/book-series/handbooks-in-
economics
https://www.jstor.org/journal/jeconlite
https://www.jstor.org/journal/jeconpers
Eco 490, Haskell Spring 2017
Research Project Information Packet
2
C. Some Publically Available Data Resources (this is my no
means an exhaustive list and
students should not feel constrained to the items here.)
e
Economic Data)
S (Health and Retirement Study Panel Survey of Income
Dynamics)
D. Final Paper Guidelines (See syllabus for directions on early
stages such as the proposal!)
I. Introduction (≈½ - 1 page)
reading?
are you testing?
, in broad strokes, how you plan to answer the
question.
important policy issues
and/or the broader literature.
II. Literature Review (≈1- 1.5 pages)
your analysis.
results (not just results)
old ones.
(2000) argue that… “).
The title of the paper does not need to appear anywhere except
the works cited.
https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/
http://www.rug.nl/research/ggdc/data/pwt/
http://www.trade.gov/mas/ian/tradestatistics/
http://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/cps.html
http://simba.isr.umich.edu/data/data.aspx
http://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/sipp/data.html
http://hrsonline.isr.umich.edu/index.php?p=data
http://www.census.gov/data.html
http://www.bea.gov/
http://www.bls.gov/
http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/
Eco 490, Haskell Spring 2017
Research Project Information Packet
3
III. Model (≈1.5 pages)
you’re analyzing.
Focus on the dependent variable and key independent variables.
x3…) and briefly why
they are needed and whether the affect the outcome positively
or negatively.
ependent variables, make predictions about the
signs of marginal
effects (consider second derivatives and cross-partial
derivatives as needed).
Where appropriate, make any significant predictions about
magnitudes (e.g.,
elastic or inelastic). Justify the predications based on economic
theory.
(regression equation). Given
the theory above, discuss the appropriate functional form and
methodology
(linear, log-linear, OLS, fixed-effects, instrumental variables,
etc.)
primary regression
equation. Note any other relevant hypotheses (e.g., changes in
the magnitude of
coefficient estimates for a specific subsample relative the
primary specification).
assumptions imposed
between the theory and the empirical model, or ideas that aren’t
testable due to
data constraints)
IV. Data (≈½ - 1 page)
d give salient characteristics and
background info.
-section, time series, or
longitudinal.
correspond to theoretical
variables? Are the sources reliable and unbiased?)
sample.
measurement, and key
summary statistics. Note any anomalies or interesting features
of the data.
potential problems that could affect the analysis
(e.g., multicollinearity)
Eco 490, Haskell Spring 2017
Research Project Information Packet
4
V. Empirical Results (≈1.5 pages)
your
results and
compare them to your predicted hypotheses. Did results match
predictions?
statistical significance.
Focus primarily on your final regression model, although
address any secondary
regression models as they relate to hypotheses presented in the
model section.
including R2, adjusted R2,
AIC, and any necessary considerations based on the error term
analysis. (The
error term analysis should consider issues such as normality,
autocorrelation,
heteroskedasticity, and the influence of outliers).
test hypotheses.
VI. Robustness (≈½ page)
estimates to convince readers that your
findings are “real.”
omitted variables,
alternative theories, biases in the data, sensitivity to outliers,
endogeneity, etc.
VII. Conclusion (≈½ - 1 page)
Attempt to reconcile any
differences between your predictions and the results.
Attempt to reconcile
any differences between your results and the literature.
existing knowledge?
What important implications does it have for policy and/or for
the literature?
the future.
What is the next
step in studying this theory?
Abstract (≈ 100 words)
your contribution to
existing knowledge on the topic.
al results.
References
APA).
articles.
Eco 490, Haskell Spring 2017
Research Project Information Packet
5
E. Table Guidelines (Example formatting)
Table 1A: List of Variables
Dependent Variable: Wages
Key Independent Variables: Years of Experience
Years of Schooling
Other Control Variables: Gender
Race (Black or White)
Ethnicity (Hispanic)
Dangerous Industry/Occupation
Innate ability
Notes: This is not a typical table to include in a paper, but will
help facilitate
model development after the initial proposal. A list of a
variables might
appear in an appendix with variable definitions. This is
designed as an
example, not necessarily a fully-specified regression.
Table 1: Testable Alternative Hypotheses
Econometric model: � = �0 + �1� + �2�
2 + �3� + �4� + �5� + �6�� + �7� + �8� + �
Predictions: ��
��
⁄ �
��
���
⁄
���
����
⁄
Dependent Variable: Wages (w)
Key Independent Variables: Experience (E) �1 + 2�2�̅� > 0
�1 > 0
�2 < 0
n.a.
Schooling (S) �3 > 0
�3 + �6� > 0
n.a. �6 < 0
Other Control Variables: Female (F) �4 > 0 n.a. n.a.
Black (B) �5 < 0 n.a. �6 < 0
Hispanic (H) �7 < 0 n.a. n.a.
Dangerous job (D) �8 > 0 n.a. n.a.
Notes: For experience, the second derivative is actually 2�2 but
we can ignore the constant 2 for the sake of
predicting signs. In particular, note that “innate ability”
appeared in Table 1A because we think it likely affects
wages. However, “innate ability” does not appear in Table 1
because there is no appropriate variable to
control for innate ability. If the data set included an appropriate
proxy variable (e.g., IQ score) then we could
include it. Or, if we had panel data, we could use individual
fixed effects to control for innate ability. (As you
can see here, use table footnotes to clarify any necessary issues.
Again, a table of this form is not used in
published papers, but will facilitate early stages of research and
model development.)
Table 2: Sample Statistics
Mean Standard
Deviation
Minimum 25th
percentile
Median 75th
percentile
Maximum
Wages (w)
Experience (E)
Schooling (S)
Female (F)
Black (B)
Hispanic (H)
Dangerous job (D)
Notes: Sample size includes 2,880 observations. (Use as needed
for relevant information.)
Eco 490, Haskell Spring 2017
Research Project Information Packet
6
Table 3: Empirical Results
Dependent variable: wages OLS Fixed Effects
Experience 1.47***
(0.39)
Experience squared
Schooling
Female
Black
Black*Schooling
Hispanic
Dangerous job
Constant
Number of Observations 2,880
R2
Number of Individuals
0.46
1,440
Notes: Robust standard errors are reported in parentheses below
each
coefficient estimates. One, two, and three asterisks indicate
statistical
significance at the 10-, 5-, and 1-percent level, respectively.
(Obviously
the table would be appropriately filled in your version. The
final
regression results might include two, three, or four, main
specifications –
here I have shown one OLS specification and one Fixed Effects
specification, where fixed effects are used to control for innate
ability.
Depending on the specifications, different information should
appear in
the bottom rows. For instance, if my specifications included
dropping or
adding independent variables, I should report R2 and adjusted-
R2. If
comparing models, I might consider including the AIC.)
Table 4: Error Term Analysis
Initial Model Final Model
Error Normality
Autocorrelation
Heteroskedasticity
Key outliers or influential observations
Notes: Details are omitted because this table will differ
substantially by student and might
only include results from specific statistical tests. Appropriate
error term tests will vary
depending on the regression and data set. The final model
includes all variables and the
appropriate functional form. The initial model might be a
simpler functional form, have
fewer variables, and/or have yet to correct for autocorrelation,
etc.
Eco 490, Haskell Spring 2017
Research Project Information Packet
7
Table 5: Robustness
Dependent variable: wages Log-Linear Alt. Model 2 Alt. Model
3
Experience
Experience squared
Schooling
Female
Black
Black*Schooling
Hispanic
Dangerous job
Constant
Number of Observations
R2
Notes: Robust standard errors are reported in parentheses below
each
coefficient estimates. One, two, and three asterisks indicate
statistical
significance at the 10-, 5-, and 1-percent level, respectively.
(Obviously the table
would be appropriately filled in your version. Here, report
regression results that
can be compared to Table 3. For instance, one alternative model
might consider
log-linear instead of linear regressions in wages to see if results
are robust. I might
consider adding other explanatory variables or splitting the
sample. Formatting
should follow that of Table 3, but details will differ
substantially by project.)
F. A Couple of Reference Guides for Writing an Empirical
Economics Research Paper
Van Gaasbeck, Kristin A. 2007. Writing in Economics:
Components of a Research Paper. Department
of Economics, California State University, Sacramento,
www.csus.edu/indiv/v/vangaasbeckk/resources/writing/comp.ht
m. (Accessed 1/24/2016).
Dudenhefer, Paul. 2014. A Guide to Writing in Economics.
Department of Economics, Duke
University. https://econ.duke.edu/uploads/media_items/a-guide-
to-writing-in-
economics.original.pdf. (Accessed 1/24/2016).
this source is also on Isidore under our reading
folder. I strongly suggest
reading Part II (all sections), Part III (all sections), and Part IV
(sections 18-23).
http://www.csus.edu/indiv/v/vangaasbeckk/resources/writing/co
mp.htm
https://econ.duke.edu/uploads/media_items/a-guide-to-writing-
in-economics.original.pdf
https://econ.duke.edu/uploads/media_items/a-guide-to-writing-
in-economics.original.pdf

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2. Introduction, Literature Review, Model, & partial Data (Due Tu.docx

  • 1. 2. Introduction, Literature Review, Model, & partial Data: (Due Tuesday, February 27th) Turn in a draft of the paper (less than 4 pages, excluding tables and references) that includes the Introduction, Literature Review, and Model sections, as well as a partial Data section. Include an updated version of Table A1 and add Tables 1 and 2. • Introduction: The introduction should briefly provide background on the topic, introduce the research question and why it is interesting, and preview the rest of the paper. Much of this can be derived from your research proposal. Note that you will eventually update the introduction after you complete the full project. • Literature Review: A literature review is not an annotated bibliography. A well-written literature review compares and contrasts the relevant papers and relates them to the current study. Your research must reference at least 5 relevant peer-reviewed journal articles. • Model: Discussion of the empirical model should include (a) the regression equation, (b) justification for the functional form and choice of independent variables, and (c) clear, testable hypotheses for coefficient estimates supported by relevant economic theory. Create Table 1 summarizing your econometric model and predicted coefficient estimates for key independent and some control variables, as illustrated in the example packet. • Partial Data: This section should briefly describe the data source(s) and present summary statistics in Table 2. See table examples in research paper packet. Basic summary statistics should include: sample size, mean, standard deviation, minimum, 25th percentile, median, 75th percentile, and maximum. • Submit an electronic copy of the STATA code used to generate the summary statistics. 3. Initial Empirical Analysis: (Due Tuesday, March 14th) This component should include revised versions of your Introduction, Literature Review, and Model sections (including Table A1 and Table 1). You should now include a complete Data section with an updated version of Table 2, as well as an Empirical Results
  • 2. section with Table 3. The draft should be less than 6 pages, excluding tables and references. • Data: In this section, describe the data set (e.g., cross-section, time series, or panel data). Address variable names, units of measurement, and reliability of the data. Is it reasonable to assume the data are unbiased? Discuss whether the data correspond to economic variables proposed by the theory. Include an updated version of Table 2 with basic summary statistics, and any other subsequent tables required to describe the data (e.g., one might break dummy variables 3 out by subgroup).2 Discuss interesting points about the summary statistics for key dependent and independent variables. Consider any other problems that might affect your analysis such as multicollinearity, missing observations, or concerns over data quality. • Empirical Results: Create Table 3 that reports regression results for at least one model. Include additional models in subsequent columns of the table as needed. Include a brief write-up that (a) interprets the regression results as they relate to the predicted hypotheses, (b) discusses the most appropriate model, and (c) addresses any concerns with the regression model raised by the results. Keep the writing brief because the analysis may be revised substantially. • Submit an electronic copy of the STATA code used to generate the summary statistics and results. 4. Second Empirical Analysis: (Due Thursday, March 23rd) Include all of the same components as in the Initial Empirical Analysis, with all necessary revisions. In addition, create the following: • Table 4 that reports an analysis of the error term for your preferred model (normality, autocorrelation, heteroskedasticity). Refer to the research paper packet and class notes for examples. Update the writing from the initial empirical analysis to accommodate all revisions and to address any concerns raised by the error analysis. • A Robustness section, which addresses any necessary modifications to the empirical model used to rule out alternative stories that would explain your results. To the extent possible, the section should
  • 3. also attempt to address any serious concerns regarding quality of data, mismatch between data and theoretical variables, or outliers. Report robustness checks in Table 5. • Again, submit STATA code on-line. 5. Draft of Slides for Stander: (Due Thursday, March 30th) Students should prepare to give a 10 minute presentation of their research. Slides should be neat, informative, and readable. Regression results tables are often difficult to fit on a slide in appropriately large font. Do not sacrifice readability to squeeze results onto the slide. Slides should appropriately cover all sections of the paper, including a conclusion slide. These are ungraded, but necessary for peer feedback. 6. Presentation at Stander Symposium: (Due Wednesday, April 5th) Students should e-mail their slides to [email protected] by 8 a.m. on Wednesday, April 5th. Presentations will occur every 15 minutes at assigned times. Students are expected to attend at least 8 other presentations. 7. Final Research Paper: (Due Thursday, April 20th) The final research paper should include revised versions of all sections and tables discussed above (Introduction, Literature Review, Model, Data, Empirical Results, & Robustness). In addition, the final research paper should also include a Conclusion that summarizes the research, addresses the relevance of the findings, and discusses possible gaps or extensions for future work in a couple of paragraphs. The final product should be 5-8 pages in length, excluding tables and references. It should also include a title page with an abstract. The abstract is a short paragraph that summarizes the research question, contribution, method, and key findings. The paper should be polished and well-written, with appropriate citations. Again, submit final STATA code on-line.
  • 4. Eco 490, Haskell Spring 2017 Research Project Information Packet 1 A. General Tips for Getting Started ur research question by (1) geographic location, (2) time period, (3) specific event, (4) specific policy change, (5) demographic group, or (6) some combination of these. questions that arise as you go. Eventually one of these questions will be your final research question, but seldom is it the one you started with. before you have a clear question. Research is an iterative process – a topic, some reading, a question, more reading, other questions, more reading, more questions, etc. available. Sometimes
  • 5. variables or trends in data can spark interesting questions. articles, other classes, and casual conversations can spark great research questions. B. Journal Resources ictionary of Economics Sciences other sources and identifying open questions in the literature) accessible) Tips: the “meat” of an academic journal article – this saves time and increases comprehension relative to
  • 6. reading “front-to-back” as you would a novel. possibly more relevant articles. newer, related articles that cited a given article https://scholar.google.com/ http://web.a.ebscohost.com/ehost/search/basic?sid=5324ee35- f4ec-4a50-b6a3- 8529c0c5fef3%40sessionmgr4005&vid=0&hid=4201 http://www.dictionaryofeconomics.com/dictionary http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/referenceworks/97800804 30768 https://www.elsevier.com/books/book-series/handbooks-in- economics https://www.jstor.org/journal/jeconlite https://www.jstor.org/journal/jeconpers Eco 490, Haskell Spring 2017 Research Project Information Packet 2 C. Some Publically Available Data Resources (this is my no means an exhaustive list and students should not feel constrained to the items here.)
  • 7. e Economic Data) S (Health and Retirement Study Panel Survey of Income Dynamics) D. Final Paper Guidelines (See syllabus for directions on early stages such as the proposal!) I. Introduction (≈½ - 1 page) reading? are you testing?
  • 8. , in broad strokes, how you plan to answer the question. important policy issues and/or the broader literature. II. Literature Review (≈1- 1.5 pages) your analysis. results (not just results) old ones. (2000) argue that… “). The title of the paper does not need to appear anywhere except the works cited. https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/ http://www.rug.nl/research/ggdc/data/pwt/
  • 9. http://www.trade.gov/mas/ian/tradestatistics/ http://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/cps.html http://simba.isr.umich.edu/data/data.aspx http://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/sipp/data.html http://hrsonline.isr.umich.edu/index.php?p=data http://www.census.gov/data.html http://www.bea.gov/ http://www.bls.gov/ http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/ Eco 490, Haskell Spring 2017 Research Project Information Packet 3 III. Model (≈1.5 pages) you’re analyzing. Focus on the dependent variable and key independent variables. x3…) and briefly why they are needed and whether the affect the outcome positively or negatively. ependent variables, make predictions about the signs of marginal effects (consider second derivatives and cross-partial derivatives as needed). Where appropriate, make any significant predictions about magnitudes (e.g.,
  • 10. elastic or inelastic). Justify the predications based on economic theory. (regression equation). Given the theory above, discuss the appropriate functional form and methodology (linear, log-linear, OLS, fixed-effects, instrumental variables, etc.) primary regression equation. Note any other relevant hypotheses (e.g., changes in the magnitude of coefficient estimates for a specific subsample relative the primary specification). assumptions imposed between the theory and the empirical model, or ideas that aren’t testable due to data constraints) IV. Data (≈½ - 1 page) d give salient characteristics and background info. -section, time series, or longitudinal.
  • 11. correspond to theoretical variables? Are the sources reliable and unbiased?) sample. measurement, and key summary statistics. Note any anomalies or interesting features of the data. potential problems that could affect the analysis (e.g., multicollinearity) Eco 490, Haskell Spring 2017 Research Project Information Packet 4 V. Empirical Results (≈1.5 pages) your results and compare them to your predicted hypotheses. Did results match predictions?
  • 12. statistical significance. Focus primarily on your final regression model, although address any secondary regression models as they relate to hypotheses presented in the model section. including R2, adjusted R2, AIC, and any necessary considerations based on the error term analysis. (The error term analysis should consider issues such as normality, autocorrelation, heteroskedasticity, and the influence of outliers). test hypotheses. VI. Robustness (≈½ page) estimates to convince readers that your findings are “real.” omitted variables, alternative theories, biases in the data, sensitivity to outliers, endogeneity, etc. VII. Conclusion (≈½ - 1 page) Attempt to reconcile any
  • 13. differences between your predictions and the results. Attempt to reconcile any differences between your results and the literature. existing knowledge? What important implications does it have for policy and/or for the literature? the future. What is the next step in studying this theory? Abstract (≈ 100 words) your contribution to existing knowledge on the topic. al results. References APA).
  • 14. articles. Eco 490, Haskell Spring 2017 Research Project Information Packet 5 E. Table Guidelines (Example formatting) Table 1A: List of Variables Dependent Variable: Wages Key Independent Variables: Years of Experience Years of Schooling Other Control Variables: Gender Race (Black or White) Ethnicity (Hispanic) Dangerous Industry/Occupation Innate ability Notes: This is not a typical table to include in a paper, but will help facilitate model development after the initial proposal. A list of a variables might appear in an appendix with variable definitions. This is designed as an example, not necessarily a fully-specified regression.
  • 15. Table 1: Testable Alternative Hypotheses Econometric model: � = �0 + �1� + �2� 2 + �3� + �4� + �5� + �6�� + �7� + �8� + � Predictions: �� �� ⁄ � �� ��� ⁄ ��� ���� ⁄ Dependent Variable: Wages (w) Key Independent Variables: Experience (E) �1 + 2�2�̅� > 0 �1 > 0 �2 < 0 n.a. Schooling (S) �3 > 0 �3 + �6� > 0 n.a. �6 < 0 Other Control Variables: Female (F) �4 > 0 n.a. n.a. Black (B) �5 < 0 n.a. �6 < 0 Hispanic (H) �7 < 0 n.a. n.a.
  • 16. Dangerous job (D) �8 > 0 n.a. n.a. Notes: For experience, the second derivative is actually 2�2 but we can ignore the constant 2 for the sake of predicting signs. In particular, note that “innate ability” appeared in Table 1A because we think it likely affects wages. However, “innate ability” does not appear in Table 1 because there is no appropriate variable to control for innate ability. If the data set included an appropriate proxy variable (e.g., IQ score) then we could include it. Or, if we had panel data, we could use individual fixed effects to control for innate ability. (As you can see here, use table footnotes to clarify any necessary issues. Again, a table of this form is not used in published papers, but will facilitate early stages of research and model development.) Table 2: Sample Statistics Mean Standard Deviation Minimum 25th percentile Median 75th percentile Maximum Wages (w) Experience (E) Schooling (S) Female (F)
  • 17. Black (B) Hispanic (H) Dangerous job (D) Notes: Sample size includes 2,880 observations. (Use as needed for relevant information.) Eco 490, Haskell Spring 2017 Research Project Information Packet 6 Table 3: Empirical Results Dependent variable: wages OLS Fixed Effects Experience 1.47*** (0.39) Experience squared Schooling Female
  • 18. Black Black*Schooling Hispanic Dangerous job Constant Number of Observations 2,880 R2 Number of Individuals 0.46 1,440 Notes: Robust standard errors are reported in parentheses below each coefficient estimates. One, two, and three asterisks indicate statistical significance at the 10-, 5-, and 1-percent level, respectively. (Obviously the table would be appropriately filled in your version. The final regression results might include two, three, or four, main specifications – here I have shown one OLS specification and one Fixed Effects
  • 19. specification, where fixed effects are used to control for innate ability. Depending on the specifications, different information should appear in the bottom rows. For instance, if my specifications included dropping or adding independent variables, I should report R2 and adjusted- R2. If comparing models, I might consider including the AIC.) Table 4: Error Term Analysis Initial Model Final Model Error Normality Autocorrelation Heteroskedasticity Key outliers or influential observations Notes: Details are omitted because this table will differ substantially by student and might only include results from specific statistical tests. Appropriate error term tests will vary depending on the regression and data set. The final model includes all variables and the appropriate functional form. The initial model might be a simpler functional form, have fewer variables, and/or have yet to correct for autocorrelation, etc.
  • 20. Eco 490, Haskell Spring 2017 Research Project Information Packet 7 Table 5: Robustness Dependent variable: wages Log-Linear Alt. Model 2 Alt. Model 3 Experience Experience squared Schooling Female Black Black*Schooling Hispanic
  • 21. Dangerous job Constant Number of Observations R2 Notes: Robust standard errors are reported in parentheses below each coefficient estimates. One, two, and three asterisks indicate statistical significance at the 10-, 5-, and 1-percent level, respectively. (Obviously the table would be appropriately filled in your version. Here, report regression results that can be compared to Table 3. For instance, one alternative model might consider log-linear instead of linear regressions in wages to see if results are robust. I might consider adding other explanatory variables or splitting the sample. Formatting should follow that of Table 3, but details will differ substantially by project.) F. A Couple of Reference Guides for Writing an Empirical Economics Research Paper Van Gaasbeck, Kristin A. 2007. Writing in Economics: Components of a Research Paper. Department of Economics, California State University, Sacramento, www.csus.edu/indiv/v/vangaasbeckk/resources/writing/comp.ht
  • 22. m. (Accessed 1/24/2016). Dudenhefer, Paul. 2014. A Guide to Writing in Economics. Department of Economics, Duke University. https://econ.duke.edu/uploads/media_items/a-guide- to-writing-in- economics.original.pdf. (Accessed 1/24/2016). this source is also on Isidore under our reading folder. I strongly suggest reading Part II (all sections), Part III (all sections), and Part IV (sections 18-23). http://www.csus.edu/indiv/v/vangaasbeckk/resources/writing/co mp.htm https://econ.duke.edu/uploads/media_items/a-guide-to-writing- in-economics.original.pdf https://econ.duke.edu/uploads/media_items/a-guide-to-writing- in-economics.original.pdf