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Systematic Review of JSATS
Passage and Survival Data at
Bonneville and The Dalles Dams
during Alternate Turbine and
Spillbay Operations from 2008-
2012
MARK WEILAND, BISHES RAYAMAJHI, JINA KIM, CHRISTA WOODLEY, GENE
PLOSKEY, JON RERECICH1 AND BRAD EPPARD1
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
1U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Portland District, Portland, OR
Introduction: BON
Operation of Bonneville Dam to reduce fish injury
B2 operation at low to mid range of 1% peak efficiency
Improve conditions for guided fish in the gatewell
May result in unfavorable conditions for turbine passed fish
B1 increase flow to offset reduced discharge at B2
Compare survival within to above the 1% operating range
Best operating point (range) as identified by TSP
Spillway survival variability
Erosion of stilling basin or ogees in several spill bays and
accumulation of rock
2
Objectives: BON
Analyze 2008-2012 JSATS and operations data to examine survival
rates for juvenile salmonids at BON
B2 Turbine Survival Comparison:
Examine survival for fish passing turbines operating across the 1%
peak efficiency range
B1 Turbine Survival Comparison:
Examine survival for fish passing turbines operating within the 1%
peak efficiency range and above the upper limit of the 1% operating
range
Bonneville Spillway:
Examine spillway survival by spillbay with focus on those bays where
erosion of the ogee or stilling basin immediately downstream had
occurred
3
Methods: BON
B1 turbines
Lower quarter of 1% efficiency (Q1)
Lower middle quarter of 1% efficiency (Q2)
Upper middle quarter of 1% efficiency (Q3)
1% of peak efficiency (Q4)
Best operating point/range (BOP)
Above best operating point to generator limit (ABOP)
B2 turbines
Lower quarter of 1% efficiency (Q1)
Lower middle quarter of 1% efficiency (Q2)
Upper middle quarter of 1% efficiency (Q3)
1% of peak efficiency (Q4)
BON spillway
By bay
Group bays
4
Methods: B1 and B2 Binned Operating Ranges
5
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
11,000
12,000
13,000
14,000
32 37 42 47 52 57 62 67 72
Discharge(cfs)
HEAD (ft)
B1 Turbine Operating Range
Best Op Point
UL_Q4 = UL_1%
UL_Q3
UL_Q2
UL_Q1
LL_Q1 = LL_1%
Above BOP
Best
Operating
Point
Q4
Q3
Q1
Q2
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
32 37 42 47 52 57 62 67 72
Discharge(cfs)
HEAD (ft)
B2 Turbine Operating Range (w/STS)
UL_Q4 = UL_1%
UL_Q3
UL_Q2
UL_Q1
LL_Q1 = LL_1%Q4
Q3
Q2
Q1
BON B1 Survival By Species and Operation
6
Analyses: BON
B1 CH1 Passage Distribution
7
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
11,000
12,000
13,000
14,000
32 42 52 62 72
Discharge(cfs)
HEAD (ft)
Best Op Range
UL_Q4 = UL_1%
UL_Q3
UL_Q2
UL_Q1
LL_Q1 = LL_1%
Best Op Range
Q4
Q3
Q2
Q1
Above BOR
2010
2011
2012
Analyses: BON
B1 CH1 Survival by Operating Condition
Survival
Survival
4933321603 1935
0.60
0.70
0.80
0.90
1.00
1.10
LL to UL LL to BOP UL to BOP ABOP
22 1008215235 145
0.60
0.70
0.80
0.90
1.00
1.10
<1% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Analyses: BON
B1 STH Passage Distribution
9
2010
2011
2012
7000
8000
9000
10000
11000
12000
13000
14000
32 42 52 62 72
Discharge(cfs)
HEAD (ft)
Best Op Range
UL_Q4 = UL_1%
UL_Q3
UL_Q2
UL_Q1
LL_Q1 = LL_1%
Best Op Range
Q4
Q3
Q2
Q1
Above BOR
Analyses: BON
B1 STH Survival by Operating Condition
Survival
Survival
4933341861 2195
0.60
0.70
0.80
0.90
1.00
1.10
LL to UL LL to BOP UL to BOP ABOP
21 204 1199306 152
0.60
0.70
0.80
0.90
1.00
1.10
<1% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Analyses: BON
B1 CH0 Passage Distribution
11
7000
8000
9000
10000
11000
12000
13000
14000
32 42 52 62 72
Discharge(cfs)
HEAD (ft)
Best Op Range
UL_Q4 = UL_1%
UL_Q3
UL_Q2
UL_Q1
LL_Q1 = LL_1%
2010
2011
2012
Best Op Range
Q4
Q3
Q2
Q1
Above BOR
Analyses: BON
B1 CH0 Survival by Operating Condition
Survival
Survival
3801407
0.60
0.70
0.80
0.90
1.00
1.10
LL to UL LL to BOP UL to BOP ABOP
1787
3 118711647 57
0.60
0.70
0.80
0.90
1.00
1.10
<1% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
BON B1 Survival at Lower & Upper BOP
13
7000
8000
9000
10000
11000
12000
13000
14000
32 42 52 62 72
VR_B1_T_CH1_UBOP
VR_B1_T_CH1_LBOP
Best Op Point
UL_Q4 = UL_1%
UL_Q3
UL_Q2
UL_Q1
Above BOP
Best Op Point
Q4
Q3
Q2
Q1
Analyses: BON
B1 CH1 Survival within BOP
14
Analyses: BON
B1 STH Survival within BOP
15
7000
8000
9000
10000
11000
12000
13000
14000
32 42 52 62 72
VR_B1_T_STH_UBOP
VR_B1_T_STH_LBOP
Best Op Point
UL_Q4 = UL_1%
UL_Q3
UL_Q2
UL_Q1
Above BOP
Best Op Point
Q4
Q3
Q2
Q1
Analyses: BON
B1 CH0 Survival within BOP
16
7000
8000
9000
10000
11000
12000
13000
14000
32 42 52 62 72
VR_B1_T_CH0_LBOP
Best Op Point
UL_Q4 = UL_1%
UL_Q3
UL_Q2
UL_Q1
LL_Q1 = LL_1% Above BOP
Best Op Point
Q4
Q3
Q2
Q1
BON B2 Survival By Species and Operation
17
Analyses: BON
B2 CH1 Passage by Quartile
18
Q4
Q3
Q2
Q1
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
9000
11000
13000
15000
17000
19000
21000
32 42 52 62 72
Discharge(cfs)
HEAD (ft)
UL_Q4 = UL_1%
UL_Q3
UL_Q2
UL_Q1
LL_Q1 = LL_1%
19
Analyses: BON
B2 CH1 Survival by Operating ConditionSurvival
24 759 574 267
0.60
0.70
0.80
0.90
1.00
1.10
<1% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
469
Analyses: BON
B2 STH Passage Distribution
20
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Q4
Q3
Q2
Q1
9000
11000
13000
15000
17000
19000
21000
32 42 52 62 72
Discharge(cfs)
HEAD (ft)
UL_Q4 = UL_1%
UL_Q3
UL_Q2
UL_Q1
LL_Q1 = LL_1%
Analyses: BON
B2 STH Survival by Operating Condition
21
14 202541 376 146
0.50
0.60
0.70
0.80
0.90
1.00
1.10
1.20
<1% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Survival
Analyses: BON
B2 CH0 Passage Distribution
22
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Q4
Q3
Q2
Q1
9000
11000
13000
15000
17000
19000
21000
32 42 52 62 72
Discharge(cfs)
HEAD (ft)
UL_Q4 = UL_1%
UL_Q3
UL_Q2
UL_Q1
LL_Q1 = LL_1%
Analyses: BON
B2 CH0 Survival by Operating Condition
23
22
1444298 501 384
0.60
0.70
0.80
0.90
1.00
1.10
<1% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Survival
B2: STS vs No STS, 2008 & 2011
CH1
Estimate s.e. Count
2008
With STS_Q4 0.9320 0.0414 69
Without STS_Q4 0.8299 0.0617 61
2011
With STS_Q4 0.9414 0.0495 50
Without STS_Q4 0.9369 0.0601 37
With STS_Q3_Q4 0.9511 0.0338 125
Without STS_Q3_Q4 0.9771 0.0494 50
STH
Estimate s.e. Count
2008
With STS_Q4 0.9339 0.071 29
Without STS_Q4 1.0417 0.2039 24
2011
With STS_Q4 0.9000 0.0987 15
Without STS_Q4 0.9231 0.0739 13
With STS_Q3_Q4 0.8907 0.0553 45
Without STS_Q3_Q4 0.9790 0.0527 22
BON Spillway Surival
25
576
791
783
650
559 385
384 387
309
320
350 317 346
385
454
600
729
351
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
Yearling Chinook
Analyses: BON
Spillway CH1 and STH Survival by Bay
26
SurvivalSurvival
521
623
650
493
459 301
332 322
330
350 318
333
379
450
620
333
717
552
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
Steelhead
Analyses: BON
Spillway CH1 and STH Survival, Grouped Bays
27
2150
1978 1683 1185 1680
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
1794
1585 1653 1162 1889
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
Survival
Survival Steelhead
Yearling Chinook
Analyses: BON
Spillway Survival by Grouped Bays
28
371 340 242
244
319
479
365 323
260
339
776
617
641
423
712
524
656 477 258 310
0.80
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
1.05
Bay01-03 Bay04-07 Bay08-12 Bay13-15 Bay16-18
2008 2010 2011 2012
Survival
Yearling Chinook
335
315 276
262
295
344
235 306 178 300
677 524 623
426
861
438 511 448
296
433
0.80
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
1.05
Bay01-03 Bay04-07 Bay08-12 Bay13-15 Bay16-18
2008 2010 2011 2012 Steelhead
Survival
Analyses: BON
Spillway CH0 Survival by Bay
29
Survival
496
548
668
1021
599
503
404
322
293
357
425 326 362 310
437
574
622 331
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
Subyearling Chinook
Analyses: BON
Spillway CH0 Survival, Grouped Bays
30
1712
2527 1723 1109
1527
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
Survival
Analyses: BON
Spillway Survival by Bays, CH0
31
509
513
493 265 499
477
422 326
204
358
726
1592 904 640 670
0.80
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
1.05
Bay01-03 Bay04-07 Bay08-12 Bay13-15 Bay16-18
2008 2010 2012
Sub-Yearling Chinook
Survival
Analyses: BON
Spillway CH1 and STH Survival by Discharge
32
808
3279
175 356
311
193
507 141
137
218 214
241
154
184
134
235
286
269 261
363
209
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
0.80
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
1.05
Discharge (kcfs)
Yearling Chinook
Survival
603
2765
158
333
321
269 469
118
121
283
259
211 134
178 122
273 310
245
303 418
190
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
0.80
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
1.05
Discharge (kcfs)
Survival
Steelhead
Analyses: BON
Spillway CH0 Survival by Discharge
33
1279
873
536
495
937
457 1192
870 868
303
100
214
129
256
89
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
1.05
y = 0.0004x + 0.8979
R² = 0.6299
0.90
0.92
0.94
0.96
0.98
1.00
80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240
Survival
Discharge (kcfs)
Survival
Discharge (kcfs)
BON Survival by Tailwater Elevation
34
90
236
706 928 780
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
0.80
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
1.05
≤ 5m 6m 7m 8m ≥ 9m
92 165
623 862
708
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
1.05
≤ 5m 6m 7m 8m ≥ 9m
Analyses: BON
B1 Survival by Tailwater Level
Yearling Chinook
Survival
Steelhead
Bin S. Estimate +95 CI -95 CI
≤ 5m 0.9868 1.0378 0.9358
6m 1.0052 1.0350 0.9754
7m 0.9643 0.9800 0.9486
8m 0.9635 0.9766 0.9504
≥ 9m 0.9652 0.9915 0.9389
Bin S. Estimate +95 CI -95 CI
≤ 5m 0.8575 0.9408 0.7742
6m 0.9403 0.9732 0.9074
7m 0.9369 0.9551 0.9187
8m 0.9468 0.9617 0.9319
≥ 9m 0.9306 0.9559 0.9053
35
Survival
TimeatTWEL
TimeatTWEL
103
132
568
815
172
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
0.80
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
≤ 5m 6m 7m 8m ≥ 9m
Analyses: BON
B1 Survival by Tailwater Level
Bin S. Estimate +95 CI -95 CI
≤ 5m 0.8939 0.9537 0.8341
6m 0.9811 1.0070 0.9552
7m 0.9604 0.9776 0.9432
8m 0.9517 0.9668 0.9366
≥ 9m 0.9483 0.9816 0.9150
Survival
36
Sub-Yearling Chinook
TimeatTWEL
1067
367
243
216
106
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
0.50
0.60
0.70
0.80
0.90
1.00
≤ 5m 6m 7m 8m ≥ 9m
Analyses: BON
B2 Survival by Tailwater Level
Survival
Survival
37
TimeatTWEL
TimeatTWEL
Bin S. Estimate +95 CI -95 CI
≤ 5m 0.8596 0.8819 0.8373
6m 0.8955 0.9288 0.8622
7m 0.9846 1.0052 0.9640
8m 0.8953 0.9378 0.8528
≥ 9m 0.9144 0.9775 0.8513
Bin S. Estimate +95 CI -95 CI
≤ 5m 0.877 0.0089 1547
6m 0.951 0.0106 556
7m 0.958 0.0102 490
8m 0.960 0.0091 534
≥ 9m 0.917 0.0222 264
Yearling Chinook
Steelhead
1547
556
490 534
264
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
0.80
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
≤5m 6m 7m 8m ≥9m
1227
280 398 1375 315
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
0.50
0.60
0.70
0.80
0.90
1.00
≤ 5m 6m 7m 8m ≥ 9m
Bin S. Estimate +95 CI -95 CI
≤ 5m 0.8720 0.8910 0.8530
6m 0.9440 0.9712 0.9168
7m 0.9454 0.9685 0.9223
8m 0.9522 0.9640 0.9404
≥ 9m 0.9663 0.9867 0.9459
Analyses: BON
B2 Survival by Tailwater Level
Survival
38
TimeatTWEL
Sub-Yearling Chinook
1197
1678
1518
1886 2397
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
≤ 5m 6m 7m 8m ≥ 9m
892
1413
1385
1955
2490
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
≤ 5m 6m 7m 8m ≥ 9m
Analyses: BON
Spillway Survival by Tailwater Level
Survival
Survival
Bin
S.
Estimate
+ 95 CI -95 CI
≤ 5m 0.9333 0.9482 0.9184
6m 0.9505 0.9638 0.9372
7m 0.9331 0.9460 0.9202
8m 0.9434 0.9550 0.9318
≥ 9m 0.9461 0.9624 0.9298
Bin
S.
Estimate
+ 95 CI -95 CI
≤ 5m 0.9474 0.9641 0.9307
6m 0.9543 0.9686 0.9400
7m 0.9339 0.9474 0.9204
8m 0.9378 0.9496 0.9260
≥ 9m 0.9613 0.9750 0.9476
39
TimeatTWEL
TimeatTWEL
Yearling Chinook
Steelhead
996
683
2478
4031
410
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
≤ 5m 6m 7m 8m ≥ 9m
40
Analyses: BON
Spillway Survival by Tailwater Level
Bin
S.
Estimate
+ 95 CI -95 CI
≤ 5m 0.9050 0.9234 0.8866
6m 0.9210 0.9418 0.9002
7m 0.9508 0.9598 0.9418
8m 0.9672 0.9729 0.9615
≥ 9m 0.9709 0.9872 0.9546
Survival
TimeatTWEL
Sub-Yearling Chinook
BON Egress
41
BON: CH1 Tailrace Egress B1 and B2
42
BON ROUTE Treatment Mean StdErr Min Max Median N
B1
ABO 4.23 0.70 0.21 200.41 0.30 485
BOP 5.90 1.67 0.24 281.36 0.37 286
Q4 3.55 0.57 0.24 273.35 0.37 860
Q3 2.43 0.82 0.23 110.46 0.38 189
Q2 3.36 1.15 0.28 102.24 0.44 136
Q1 6.40 2.10 0.27 280.27 0.46 234
<1% 15.43 14.73 0.25 310.11 0.53 21
B2
Q4 5.92 0.29 0.25 42.82 6.79 340
Q3 3.85 0.35 0.29 14.63 0.75 166
Q2 3.52 0.26 0.25 33.28 0.71 452
Q1 4.29 0.27 0.28 61.72 0.71 685
<1% 8.92 0.79 0.58 18.77 8.45 26
BON: STH Tailrace Egress B1 and B2
BON ROUTE Treatment Mean StdErr Min Max Median N
B1
ABO 15.11 2.21 0.20 415.51 0.42 476
BOP 23.96 3.49 0.25 404.61 0.58 282
Q4 17.14 1.39 0.24 419.08 0.52 1013
Q3 7.75 2.10 0.26 225.21 0.63 146
Q2 9.84 4.57 0.25 589.93 0.57 146
Q1 8.51 1.69 0.25 254.90 0.60 301
<1% 6.61 4.55 0.31 87.32 0.77 19
B2
Q4 5.95 0.33 0.22 21.13 6.95 165
Q3 5.08 1.13 0.21 105.44 0.83 116
Q2 3.68 0.48 0.22 138.40 0.82 333
Q1 3.40 0.24 0.26 48.20 0.79 492
<1% 5.98 0.86 0.25 10.24 6.74 14
BON: CH0 Tailrace Egress B1 and B2
BON ROUTE Treatment Mean StdErr Min Max Median N
B1
BOP 4.33 0.68 0.27 127.56 0.40 363
Q4 3.81 0.68 0.24 622.50 0.40 1148
Q3 1.67 0.53 0.25 44.93 0.39 116
Q2 1.22 0.56 0.32 31.24 0.44 56
Q1 2.17 1.45 0.29 68.26 0.46 47
<1% 0.81 0.13 0.56 0.97 0.90 3
B2
Q4 3.62 0.13 0.19 32.29 0.72 1320
Q3 4.98 1.47 0.21 530.52 0.74 364
Q2 4.07 0.24 0.22 18.89 0.79 411
Q1 6.39 0.32 0.29 26.43 7.45 266
<1% 11.35 1.64 1.03 27.60 11.01 14
BON: CH1 Tailrace Egress Spillway
SP10 Mean StdErr Min Max Median N
70 0.83 0.16 0.38 3.07 0.53 18
80 1.76 1.13 0.33 306.51 0.51 271
90 1.54 0.13 0.32 16.68 0.48 472
100 1.88 0.09 0.19 157.14 0.43 2992
110 0.86 0.21 0.29 26.45 0.39 146
120 1.14 0.18 0.26 38.92 0.38 288
130 0.39 0.03 0.26 6.73 0.35 251
140 0.53 0.12 0.26 12.85 0.34 126
150 1.69 0.16 0.23 18.30 0.33 352
160 0.32 0.00 0.24 0.51 0.31 113
170 3.84 0.86 0.25 68.85 0.35 84
180 2.59 0.26 0.23 17.49 0.33 176
190 6.35 0.31 0.22 42.81 6.41 175
200 4.32 0.29 0.20 16.78 5.25 199
210 5.15 0.30 0.13 16.17 6.03 119
220 6.02 0.18 0.22 20.18 6.05 154
230 3.62 0.37 0.01 12.29 5.11 89
240 2.84 0.33 0.01 12.26 0.40 105
250 0.56 0.13 0.02 11.04 0.28 125
260 0.29 0.01 0.01 0.94 0.27 136
270 0.29 0.02 0.02 2.11 0.27 110
280 0.29 0.01 0.01 1.14 0.28 129
290 0.26 0.02 0.01 0.61 0.26 39
300 0.27 0.04 0.01 0.70 0.28 16
BON: STH Tailrace Egress Spillway
SP10 Mean StdErr Min Max Median N
70 0.50 0.08 0.39 0.65 0.47 3
80 0.66 0.05 0.35 7.76 0.47 163
90 2.21 0.34 0.31 91.65 0.45 411
100 1.97 0.28 0.28 614.65 0.42 2537
110 0.64 0.10 0.29 6.62 0.38 123
120 1.95 0.17 0.27 11.14 0.38 292
130 0.57 0.07 0.26 7.17 0.35 252
140 0.53 0.09 0.25 11.92 0.32 175
150 1.40 0.13 0.23 12.13 0.33 321
160 0.46 0.07 0.25 5.74 0.31 105
170 3.18 0.34 0.22 13.22 3.05 73
180 2.57 0.20 0.11 10.49 0.38 213
190 5.17 0.37 0.22 70.37 5.14 205
200 3.41 0.22 0.05 14.68 4.46 167
210 4.38 0.25 0.19 11.32 4.94 95
220 5.10 0.13 0.19 9.19 5.13 132
230 3.85 0.34 0.10 16.41 4.89 75
240 2.04 0.24 0.11 7.43 0.42 90
250 0.57 0.14 0.01 13.65 0.30 116
260 0.33 0.02 0.02 2.15 0.29 133
270 0.55 0.22 0.03 22.94 0.31 103
280 0.31 0.02 0.01 1.73 0.29 142
290 0.32 0.03 0.03 0.70 0.29 39
300 0.30 0.05 0.01 0.53 0.33 8
BON: CH0 Tailrace Egress Spillway
SP10 v StdErr Min Max Median N
80 6.72 0.29 0.40 18.00 6.88 130
90 6.34 0.15 0.34 40.68 7.15 985
100 1.67 0.11 0.31 21.46 0.47 814
110 5.75 0.22 0.31 47.89 6.91 474
120 1.08 0.10 0.27 11.91 0.38 471
130 2.69 0.16 0.26 26.07 0.37 860
140 2.85 0.22 0.26 24.85 0.36 408
150 0.99 0.08 0.23 50.35 0.33 1130
160 1.38 0.11 0.23 23.80 0.31 801
170 1.71 0.13 0.23 23.51 0.31 744
180 1.26 0.80 0.22 217.95 0.30 275
190 0.44 0.11 0.23 10.71 0.28 99
200 3.36 0.40 0.21 22.72 0.29 205
210 0.35 0.04 0.21 4.13 0.28 126
220 0.29 0.02 0.19 4.40 0.26 242
230 0.29 0.02 0.19 1.06 0.25 78
Conclusions: BON
48
B1
There was not a difference in survival for salmonids passing within the 1%
of peak operating efficiency and salmonids passing at operations above
the upper 1% operating efficiency
B2
Lower survival for CH1 in Q4 range
No difference in survival for STH across operating range
No difference in survival for CH0 across operating range
Spillway
No obvious bay affect
Lower survival of CH1 and STH above 290 kcfs discharge
Trend of lower survival for CH0 at low discharge levels
Introduction: TDA
Introduction
High flows forced spill discharge at bays outside the new tailrace spillway
wall. Concern of lower survival due to predation
Objective
Examined spillway passage survival for juvenile salmonids passing on the
north (spillbays 1-8) and south (spillbays 9-23) of the new spill wall at
TDA
2010-2012 JSATS datasets
49
6021 487
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
Bay01-08 Bay09-22
Analyses: TDA
Survival Within and Outside of Spill Wall
50
Yearling Chinook
Survival
Survival
Steelhead
6594 666
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
Bay01-08 Bay09-22
5040 141
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
Bay01-08 Bay09-22
Subyearling Chinook
Survival
Bay09-23
Bay09-23
Bay09-23
435 231
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
Bay09-12 Bay13-22
Survival
304 183
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
Bay09-12 Bay13-22
Analyses: TDA
Survival Outside of Spill Wall, Grouped Bays
51
Yearling Chinook
Survival
Steelhead
Subyearling Chinook
Survival
Bay13-23
Bay13-23
Bay13-23
1589 2360 1976 730 1080
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
0.80
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
<=72k 96k 120k 144k >=168k
1350 2523 2249
946 1320
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
0.80
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
<=72k 96k 120k 144k >=168k
Analyses: TDA
Survival Grouped by Flow
52
Survival
%TimeatDischarge
Survival
%TimeatDischarge
Steelhead
Yearling Chinook
710
646
3600 915
889
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
0.80
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
<=72k 96k 120k 144k >=168k
Analyses: TDA
Survival Grouped by Flow
53
Subyearling Chinook
Survival
%TimeatDischarge
TDA Spillway
54
Analyses: TDA
Survival by Bay for All Years
55
513 704 710 808 892 925 1034 2150
0.80
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
Bay 01 Bay 02 Bay 03 Bay 04 Bay 05 Bay 06 Bay 07 Bay 08
Survival
Yearling Chinook
Steelhead
Survival
581 727 715
787
747 980 1113 2740
0.80
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
Bay 01 Bay 02 Bay 03 Bay 04 Bay 05 Bay 06 Bay 07 Bay 08
Analyses: TDA
Survival by Bay for All Years
56
410 654 750 787 833 901 864 1561
0.80
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
Bay 01 Bay 02 Bay 03 Bay 04 Bay 05 Bay 06 Bay 07 Bay 08
Survival
Sub-Yearling Chinook
Analyses: TDA
Survival by Flow, 2010, 2011, 2012
57
816 773 502 1488 890 996 563 191
335
1181
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
0.75
0.80
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
<=70k 80k 90k 100k 110k 120k 130k 140k 150k >=160k
Survival
%TimeatDischarge
769
581
507
1546 1071 1158 599
224 436 1497
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
0.75
0.80
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
<=70k 80k 90k 100k 110k 120k 130k 140k 150k >=160k
Survival
%TimeatDischarge
Steelhead
Yearling Chinook
298
412
314
153 466
986 2436
562 152 981
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
0.75
0.80
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
<=70k 80k 90k 100k 110k 120k 130k 140k 150k >=160k
Analyses: TDA
Survival by Flow, 2010, 2011, 2012
58
Sub-Yearling Chinook
Survival
%TimeatDischarge
TDA Egress
59
TDA: CH1 Tailrace Egress Spillway
60
CH1 SP24 Min Max Mean StdErr Median N
TR_EGR_TIME
48 0.28 153.02 1.69 0.83 0.47 210
72 0 367.24 1.14 0.35 0.36 1233
96 0 475.07 2.14 0.69 0.27 858
120 0.01 156.4 0.9 0.34 0.21 663
144 0.1 120.33 0.49 0.26 0.16 464
168 0.11 0.44 0.16 0 0.14 227
312 0.14 0.14 0.14 0 0.14 2
TDA: STH Tailrace Egress Spillway
STH SP24 Min Max Mean StdErr Median N
TR_EGR_TIME
48 0.27 201.79 1.63 1.05 0.42 192
72 0 24.1 0.44 0.03 0.33 1060
96 0 52.84 0.43 0.08 0.25 1006
120 0 55.83 0.31 0.07 0.2 838
144 0.1 3.81 0.21 0.01 0.15 610
168 0.1 0.78 0.16 0 0.14 338
312 0.14 0.14 0.14 0 0.14 2
TDA: CH0 Tailrace Egress Spillway
CH0 SP24 Mean StdErr Min Max Mean N
TR_EGR_TIME
48 5.98 5.39 0.26 194.7 5.98 36
72 0.73 0.15 0.16 65.88 0.73 560
96 0.8 0.29 0.11 145.41 0.8 586
120 0.57 0.13 0.12 324.61 0.57 3436
144 0.84 0.42 0.11 324.19 0.84 870
168 1.82 0.98 0.11 449.89 1.82 648
216 18.26 12.55 0.17 324.49 18.26 36
240 0.24 0.01 0.15 0.48 0.24 84
312 0.18 0 0.12 0.54 0.18 168
Conclusions: TDA
There was not a difference in survival of juvenile salmonids passing at
spillbays 1-8 and spillbays 9-23
There was lower survival of CH0 at discharge below 72 kcfs
63

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Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012

  • 1. Systematic Review of JSATS Passage and Survival Data at Bonneville and The Dalles Dams during Alternate Turbine and Spillbay Operations from 2008- 2012 MARK WEILAND, BISHES RAYAMAJHI, JINA KIM, CHRISTA WOODLEY, GENE PLOSKEY, JON RERECICH1 AND BRAD EPPARD1 Pacific Northwest National Laboratory 1U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Portland District, Portland, OR
  • 2. Introduction: BON Operation of Bonneville Dam to reduce fish injury B2 operation at low to mid range of 1% peak efficiency Improve conditions for guided fish in the gatewell May result in unfavorable conditions for turbine passed fish B1 increase flow to offset reduced discharge at B2 Compare survival within to above the 1% operating range Best operating point (range) as identified by TSP Spillway survival variability Erosion of stilling basin or ogees in several spill bays and accumulation of rock 2
  • 3. Objectives: BON Analyze 2008-2012 JSATS and operations data to examine survival rates for juvenile salmonids at BON B2 Turbine Survival Comparison: Examine survival for fish passing turbines operating across the 1% peak efficiency range B1 Turbine Survival Comparison: Examine survival for fish passing turbines operating within the 1% peak efficiency range and above the upper limit of the 1% operating range Bonneville Spillway: Examine spillway survival by spillbay with focus on those bays where erosion of the ogee or stilling basin immediately downstream had occurred 3
  • 4. Methods: BON B1 turbines Lower quarter of 1% efficiency (Q1) Lower middle quarter of 1% efficiency (Q2) Upper middle quarter of 1% efficiency (Q3) 1% of peak efficiency (Q4) Best operating point/range (BOP) Above best operating point to generator limit (ABOP) B2 turbines Lower quarter of 1% efficiency (Q1) Lower middle quarter of 1% efficiency (Q2) Upper middle quarter of 1% efficiency (Q3) 1% of peak efficiency (Q4) BON spillway By bay Group bays 4
  • 5. Methods: B1 and B2 Binned Operating Ranges 5 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 11,000 12,000 13,000 14,000 32 37 42 47 52 57 62 67 72 Discharge(cfs) HEAD (ft) B1 Turbine Operating Range Best Op Point UL_Q4 = UL_1% UL_Q3 UL_Q2 UL_Q1 LL_Q1 = LL_1% Above BOP Best Operating Point Q4 Q3 Q1 Q2 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 20,000 32 37 42 47 52 57 62 67 72 Discharge(cfs) HEAD (ft) B2 Turbine Operating Range (w/STS) UL_Q4 = UL_1% UL_Q3 UL_Q2 UL_Q1 LL_Q1 = LL_1%Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1
  • 6. BON B1 Survival By Species and Operation 6
  • 7. Analyses: BON B1 CH1 Passage Distribution 7 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 11,000 12,000 13,000 14,000 32 42 52 62 72 Discharge(cfs) HEAD (ft) Best Op Range UL_Q4 = UL_1% UL_Q3 UL_Q2 UL_Q1 LL_Q1 = LL_1% Best Op Range Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 Above BOR 2010 2011 2012
  • 8. Analyses: BON B1 CH1 Survival by Operating Condition Survival Survival 4933321603 1935 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90 1.00 1.10 LL to UL LL to BOP UL to BOP ABOP 22 1008215235 145 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90 1.00 1.10 <1% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
  • 9. Analyses: BON B1 STH Passage Distribution 9 2010 2011 2012 7000 8000 9000 10000 11000 12000 13000 14000 32 42 52 62 72 Discharge(cfs) HEAD (ft) Best Op Range UL_Q4 = UL_1% UL_Q3 UL_Q2 UL_Q1 LL_Q1 = LL_1% Best Op Range Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 Above BOR
  • 10. Analyses: BON B1 STH Survival by Operating Condition Survival Survival 4933341861 2195 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90 1.00 1.10 LL to UL LL to BOP UL to BOP ABOP 21 204 1199306 152 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90 1.00 1.10 <1% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
  • 11. Analyses: BON B1 CH0 Passage Distribution 11 7000 8000 9000 10000 11000 12000 13000 14000 32 42 52 62 72 Discharge(cfs) HEAD (ft) Best Op Range UL_Q4 = UL_1% UL_Q3 UL_Q2 UL_Q1 LL_Q1 = LL_1% 2010 2011 2012 Best Op Range Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 Above BOR
  • 12. Analyses: BON B1 CH0 Survival by Operating Condition Survival Survival 3801407 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90 1.00 1.10 LL to UL LL to BOP UL to BOP ABOP 1787 3 118711647 57 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90 1.00 1.10 <1% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
  • 13. BON B1 Survival at Lower & Upper BOP 13
  • 14. 7000 8000 9000 10000 11000 12000 13000 14000 32 42 52 62 72 VR_B1_T_CH1_UBOP VR_B1_T_CH1_LBOP Best Op Point UL_Q4 = UL_1% UL_Q3 UL_Q2 UL_Q1 Above BOP Best Op Point Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 Analyses: BON B1 CH1 Survival within BOP 14
  • 15. Analyses: BON B1 STH Survival within BOP 15 7000 8000 9000 10000 11000 12000 13000 14000 32 42 52 62 72 VR_B1_T_STH_UBOP VR_B1_T_STH_LBOP Best Op Point UL_Q4 = UL_1% UL_Q3 UL_Q2 UL_Q1 Above BOP Best Op Point Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1
  • 16. Analyses: BON B1 CH0 Survival within BOP 16 7000 8000 9000 10000 11000 12000 13000 14000 32 42 52 62 72 VR_B1_T_CH0_LBOP Best Op Point UL_Q4 = UL_1% UL_Q3 UL_Q2 UL_Q1 LL_Q1 = LL_1% Above BOP Best Op Point Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1
  • 17. BON B2 Survival By Species and Operation 17
  • 18. Analyses: BON B2 CH1 Passage by Quartile 18 Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 9000 11000 13000 15000 17000 19000 21000 32 42 52 62 72 Discharge(cfs) HEAD (ft) UL_Q4 = UL_1% UL_Q3 UL_Q2 UL_Q1 LL_Q1 = LL_1%
  • 19. 19 Analyses: BON B2 CH1 Survival by Operating ConditionSurvival 24 759 574 267 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90 1.00 1.10 <1% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 469
  • 20. Analyses: BON B2 STH Passage Distribution 20 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 9000 11000 13000 15000 17000 19000 21000 32 42 52 62 72 Discharge(cfs) HEAD (ft) UL_Q4 = UL_1% UL_Q3 UL_Q2 UL_Q1 LL_Q1 = LL_1%
  • 21. Analyses: BON B2 STH Survival by Operating Condition 21 14 202541 376 146 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90 1.00 1.10 1.20 <1% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Survival
  • 22. Analyses: BON B2 CH0 Passage Distribution 22 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Q4 Q3 Q2 Q1 9000 11000 13000 15000 17000 19000 21000 32 42 52 62 72 Discharge(cfs) HEAD (ft) UL_Q4 = UL_1% UL_Q3 UL_Q2 UL_Q1 LL_Q1 = LL_1%
  • 23. Analyses: BON B2 CH0 Survival by Operating Condition 23 22 1444298 501 384 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90 1.00 1.10 <1% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Survival
  • 24. B2: STS vs No STS, 2008 & 2011 CH1 Estimate s.e. Count 2008 With STS_Q4 0.9320 0.0414 69 Without STS_Q4 0.8299 0.0617 61 2011 With STS_Q4 0.9414 0.0495 50 Without STS_Q4 0.9369 0.0601 37 With STS_Q3_Q4 0.9511 0.0338 125 Without STS_Q3_Q4 0.9771 0.0494 50 STH Estimate s.e. Count 2008 With STS_Q4 0.9339 0.071 29 Without STS_Q4 1.0417 0.2039 24 2011 With STS_Q4 0.9000 0.0987 15 Without STS_Q4 0.9231 0.0739 13 With STS_Q3_Q4 0.8907 0.0553 45 Without STS_Q3_Q4 0.9790 0.0527 22
  • 26. 576 791 783 650 559 385 384 387 309 320 350 317 346 385 454 600 729 351 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 Yearling Chinook Analyses: BON Spillway CH1 and STH Survival by Bay 26 SurvivalSurvival 521 623 650 493 459 301 332 322 330 350 318 333 379 450 620 333 717 552 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 Steelhead
  • 27. Analyses: BON Spillway CH1 and STH Survival, Grouped Bays 27 2150 1978 1683 1185 1680 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 1794 1585 1653 1162 1889 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 Survival Survival Steelhead Yearling Chinook
  • 28. Analyses: BON Spillway Survival by Grouped Bays 28 371 340 242 244 319 479 365 323 260 339 776 617 641 423 712 524 656 477 258 310 0.80 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 1.05 Bay01-03 Bay04-07 Bay08-12 Bay13-15 Bay16-18 2008 2010 2011 2012 Survival Yearling Chinook 335 315 276 262 295 344 235 306 178 300 677 524 623 426 861 438 511 448 296 433 0.80 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 1.05 Bay01-03 Bay04-07 Bay08-12 Bay13-15 Bay16-18 2008 2010 2011 2012 Steelhead Survival
  • 29. Analyses: BON Spillway CH0 Survival by Bay 29 Survival 496 548 668 1021 599 503 404 322 293 357 425 326 362 310 437 574 622 331 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 Subyearling Chinook
  • 30. Analyses: BON Spillway CH0 Survival, Grouped Bays 30 1712 2527 1723 1109 1527 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 Survival
  • 31. Analyses: BON Spillway Survival by Bays, CH0 31 509 513 493 265 499 477 422 326 204 358 726 1592 904 640 670 0.80 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 1.05 Bay01-03 Bay04-07 Bay08-12 Bay13-15 Bay16-18 2008 2010 2012 Sub-Yearling Chinook Survival
  • 32. Analyses: BON Spillway CH1 and STH Survival by Discharge 32 808 3279 175 356 311 193 507 141 137 218 214 241 154 184 134 235 286 269 261 363 209 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 0.80 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 1.05 Discharge (kcfs) Yearling Chinook Survival 603 2765 158 333 321 269 469 118 121 283 259 211 134 178 122 273 310 245 303 418 190 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 0.80 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 1.05 Discharge (kcfs) Survival Steelhead
  • 33. Analyses: BON Spillway CH0 Survival by Discharge 33 1279 873 536 495 937 457 1192 870 868 303 100 214 129 256 89 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 1.05 y = 0.0004x + 0.8979 R² = 0.6299 0.90 0.92 0.94 0.96 0.98 1.00 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 Survival Discharge (kcfs) Survival Discharge (kcfs)
  • 34. BON Survival by Tailwater Elevation 34
  • 35. 90 236 706 928 780 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 0.80 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 1.05 ≤ 5m 6m 7m 8m ≥ 9m 92 165 623 862 708 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 1.05 ≤ 5m 6m 7m 8m ≥ 9m Analyses: BON B1 Survival by Tailwater Level Yearling Chinook Survival Steelhead Bin S. Estimate +95 CI -95 CI ≤ 5m 0.9868 1.0378 0.9358 6m 1.0052 1.0350 0.9754 7m 0.9643 0.9800 0.9486 8m 0.9635 0.9766 0.9504 ≥ 9m 0.9652 0.9915 0.9389 Bin S. Estimate +95 CI -95 CI ≤ 5m 0.8575 0.9408 0.7742 6m 0.9403 0.9732 0.9074 7m 0.9369 0.9551 0.9187 8m 0.9468 0.9617 0.9319 ≥ 9m 0.9306 0.9559 0.9053 35 Survival TimeatTWEL TimeatTWEL
  • 36. 103 132 568 815 172 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 0.80 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 ≤ 5m 6m 7m 8m ≥ 9m Analyses: BON B1 Survival by Tailwater Level Bin S. Estimate +95 CI -95 CI ≤ 5m 0.8939 0.9537 0.8341 6m 0.9811 1.0070 0.9552 7m 0.9604 0.9776 0.9432 8m 0.9517 0.9668 0.9366 ≥ 9m 0.9483 0.9816 0.9150 Survival 36 Sub-Yearling Chinook TimeatTWEL
  • 37. 1067 367 243 216 106 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90 1.00 ≤ 5m 6m 7m 8m ≥ 9m Analyses: BON B2 Survival by Tailwater Level Survival Survival 37 TimeatTWEL TimeatTWEL Bin S. Estimate +95 CI -95 CI ≤ 5m 0.8596 0.8819 0.8373 6m 0.8955 0.9288 0.8622 7m 0.9846 1.0052 0.9640 8m 0.8953 0.9378 0.8528 ≥ 9m 0.9144 0.9775 0.8513 Bin S. Estimate +95 CI -95 CI ≤ 5m 0.877 0.0089 1547 6m 0.951 0.0106 556 7m 0.958 0.0102 490 8m 0.960 0.0091 534 ≥ 9m 0.917 0.0222 264 Yearling Chinook Steelhead 1547 556 490 534 264 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 0.80 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 ≤5m 6m 7m 8m ≥9m
  • 38. 1227 280 398 1375 315 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90 1.00 ≤ 5m 6m 7m 8m ≥ 9m Bin S. Estimate +95 CI -95 CI ≤ 5m 0.8720 0.8910 0.8530 6m 0.9440 0.9712 0.9168 7m 0.9454 0.9685 0.9223 8m 0.9522 0.9640 0.9404 ≥ 9m 0.9663 0.9867 0.9459 Analyses: BON B2 Survival by Tailwater Level Survival 38 TimeatTWEL Sub-Yearling Chinook
  • 39. 1197 1678 1518 1886 2397 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 ≤ 5m 6m 7m 8m ≥ 9m 892 1413 1385 1955 2490 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 ≤ 5m 6m 7m 8m ≥ 9m Analyses: BON Spillway Survival by Tailwater Level Survival Survival Bin S. Estimate + 95 CI -95 CI ≤ 5m 0.9333 0.9482 0.9184 6m 0.9505 0.9638 0.9372 7m 0.9331 0.9460 0.9202 8m 0.9434 0.9550 0.9318 ≥ 9m 0.9461 0.9624 0.9298 Bin S. Estimate + 95 CI -95 CI ≤ 5m 0.9474 0.9641 0.9307 6m 0.9543 0.9686 0.9400 7m 0.9339 0.9474 0.9204 8m 0.9378 0.9496 0.9260 ≥ 9m 0.9613 0.9750 0.9476 39 TimeatTWEL TimeatTWEL Yearling Chinook Steelhead
  • 40. 996 683 2478 4031 410 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 ≤ 5m 6m 7m 8m ≥ 9m 40 Analyses: BON Spillway Survival by Tailwater Level Bin S. Estimate + 95 CI -95 CI ≤ 5m 0.9050 0.9234 0.8866 6m 0.9210 0.9418 0.9002 7m 0.9508 0.9598 0.9418 8m 0.9672 0.9729 0.9615 ≥ 9m 0.9709 0.9872 0.9546 Survival TimeatTWEL Sub-Yearling Chinook
  • 42. BON: CH1 Tailrace Egress B1 and B2 42 BON ROUTE Treatment Mean StdErr Min Max Median N B1 ABO 4.23 0.70 0.21 200.41 0.30 485 BOP 5.90 1.67 0.24 281.36 0.37 286 Q4 3.55 0.57 0.24 273.35 0.37 860 Q3 2.43 0.82 0.23 110.46 0.38 189 Q2 3.36 1.15 0.28 102.24 0.44 136 Q1 6.40 2.10 0.27 280.27 0.46 234 <1% 15.43 14.73 0.25 310.11 0.53 21 B2 Q4 5.92 0.29 0.25 42.82 6.79 340 Q3 3.85 0.35 0.29 14.63 0.75 166 Q2 3.52 0.26 0.25 33.28 0.71 452 Q1 4.29 0.27 0.28 61.72 0.71 685 <1% 8.92 0.79 0.58 18.77 8.45 26
  • 43. BON: STH Tailrace Egress B1 and B2 BON ROUTE Treatment Mean StdErr Min Max Median N B1 ABO 15.11 2.21 0.20 415.51 0.42 476 BOP 23.96 3.49 0.25 404.61 0.58 282 Q4 17.14 1.39 0.24 419.08 0.52 1013 Q3 7.75 2.10 0.26 225.21 0.63 146 Q2 9.84 4.57 0.25 589.93 0.57 146 Q1 8.51 1.69 0.25 254.90 0.60 301 <1% 6.61 4.55 0.31 87.32 0.77 19 B2 Q4 5.95 0.33 0.22 21.13 6.95 165 Q3 5.08 1.13 0.21 105.44 0.83 116 Q2 3.68 0.48 0.22 138.40 0.82 333 Q1 3.40 0.24 0.26 48.20 0.79 492 <1% 5.98 0.86 0.25 10.24 6.74 14
  • 44. BON: CH0 Tailrace Egress B1 and B2 BON ROUTE Treatment Mean StdErr Min Max Median N B1 BOP 4.33 0.68 0.27 127.56 0.40 363 Q4 3.81 0.68 0.24 622.50 0.40 1148 Q3 1.67 0.53 0.25 44.93 0.39 116 Q2 1.22 0.56 0.32 31.24 0.44 56 Q1 2.17 1.45 0.29 68.26 0.46 47 <1% 0.81 0.13 0.56 0.97 0.90 3 B2 Q4 3.62 0.13 0.19 32.29 0.72 1320 Q3 4.98 1.47 0.21 530.52 0.74 364 Q2 4.07 0.24 0.22 18.89 0.79 411 Q1 6.39 0.32 0.29 26.43 7.45 266 <1% 11.35 1.64 1.03 27.60 11.01 14
  • 45. BON: CH1 Tailrace Egress Spillway SP10 Mean StdErr Min Max Median N 70 0.83 0.16 0.38 3.07 0.53 18 80 1.76 1.13 0.33 306.51 0.51 271 90 1.54 0.13 0.32 16.68 0.48 472 100 1.88 0.09 0.19 157.14 0.43 2992 110 0.86 0.21 0.29 26.45 0.39 146 120 1.14 0.18 0.26 38.92 0.38 288 130 0.39 0.03 0.26 6.73 0.35 251 140 0.53 0.12 0.26 12.85 0.34 126 150 1.69 0.16 0.23 18.30 0.33 352 160 0.32 0.00 0.24 0.51 0.31 113 170 3.84 0.86 0.25 68.85 0.35 84 180 2.59 0.26 0.23 17.49 0.33 176 190 6.35 0.31 0.22 42.81 6.41 175 200 4.32 0.29 0.20 16.78 5.25 199 210 5.15 0.30 0.13 16.17 6.03 119 220 6.02 0.18 0.22 20.18 6.05 154 230 3.62 0.37 0.01 12.29 5.11 89 240 2.84 0.33 0.01 12.26 0.40 105 250 0.56 0.13 0.02 11.04 0.28 125 260 0.29 0.01 0.01 0.94 0.27 136 270 0.29 0.02 0.02 2.11 0.27 110 280 0.29 0.01 0.01 1.14 0.28 129 290 0.26 0.02 0.01 0.61 0.26 39 300 0.27 0.04 0.01 0.70 0.28 16
  • 46. BON: STH Tailrace Egress Spillway SP10 Mean StdErr Min Max Median N 70 0.50 0.08 0.39 0.65 0.47 3 80 0.66 0.05 0.35 7.76 0.47 163 90 2.21 0.34 0.31 91.65 0.45 411 100 1.97 0.28 0.28 614.65 0.42 2537 110 0.64 0.10 0.29 6.62 0.38 123 120 1.95 0.17 0.27 11.14 0.38 292 130 0.57 0.07 0.26 7.17 0.35 252 140 0.53 0.09 0.25 11.92 0.32 175 150 1.40 0.13 0.23 12.13 0.33 321 160 0.46 0.07 0.25 5.74 0.31 105 170 3.18 0.34 0.22 13.22 3.05 73 180 2.57 0.20 0.11 10.49 0.38 213 190 5.17 0.37 0.22 70.37 5.14 205 200 3.41 0.22 0.05 14.68 4.46 167 210 4.38 0.25 0.19 11.32 4.94 95 220 5.10 0.13 0.19 9.19 5.13 132 230 3.85 0.34 0.10 16.41 4.89 75 240 2.04 0.24 0.11 7.43 0.42 90 250 0.57 0.14 0.01 13.65 0.30 116 260 0.33 0.02 0.02 2.15 0.29 133 270 0.55 0.22 0.03 22.94 0.31 103 280 0.31 0.02 0.01 1.73 0.29 142 290 0.32 0.03 0.03 0.70 0.29 39 300 0.30 0.05 0.01 0.53 0.33 8
  • 47. BON: CH0 Tailrace Egress Spillway SP10 v StdErr Min Max Median N 80 6.72 0.29 0.40 18.00 6.88 130 90 6.34 0.15 0.34 40.68 7.15 985 100 1.67 0.11 0.31 21.46 0.47 814 110 5.75 0.22 0.31 47.89 6.91 474 120 1.08 0.10 0.27 11.91 0.38 471 130 2.69 0.16 0.26 26.07 0.37 860 140 2.85 0.22 0.26 24.85 0.36 408 150 0.99 0.08 0.23 50.35 0.33 1130 160 1.38 0.11 0.23 23.80 0.31 801 170 1.71 0.13 0.23 23.51 0.31 744 180 1.26 0.80 0.22 217.95 0.30 275 190 0.44 0.11 0.23 10.71 0.28 99 200 3.36 0.40 0.21 22.72 0.29 205 210 0.35 0.04 0.21 4.13 0.28 126 220 0.29 0.02 0.19 4.40 0.26 242 230 0.29 0.02 0.19 1.06 0.25 78
  • 48. Conclusions: BON 48 B1 There was not a difference in survival for salmonids passing within the 1% of peak operating efficiency and salmonids passing at operations above the upper 1% operating efficiency B2 Lower survival for CH1 in Q4 range No difference in survival for STH across operating range No difference in survival for CH0 across operating range Spillway No obvious bay affect Lower survival of CH1 and STH above 290 kcfs discharge Trend of lower survival for CH0 at low discharge levels
  • 49. Introduction: TDA Introduction High flows forced spill discharge at bays outside the new tailrace spillway wall. Concern of lower survival due to predation Objective Examined spillway passage survival for juvenile salmonids passing on the north (spillbays 1-8) and south (spillbays 9-23) of the new spill wall at TDA 2010-2012 JSATS datasets 49
  • 50. 6021 487 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 Bay01-08 Bay09-22 Analyses: TDA Survival Within and Outside of Spill Wall 50 Yearling Chinook Survival Survival Steelhead 6594 666 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 Bay01-08 Bay09-22 5040 141 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 Bay01-08 Bay09-22 Subyearling Chinook Survival Bay09-23 Bay09-23 Bay09-23
  • 51. 435 231 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 Bay09-12 Bay13-22 Survival 304 183 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 Bay09-12 Bay13-22 Analyses: TDA Survival Outside of Spill Wall, Grouped Bays 51 Yearling Chinook Survival Steelhead Subyearling Chinook Survival Bay13-23 Bay13-23 Bay13-23
  • 52. 1589 2360 1976 730 1080 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 0.80 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 <=72k 96k 120k 144k >=168k 1350 2523 2249 946 1320 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 0.80 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 <=72k 96k 120k 144k >=168k Analyses: TDA Survival Grouped by Flow 52 Survival %TimeatDischarge Survival %TimeatDischarge Steelhead Yearling Chinook
  • 53. 710 646 3600 915 889 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 0.80 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 <=72k 96k 120k 144k >=168k Analyses: TDA Survival Grouped by Flow 53 Subyearling Chinook Survival %TimeatDischarge
  • 55. Analyses: TDA Survival by Bay for All Years 55 513 704 710 808 892 925 1034 2150 0.80 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 Bay 01 Bay 02 Bay 03 Bay 04 Bay 05 Bay 06 Bay 07 Bay 08 Survival Yearling Chinook Steelhead Survival 581 727 715 787 747 980 1113 2740 0.80 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 Bay 01 Bay 02 Bay 03 Bay 04 Bay 05 Bay 06 Bay 07 Bay 08
  • 56. Analyses: TDA Survival by Bay for All Years 56 410 654 750 787 833 901 864 1561 0.80 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 Bay 01 Bay 02 Bay 03 Bay 04 Bay 05 Bay 06 Bay 07 Bay 08 Survival Sub-Yearling Chinook
  • 57. Analyses: TDA Survival by Flow, 2010, 2011, 2012 57 816 773 502 1488 890 996 563 191 335 1181 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 0.75 0.80 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 <=70k 80k 90k 100k 110k 120k 130k 140k 150k >=160k Survival %TimeatDischarge 769 581 507 1546 1071 1158 599 224 436 1497 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 0.75 0.80 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 <=70k 80k 90k 100k 110k 120k 130k 140k 150k >=160k Survival %TimeatDischarge Steelhead Yearling Chinook
  • 58. 298 412 314 153 466 986 2436 562 152 981 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 0.75 0.80 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 <=70k 80k 90k 100k 110k 120k 130k 140k 150k >=160k Analyses: TDA Survival by Flow, 2010, 2011, 2012 58 Sub-Yearling Chinook Survival %TimeatDischarge
  • 60. TDA: CH1 Tailrace Egress Spillway 60 CH1 SP24 Min Max Mean StdErr Median N TR_EGR_TIME 48 0.28 153.02 1.69 0.83 0.47 210 72 0 367.24 1.14 0.35 0.36 1233 96 0 475.07 2.14 0.69 0.27 858 120 0.01 156.4 0.9 0.34 0.21 663 144 0.1 120.33 0.49 0.26 0.16 464 168 0.11 0.44 0.16 0 0.14 227 312 0.14 0.14 0.14 0 0.14 2
  • 61. TDA: STH Tailrace Egress Spillway STH SP24 Min Max Mean StdErr Median N TR_EGR_TIME 48 0.27 201.79 1.63 1.05 0.42 192 72 0 24.1 0.44 0.03 0.33 1060 96 0 52.84 0.43 0.08 0.25 1006 120 0 55.83 0.31 0.07 0.2 838 144 0.1 3.81 0.21 0.01 0.15 610 168 0.1 0.78 0.16 0 0.14 338 312 0.14 0.14 0.14 0 0.14 2
  • 62. TDA: CH0 Tailrace Egress Spillway CH0 SP24 Mean StdErr Min Max Mean N TR_EGR_TIME 48 5.98 5.39 0.26 194.7 5.98 36 72 0.73 0.15 0.16 65.88 0.73 560 96 0.8 0.29 0.11 145.41 0.8 586 120 0.57 0.13 0.12 324.61 0.57 3436 144 0.84 0.42 0.11 324.19 0.84 870 168 1.82 0.98 0.11 449.89 1.82 648 216 18.26 12.55 0.17 324.49 18.26 36 240 0.24 0.01 0.15 0.48 0.24 84 312 0.18 0 0.12 0.54 0.18 168
  • 63. Conclusions: TDA There was not a difference in survival of juvenile salmonids passing at spillbays 1-8 and spillbays 9-23 There was lower survival of CH0 at discharge below 72 kcfs 63