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TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE
Sampling and Analysis Techniques Department
Survey Design Group 20/05/14
OUTLINE
Gökhan KOÇTÜRK
TURKSTAT Expert
Sampling & Analysis Techniques Department
TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE
Sampling and Analysis Techniques Department
Survey Design Group 20/05/14
 Sampling Frame
 Cluster (100 households on average)
 Sampling Unit
 Estimation Level (NUTS 2 annually, Urban-Rural quarterly)
 Stratification
TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE
Sampling and Analysis Techniques Department
Survey Design Group 20/05/14
 Rotational Design
 8 Subsamples
 %50 overlap between consecutive quarters
 %50 overlap between the same quarters of consecutive years
TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE
Sampling and Analysis Techniques Department
Survey Design Group 20/05/14
 2 - 2 - 2 design is used
 Around 44.000 households per quarter
 550 clusters (10 hh selected from each) for each subsample
 Each week is reference week (52 per year)
TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE
Sampling and Analysis Techniques Department
Survey Design Group 20/05/14
2013 2014 2015
Subsample 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4
1 A
2 A A
3 B A A
4 B B A A
5 A B B A A
6 A A B B A A
7 B A A B B A A
8 B B A A B B A A
9 B B A A B B A A
10 B B A A B B A A
11 B B A A B B A A
12 B B A A B B A A
13 B B A A B B A
14 B B A A B B
15 B B A A B
16 B B A A
17 B B A
18 B B
19 B
TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE
Sampling and Analysis Techniques Department
Survey Design Group 20/05/14
General Comparison;
Existing LFS Continous LFS
Reference week 12 per year 52 per year
Sample Size 42000 per quarter 44000 per quarter
No. Of Clusters 353 550
Regulation Article 3.1 Article 3.1 + Article 3.2
TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE
Sampling and Analysis Techniques Department
Survey Design Group 20/05/14
Sample size calculation;
where;
t: %95 significance level
p: rate of characteristics
q: 1-p
d: degree of precision
H: number of strata
H
d
deffqpt
n *
***
2
2
=
TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE
Sampling and Analysis Techniques Department
Survey Design Group 20/05/14
 Article 3(1) and 3(2) is followed for sample size calculation
TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE
Sampling and Analysis Techniques Department
Survey Design Group 20/05/14
 Article 3(1) and 3(2) is followed for sample size calculation
TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE
Sampling and Analysis Techniques Department
Survey Design Group 20/05/14
 Uniform Distribution Among Weeks
* Adana – Urban
* Turkey – Total
TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE
Sampling and Analysis Techniques Department
Survey Design Group 20/05/14
Design Weights
TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE
Sampling and Analysis Techniques Department
Survey Design Group 20/05/14
 Nonresponse Adjustment
* Adjusted weight;
iinr rww *=
TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE
Sampling and Analysis Techniques Department
Survey Design Group 20/05/14
 Integrative Calibration
* D : Dummy variable for related group
* Wk : Weights after non response adjustment
* pi : weighted sample proportion for related group (for ex. Male)
* Pi : Population proportion for related group
∑
∑=
k
k
i
w
wD
p
*
TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE
Sampling and Analysis Techniques Department
Survey Design Group 20/05/14
 Integrative Calibration
* If Dk=1 :
* If Dk=0;
* : weighted Dk values(for all ind. in hh within related group)
oldI
k
i
iI
k w
p
P
w )()(
*=
oldII
k
i
i
i
i
II
k w
a
p
P
a
w )()(
*
1
*1
−






−
=
ia
TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE
Sampling and Analysis Techniques Department
Survey Design Group 20/05/14
 Trimming
* : average calibrated weights for household
L
w
w
L
k
≤≤
1
w
TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE
Sampling and Analysis Techniques Department
Survey Design Group 20/05/14
 Final Correction
* Final weights ; Fww kfinal *=
TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE
Sampling and Analysis Techniques Department
Survey Design Group 20/05/14
(-) Changing too many things at the same time
(Changes in methodology & application)
(-) Difficulties in Field Application
(+) Sample Size Calculation & Distribution
(using CV, household size, nonresponse rate from previous years)
(+) Better results (because of 52 reference weeks)
(+) Calibration (Hhsize)
TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE
Sampling and Analysis Techniques Department
Survey Design Group 20/05/14
gokhankocturk@tuik.gov.tr

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G. KOÇTÜRK - LFS Sample Design, Allocation, Weighting

  • 1. TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE Sampling and Analysis Techniques Department Survey Design Group 20/05/14 OUTLINE Gökhan KOÇTÜRK TURKSTAT Expert Sampling & Analysis Techniques Department
  • 2. TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE Sampling and Analysis Techniques Department Survey Design Group 20/05/14  Sampling Frame  Cluster (100 households on average)  Sampling Unit  Estimation Level (NUTS 2 annually, Urban-Rural quarterly)  Stratification
  • 3. TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE Sampling and Analysis Techniques Department Survey Design Group 20/05/14  Rotational Design  8 Subsamples  %50 overlap between consecutive quarters  %50 overlap between the same quarters of consecutive years
  • 4. TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE Sampling and Analysis Techniques Department Survey Design Group 20/05/14  2 - 2 - 2 design is used  Around 44.000 households per quarter  550 clusters (10 hh selected from each) for each subsample  Each week is reference week (52 per year)
  • 5. TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE Sampling and Analysis Techniques Department Survey Design Group 20/05/14 2013 2014 2015 Subsample 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 A 2 A A 3 B A A 4 B B A A 5 A B B A A 6 A A B B A A 7 B A A B B A A 8 B B A A B B A A 9 B B A A B B A A 10 B B A A B B A A 11 B B A A B B A A 12 B B A A B B A A 13 B B A A B B A 14 B B A A B B 15 B B A A B 16 B B A A 17 B B A 18 B B 19 B
  • 6. TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE Sampling and Analysis Techniques Department Survey Design Group 20/05/14 General Comparison; Existing LFS Continous LFS Reference week 12 per year 52 per year Sample Size 42000 per quarter 44000 per quarter No. Of Clusters 353 550 Regulation Article 3.1 Article 3.1 + Article 3.2
  • 7. TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE Sampling and Analysis Techniques Department Survey Design Group 20/05/14 Sample size calculation; where; t: %95 significance level p: rate of characteristics q: 1-p d: degree of precision H: number of strata H d deffqpt n * *** 2 2 =
  • 8. TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE Sampling and Analysis Techniques Department Survey Design Group 20/05/14  Article 3(1) and 3(2) is followed for sample size calculation
  • 9. TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE Sampling and Analysis Techniques Department Survey Design Group 20/05/14  Article 3(1) and 3(2) is followed for sample size calculation
  • 10. TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE Sampling and Analysis Techniques Department Survey Design Group 20/05/14  Uniform Distribution Among Weeks * Adana – Urban * Turkey – Total
  • 11. TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE Sampling and Analysis Techniques Department Survey Design Group 20/05/14 Design Weights
  • 12. TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE Sampling and Analysis Techniques Department Survey Design Group 20/05/14  Nonresponse Adjustment * Adjusted weight; iinr rww *=
  • 13. TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE Sampling and Analysis Techniques Department Survey Design Group 20/05/14  Integrative Calibration * D : Dummy variable for related group * Wk : Weights after non response adjustment * pi : weighted sample proportion for related group (for ex. Male) * Pi : Population proportion for related group ∑ ∑= k k i w wD p *
  • 14. TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE Sampling and Analysis Techniques Department Survey Design Group 20/05/14  Integrative Calibration * If Dk=1 : * If Dk=0; * : weighted Dk values(for all ind. in hh within related group) oldI k i iI k w p P w )()( *= oldII k i i i i II k w a p P a w )()( * 1 *1 −       − = ia
  • 15. TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE Sampling and Analysis Techniques Department Survey Design Group 20/05/14  Trimming * : average calibrated weights for household L w w L k ≤≤ 1 w
  • 16. TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE Sampling and Analysis Techniques Department Survey Design Group 20/05/14  Final Correction * Final weights ; Fww kfinal *=
  • 17. TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE Sampling and Analysis Techniques Department Survey Design Group 20/05/14 (-) Changing too many things at the same time (Changes in methodology & application) (-) Difficulties in Field Application (+) Sample Size Calculation & Distribution (using CV, household size, nonresponse rate from previous years) (+) Better results (because of 52 reference weeks) (+) Calibration (Hhsize)
  • 18. TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE Sampling and Analysis Techniques Department Survey Design Group 20/05/14 gokhankocturk@tuik.gov.tr