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We Provide You Confidence in Your Product ReliabilityTM
   Ops A La Carte / (408) 654-0499 / askops@opsalacarte.com / www.opsalacarte.com
Robust Design &
Reliability Engineering
       Apr 4, 2012




      Louis LaVallee
 Sr Reliability Consultant
Ops A La Carte is a Professional Reliability Engineering firm focused on
providing you confidence in reliability throughout your product life cycle.

Mike Silverm Managing Partner Offices & labs
            an
(408) 472-3889
mikes@opsalacarte.com

Louis LaVallee
Sr. Reliability Consultant
585-281-1882
Loul@opsalacarte.com

Website
www.opsalacarte.com

Dave Vaughan         dave.vaughan@chart-ind.com
Who Are We?
  – Ops A La Carte Santa Clara, CA
  – Founded in 2001
  – Named top 10 fastest growing, privately-held companies
    in the Silicon Valley in 2006 and 2009 by the San Jose
    Business Journal.
  – Over 1400 projects completed in 10 years
  – Over 500 Customers in over 30 countries
  – Over 100 different industries, 6 main verticals
       Clean Tech, Med Tech, Telecom, Defense, Oil/Gas,
        Consumer product

  – We conduct FREE monthly webinars.
• Ops Solutions – Ops provides end-to-end solutions that target the corporate
product reliability objectives
• Ops Individual “A La Carte” Consulting – Ops identifies and solves the
missing key ingredients needed for a fully integrated reliable product
• Ops Training – Ops’ highly specialized leaders and experts in the industry
train others in both standard and customized training seminars
• Ops Testing – Ops’ state-of-the-art
provides comprehensive testing services
Presenter: Dave Vaughan,
National Sales Manager, HALT/HASS Systems
Dave.Vaughan@chart-ind.com

HQ in Minnesota

• World’s Largest Cryogenic Equipment Supplier

• Building quality products since ‘ 63

• HALT/HASS chamber manufacturer since ‘ 97

• ISO 9001 Certified

• Only HALT/HASS supplier that can offer you a true Turn-key solution with
Tank, Pipe and Chamber.

• Hundreds of HALT/HASS chambers worldwide.
Upcoming Events For Ops a  la Carte
•IPC Conference on Test & Inspection
•May 15-17, 2012, Costa Mesa, CA.
•Ops A La Carte’s Vijay Prasad will be giving a presentation at this conference on 
"New Techniques for More Effective ESS".




•SMTA Conference on Soldering and Reliability
•May 15‐18, 2012, Toronto.
•Ops A La Carte's Peter Arrowsmith will be giving a presentation at this conference on 
"Improving Product Reliability Using Accelerated Stress Testing".
Upcoming Events for Ops a la Carte
•MD&M East 
•May 22‐24, 2012, Philadelphia, PA
•Ops A La Carte's Mike Silverman will be giving a 3 hour class on "Medical Reliability 
Testing ‐ Identifying Testing Requirements Early.“




•Applied Reliability Symposium 
•June 13-15, 2012, New Orleans, LA
•Ops A La Carte's Mike Silverman will be giving a presentation on "Calculating ROI When
Implementing a Design for Reliability Program".
Other Reliability Events
Certified Quality Engineer Preparation Class
Date(s): April 17 to May 29, 2012
Time: 6pm‐10pm one night a week, 7 weeks
Location: San Jose, CA and Webinar
http://www.opsalacarte.com/Pages/education/edu_10cqe.htm
Annual Reliability Symposium
May 7‐11, 2012 in Santa Clara, California and via 
webinar
TRACK ONE ‐ DFX TOOLS
• Design for Reliability (DfR): May 7‐8
• Design for 6 Sigma (DfSS): May 9
• Design for Mechanical Reliability (DfMR): May 10
• Design for Warranty (DfW): May 11 morning
• Design for Software Reliability (DfS): May 11 afternoon

TRACK TWO ‐ REL TOOLS: ALT/DOE/RCA
• Design of Experiments (DOE): May 7‐8
• Best Accelerated Reliability Tests (BART): May 9‐10
• Root Cause Analysis (RCA): May 11
Webinar Demographics
Registrants   Approx 200
US States             30
Countries             13
Survey Question #1
Do You Currently Practice Design for Robustness?

       Yes                         41%
       No                          37%
       I Don't Know                22%
Survey Question #2
Do You Differentiate Design for Robustness from 
Design for Reliability when designing a product?

       Yes                         21%
       No                          48%
       I Don't Know                30%
Abstract

  Robust Design (RD) Methodology is discussed for hardware
development. Comparison is made with reliability engineering (RE)
tools and practices. Differences and similarities are presented.

  Proximity to ideal function for robust design is presented and
compared to physics of failure and other reliability modeling and
prediction approaches . Measurement selection is shown to
strongly differentiates RD and reliability engineering methods
When and how to get the most from each methodology is outlined.
Pitfalls for each set of practices are also covered.
AXD
                                    TRIZ



             QFD
                                      DFR
                           PUGH
Many
Design
methods &
Interfaces                   DOE   ROBUST DESIGN
                   VA/VE




                                           DFSS6
             CP/CS MNGMT
RD  Reliability
                                                                                 Life Tests
                             P-diagram
                                                                     Root cause Analysis
                  Tolerance Design         Layout                                                   POE

               Ideal Function                                                                         POF
                                                       DOE                        RCM
                                           Tuning
                                                    Engineering                    Maintainability          CBM
          6              Flexibility
Lean                                                   Science                                       Warranty $

                Robust Design                        Simulation                      Reliability
Quality                                                                                                           Testing
Loss                                                 Models
                                        Reuse                                           FMECA
             transformability                                                                         HALT/HASS
                                                    Planning
       S/N             RSM                                                       Life prediction          Redundancy
                                     Online QC          ADT
                                                                                     ALT
                   Parameter design                                                                  FTA
                                                                  Availability

                      Generic Function                                                        RBD
Robust Design Definition



A systematic engineering based methodology
(which is part of the Quality Engineering Process)
that develops and manufactures high reliability
products at low cost with reduced delivery cycle.
The goal of robust design is to improve R&D
productivity and reduce variation while
maintaining low cost before shipment and minimal
loss to society after shipment.
Robustness is…

  “The ability to transform input to output as closely to
ideal function as possible. Proximity to ideal function is highly
desirable. A design is more robust if ratio of useful part to
harmful part of input energy is large. A design is more robust
if it operates close to ideal, even when exposed to various
noise factors, including time”


Reliability is…
  “The ability of a system, subsystem, assembly, or
   component to perform its required functions under stated
   conditions for a specified period of time”
RD Noise Factor Definitions:

 Factors that disturb the function, which are difficult to control, or
too expensive to control.

    External noise factors include temperature, humidity, dust,
     vibration, contaminants,…

    Unit-to-unit variation from manufacturing processes.

    Deterioration, as time passes.

Selection of noise factors and levels is a prediction of how device
will be used downstream. Noise factors are used for upstream,
midstream and sometimes downstream experimentation.
HALT & Reliability 
Polling question 1

How would you classify highly accelerated life testing
     (HALT )?

A.   Robust design activity
B.   Reliability activity
C.   Neither
D.   Both
ANSWER: B
Robust Design                         HALT
Quantitative                          Qualitative

‘Customer from hell ‘ prediction ,    Highly elevated stress levels for
with compound noise factors           Temp, Vibration , voltage


Energy efficiency maximization        None

Transformability of input to output   None


Ideal function driven                 Failure mode driven

Cost & Quality Loss driven            Warranty costs, Service costs

Upstream Technology                   Design-Build-test-fix-test-fix
reproducibility downstream            HALT Calculator
Test Time  Compression with  HALT/HASS
Highly Accelerated Life Test (HALT) 

•   Stresses product beyond specifications
•   Gathers information on Product Limitations
•   Focuses on Design Weakness & Failures
•   6 DoF Vibration 
•   High Thermal Rate of Change
•   Loosely Defined ‐ Modified “On the Fly”
•   Not a “Pass/Fail” Test
Case Study #1




This was a board from an instrument panel.  The corner of 
the inductor housing and lead are broken.  This happened 
during combined temp + vibration  at 50 Grms & 100C.  
Case Study #2




This is from a board used in an industrial power supply. The
transformer windings broke causing an arc. This happened during
combined temp + vibration at 30 G’s & 80C.
Case Study #3
•   Largest Test Equipment manufacturer for the 
    semiconductor industry
•   Over  $10 million dollars in warranty claims per year
•   Implemented HALT/HASS as part of their Product 
    Development Process
•   Company wide deployment

• Result:  After 2‐3 years, warranty claims were 
  reduced to $500K.
• What HALT/HASS does for your Company
  – Your Product’s Reliability 
     • New Products
        – Expedite the Development of New Products
        – Understand the existing product margins (and widen them)
        – ‘Ruggedize’ the product and remove design related weaknesses
     • Mature Products
        – Warranty Concerns
        – Find Manufacturing Defects/ Initiate Process Changes
        – Look for Continuous Product Improvement


 Defective products create unexpected costs for producers and
          financial losses for disappointed consumers
Harmful Variation & Countermeasures
•   Search for root cause & eliminate it
•   Screen out defectives(scrap and rework)
•   Feedback/feed forward control systems
•   Tighten tolerances (control, noise, signal factors)
•   Add a subsystem to balance the problem
•   Calibration & adjustment
•   Robust design (Parameter design & RSM)
•   Change the concept to better one
•   Turn off or turn down the power
•   Correct design mistakes (putting diodes in backwards)
Sales Points for Robust design
           Enabled                               Reasoning
      Flexible technology         to avoid having to reoptimize or
                                 reinvent a new design each time
      Fewer experiments          to obtain required information.
   Improved reproducibility      of experiments and measurements

  Improved energy efficiency     through dynamic S/N ratios &
                                 adjustment factors
    Experimental planning        to reduce ad hoc / trial & error testing
Bringing Improvement objective   to experimentation rather than just
                                 characterization

Preventing non-robust designs    from going downstream creating lots of
                                 trouble
Smoother subsystem integration   With coarse and fine tuning factor
                                 identification
Enabled                                 Reasoning
  Early input to reliability planning   to reduce excessive testing time
     Reduced design complexity          for simpler software, simpler
                                        compensation systems, & reduced
                                        information content
Identification of good tuning factors   for when process drifts or when system
                                        designer does subsystem integration
   Capturing design engineering         for rapid product variants and future
           knowledge                    platform of products

         Rapid maturation               of critical parameters and supporting
                                        critical specifications
         Early identification           of technology limitations

Inspection of engineering knowledge-    to prevent downstream problems

  Identification of good measures       To enable consistently correct decisions
6 Fundamental Concept
                          Y=f(X)+e

    Response Y                   X1, X2,…,XN
    Dependent                    Independent
    Output                       Input
    Effect                 =     Cause
    Symptom                      Problem
    Monitor                      Control


In reliability engineering for example , Y is the continuous
stochastic variable (time-to-failure) and F(x) is the failure
mechanism, or mechanistic model . In RD, smooth transformability
between input and output is considered.
Reliability Growth
Historically, the reliability growth process has been treated as, a reactive
approach to growing reliability based on failures “discovered” and fixed
during testing or, most unfortunately, once a system/product has been
delivered to a customer. This reactive approach ignores opportunities to
grow reliability during the earliest design phases of a system or product.




                                                        Delayed fix
                                                        jump
              MTBF




                                 New build
                                 jump



                     Cumulative test time
Robustness Growth
                               S/N

 Factors Can be changed
          today



                                     time

                               S/N
 Factors Can be changed in 1
           week




                                     time
                               S/N
                                                           Benchmark Target

 Factors Can be changed in 2
           weeks
                                        Robustness gains

                                      time
Progression of Robustness to Ideal Function Development


       A                   B                 C


 LSL        USL
  Zero Defects
                            Cpk
                          Static S/N
                                           Dynamic S/N Ratio



When a product’s performance deviates from target, its quality is
considered inferior. Such deviations in performance cause losses to
the user of the product, and in varying degrees to the rest of
society.
Useful
 Input signals                           Output
                     Main Function
      Mi               Y=f(x)+
                                         Harmful
                                         Output


                 Noise         Control
                 Factors       Factors



Taxonomy of Design Function --P Diagram
Polling Question 2

Which is a more difficult problem for engineers?

a.   Tuning the mean value of a device or process output
b.   Controlling the variation of a device or process output
c.   Both have the same degree of difficulty
d.   Tuning and variation control are just manufacturing
     problems
Spring Example
Simple Helical Spring Design

                                                     Useful
         Input signal      Main Function             Output
              X              F=-kX+e



Y  M         Zero Point Proportional Ideal Function


                         Force              Ideal (Hooke’s Law)
                          N
                                            Actual




                            0,0   Displacement X (mm)
Transformability &Robustness Improvement
Response                                      Response



                  N1                                              N1



                                                                       N2

                       N2


 0,0           M      signal                     0,0           M     signal

   Minimizing the effects of noise factors on transformation of input to output
   improves reliability. Sensitivity increase can be used for power reduction .
   Noise factor here might be fatigue cycles, or stress in one or two directions, or …
Analysis of Variance ANOVA
Resolution of the quantity of work which various types of sources
have performed on the target characteristic. All factors affect
variation. (screening?)

In physics, the quantity of work is proportional to the product of a
generalized force and a generalized displacement.

Energy is always the product of a pair of variables e.g. Force and
distance for mechanical , voltage and charge, pressure and volume,
absolute temperature and S, magnetic potential and magnetic
flux, chemical potential and quantity of material, moment and
angular rotation, etc.

RD’s focus is on elements of energy transfer
Comparison experiment between two helical spring suppliers A1
and A2. Two replicates are measured for each supplier.
Calculate S/N ratio for each supplier’s springs

                                                        Supplier
Signal factor    M1=30           M2=60        M3=90

     R1           65N             136          208      A1
     R2            74             147          197      A1
   Total          139             283          405


     R1            61             135          201      A2
     R2            71             145          208      A2
   Total          132             280          409
Robustness S/N ratio ANOVA Calculation
S T   y11  y11  ...  y kr0
         2     2            2
                                                        Total Sum of Squares

df  kr0                                              Total Degrees of freedom

E ( S  )  r0 r  2   2                              Expected value of 

r  M 12  M 22  ...  M k2                             Power of signal

S 
      1
          M 1 y1  M 2 y 2  ... M k y k 2           Sum of squares for slope 
     r0 r
df  1                                                Degrees of freedom for 

S e  ST  S                                       Sum of squares for error
df  kr0  1                                        Degrees of freedom for error
         Se
Ve 
       kr0  1                                          Error Variance

                  1
                 r0 r
                      S   Ve      Power of signal to change useful output
                                       ‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐
  10 log 10                        Power of Noise to change harmful output
                       Ve
S/N Ratio Calculation & Comparison for Two Suppliers A1 & A2
S T  65 2  74 2  ...  197 2  131879
df  6
                           
r0 r  2  30 2  60 2  90 2  25 , 200
     ( M 1 y1  M 1 y1  M 1 y1 ) 2 (30  139  60  283  90  405 ) 2
S                                                                     131657 .14
                 r0 r                            25200
df  1
S e  S T  S   131879  131657 .14  221 .86
df  5
       S e 221 .86
Ve                 44 .37
        5        5
                   1
                      131657 .14  44 .37 
A     10 log 25200                          10 log .1177   9 .29 dB
  1
                          44 .37
A      7 .79 dB
  2
                                    Supplier A2 better by 1.5 dB
Useful
         Input signal    Main Function            Output
             M             Y=f(x)+

Main function is to transform input signal to useful output. Energy
transformation takes many different forms, (but usually not 2nd order
polynomials, as in RSM)
  Common Ideal Function Forms:
          Y  M                    Y     * M *  M * M  

          Y  M                   Y  1  e  M  
          Y  Y0   ( M  M 0 )   Y   M x  
          Y    M  
                                     YY  R  jX R  jX )   
          Y  M 1M 2  
                  M1                          
                                     Y    M  M  
          Y         
                  M2                 ...
Measurements Discussion
Measurements

•      One of the most important distinctions between
    robust design (RD) activities and reliability engineering
    (RE) is what is being measured during experimentation.
    Time-to-failure(TTF) , typically used in reliability
    testing, is a continuous stochastic variable with an
    associated probability distribution, e.g. Weibull, normal,
    lognormal,

     Rarely has TTF been used for robust design , other
    than for isolated verification testing. RD focus is on
    smooth energy transformation of input to output
Typical Reliability Measures
•   Life data
•   Time-to-failure
•   Time between failures
•   Survival Count
•   Event times
•   Degradation of performance (of items below)
                  Typical Robust Design Measures
• Force,                 Current
• Pressure               Voltage
• Velocity               Intensity
• Temperature            RPM
• Weight                 Angular velocity
• Distance               Magnetic potential
• Thickness              Time relative to ideal
• Torque                 Luminous Flux
• Volume                 …
• Flow rate
RD Criteria for Measurement
 Validity first
 Continuous variable (richest analytics)
 Completeness
 Fundamental, disaggregated
 Practical, affordable
 Monotonic with control factors
 Related to basic energy transfer mechanism
 Measurement Capability High
 Engineering Focus
Picks up information about dysfunction
Open loop
                    Try not to measure ‘ideally zero ‘ quantities
Lack of monotonicity of ‘misregistration’ measurement
         Stack 1                            Stack 2




                                                         X
       X
              Stack 3                          Stack 4




                        X           X
Four paper stacks with same X. Same number indicates different
problems and different required countermeasures. Yield?
Science & Engineering Attitude

  • In science, understanding nature, searching for an accurate
  relational equation, and uncovering patterns and symmetries
  are most important. Reduction of error between observed
  characteristic value and the relational equation prediction is
  paramount. This method is completely correct as a scientific
  objective, i.e. searching for a formula which correctly expresses
  observational data.

  • Engineering attitude however must consider profitability,
  excellence, efficiency of R&D. Low cost competitive designs
  which can operate with small variation even when subjected
  to combinations of worst predicted customer usage conditions,
  manufacturing tolerances, and degradation processes are
  required.

RD is more engineering oriented while Reliability (POF) is more science oriented!
Marginal Means Plot from L9 Experiment Data
Response or                        4 Factors @ 3 levels
Sensitivity or
S/N ratio
                 15%           45%         5%          15%




                                                                  Grand avg




                                                                 Factors
                       A         B              C            D
         Combination A2B2C2D2 ~ Mean
         A3B1C3D3 = max response
         A1B3C1D1 = min response
         Error % ~20%
Ideal Function Examples
Automotive Brake Pad Example
Y     Ideal       Y        Reality
                                     M=Master cylinder Pressure

                                     Y=Torque Generated



      M
                       M

Y         Ideal   Y        Reality      Adjustment signal M*=
                                          Pad surface area

                                        Y=torque generated

                                        Ideal Function=Y=MM*
    MM*                      MM*
Braking Ideal Function=Y=MM*
                                         M*=Pad surface area
Control factors:                         M=master cylinder pressure,
  Raw Materials
  Raw material prep process parameters
  Pad manufacturing process parameters
  Dimensions, …
Symptoms / side effects:
  Brake Noise
  Part Breakage
  Wear
  Vibration,
  squealing … GM Working on this one for many years!
Noise factors:
  Temperature/humidity variability
  Deterioration and aging
  Brake fluid type and amount
  Manufacturing variability
  Raw materials lot-to-lot & within lot
  Variability in process parameter settings
Numerical Control Machine (NC)

 Ideal Function: Transform programmed dimensions into product
 dimensions

 A generic test piece rather than an actual part, can be designed. The test piece
 can be easier to measure accurately. It also can evaluate multiple levels of signal
 factor.


                                                   Lots of dimensions
                                                   to measure by CMM~67
                                                   level signal factor
Control Factors: Speed, Feed rate, Tool Material, Tool travel, Tool
stiffness, cut Depth, tool angle, …

Noise Factors: Material Hardness, tool wear, Lubricant age, Lubricant
condition,…
Generic test piece Transformability

                                                           Hardness 1
                                     Ideal                 Hardness 2
                                     Function
Part Dimensions




                                     Y=M+e




                                 v




                  M1
                                                           M67
                       NC machine Intended dimension(mm)
Measurement System Ideal Function
     Y=M+e
     M=true value of measurand
     Y=measured value
Auto Steering Ideal function
     Y=M+e
     M=steering wheel angle
     Y=Turning radius

Communication system ideal function
     Y=M+e
     M=signal sent
     Y=signal received

Cantilever beam Ideal Function
     Y=M/M*+e
     M=Load
     M*=Cross sectional area
Fuel Pump Ideal Function
     Y=M
     Y=Fuel volumetric flow rate
      M=IV/P current, voltage,& backpressure
Laser welding for Lap Joint Ideal Function
        Y=MM*+e
        M=displacement
        M*=Length
        Y=measured shear force


Windshield wiper Ideal Function
  Y=M+e
  Y = measured arrival time for wiper to reach a fixed point
  M=Theoretical, ideal time for which system was designed 1/rpm
        of the motor



  Metal Stamping ideal function
      Y=M+e
      Y=thickness change (t0-t)
      after stamping
      M=intended height change
      Minimize 
Adhesive film ideal function                   W
          Y=M+e
          Y=peel strength
       M=contact width
       Maximize 



Roll Mill ideal function
         Y=M+e
         Y=Thickness change
      M=reduction ratio
      Maximize 

  Determine the limiting value for thinness.
  More robust condition would enable thinner
POF
POF Underpinnings
Knowledge of how things fail and the root causes of
failures enables engineers to identify and avoid
unknowingly creating inherent potential failure
mechanisms in new product designs and solve problems
faster

“Knowing how & why things fail is equally important
to understand how & why things work”

 POF is applicable to the entire product life cycle
Physics of Failure and FEA
 Where do the stresses exceed the strength of the materials?


Finite Element Analysis 
(FEA) is a traditional 
engineering technique for 
predicting the responses of 
structures and materials to 
applied loads such as force, 
temperature, vibration and 
displacements. NASTRAN, 
ABACUS, …
Describe   Design    Collect   Fit   Predict




                    RSM
Response Surface Methods (RSM)
                  Plateaus & Some Robustness
 Requires construction of a mathematical model via response
surface methods (RSM) Typical model is a second order
polynomial model of the form:

     Y   0  1 X 1   2 X 2  11 X 12   22 X 2  12 X 1 X 2  
                                                    2




The model approximates the unknown true response function
by the first few terms of a Taylor’s series expansion . RSM has
recently been enhanced by inclusion of Propagation of error
(POE) methodology.

   ‘s are unknown coefficients to be estimated from
experimental data.  is an unknown calculable error .
Propagation of Error & RSM
                         Variation from factor A setting  is 
                         transmitted to  variation in response Y. 
                         How much variation  depends on 
Y                        nonlinearity of relationship and input 
                         variation. 
                                                    sensitivity
                                                      2
                                             k
                                               y 
                                           xi 2   resid
                                      2
                                      Y        x 
                                                          2

                                         i 1    i 


                              Y   0   1 A1   11 A12
    A1              A2
                              Yˆ  15  25 A1  . 7 A12
         Factor A
                               y
                                   25  1 . 4 A
                               A
                              Y      25    1 . 4 A1  
                                                          2   2
                                                              A      2
                                                                       resid
Central Composite Design


          RSM Graphics




Plateau
Robust Design                                      Reliability 
Focus on design transfer functions, ideal Focus on design dysfunction, failure modes, failure
functions                                 times, mechanisms of failure
Engineering focus, empirical models,      Mechanistic understanding, science oriented
Generic Models , statistics               approach ,
Optimization of functions with            Characterization of natural phenomena with root
verification testing requirement          cause analysis and countermeasures
Orthogonal array testing, Design of       Life tests, accelerated life tests, highly accelerated
Experiments planning                      tests, accelerated degradation tests, survival
Multitude of Control, noise, and signal   Single factor testing, some multifactor testing .
factor combinations for reducing          Fixed design with noise factors, acceleration
sensitivity to noise and amplifying       factors
sensitivity to signal
Actively change design parameters to      Design-Build-test-fix cycles for reliability growth
improve insensitivity to noise factors,
and sensitivity to signal factors
Robust Design                                        Reliability 
Failure inspection only with verification   Design out failure mechanisms.
testing of improved functions               Reduce variation in product strength. Reduce the
                                            effect of usage/environment.

Synergy with axiomatic design               Simplify design complexity for reliability
methodology including ideal design,         improvement. Reuse reliable hardware
and simpler design
Hierarchy of limits including functional    Identify & Increase design margins, HALT & HASS
limit, spec limit, control limit,           testing to flesh out design weaknesses.
adjustment limits                           Temperature & vibration stressors predominate
Measurement system and response             Time-to-failure quantitative measurements
selection paramount                         supported by analytic methods
Ideal function development for energy       Fitting distributions to stochastic failure time data
relate measures                             Time compression by stress application

Compound noise factors largest stress.      HALT & HASS highly accelerated testing to
Reduce variability to noise factors by      reveal design vulnerabilities and expand margins.
interaction between noise and control       Root cause exploration and mitigation
factors, signal and noise factor.
Summary
•   RD methods and Reliability methods both have functionality at their
    core. RD methods attempt to optimize the designs toward ideal function,
    diverting energy from creating problems and dysfunction. Reliability
    methods attempt to minimize dysfunction through mechanistic
    understand and mitigation of the root causes for problems.

•   RD methods actively change design parameters to efficiently and cost
    effectively explore viable design space. Reliability methods subject the
    designs to stresses, accelerating stresses, and even highly accelerated
    stresses, [to improve time and cost of testing]. First principle physical
    models are considered where available to predict stability.

•   Both RE and RD methods have strong merits, and learning when and
    how to apply each is a great advantage to product engineering teams.
Thanks for you kind attention 
• Presentation  .PDF will be available shortly on 
  www.opsalacarte.com
• Send comments and questions to 
  Loul@opsalacarte.com
APPENDIX
Upcoming Reliability Webinars
Our next FREE Webinar will be on: June 6, 2012
Which topic would you like to see?
1. Choosing the right Accelerated Life Test
2. Getting the most out of your FMEA
3. ROI for Design for Reliability
4. ROI for HALT Calculator

Send answer to :   mikes@opsalacarte.com

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Design for Robustness vs. Design for Reliability Webinar - Apr 2012 - Lou La Vallee - Webinar

  • 1. & We Provide You Confidence in Your Product ReliabilityTM Ops A La Carte / (408) 654-0499 / askops@opsalacarte.com / www.opsalacarte.com
  • 2. Robust Design & Reliability Engineering Apr 4, 2012 Louis LaVallee Sr Reliability Consultant
  • 3. Ops A La Carte is a Professional Reliability Engineering firm focused on providing you confidence in reliability throughout your product life cycle. Mike Silverm Managing Partner Offices & labs an (408) 472-3889 mikes@opsalacarte.com Louis LaVallee Sr. Reliability Consultant 585-281-1882 Loul@opsalacarte.com Website www.opsalacarte.com Dave Vaughan dave.vaughan@chart-ind.com
  • 4. Who Are We? – Ops A La Carte Santa Clara, CA – Founded in 2001 – Named top 10 fastest growing, privately-held companies in the Silicon Valley in 2006 and 2009 by the San Jose Business Journal. – Over 1400 projects completed in 10 years – Over 500 Customers in over 30 countries – Over 100 different industries, 6 main verticals Clean Tech, Med Tech, Telecom, Defense, Oil/Gas, Consumer product – We conduct FREE monthly webinars.
  • 5. • Ops Solutions – Ops provides end-to-end solutions that target the corporate product reliability objectives • Ops Individual “A La Carte” Consulting – Ops identifies and solves the missing key ingredients needed for a fully integrated reliable product • Ops Training – Ops’ highly specialized leaders and experts in the industry train others in both standard and customized training seminars • Ops Testing – Ops’ state-of-the-art provides comprehensive testing services
  • 6. Presenter: Dave Vaughan, National Sales Manager, HALT/HASS Systems Dave.Vaughan@chart-ind.com HQ in Minnesota • World’s Largest Cryogenic Equipment Supplier • Building quality products since ‘ 63 • HALT/HASS chamber manufacturer since ‘ 97 • ISO 9001 Certified • Only HALT/HASS supplier that can offer you a true Turn-key solution with Tank, Pipe and Chamber. • Hundreds of HALT/HASS chambers worldwide.
  • 7. Upcoming Events For Ops a  la Carte •IPC Conference on Test & Inspection •May 15-17, 2012, Costa Mesa, CA. •Ops A La Carte’s Vijay Prasad will be giving a presentation at this conference on  "New Techniques for More Effective ESS". •SMTA Conference on Soldering and Reliability •May 15‐18, 2012, Toronto. •Ops A La Carte's Peter Arrowsmith will be giving a presentation at this conference on  "Improving Product Reliability Using Accelerated Stress Testing".
  • 11. Webinar Demographics Registrants Approx 200 US States 30 Countries 13
  • 12. Survey Question #1 Do You Currently Practice Design for Robustness? Yes 41% No 37% I Don't Know 22%
  • 14. Abstract Robust Design (RD) Methodology is discussed for hardware development. Comparison is made with reliability engineering (RE) tools and practices. Differences and similarities are presented. Proximity to ideal function for robust design is presented and compared to physics of failure and other reliability modeling and prediction approaches . Measurement selection is shown to strongly differentiates RD and reliability engineering methods When and how to get the most from each methodology is outlined. Pitfalls for each set of practices are also covered.
  • 15. AXD TRIZ QFD DFR PUGH Many Design methods & Interfaces DOE ROBUST DESIGN VA/VE DFSS6 CP/CS MNGMT
  • 16. RD  Reliability Life Tests P-diagram Root cause Analysis Tolerance Design Layout POE Ideal Function POF DOE RCM Tuning Engineering Maintainability CBM 6 Flexibility Lean Science Warranty $ Robust Design Simulation Reliability Quality Testing Loss Models Reuse FMECA transformability HALT/HASS Planning S/N RSM Life prediction Redundancy Online QC ADT ALT Parameter design FTA Availability Generic Function RBD
  • 17. Robust Design Definition A systematic engineering based methodology (which is part of the Quality Engineering Process) that develops and manufactures high reliability products at low cost with reduced delivery cycle. The goal of robust design is to improve R&D productivity and reduce variation while maintaining low cost before shipment and minimal loss to society after shipment.
  • 18. Robustness is… “The ability to transform input to output as closely to ideal function as possible. Proximity to ideal function is highly desirable. A design is more robust if ratio of useful part to harmful part of input energy is large. A design is more robust if it operates close to ideal, even when exposed to various noise factors, including time” Reliability is… “The ability of a system, subsystem, assembly, or component to perform its required functions under stated conditions for a specified period of time”
  • 19. RD Noise Factor Definitions: Factors that disturb the function, which are difficult to control, or too expensive to control.  External noise factors include temperature, humidity, dust, vibration, contaminants,…  Unit-to-unit variation from manufacturing processes.  Deterioration, as time passes. Selection of noise factors and levels is a prediction of how device will be used downstream. Noise factors are used for upstream, midstream and sometimes downstream experimentation.
  • 21. Polling question 1 How would you classify highly accelerated life testing (HALT )? A. Robust design activity B. Reliability activity C. Neither D. Both
  • 22. ANSWER: B Robust Design HALT Quantitative Qualitative ‘Customer from hell ‘ prediction , Highly elevated stress levels for with compound noise factors Temp, Vibration , voltage Energy efficiency maximization None Transformability of input to output None Ideal function driven Failure mode driven Cost & Quality Loss driven Warranty costs, Service costs Upstream Technology Design-Build-test-fix-test-fix reproducibility downstream HALT Calculator
  • 24. Highly Accelerated Life Test (HALT)  • Stresses product beyond specifications • Gathers information on Product Limitations • Focuses on Design Weakness & Failures • 6 DoF Vibration  • High Thermal Rate of Change • Loosely Defined ‐ Modified “On the Fly” • Not a “Pass/Fail” Test
  • 26. Case Study #2 This is from a board used in an industrial power supply. The transformer windings broke causing an arc. This happened during combined temp + vibration at 30 G’s & 80C.
  • 27. Case Study #3 • Largest Test Equipment manufacturer for the  semiconductor industry • Over  $10 million dollars in warranty claims per year • Implemented HALT/HASS as part of their Product  Development Process • Company wide deployment • Result:  After 2‐3 years, warranty claims were  reduced to $500K.
  • 28. • What HALT/HASS does for your Company – Your Product’s Reliability  • New Products – Expedite the Development of New Products – Understand the existing product margins (and widen them) – ‘Ruggedize’ the product and remove design related weaknesses • Mature Products – Warranty Concerns – Find Manufacturing Defects/ Initiate Process Changes – Look for Continuous Product Improvement Defective products create unexpected costs for producers and financial losses for disappointed consumers
  • 29. Harmful Variation & Countermeasures • Search for root cause & eliminate it • Screen out defectives(scrap and rework) • Feedback/feed forward control systems • Tighten tolerances (control, noise, signal factors) • Add a subsystem to balance the problem • Calibration & adjustment • Robust design (Parameter design & RSM) • Change the concept to better one • Turn off or turn down the power • Correct design mistakes (putting diodes in backwards)
  • 30. Sales Points for Robust design Enabled Reasoning Flexible technology to avoid having to reoptimize or reinvent a new design each time Fewer experiments to obtain required information. Improved reproducibility of experiments and measurements Improved energy efficiency through dynamic S/N ratios & adjustment factors Experimental planning to reduce ad hoc / trial & error testing Bringing Improvement objective to experimentation rather than just characterization Preventing non-robust designs from going downstream creating lots of trouble Smoother subsystem integration With coarse and fine tuning factor identification
  • 31. Enabled Reasoning Early input to reliability planning to reduce excessive testing time Reduced design complexity for simpler software, simpler compensation systems, & reduced information content Identification of good tuning factors for when process drifts or when system designer does subsystem integration Capturing design engineering for rapid product variants and future knowledge platform of products Rapid maturation of critical parameters and supporting critical specifications Early identification of technology limitations Inspection of engineering knowledge- to prevent downstream problems Identification of good measures To enable consistently correct decisions
  • 32. 6 Fundamental Concept Y=f(X)+e Response Y X1, X2,…,XN Dependent Independent Output Input Effect = Cause Symptom Problem Monitor Control In reliability engineering for example , Y is the continuous stochastic variable (time-to-failure) and F(x) is the failure mechanism, or mechanistic model . In RD, smooth transformability between input and output is considered.
  • 33. Reliability Growth Historically, the reliability growth process has been treated as, a reactive approach to growing reliability based on failures “discovered” and fixed during testing or, most unfortunately, once a system/product has been delivered to a customer. This reactive approach ignores opportunities to grow reliability during the earliest design phases of a system or product. Delayed fix jump MTBF New build jump Cumulative test time
  • 34. Robustness Growth S/N Factors Can be changed today time S/N Factors Can be changed in 1 week time S/N Benchmark Target Factors Can be changed in 2 weeks Robustness gains time
  • 35. Progression of Robustness to Ideal Function Development A B C LSL USL Zero Defects Cpk Static S/N Dynamic S/N Ratio When a product’s performance deviates from target, its quality is considered inferior. Such deviations in performance cause losses to the user of the product, and in varying degrees to the rest of society.
  • 36. Useful Input signals Output Main Function Mi Y=f(x)+ Harmful Output Noise Control Factors Factors Taxonomy of Design Function --P Diagram
  • 37. Polling Question 2 Which is a more difficult problem for engineers? a. Tuning the mean value of a device or process output b. Controlling the variation of a device or process output c. Both have the same degree of difficulty d. Tuning and variation control are just manufacturing problems
  • 39. Simple Helical Spring Design Useful Input signal Main Function Output X F=-kX+e Y  M   Zero Point Proportional Ideal Function Force Ideal (Hooke’s Law) N Actual 0,0 Displacement X (mm)
  • 40. Transformability &Robustness Improvement Response Response N1 N1 N2 N2 0,0 M      signal 0,0 M     signal Minimizing the effects of noise factors on transformation of input to output improves reliability. Sensitivity increase can be used for power reduction . Noise factor here might be fatigue cycles, or stress in one or two directions, or …
  • 41. Analysis of Variance ANOVA Resolution of the quantity of work which various types of sources have performed on the target characteristic. All factors affect variation. (screening?) In physics, the quantity of work is proportional to the product of a generalized force and a generalized displacement. Energy is always the product of a pair of variables e.g. Force and distance for mechanical , voltage and charge, pressure and volume, absolute temperature and S, magnetic potential and magnetic flux, chemical potential and quantity of material, moment and angular rotation, etc. RD’s focus is on elements of energy transfer
  • 42. Comparison experiment between two helical spring suppliers A1 and A2. Two replicates are measured for each supplier. Calculate S/N ratio for each supplier’s springs Supplier Signal factor M1=30 M2=60 M3=90 R1 65N 136 208 A1 R2 74 147 197 A1 Total 139 283 405 R1 61 135 201 A2 R2 71 145 208 A2 Total 132 280 409
  • 43. Robustness S/N ratio ANOVA Calculation S T   y11  y11  ...  y kr0 2 2 2 Total Sum of Squares df  kr0 Total Degrees of freedom E ( S  )  r0 r  2   2 Expected value of  r  M 12  M 22  ...  M k2 Power of signal S  1 M 1 y1  M 2 y 2  ... M k y k 2 Sum of squares for slope  r0 r df  1 Degrees of freedom for  S e  ST  S  Sum of squares for error df  kr0  1 Degrees of freedom for error Se Ve  kr0  1 Error Variance 1 r0 r S   Ve  Power of signal to change useful output ‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐   10 log 10  Power of Noise to change harmful output Ve
  • 44. S/N Ratio Calculation & Comparison for Two Suppliers A1 & A2 S T  65 2  74 2  ...  197 2  131879 df  6   r0 r  2  30 2  60 2  90 2  25 , 200 ( M 1 y1  M 1 y1  M 1 y1 ) 2 (30  139  60  283  90  405 ) 2 S    131657 .14 r0 r 25200 df  1 S e  S T  S   131879  131657 .14  221 .86 df  5 S e 221 .86 Ve   44 .37 5 5 1 131657 .14  44 .37  A  10 log 25200  10 log .1177   9 .29 dB 1 44 .37 A   7 .79 dB 2 Supplier A2 better by 1.5 dB
  • 45. Useful Input signal Main Function Output M Y=f(x)+ Main function is to transform input signal to useful output. Energy transformation takes many different forms, (but usually not 2nd order polynomials, as in RSM) Common Ideal Function Forms: Y  M  Y     * M *  M * M   Y  M   Y  1  e  M   Y  Y0   ( M  M 0 )   Y   M x   Y    M   YY  R  jX R  jX )    Y  M 1M 2   M1  Y    M  M   Y   M2 ...
  • 47. Measurements • One of the most important distinctions between robust design (RD) activities and reliability engineering (RE) is what is being measured during experimentation. Time-to-failure(TTF) , typically used in reliability testing, is a continuous stochastic variable with an associated probability distribution, e.g. Weibull, normal, lognormal, Rarely has TTF been used for robust design , other than for isolated verification testing. RD focus is on smooth energy transformation of input to output
  • 48. Typical Reliability Measures • Life data • Time-to-failure • Time between failures • Survival Count • Event times • Degradation of performance (of items below) Typical Robust Design Measures • Force, Current • Pressure Voltage • Velocity Intensity • Temperature RPM • Weight Angular velocity • Distance Magnetic potential • Thickness Time relative to ideal • Torque Luminous Flux • Volume … • Flow rate
  • 49. RD Criteria for Measurement  Validity first  Continuous variable (richest analytics)  Completeness  Fundamental, disaggregated  Practical, affordable  Monotonic with control factors  Related to basic energy transfer mechanism  Measurement Capability High  Engineering Focus Picks up information about dysfunction Open loop Try not to measure ‘ideally zero ‘ quantities
  • 50. Lack of monotonicity of ‘misregistration’ measurement Stack 1 Stack 2 X X Stack 3 Stack 4 X X Four paper stacks with same X. Same number indicates different problems and different required countermeasures. Yield?
  • 51. Science & Engineering Attitude • In science, understanding nature, searching for an accurate relational equation, and uncovering patterns and symmetries are most important. Reduction of error between observed characteristic value and the relational equation prediction is paramount. This method is completely correct as a scientific objective, i.e. searching for a formula which correctly expresses observational data. • Engineering attitude however must consider profitability, excellence, efficiency of R&D. Low cost competitive designs which can operate with small variation even when subjected to combinations of worst predicted customer usage conditions, manufacturing tolerances, and degradation processes are required. RD is more engineering oriented while Reliability (POF) is more science oriented!
  • 52. Marginal Means Plot from L9 Experiment Data Response or 4 Factors @ 3 levels Sensitivity or S/N ratio 15% 45% 5% 15% Grand avg Factors A B C D Combination A2B2C2D2 ~ Mean A3B1C3D3 = max response A1B3C1D1 = min response Error % ~20%
  • 54. Automotive Brake Pad Example Y Ideal Y Reality M=Master cylinder Pressure Y=Torque Generated M M Y Ideal Y Reality Adjustment signal M*= Pad surface area Y=torque generated Ideal Function=Y=MM* MM* MM*
  • 55. Braking Ideal Function=Y=MM* M*=Pad surface area Control factors: M=master cylinder pressure, Raw Materials Raw material prep process parameters Pad manufacturing process parameters Dimensions, … Symptoms / side effects: Brake Noise Part Breakage Wear Vibration, squealing … GM Working on this one for many years! Noise factors: Temperature/humidity variability Deterioration and aging Brake fluid type and amount Manufacturing variability Raw materials lot-to-lot & within lot Variability in process parameter settings
  • 56. Numerical Control Machine (NC) Ideal Function: Transform programmed dimensions into product dimensions A generic test piece rather than an actual part, can be designed. The test piece can be easier to measure accurately. It also can evaluate multiple levels of signal factor. Lots of dimensions to measure by CMM~67 level signal factor Control Factors: Speed, Feed rate, Tool Material, Tool travel, Tool stiffness, cut Depth, tool angle, … Noise Factors: Material Hardness, tool wear, Lubricant age, Lubricant condition,…
  • 57. Generic test piece Transformability Hardness 1 Ideal Hardness 2 Function Part Dimensions Y=M+e v M1 M67 NC machine Intended dimension(mm)
  • 58. Measurement System Ideal Function Y=M+e M=true value of measurand Y=measured value Auto Steering Ideal function Y=M+e M=steering wheel angle Y=Turning radius Communication system ideal function Y=M+e M=signal sent Y=signal received Cantilever beam Ideal Function Y=M/M*+e M=Load M*=Cross sectional area Fuel Pump Ideal Function Y=M Y=Fuel volumetric flow rate M=IV/P current, voltage,& backpressure
  • 59. Laser welding for Lap Joint Ideal Function Y=MM*+e M=displacement M*=Length Y=measured shear force Windshield wiper Ideal Function Y=M+e Y = measured arrival time for wiper to reach a fixed point M=Theoretical, ideal time for which system was designed 1/rpm of the motor Metal Stamping ideal function Y=M+e Y=thickness change (t0-t) after stamping M=intended height change Minimize 
  • 60. Adhesive film ideal function W Y=M+e Y=peel strength M=contact width Maximize  Roll Mill ideal function Y=M+e Y=Thickness change M=reduction ratio Maximize  Determine the limiting value for thinness. More robust condition would enable thinner
  • 61. POF
  • 62. POF Underpinnings Knowledge of how things fail and the root causes of failures enables engineers to identify and avoid unknowingly creating inherent potential failure mechanisms in new product designs and solve problems faster “Knowing how & why things fail is equally important to understand how & why things work” POF is applicable to the entire product life cycle
  • 63. Physics of Failure and FEA Where do the stresses exceed the strength of the materials? Finite Element Analysis  (FEA) is a traditional  engineering technique for  predicting the responses of  structures and materials to  applied loads such as force,  temperature, vibration and  displacements. NASTRAN,  ABACUS, …
  • 64. Describe Design Collect Fit Predict RSM
  • 65. Response Surface Methods (RSM) Plateaus & Some Robustness Requires construction of a mathematical model via response surface methods (RSM) Typical model is a second order polynomial model of the form: Y   0  1 X 1   2 X 2  11 X 12   22 X 2  12 X 1 X 2   2 The model approximates the unknown true response function by the first few terms of a Taylor’s series expansion . RSM has recently been enhanced by inclusion of Propagation of error (POE) methodology. ‘s are unknown coefficients to be estimated from experimental data.  is an unknown calculable error .
  • 66. Propagation of Error & RSM Variation from factor A setting  is  transmitted to  variation in response Y.  How much variation  depends on  Y nonlinearity of relationship and input  variation.  sensitivity 2 k  y        xi 2   resid 2 Y  x  2 i 1  i  Y   0   1 A1   11 A12 A1 A2 Yˆ  15  25 A1  . 7 A12 Factor A y  25  1 . 4 A A Y  25  1 . 4 A1   2 2 A  2 resid
  • 67. Central Composite Design RSM Graphics Plateau
  • 68. Robust Design Reliability  Focus on design transfer functions, ideal Focus on design dysfunction, failure modes, failure functions times, mechanisms of failure Engineering focus, empirical models, Mechanistic understanding, science oriented Generic Models , statistics approach , Optimization of functions with Characterization of natural phenomena with root verification testing requirement cause analysis and countermeasures Orthogonal array testing, Design of Life tests, accelerated life tests, highly accelerated Experiments planning tests, accelerated degradation tests, survival Multitude of Control, noise, and signal Single factor testing, some multifactor testing . factor combinations for reducing Fixed design with noise factors, acceleration sensitivity to noise and amplifying factors sensitivity to signal Actively change design parameters to Design-Build-test-fix cycles for reliability growth improve insensitivity to noise factors, and sensitivity to signal factors
  • 69. Robust Design Reliability  Failure inspection only with verification Design out failure mechanisms. testing of improved functions Reduce variation in product strength. Reduce the effect of usage/environment. Synergy with axiomatic design Simplify design complexity for reliability methodology including ideal design, improvement. Reuse reliable hardware and simpler design Hierarchy of limits including functional Identify & Increase design margins, HALT & HASS limit, spec limit, control limit, testing to flesh out design weaknesses. adjustment limits Temperature & vibration stressors predominate Measurement system and response Time-to-failure quantitative measurements selection paramount supported by analytic methods Ideal function development for energy Fitting distributions to stochastic failure time data relate measures Time compression by stress application Compound noise factors largest stress. HALT & HASS highly accelerated testing to Reduce variability to noise factors by reveal design vulnerabilities and expand margins. interaction between noise and control Root cause exploration and mitigation factors, signal and noise factor.
  • 70. Summary • RD methods and Reliability methods both have functionality at their core. RD methods attempt to optimize the designs toward ideal function, diverting energy from creating problems and dysfunction. Reliability methods attempt to minimize dysfunction through mechanistic understand and mitigation of the root causes for problems. • RD methods actively change design parameters to efficiently and cost effectively explore viable design space. Reliability methods subject the designs to stresses, accelerating stresses, and even highly accelerated stresses, [to improve time and cost of testing]. First principle physical models are considered where available to predict stability. • Both RE and RD methods have strong merits, and learning when and how to apply each is a great advantage to product engineering teams.
  • 71. Thanks for you kind attention  • Presentation  .PDF will be available shortly on  www.opsalacarte.com • Send comments and questions to  Loul@opsalacarte.com