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Embracing Asset Investment Analytics
AMPEAK March 2017
Dr. Mark Englehardt and Bruce Murnane
How many possible options?
• Roll one die - has 6 possible outcomes (61)
• Roll two dice - there are 6*6 (=36) outcomes (62)
• Roll three dice - there are 6*6*6 (216) outcomes (63)
• For 50 assets:
• 5km of road split into 100m segments or lengths
• 50 poles or
• 50 lengths of water pipe.
– with 4 possible interventions/treatments pa and
– to plan for 10 years, there are,
– 20010 options (102,400,000,000,000,000,000,000)
2
Analytics Journey
3
E.g. How does
changing CAPEX
affect Risk and
Customer Service?
Asset
Scope
£Benefits
PR04 PR09 PR14AMP4 AMP5 AMP6 PR19
A Utility– Benefit Journey
What do you need to succeed?
• Clear line of sight
with good data
• People – skills and
capability
• Process – correct
processes
supported by
appropriate
systems
• Intelligence – able
to explore and
identify the optimal
plan
5
The Aim: Efficient financial, investment and operational decision making
Benefits Delivered from Asset Investment Planning
6
Efficiency Savings
• Less spend to achieve the same service by comparison with
traditional siloed methods.
Improved Level of Funding
• Increases to regulatory settlements
Improved Customer Service
• Reduction of service failures
More Efficient Planning
• Move from data intensive, manual process to automation
• Speedier re-calculation of different scenarios
ISO 55000 and Delivery of Best
Practice
• Provides “line of sight” between asset strategy and
operations
• Clients judged as industry leading
An integrated future
7
Asset & Project Investment Decisions
External
Priorities
Dashboard Management
Accounts
Strategic Asset
Management System
(ERP/EAM/Works
Management/Asset Register)
Financial and
Accounting System
Real-time Data
Capture
Geographical
Information
System (GIS)
Field Force /
Mobile Workers
Data Hub
Ad-hoc
Spreadsheets
and Databases
BI/Analytics
PerformanceMonitor
Financial Forecasting and
Planning
Strategic Investment
Modelling, Forecasting
and Planning
Asset Investment
Modelling, Forecasting
and Planning
Spreadsheet
deterioration
model
Integrate or Replace Existing Models
Concluding Comments
• Asset rich organisations face the challenges of:
– higher customer service levels expectations,
– pressure from stakeholders and regulators,
– environmental challenges and, increasingly
– less budget to achieve these objectives.
• Efficiencies can be delivered by using modern prescriptive analytics
which provide the ability to:
– manage investment decisions within and across asset classes, as well as
– understand the impact on cost, risk and performance.
• Those companies that have embraced Enterprise Decision Analytics
have derived significant benefits from improved funding, better
governance and cost savings associated with better investment
decisions
8
Questions?
9

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Embracing Asset Investment Analytics

  • 1. Embracing Asset Investment Analytics AMPEAK March 2017 Dr. Mark Englehardt and Bruce Murnane
  • 2. How many possible options? • Roll one die - has 6 possible outcomes (61) • Roll two dice - there are 6*6 (=36) outcomes (62) • Roll three dice - there are 6*6*6 (216) outcomes (63) • For 50 assets: • 5km of road split into 100m segments or lengths • 50 poles or • 50 lengths of water pipe. – with 4 possible interventions/treatments pa and – to plan for 10 years, there are, – 20010 options (102,400,000,000,000,000,000,000) 2
  • 3. Analytics Journey 3 E.g. How does changing CAPEX affect Risk and Customer Service?
  • 4. Asset Scope £Benefits PR04 PR09 PR14AMP4 AMP5 AMP6 PR19 A Utility– Benefit Journey
  • 5. What do you need to succeed? • Clear line of sight with good data • People – skills and capability • Process – correct processes supported by appropriate systems • Intelligence – able to explore and identify the optimal plan 5 The Aim: Efficient financial, investment and operational decision making
  • 6. Benefits Delivered from Asset Investment Planning 6 Efficiency Savings • Less spend to achieve the same service by comparison with traditional siloed methods. Improved Level of Funding • Increases to regulatory settlements Improved Customer Service • Reduction of service failures More Efficient Planning • Move from data intensive, manual process to automation • Speedier re-calculation of different scenarios ISO 55000 and Delivery of Best Practice • Provides “line of sight” between asset strategy and operations • Clients judged as industry leading
  • 7. An integrated future 7 Asset & Project Investment Decisions External Priorities Dashboard Management Accounts Strategic Asset Management System (ERP/EAM/Works Management/Asset Register) Financial and Accounting System Real-time Data Capture Geographical Information System (GIS) Field Force / Mobile Workers Data Hub Ad-hoc Spreadsheets and Databases BI/Analytics PerformanceMonitor Financial Forecasting and Planning Strategic Investment Modelling, Forecasting and Planning Asset Investment Modelling, Forecasting and Planning Spreadsheet deterioration model Integrate or Replace Existing Models
  • 8. Concluding Comments • Asset rich organisations face the challenges of: – higher customer service levels expectations, – pressure from stakeholders and regulators, – environmental challenges and, increasingly – less budget to achieve these objectives. • Efficiencies can be delivered by using modern prescriptive analytics which provide the ability to: – manage investment decisions within and across asset classes, as well as – understand the impact on cost, risk and performance. • Those companies that have embraced Enterprise Decision Analytics have derived significant benefits from improved funding, better governance and cost savings associated with better investment decisions 8