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 Definition
 How Is the Rate of Unemployment Calculated?
 Unemployment Rate in Pakistan
 Unemployment is a global issue
 Causes of Rising Unemployment
 Consequences of Rising Unemployment
 How to curb the issue of Rising Unemployment In Pakistan
 Indian China Model to curb this issue
3
 Unemployment is the condition of one who is capable of working,
actively seeking work, but unable to find any work.
Source: Encyclopaedia of Britannica
4
 The unemployment rate is defined as the
percentage of unemployed persons in the labour
force.
 The formula for finding the unemployment rate is:
Unemployment rate = (Unemployed workers / Total labor
force) x 100
5
Source: : Pakistan Bureau of Statistics LFS 2020-2021
https://www.masterclass.com/articles/learn-about-unemployment
The economically active population (or labour force) encompasses
all persons employed and all those who are unemployed. The
survey results indicated that the labour force increased from 68.75
million in 2018-19 to 71.76 million in 2020-21. This shows increase
of 1.51 million per annum.
6
Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics LFS 2020-2021
The “Employed” comprises all persons ten years of age and over who
worked at least one hour during the reference period and were either
“paid employed” or “self-employed”. The volume of employed persons
increased (3.22 million) from 64.03 million in 2018-19 to 67.25 million in
2020- 21. This shows 1.61 million people are added in employed labour
force per annum.
7
Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics LFS 2020-2021
The “unemployed” comprises all persons ten years of age and
over who were without work during the reference period (past
week) but currently looking and available for work. The
comparative surveys figures show that the volume of
unemployed person decreases by 0.20 million from 4.71
million in 2018-19 to 4.51 million in 2020-21.
8
Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics LFS 2020-2021
It goes down from (6.9%) in 2018-19 to (6.3%) in the LFS 2020-21.
Decrease is observed both in case of males (5.9%, 5.5%) and females
(10.0%, 8.9%). Generally the unemployment rate in females is more
pronounced as compared to males during the comparative period.
Area- wise disaggregated figures indicate that unemployment rate goes
down both in urban (7.9%, 7.3%) and in rural areas (6.4%, 5.8%)
Comparative figures suggest significant decrease in rural males (5.5%,
5.1%) and females (8.5%, 7.4%) and in urban male (6.5%, 6.0%) and
urban females (17.1%, 16.4%).
9
Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics LFS 2020-2021
10
Source
https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/PAK/pakistan
/unemployment-rate
Year Rate % Annual Change
2020 4.65% 0.67%
2019 3.98% -0.10%
2018 4.08% 0.14%
2017 3.94% 0.16%
2016 3.78% 0.21%
2015 3.57% 1.74%
2014 1.83% -1.12%
2013 2.95% 1.25%
11
Source
https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/PAK/pakistan
/unemployment-rate
Country Name
Unemployment Rate
(%)
West Bank and
Gaza
27.35%
Lesotho 24.65%
Eswatini 23.40%
Sudan 17.71%
Tunisia 16.69%
Sao Tome and
Principe
13.86%
Cabo Verde 13.41%
Zambia 12.17%
Country Name
Unemployment
Rate (%)
Georgia
12.05%
Djibouti 11.57%
Mauritania 10.66%
Egypt 10.45%
Congo, Rep. 10.27%
Morocco 10.15%
Ukraine 9.48%
Honduras 9.39%
12
Source
https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/PAK/pakistan
/unemployment-rate
Country Name Unemployment Rate (%)
Kyrgyz Republic
7.89%
Angola 7.70%
India 7.11%
El Salvador 6.98%
Uzbekistan 5.97%
Nicaragua 5.82%
Bolivia 5.61%
Bangladesh 5.30%
Timor-Leste 5.06%
Sri Lanka 4.84%
Moldova 4.71%
Pakistan 4.65%
 Rapidly Growing Population Rate
 Lack of Income Generation Skills
 Youth has degrees but not job
 Low Literacy, Education and Training
 Rural to Urban Migration
13
Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics LFS 2020-2021
14
Source: https://tradingeconomics.com/pakistan/population
15
Source: Dawn news
16
Source: Dawn news
The lack of education opportunities among the working-age population
clearly contributes to the enabling of unemployment and the weak
chances of finding better paid jobs or jobs with greater security and
benefits.
The country’s development largely depends on having skilled persons
and it is imparted through the education system and also through further
formal training, which may be specifically related to the requirements of
the job.
17
Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics LFS 2020-2021
out of (17.4 Million) trained population, 14.8 Million are those who are
informal apprentice, after that (1.7 million) are there who got training
from Private/Public, vocational institutes. The number of person who
received training from Government/Public training institutes is less
than one million (0.9). If we have a look at percentage tables, it shows
that (84.8%) of trained persons have received informal training and
about only (15%) are those who had training from
Government/Public/Private training institutes.
18
Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics LFS 2020-2021
Rural to urban migration accounts for about one in eighth (11.7%) of the total flow of
migrants within and between areas. Males are more savvy to go urban (13.7%)
compared to females (10.5%). Proportions by provinces form a descending sequence
of KP (20.8%), Punjab (12.4%), Balochistan (10.1%) and Sindh (3.5%)). As for change
during the comparative period is concerned, the rural to urban migration is trending
down in KP (30.7%, 20.8%), Punjab (14.2%, 12.4%) and Sindh (6.4%, 3.5%) while trend
up in Balochistan (1.9%, 10.1%) during the comparative period.
19
Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics LFS 2020-2021
 Individuals
 Economic efficiency
 Socio-political stability
20
Source
https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/PAK/pakistan/une
mployment-rate
 Unemployed people have no ability to fulfill their financial
obligations and can become mentally stressed, ill, and even
homeless.
21
Source
https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/PAK/pakistan/une
mployment-rate
22
Source:https://www.pbs.gov.pk/publication/labour-force-
survey-2020-21-annual-report
23
Source:https://www.pbs.gov.pk/publication/labour-force-
survey-2020-21-annual-report
Contd…
24
Contd…
Source:https://www.pbs.gov.pk/publication/labour-force-
survey-2020-21-annual-report
During times of high unemployment, many job seekers will accept
new jobs below their skill level, a situation called
“underemployment,” which translates to a loss of human capital for
an economy’s labor market. Unemployed workers will also
significantly decrease their consumer spending, which is one of the
driving forces of economic growth. Without consumer spending, the
economy will slow dramatically.
25
Source
https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/PAK/pakistan/une
mployment-rate
If unemployment remains high, citizen dissatisfaction can rise to the
point of widespread civil unrest.
26
Source
https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/PAK/pakistan/une
mployment-rate
 Agriculture plays a pivotal role to spur economic growth
 Small & Medium Enterprises play their due role in economic
development
 Importance of China–Pakistan Economic Corridor Project (CPEC)
 The construction and manufacturing sectors are major source of
the economic growth and development
27
 Agricultural sector is indispensable to the country’s economic
growth, food security, employment generation and poverty
alleviation particularly, at the rural level.
 It contributes 19.2 percent to the GDP and provides employment
to around 38.5 percent of the labour force.
28
Source: Pakistan Economic Survey
 More than 65-70 percent of the population depends on agriculture
for its livelihood.
 Agricultural growth rate has been constrained by shrinking arable
land, climate change, water shortages, and large-scale population
and labour shift from rural to urban areas.
29
Source: Pakistan Economic Survey
70%
39%
19%
POPLULATION DEPEND ON AGRICULTURE
CONTRIBUTION IN LABOR FORCE
CONTRIBUTION IN GDP
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%
Column1
30
Source: Pakistan Economic Survey
 In Pakistan, SME sector contributes an estimated 404 percent to
GDP and it holds tremendous potential to create a positive impact
on Pakistan’s economy.
 In Pakistan, SME sector contributes an estimated 404 percent to
GDP and it holds tremendous potential to create a positive impact
on Pakistan’s economy.
31
Source: Pakistan Economic Survey
 To enable SMEs in Pakistan to play their due role in economic
development, Small and Medium Enterprises Development Authority
(SMEDA) has taken various initiatives towards fostering growth of
SMEs through a broad service portfolio spread across various SME
sectors and clusters.
32
Source: Pakistan Economic Survey
 CPEC is a flagship and most actively implemented project of the
Belt & Road Initiative (BRI) where Pakistan and China have
successfully launched 56 projects on the ground.
 Out of these projects, 26 projects worth approximately US$17
billion have been completed so far and 30 projects worth US$8.5
billion are under construction.
33
Source: Pakistan Economic Survey
 Pakistan’s strategic location has focused on developing an
efficient and well-integrated transport and communication
system by connecting remote regions of the country into one
road one Asia chain.
 With the help of CPEC, roads and railways infrastructure will
integrate Pakistan with the regional countries which will help
in generating economic and business activities by integrating
its markets with Central Asia, the Middle East, and other
parts of the world.
34
Source: Pakistan Economic Survey
 Expansion of these sectors can generate millions of jobs for
unskilled, semi skilled and skilled workforce.
 Share of employment in construction sector has increased from
8.0 percent in 2018-19 to 9.5 percent in 020-21.
 This increase shows that job opportunities are being created in
the country. Wholesale and retail trade sector has shown 14.4
percent employment in 202021.
35
 The employment level in transport/storage & communication remained
same in the period under review and share of employment in
community/social & personal service sectors increased from 14.9
percent in 2018-19 to 16.0 percent in 2020-21.
36
Source: Pakistan Economic Survey
37
38
Thank You
39

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13.06.2022 Presentation on Rising Unempoyment in Pakistan by Muhammad Saeed.pptx

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  • 3.  Definition  How Is the Rate of Unemployment Calculated?  Unemployment Rate in Pakistan  Unemployment is a global issue  Causes of Rising Unemployment  Consequences of Rising Unemployment  How to curb the issue of Rising Unemployment In Pakistan  Indian China Model to curb this issue 3
  • 4.  Unemployment is the condition of one who is capable of working, actively seeking work, but unable to find any work. Source: Encyclopaedia of Britannica 4
  • 5.  The unemployment rate is defined as the percentage of unemployed persons in the labour force.  The formula for finding the unemployment rate is: Unemployment rate = (Unemployed workers / Total labor force) x 100 5 Source: : Pakistan Bureau of Statistics LFS 2020-2021 https://www.masterclass.com/articles/learn-about-unemployment
  • 6. The economically active population (or labour force) encompasses all persons employed and all those who are unemployed. The survey results indicated that the labour force increased from 68.75 million in 2018-19 to 71.76 million in 2020-21. This shows increase of 1.51 million per annum. 6 Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics LFS 2020-2021
  • 7. The “Employed” comprises all persons ten years of age and over who worked at least one hour during the reference period and were either “paid employed” or “self-employed”. The volume of employed persons increased (3.22 million) from 64.03 million in 2018-19 to 67.25 million in 2020- 21. This shows 1.61 million people are added in employed labour force per annum. 7 Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics LFS 2020-2021
  • 8. The “unemployed” comprises all persons ten years of age and over who were without work during the reference period (past week) but currently looking and available for work. The comparative surveys figures show that the volume of unemployed person decreases by 0.20 million from 4.71 million in 2018-19 to 4.51 million in 2020-21. 8 Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics LFS 2020-2021
  • 9. It goes down from (6.9%) in 2018-19 to (6.3%) in the LFS 2020-21. Decrease is observed both in case of males (5.9%, 5.5%) and females (10.0%, 8.9%). Generally the unemployment rate in females is more pronounced as compared to males during the comparative period. Area- wise disaggregated figures indicate that unemployment rate goes down both in urban (7.9%, 7.3%) and in rural areas (6.4%, 5.8%) Comparative figures suggest significant decrease in rural males (5.5%, 5.1%) and females (8.5%, 7.4%) and in urban male (6.5%, 6.0%) and urban females (17.1%, 16.4%). 9 Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics LFS 2020-2021
  • 10. 10 Source https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/PAK/pakistan /unemployment-rate Year Rate % Annual Change 2020 4.65% 0.67% 2019 3.98% -0.10% 2018 4.08% 0.14% 2017 3.94% 0.16% 2016 3.78% 0.21% 2015 3.57% 1.74% 2014 1.83% -1.12% 2013 2.95% 1.25%
  • 11. 11 Source https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/PAK/pakistan /unemployment-rate Country Name Unemployment Rate (%) West Bank and Gaza 27.35% Lesotho 24.65% Eswatini 23.40% Sudan 17.71% Tunisia 16.69% Sao Tome and Principe 13.86% Cabo Verde 13.41% Zambia 12.17% Country Name Unemployment Rate (%) Georgia 12.05% Djibouti 11.57% Mauritania 10.66% Egypt 10.45% Congo, Rep. 10.27% Morocco 10.15% Ukraine 9.48% Honduras 9.39%
  • 12. 12 Source https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/PAK/pakistan /unemployment-rate Country Name Unemployment Rate (%) Kyrgyz Republic 7.89% Angola 7.70% India 7.11% El Salvador 6.98% Uzbekistan 5.97% Nicaragua 5.82% Bolivia 5.61% Bangladesh 5.30% Timor-Leste 5.06% Sri Lanka 4.84% Moldova 4.71% Pakistan 4.65%
  • 13.  Rapidly Growing Population Rate  Lack of Income Generation Skills  Youth has degrees but not job  Low Literacy, Education and Training  Rural to Urban Migration 13 Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics LFS 2020-2021
  • 17. The lack of education opportunities among the working-age population clearly contributes to the enabling of unemployment and the weak chances of finding better paid jobs or jobs with greater security and benefits. The country’s development largely depends on having skilled persons and it is imparted through the education system and also through further formal training, which may be specifically related to the requirements of the job. 17 Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics LFS 2020-2021
  • 18. out of (17.4 Million) trained population, 14.8 Million are those who are informal apprentice, after that (1.7 million) are there who got training from Private/Public, vocational institutes. The number of person who received training from Government/Public training institutes is less than one million (0.9). If we have a look at percentage tables, it shows that (84.8%) of trained persons have received informal training and about only (15%) are those who had training from Government/Public/Private training institutes. 18 Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics LFS 2020-2021
  • 19. Rural to urban migration accounts for about one in eighth (11.7%) of the total flow of migrants within and between areas. Males are more savvy to go urban (13.7%) compared to females (10.5%). Proportions by provinces form a descending sequence of KP (20.8%), Punjab (12.4%), Balochistan (10.1%) and Sindh (3.5%)). As for change during the comparative period is concerned, the rural to urban migration is trending down in KP (30.7%, 20.8%), Punjab (14.2%, 12.4%) and Sindh (6.4%, 3.5%) while trend up in Balochistan (1.9%, 10.1%) during the comparative period. 19 Source: Pakistan Bureau of Statistics LFS 2020-2021
  • 20.  Individuals  Economic efficiency  Socio-political stability 20 Source https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/PAK/pakistan/une mployment-rate
  • 21.  Unemployed people have no ability to fulfill their financial obligations and can become mentally stressed, ill, and even homeless. 21 Source https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/PAK/pakistan/une mployment-rate
  • 25. During times of high unemployment, many job seekers will accept new jobs below their skill level, a situation called “underemployment,” which translates to a loss of human capital for an economy’s labor market. Unemployed workers will also significantly decrease their consumer spending, which is one of the driving forces of economic growth. Without consumer spending, the economy will slow dramatically. 25 Source https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/PAK/pakistan/une mployment-rate
  • 26. If unemployment remains high, citizen dissatisfaction can rise to the point of widespread civil unrest. 26 Source https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/PAK/pakistan/une mployment-rate
  • 27.  Agriculture plays a pivotal role to spur economic growth  Small & Medium Enterprises play their due role in economic development  Importance of China–Pakistan Economic Corridor Project (CPEC)  The construction and manufacturing sectors are major source of the economic growth and development 27
  • 28.  Agricultural sector is indispensable to the country’s economic growth, food security, employment generation and poverty alleviation particularly, at the rural level.  It contributes 19.2 percent to the GDP and provides employment to around 38.5 percent of the labour force. 28 Source: Pakistan Economic Survey
  • 29.  More than 65-70 percent of the population depends on agriculture for its livelihood.  Agricultural growth rate has been constrained by shrinking arable land, climate change, water shortages, and large-scale population and labour shift from rural to urban areas. 29 Source: Pakistan Economic Survey
  • 30. 70% 39% 19% POPLULATION DEPEND ON AGRICULTURE CONTRIBUTION IN LABOR FORCE CONTRIBUTION IN GDP 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Column1 30 Source: Pakistan Economic Survey
  • 31.  In Pakistan, SME sector contributes an estimated 404 percent to GDP and it holds tremendous potential to create a positive impact on Pakistan’s economy.  In Pakistan, SME sector contributes an estimated 404 percent to GDP and it holds tremendous potential to create a positive impact on Pakistan’s economy. 31 Source: Pakistan Economic Survey
  • 32.  To enable SMEs in Pakistan to play their due role in economic development, Small and Medium Enterprises Development Authority (SMEDA) has taken various initiatives towards fostering growth of SMEs through a broad service portfolio spread across various SME sectors and clusters. 32 Source: Pakistan Economic Survey
  • 33.  CPEC is a flagship and most actively implemented project of the Belt & Road Initiative (BRI) where Pakistan and China have successfully launched 56 projects on the ground.  Out of these projects, 26 projects worth approximately US$17 billion have been completed so far and 30 projects worth US$8.5 billion are under construction. 33 Source: Pakistan Economic Survey
  • 34.  Pakistan’s strategic location has focused on developing an efficient and well-integrated transport and communication system by connecting remote regions of the country into one road one Asia chain.  With the help of CPEC, roads and railways infrastructure will integrate Pakistan with the regional countries which will help in generating economic and business activities by integrating its markets with Central Asia, the Middle East, and other parts of the world. 34 Source: Pakistan Economic Survey
  • 35.  Expansion of these sectors can generate millions of jobs for unskilled, semi skilled and skilled workforce.  Share of employment in construction sector has increased from 8.0 percent in 2018-19 to 9.5 percent in 020-21.  This increase shows that job opportunities are being created in the country. Wholesale and retail trade sector has shown 14.4 percent employment in 202021. 35
  • 36.  The employment level in transport/storage & communication remained same in the period under review and share of employment in community/social & personal service sectors increased from 14.9 percent in 2018-19 to 16.0 percent in 2020-21. 36 Source: Pakistan Economic Survey
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