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The UAE Insurance Industry
2 August 2009
 

TABLE OF CONTENTS
Executive Summary ........................................................................................................................................... 4 
I. 

Scope of the report........................................................................................................................................ 4 

II.  Investment rationale ...................................................................................................................................... 4 
1. Middle East Insurance Industry..................................................................................................................... 6 
1.1.  Overview........................................................................................................................................................ 6 
1.2.  The GCC ....................................................................................................................................................... 7 
1.2.1. 
1.2.2. 
1.2.3. 
1.2.4. 

Overview ..............................................................................................................................................................7 
Conventional vs. Takaful......................................................................................................................................7 
Non-life insurance dominates...............................................................................................................................7 
‘National’ insurers.................................................................................................................................................8 

2. Financial performance.................................................................................................................................... 9 
2.1.  Financial performance................................................................................................................................... 9 
2.2.  Takaful and life insurance attractive growth areas ..................................................................................... 13 
2.3.  Comparative Financial Performance........................................................................................................... 13 
3. Valuations ...................................................................................................................................................... 15 
4. Stock Liquidity .............................................................................................................................................. 15 
5. Growth Illustration ........................................................................................................................................ 16 
6. Corporate Governance ................................................................................................................................. 18 
7. Key Growth Drivers ...................................................................................................................................... 19 
7.1.  Favorable demographics............................................................................................................................. 19 
7.2.  High and rising GDP per capita .................................................................................................................. 19 
7.3.  Economic diversification.............................................................................................................................. 19 
7.4.  Regulation driving growth............................................................................................................................ 20 
8. Emerging Trends .......................................................................................................................................... 21 
8.1.  Islamic Insurance making inroads............................................................................................................... 21 
8.2.  Regulatory framework ................................................................................................................................. 21 
8.3.  Leveraging distribution channels ................................................................................................................ 23 
8.4.  Cross - border expansion............................................................................................................................ 23 
8.5.  Advent of foreign players leading to increased competition ....................................................................... 23 
8.6.  Focus on core activities............................................................................................................................... 24 
8.7.  Expected consolidation ............................................................................................................................... 24 
9. Key Risks ....................................................................................................................................................... 25 
9.1.  Equity and property market volatility ........................................................................................................... 25 
9.2.  Weakening underwriting performance ........................................................................................................ 25 
9.3.  Project delays and cancellations................................................................................................................. 25 
9.4.  Increased use of captive insurance ............................................................................................................ 25 
9.5.  Shortage of skilled labor.............................................................................................................................. 26 
Appendix: Company Profiles .......................................................................................................................... 27 

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DISCLAIMER
This material was produced by Alpen Capital (ME) Limited (‘Alpen’), a firm regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority. This
document is not to be used or considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities. Alpen may, from time to
time, to the extent permitted by law, participate or invest in other financing transactions with the issuers of the securities
(‘securities’), perform services for or solicit business from such issuer, and/or have a position or effect transactions in the securities
or options thereof. Alpen may, to the extent permitted by applicable UAE law or other applicable laws or regulations, effect
transactions in the securities before this material is published to recipients. Information and opinions contained herein have been
compiled or arrived by Alpen from sources believed to be reliable, but Alpen has not independently verified the contents of this
document. Accordingly, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to and no reliance should be placed on the
fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information and opinions contained in this document. Alpen accepts no
liability for any loss arising from the use of this document or its contents or otherwise arising in connection therewith. This document
is not to be relied upon or used in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment. Alpen shall have no responsibility or liability
whatsoever in respect of any inaccuracy in or omission from this or any other document prepared by Alpen for, or sent by Alpen to,
any person, and any such person shall be responsible for conducting his own investigation and analysis of the information contained
or referred to in this document and of evaluating the merits and risks involved in the securities forming the subject matter of this or
other such document. Opinions and estimates constitute our judgment and are subject to change without prior notice. Past
performance is not indicative of future results. This document does not constitute an offer or invitation to subscribe for or purchase
any securities, and neither this document nor anything contained herein shall form the basis of any contract or commitment what so
ever. It is being furnished to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Neither
this report nor any copy hereof may be distributed in any jurisdiction outside the UAE where its distribution may be restricted by law.
Persons who receive this report should make themselves aware of and adhere to any such restrictions. By accepting this report you
agree to be bound by the foregoing limitations.

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Executive Summary
I. Scope of the report

T

his report caters to investors who are looking to

the continuation of a long term trend that has seen the

invest in the UAE insurance sector (life and non-life).

average ratio of ceded to retained premiums fall from about

The primary focus of the report is on conventional

61.3% in 2007 to about 56.4% in the second quarter of 2009.

(non-Islamic) insurers and factors that drive premium income

This trend signals greater sophistication and underwriting

and earnings growth, including opportunities, challenges and

capacity of the UAE insurers, but also raises the question of

key trends facing the industry. The report also covers

the extent to which the insurers are equipped to handle the

valuations, governance and liquidity of the major industry

risks that are now retained, rather than passed on to

players.

reinsurance companies.

II. Investment rationale

• The UAE insurers are responding to lower growth by

Notwithstanding the global recession, the UAE insurance

ceding less business to reinsurance companies. In the

industry’s long-term outlook remains positive. Although

second quarter of 2009 the ratio of ceded to retained

weakness in new car and home sales and construction

premiums fell to an all time low of 56.4%.

project delays and cancellation will result in weaker growth
in 2009 than over the past decade, we believe the sector will
resume double digit growth rates in 2010 to 2012. The key
factors underpinning the strong growth potential are
(Chapter 7):

While average growth in gross premium income was about
15.1% in the first and 0.8% in the second quarters of 2009,
growth in net premium revenue (net of reinsurance and
provisions for unearned premiums) was in excess of 20.0%
in both the first and the second quarter. We view growth in

• Low insurance penetration. Regulation, greater affluence,

gross premium income as a leading and growth in net

growth in organized savings, greater availability of Takaful

premium revenue as a lagging indicator of growth.

insurance products and changing consumer habits are

• Gross premium income growth is slowing rapidly, while net

some of the key drivers for spending on insurance
products.
• Strong

economic

premium income continues to grow fast, signaling slower
revenue growth ahead in 2009.

growth.

Efforts

to

diversify local

economies and greater investment in development of local
economies (as opposed to investment abroad) than in the
past.

The UAE insurers continue to perform very well in terms of
underwriting performance (Chapter 2.1). The performance
has been uneven however with about half the peer group
reporting increasing and half decreasing underwriting profits
over the past three years. Longer term, the average

• Favorable demographics.

underwriting margin is on a declining path, although this
We expect the UAE life and medical insurance industry to

remains very high by international standards. The decline is

grow at a significantly faster pace than non-life insurance.

a reflection of rapid growth over the past few years and

Oman

Insurance

increasing competition. The earnings performance is also

Company are well placed to capitalize on this opportunity

affected by cross-subsidization of unprofitable lines, such as

with 23.7% and 17.0% respectively of 2008 revenue

3rd party motor insurance.

Insurance

Company

and

Emirates

accounted for by life premiums.
• Very strong underwriting performance in the first half of
• Life and medical is growing faster than general insurance.

2009, but the long term trend points to greater
competition.

The UAE insurers are responding to slower growth in 2009
by ceding less business to reinsurance companies. This is

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All insurance companies surveyed, other than Arab Orient

however, with the introduction of a new regulatory body and

Insurance

aggressive

the promise of a capital adequacy regime akin to Solvency II

investment strategies, with an average of 65% of assets

Company,

have

adopted

very

(Chapter 8.2). This should encourage more discipline in

invested in equities and real estate, mostly locally (Chapter

areas of investment strategy, underwriting, reinsurance and

2.1). This has resulted in very volatile investment returns,

risk management. We believe the regulatory reform will also

with significant losses incurred in 2006 and 2008. In the

spur consolidation and cross boarder expansion, particularly

context of weak transparency and governance practices, we

into less penetrated markets in the MENA region, in the

feel this approach is unappealing to potential investors, but

relatively fragmented industry.

at the same time presents a great opportunity to unlock
Greater competition from foreign players entering the UAE

shareholder value.

market is encouraging local players to develop their
• Greater sophistication in investment strategy required.

distribution networks and strategies, enter into joint ventures
with their bank counterparts (bancassurance), and place

• Higher asset allocation towards cash and bonds and less
on equities and real estate. Better diversification of

more emphasis on product development and innovation
(Chapter 8.3).

investments and higher allocation to international assets.
We have identified the following key risks to investors in the
The UAE insurers are closely held and their stocks are

UAE insurance industry (Chapter 9):

inherently illiquid. The stocks are trading at relatively
moderate valuations, similar to an international peer group
(Chapter 3). The valuations are underpinned by strong
growth and good underwriting performance, but hampered
by aggressive investment strategies, lack of transparency
and weak stock liquidity. We feel there is potential to unlock
significant

value

shortcomings

in

by
terms

addressing
of

relatively

investment

simple

strategy

and

transparency.
• Very illiquid stocks.
• Trading at an average P/E ratio of 13.7 times.
• Potential to unlock shareholder value by adopting more
sophisticated investment strategy and providing greater

• Very high exposures to local equities and real estate and
hence high earnings volatility.
• Weakening underwriting performance on the back of rapid
growth, lack of claims history in some lines of insurance,
shortage of qualified staff (e.g. actuaries) and crosssubsidy of unprofitable lines.
• Increasing competition and pressure on premiums.
• Construction project delays and cancellations particularly
in Dubai.
• Increasing use of captive insurance.
• Weakness in governance and transparency.

transparency.
Conventional insurance continues to dominate the UAE
market, but more and more players are also establishing
Islamic compliant units (Chapter 8.1). We view exposure to
Islamic insurance as a positive, given a somewhat higher
growth rate than for conventional insurance, and favor
players present in both segments, such as Arab Orient
Insurance Company and Al Buhaira Insurance Company.
The UAE regulatory regime for the insurance industry is
minimal. Significant changes are expected going forward

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1. Middle East Insurance Industry

Chart 3: Non-life insurance market growth (%)
10.7%

1.1. Overview

5.5%

The Middle East insurance industry is relatively small and
3.1%

3.6%

3.0%

underdeveloped, accounting for less than 0.7% of the global
insurance market of US$4.27 trillion in 2008 (See chart 1).

-0.4%
Middle East
and Central
Asia

Chart 1: Global insurance market, 2008

3.4%

3.0%

0.6%

Africa

-0.8%

-1.2%

Japan*

Western
Europe

-2.8%
North America

World

100% = US$4.27 trillion
Growth rate, 2008/2007, (%)

US
34.0%
Oceania
1.8%
Africa
1.3%
Middle East
and Central
South and
Asia
East Asia
0.7%
5.4%

Annual average growth rate 1998-2007 (%)

Source: Swiss Re, *Incl. newly industrialized Asian countries

Life insurance premiums in the Middle East & Central Asia
grew 6.0% in 1998 to 2007 and 9.3% in 2008, significantly
Europe
41.1%

higher than 4.1% and -3.5% globally (See chart 4).

Japan*
15.8%

Chart 4: Life insurance market growth (%)
9.3%

Source: Swiss Re, *Incl. newly industrialized Asian countries

6.0%

5.5%

6.4%

6.9%
5.2%

4.1%

3.6%

The average insurance penetration (gross premium written
-0.8%

as a percentage of GDP) is very low at 1.5% compared to a

-3.5%

-3.4%

global average of 7.1% (See chart 2), suggesting there is
-11.6%

significant room for growth.
Middle East
and Central
Asia

Africa

Japan*

North America

Western
Europe

World

Chart 2: Global insurance premiums and penetration
Growth rate, 2008/2007, (%)
4,500

12%

3,500
3,000

8%

2,500
2,000
1,500

4%

1,000

Insurance Penetration
(%)

Premiums in 2008
(US$ billion)

4,000

Annual average growth rate 1998-2007 (%)

Source: Swiss Re, *Incl. newly industrialized Asian countries

Thus, the total insurance premiums in the Middle East &
Central Asia grew 4.7% in 2008, compared to a decline of
2.0% globally (See chart 5). The prospect for the Middle
East insurance industry is positive with potential for annual

500
0

0%
Europe

US

Japan* South & Africa Oceania Middle World
East
East &
Asia
Central
Asia

Premiums in 2008 (US$ billion)

premiums to grow by over three times before the insurance
density reaches the global average.

Insurance Penetration (%)

Source: Swiss Re, *Incl newly industrialized Asian countries

Chart 5: Insurance premium growth, 2008, (%)
4.7%

Religious and cultural factors and lack of regulatory controls

3.8%

have historically suppressed the growth of the insurance
sector in the Middle East. However, in the last decade the
market has grown rapidly, faster than any other region of the

-6.2%

According to Swiss Re, non-life insurance premiums in the
Middle East & Central Asia grew 10.7% in 1998 to 2007 and
3.1% in 2008, far outpacing the growth rate of 3.4% and -

-2.0%

-2.4%

world.

Middle East
and Central
Asia

Japan*

US

Europe

World

Source: Swiss Re, *Incl. newly industrialized Asian countries

0.8% globally (See chart 3).

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1.2. The GCC

Chart 7: Conventional versus Islamic insurance
Conventional

1.2.1. Overview

• Risk transfer from
policyholder to
insurance
company

Responsibility of
policyholders /
takaful
participants

• Policyholders pay • Participants make
contributions to the
a premium to the
scheme
insurer
• All underwriting surplus
• All underwriting
distributed among the
surplus transferred
policyholders, who are
to shareholder’s
also liable for any
account
deficit

Management
status

• Takaful operator acts
• The insurer
as administrator of the
manages a
scheme and pays the
policyholders’ fund,
takaful benefits from
and, if required,
the policyholders’ fund
shareholders’ fund
• In the event of a
shortfall in the
policyholders’ fund, the
takaful operator is
expected to provide an
interest-free loan to
cover the deficiency

Access to capital

• Access to share
capital and debt
with the possible
use of
subordinated debt

Investment of
funds

The UAE hosts the GCC’s largest and the most developed

• Interest based
bonds and fixedincome
investments are
made by the
insurer
• There are no
restrictions except
for those imposed
for prudential
reasons

insurance market. The UAE and Bahrain has the highest
insurance penetrations, more than double the rate of Saudi
Arabia and Kuwait (See chart 6). The growth rate is
effectively a function of the insurance penetration, with
Kuwait and Saudi Arabia growing faster than the UAE and
Bahrain.
In 2008, gross premium income for the UAE insurers grew
by 26.3%, while the insurance penetration stood at 2.0%,
highest amongst the GCC countries. Despite the rapid
growth, the relatively low insurance penetration rates
suggest there is still strong potential for growth.

Gross Premium growth, 2008 / 2007 (%)

Chart 6: Insurance penetration, 2008
premium income growth, 2008/2007 (%)
38.0%

&

Gross

Kuwait
(0.6%, 35.4%)

36.0%
34.0%
32.0%

Saudi Arabia
(0.6%, 34.1%)

30.0%

Oman
(1.1%, 31.7%,)

The UAE
(2.0%, 26.3%)

28.0%
26.0%

Bahrain
(2.0%, 24.9%)

24.0%
0.4%

0.6%

0.8%

1.0%

1.2%

1.4%

Islamic

Basis of
Contract

1.6%

1.8%

2.0%

2.2%

Insurance Penetration, 2008 (%)

Source: Swiss Re, June 2009, Size of bubbles indicate gross
premium income (US$ million) in 2008

• Cooperative risk
sharing between the
policyholder and
insurance company

• Access to share capital
by takaful operator but
not to debt, barring an
interest-free loan to
cover a deficiency in
the policyholders’ fund
• Only interest (Riba)
free investments are
permitted
• Investments prohibited
in Haram industries like
those related to
alcohol, tobacco, pork
products etc

Source: Alpen Capital

Conventional insurance remain dominant, accounting for the
1.2.2. Conventional vs. Takaful
The GCC insurers can be broadly categorized as either
conventional or Islamic (Takaful), with some players present
in both categories. Takaful premiums represent around 20%
of the GCC insurance market, whereas the Saudi Arabian
market is dominated by Takaful (See also chapter 8.1).

majority of the GCC market, however the Takaful market is
also growing fast. The Saudi insurance regulator, SAMA,
has made it compulsory for new insurers to comply with
Sharia law. As a result, the number of Takaful insurers in the
region has risen rapidly. No such requirement is imposed in
the UAE and conventional insurance remain dominant.

While conventional insurance is viewed as a form of risk

1.2.3. Non-life insurance dominates

management tool primarily used to hedge against the risk of

The UAE insurance market is dominated by non-life

contingent (uncertain) financial losses in exchange for a pre-

business, driven by mandatory third-party motor insurance

specified premium, Takaful is based on the principles of Ta-

and health insurance for expatriates and the enormous

awun (mutual assistance) and Tabaru (voluntary). Moreover,

growth in the construction and real estate sectors over the

being subject to the laws of Sharia, Takaful prohibits

past decade. Non-life insurance accounted for 81.3% of the

investments in Haram industries (gambling, liquor etc) and

total gross premiums in 2008 (See chart 8). This is in

advocates usage of instruments that are free of Riba (usury)

contrast to a market share of around 59% for life insurance

(See chart 7).

P a g e  | 7 
 

 
and 41% for non-life insurance globally, underscoring the

Life insurance premiums in the GCC (excluding Qatar) grew

growth potential for life insurance in the region.

34.4% in 2008 compared to 28.8% for non-life insurance.
The most populated economy of the GCC, Saudi Arabia,

Chart 8: Life and Non-Life insurance in the GCC, 2008
100% =
in US$
million

5,016.0

18.7%

81.3%

3,070.0

914.0

578.0

18.8%

relatively low base. The UAE grew at a more moderate rate

451.0

23.1%

5.2%

recorded the highest growth rate of 81.6%, albeit from a

28.6%

of 30.0%. The UAE is far the largest market in absolute
terms with life insurance gross premium income of US$937.0
million in 2008 (See chart 11). According to the Emirates

94.8%

81.2%

76.9%

71.4%

Insurance Association, the UAE life insurance market is
expected to grow at least 16% to 20% annually up to 2012.

Saudi
Arabia

Kuwait

Oman

Bahrain

Chart 11: Life insurance in the GCC
Non-Life

Life

2007

937

1,000

2008

2008/2007 (%)

90%

900

The UAE does not only boast a higher insurance
penetration, but it is also the largest in absolute terms
among the GCC countries (See chart 9).
Chart 9: Non-Life insurance in the GCC, 2008

Life Insurance Premium
(US$ million)

Source: Swiss Re, June 2009

800

80%
82%

721

70%

700

60%

600

50%

500
400

35%

33%

30%
25%

300

211

200

158

156
87

100

30%

129
103

82

Bahrain

Non-life Insurance Premium
(US$ million)

32.2%

40%
35%

32.0%
35.2%

3,252

30%
24.8%

2,912

3,000
2,500

2008/2007 (%)

4,079

4,000
3,500

2008

25%
25.4%

2,203

20%

2,000

15%

1,500
1,000
520

500

703

10%
470
356

258

322

5%
0%

0
The UAE

Saudi
Arabia

Kuwait

Oman

Bahrain

10%
0%

The UAE
Non-life Insurance Premium growth
2008 / 2007, (%)

2007

20%

Oman

109

0
4,500

40%

Life Insurance Premium growth
2008 / 2007, (%)

The UAE

Kuwait

Saudi
Arabia

Source: Swiss Re, June 2009

1.2.4. ‘National’ insurers
Some UAE insurance companies have been granted the
status of ‘national’ insurer. National insurers have privileged
access to risks with ‘national’ status - generally high-riskvalue projects of state-owned companies. The Emirate of

Source: Swiss Re, June 2009

Abu Dhabi dominates this market, since it hosts most of the

Property and miscellaneous accident insurance accounts for
the majority of the non-life insurance business, while motor
insurance accounts for about 30%, according to the Arab
Insurance Market Review. (See chart 10).

large scale energy related projects. The remainder of the
insurance market is open to competition, whereby insurance
companies with or without ‘national’ insurer status compete
on equal terms. The Dubai insurance market is considered

Chart 10: The UAE non-Life insurance, 2007

more open and competitive, with not ‘national’ insurer status.

100% = US$3,252.1 million

Property &
Misc.
Accident
55.9%

Marine &
Aviation
13.8%

Motor
30.3%

Source: Arab Insurance Market Review, 2008

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2. Financial performance

Chart 13: 3-year stock market return* (%)
10%

2.1. Financial performance

1 year

2 year

3 year

1%

0%

-3%

-10%

Defining the peer group

-11%

-20%
-30%

In this chapter we are assessing the financial performance of
ten of the largest publicly listed conventional insurers in the
UAE by total revenue for 2008. This group is referred to as
‘the UAE insurers’ throughout the report.

-16%

-20%

-22%

-23%

-25.1%

-29%

-40%
-50%
-60%

-59%
-67% -60% -65%

-70%

-66%
-68%
-72%

-80%
ADII Index

Insurance penetration in the UAE increased from 1.5% in

DFIINSU
Index

-37%
-42% -38%

-38%

-41%

ADBF Index

DFIBANK
Index

ADRE Index

DFREALTY
Iindex

ADEG Index

Source: Bloomberg, *as at July 31, 2009

2005 to 2.0% in 2008 but remains well below the global
average of 7.1% (See chart 12). The UAE insurance market
is highly fragmented with 57 insurance companies present,

Gross premiums written by the UAE insurers grew by an

well above the norm for a country of its size. This suggests

average CAGR of 30.5% in 2006 to 2008 (See chart 14). All

there is a need for consolidation within the industry.

players posted positive double digit growth rates. Oman
Insurance

Chart 12: Insurance penetration in the UAE
1,200

2.1
1.5

1.7

742.4

400

National

Insurance

Company and Arab Orient Insurance Company are the
market leaders. However, the growth rate fell significantly in

2.0%

the first half of 2009, to 15.1% in the first quarter and 0.8% in

1.5%

the second (Only seven of the ten companies had reported
first half results at the time of this report). Given the rapid

495.6
339.5

0.5%

74.7

89.8

164.7

208.1

2005

0

Dhabi

1.0%

2.0

905.9

600

200

Abu

2.5%

1,000
800

Company,

2006

2007

decline in the second quarter, we expect the growth rate to
be weaker in the second half of the year.

2008

0.0%

Non-Lif e Insurance density: premium per capita (US$)

Chart 14: Gross premiums written, 2006 to 1H2009

Lif e Insurance density: premium per capita (US$)

(In US$ mn)

Insurance penetration: premium in % of GDP

800

Source: Swiss Re, June 2009

2006

2007

2008

1H2009

140%

CAGR

700

120%

600

100%

500

80%

400

Index (ADEG Index), the DFM Financial Banks Index
(DFIBANK Index) and the Dubai Financial Realty Index
(DFREALTY Index) which recorded negative returns of 38%,

Dubai Insurance

Al Khazna

Al Wathba

Al Sagr

Emirates Insurance

11.1% and 25.1% respectively compared to the ADX Energy

0%
Al Ain Ahlia

Insurance Index (DFIINSU Index) yielded negative returns of

20%

Al Buhaira

ADX Insurance Index (ADII Index) and the DFM Financial

40%

100
Arab Orient

banking and realty industries. Over the past three years, the

200

Abu Dhabi National

affected by the global financial turmoil than the energy,

60%

300

Oman Insurance

The UAE insurance industry has been somewhat less

Source: Company website, Zawya, CAGR for Al Ain Ahlia, Al
Sagr and Dubai Insurance is for 2006 to 2008 as 1H2009
results are not yet available

60% and 66% respectively (See chart 13).
The UAE insurance industry is highly dependent on the
reinsurance sector, ceding over half of gross premiums to
international and increasingly local reinsurance companies.
Premium retention is gradually improving however with the

P a g e  | 9 
 

 
 

local insurers growing in size and sophistication. In 2008,
58.9% of net premiums were ceded to reinsurers, compared
to 62.0% in 2006 (See chart 15).
Chart 17: Net Underwriting Profit vs. Net Premium
Growth, 2006 to 2008 (%)

Chart 15: Premiums ceded to reinsurers, 2008

Net underwriting profit, CAGR, 2006 - 2008, (%)
67.2%

66.8%

72.3%
62.7%
53.1%

50.2%

Net premium earned, CAGR, 2006 - 2008, (%)
160.0%

Average = 58.9% 60.1%

120.0%

47.5%

47.9% 47.7%

80.0%
40.0%
0.0%

Source: Company website, Zawya

Al Buhaira

Emirates Insurance

Al Sagr

Dubai Insurance

Oman Insurance

Al Wathba

Arab Orient

Abu Dhabi National

Al Ain Ahlia

Al Wathba

AL Ain Ahlia

Dubai Insurance

Oman Insurance

Arab Orient

Al Khazna Insurance

Al Buhaira National
Insurance

Emirates Insurance

Al Sagr National
Insurance

Abu Dhabi National
Insurance

-40.0%

Source: Company websites, Zawya

1

The trend of increasing premium retention by the UAE

Over the last three years, the average combined ratio of the

insurers continued in the first half of 2009. Notably, average

peer group increased from 64.6% in 2006 to 75.4% in 2008,

premiums ceded fell to about 57.7% in the first half of 2009

primarily due to higher claims ratios. This is a reflection of

and 56.4% in the second quarter alone (See chart 16).

the rapid growth rate experienced during this period,
increased competition and cross-subsidization of less

Chart 16: Premiums ceded to reinsurers
70%
68%

1H07

71%
65%

61%
57%

66% 64%

66%

profitable lines, such as 3rd party motor insurance. That said,
1H08

69%
64%

60%

55% 55%
51%
50%
50% 50%

1H09
60%
60%
58%

the average combined ratio remains very strong by
international standards. Nine out of the ten companies have
combined ratios below the critical 100% mark. Arab Orient
Insurance Company is by far the most efficient overall with a
combined ratio below 50%. Oman Insurance Company and
Dubai Insurance Company also stand out with relatively

Arab Orient Al Buhaira Abu Dhabi Emirates Oman Ins Al Khazna
National Insurance
Insurance

Average

Source: Company website, Zawya

healthy loss ratios. The good underwriting performance
continued in 2009, with an average combined ratio of 73.4%
for the seven companies that had reported by the time this
report was produced (See chart 18).

Profitability
While all players have reported strong top line growth, the
same is not true for underwriting profits. About half of the
players have improved their underwriting profits over the
past three years, whereas half have recorded declines (See
chart 17). In 2008, the average growth in underwriting profits
for the peer group was 7.0%, compared to 18.8% in 2007.

                                                            
1

Combined ratio = Expense ratio (Net underwriting expense/Net
premium earned) + Loss ratio (Net claims incurred/Net premium
earned)

P a g e  | 10 
 

 
Chart 19: Investment return (including fair value
changes taken to equity), 2006 to 1H 2009 (%)

Chart 18: Combined ratio, 2008 (%)
Expense Ratio

120%
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
-20%
-40%

Loss Ratio

Combined Ratio

40%

Avg. combined ratio = 75.4%

20%
0%
-20%

Al Khazna

Al Buhaira

Emirates Insurance

Al Sagr

Dubai insurance

Oman Insurance

Al Wathba

Arab Orient

Abu Dhabi National

Al Ain Ahlia

-40%
-60%
2006

2007

2008

1H09

Al Ain Ahlia

Abu Dhabi National

Arab Orient

Al Wathba

Oman Insurance

Dubai insurance

Al Sagr

Emirates Insurance

Al Buhaira

Al Khazna

Source: Company website, Zawya

Combined ratio – 2008 and first half 2009
106.9%
102.1%
93.2%

2008

1H09

The shape of the return graph, clearly illustrates how players

90.3%
73.4%

75.0%
69.8%

71.0%

65.9%
58.1%
45.7%

with low investment risk (e.g. Arab Orient Insurance

77.9% 75.8%
73.4%
66.3%

Company) have a smoother return profile than the sharp V-

48.6%

shape for those with more aggressive investment profiles.

The UAE insurers reported an average ROE of 17.4% in the

Average
combined ratio

Oman Insurance

Emirates
Insurance

Arab Orient

Al Wathba

Al Khazna

Al Buhaira

Abu Dhabi
National

Shareholder return

first half of 2009, compared to -10.3% in 2008, 33.0% in
2007 and -13.5% in 2006. The performance has been very
volatile due to the high exposure to local equity and real

Source: Company website, Zawya

estate markets. Arab Orient Insurance Company has
outperformed its peers by reporting consistent ROE of over

Contrary to insurers in developed markets, the UAE peer

20% in the last three years, thanks to its more conservative

group has a very high exposure to regional equity and real

investment strategy, demonstrating the strength of the local

estate markets. This has resulted in high volatility in

insurance industry absent of investment returns (See chart

investment returns. Some players have tried to mitigate this

20).

by

reclassifying

some

investments

from

‘trading’

to

Chart 20: ROE, 2006 to 1H 2009 (%)
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
-20%

return will have a large impact on earnings.

Average

Al Khazna

exposure to regional equity markets and the investment

1H09

Al Buhaira

investing in the UAE insurers, you get a very significant

2008

Emirates Insurance

5.5% (See chart 19). It is important to understand that by

2007

Al Sagr

and -19.0% in 2008. The return in the first half of 2009 was

Oman Insurance

assets, the average investment return was -18.5% in 2006

Al Wathba

When including fair value changes in ‘available-for-sale’

Arab Orient

statement.

2006

Abu Dhabi National

taken straight to equity rather than through the income

Dubai insurance

100%

Al Ain Ahlia

‘available-for-sale’, in order that changes in fair value can be

Source: Zawya, Company filings

P a g e  | 11 
 

 

 
 

Capital Adequacy and Leverage

Asset Quality

Gross underwriting leverage (net premiums written to

The UAE insurers in general pursue very aggressive

shareholder funds) increased to 34.9% in 2008 from 23.6%

investment strategies, with high exposures to risky assets

in 2006, indicating that the regional insurance players have

like regional equities and real estate. Concentration risk is

been assuming gradually higher levels of risk in their

also high. The asset-mix has changed somewhat over the

business (See chart 21). It is of course also important to

past two years with cash and cash equivalent now

consider what type of risk is being underwritten (long or short

accounting for a larger proportion of the overall asset base

tail for example) and what type of controls are in place to

while the proportion of high-risk investments has declined

manage underwriting risk.

(See chart 23). Falling equity markets and a decline in the
value of property investments explains the decline in

Chart 21: Net Premium Written / Equity (%)
2007

proportion of risky assets. Moreover, an increase in liquidity

2008

levels also reflects efforts by insurance companies to reduce

67%

a 45% increase in cash levels in 2008, while Dubai
Insurance Company reported an increase of 64%.
Chart 23: High Risk Assets / Invested Assets (%)

Al Khazna

Al Sagr

Al Buhaira

Oman Insurance

8%
3%

13% 16%
12%

120%

2006

2007

Oman Insurance

27%
21%
10%
8%

18%

Al Wathba

asset risk. For example, Oman insurance Company reported
41% Avg. 2008
= 35.0%
28%

Emirates Insurance

16%
15%

Arab Orient

Abu Dhabi National

Al Ain Ahlia

28%
26%
22%21% 17%
16%

40% 40%
33%

Dubai insurance

44% 46%
43%

52%
49%
38%

Al Wathba

2006

2008

100%
80%

Avg. 2008 = 65.2%

60%

Source: Company website, Zawya

40%
20%

Company, followed by Abu Dhabi National Insurance

Al Khazna

Al Buhaira

Al Sagr

Emirates Insurance

chart 22). The best capitalized was Dubai Insurance

Dubai insurance

years with an average of 46.6% at the end of 2008 (See

Arab Orient

assets ratio. This ratio has also declined over the past three

Abu Dhabi National

0%
Al Ain Ahlia

A more static measure of leverage is the equity to total

Source: Company website, Zawya

Company and Al Khazna National Insurance Company.
Chart 22: Total Equity / Total Assets (%)
2006

2007

The UAE insurers rely to a great extent on reinsurance to
mitigate concentration risk and to avoid underwriting risks

2008

100%

beyond their capacity and capabilities. As a consequence,

80%

UAE insurers are exposed to credit risk of reinsurance

Avg. 2008
= 46.6%

60%

counterparts. Reinsurance recoverable as a percentage of

40%

equity of our UAE peer group rose from an average of 24.1%

20%

in 2006 to 33.2% in 2008. For some insurers, including Al
Al Khazna

Al Buhaira

Emirates Insurance

Al Sagr

Dubai insurance

Oman Insurance

Al Wathba

Arab Orient

Abu Dhabi National

Al Ain Ahlia

0%

Buhaira National Insurance Company and Arab Orient
Insurance Company, the exposure is in excess of 50% of
equity.

Source: Company website, Zawya

P a g e  | 12 
 

 
Reserve Adequacy

their conventional counterparts, the Islamic insurance

Average reserve levels of the UAE insurers declined over
the past two years to 77.7% of net premiums earned in 2008
from 86.9% in 2006 (See chart 24). The reserve level is
generally a function of the nature of the risks underwritten

companies reported negative returns on capital in 2008 due
to

poor

investment

returns

and

negative

fair

value

adjustments.
2.3. Comparative Financial Performance

(short or long tail in particular) and the speed at which claims
Chart 25 summarizes the performance of the UAE insurance

are settled.

companies compared to the average of the peer-group on
Chart 24: Total Reserves to Net Premium Earned,
2008 (%)

parameters such as asset quality, capital adequacy,
profitability and reserve adequacy.

120%
100%

106%
Average = 77.7%

80%
76%

82%
72%

67%

75%

Al Khazna

60%

81%

Al Buhaira

87%

80%

52%

40%
20%

Emirates Insurance

Al Sagr

Dubai insurance

Oman Insurance

Al Wathba

Arab Orient

Abu Dhabi National

Al Ain Ahlia

0%

Source: Company website, Zawya

2.2. Takaful and life insurance attractive growth areas
Historically the UAE insurers focused primarily on general
insurance, although today most of them have also moved
into life insurance. Notably, for Oman Insurance Company
and Emirates Insurance Company, life insurance accounted
for 23.7% and 17.0% respectively of gross premium revenue
in 2008. We consider exposure to life insurance a strength,
given the segments excellent growth potential (See chapter
4).
Some of the major players, including Al Buhaira National
Insurance Company and Arab Orient Insurance Company
offer both conventional insurance and Takaful. We consider
this a competitive strength, given the excellent growth
potential of both segments. In 2008 UAE Islamic insurers

2

grew at a somewhat faster pace than conventional
insurance. A challenge faced by the Takaful industry is the
relative shortage of suitable investment opportunities. Like

                                                            
2

Abu Dhabi National Takaful Company, Dubai Islamic Insurance and
Reinsurance Company, Islamic Arab Insurance Company (Salama)

P a g e  | 13 
 

 

 
 
Chart 25: Comparative financial performance of the UAE insurers in 2008

Average

Better than peers

Worse than peers

Source: Alpen Capital

P a g e  | 14 
 

 
practices, product innovation and effective and varied

3. Valuations

distribution. Emirates Insurance Company is also displaying

The valuation part of this report should be read in the context

similar characteristics, but is trading at lower multiples.

of limited free floats and extremely low stock liquidity of UAE
insurers (See section 4). The P/E and P/B ratios are

Chart 27: The UAE conventional insurers, P/BV (TTM)

calculated based on share prices sourced from Bloomberg

5.0
4.0

and includes stocks that have not traded for weeks or in

4.0

some instances for months.

3.0

2.7

2.6
1.8

2.0

0.0

to an international peer group of 14.0x (See chart 26).

Average Developed and
Emerging Markets

Average (The UAE)

1.2

Dubai Insurance

Al Sagr

Al Buhaira

Al Wathba

Emirates Insurance

Abu Dhabi National Insurance Co.) is 13.7 times (x), similar

Abu Dhabi National
Insurance

of the UAE peer group (excluding Al Wathba Insurance and

0.5

1.1

Al Ain Ahlia

superior growth of the UAE insurance market. The P/E ratio

0.9

Al Khaznah

1.0

valuations compared to international peers considering the

1.7

0.9

0.9

Oman Insurance

The UAE insurers are trading at relatively moderate

Source: Bloomberg, Zawya

Chart 26: The UAE conventional insurers, P/E (TTM)
25.0

22.0
20.4

20.9

4. Stock Liquidity

20.0
13.0

15.0
10.0

14.2

13.7

Although the UAE insurers appear to have significant free

6.4
9.1

5.0

4.4

floats, extremely low turnover velocity suggest the stocks are
very closely held. All the ten stocks covered in this survey
Average Developed and
Emerging Markets

Average (The UAE)

Dubai Insurance

Al Khaznah

Al Sagr

Al Buhaira

Emirates Insurance

Al Ain Ahlia

Oman Insurance

0.0

are very thinly traded, as demonstrated by an average
turnover velocity3 of 0.36% (See chart 28). This suggests
only 0.36% of the shares change hands during a year.
Chart 28: Turnover Velocity, (%)

Source: Bloomberg, Zawya

1.52%
1.02%

The valuations of the UAE insurers are underpinned by

value

shortcomings

in

by
terms

addressing
of

relatively

investment

simple

strategy

The UAE
Average

Al Sagr

Emirates
Insurance

Al Khaznah

significant

0.36%

0.24%
0.15% 0.18%

Al Wathba

valuations. There appears to be potential to unlock

Al Ain Ahlia

Oman
Insurance

transparency and weak stock liquidity weigh on the stock

Abu Dhabi
National
Insurance

we feel the aggressive investment strategy, lack of

Dubai
Insurance

0.02% 0.03% 0.06% 0.07%

Al Buhaira

strong growth and good underwriting performance. However,

Source: Bloomberg, Traded volume measured from Aug 1,
2008 to July 31, 2009 and market capitalization as at July 31,
2009

and

transparency.
The UAE insurers are trading at an average price-to-book
ratio (P/BV) of 1.7x. (See chart 27).
Oman Insurance Company and Al Buhaira National
Insurance Company are trading at higher multiples than their
peers. This is a reflection of strong, but not excessive,
growth rates, good underwriting performance and strong
market positions. This is accomplished by good underwriting

                                                            
3

Turnover Velocity (%) = Annual traded volume/Market capitalization

P a g e  | 15 
 

 

 
points in 2006 to 2008, reaching 1.6% in 2008 from 1.25%

5. Growth Illustration
The growth potential of the GCC insurance industry is very
good, particularly in view of relatively low insurance
penetration rates. Below we illustrate the impact on growth in
aggregate

insurance

premiums

based

on

a

central

macroeconomic scenario.

in 2005. In our model we assume the non-life insurance
penetration reaches 2.3% by 2012 (See chart 29).
Chart 29: Non-life insurance penetration, (%)
6%

2005

2006

2007

2008

5%

5.1. Assumptions

4%

For the purpose of the illustration, we have considered the

3%

life and non-life segments separately. The central scenario is

2%

based on the following assumptions:

1%

• We assume non-life premiums are driven by growth in

0%
The UAE Kuwait

Oman

nominal GDP and by changes in non-life penetration (i.e.
non-life premiums as a percentage of GDP). We have

Saudi The US Europe Emerging World
Arabia
Markets

Source: Swiss Re

assumed the non-life penetration level to grow at a 0.1%point in 2009 and by 0.2%-points per annum in 2010 to

5.3. Life Density

2012. We have used IMF’s April 2009 forecast for nominal
The life insurance density in the UAE increased at a CAGR

GDP growth.

of 40.7% in 2005 to 2008 compared to 7.3% globally.
The link to GDP is by no means exact, and may fluctuate
from year to year, since the UAE GDP is to a large degree
driven by oil prices. In addition, historically oil revenues were
to a large extent invested abroad. This has changed in the
last few years, with more investments aimed a developing

However, life insurance density in the UAE of US$208.1 in
2008 is approximately half of the global average of
US$369.7 and only one-sixth of the European average of
US$1,244.1. In our model we have assumed the life
insurance density reaches US$467 by 2012 (See chart 30).

the local economies.
• We assume that life premiums are driven by population

Chart 30: Life insurance density, (US$)
2,000

growth and by changes in life density (i.e. per capita
premiums). We have assumed life density increases by

1,600

15% in 2009 and 25% per annum in 2010 to 2012. We

1,200

have used IMF’s April 2009 forecast for population growth.
Some of the key reasons for an increase in the UAE
insurance penetration rates towards global averages include
the introduction of regulation for health and home insurance,

800
400
0
The UAE Kuwait

growth in organized savings, greater availability of Takaful
insurance

products,

greater

affluence

and

changing

Oman
2005

Saudi
Arabia
2006

The US
2007

Europe Emerging World
Markets
2008

Source: Swiss Re

consumer habits.
5.2. Non-life insurance penetration

There are good reasons why the UAE life density should not
reach the levels of Europe or the US. The UAE has a high

The non-life insurance penetration in the UAE was about
1.6% in 2008 - approximately half of the global average of
2.95%. The penetration rate increased by about 0.35%-

income disparity, with life insurance more prevalent in high
income groups. Tax incentives, both in terms of income and
heritance tax, boosts the demand for certain long term

P a g e  | 16 
 

 

 
 

savings schemes and annuities in the developed world. Such
tax incentives are not applicable to the UAE. The population
is also characterized by a relatively young local population
with a good social safety net, not inclined to buy pension and
long term saving products, and an expatriate population that
is more inclined to remit savings to their home countries.
On the basis of the above assumptions, the UAE insurance
market will grow at a CAGR of 15.3% in 2008 to 2012. With
the life segment growing more than twice as fast as the nonlife segment (See chart 31). The growth in gross premium
income reported so far by the UAE insurers for the first half
of 2009 has been stronger than our forecast for the full year
of 2009, however there is a distinct slowdown in growth from
14.9% in the first quarter of 2009 to only 0.8% in the second
quarter.
Chart 31: The UAE insurance market, 2008 to 2012
(US$ million)
10,000
8,683
8,000

2,506

6,000

5,016
3,973

4,000
2,000

937

721
1,701
307
1,394

2,476
380
3,252

6,369
4,079

2,096

0
2005

2006

2007

Total Life premiums, US$ million

2008

2012

Total Non-life premiums, US$ millon

Source: Alpen Capital

P a g e  | 17 
 

 
relations department to handle investor queries. Only Oman

6. Corporate Governance
Corporate governance standards and transparency are
critical aspects to potential investors. This is an area were
UAE insurers have potential to improve (See chart 32).

Insurance Company and Emirates Insurance Company have
a contact list of their management departments displayed on
the website. Limited information is available on the
composition of investment portfolios.

Some of the key shortcomings in our sample of UAE insurers
include the following: limited financial information is available
on the respective websites and investors have to look to the
respective stock exchanges for audited financial statements.
Normally only three years of historical financial information is
available. None of the insurers have a dedicated investor

However, as per stock exchange regulations, all player
report quarterly results, most of which contain appropriate
disclosure of related notes to financial statements. The
majority of the insurers are rated by an international rating
agency, most commonly Standard & Poor’s or AM Best.

Chart 32: Corporate governance and transparency

Corporate Communication & Disclosure

Latest
Availability
History of
annual
of Investor
publicly
report
relations
available
availabile on
contact
accounts
website
details

Company Name

Level of
interim
results
disclosure

Frequency of
Rated by rating
reporting on
agency
the website

Abu Dhabi National Insurance
Al Ain Ahlia Insurance Company
Al Buhaira National Insurance
Al Khazna Insurance Company
Al Sagr National Insurance Company
Al Wathba National Insurance
Arab Orient Insurance Company
Dubai Insurance Company
Emirates Insurance Company
Oman Insurance Company
The UAE Average
Unfavorable

Least Attractive

More Attractive

Attractive

Most Attractive

Source: Bloomberg, Zawya, Alpen Capital

P a g e  | 18 
 

 

 
 

7. Key Growth Drivers

Chart 34: Life Expectancy at birth, (years)

7.1. Favorable demographics

78.1

77.4

76.7

The UAE population is expected to grow at a CAGR of 3.0%
in 2009 to 2012 to reach 5.4 million, according to IMF. It

76.6

75.8

74.7

grew at a CAGR of 5.1% in 2003 to 2008. An increasing role

68.9
67.6

in this is being played by expatriates. Expatriates are

66.4

expected to constitute 82% of the UAE population in 2009
according to MEED (See chart 33).

2000-2005
The UAE

Chart 33: UAE population: Residents and Expatriates
100% =
in '000

4,229

4,488

4,765

5,066

80%

81%

81%

82%

2005-2010

2010-2015

The GCC

World

Source: World Population Prospects: The 2008 Revision by
the United Nations

7.2. High and rising GDP per capita
With a GDP per capita of US$54,607 in 2008, second only to
Qatar, the UAE is one of the richest economies of the GCC.
20%

19%

19%

18%

2006

2007

2008E*

2009E*

Notably, buoyed by oil revenues, GDP per capita in the UAE
more than doubled in the past five years. According to the

Residents

Expats

Source: MEED, *E=Estimated

IMF, UAE GDP per capita is expected to increase at a
CAGR of 6.2% in 2010 to 2013 after growing at 16.9% in
2003 to 2008, and a sharp correction of -19.7% in 2009 (See
chart 35). Greater affluence will drive demand for all types of
insurance products.

The UAE demography is characterized by a relatively young

29.7 years, 99.1% of the UAE population is aged below 65
years, compared to an average of 93.3% for India and China
and 85.5% for the US and the UK (CIA Factbook, April 2009
estimates). Also, the UAE labor force is expected to grow at
a fast pace, as the age bracket of 15 to 64 years is expected
to account for 79.9% of the overall population in 2010 and
80.1% in 2015, higher than the world average of 65.5% and
65.8% respectively. A young working population in the UAE
augurs well for the non-life insurance industry.

60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0
-10,000
-20,000

6.3%

5.6%

6.5%

6.4%

10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
-5.0%
-10.0%

y-o-y growth (%)

higher than the average median age of India and China of

Chart 35: GDP per capita in the UAE, (US$)
GDP per capita (US$)

population. In spite of the UAE’s median age of 30.1 years,

-15.0%
-19.7%
2009

2010

-20.0%
2011

GDP per capita (US$)

2012

2013

GDP per capita y-o-y growth (%)

Source: IMF World Economic Outlook, April, 2009

7.3. Economic diversification

Moreover, life expectancy at birth in the UAE is rising

The demand for non-life insurance has increased at a rapid

steadily. According to the United Nations, life expectancy at

pace, as the GCC economies continue to diversify away

birth is expected to reach 78.1 years by 2010-2015 (See

from oil dependence. With more and more projects coming

chart 34). This is considered positive for both non-life and life

to fruition, this should spur demand for property and casualty

insurance industries.

insurance products. Notably, the property and casualty
insurance business in the GCC grew at a CAGR of 26.8% in
2003 to 2007, lead by the UAE that grew by 34.7%.

P a g e  | 19 
 

 
The growth in the region seems unabated. Despite many

Compulsory

heath

insurance

has

been

gradually

project cancellations in the last six months, there are

implemented across the GCC. Compulsory health insurance

approximately US$2.1 trillion of projects either planned or

for expatriates has been in force since 2006 in Saudi Arabia.

currently underway in the GCC over the next five to seven

Mandatory heath insurance for expatriates and their

years (See chart 36). This reflects a year-on-year growth of

dependents was introduced in Abu Dhabi in two steps in July

8.9% at June 2009. Notably, the UAE commands a lion

2006 and January 2007. Dubai was expected to follow suit in

share of the total GCC projects (approximately 44%).

January 2009, but this has now been delayed until 2010. The
Dubai health insurance regime is expected to cover all

Chart 36: The GCC Projects, (US$ billion)

residents, local as well as expatriates.
894

938

The Strata Law in Dubai (not yet released) requires property
owners to have home insurance cover. However, in practice,

575

only mortgage property owners have home insurance cover

475
265 270
39

90 95

60

as it is legally binding. Notably, as per Hadef & Partners, a

206 206

legal firm based in Dubai, most of self-financed properties
are uninsured. However, with the regulations under the

Bahrain

Kuwait

Oman

Qatar

22 June 2008 (US$ billion)

Saudi The UAE
Arabia

22 june 2009 (US$ billion)

Strata Law to be released soon, all owners' associations will
have to take building and public liability insurance. The
Strata law is also expected to apply to property owners who

Source: MEED, Gulf projects (June 22, 2009)

have

rented

out

their

properties.

The

effective

implementation of the Strata Law is likely to boost not only to

7.4. Regulation driving growth
A key driver of insurance penetration in emerging markets is
the introduction of compulsory insurance cover, including

home insurance but also home contents, fire and public
liability insurance.

third party motor, health and home insurance.
Motor insurance is a low margin business in the UAE and
many other GCC countries due to caps being imposed on
the price of third party motor cover. Nevertheless, motor
premiums in the GCC grew at a CAGR of 21.2% in 2003 to
2007. The growth was led by the UAE and Saudi Arabia,
where premium income grew at 28.0% and 20.4%,
respectively (See chart 38).
Chart 37: Motor insurance premiums in the UAE and
Saudi Arabia, (US$ million)
986.6

754.5
651.6

597.9
512.7
444.3
368.1
309.7

2003

448.7
367.3

2004

2005
The UAE

2006

2007

Saudi Arabia

Source: Arab Insurance Market Review, 2008

P a g e  | 20 
 

 

 
8. Emerging Trends

Chart 39: The GCC Islamic insurance market outlook,
(US$ million)

8.1. Islamic Insurance making inroads

CAGR 19.7%

Though not very prominent in the UAE, the religiously

3,792

CAGR 5.5%
2,673

acceptable takaful insurance (Islamic non-life insurance) and
family takaful (Islamic life insurance) is picking up pace in

5,019

CAGR 13.1%

2,046

the region. Takaful in the UAE grew at a CAGR of 52.1% in
2004 to 2007, albeit from a low base, compared to 38.9% for
the GCC as a whole. Consequently, takaful penetration

2007E

Conservative Balanced

(insurance premiums / GDP) in the UAE increased from
0.10% in 2005 to 0.15% in 2007, whereas takaful

Optimistic

2012 Projections

Source: World Takaful Report, 2009, E=Estimated

penetration in the GCC reached 0.28% in 2007 from 0.21%
in 2005 (See chart 38). With gross takaful contributions of
US$1,695 million in 2007, Saudi Arabia is the world’s largest

8.2. Regulatory framework

Islamic insurance market.

The UAE insurance regulation is currently minimal, although
some initiatives are underway to improve the regulatory

Taka ful Penetration rate in 2007, ( %)

Chart 38: Islamic Insurance, penetration and growth
1.0%
0.9%

2007 establishing a new regulatory body, the Insurance

Saudi Arabia
(38.0%, 0.85%)

0.8%

Commission, for the industry. In addition, Solvency II, the

0.7%

updated set of regulatory requirements for insurance firms

0.6%
0.5%
0.4%

operating in the EU, is expected to be implemented by 2012.

Bahrain
(57.9%, 0.32%)

The GCC
(38.9%, 0.28%)

The Solvency II rules limit the amount of risk that insurance

0.3%
0.2%
Kuwait
(31.9, 0.03%)

0.1%
0.0%
0.0%

framework. A new insurance law came into force in August

10.0%

20.0%

Qatar
(44.9%, 0.07%)

30.0%

40.0%

companies can underwrite in relation to their capital bases
The UAE
(52.1%, 0.15%)

50.0%

60.0%

(See chart 40).

70.0%

Gross Takaful Contributions, 2004-2007 CAGR ,(%)

Source: World Takaful Report, 2009, Size of bubbles
indicates gross takaful contributions (US$ million) in 2007

Given its low penetration level in the GCC, we expect
Islamic insurance to witness substantial growth over the
medium to long term. The World Takaful Report 2009
projects the GCC takaful market to grow at a CAGR of about
13.1% in 2009 to 2012 reaching US$3.8 billion (See chart

Chart 40: Pillars of Solvency II regulations

Pillar 1
• Quantitative
requirements
(Amount of
capital an
insurer must
hold)

Pillar 2
• Governance and
risk
management of
insurers (Own
Risk and
Solvency
Assessment)
• Effective
supervision of
insurers
(Supervisory
Review Process)

Pillar 3
• Reporting,
disclosure and
transparency
requirements

Source: Central Bank of Bahrain, May 2009

39).
In fact, the Emirates Insurance Association (EIA) has
advised its members to align their capital risk balance in line
with the new solvency rules. The new rules will also force
insurers to make significant changes to their financial
reporting systems including fair-valuation of their balance
sheets and greater public disclosure of financial statements,
risk measures and capital calculations. The new capital
requirements should induce greater discipline in areas of

P a g e  | 21 
 

 

 
investment strategy, underwriting, reinsurance and risk

Many of the UAE insurance companies are rated by

management and may result in consolidation amongst the

Standard & Poor’s and/or AM Best. The rating agencies

many UAE insurance companies currently owned and

provide a substitute to regulation by subjecting the

operated by families and business groups.

companies to capital adequacy tests and comprehensive
reviews of business and financial profiles, strategy and

Foreign ownership of local UAE-based insurers is currently

governance. The rating agencies also help to address some

capped at 25%.

of the shortcomings in terms of transparency by publishing
regular

updates

on

their

rating

assessments.

Chart 41: Regulations in GCC Insurance
Bahrain

Kuwait

Oman

Qatar

Saudi Arabia

The UAE

Regulator

Bahrain Central
Bank

Ministry of
Commerce and
Industry

Oman Capital
Markets Authority

Qatar Financial
Center Authority
(QFCRA)

Saudi Arabian
Monetary Agency

Insurance
Companies
Division at UAE
Ministry of
Economy.
Dubai Financial
Services
Authority for
entities
registered at the
DIFC

Association

Bahrain
Insurance
Association

Kuwait Insurance
Companies
Union

Oman Insurance
Association
(under formation)

N.A.

N.A.

Emirates
Insurance
Association

Regulatory Law
or Reference
Work

Insurance
Rulebook, April
2005

Insurance Law,
1961

Insurance
Companies Law,
March 1979

Emiri Decree No.
1/1966, QFCRA
regulations

Cooperative
Insurance
Companies
Control Law,
2003

Federal Law
No. 9 of 1984
concerning
insurance
companies
Federal Law
No. 6 of 2007
regarding the
incorporation of
the insurance
authority and
work regulation

Capital
requirements

Tier 1 capital:
BHD 5 million
(US$10 million)
Tier 2 Capital:
Max. 100% of tier
1 capital,
Overseas and
Captives not
subject to
minimum capital

Local insurers:
KD50,000
(US$525,000)
Foreign Insurers:
KD225,000
(US$35 million)

OMR5 million
(US$13 million)

US$10 million

Insurance
services (only):
SR100 million
(US$27 million),
Insurance and
Reinsurance
services: SR200
million (US$54
million)

AED50 million
(US$14 million)

Source: The GCC Insurance regulators

P a g e  | 22 
 

 

 
•

8.3. Leveraging distribution channels

to expand outside its traditional Abu Dhabi base in a bid

Being a relatively young insurance market, distribution in the

to capture more of the growing insurance market in the

UAE is achieved through traditional channels of local offices

country.

and tie-ups such as agencies, brokers and banks. According
to EIA, there are approximately 230 brokers in the UAE but

October 2008: Emirates Insurance Company is planning

•

May 2008: Abu Dhabi based Al Khazna Insurance

only 20% have adequate professional and education

Company acquired a 15% stake in Saudi Arabia’s Sanad

qualifications. Moreover, approximately 70% of the brokers

for Co-operative Insurance and Reinsurance to offer new

are marginal and rely only on motor insurance business.

insurance covers in the Saudi market.

Although conventional distribution channels, such as brokers
and

agents,

enable

insurers

to

control

•

expenses,

May 2008: Arab Orient Insurance Company, Abu Dhabi
Islamic Bank (Egypt) and Amlak Finance signed a MoU

diversification into bancassurance, online and telemarketing

to launch a joint venture insurance firm in Egypt. The

offers attractive growth potential. The most promising is

management of the joint entity, the Arab Orient Takaful

bancassurance, which offers a win-win situation for both

Insurance Company, is overseen by Arab Orient

parties wherein a bank receives fee-based income and an

Insurance Company.

insurance company gets access to a larger pool of
customers. According to the Middle East Bancassurance

•

December 2007: Tokio Marine Group, a leading takaful

Conference, May 2007, bancassurance sales in the Middle

insurance services provider in the UAE and Saudi Arabia,

East could reach US$100 million by 2010.

is planning to expand across the MENA region through
its new company Tokio Marine Middle East Limited.

Recent distribution channel related initiatives include:
•

•

AXA Insurance Gulf launched an online service in June

March 2007: AXA Insurance Gulf acquired 10% in United
Insurance Company, Bahrain.

2009 enabling purchase and renewal of motor policies
online.
•

8.5. Advent of foreign players leading to increased
competition

National General Insurance (NGI) has partnered with

An attractive market coupled with low minimum capital

Aviva Life Insurance and Emirates National Bank of

requirements has attracted an increased number of foreign

Dubai to increase life assurance sales. NGI has also

players to the UAE thereby increasing competition. The UAE

started offering insurance products online.

Ministry of Economy granted licenses to four new insurance
firms in February 2009 (See chart 42).

8.4. Cross - border expansion
To capture growth opportunities outside the home markets,
several

insurance

players

in

the

GCC

have

either

Chart 42: The
nationality

•

insurance

companies

by

100% = 57

established or acquired operations abroad, especially in the
MENA region. Some of the most recent announcements:

UAE

Foreign*
46%

July 2009: T’azur, the Bahrain based Islamic insurer, is
planning to expand its operations in the UAE, Saudi
Arabia and Qatar as it expects Islamic insurance
products to form 50% of the Gulf insurance industry in

The UAE
54%

the near term.
Source: EIA, *Includes other GCC countries

•

May 2009: Gulf Insurance Company of Kuwait, acquired
36% of Jordan based Arab Orient Insurance for US$19.6
million.

P a g e  | 23 
 

 

 
 

According to Oman Insurance Company, foreign insurance

8.7. Expected consolidation

companies constitute around 30% of the total volumes of

There are 57 insurance companies operating in the UAE, a

insurance premiums in the UAE.

significantly higher representation than in both mature and

Gradually weaker average underwriting margin over the past
three years suggests that the market is turning more

developing nations. Foreign ownership restrictions have
historically hampered effective consolidation in the industry.

competitive. The foreign players that have entered the

We expect the implementation of Solvency II by 2012 to

market over the past couple of years have brought with them

increase consolidation efforts in order to strengthen balance

product

and

sheets and to diversify investment, reinsurance and

marketing capabilities etc. With greater competition naturally

insurance risk exposures. A greater part of risks currently

comes downward pressure on the premiums.

reinsured could be retained in the future.

innovation,

greater

efficiency,

technical

8.6. Focus on core activities
After having suffered significant erosion in share capital in
2006 and again in 2008 due to equity market volatility, we
expect that local insurers will begin to run their businesses
more like insurance companies and less like investment
holding companies. For someone that wants exposure to the
UAE insurance industry there is not much choice, with all
players heavily invested in local equity and property markets.
The player with the most conservative investment strategy,
Arab Orient Insurance, is also the one with the best return on
capital.
The share of liquid assets of the UAE conventional insurers
has increased as they adopt more risk-averse profiles. The
share of cash and cash equivalents as a percentage of total
investments increased from 24.8% in 2006 to 34.8% in 2008,
while the share of investment securities and properties
decreased from 75.2% in 2006 to 65.2% in 2008. The shift
has to a large extent been involuntary as equity and property
prices have declined (See chart 43).
Chart 43: Investment profile of the UAE insurers

 

100% =
(in US$
millions)

2,679.4

3,529.3

3,073.2

17.9%

17.3%

23.5%

24.8%

31.9%

57.2%

2006

50.7%

2007

34.8%

41.7%

2008

Investment Securities Liquid Investments Investment properties

Source: Company website, Zawya, Data represent an
average of the ten largest players

P a g e  | 24 
 

 
9. Key Risks

 
Chart 44: Projects cancelled or on hold, (US$ billion)

9.1. Equity and property market volatility

389.8

The UAE insurers are pursuing very aggressive investment
strategies, with high exposure to local stock and real estate
markets. This may be acceptable in the context of strong
capitalizations, but makes for very volatile and unpredictable
earnings and return on capital. The performance of the UAE

6.0

Bahrain Qatar

insurers has been more driven by investment returns than by
underwriting performance over the past three years. In

37.2

11.1

9.9

53.2

Oman Kuwait Saudi
Arabia

The
UAE

Source: MEED, Gulf projects (June 22, 2009)

addition, there is very little disclosure into the investment
strategies and investment composition.
We see an opportunity here for the insurance sector to adopt
more traditional and conservative investment strategies,
thereby offering potential investors an opportunity to invest in
the local insurance market without exposure to the local
equity and real estate markets. This will reduce earnings
volatility, raise the risk adjusted return and ultimately stock
prices.

9.4. Increased use of captive insurance
Captive insurance, or “self insurance”, is most prevalent in
Bahrain, Dubai and Qatar as these countries have
regulations for establishing captives (See chart 45). Large
corporations commit part of their own capital to cover their
risks. Captive insurance is particularly useful when insurance
for certain risks are either unavailable or only available at
unacceptable terms. The move to captive is encouraged by
the lower expense ratios for captive compared to commercial

9.2. Weakening underwriting performance

insurers. According to Marsh’s Global Captive Benchmark
Report 2008, 65% of captives have an expense ratio of less

The underwriting performance of the UAE insurers has
weakened gradually over the past three years. This is a

than 5% compared to an average of 25% for commercial
insurers.

function of growing competition, rapid growth and to some
extent relaxation of underwriting standards. That said,

Chart 45: Captive Insurance Regulations

underwriting performance still remains good compared to
developed markets, with an average combined ratio of 77%

Issue

for our sample in 2008.

Dubai
Internatio
nal
Financial
Centre

Central
Bank of
Bahrain

Qatar
Financial
Center

The global downturn has led to an increased number of

Minimum
capital
required

Class I CaptiveUS$150,000
Class 2 CaptiveUS$250,000
Class 3 CaptiveUS$1 million

Captive (SPV)
- US$200,000

Class I
CaptiveUS$150,000
Class 2
Captive- US$1
million
Class 3
CaptiveUS$250,000

Solvency
margin
requirements

Minimum base
capital or the
risk based
capital,
whichever is
higher

Category C1
firm US$200,000
Category C2
firm US$800,000

Minimum base
capital or the
risk based
capital,
whichever is
higher

Application
fees

US$15,000

US$265

US$10,000

Tax regime

9.3. Project delays and cancellations

50 year taxholiday

No corporate
taxes (except
for oil
companies)

Tax-exempt

projects being put on hold or cancelled, thereby reducing the
potential insurable property in the GCC. According to MEED,
projects in the GCC worth about US$0.5 trillion are either on
hold or have been cancelled. Around 77% of the projects in
question are located in the UAE (See chart 44). An
increasing number of projects being put on hold or cancelled
could hamper the growth of the non-life insurance business
in the UAE.

Source: Middle East Insurance Review, 2008

P a g e  | 25 
 

 
 

According to AON Consulting, there are seven captives in
the Middle East, with many more in the making. The most
notable among these is Saudi Armaco (Stellar Insurance),
the UAE-based Tabreed (Tabreed Cooperative Insurance)
and Qatar Petroleum (Al Koot Insurance and Reinsurance).
As large firms set up their own captives, a sizeable portion of
the country’s premium income goes beyond the reach of the
commercial insurers.
9.5. Shortage of skilled labor
With an increasing number of insurance firms being
established in the GCC, the industry is witnessing a shortage
of professionals, such as underwriters. Underwriting skills
are a key requirement in growing insurance operations. The

 
 

Arab Forum of Insurance Regulatory Commission (AFIRC)Hawakamah survey also notes that the recruitment of
qualified board members and management remains a
challenge in MENA insurance markets.

P a g e  | 26 
 

 
 

 

 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

 

Appendix: Company Profiles
 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

P a g e  | 27 
 

 
 

Abu Dhabi National Insurance Company (ADNIC DH Equity)
 

STOCK DATA

PERFORMANCE SUMMARY*
(US$ million)

2007

Gross premium written

2008

2007-‘08
(% change)

315.2

369.4

17.2

Net premium earned

90.0

115.1

27.8

Underwriting profit

29.1

28.7

(1.3)

Underwriting profit margin
(%)

32.3

25.0

-

Net profit

90.0

57.2

(36.3)

ROE (%)

16.4

10.5

-

ROA (%)

10.2

6.3

-

AED
ADNIC DH
ADNIC.ADSM
5.5
9.75/5.5
2,062.5
561.5
1,181.4
321.6

Bloomberg Ticker:
Exchange Ticker:
Price (July 23, 2009)
52 Week High/Low
Mkt. Cap (AED million)
(US$ million)
Enterprise value (AED million)
(US$ million)
120%

S&P Financial Strength Credit Rating: A-/Stable

110%
100%
90%

*Zawya

80%

 
COMPANY DESCRIPTION

70%
60%

Established in 1972, Abu Dhabi National Insurance Company (ADNIC) is the
largest of the Abu Dhabi based ‘national’ insurers. It offers all classes of life
and non-life insurance and reinsurance products and services. It categorizes
its insurance products into personal insurance, business insurance and
overseas insurance. The personal insurance segment covers home, car, life
& health and accident insurance, while business insurance covers fire &
property, aviation, marine hull, engineering, energy and cargo insurance.
ADNIC offers aviation, energy, cargo, marine, property and engineering
insurance to its overseas clients through its overseas insurance segment.

Aug-08

Oct-08

Jan-09

ADNIC UH Equity

•

•

Net premium for the first half of 2009 increased 29.7% year on year
to US$93.0 million. However, ADNIC reported a net loss of US$41.0
million in the first half of 2009 compared to net income of US$74.3
million in same period in 2009

Jul-09

ADII Index

  SHAREHOLDER STRUCTURE
Abu Dhabi
Investment
Council
23.80%

Recent Events:
•

Apr-09

Ahmad Bin
Khalaf Al
Outaibah
10.11%
Sheikh
Tahnoun
Bin
Mohammed
Abu Dhabi Al Nahyan
5.30%
Cooperative

Public
55.74%

In February 2009, ADNIC launched ‘Shifa’, a medical insurance
product, in partnership with Vanbreda International, a global health
insurance consultant and administrator. Shifa offers customers an
extensive network of more than 10,000 medical service providers
worldwide

Society
5.05%

KEY INSURANCE RATIOS (%)

In January 2009, ADNIC launched a new brand campaign
introducing a “revitalized look and feel” for its corporate identity

2006

2007

2008

Claims ratio

65.1

68.6

75.5

Combined ratio

60.1

67.7

75.0

8.9

8.2

4.8

Investment return*

*Excluding change in fair value

 
 
 

Al Ain Ahlia Insurance Company (ALAIN UH Equity)

STOCK DATA

PERFORMANCE SUMMARY*
(US$ million)

2007

Gross premium written

2008

2007-‘08
(% change)

172.9

189.6

9.7

Net premium earned

61.4

74.2

20.8

Underwriting profit

12.0

5.0

(58.2)

Underwriting profit margin
(%)

19.5

6.7

-

Net profit

56.7

39.2

(30.9)

ROE (%)

20.5

13.3

-

ROA (%)

12.4

7.0

-

AED
ALAIN UH
ALAIN.ADSM
64.0
97.5/64.0
960.0
261.4
541.3
147.4

Bloomberg Ticker:
Exchange Ticker:
Price (June 23, 2009)
52 Week High/Low
Mkt. Cap (AED million)
(US$ million)
Enterprise value (AED million)
(US$ million)
 
120%

S&P Financial Strength Credit Rating: BBBpi

110%
100%
90%

*Zawya

80%

 
COMPANY DESCRIPTION

70%

Established in 1975, Al Ain Ahlia Insurance Company (AAAIC) is the second
largest of the Abu Dhabi-based ‘national’ insurance companies. It offers all
classes of insurance and re-insurance services. AAAIC’s offering includes
motor, engineering, property, marine, energy, aviation, life and health
insurance.

60%
Aug-08

Oct-08

Jan-09

ALAIN UH Equity

Apr-09

Jul-09

ADII Index

  SHAREHOLDER STRUCTURE

Recent Events:
•

•

In February 2009, AAAIC approved the distribution of a cash
dividend of AED 10 per share for the year 2008 

•

In February 2008, Saudi Arabian insurer Tawuniya, AAAIC and
Bahrain Kuwait Insurance Company launched Manasik, an insurance
plan for the pilgrims of Haj and Umrah in Saudi Arabia 

Abu Dhabi
Investment
Council
19.70% Mohamme
d Bin Juan
Rached Al
Badie Al
Thaheri
10.28%
Khaled
Mohamme
d Bin Juan
Rashed Al
Badie Al
Thaheri
5.45%

Net premium income and net profit for the first quarter of 2009 were
US$18.3 million and US$10.4 million, representing an increase of
10.3% and 19.7% respectively year on year

Public
64.57%

KEY INSURANCE RATIOS (%)

2006

2007

2008

Claims ratio

70.2

76.7

94.6

Combined ratio

75.2

80.5

93.3

Investment return*

13.0

11.6

7.9

*Excluding change in fair value

 
 
 

Al Buhaira National Insurance Company (ABNIC UH Equity)
 

STOCK DATA

PERFORMANCE SUMMARY*
(US$ million)

2007

Gross premium written

2008

2007-‘08
(% change)

142.5

198.6

39.4

Net premium earned

48.9

65.8

34.6

Underwriting profit

20.9

27.5

31.6

Underwriting profit margin
(%)

42.8

41.9

-

Net profit

43.8

13.7

(68.8)

ROE (%)

23.9

7.3

-

ROA (%)

11.6

2.8

-

S&P Financial Strength Credit Rating: BBB/Negative

AED
ABNIC UH
ABNIC.ADSM
10.3
10.3/8.4
2,575.0
701.1
-

Bloomberg Ticker:
Exchange Ticker:
Price (February 22, 2009)
52 Week High/Low
Mkt. Cap (AED million)*
(US$ million) *
Enterprise value (AED million)
(US$ million)
 
* Source: Zawya, July 13, 2009
130%
120%
110%

*Zawya

100%

 
COMPANY DESCRIPTION

90%
80%

Established in 1978, Al Buhaira National Insurance Company (ABNIC) is the
fifth largest insurer in the UAE and a ‘national’ insurer of Sharjah. It
underwrites all types of insurance risks, except savings and accumulation of
funds. ABNIC provides property, engineering, energy, marine & aviation,
medical, motor and travel insurance.

70%
60%
Aug-08

Oct-08

Jan-09

ABNIC UH Equity

Apr-09

Jul-09

ADII Index

  SHAREHOLDER STRUCTURE

Recent Events:
•

Net premium for the first half of 2009 of US$48.0 million increased by
31.0% year on year. ABNIC reported a net income of US$17.2 million
in the first half of 2009 compared to US$21.8 million in the same
period in 2008, a decrease of 21.0% year on year

•

In March 2008, ABNIC, in partnership with Uniqua Group, a group
which owns 30 insurers in 20 European countries, established
Takaful Al Emarat insurance. Takaful Al Emarat provides health and
life insurance through the largest network based on Islamic Shariah
in the Gulf region, the Middle East and other Islamic countries 

HH Sheikh
Tarek Bin
Faisal
Khaled Al
Qasimi
9.59%

Public
38.07%

Al Qasimi
Group
11.22%
HH Sheikh
Abdullah
Bin
Mohammed
Bin Ali Al
Thani
13.47%

The Private
Investment
Group
27.65%

KEY INSURANCE RATIOS (%)
2006

2007

2008

Claims ratio

88.5

93.9

88.5

Combined ratio

49.6

57.2

58.1

7.3

8.6

-4.3

Investment return*

*Excluding change in fair value

 
 
 

Al Khazna National Insurance Company (AKIC UH Equity)
 

STOCK DATA

PERFORMANCE SUMMARY*
(US$ million)

2007

2008

2007-‘08
(% change)

Gross premium written

43.5

59.3

36.3

Net premium earned

21.1

26.5

25.5

Underwriting profit

(1.7)

(1.8)

Underwriting profit margin
(%)

(7.9)

(6.9)

-

Net profit

37.8

9.2

(75.8)

ROE (%)

22.2

4.9

-

ROA (%)

13.0

2.7

-

AED
AKIC UH
AKIC.ADSM
0.93
2.61/0.73
372.0
101.3
493.6
134.4

Bloomberg Ticker:
Exchange Ticker:
Price (July 6, 2009)
52 Week High/Low
Mkt. Cap (AED million)
(US$ million)
Enterprise value (AED million)
(US$ million)
120%

S&P Financial Strength Credit Rating: Not Rated
*Zawya

100%
80%
60%
40%

 
COMPANY DESCRIPTION

20%

Incorporated in 1996, Al Khazna Insurance Company (AKIC) is a ‘national’
insurer based in Abu Dhabi. It is authorized to write all classes of life and
non-life insurance business. Its offerings include marine cargo & hull, energy
& aviation, property, engineering, general accidents, motor and medical & life
insurance.

0%
Aug-08

Oct-08

Jan-09

AKIC UH Equity

Apr-09

Jul-09

ADII Index

  SHAREHOLDER STRUCTURE

Recent Events:
•

•

Net premium for the first quarter of 2009 of US$5.8 million decreased
by 11.2% year on year. Also, AKIC reported a net loss of US$3.1
million in the first quarter of 2009 compared to net income of US$2.8
million in the same period in 2008

Ocha
Hamad Eid
5.01%

Public
89.99%

In May 2008, AKIC acquired a 15% stake in Saudi Arabian Sanad for
Co-operative Insurance and Reinsurance 

Hazaa
Mohammed
Abdulaziz
Rabih
Chahine Al
Mohairi
5.00%

KEY INSURANCE RATIOS (%)

2006
Claims ratio
Combined ratio
Investment return*

2007

2008

85.9

77.4

72.9

103.6

94.9

91.8

15.1

18.1

7.4

*Excluding change in fair value

 
 
 

Al Sagr National Insurance Company (ASNIC UH Equity)
 

STOCK DATA

PERFORMANCE SUMMARY*
(US$ million)

2007

Gross premium written

2008

2007-‘08
(% change)

118.1

117.2

(0.8)

Net premium earned

55.7

57.8

3.7

Underwriting profit

16.4

15.3

(6.8)

Underwriting profit margin
(%)

29.5

26.5

-

Net profit

31.0

18.3

(41.0)

ROE (%)

28.7

13.1

-

ROA (%)

11.8

5.6

-

S&P Financial Strength Credit Rating: BBBpi

AED
ASNIC UH
ASNIC.DFM
4.56
4.56/2.61
1,048.8
285.5
-

Bloomberg Ticker:
Exchange Ticker:
Price (April 21, 2009)
52 Week High/Low
Mkt. Cap (AED million)*
(US$ million) *
Enterprise value (AED million)
(US$ million)
 

* Source: Zawya, July 13, 2009
200%

160%

*Zawya
120%

 
COMPANY DESCRIPTION
80%

Established in 1979, Al Sagr National Insurance Company (ASNIC) offers all
classes of life and non-life insurance, reinsurance products and services. Its
main insurance offerings are fire and general accident, marine, motor, life
and medical insurance. ASNIC operates in Saudi Arabia through its
subsidiary, Al Sagr Company for Co-operative Insurance and has plans to
establish a subsidiary in Qatar.

40%
Jan-09

In March 2009, ASNIC issued 30 million bonus shares worth AED30
million (US$8.16 million) taking the total number of shares to 230
million

•

Abdullah
Omran
Taryam
9.47%

In 2008 it bought 55% of an insurer based in Jordan and took over
the management of Union Insurance Co PSC based in Ajman, UAE

Gulf General
Investment
Company
53.00%

In 2008, Al Sagr took a 26% share in a new Saudi insurer, Al Sagr
Company for Co-Operative Insurance, and closed down its former
Saudi operations previously conducted through a subsidiary in
Bahrain

•

Apr-09

ASNIC UH Equity

Net premium for the first quarter of 2009 of US$18.8 million
increased by 28.7% year on year. ASNIC reported a net income of
US$9.1 million in the first quarter of 2009 compared to US$12.2
million in the same period in 2008, a decrease of 25.5% year on year

•

Mar-09

May-09

Jun-09

Jul-09

BMEXSA Index

  SHAREHOLDER STRUCTURE

Recent Events:
•

Feb-09

Near East Enmaa Al
Investment Emirate for
Company General
8.75%
Trading Ayman
7.50% Mohammed
Yusri Al
Dweik
5.00%
Amjad
Mohammed
Yusri Al
Dweik
5.00%

Public
7.03%

Khaled
Khalfan
Abdullah
Mohammed Omran
Al Roumi
Taryam
2.00%
2.25%

KEY INSURANCE RATIOS (%)
2006

2007

2008

Claims ratio

66.5

84.1

82.0

Combined ratio

58.3

70.5

73.5

Investment return*

-8.9

14.9

3.0

*Excluding change in fair value

 
 
 

Al Wathba National Insurance Company (AWNIC UH Equity)
 

STOCK DATA

PERFORMANCE SUMMARY*
(US$ million)

2007

2008

2007-‘08
(% change)

Gross premium written

47.0

75.7

60.9

Net premium earned

20.2

34.9

73.1

Underwriting profit

2.2

2.4

6.7

Underwriting profit margin
(%)

11.1

6.8

-

Net profit

18.5

8.7

(53.2)

ROE (%)

14.6

6.6

-

ROA (%)

8.5

3.5

-

S&P Financial Strength Credit Rating: Not Rated
*Zawya

AED
AWNIC UH
AWNIC.ADSM
7.69
10.4/6.3
922.8
251.2
-

Bloomberg Ticker:
Exchange Ticker:
Price (March 10, 2009)
52 Week High/Low
Mkt. Cap (AED million)*
(US$ million) *
Enterprise value (AED million)
(US$ million)
 
* Source: Zawya, July 13, 2009
160%
140%
120%

 
COMPANY DESCRIPTION

100%
80%

Established in 1997, Al Wathba National Insurance Company (AWNIC) offers
general insurance and re-insurance services. Its offerings include fire &
general accident, engineering, motor, marine, oil & energy, health and
personal insurance.

•

•

Aug-08

Oct-08

Jan-09

AWNIC UH Equity

Apr-09

Jul-09

ADII Index

  SHAREHOLDER STRUCTURE

Recent Events:
•

60%

Net premium for the first half of 2009 of US$26.8 million increased by
50.1% year on year. However, AWNIC reported a net income of
US$2.7 million in the first half of 2009 compared to US$10.6 million
in the same period in 2008, a decrease of 74.8% year on year
In January 2009, AWNIC acquired technology to enhance its internal
communication network through Unified Communications, a Nortel
and Microsoft’s product. Unified Communications converges voice
and data services with telephony, fax, email, video and instant
messaging to strengthen communication between employees and its
outside contacts
In April 2008, AWNIC, in association with Vision Investment
Company, launched Vision Insurance in Oman. With a capital base
of RO 5 million, Vision Insurance provides all lines of non-life, group
life and group medical insurance  

Public
27.80%

Saif Darweesh
Ahmad Al
Ketbi
19.15%

Abu Dhabi
National
Company for
Building
Materials
3.40%

HH Sheikh
Saif Bin
Mohammed
Bin Butti Al
Hamed
13.20%

Ahmad Bin Ali
Khalfan Al
Dhaheri
5.25%
Mohammed
Ahmad Al
Kassemi
5.60%

Abu Dhabi
Cooperative
Society
9.27%

Rashed
Darweesh
Ahmad Al
Ketbi
9.27%

Ali Rashed
Nasser Al
Omeira
7.06%

KEY INSURANCE RATIOS (%)
2006

2007

2008

Claims ratio

64.8

70.2

77.3

Combined ratio

80.4

88.9

93.2

5.2

8.5

3.1

Investment return*

*Excluding change in fair value

 
 
 

Arab Orient Insurance Company (AOIC UH Equity)

PERFORMANCE SUMMARY*

STOCK DATA

(US$ million)

2007

Gross premium written

2008

2007-‘08
(% change)

208.7

272.3

30.5

Net premium earned

52.9

67.9

28.5

Underwriting profit

24.7

36.9

49.5

Underwriting profit margin
(%)

34.5

49.5

-

Net profit

37.1

40.9

10.3

Net profit margin (%)

43.2

10.3

-

ROE (%)

31.1

27.5

-

ROA (%)

11.0

9.7

AED
AOIC UH
AOIC.DFM
-

Bloomberg Ticker:
Exchange Ticker:
Price (na)
52 Week High/Low
Mkt. Cap (AED million)
(US$ million)
Enterprise value (AED million)
(US$ million)

-

S&P Financial Strength Credit Rating : A/Stable
* Zawya

COMPANY DESCRIPTION
 

Established in 1980, Arab Orient Insurance Company operates into two main
insurance segments, namely personal insurance and commercial insurance.
The personal insurance segment offers motor, comprehensive household,
personal accident, medical, individual life and travel insurance. Its
commercial insurance segment offers property, engineering, liability, money,
fidelity guarantee, contingency, marine, workmen's compensation, group life,
group medical, motor fleet, and bond insurances.

  SHAREHOLDER STRUCTURE

Al Futtaim
Private
Company
5.00%

Recent Events
•

Gross premium and net profit for the first half of 2009 were
US$150.0 million and US$28.8 million, an increase of 10.0% and
30.0% respectively year on year

•

Al Futtaim
Group 5.00%

Arab Orient Insurance Company, Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank and
Union National Bank recently established a Takaful insurance
company in Egypt

•

Al Futtaim
Development
Services
Company
90.00%

In April 2007, the company commenced operations in Syria

  KEY INSURANCE RATIOS (%)
2006

2007

2008

Claims ratio

49.0

50.5

44.8

Combined ratio

54.4

53.3

45.7

6.7

7.1

0.2

Investment return*

*Excluding change in fair value

 
 
 

Dubai Insurance Company (DIN UH Equity)
 

STOCK DATA

PERFORMANCE SUMMARY*
(US$ million)

2007

Gross premium written

2008

2007-‘08
(% change)

16.7

33.0

98.0

Net premium earned

6.0

15.3

161.6

Underwriting profit

2.0

4.4

115.7

Underwriting profit margin
(%)

34.1

28.1

-

Net profit

12.0

18.3

52.4

ROE (%)

11.9

17.7

-

ROA (%)

10.3

14.3

-

S&P Financial Strength Credit Rating: Not Rated

AED
DIN UH
DIN.DFM
28.9
289.0
78.7
-

Bloomberg Ticker:
Exchange Ticker:
Price (June 10, 2009)
52 Week High/Low
Mkt. Cap (AED million)*
(US$ million) *
Enterprise value (AED million)
(US$ million)
 
* Source: Zawya, July 13, 2009
120%
110%
100%

*Zawya

90%

 
COMPANY DESCRIPTION

80%

Dubai Insurance Company (DIC) offers all classes of general life and non-life
insurance products. DIC mainly offers short term insurance contracts for fire
and engineering, motor, marine, general accident, medical and group life
risks.

•

•
•

60%
Aug-08

Oct-08

Jan-09

DIN UH Equity

Apr-09

Jul-09

DFIINSU Index

  SHAREHOLDER STRUCTURE

Recent Events:
•

70%

In July 2009, DIC and the UK based insurance specialist William
Russell Limited introduced global life insurance plans for GCC
residents, offering cover of up to 20 times the salary up to a
maximum of US$1.5 million

Abdulwah
eed
Hassan
Mohamme
d Al
Rostamani
16.77%

Public
43.61%

Net premium and net profit for the first quarter of 2009 were US$8.1
million and US$3.7 million, an increase of 43.5% and 26.9%
respectively year on year
In March 2009, DIC distributed AED 3 per share cash dividend for
the year ended December 31, 2008 

Others
20.27%

In March 2008, DIC distributed bonus shares of 33.3% of the paid up
capital 

Mashreq
4.16%

Mohamme
d Obeid Al
Mulla and
Sons
Abdullah 8.00%
Hamad
Majed Al
Futtaim
7.19%

KEY INSURANCE RATIOS (%)
2006

2007

2008

Claims ratio

34.4

49.1

45.3

Combined ratio

21.9

65.9

71.9

-10.3

7.9

17.8

Investment return*

*Excluding change in fair value

 
 
 

Emirates Insurance Company (EIC UH Equity)
 

STOCK DATA

PERFORMANCE SUMMARY*
(US$ million)

2007

Gross premium written

2008

2007-‘08
(% change)

133.2

180.5

35.5

Net premium earned

31.7

51.8

63.7

Underwriting profit

12.6

13.8

9.5

Underwriting profit margin
(%)

39.7

26.6

-

Net profit

37.0

30.9

(16.5)

ROE (%)

10.8

10.2

-

ROA (%)

7.5

6.1

-

AED
EIC UH
EIC.ADSM
6.49
8.83/6.0
778.8
212.1
712.0
193.9

Bloomberg Ticker:
Exchange Ticker:
Price (June 25, 2009)
52 Week High/Low
Mkt. Cap (AED million)
(US$ million)
Enterprise value (AED million)
(US$ million)

 

120%
110%
100%

S&P Financial Strength Credit Rating: BBB+/Stable
*Zawya

90%

 
COMPANY DESCRIPTION

80%
70%

Incorporated in 1983, Emirates Insurance Company (EIC) is the third largest
of the Abu Dhabi based ‘national’ insurers and the sixth largest in the UAE.
EIC offers  a  comprehensive range of insurance products to both corporate
and individual customers. EIC offers the following classes of insurance
services: aviation, bankers’ blanket bond insurance, cargo, fidelity guarantee,
fire, marine, money, motor and life insurance.

60%
Aug-08

Oct-08

Jan-09

EIC UH Equity

•

  SHAREHOLDER STRUCTURE
Abu Dhabi
Cooperative
Society
15.35%

Net premium for the first half of 2009 of US$31.9 million increased by
33.4% year on year. EIC reported a net income of US$11.5 million in
the first half of 2009 compared to US$25.9 million in the same period
in 2008, a decrease of 55.5% year on year
In July 2008, EIC was the first Abu Dhabi insurance company to be
awarded a fully interactive insurance company financial strength
rating of BBB+ from Standard & Poor’s

Jul-09

ADII Index

Recent Events:
•

Apr-09

Al Mazroui
Group
13.95%
Public*
58.89%
Abu Dhabi
Investment
Council
11.81%

* Al Qasimi Group shareholding is part
of the public stake 

Gross Premium Income
(in US$ million)
48.5

47.1

KEY INSURANCE RATIOS (%)

43.6
30.0

32.7

33.8

15.0

Marine

2007

2008

Claims ratio

80.5

63.6

67.8

72.3

60.3

73.4

5.1

6.3

7.8

26.7

14.2

Life and
Medical

2006

Combined ratio

22.3

Engineering

2007

Fire and
General
Accident

Motor

Investment return*

*Excluding change in fair value

2008

 
 
 

Oman Insurance Company (OIC UH Equity)
 

STOCK DATA

PERFORMANCE SUMMARY*
(US$ million)

2007

2008

2007-‘08
(% change)

Gross premium written

412.2

581.4

41.0

Net premium earned

192.3

271.3

41.0

Underwriting profit

47.9

59.9

25.2

Underwriting profit margin
(%)

24.9

22.1

-

Net profit

171.8

68.1

(60.3)

ROE (%)

33.3

12.4

-

ROA (%)

15.8

5.2

AED
OIC UH
OIC.DFM
11.0
11.0/10.0
4,198.8
1,143.2
4,378.4
1,192.1

Bloomberg Ticker:
Exchange Ticker:
Price (June 30, 2009)
52 Week High/Low
Mkt. Cap (AED million)
(US$ million)
Enterprise value (AED million)
(US$ million)

-

120%
110%

S&P Financial Strength Credit Rating: BBB+/Stable

100%

*Zawya

90%

 
COMPANY DESCRIPTION

80%

Established in 1975, Oman Insurance Company (OIC) is the largest insurer in
the UAE, with its base in Dubai. It mainly issues short term insurance
contracts for property, marine and motor risks and medical, group life and
personal accident risks. OIC also invests its funds in investment securities
and properties through its wholly-owned subsidiary, Equator Trading
Enterprises LLC.

60%

70%

Aug-08

Oct-08

Jan-09

OIC UH Equity

Apr-09

Jul-09

DFIINSU Index

  SHAREHOLDER STRUCTURE

Recent Events:
•

Net premium for the first half of 2009 of US$175.1 million increased
by 26.6% year on year. OIC reported a net income of US$38.8
million in the first half of 2009 compared to US$97.6 million in the
same period in 2008, a decrease of 60.3% year on year

•

Mashreq
63.65%

Saeed
Mohammed
Saeed Al
Ghandi
4.50%
Ahmad
Humaid Al
Tayer
1.00%

In Q1 2009, OIC commenced operations in Qatar

•

Al Dhaheri
Group
5.00%

In March 2009, OIC distributed AED 0.5 per share cash dividend for
the year ended December 31, 2008  

Public
25.85%

KEY INSURANCE RATIOS (%)
2006

2007

2008

Claims ratio

50.4

52.5

54.4

Combined ratio

70.4

75.1

77.9

5.1

14.9

3.1

Investment return*

*Excluding change in fair value

 
 
 

For more information:

Name:

Tommy Trask

Designation:

Executive Director

Contact détails:

t.trask@alpencapital.com

Tel:

+971 (0) 4 363 4322

Name:

Sanjay Vig

Designation:

Managing Director

Contact détails:

s.vig@alpencapital.com

Tel:

+971 (0) 4 363 4307

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
 

 

 
 
 

This page has intentionally been left blank

 
 
 

 
 

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Uae insurance industry aug 2, 2009

  • 1. The UAE Insurance Industry 2 August 2009
  • 2.   TABLE OF CONTENTS Executive Summary ........................................................................................................................................... 4  I.  Scope of the report........................................................................................................................................ 4  II.  Investment rationale ...................................................................................................................................... 4  1. Middle East Insurance Industry..................................................................................................................... 6  1.1.  Overview........................................................................................................................................................ 6  1.2.  The GCC ....................................................................................................................................................... 7  1.2.1.  1.2.2.  1.2.3.  1.2.4.  Overview ..............................................................................................................................................................7  Conventional vs. Takaful......................................................................................................................................7  Non-life insurance dominates...............................................................................................................................7  ‘National’ insurers.................................................................................................................................................8  2. Financial performance.................................................................................................................................... 9  2.1.  Financial performance................................................................................................................................... 9  2.2.  Takaful and life insurance attractive growth areas ..................................................................................... 13  2.3.  Comparative Financial Performance........................................................................................................... 13  3. Valuations ...................................................................................................................................................... 15  4. Stock Liquidity .............................................................................................................................................. 15  5. Growth Illustration ........................................................................................................................................ 16  6. Corporate Governance ................................................................................................................................. 18  7. Key Growth Drivers ...................................................................................................................................... 19  7.1.  Favorable demographics............................................................................................................................. 19  7.2.  High and rising GDP per capita .................................................................................................................. 19  7.3.  Economic diversification.............................................................................................................................. 19  7.4.  Regulation driving growth............................................................................................................................ 20  8. Emerging Trends .......................................................................................................................................... 21  8.1.  Islamic Insurance making inroads............................................................................................................... 21  8.2.  Regulatory framework ................................................................................................................................. 21  8.3.  Leveraging distribution channels ................................................................................................................ 23  8.4.  Cross - border expansion............................................................................................................................ 23  8.5.  Advent of foreign players leading to increased competition ....................................................................... 23  8.6.  Focus on core activities............................................................................................................................... 24  8.7.  Expected consolidation ............................................................................................................................... 24  9. Key Risks ....................................................................................................................................................... 25  9.1.  Equity and property market volatility ........................................................................................................... 25  9.2.  Weakening underwriting performance ........................................................................................................ 25  9.3.  Project delays and cancellations................................................................................................................. 25  9.4.  Increased use of captive insurance ............................................................................................................ 25  9.5.  Shortage of skilled labor.............................................................................................................................. 26  Appendix: Company Profiles .......................................................................................................................... 27  P a g e  | 2     
  • 3.   DISCLAIMER This material was produced by Alpen Capital (ME) Limited (‘Alpen’), a firm regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority. This document is not to be used or considered as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities. Alpen may, from time to time, to the extent permitted by law, participate or invest in other financing transactions with the issuers of the securities (‘securities’), perform services for or solicit business from such issuer, and/or have a position or effect transactions in the securities or options thereof. Alpen may, to the extent permitted by applicable UAE law or other applicable laws or regulations, effect transactions in the securities before this material is published to recipients. Information and opinions contained herein have been compiled or arrived by Alpen from sources believed to be reliable, but Alpen has not independently verified the contents of this document. Accordingly, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to and no reliance should be placed on the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information and opinions contained in this document. Alpen accepts no liability for any loss arising from the use of this document or its contents or otherwise arising in connection therewith. This document is not to be relied upon or used in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment. Alpen shall have no responsibility or liability whatsoever in respect of any inaccuracy in or omission from this or any other document prepared by Alpen for, or sent by Alpen to, any person, and any such person shall be responsible for conducting his own investigation and analysis of the information contained or referred to in this document and of evaluating the merits and risks involved in the securities forming the subject matter of this or other such document. Opinions and estimates constitute our judgment and are subject to change without prior notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This document does not constitute an offer or invitation to subscribe for or purchase any securities, and neither this document nor anything contained herein shall form the basis of any contract or commitment what so ever. It is being furnished to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Neither this report nor any copy hereof may be distributed in any jurisdiction outside the UAE where its distribution may be restricted by law. Persons who receive this report should make themselves aware of and adhere to any such restrictions. By accepting this report you agree to be bound by the foregoing limitations. P a g e  | 3     
  • 4.   Executive Summary I. Scope of the report T his report caters to investors who are looking to the continuation of a long term trend that has seen the invest in the UAE insurance sector (life and non-life). average ratio of ceded to retained premiums fall from about The primary focus of the report is on conventional 61.3% in 2007 to about 56.4% in the second quarter of 2009. (non-Islamic) insurers and factors that drive premium income This trend signals greater sophistication and underwriting and earnings growth, including opportunities, challenges and capacity of the UAE insurers, but also raises the question of key trends facing the industry. The report also covers the extent to which the insurers are equipped to handle the valuations, governance and liquidity of the major industry risks that are now retained, rather than passed on to players. reinsurance companies. II. Investment rationale • The UAE insurers are responding to lower growth by Notwithstanding the global recession, the UAE insurance ceding less business to reinsurance companies. In the industry’s long-term outlook remains positive. Although second quarter of 2009 the ratio of ceded to retained weakness in new car and home sales and construction premiums fell to an all time low of 56.4%. project delays and cancellation will result in weaker growth in 2009 than over the past decade, we believe the sector will resume double digit growth rates in 2010 to 2012. The key factors underpinning the strong growth potential are (Chapter 7): While average growth in gross premium income was about 15.1% in the first and 0.8% in the second quarters of 2009, growth in net premium revenue (net of reinsurance and provisions for unearned premiums) was in excess of 20.0% in both the first and the second quarter. We view growth in • Low insurance penetration. Regulation, greater affluence, gross premium income as a leading and growth in net growth in organized savings, greater availability of Takaful premium revenue as a lagging indicator of growth. insurance products and changing consumer habits are • Gross premium income growth is slowing rapidly, while net some of the key drivers for spending on insurance products. • Strong economic premium income continues to grow fast, signaling slower revenue growth ahead in 2009. growth. Efforts to diversify local economies and greater investment in development of local economies (as opposed to investment abroad) than in the past. The UAE insurers continue to perform very well in terms of underwriting performance (Chapter 2.1). The performance has been uneven however with about half the peer group reporting increasing and half decreasing underwriting profits over the past three years. Longer term, the average • Favorable demographics. underwriting margin is on a declining path, although this We expect the UAE life and medical insurance industry to remains very high by international standards. The decline is grow at a significantly faster pace than non-life insurance. a reflection of rapid growth over the past few years and Oman Insurance increasing competition. The earnings performance is also Company are well placed to capitalize on this opportunity affected by cross-subsidization of unprofitable lines, such as with 23.7% and 17.0% respectively of 2008 revenue 3rd party motor insurance. Insurance Company and Emirates accounted for by life premiums. • Very strong underwriting performance in the first half of • Life and medical is growing faster than general insurance. 2009, but the long term trend points to greater competition. The UAE insurers are responding to slower growth in 2009 by ceding less business to reinsurance companies. This is P a g e  | 4     
  • 5. All insurance companies surveyed, other than Arab Orient however, with the introduction of a new regulatory body and Insurance aggressive the promise of a capital adequacy regime akin to Solvency II investment strategies, with an average of 65% of assets Company, have adopted very (Chapter 8.2). This should encourage more discipline in invested in equities and real estate, mostly locally (Chapter areas of investment strategy, underwriting, reinsurance and 2.1). This has resulted in very volatile investment returns, risk management. We believe the regulatory reform will also with significant losses incurred in 2006 and 2008. In the spur consolidation and cross boarder expansion, particularly context of weak transparency and governance practices, we into less penetrated markets in the MENA region, in the feel this approach is unappealing to potential investors, but relatively fragmented industry. at the same time presents a great opportunity to unlock Greater competition from foreign players entering the UAE shareholder value. market is encouraging local players to develop their • Greater sophistication in investment strategy required. distribution networks and strategies, enter into joint ventures with their bank counterparts (bancassurance), and place • Higher asset allocation towards cash and bonds and less on equities and real estate. Better diversification of more emphasis on product development and innovation (Chapter 8.3). investments and higher allocation to international assets. We have identified the following key risks to investors in the The UAE insurers are closely held and their stocks are UAE insurance industry (Chapter 9): inherently illiquid. The stocks are trading at relatively moderate valuations, similar to an international peer group (Chapter 3). The valuations are underpinned by strong growth and good underwriting performance, but hampered by aggressive investment strategies, lack of transparency and weak stock liquidity. We feel there is potential to unlock significant value shortcomings in by terms addressing of relatively investment simple strategy and transparency. • Very illiquid stocks. • Trading at an average P/E ratio of 13.7 times. • Potential to unlock shareholder value by adopting more sophisticated investment strategy and providing greater • Very high exposures to local equities and real estate and hence high earnings volatility. • Weakening underwriting performance on the back of rapid growth, lack of claims history in some lines of insurance, shortage of qualified staff (e.g. actuaries) and crosssubsidy of unprofitable lines. • Increasing competition and pressure on premiums. • Construction project delays and cancellations particularly in Dubai. • Increasing use of captive insurance. • Weakness in governance and transparency. transparency. Conventional insurance continues to dominate the UAE market, but more and more players are also establishing Islamic compliant units (Chapter 8.1). We view exposure to Islamic insurance as a positive, given a somewhat higher growth rate than for conventional insurance, and favor players present in both segments, such as Arab Orient Insurance Company and Al Buhaira Insurance Company. The UAE regulatory regime for the insurance industry is minimal. Significant changes are expected going forward P a g e  | 5       
  • 6.   1. Middle East Insurance Industry Chart 3: Non-life insurance market growth (%) 10.7% 1.1. Overview 5.5% The Middle East insurance industry is relatively small and 3.1% 3.6% 3.0% underdeveloped, accounting for less than 0.7% of the global insurance market of US$4.27 trillion in 2008 (See chart 1). -0.4% Middle East and Central Asia Chart 1: Global insurance market, 2008 3.4% 3.0% 0.6% Africa -0.8% -1.2% Japan* Western Europe -2.8% North America World 100% = US$4.27 trillion Growth rate, 2008/2007, (%) US 34.0% Oceania 1.8% Africa 1.3% Middle East and Central South and Asia East Asia 0.7% 5.4% Annual average growth rate 1998-2007 (%) Source: Swiss Re, *Incl. newly industrialized Asian countries Life insurance premiums in the Middle East & Central Asia grew 6.0% in 1998 to 2007 and 9.3% in 2008, significantly Europe 41.1% higher than 4.1% and -3.5% globally (See chart 4). Japan* 15.8% Chart 4: Life insurance market growth (%) 9.3% Source: Swiss Re, *Incl. newly industrialized Asian countries 6.0% 5.5% 6.4% 6.9% 5.2% 4.1% 3.6% The average insurance penetration (gross premium written -0.8% as a percentage of GDP) is very low at 1.5% compared to a -3.5% -3.4% global average of 7.1% (See chart 2), suggesting there is -11.6% significant room for growth. Middle East and Central Asia Africa Japan* North America Western Europe World Chart 2: Global insurance premiums and penetration Growth rate, 2008/2007, (%) 4,500 12% 3,500 3,000 8% 2,500 2,000 1,500 4% 1,000 Insurance Penetration (%) Premiums in 2008 (US$ billion) 4,000 Annual average growth rate 1998-2007 (%) Source: Swiss Re, *Incl. newly industrialized Asian countries Thus, the total insurance premiums in the Middle East & Central Asia grew 4.7% in 2008, compared to a decline of 2.0% globally (See chart 5). The prospect for the Middle East insurance industry is positive with potential for annual 500 0 0% Europe US Japan* South & Africa Oceania Middle World East East & Asia Central Asia Premiums in 2008 (US$ billion) premiums to grow by over three times before the insurance density reaches the global average. Insurance Penetration (%) Source: Swiss Re, *Incl newly industrialized Asian countries Chart 5: Insurance premium growth, 2008, (%) 4.7% Religious and cultural factors and lack of regulatory controls 3.8% have historically suppressed the growth of the insurance sector in the Middle East. However, in the last decade the market has grown rapidly, faster than any other region of the -6.2% According to Swiss Re, non-life insurance premiums in the Middle East & Central Asia grew 10.7% in 1998 to 2007 and 3.1% in 2008, far outpacing the growth rate of 3.4% and - -2.0% -2.4% world. Middle East and Central Asia Japan* US Europe World Source: Swiss Re, *Incl. newly industrialized Asian countries 0.8% globally (See chart 3). P a g e  | 6     
  • 7.   1.2. The GCC Chart 7: Conventional versus Islamic insurance Conventional 1.2.1. Overview • Risk transfer from policyholder to insurance company Responsibility of policyholders / takaful participants • Policyholders pay • Participants make contributions to the a premium to the scheme insurer • All underwriting surplus • All underwriting distributed among the surplus transferred policyholders, who are to shareholder’s also liable for any account deficit Management status • Takaful operator acts • The insurer as administrator of the manages a scheme and pays the policyholders’ fund, takaful benefits from and, if required, the policyholders’ fund shareholders’ fund • In the event of a shortfall in the policyholders’ fund, the takaful operator is expected to provide an interest-free loan to cover the deficiency Access to capital • Access to share capital and debt with the possible use of subordinated debt Investment of funds The UAE hosts the GCC’s largest and the most developed • Interest based bonds and fixedincome investments are made by the insurer • There are no restrictions except for those imposed for prudential reasons insurance market. The UAE and Bahrain has the highest insurance penetrations, more than double the rate of Saudi Arabia and Kuwait (See chart 6). The growth rate is effectively a function of the insurance penetration, with Kuwait and Saudi Arabia growing faster than the UAE and Bahrain. In 2008, gross premium income for the UAE insurers grew by 26.3%, while the insurance penetration stood at 2.0%, highest amongst the GCC countries. Despite the rapid growth, the relatively low insurance penetration rates suggest there is still strong potential for growth. Gross Premium growth, 2008 / 2007 (%) Chart 6: Insurance penetration, 2008 premium income growth, 2008/2007 (%) 38.0% & Gross Kuwait (0.6%, 35.4%) 36.0% 34.0% 32.0% Saudi Arabia (0.6%, 34.1%) 30.0% Oman (1.1%, 31.7%,) The UAE (2.0%, 26.3%) 28.0% 26.0% Bahrain (2.0%, 24.9%) 24.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 1.2% 1.4% Islamic Basis of Contract 1.6% 1.8% 2.0% 2.2% Insurance Penetration, 2008 (%) Source: Swiss Re, June 2009, Size of bubbles indicate gross premium income (US$ million) in 2008 • Cooperative risk sharing between the policyholder and insurance company • Access to share capital by takaful operator but not to debt, barring an interest-free loan to cover a deficiency in the policyholders’ fund • Only interest (Riba) free investments are permitted • Investments prohibited in Haram industries like those related to alcohol, tobacco, pork products etc Source: Alpen Capital Conventional insurance remain dominant, accounting for the 1.2.2. Conventional vs. Takaful The GCC insurers can be broadly categorized as either conventional or Islamic (Takaful), with some players present in both categories. Takaful premiums represent around 20% of the GCC insurance market, whereas the Saudi Arabian market is dominated by Takaful (See also chapter 8.1). majority of the GCC market, however the Takaful market is also growing fast. The Saudi insurance regulator, SAMA, has made it compulsory for new insurers to comply with Sharia law. As a result, the number of Takaful insurers in the region has risen rapidly. No such requirement is imposed in the UAE and conventional insurance remain dominant. While conventional insurance is viewed as a form of risk 1.2.3. Non-life insurance dominates management tool primarily used to hedge against the risk of The UAE insurance market is dominated by non-life contingent (uncertain) financial losses in exchange for a pre- business, driven by mandatory third-party motor insurance specified premium, Takaful is based on the principles of Ta- and health insurance for expatriates and the enormous awun (mutual assistance) and Tabaru (voluntary). Moreover, growth in the construction and real estate sectors over the being subject to the laws of Sharia, Takaful prohibits past decade. Non-life insurance accounted for 81.3% of the investments in Haram industries (gambling, liquor etc) and total gross premiums in 2008 (See chart 8). This is in advocates usage of instruments that are free of Riba (usury) contrast to a market share of around 59% for life insurance (See chart 7). P a g e  | 7     
  • 8. and 41% for non-life insurance globally, underscoring the Life insurance premiums in the GCC (excluding Qatar) grew growth potential for life insurance in the region. 34.4% in 2008 compared to 28.8% for non-life insurance. The most populated economy of the GCC, Saudi Arabia, Chart 8: Life and Non-Life insurance in the GCC, 2008 100% = in US$ million 5,016.0 18.7% 81.3% 3,070.0 914.0 578.0 18.8% relatively low base. The UAE grew at a more moderate rate 451.0 23.1% 5.2% recorded the highest growth rate of 81.6%, albeit from a 28.6% of 30.0%. The UAE is far the largest market in absolute terms with life insurance gross premium income of US$937.0 million in 2008 (See chart 11). According to the Emirates 94.8% 81.2% 76.9% 71.4% Insurance Association, the UAE life insurance market is expected to grow at least 16% to 20% annually up to 2012. Saudi Arabia Kuwait Oman Bahrain Chart 11: Life insurance in the GCC Non-Life Life 2007 937 1,000 2008 2008/2007 (%) 90% 900 The UAE does not only boast a higher insurance penetration, but it is also the largest in absolute terms among the GCC countries (See chart 9). Chart 9: Non-Life insurance in the GCC, 2008 Life Insurance Premium (US$ million) Source: Swiss Re, June 2009 800 80% 82% 721 70% 700 60% 600 50% 500 400 35% 33% 30% 25% 300 211 200 158 156 87 100 30% 129 103 82 Bahrain Non-life Insurance Premium (US$ million) 32.2% 40% 35% 32.0% 35.2% 3,252 30% 24.8% 2,912 3,000 2,500 2008/2007 (%) 4,079 4,000 3,500 2008 25% 25.4% 2,203 20% 2,000 15% 1,500 1,000 520 500 703 10% 470 356 258 322 5% 0% 0 The UAE Saudi Arabia Kuwait Oman Bahrain 10% 0% The UAE Non-life Insurance Premium growth 2008 / 2007, (%) 2007 20% Oman 109 0 4,500 40% Life Insurance Premium growth 2008 / 2007, (%) The UAE Kuwait Saudi Arabia Source: Swiss Re, June 2009 1.2.4. ‘National’ insurers Some UAE insurance companies have been granted the status of ‘national’ insurer. National insurers have privileged access to risks with ‘national’ status - generally high-riskvalue projects of state-owned companies. The Emirate of Source: Swiss Re, June 2009 Abu Dhabi dominates this market, since it hosts most of the Property and miscellaneous accident insurance accounts for the majority of the non-life insurance business, while motor insurance accounts for about 30%, according to the Arab Insurance Market Review. (See chart 10). large scale energy related projects. The remainder of the insurance market is open to competition, whereby insurance companies with or without ‘national’ insurer status compete on equal terms. The Dubai insurance market is considered Chart 10: The UAE non-Life insurance, 2007 more open and competitive, with not ‘national’ insurer status. 100% = US$3,252.1 million Property & Misc. Accident 55.9% Marine & Aviation 13.8% Motor 30.3% Source: Arab Insurance Market Review, 2008 P a g e  | 8       
  • 9.   2. Financial performance Chart 13: 3-year stock market return* (%) 10% 2.1. Financial performance 1 year 2 year 3 year 1% 0% -3% -10% Defining the peer group -11% -20% -30% In this chapter we are assessing the financial performance of ten of the largest publicly listed conventional insurers in the UAE by total revenue for 2008. This group is referred to as ‘the UAE insurers’ throughout the report. -16% -20% -22% -23% -25.1% -29% -40% -50% -60% -59% -67% -60% -65% -70% -66% -68% -72% -80% ADII Index Insurance penetration in the UAE increased from 1.5% in DFIINSU Index -37% -42% -38% -38% -41% ADBF Index DFIBANK Index ADRE Index DFREALTY Iindex ADEG Index Source: Bloomberg, *as at July 31, 2009 2005 to 2.0% in 2008 but remains well below the global average of 7.1% (See chart 12). The UAE insurance market is highly fragmented with 57 insurance companies present, Gross premiums written by the UAE insurers grew by an well above the norm for a country of its size. This suggests average CAGR of 30.5% in 2006 to 2008 (See chart 14). All there is a need for consolidation within the industry. players posted positive double digit growth rates. Oman Insurance Chart 12: Insurance penetration in the UAE 1,200 2.1 1.5 1.7 742.4 400 National Insurance Company and Arab Orient Insurance Company are the market leaders. However, the growth rate fell significantly in 2.0% the first half of 2009, to 15.1% in the first quarter and 0.8% in 1.5% the second (Only seven of the ten companies had reported first half results at the time of this report). Given the rapid 495.6 339.5 0.5% 74.7 89.8 164.7 208.1 2005 0 Dhabi 1.0% 2.0 905.9 600 200 Abu 2.5% 1,000 800 Company, 2006 2007 decline in the second quarter, we expect the growth rate to be weaker in the second half of the year. 2008 0.0% Non-Lif e Insurance density: premium per capita (US$) Chart 14: Gross premiums written, 2006 to 1H2009 Lif e Insurance density: premium per capita (US$) (In US$ mn) Insurance penetration: premium in % of GDP 800 Source: Swiss Re, June 2009 2006 2007 2008 1H2009 140% CAGR 700 120% 600 100% 500 80% 400 Index (ADEG Index), the DFM Financial Banks Index (DFIBANK Index) and the Dubai Financial Realty Index (DFREALTY Index) which recorded negative returns of 38%, Dubai Insurance Al Khazna Al Wathba Al Sagr Emirates Insurance 11.1% and 25.1% respectively compared to the ADX Energy 0% Al Ain Ahlia Insurance Index (DFIINSU Index) yielded negative returns of 20% Al Buhaira ADX Insurance Index (ADII Index) and the DFM Financial 40% 100 Arab Orient banking and realty industries. Over the past three years, the 200 Abu Dhabi National affected by the global financial turmoil than the energy, 60% 300 Oman Insurance The UAE insurance industry has been somewhat less Source: Company website, Zawya, CAGR for Al Ain Ahlia, Al Sagr and Dubai Insurance is for 2006 to 2008 as 1H2009 results are not yet available 60% and 66% respectively (See chart 13). The UAE insurance industry is highly dependent on the reinsurance sector, ceding over half of gross premiums to international and increasingly local reinsurance companies. Premium retention is gradually improving however with the P a g e  | 9     
  • 10.   local insurers growing in size and sophistication. In 2008, 58.9% of net premiums were ceded to reinsurers, compared to 62.0% in 2006 (See chart 15). Chart 17: Net Underwriting Profit vs. Net Premium Growth, 2006 to 2008 (%) Chart 15: Premiums ceded to reinsurers, 2008 Net underwriting profit, CAGR, 2006 - 2008, (%) 67.2% 66.8% 72.3% 62.7% 53.1% 50.2% Net premium earned, CAGR, 2006 - 2008, (%) 160.0% Average = 58.9% 60.1% 120.0% 47.5% 47.9% 47.7% 80.0% 40.0% 0.0% Source: Company website, Zawya Al Buhaira Emirates Insurance Al Sagr Dubai Insurance Oman Insurance Al Wathba Arab Orient Abu Dhabi National Al Ain Ahlia Al Wathba AL Ain Ahlia Dubai Insurance Oman Insurance Arab Orient Al Khazna Insurance Al Buhaira National Insurance Emirates Insurance Al Sagr National Insurance Abu Dhabi National Insurance -40.0% Source: Company websites, Zawya 1 The trend of increasing premium retention by the UAE Over the last three years, the average combined ratio of the insurers continued in the first half of 2009. Notably, average peer group increased from 64.6% in 2006 to 75.4% in 2008, premiums ceded fell to about 57.7% in the first half of 2009 primarily due to higher claims ratios. This is a reflection of and 56.4% in the second quarter alone (See chart 16). the rapid growth rate experienced during this period, increased competition and cross-subsidization of less Chart 16: Premiums ceded to reinsurers 70% 68% 1H07 71% 65% 61% 57% 66% 64% 66% profitable lines, such as 3rd party motor insurance. That said, 1H08 69% 64% 60% 55% 55% 51% 50% 50% 50% 1H09 60% 60% 58% the average combined ratio remains very strong by international standards. Nine out of the ten companies have combined ratios below the critical 100% mark. Arab Orient Insurance Company is by far the most efficient overall with a combined ratio below 50%. Oman Insurance Company and Dubai Insurance Company also stand out with relatively Arab Orient Al Buhaira Abu Dhabi Emirates Oman Ins Al Khazna National Insurance Insurance Average Source: Company website, Zawya healthy loss ratios. The good underwriting performance continued in 2009, with an average combined ratio of 73.4% for the seven companies that had reported by the time this report was produced (See chart 18). Profitability While all players have reported strong top line growth, the same is not true for underwriting profits. About half of the players have improved their underwriting profits over the past three years, whereas half have recorded declines (See chart 17). In 2008, the average growth in underwriting profits for the peer group was 7.0%, compared to 18.8% in 2007.                                                              1 Combined ratio = Expense ratio (Net underwriting expense/Net premium earned) + Loss ratio (Net claims incurred/Net premium earned) P a g e  | 10     
  • 11. Chart 19: Investment return (including fair value changes taken to equity), 2006 to 1H 2009 (%) Chart 18: Combined ratio, 2008 (%) Expense Ratio 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% -20% -40% Loss Ratio Combined Ratio 40% Avg. combined ratio = 75.4% 20% 0% -20% Al Khazna Al Buhaira Emirates Insurance Al Sagr Dubai insurance Oman Insurance Al Wathba Arab Orient Abu Dhabi National Al Ain Ahlia -40% -60% 2006 2007 2008 1H09 Al Ain Ahlia Abu Dhabi National Arab Orient Al Wathba Oman Insurance Dubai insurance Al Sagr Emirates Insurance Al Buhaira Al Khazna Source: Company website, Zawya Combined ratio – 2008 and first half 2009 106.9% 102.1% 93.2% 2008 1H09 The shape of the return graph, clearly illustrates how players 90.3% 73.4% 75.0% 69.8% 71.0% 65.9% 58.1% 45.7% with low investment risk (e.g. Arab Orient Insurance 77.9% 75.8% 73.4% 66.3% Company) have a smoother return profile than the sharp V- 48.6% shape for those with more aggressive investment profiles. The UAE insurers reported an average ROE of 17.4% in the Average combined ratio Oman Insurance Emirates Insurance Arab Orient Al Wathba Al Khazna Al Buhaira Abu Dhabi National Shareholder return first half of 2009, compared to -10.3% in 2008, 33.0% in 2007 and -13.5% in 2006. The performance has been very volatile due to the high exposure to local equity and real Source: Company website, Zawya estate markets. Arab Orient Insurance Company has outperformed its peers by reporting consistent ROE of over Contrary to insurers in developed markets, the UAE peer 20% in the last three years, thanks to its more conservative group has a very high exposure to regional equity and real investment strategy, demonstrating the strength of the local estate markets. This has resulted in high volatility in insurance industry absent of investment returns (See chart investment returns. Some players have tried to mitigate this 20). by reclassifying some investments from ‘trading’ to Chart 20: ROE, 2006 to 1H 2009 (%) 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% -20% return will have a large impact on earnings. Average Al Khazna exposure to regional equity markets and the investment 1H09 Al Buhaira investing in the UAE insurers, you get a very significant 2008 Emirates Insurance 5.5% (See chart 19). It is important to understand that by 2007 Al Sagr and -19.0% in 2008. The return in the first half of 2009 was Oman Insurance assets, the average investment return was -18.5% in 2006 Al Wathba When including fair value changes in ‘available-for-sale’ Arab Orient statement. 2006 Abu Dhabi National taken straight to equity rather than through the income Dubai insurance 100% Al Ain Ahlia ‘available-for-sale’, in order that changes in fair value can be Source: Zawya, Company filings P a g e  | 11       
  • 12.   Capital Adequacy and Leverage Asset Quality Gross underwriting leverage (net premiums written to The UAE insurers in general pursue very aggressive shareholder funds) increased to 34.9% in 2008 from 23.6% investment strategies, with high exposures to risky assets in 2006, indicating that the regional insurance players have like regional equities and real estate. Concentration risk is been assuming gradually higher levels of risk in their also high. The asset-mix has changed somewhat over the business (See chart 21). It is of course also important to past two years with cash and cash equivalent now consider what type of risk is being underwritten (long or short accounting for a larger proportion of the overall asset base tail for example) and what type of controls are in place to while the proportion of high-risk investments has declined manage underwriting risk. (See chart 23). Falling equity markets and a decline in the value of property investments explains the decline in Chart 21: Net Premium Written / Equity (%) 2007 proportion of risky assets. Moreover, an increase in liquidity 2008 levels also reflects efforts by insurance companies to reduce 67% a 45% increase in cash levels in 2008, while Dubai Insurance Company reported an increase of 64%. Chart 23: High Risk Assets / Invested Assets (%) Al Khazna Al Sagr Al Buhaira Oman Insurance 8% 3% 13% 16% 12% 120% 2006 2007 Oman Insurance 27% 21% 10% 8% 18% Al Wathba asset risk. For example, Oman insurance Company reported 41% Avg. 2008 = 35.0% 28% Emirates Insurance 16% 15% Arab Orient Abu Dhabi National Al Ain Ahlia 28% 26% 22%21% 17% 16% 40% 40% 33% Dubai insurance 44% 46% 43% 52% 49% 38% Al Wathba 2006 2008 100% 80% Avg. 2008 = 65.2% 60% Source: Company website, Zawya 40% 20% Company, followed by Abu Dhabi National Insurance Al Khazna Al Buhaira Al Sagr Emirates Insurance chart 22). The best capitalized was Dubai Insurance Dubai insurance years with an average of 46.6% at the end of 2008 (See Arab Orient assets ratio. This ratio has also declined over the past three Abu Dhabi National 0% Al Ain Ahlia A more static measure of leverage is the equity to total Source: Company website, Zawya Company and Al Khazna National Insurance Company. Chart 22: Total Equity / Total Assets (%) 2006 2007 The UAE insurers rely to a great extent on reinsurance to mitigate concentration risk and to avoid underwriting risks 2008 100% beyond their capacity and capabilities. As a consequence, 80% UAE insurers are exposed to credit risk of reinsurance Avg. 2008 = 46.6% 60% counterparts. Reinsurance recoverable as a percentage of 40% equity of our UAE peer group rose from an average of 24.1% 20% in 2006 to 33.2% in 2008. For some insurers, including Al Al Khazna Al Buhaira Emirates Insurance Al Sagr Dubai insurance Oman Insurance Al Wathba Arab Orient Abu Dhabi National Al Ain Ahlia 0% Buhaira National Insurance Company and Arab Orient Insurance Company, the exposure is in excess of 50% of equity. Source: Company website, Zawya P a g e  | 12     
  • 13. Reserve Adequacy their conventional counterparts, the Islamic insurance Average reserve levels of the UAE insurers declined over the past two years to 77.7% of net premiums earned in 2008 from 86.9% in 2006 (See chart 24). The reserve level is generally a function of the nature of the risks underwritten companies reported negative returns on capital in 2008 due to poor investment returns and negative fair value adjustments. 2.3. Comparative Financial Performance (short or long tail in particular) and the speed at which claims Chart 25 summarizes the performance of the UAE insurance are settled. companies compared to the average of the peer-group on Chart 24: Total Reserves to Net Premium Earned, 2008 (%) parameters such as asset quality, capital adequacy, profitability and reserve adequacy. 120% 100% 106% Average = 77.7% 80% 76% 82% 72% 67% 75% Al Khazna 60% 81% Al Buhaira 87% 80% 52% 40% 20% Emirates Insurance Al Sagr Dubai insurance Oman Insurance Al Wathba Arab Orient Abu Dhabi National Al Ain Ahlia 0% Source: Company website, Zawya 2.2. Takaful and life insurance attractive growth areas Historically the UAE insurers focused primarily on general insurance, although today most of them have also moved into life insurance. Notably, for Oman Insurance Company and Emirates Insurance Company, life insurance accounted for 23.7% and 17.0% respectively of gross premium revenue in 2008. We consider exposure to life insurance a strength, given the segments excellent growth potential (See chapter 4). Some of the major players, including Al Buhaira National Insurance Company and Arab Orient Insurance Company offer both conventional insurance and Takaful. We consider this a competitive strength, given the excellent growth potential of both segments. In 2008 UAE Islamic insurers 2 grew at a somewhat faster pace than conventional insurance. A challenge faced by the Takaful industry is the relative shortage of suitable investment opportunities. Like                                                              2 Abu Dhabi National Takaful Company, Dubai Islamic Insurance and Reinsurance Company, Islamic Arab Insurance Company (Salama) P a g e  | 13       
  • 14.   Chart 25: Comparative financial performance of the UAE insurers in 2008 Average Better than peers Worse than peers Source: Alpen Capital P a g e  | 14     
  • 15. practices, product innovation and effective and varied 3. Valuations distribution. Emirates Insurance Company is also displaying The valuation part of this report should be read in the context similar characteristics, but is trading at lower multiples. of limited free floats and extremely low stock liquidity of UAE insurers (See section 4). The P/E and P/B ratios are Chart 27: The UAE conventional insurers, P/BV (TTM) calculated based on share prices sourced from Bloomberg 5.0 4.0 and includes stocks that have not traded for weeks or in 4.0 some instances for months. 3.0 2.7 2.6 1.8 2.0 0.0 to an international peer group of 14.0x (See chart 26). Average Developed and Emerging Markets Average (The UAE) 1.2 Dubai Insurance Al Sagr Al Buhaira Al Wathba Emirates Insurance Abu Dhabi National Insurance Co.) is 13.7 times (x), similar Abu Dhabi National Insurance of the UAE peer group (excluding Al Wathba Insurance and 0.5 1.1 Al Ain Ahlia superior growth of the UAE insurance market. The P/E ratio 0.9 Al Khaznah 1.0 valuations compared to international peers considering the 1.7 0.9 0.9 Oman Insurance The UAE insurers are trading at relatively moderate Source: Bloomberg, Zawya Chart 26: The UAE conventional insurers, P/E (TTM) 25.0 22.0 20.4 20.9 4. Stock Liquidity 20.0 13.0 15.0 10.0 14.2 13.7 Although the UAE insurers appear to have significant free 6.4 9.1 5.0 4.4 floats, extremely low turnover velocity suggest the stocks are very closely held. All the ten stocks covered in this survey Average Developed and Emerging Markets Average (The UAE) Dubai Insurance Al Khaznah Al Sagr Al Buhaira Emirates Insurance Al Ain Ahlia Oman Insurance 0.0 are very thinly traded, as demonstrated by an average turnover velocity3 of 0.36% (See chart 28). This suggests only 0.36% of the shares change hands during a year. Chart 28: Turnover Velocity, (%) Source: Bloomberg, Zawya 1.52% 1.02% The valuations of the UAE insurers are underpinned by value shortcomings in by terms addressing of relatively investment simple strategy The UAE Average Al Sagr Emirates Insurance Al Khaznah significant 0.36% 0.24% 0.15% 0.18% Al Wathba valuations. There appears to be potential to unlock Al Ain Ahlia Oman Insurance transparency and weak stock liquidity weigh on the stock Abu Dhabi National Insurance we feel the aggressive investment strategy, lack of Dubai Insurance 0.02% 0.03% 0.06% 0.07% Al Buhaira strong growth and good underwriting performance. However, Source: Bloomberg, Traded volume measured from Aug 1, 2008 to July 31, 2009 and market capitalization as at July 31, 2009 and transparency. The UAE insurers are trading at an average price-to-book ratio (P/BV) of 1.7x. (See chart 27). Oman Insurance Company and Al Buhaira National Insurance Company are trading at higher multiples than their peers. This is a reflection of strong, but not excessive, growth rates, good underwriting performance and strong market positions. This is accomplished by good underwriting                                                              3 Turnover Velocity (%) = Annual traded volume/Market capitalization P a g e  | 15       
  • 16. points in 2006 to 2008, reaching 1.6% in 2008 from 1.25% 5. Growth Illustration The growth potential of the GCC insurance industry is very good, particularly in view of relatively low insurance penetration rates. Below we illustrate the impact on growth in aggregate insurance premiums based on a central macroeconomic scenario. in 2005. In our model we assume the non-life insurance penetration reaches 2.3% by 2012 (See chart 29). Chart 29: Non-life insurance penetration, (%) 6% 2005 2006 2007 2008 5% 5.1. Assumptions 4% For the purpose of the illustration, we have considered the 3% life and non-life segments separately. The central scenario is 2% based on the following assumptions: 1% • We assume non-life premiums are driven by growth in 0% The UAE Kuwait Oman nominal GDP and by changes in non-life penetration (i.e. non-life premiums as a percentage of GDP). We have Saudi The US Europe Emerging World Arabia Markets Source: Swiss Re assumed the non-life penetration level to grow at a 0.1%point in 2009 and by 0.2%-points per annum in 2010 to 5.3. Life Density 2012. We have used IMF’s April 2009 forecast for nominal The life insurance density in the UAE increased at a CAGR GDP growth. of 40.7% in 2005 to 2008 compared to 7.3% globally. The link to GDP is by no means exact, and may fluctuate from year to year, since the UAE GDP is to a large degree driven by oil prices. In addition, historically oil revenues were to a large extent invested abroad. This has changed in the last few years, with more investments aimed a developing However, life insurance density in the UAE of US$208.1 in 2008 is approximately half of the global average of US$369.7 and only one-sixth of the European average of US$1,244.1. In our model we have assumed the life insurance density reaches US$467 by 2012 (See chart 30). the local economies. • We assume that life premiums are driven by population Chart 30: Life insurance density, (US$) 2,000 growth and by changes in life density (i.e. per capita premiums). We have assumed life density increases by 1,600 15% in 2009 and 25% per annum in 2010 to 2012. We 1,200 have used IMF’s April 2009 forecast for population growth. Some of the key reasons for an increase in the UAE insurance penetration rates towards global averages include the introduction of regulation for health and home insurance, 800 400 0 The UAE Kuwait growth in organized savings, greater availability of Takaful insurance products, greater affluence and changing Oman 2005 Saudi Arabia 2006 The US 2007 Europe Emerging World Markets 2008 Source: Swiss Re consumer habits. 5.2. Non-life insurance penetration There are good reasons why the UAE life density should not reach the levels of Europe or the US. The UAE has a high The non-life insurance penetration in the UAE was about 1.6% in 2008 - approximately half of the global average of 2.95%. The penetration rate increased by about 0.35%- income disparity, with life insurance more prevalent in high income groups. Tax incentives, both in terms of income and heritance tax, boosts the demand for certain long term P a g e  | 16       
  • 17.   savings schemes and annuities in the developed world. Such tax incentives are not applicable to the UAE. The population is also characterized by a relatively young local population with a good social safety net, not inclined to buy pension and long term saving products, and an expatriate population that is more inclined to remit savings to their home countries. On the basis of the above assumptions, the UAE insurance market will grow at a CAGR of 15.3% in 2008 to 2012. With the life segment growing more than twice as fast as the nonlife segment (See chart 31). The growth in gross premium income reported so far by the UAE insurers for the first half of 2009 has been stronger than our forecast for the full year of 2009, however there is a distinct slowdown in growth from 14.9% in the first quarter of 2009 to only 0.8% in the second quarter. Chart 31: The UAE insurance market, 2008 to 2012 (US$ million) 10,000 8,683 8,000 2,506 6,000 5,016 3,973 4,000 2,000 937 721 1,701 307 1,394 2,476 380 3,252 6,369 4,079 2,096 0 2005 2006 2007 Total Life premiums, US$ million 2008 2012 Total Non-life premiums, US$ millon Source: Alpen Capital P a g e  | 17     
  • 18. relations department to handle investor queries. Only Oman 6. Corporate Governance Corporate governance standards and transparency are critical aspects to potential investors. This is an area were UAE insurers have potential to improve (See chart 32). Insurance Company and Emirates Insurance Company have a contact list of their management departments displayed on the website. Limited information is available on the composition of investment portfolios. Some of the key shortcomings in our sample of UAE insurers include the following: limited financial information is available on the respective websites and investors have to look to the respective stock exchanges for audited financial statements. Normally only three years of historical financial information is available. None of the insurers have a dedicated investor However, as per stock exchange regulations, all player report quarterly results, most of which contain appropriate disclosure of related notes to financial statements. The majority of the insurers are rated by an international rating agency, most commonly Standard & Poor’s or AM Best. Chart 32: Corporate governance and transparency Corporate Communication & Disclosure Latest Availability History of annual of Investor publicly report relations available availabile on contact accounts website details Company Name Level of interim results disclosure Frequency of Rated by rating reporting on agency the website Abu Dhabi National Insurance Al Ain Ahlia Insurance Company Al Buhaira National Insurance Al Khazna Insurance Company Al Sagr National Insurance Company Al Wathba National Insurance Arab Orient Insurance Company Dubai Insurance Company Emirates Insurance Company Oman Insurance Company The UAE Average Unfavorable Least Attractive More Attractive Attractive Most Attractive Source: Bloomberg, Zawya, Alpen Capital P a g e  | 18       
  • 19.   7. Key Growth Drivers Chart 34: Life Expectancy at birth, (years) 7.1. Favorable demographics 78.1 77.4 76.7 The UAE population is expected to grow at a CAGR of 3.0% in 2009 to 2012 to reach 5.4 million, according to IMF. It 76.6 75.8 74.7 grew at a CAGR of 5.1% in 2003 to 2008. An increasing role 68.9 67.6 in this is being played by expatriates. Expatriates are 66.4 expected to constitute 82% of the UAE population in 2009 according to MEED (See chart 33). 2000-2005 The UAE Chart 33: UAE population: Residents and Expatriates 100% = in '000 4,229 4,488 4,765 5,066 80% 81% 81% 82% 2005-2010 2010-2015 The GCC World Source: World Population Prospects: The 2008 Revision by the United Nations 7.2. High and rising GDP per capita With a GDP per capita of US$54,607 in 2008, second only to Qatar, the UAE is one of the richest economies of the GCC. 20% 19% 19% 18% 2006 2007 2008E* 2009E* Notably, buoyed by oil revenues, GDP per capita in the UAE more than doubled in the past five years. According to the Residents Expats Source: MEED, *E=Estimated IMF, UAE GDP per capita is expected to increase at a CAGR of 6.2% in 2010 to 2013 after growing at 16.9% in 2003 to 2008, and a sharp correction of -19.7% in 2009 (See chart 35). Greater affluence will drive demand for all types of insurance products. The UAE demography is characterized by a relatively young 29.7 years, 99.1% of the UAE population is aged below 65 years, compared to an average of 93.3% for India and China and 85.5% for the US and the UK (CIA Factbook, April 2009 estimates). Also, the UAE labor force is expected to grow at a fast pace, as the age bracket of 15 to 64 years is expected to account for 79.9% of the overall population in 2010 and 80.1% in 2015, higher than the world average of 65.5% and 65.8% respectively. A young working population in the UAE augurs well for the non-life insurance industry. 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 -10,000 -20,000 6.3% 5.6% 6.5% 6.4% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% -5.0% -10.0% y-o-y growth (%) higher than the average median age of India and China of Chart 35: GDP per capita in the UAE, (US$) GDP per capita (US$) population. In spite of the UAE’s median age of 30.1 years, -15.0% -19.7% 2009 2010 -20.0% 2011 GDP per capita (US$) 2012 2013 GDP per capita y-o-y growth (%) Source: IMF World Economic Outlook, April, 2009 7.3. Economic diversification Moreover, life expectancy at birth in the UAE is rising The demand for non-life insurance has increased at a rapid steadily. According to the United Nations, life expectancy at pace, as the GCC economies continue to diversify away birth is expected to reach 78.1 years by 2010-2015 (See from oil dependence. With more and more projects coming chart 34). This is considered positive for both non-life and life to fruition, this should spur demand for property and casualty insurance industries. insurance products. Notably, the property and casualty insurance business in the GCC grew at a CAGR of 26.8% in 2003 to 2007, lead by the UAE that grew by 34.7%. P a g e  | 19     
  • 20. The growth in the region seems unabated. Despite many Compulsory heath insurance has been gradually project cancellations in the last six months, there are implemented across the GCC. Compulsory health insurance approximately US$2.1 trillion of projects either planned or for expatriates has been in force since 2006 in Saudi Arabia. currently underway in the GCC over the next five to seven Mandatory heath insurance for expatriates and their years (See chart 36). This reflects a year-on-year growth of dependents was introduced in Abu Dhabi in two steps in July 8.9% at June 2009. Notably, the UAE commands a lion 2006 and January 2007. Dubai was expected to follow suit in share of the total GCC projects (approximately 44%). January 2009, but this has now been delayed until 2010. The Dubai health insurance regime is expected to cover all Chart 36: The GCC Projects, (US$ billion) residents, local as well as expatriates. 894 938 The Strata Law in Dubai (not yet released) requires property owners to have home insurance cover. However, in practice, 575 only mortgage property owners have home insurance cover 475 265 270 39 90 95 60 as it is legally binding. Notably, as per Hadef & Partners, a 206 206 legal firm based in Dubai, most of self-financed properties are uninsured. However, with the regulations under the Bahrain Kuwait Oman Qatar 22 June 2008 (US$ billion) Saudi The UAE Arabia 22 june 2009 (US$ billion) Strata Law to be released soon, all owners' associations will have to take building and public liability insurance. The Strata law is also expected to apply to property owners who Source: MEED, Gulf projects (June 22, 2009) have rented out their properties. The effective implementation of the Strata Law is likely to boost not only to 7.4. Regulation driving growth A key driver of insurance penetration in emerging markets is the introduction of compulsory insurance cover, including home insurance but also home contents, fire and public liability insurance. third party motor, health and home insurance. Motor insurance is a low margin business in the UAE and many other GCC countries due to caps being imposed on the price of third party motor cover. Nevertheless, motor premiums in the GCC grew at a CAGR of 21.2% in 2003 to 2007. The growth was led by the UAE and Saudi Arabia, where premium income grew at 28.0% and 20.4%, respectively (See chart 38). Chart 37: Motor insurance premiums in the UAE and Saudi Arabia, (US$ million) 986.6 754.5 651.6 597.9 512.7 444.3 368.1 309.7 2003 448.7 367.3 2004 2005 The UAE 2006 2007 Saudi Arabia Source: Arab Insurance Market Review, 2008 P a g e  | 20       
  • 21. 8. Emerging Trends Chart 39: The GCC Islamic insurance market outlook, (US$ million) 8.1. Islamic Insurance making inroads CAGR 19.7% Though not very prominent in the UAE, the religiously 3,792 CAGR 5.5% 2,673 acceptable takaful insurance (Islamic non-life insurance) and family takaful (Islamic life insurance) is picking up pace in 5,019 CAGR 13.1% 2,046 the region. Takaful in the UAE grew at a CAGR of 52.1% in 2004 to 2007, albeit from a low base, compared to 38.9% for the GCC as a whole. Consequently, takaful penetration 2007E Conservative Balanced (insurance premiums / GDP) in the UAE increased from 0.10% in 2005 to 0.15% in 2007, whereas takaful Optimistic 2012 Projections Source: World Takaful Report, 2009, E=Estimated penetration in the GCC reached 0.28% in 2007 from 0.21% in 2005 (See chart 38). With gross takaful contributions of US$1,695 million in 2007, Saudi Arabia is the world’s largest 8.2. Regulatory framework Islamic insurance market. The UAE insurance regulation is currently minimal, although some initiatives are underway to improve the regulatory Taka ful Penetration rate in 2007, ( %) Chart 38: Islamic Insurance, penetration and growth 1.0% 0.9% 2007 establishing a new regulatory body, the Insurance Saudi Arabia (38.0%, 0.85%) 0.8% Commission, for the industry. In addition, Solvency II, the 0.7% updated set of regulatory requirements for insurance firms 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% operating in the EU, is expected to be implemented by 2012. Bahrain (57.9%, 0.32%) The GCC (38.9%, 0.28%) The Solvency II rules limit the amount of risk that insurance 0.3% 0.2% Kuwait (31.9, 0.03%) 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% framework. A new insurance law came into force in August 10.0% 20.0% Qatar (44.9%, 0.07%) 30.0% 40.0% companies can underwrite in relation to their capital bases The UAE (52.1%, 0.15%) 50.0% 60.0% (See chart 40). 70.0% Gross Takaful Contributions, 2004-2007 CAGR ,(%) Source: World Takaful Report, 2009, Size of bubbles indicates gross takaful contributions (US$ million) in 2007 Given its low penetration level in the GCC, we expect Islamic insurance to witness substantial growth over the medium to long term. The World Takaful Report 2009 projects the GCC takaful market to grow at a CAGR of about 13.1% in 2009 to 2012 reaching US$3.8 billion (See chart Chart 40: Pillars of Solvency II regulations Pillar 1 • Quantitative requirements (Amount of capital an insurer must hold) Pillar 2 • Governance and risk management of insurers (Own Risk and Solvency Assessment) • Effective supervision of insurers (Supervisory Review Process) Pillar 3 • Reporting, disclosure and transparency requirements Source: Central Bank of Bahrain, May 2009 39). In fact, the Emirates Insurance Association (EIA) has advised its members to align their capital risk balance in line with the new solvency rules. The new rules will also force insurers to make significant changes to their financial reporting systems including fair-valuation of their balance sheets and greater public disclosure of financial statements, risk measures and capital calculations. The new capital requirements should induce greater discipline in areas of P a g e  | 21       
  • 22. investment strategy, underwriting, reinsurance and risk Many of the UAE insurance companies are rated by management and may result in consolidation amongst the Standard & Poor’s and/or AM Best. The rating agencies many UAE insurance companies currently owned and provide a substitute to regulation by subjecting the operated by families and business groups. companies to capital adequacy tests and comprehensive reviews of business and financial profiles, strategy and Foreign ownership of local UAE-based insurers is currently governance. The rating agencies also help to address some capped at 25%. of the shortcomings in terms of transparency by publishing regular updates on their rating assessments. Chart 41: Regulations in GCC Insurance Bahrain Kuwait Oman Qatar Saudi Arabia The UAE Regulator Bahrain Central Bank Ministry of Commerce and Industry Oman Capital Markets Authority Qatar Financial Center Authority (QFCRA) Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency Insurance Companies Division at UAE Ministry of Economy. Dubai Financial Services Authority for entities registered at the DIFC Association Bahrain Insurance Association Kuwait Insurance Companies Union Oman Insurance Association (under formation) N.A. N.A. Emirates Insurance Association Regulatory Law or Reference Work Insurance Rulebook, April 2005 Insurance Law, 1961 Insurance Companies Law, March 1979 Emiri Decree No. 1/1966, QFCRA regulations Cooperative Insurance Companies Control Law, 2003 Federal Law No. 9 of 1984 concerning insurance companies Federal Law No. 6 of 2007 regarding the incorporation of the insurance authority and work regulation Capital requirements Tier 1 capital: BHD 5 million (US$10 million) Tier 2 Capital: Max. 100% of tier 1 capital, Overseas and Captives not subject to minimum capital Local insurers: KD50,000 (US$525,000) Foreign Insurers: KD225,000 (US$35 million) OMR5 million (US$13 million) US$10 million Insurance services (only): SR100 million (US$27 million), Insurance and Reinsurance services: SR200 million (US$54 million) AED50 million (US$14 million) Source: The GCC Insurance regulators P a g e  | 22       
  • 23. • 8.3. Leveraging distribution channels to expand outside its traditional Abu Dhabi base in a bid Being a relatively young insurance market, distribution in the to capture more of the growing insurance market in the UAE is achieved through traditional channels of local offices country. and tie-ups such as agencies, brokers and banks. According to EIA, there are approximately 230 brokers in the UAE but October 2008: Emirates Insurance Company is planning • May 2008: Abu Dhabi based Al Khazna Insurance only 20% have adequate professional and education Company acquired a 15% stake in Saudi Arabia’s Sanad qualifications. Moreover, approximately 70% of the brokers for Co-operative Insurance and Reinsurance to offer new are marginal and rely only on motor insurance business. insurance covers in the Saudi market. Although conventional distribution channels, such as brokers and agents, enable insurers to control • expenses, May 2008: Arab Orient Insurance Company, Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank (Egypt) and Amlak Finance signed a MoU diversification into bancassurance, online and telemarketing to launch a joint venture insurance firm in Egypt. The offers attractive growth potential. The most promising is management of the joint entity, the Arab Orient Takaful bancassurance, which offers a win-win situation for both Insurance Company, is overseen by Arab Orient parties wherein a bank receives fee-based income and an Insurance Company. insurance company gets access to a larger pool of customers. According to the Middle East Bancassurance • December 2007: Tokio Marine Group, a leading takaful Conference, May 2007, bancassurance sales in the Middle insurance services provider in the UAE and Saudi Arabia, East could reach US$100 million by 2010. is planning to expand across the MENA region through its new company Tokio Marine Middle East Limited. Recent distribution channel related initiatives include: • • AXA Insurance Gulf launched an online service in June March 2007: AXA Insurance Gulf acquired 10% in United Insurance Company, Bahrain. 2009 enabling purchase and renewal of motor policies online. • 8.5. Advent of foreign players leading to increased competition National General Insurance (NGI) has partnered with An attractive market coupled with low minimum capital Aviva Life Insurance and Emirates National Bank of requirements has attracted an increased number of foreign Dubai to increase life assurance sales. NGI has also players to the UAE thereby increasing competition. The UAE started offering insurance products online. Ministry of Economy granted licenses to four new insurance firms in February 2009 (See chart 42). 8.4. Cross - border expansion To capture growth opportunities outside the home markets, several insurance players in the GCC have either Chart 42: The nationality • insurance companies by 100% = 57 established or acquired operations abroad, especially in the MENA region. Some of the most recent announcements: UAE Foreign* 46% July 2009: T’azur, the Bahrain based Islamic insurer, is planning to expand its operations in the UAE, Saudi Arabia and Qatar as it expects Islamic insurance products to form 50% of the Gulf insurance industry in The UAE 54% the near term. Source: EIA, *Includes other GCC countries • May 2009: Gulf Insurance Company of Kuwait, acquired 36% of Jordan based Arab Orient Insurance for US$19.6 million. P a g e  | 23       
  • 24.   According to Oman Insurance Company, foreign insurance 8.7. Expected consolidation companies constitute around 30% of the total volumes of There are 57 insurance companies operating in the UAE, a insurance premiums in the UAE. significantly higher representation than in both mature and Gradually weaker average underwriting margin over the past three years suggests that the market is turning more developing nations. Foreign ownership restrictions have historically hampered effective consolidation in the industry. competitive. The foreign players that have entered the We expect the implementation of Solvency II by 2012 to market over the past couple of years have brought with them increase consolidation efforts in order to strengthen balance product and sheets and to diversify investment, reinsurance and marketing capabilities etc. With greater competition naturally insurance risk exposures. A greater part of risks currently comes downward pressure on the premiums. reinsured could be retained in the future. innovation, greater efficiency, technical 8.6. Focus on core activities After having suffered significant erosion in share capital in 2006 and again in 2008 due to equity market volatility, we expect that local insurers will begin to run their businesses more like insurance companies and less like investment holding companies. For someone that wants exposure to the UAE insurance industry there is not much choice, with all players heavily invested in local equity and property markets. The player with the most conservative investment strategy, Arab Orient Insurance, is also the one with the best return on capital. The share of liquid assets of the UAE conventional insurers has increased as they adopt more risk-averse profiles. The share of cash and cash equivalents as a percentage of total investments increased from 24.8% in 2006 to 34.8% in 2008, while the share of investment securities and properties decreased from 75.2% in 2006 to 65.2% in 2008. The shift has to a large extent been involuntary as equity and property prices have declined (See chart 43). Chart 43: Investment profile of the UAE insurers   100% = (in US$ millions) 2,679.4 3,529.3 3,073.2 17.9% 17.3% 23.5% 24.8% 31.9% 57.2% 2006 50.7% 2007 34.8% 41.7% 2008 Investment Securities Liquid Investments Investment properties Source: Company website, Zawya, Data represent an average of the ten largest players P a g e  | 24     
  • 25. 9. Key Risks   Chart 44: Projects cancelled or on hold, (US$ billion) 9.1. Equity and property market volatility 389.8 The UAE insurers are pursuing very aggressive investment strategies, with high exposure to local stock and real estate markets. This may be acceptable in the context of strong capitalizations, but makes for very volatile and unpredictable earnings and return on capital. The performance of the UAE 6.0 Bahrain Qatar insurers has been more driven by investment returns than by underwriting performance over the past three years. In 37.2 11.1 9.9 53.2 Oman Kuwait Saudi Arabia The UAE Source: MEED, Gulf projects (June 22, 2009) addition, there is very little disclosure into the investment strategies and investment composition. We see an opportunity here for the insurance sector to adopt more traditional and conservative investment strategies, thereby offering potential investors an opportunity to invest in the local insurance market without exposure to the local equity and real estate markets. This will reduce earnings volatility, raise the risk adjusted return and ultimately stock prices. 9.4. Increased use of captive insurance Captive insurance, or “self insurance”, is most prevalent in Bahrain, Dubai and Qatar as these countries have regulations for establishing captives (See chart 45). Large corporations commit part of their own capital to cover their risks. Captive insurance is particularly useful when insurance for certain risks are either unavailable or only available at unacceptable terms. The move to captive is encouraged by the lower expense ratios for captive compared to commercial 9.2. Weakening underwriting performance insurers. According to Marsh’s Global Captive Benchmark Report 2008, 65% of captives have an expense ratio of less The underwriting performance of the UAE insurers has weakened gradually over the past three years. This is a than 5% compared to an average of 25% for commercial insurers. function of growing competition, rapid growth and to some extent relaxation of underwriting standards. That said, Chart 45: Captive Insurance Regulations underwriting performance still remains good compared to developed markets, with an average combined ratio of 77% Issue for our sample in 2008. Dubai Internatio nal Financial Centre Central Bank of Bahrain Qatar Financial Center The global downturn has led to an increased number of Minimum capital required Class I CaptiveUS$150,000 Class 2 CaptiveUS$250,000 Class 3 CaptiveUS$1 million Captive (SPV) - US$200,000 Class I CaptiveUS$150,000 Class 2 Captive- US$1 million Class 3 CaptiveUS$250,000 Solvency margin requirements Minimum base capital or the risk based capital, whichever is higher Category C1 firm US$200,000 Category C2 firm US$800,000 Minimum base capital or the risk based capital, whichever is higher Application fees US$15,000 US$265 US$10,000 Tax regime 9.3. Project delays and cancellations 50 year taxholiday No corporate taxes (except for oil companies) Tax-exempt projects being put on hold or cancelled, thereby reducing the potential insurable property in the GCC. According to MEED, projects in the GCC worth about US$0.5 trillion are either on hold or have been cancelled. Around 77% of the projects in question are located in the UAE (See chart 44). An increasing number of projects being put on hold or cancelled could hamper the growth of the non-life insurance business in the UAE. Source: Middle East Insurance Review, 2008 P a g e  | 25     
  • 26.   According to AON Consulting, there are seven captives in the Middle East, with many more in the making. The most notable among these is Saudi Armaco (Stellar Insurance), the UAE-based Tabreed (Tabreed Cooperative Insurance) and Qatar Petroleum (Al Koot Insurance and Reinsurance). As large firms set up their own captives, a sizeable portion of the country’s premium income goes beyond the reach of the commercial insurers. 9.5. Shortage of skilled labor With an increasing number of insurance firms being established in the GCC, the industry is witnessing a shortage of professionals, such as underwriters. Underwriting skills are a key requirement in growing insurance operations. The     Arab Forum of Insurance Regulatory Commission (AFIRC)Hawakamah survey also notes that the recruitment of qualified board members and management remains a challenge in MENA insurance markets. P a g e  | 26     
  • 28.   Abu Dhabi National Insurance Company (ADNIC DH Equity)   STOCK DATA PERFORMANCE SUMMARY* (US$ million) 2007 Gross premium written 2008 2007-‘08 (% change) 315.2 369.4 17.2 Net premium earned 90.0 115.1 27.8 Underwriting profit 29.1 28.7 (1.3) Underwriting profit margin (%) 32.3 25.0 - Net profit 90.0 57.2 (36.3) ROE (%) 16.4 10.5 - ROA (%) 10.2 6.3 - AED ADNIC DH ADNIC.ADSM 5.5 9.75/5.5 2,062.5 561.5 1,181.4 321.6 Bloomberg Ticker: Exchange Ticker: Price (July 23, 2009) 52 Week High/Low Mkt. Cap (AED million) (US$ million) Enterprise value (AED million) (US$ million) 120% S&P Financial Strength Credit Rating: A-/Stable 110% 100% 90% *Zawya 80%   COMPANY DESCRIPTION 70% 60% Established in 1972, Abu Dhabi National Insurance Company (ADNIC) is the largest of the Abu Dhabi based ‘national’ insurers. It offers all classes of life and non-life insurance and reinsurance products and services. It categorizes its insurance products into personal insurance, business insurance and overseas insurance. The personal insurance segment covers home, car, life & health and accident insurance, while business insurance covers fire & property, aviation, marine hull, engineering, energy and cargo insurance. ADNIC offers aviation, energy, cargo, marine, property and engineering insurance to its overseas clients through its overseas insurance segment. Aug-08 Oct-08 Jan-09 ADNIC UH Equity • • Net premium for the first half of 2009 increased 29.7% year on year to US$93.0 million. However, ADNIC reported a net loss of US$41.0 million in the first half of 2009 compared to net income of US$74.3 million in same period in 2009 Jul-09 ADII Index   SHAREHOLDER STRUCTURE Abu Dhabi Investment Council 23.80% Recent Events: • Apr-09 Ahmad Bin Khalaf Al Outaibah 10.11% Sheikh Tahnoun Bin Mohammed Abu Dhabi Al Nahyan 5.30% Cooperative Public 55.74% In February 2009, ADNIC launched ‘Shifa’, a medical insurance product, in partnership with Vanbreda International, a global health insurance consultant and administrator. Shifa offers customers an extensive network of more than 10,000 medical service providers worldwide Society 5.05% KEY INSURANCE RATIOS (%) In January 2009, ADNIC launched a new brand campaign introducing a “revitalized look and feel” for its corporate identity 2006 2007 2008 Claims ratio 65.1 68.6 75.5 Combined ratio 60.1 67.7 75.0 8.9 8.2 4.8 Investment return* *Excluding change in fair value    
  • 29.   Al Ain Ahlia Insurance Company (ALAIN UH Equity) STOCK DATA PERFORMANCE SUMMARY* (US$ million) 2007 Gross premium written 2008 2007-‘08 (% change) 172.9 189.6 9.7 Net premium earned 61.4 74.2 20.8 Underwriting profit 12.0 5.0 (58.2) Underwriting profit margin (%) 19.5 6.7 - Net profit 56.7 39.2 (30.9) ROE (%) 20.5 13.3 - ROA (%) 12.4 7.0 - AED ALAIN UH ALAIN.ADSM 64.0 97.5/64.0 960.0 261.4 541.3 147.4 Bloomberg Ticker: Exchange Ticker: Price (June 23, 2009) 52 Week High/Low Mkt. Cap (AED million) (US$ million) Enterprise value (AED million) (US$ million)   120% S&P Financial Strength Credit Rating: BBBpi 110% 100% 90% *Zawya 80%   COMPANY DESCRIPTION 70% Established in 1975, Al Ain Ahlia Insurance Company (AAAIC) is the second largest of the Abu Dhabi-based ‘national’ insurance companies. It offers all classes of insurance and re-insurance services. AAAIC’s offering includes motor, engineering, property, marine, energy, aviation, life and health insurance. 60% Aug-08 Oct-08 Jan-09 ALAIN UH Equity Apr-09 Jul-09 ADII Index   SHAREHOLDER STRUCTURE Recent Events: • • In February 2009, AAAIC approved the distribution of a cash dividend of AED 10 per share for the year 2008  • In February 2008, Saudi Arabian insurer Tawuniya, AAAIC and Bahrain Kuwait Insurance Company launched Manasik, an insurance plan for the pilgrims of Haj and Umrah in Saudi Arabia  Abu Dhabi Investment Council 19.70% Mohamme d Bin Juan Rached Al Badie Al Thaheri 10.28% Khaled Mohamme d Bin Juan Rashed Al Badie Al Thaheri 5.45% Net premium income and net profit for the first quarter of 2009 were US$18.3 million and US$10.4 million, representing an increase of 10.3% and 19.7% respectively year on year Public 64.57% KEY INSURANCE RATIOS (%) 2006 2007 2008 Claims ratio 70.2 76.7 94.6 Combined ratio 75.2 80.5 93.3 Investment return* 13.0 11.6 7.9 *Excluding change in fair value    
  • 30.   Al Buhaira National Insurance Company (ABNIC UH Equity)   STOCK DATA PERFORMANCE SUMMARY* (US$ million) 2007 Gross premium written 2008 2007-‘08 (% change) 142.5 198.6 39.4 Net premium earned 48.9 65.8 34.6 Underwriting profit 20.9 27.5 31.6 Underwriting profit margin (%) 42.8 41.9 - Net profit 43.8 13.7 (68.8) ROE (%) 23.9 7.3 - ROA (%) 11.6 2.8 - S&P Financial Strength Credit Rating: BBB/Negative AED ABNIC UH ABNIC.ADSM 10.3 10.3/8.4 2,575.0 701.1 - Bloomberg Ticker: Exchange Ticker: Price (February 22, 2009) 52 Week High/Low Mkt. Cap (AED million)* (US$ million) * Enterprise value (AED million) (US$ million)   * Source: Zawya, July 13, 2009 130% 120% 110% *Zawya 100%   COMPANY DESCRIPTION 90% 80% Established in 1978, Al Buhaira National Insurance Company (ABNIC) is the fifth largest insurer in the UAE and a ‘national’ insurer of Sharjah. It underwrites all types of insurance risks, except savings and accumulation of funds. ABNIC provides property, engineering, energy, marine & aviation, medical, motor and travel insurance. 70% 60% Aug-08 Oct-08 Jan-09 ABNIC UH Equity Apr-09 Jul-09 ADII Index   SHAREHOLDER STRUCTURE Recent Events: • Net premium for the first half of 2009 of US$48.0 million increased by 31.0% year on year. ABNIC reported a net income of US$17.2 million in the first half of 2009 compared to US$21.8 million in the same period in 2008, a decrease of 21.0% year on year • In March 2008, ABNIC, in partnership with Uniqua Group, a group which owns 30 insurers in 20 European countries, established Takaful Al Emarat insurance. Takaful Al Emarat provides health and life insurance through the largest network based on Islamic Shariah in the Gulf region, the Middle East and other Islamic countries  HH Sheikh Tarek Bin Faisal Khaled Al Qasimi 9.59% Public 38.07% Al Qasimi Group 11.22% HH Sheikh Abdullah Bin Mohammed Bin Ali Al Thani 13.47% The Private Investment Group 27.65% KEY INSURANCE RATIOS (%) 2006 2007 2008 Claims ratio 88.5 93.9 88.5 Combined ratio 49.6 57.2 58.1 7.3 8.6 -4.3 Investment return* *Excluding change in fair value    
  • 31.   Al Khazna National Insurance Company (AKIC UH Equity)   STOCK DATA PERFORMANCE SUMMARY* (US$ million) 2007 2008 2007-‘08 (% change) Gross premium written 43.5 59.3 36.3 Net premium earned 21.1 26.5 25.5 Underwriting profit (1.7) (1.8) Underwriting profit margin (%) (7.9) (6.9) - Net profit 37.8 9.2 (75.8) ROE (%) 22.2 4.9 - ROA (%) 13.0 2.7 - AED AKIC UH AKIC.ADSM 0.93 2.61/0.73 372.0 101.3 493.6 134.4 Bloomberg Ticker: Exchange Ticker: Price (July 6, 2009) 52 Week High/Low Mkt. Cap (AED million) (US$ million) Enterprise value (AED million) (US$ million) 120% S&P Financial Strength Credit Rating: Not Rated *Zawya 100% 80% 60% 40%   COMPANY DESCRIPTION 20% Incorporated in 1996, Al Khazna Insurance Company (AKIC) is a ‘national’ insurer based in Abu Dhabi. It is authorized to write all classes of life and non-life insurance business. Its offerings include marine cargo & hull, energy & aviation, property, engineering, general accidents, motor and medical & life insurance. 0% Aug-08 Oct-08 Jan-09 AKIC UH Equity Apr-09 Jul-09 ADII Index   SHAREHOLDER STRUCTURE Recent Events: • • Net premium for the first quarter of 2009 of US$5.8 million decreased by 11.2% year on year. Also, AKIC reported a net loss of US$3.1 million in the first quarter of 2009 compared to net income of US$2.8 million in the same period in 2008 Ocha Hamad Eid 5.01% Public 89.99% In May 2008, AKIC acquired a 15% stake in Saudi Arabian Sanad for Co-operative Insurance and Reinsurance  Hazaa Mohammed Abdulaziz Rabih Chahine Al Mohairi 5.00% KEY INSURANCE RATIOS (%) 2006 Claims ratio Combined ratio Investment return* 2007 2008 85.9 77.4 72.9 103.6 94.9 91.8 15.1 18.1 7.4 *Excluding change in fair value    
  • 32.   Al Sagr National Insurance Company (ASNIC UH Equity)   STOCK DATA PERFORMANCE SUMMARY* (US$ million) 2007 Gross premium written 2008 2007-‘08 (% change) 118.1 117.2 (0.8) Net premium earned 55.7 57.8 3.7 Underwriting profit 16.4 15.3 (6.8) Underwriting profit margin (%) 29.5 26.5 - Net profit 31.0 18.3 (41.0) ROE (%) 28.7 13.1 - ROA (%) 11.8 5.6 - S&P Financial Strength Credit Rating: BBBpi AED ASNIC UH ASNIC.DFM 4.56 4.56/2.61 1,048.8 285.5 - Bloomberg Ticker: Exchange Ticker: Price (April 21, 2009) 52 Week High/Low Mkt. Cap (AED million)* (US$ million) * Enterprise value (AED million) (US$ million)   * Source: Zawya, July 13, 2009 200% 160% *Zawya 120%   COMPANY DESCRIPTION 80% Established in 1979, Al Sagr National Insurance Company (ASNIC) offers all classes of life and non-life insurance, reinsurance products and services. Its main insurance offerings are fire and general accident, marine, motor, life and medical insurance. ASNIC operates in Saudi Arabia through its subsidiary, Al Sagr Company for Co-operative Insurance and has plans to establish a subsidiary in Qatar. 40% Jan-09 In March 2009, ASNIC issued 30 million bonus shares worth AED30 million (US$8.16 million) taking the total number of shares to 230 million • Abdullah Omran Taryam 9.47% In 2008 it bought 55% of an insurer based in Jordan and took over the management of Union Insurance Co PSC based in Ajman, UAE Gulf General Investment Company 53.00% In 2008, Al Sagr took a 26% share in a new Saudi insurer, Al Sagr Company for Co-Operative Insurance, and closed down its former Saudi operations previously conducted through a subsidiary in Bahrain • Apr-09 ASNIC UH Equity Net premium for the first quarter of 2009 of US$18.8 million increased by 28.7% year on year. ASNIC reported a net income of US$9.1 million in the first quarter of 2009 compared to US$12.2 million in the same period in 2008, a decrease of 25.5% year on year • Mar-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 BMEXSA Index   SHAREHOLDER STRUCTURE Recent Events: • Feb-09 Near East Enmaa Al Investment Emirate for Company General 8.75% Trading Ayman 7.50% Mohammed Yusri Al Dweik 5.00% Amjad Mohammed Yusri Al Dweik 5.00% Public 7.03% Khaled Khalfan Abdullah Mohammed Omran Al Roumi Taryam 2.00% 2.25% KEY INSURANCE RATIOS (%) 2006 2007 2008 Claims ratio 66.5 84.1 82.0 Combined ratio 58.3 70.5 73.5 Investment return* -8.9 14.9 3.0 *Excluding change in fair value    
  • 33.   Al Wathba National Insurance Company (AWNIC UH Equity)   STOCK DATA PERFORMANCE SUMMARY* (US$ million) 2007 2008 2007-‘08 (% change) Gross premium written 47.0 75.7 60.9 Net premium earned 20.2 34.9 73.1 Underwriting profit 2.2 2.4 6.7 Underwriting profit margin (%) 11.1 6.8 - Net profit 18.5 8.7 (53.2) ROE (%) 14.6 6.6 - ROA (%) 8.5 3.5 - S&P Financial Strength Credit Rating: Not Rated *Zawya AED AWNIC UH AWNIC.ADSM 7.69 10.4/6.3 922.8 251.2 - Bloomberg Ticker: Exchange Ticker: Price (March 10, 2009) 52 Week High/Low Mkt. Cap (AED million)* (US$ million) * Enterprise value (AED million) (US$ million)   * Source: Zawya, July 13, 2009 160% 140% 120%   COMPANY DESCRIPTION 100% 80% Established in 1997, Al Wathba National Insurance Company (AWNIC) offers general insurance and re-insurance services. Its offerings include fire & general accident, engineering, motor, marine, oil & energy, health and personal insurance. • • Aug-08 Oct-08 Jan-09 AWNIC UH Equity Apr-09 Jul-09 ADII Index   SHAREHOLDER STRUCTURE Recent Events: • 60% Net premium for the first half of 2009 of US$26.8 million increased by 50.1% year on year. However, AWNIC reported a net income of US$2.7 million in the first half of 2009 compared to US$10.6 million in the same period in 2008, a decrease of 74.8% year on year In January 2009, AWNIC acquired technology to enhance its internal communication network through Unified Communications, a Nortel and Microsoft’s product. Unified Communications converges voice and data services with telephony, fax, email, video and instant messaging to strengthen communication between employees and its outside contacts In April 2008, AWNIC, in association with Vision Investment Company, launched Vision Insurance in Oman. With a capital base of RO 5 million, Vision Insurance provides all lines of non-life, group life and group medical insurance   Public 27.80% Saif Darweesh Ahmad Al Ketbi 19.15% Abu Dhabi National Company for Building Materials 3.40% HH Sheikh Saif Bin Mohammed Bin Butti Al Hamed 13.20% Ahmad Bin Ali Khalfan Al Dhaheri 5.25% Mohammed Ahmad Al Kassemi 5.60% Abu Dhabi Cooperative Society 9.27% Rashed Darweesh Ahmad Al Ketbi 9.27% Ali Rashed Nasser Al Omeira 7.06% KEY INSURANCE RATIOS (%) 2006 2007 2008 Claims ratio 64.8 70.2 77.3 Combined ratio 80.4 88.9 93.2 5.2 8.5 3.1 Investment return* *Excluding change in fair value    
  • 34.   Arab Orient Insurance Company (AOIC UH Equity) PERFORMANCE SUMMARY* STOCK DATA (US$ million) 2007 Gross premium written 2008 2007-‘08 (% change) 208.7 272.3 30.5 Net premium earned 52.9 67.9 28.5 Underwriting profit 24.7 36.9 49.5 Underwriting profit margin (%) 34.5 49.5 - Net profit 37.1 40.9 10.3 Net profit margin (%) 43.2 10.3 - ROE (%) 31.1 27.5 - ROA (%) 11.0 9.7 AED AOIC UH AOIC.DFM - Bloomberg Ticker: Exchange Ticker: Price (na) 52 Week High/Low Mkt. Cap (AED million) (US$ million) Enterprise value (AED million) (US$ million) - S&P Financial Strength Credit Rating : A/Stable * Zawya COMPANY DESCRIPTION   Established in 1980, Arab Orient Insurance Company operates into two main insurance segments, namely personal insurance and commercial insurance. The personal insurance segment offers motor, comprehensive household, personal accident, medical, individual life and travel insurance. Its commercial insurance segment offers property, engineering, liability, money, fidelity guarantee, contingency, marine, workmen's compensation, group life, group medical, motor fleet, and bond insurances.   SHAREHOLDER STRUCTURE Al Futtaim Private Company 5.00% Recent Events • Gross premium and net profit for the first half of 2009 were US$150.0 million and US$28.8 million, an increase of 10.0% and 30.0% respectively year on year • Al Futtaim Group 5.00% Arab Orient Insurance Company, Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank and Union National Bank recently established a Takaful insurance company in Egypt • Al Futtaim Development Services Company 90.00% In April 2007, the company commenced operations in Syria   KEY INSURANCE RATIOS (%) 2006 2007 2008 Claims ratio 49.0 50.5 44.8 Combined ratio 54.4 53.3 45.7 6.7 7.1 0.2 Investment return* *Excluding change in fair value    
  • 35.   Dubai Insurance Company (DIN UH Equity)   STOCK DATA PERFORMANCE SUMMARY* (US$ million) 2007 Gross premium written 2008 2007-‘08 (% change) 16.7 33.0 98.0 Net premium earned 6.0 15.3 161.6 Underwriting profit 2.0 4.4 115.7 Underwriting profit margin (%) 34.1 28.1 - Net profit 12.0 18.3 52.4 ROE (%) 11.9 17.7 - ROA (%) 10.3 14.3 - S&P Financial Strength Credit Rating: Not Rated AED DIN UH DIN.DFM 28.9 289.0 78.7 - Bloomberg Ticker: Exchange Ticker: Price (June 10, 2009) 52 Week High/Low Mkt. Cap (AED million)* (US$ million) * Enterprise value (AED million) (US$ million)   * Source: Zawya, July 13, 2009 120% 110% 100% *Zawya 90%   COMPANY DESCRIPTION 80% Dubai Insurance Company (DIC) offers all classes of general life and non-life insurance products. DIC mainly offers short term insurance contracts for fire and engineering, motor, marine, general accident, medical and group life risks. • • • 60% Aug-08 Oct-08 Jan-09 DIN UH Equity Apr-09 Jul-09 DFIINSU Index   SHAREHOLDER STRUCTURE Recent Events: • 70% In July 2009, DIC and the UK based insurance specialist William Russell Limited introduced global life insurance plans for GCC residents, offering cover of up to 20 times the salary up to a maximum of US$1.5 million Abdulwah eed Hassan Mohamme d Al Rostamani 16.77% Public 43.61% Net premium and net profit for the first quarter of 2009 were US$8.1 million and US$3.7 million, an increase of 43.5% and 26.9% respectively year on year In March 2009, DIC distributed AED 3 per share cash dividend for the year ended December 31, 2008  Others 20.27% In March 2008, DIC distributed bonus shares of 33.3% of the paid up capital  Mashreq 4.16% Mohamme d Obeid Al Mulla and Sons Abdullah 8.00% Hamad Majed Al Futtaim 7.19% KEY INSURANCE RATIOS (%) 2006 2007 2008 Claims ratio 34.4 49.1 45.3 Combined ratio 21.9 65.9 71.9 -10.3 7.9 17.8 Investment return* *Excluding change in fair value    
  • 36.   Emirates Insurance Company (EIC UH Equity)   STOCK DATA PERFORMANCE SUMMARY* (US$ million) 2007 Gross premium written 2008 2007-‘08 (% change) 133.2 180.5 35.5 Net premium earned 31.7 51.8 63.7 Underwriting profit 12.6 13.8 9.5 Underwriting profit margin (%) 39.7 26.6 - Net profit 37.0 30.9 (16.5) ROE (%) 10.8 10.2 - ROA (%) 7.5 6.1 - AED EIC UH EIC.ADSM 6.49 8.83/6.0 778.8 212.1 712.0 193.9 Bloomberg Ticker: Exchange Ticker: Price (June 25, 2009) 52 Week High/Low Mkt. Cap (AED million) (US$ million) Enterprise value (AED million) (US$ million)   120% 110% 100% S&P Financial Strength Credit Rating: BBB+/Stable *Zawya 90%   COMPANY DESCRIPTION 80% 70% Incorporated in 1983, Emirates Insurance Company (EIC) is the third largest of the Abu Dhabi based ‘national’ insurers and the sixth largest in the UAE. EIC offers  a  comprehensive range of insurance products to both corporate and individual customers. EIC offers the following classes of insurance services: aviation, bankers’ blanket bond insurance, cargo, fidelity guarantee, fire, marine, money, motor and life insurance. 60% Aug-08 Oct-08 Jan-09 EIC UH Equity •   SHAREHOLDER STRUCTURE Abu Dhabi Cooperative Society 15.35% Net premium for the first half of 2009 of US$31.9 million increased by 33.4% year on year. EIC reported a net income of US$11.5 million in the first half of 2009 compared to US$25.9 million in the same period in 2008, a decrease of 55.5% year on year In July 2008, EIC was the first Abu Dhabi insurance company to be awarded a fully interactive insurance company financial strength rating of BBB+ from Standard & Poor’s Jul-09 ADII Index Recent Events: • Apr-09 Al Mazroui Group 13.95% Public* 58.89% Abu Dhabi Investment Council 11.81% * Al Qasimi Group shareholding is part of the public stake  Gross Premium Income (in US$ million) 48.5 47.1 KEY INSURANCE RATIOS (%) 43.6 30.0 32.7 33.8 15.0 Marine 2007 2008 Claims ratio 80.5 63.6 67.8 72.3 60.3 73.4 5.1 6.3 7.8 26.7 14.2 Life and Medical 2006 Combined ratio 22.3 Engineering 2007 Fire and General Accident Motor Investment return* *Excluding change in fair value 2008    
  • 37.   Oman Insurance Company (OIC UH Equity)   STOCK DATA PERFORMANCE SUMMARY* (US$ million) 2007 2008 2007-‘08 (% change) Gross premium written 412.2 581.4 41.0 Net premium earned 192.3 271.3 41.0 Underwriting profit 47.9 59.9 25.2 Underwriting profit margin (%) 24.9 22.1 - Net profit 171.8 68.1 (60.3) ROE (%) 33.3 12.4 - ROA (%) 15.8 5.2 AED OIC UH OIC.DFM 11.0 11.0/10.0 4,198.8 1,143.2 4,378.4 1,192.1 Bloomberg Ticker: Exchange Ticker: Price (June 30, 2009) 52 Week High/Low Mkt. Cap (AED million) (US$ million) Enterprise value (AED million) (US$ million) - 120% 110% S&P Financial Strength Credit Rating: BBB+/Stable 100% *Zawya 90%   COMPANY DESCRIPTION 80% Established in 1975, Oman Insurance Company (OIC) is the largest insurer in the UAE, with its base in Dubai. It mainly issues short term insurance contracts for property, marine and motor risks and medical, group life and personal accident risks. OIC also invests its funds in investment securities and properties through its wholly-owned subsidiary, Equator Trading Enterprises LLC. 60% 70% Aug-08 Oct-08 Jan-09 OIC UH Equity Apr-09 Jul-09 DFIINSU Index   SHAREHOLDER STRUCTURE Recent Events: • Net premium for the first half of 2009 of US$175.1 million increased by 26.6% year on year. OIC reported a net income of US$38.8 million in the first half of 2009 compared to US$97.6 million in the same period in 2008, a decrease of 60.3% year on year • Mashreq 63.65% Saeed Mohammed Saeed Al Ghandi 4.50% Ahmad Humaid Al Tayer 1.00% In Q1 2009, OIC commenced operations in Qatar • Al Dhaheri Group 5.00% In March 2009, OIC distributed AED 0.5 per share cash dividend for the year ended December 31, 2008   Public 25.85% KEY INSURANCE RATIOS (%) 2006 2007 2008 Claims ratio 50.4 52.5 54.4 Combined ratio 70.4 75.1 77.9 5.1 14.9 3.1 Investment return* *Excluding change in fair value    
  • 38.   For more information: Name: Tommy Trask Designation: Executive Director Contact détails: t.trask@alpencapital.com Tel: +971 (0) 4 363 4322 Name: Sanjay Vig Designation: Managing Director Contact détails: s.vig@alpencapital.com Tel: +971 (0) 4 363 4307                        
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