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How do we define deflation ?

1. What is not inflation. (relative measure)


2. When value of something is less than what it
   should be.


3. Means , inflation falls below 0% .


4. When lesser money can buy more.
EXAMPLE


Initially if 5 quantities of a product could have been
bought for Rs. 100 , after 10% deflation (Rs.
20*90/100) = 18 is the new price , same 5 quantities
can be bought ,with still Rs. 10 to spare.
Here we are to observe the most remarkable
case of deflation in the recent history , with the
            most uninteresting title.
Scenario ?: On the brink of
  deflatory breakdown .
• 2nd largest economy of the world.
• Managed rather than marketable economy .

• Means govt. had a big role.
• Based on dualism , coexistence of big , medium/small companies , latter
  usually being sub contractors.

• Strong social responsibility .
• Main bank system - one bank for a group of companies.

• Easy credit from banks.
• Rarely questioned companies credit ability.

• Most funds of banks , went into credit creation of companies.
• Circulatory deterioration of financial standing of both.


• Banks did not secure credit properly ( phenomena of moral hazards) .
• Still statutory objective of bank was to – maintain price stability and support
  governments economic policy. (Extreme contradiction)
BOJ couldn’t
                               make monetary
                                  policy.
     Sudden turn
   about of policies                                   Falling discount
    was the reason                                           rates.
     of deflation.


   Reversal of
monetary policy                                             Credit was cheap
  was delayed                                               and loans readily
 , interest rate                                              available and
  increased to                                                  utilized.
 4.25% only in
      1989.


                   Not because of          Increase in
                    fundamental            speculative
                   factors but lose      prices of stocks
                   monetary policy.      and real estate.
IT ERUPTED IN 1989-1990




                               Sudden turnabout in
   The discount rate
                                Japanese monetary         From that
 (int. rate charged to
                                 policy of 1989 was
  an eligible bank to
                               the main reason why       moment, the
borrow funds directly                                  rates of inflation
                                  the speculative
    from the central
                                  bubbles on the        were lower and
bank) was decreased
                                  Japanese stock          lower and
from 5.5 % in 1982 to
                                   exchange and           eventually
5% in 1983, and then
                               housing market burst
 to 3.5% in 1986 and
                               starting deflationary
                                                           deflation
  finally to 2.5% one                                     appeared.
                                  processes in the
       year later .
                                      economy.

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Japans situation on the eve of deflationary pressure

  • 1. How do we define deflation ? 1. What is not inflation. (relative measure) 2. When value of something is less than what it should be. 3. Means , inflation falls below 0% . 4. When lesser money can buy more.
  • 2. EXAMPLE Initially if 5 quantities of a product could have been bought for Rs. 100 , after 10% deflation (Rs. 20*90/100) = 18 is the new price , same 5 quantities can be bought ,with still Rs. 10 to spare.
  • 3. Here we are to observe the most remarkable case of deflation in the recent history , with the most uninteresting title.
  • 4. Scenario ?: On the brink of deflatory breakdown .
  • 5. • 2nd largest economy of the world. • Managed rather than marketable economy . • Means govt. had a big role. • Based on dualism , coexistence of big , medium/small companies , latter usually being sub contractors. • Strong social responsibility . • Main bank system - one bank for a group of companies. • Easy credit from banks. • Rarely questioned companies credit ability. • Most funds of banks , went into credit creation of companies. • Circulatory deterioration of financial standing of both. • Banks did not secure credit properly ( phenomena of moral hazards) . • Still statutory objective of bank was to – maintain price stability and support governments economic policy. (Extreme contradiction)
  • 6.
  • 7. BOJ couldn’t make monetary policy. Sudden turn about of policies Falling discount was the reason rates. of deflation. Reversal of monetary policy Credit was cheap was delayed and loans readily , interest rate available and increased to utilized. 4.25% only in 1989. Not because of Increase in fundamental speculative factors but lose prices of stocks monetary policy. and real estate.
  • 8. IT ERUPTED IN 1989-1990 Sudden turnabout in The discount rate Japanese monetary From that (int. rate charged to policy of 1989 was an eligible bank to the main reason why moment, the borrow funds directly rates of inflation the speculative from the central bubbles on the were lower and bank) was decreased Japanese stock lower and from 5.5 % in 1982 to exchange and eventually 5% in 1983, and then housing market burst to 3.5% in 1986 and starting deflationary deflation finally to 2.5% one appeared. processes in the year later . economy.