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2. Basics Concepts – Short Synthetic Future
Proficiency -
Expert
Direction –
Bearish
Volatility – N/A
Asset Leg –
Long Put + Short
Call
Max Risk -
Unlimited
Max Reward -
Unlimited
Capital Gain
Strategies
3. Description – Short Synthetic Future
We can synthetically create the risk profile or a short stock position
by buying ATM puts and selling ATM calls.
The net result is a virtually nil cost or even net credit trade that
precisely mimics the short stock or short future position.
Buy an ATM put.
Sell an ATM call with the same strike and expiration date.
4. Steps to Trading a Short Synthetic Future
Steps In
Try to ensure that the trend is downward and identify a clear area
of resistance.
Steps Out
Manage your position according to the rules defined in your Trading
Plan.
Play the strategy just as you would if you’d simply shorted the stock.
The difference is that with a Short Synthetic Future, you can leg out
of the trade, maximizing your trading opportunity.
Never hold the long option into the last month before expiration.
5. Context - Short Synthetic Future
Outlook
With Short Synthetic Futures, your outlook is bearish.
Rationale
To simulate the action of shorting a stock.
This also simulates the action of taking a short position in a future.
Net Position
This is usually a net credit trade.
It can depend on how close the strike price is to the stock price and whether it
is above or below the stock price.
Your risk on the trade itself is uncapped on the upside as the stock rises.
6. Context – Short Synthetic Future
Effect of Time Decay
Time decay helps your Short Synthetic Future trade, but with this
strategy, you are hedging time decay by buying and selling near the
money options, so the effect is minimal.
What you lose from the Long Put time value, you benefit from the
Short Call position.
Appropriate Time Period to Trade
you will be using this strategy in conjunction with another trade.
It is generally more sensible to use this as a shorter -term trade.
Breakeven = [Strike price + net Credit](or – Net Debit)
7. Exiting the Trade - Short Synthetic Future
Exiting the Position
With this strategy, you can simply unravel the spread by selling
your puts and buying back the calls.
You can also exit just your profitable leg of the trade and hope that
the stock moves to favor the unprofitable side later on.
Mitigating a Loss
Sell the position if the stock rise up through your predetermined
stop loss.
8. Advantages and Disadvantages
Advantages
Create a short stock position with the ability to leg in and out of the
call or put as appropriate.
Uncapped profit potential as the stock declines to zero (though this
could equally be described as being capped reward after the stock
has fallen to zero!).
Disadvantages
No leverage or protection created by the position.
Uncapped risk potential if the stock rises.
Bid/Ask Spread can adversely affect the quality of the trade.
12. Example – Short Synthetic Future
Market Behavior Nifty
Option /Future Buy ATM Call & Sell ATM PUT
Action (Long/ Short) Both
Price Movement Expectation DownSide / Side Ways
Spot Price 11700
Strike Price (LONG ATM PUT) 11700
Premium Paid /Receive 110
Strike Price ( SHORT ATM CALL) 11700
Premium 100
Break Even Strike + Net Debit (11700 +10) = 11710
Time to Expiry Mid/Last of the Month
Position of Price in Charts At Absolute Bottom / Higher Bottom in Upward Trend
Max Risk Un Limited
Max Reward Un Limited
13. Short Synthetic Future
Strike Price (LONG ATM Put) 11700 Premium 110 BEP 11590
Strike Price ( SHORT ATM Call) 11700 Premium 100 BEP 11800
Nifty at Expiry LONG ATM PUT
(BEP) 11590
SHORT ATM CALL
(BEP) 11800
Total P&L
12200 -110 -400 -510
12100 -110 -300 -410
12000 -110 -200 -310
11900 -110 -100 -210
11800 -110 - -110
11700 -110 100 -210
11600 -10 100 -90
11500 100 100 200
11400 200 100 200