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Lecture No 61
Short Synthetic Future
Rohan Sharma (Coach)
Basics Concepts – Short Synthetic Future
Proficiency -
Expert
Direction –
Bearish
Volatility – N/A
Asset Leg –
Long Put + Short
Call
Max Risk -
Unlimited
Max Reward -
Unlimited
Capital Gain
Strategies
Description – Short Synthetic Future
 We can synthetically create the risk profile or a short stock position
by buying ATM puts and selling ATM calls.
The net result is a virtually nil cost or even net credit trade that
precisely mimics the short stock or short future position.
Buy an ATM put.
Sell an ATM call with the same strike and expiration date.
Steps to Trading a Short Synthetic Future
Steps In
Try to ensure that the trend is downward and identify a clear area
of resistance.
Steps Out
Manage your position according to the rules defined in your Trading
Plan.
Play the strategy just as you would if you’d simply shorted the stock.
The difference is that with a Short Synthetic Future, you can leg out
of the trade, maximizing your trading opportunity.
Never hold the long option into the last month before expiration.
Context - Short Synthetic Future
Outlook
With Short Synthetic Futures, your outlook is bearish.
Rationale
To simulate the action of shorting a stock.
This also simulates the action of taking a short position in a future.
Net Position
This is usually a net credit trade.
It can depend on how close the strike price is to the stock price and whether it
is above or below the stock price.
Your risk on the trade itself is uncapped on the upside as the stock rises.
Context – Short Synthetic Future
Effect of Time Decay
Time decay helps your Short Synthetic Future trade, but with this
strategy, you are hedging time decay by buying and selling near the
money options, so the effect is minimal.
What you lose from the Long Put time value, you benefit from the
Short Call position.
Appropriate Time Period to Trade
 you will be using this strategy in conjunction with another trade.
It is generally more sensible to use this as a shorter -term trade.
Breakeven = [Strike price + net Credit](or – Net Debit)
Exiting the Trade - Short Synthetic Future
Exiting the Position
 With this strategy, you can simply unravel the spread by selling
your puts and buying back the calls.
You can also exit just your profitable leg of the trade and hope that
the stock moves to favor the unprofitable side later on.
Mitigating a Loss
Sell the position if the stock rise up through your predetermined
stop loss.
Advantages and Disadvantages
Advantages
Create a short stock position with the ability to leg in and out of the
call or put as appropriate.
Uncapped profit potential as the stock declines to zero (though this
could equally be described as being capped reward after the stock
has fallen to zero!).
Disadvantages
No leverage or protection created by the position.
Uncapped risk potential if the stock rises.
Bid/Ask Spread can adversely affect the quality of the trade.
Real Time Example
Rohan Sharma (Coach)
Price Movement
Position on Charts
Rohan Sharma (Coach)
Example – Short Synthetic Future
Market Behavior Nifty
Option /Future Buy ATM Call & Sell ATM PUT
Action (Long/ Short) Both
Price Movement Expectation DownSide / Side Ways
Spot Price 11700
Strike Price (LONG ATM PUT) 11700
Premium Paid /Receive 110
Strike Price ( SHORT ATM CALL) 11700
Premium 100
Break Even Strike + Net Debit (11700 +10) = 11710
Time to Expiry Mid/Last of the Month
Position of Price in Charts At Absolute Bottom / Higher Bottom in Upward Trend
Max Risk Un Limited
Max Reward Un Limited
Short Synthetic Future
Strike Price (LONG ATM Put) 11700 Premium 110 BEP 11590
Strike Price ( SHORT ATM Call) 11700 Premium 100 BEP 11800
Nifty at Expiry LONG ATM PUT
(BEP) 11590
SHORT ATM CALL
(BEP) 11800
Total P&L
12200 -110 -400 -510
12100 -110 -300 -410
12000 -110 -200 -310
11900 -110 -100 -210
11800 -110 - -110
11700 -110 100 -210
11600 -10 100 -90
11500 100 100 200
11400 200 100 200

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Lecture no 61 short synthetic future

  • 1. Lecture No 61 Short Synthetic Future Rohan Sharma (Coach)
  • 2. Basics Concepts – Short Synthetic Future Proficiency - Expert Direction – Bearish Volatility – N/A Asset Leg – Long Put + Short Call Max Risk - Unlimited Max Reward - Unlimited Capital Gain Strategies
  • 3. Description – Short Synthetic Future  We can synthetically create the risk profile or a short stock position by buying ATM puts and selling ATM calls. The net result is a virtually nil cost or even net credit trade that precisely mimics the short stock or short future position. Buy an ATM put. Sell an ATM call with the same strike and expiration date.
  • 4. Steps to Trading a Short Synthetic Future Steps In Try to ensure that the trend is downward and identify a clear area of resistance. Steps Out Manage your position according to the rules defined in your Trading Plan. Play the strategy just as you would if you’d simply shorted the stock. The difference is that with a Short Synthetic Future, you can leg out of the trade, maximizing your trading opportunity. Never hold the long option into the last month before expiration.
  • 5. Context - Short Synthetic Future Outlook With Short Synthetic Futures, your outlook is bearish. Rationale To simulate the action of shorting a stock. This also simulates the action of taking a short position in a future. Net Position This is usually a net credit trade. It can depend on how close the strike price is to the stock price and whether it is above or below the stock price. Your risk on the trade itself is uncapped on the upside as the stock rises.
  • 6. Context – Short Synthetic Future Effect of Time Decay Time decay helps your Short Synthetic Future trade, but with this strategy, you are hedging time decay by buying and selling near the money options, so the effect is minimal. What you lose from the Long Put time value, you benefit from the Short Call position. Appropriate Time Period to Trade  you will be using this strategy in conjunction with another trade. It is generally more sensible to use this as a shorter -term trade. Breakeven = [Strike price + net Credit](or – Net Debit)
  • 7. Exiting the Trade - Short Synthetic Future Exiting the Position  With this strategy, you can simply unravel the spread by selling your puts and buying back the calls. You can also exit just your profitable leg of the trade and hope that the stock moves to favor the unprofitable side later on. Mitigating a Loss Sell the position if the stock rise up through your predetermined stop loss.
  • 8. Advantages and Disadvantages Advantages Create a short stock position with the ability to leg in and out of the call or put as appropriate. Uncapped profit potential as the stock declines to zero (though this could equally be described as being capped reward after the stock has fallen to zero!). Disadvantages No leverage or protection created by the position. Uncapped risk potential if the stock rises. Bid/Ask Spread can adversely affect the quality of the trade.
  • 9. Real Time Example Rohan Sharma (Coach)
  • 10. Price Movement Position on Charts Rohan Sharma (Coach)
  • 11.
  • 12. Example – Short Synthetic Future Market Behavior Nifty Option /Future Buy ATM Call & Sell ATM PUT Action (Long/ Short) Both Price Movement Expectation DownSide / Side Ways Spot Price 11700 Strike Price (LONG ATM PUT) 11700 Premium Paid /Receive 110 Strike Price ( SHORT ATM CALL) 11700 Premium 100 Break Even Strike + Net Debit (11700 +10) = 11710 Time to Expiry Mid/Last of the Month Position of Price in Charts At Absolute Bottom / Higher Bottom in Upward Trend Max Risk Un Limited Max Reward Un Limited
  • 13. Short Synthetic Future Strike Price (LONG ATM Put) 11700 Premium 110 BEP 11590 Strike Price ( SHORT ATM Call) 11700 Premium 100 BEP 11800 Nifty at Expiry LONG ATM PUT (BEP) 11590 SHORT ATM CALL (BEP) 11800 Total P&L 12200 -110 -400 -510 12100 -110 -300 -410 12000 -110 -200 -310 11900 -110 -100 -210 11800 -110 - -110 11700 -110 100 -210 11600 -10 100 -90 11500 100 100 200 11400 200 100 200