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Example 1 ,[object Object],[object Object]
Example 2 •  In spite of gaining the support of Apple’s Steve Jobs, Amazon’s Jeff Bezos, and many highprofile investors, Segway sold a mere 6,000 scooters in the 18 months after its launch—a far cry from the 50,000 to 100,000 units projected.
Example 3 •  Although TiVo’s digital video recorder (DVR) has garnered rave reviews since the late 1990s from both industry experts and product adopters, the company had amassed $600 million in operating losses by 2005 because demand trailed expectations.
 
The “classic” Product life cycle
The 9 to 1 effect
Product and behaviour Changes Ref: J.T.Gourville
New product forecasting models Repositioning Pre test Market New Coke Me Too Products Conjoint Analysis Burn Breakthroughs ¿? Red Bull Line Extensions Pre-test Coke Light New to company New to world Lo high high Lo
 
Innovation & Diffusion models ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Innovation & Diffusion models ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Innovation & Diffusion models Not all technologies have the same pattern of diffusion Ex: TV vs Telephone
Innovation & Diffusion models ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Bass Model ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Bass Model ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Bass Model
[object Object],The Bass Model C-Curve Innovate dominates Imitate S-Curve Imitate dominates Innovate
The Bass Model ,[object Object]
The Bass Model ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Bass Model ,[object Object]
Why only few products reach Mainstream?
Crossing the TALC ,[object Object]
Crossing the TALC ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source: G. A. Moore.
Crossing the TALC ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Crossing the TALC ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Crossing the TALC ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Crossing the TALC ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Crossing the TALC ,[object Object],[object Object]
Crossing the TALC ,[object Object],Seed enthusiasts with new products Help them educate visionaries Capture interest of visionaries Make them satisfied customers Serve as good reference for pragmatists Serving pragmatists by becoming market leader and setting  de facto standards Generate volume and experience so Product s become reliable  and cheap To meet demands for conservatives
But… Why is so difficult to get succes…..
 
The Chasm Innovators Early Adopters Early  Majority Late Majority Laggards Source:  Moore (1995),  Crossing the Chasm
The Chasm Skeptics Supporters Specialist Generalist Innovators Visionaries Pragmatist Conservative
The Chasm Skeptics Supporters Specialist Generalist Innovators Visionaries Pragmatist Conservative
The Chasm De facto standard Elegant Architecture Value Infrastructure & Support Easiest to use Reference base very important Unique functionality Market Centric Product Centric Pragmatist Visionaries
TALC on video products
The Chasm ,[object Object],[object Object]
The Chasm ,[object Object]
Crossing the chasm ,[object Object],[object Object]
Crossing the Chasm ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],Hypersegmentation Dog’s Role Segment Brand Price/100 gr. Dog as a family member Premium Chum 8.7 pence Dog as a companion Moderate Pal and Bounce 6.4 & 7.9 pence Dog as an animal Economy Chappie 6.3 pence Reference:  A. Ryans Dog as a substitute child? Super Premium
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Hypersegmentation
Results:  Fours years later, it had a 10% share of the total dog food market.  The total super premium segment of the market was about 15% -- about 10% coming from dog food brands and about 5% coming from fresh foods.  In addition, Pedigree's premium brand retained its market share.
Crossing the Chasm ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Crossing the Chasm ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],- Creative positioning
Crossing the Chasm ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],- Creative positioning (Silicon Graphics)
Crossing the Chasm ,[object Object],[object Object]
Crossing the Chasm ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Managing the Hype cycle
Managing the Hype cycle A hype cycle in Gartner's interpretation comprises 5 steps: " Technology Trigger " —  The first phase of a hype cycle is the "technology trigger“ or breakthrough, product launch or other event that generates significant press and interest.  " Peak of Inflated Expectations " —  In the next phase, a frenzy of publicity typically generates over-enthusiasm and unrealistic expectations.  " Trough of Disillusionment " —  Technologies enter the "trough of disillusionment" because they fail to meet expectations and quickly become unfashionable. Consequently, the press usually abandons the topic and the technology.  " Slope of Enlightenment " —  Although the press may have stopped covering the technology,  some businesses continue through the "slope of enlightenment"  and experiment to understand the benefits and practical application of the technology.  " Plateau of Productivity " —  A technology reaches the "plateau of productivity" as the benefits of it become widely demonstrated and accepted. The technology  becomes increasingly stable  and evolves in second and third generations. The final height of the plateau varies according to whether the technology is broadly applicable or benefits only a niche market.
Managing   the Hype cycle
 

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High Tech MarketinG

  • 1.  
  • 2.  
  • 3.
  • 4. Example 2 • In spite of gaining the support of Apple’s Steve Jobs, Amazon’s Jeff Bezos, and many highprofile investors, Segway sold a mere 6,000 scooters in the 18 months after its launch—a far cry from the 50,000 to 100,000 units projected.
  • 5. Example 3 • Although TiVo’s digital video recorder (DVR) has garnered rave reviews since the late 1990s from both industry experts and product adopters, the company had amassed $600 million in operating losses by 2005 because demand trailed expectations.
  • 6.  
  • 8. The 9 to 1 effect
  • 9. Product and behaviour Changes Ref: J.T.Gourville
  • 10. New product forecasting models Repositioning Pre test Market New Coke Me Too Products Conjoint Analysis Burn Breakthroughs ¿? Red Bull Line Extensions Pre-test Coke Light New to company New to world Lo high high Lo
  • 11.  
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14. Innovation & Diffusion models Not all technologies have the same pattern of diffusion Ex: TV vs Telephone
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23. Why only few products reach Mainstream?
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32. But… Why is so difficult to get succes…..
  • 33.  
  • 34. The Chasm Innovators Early Adopters Early Majority Late Majority Laggards Source: Moore (1995), Crossing the Chasm
  • 35. The Chasm Skeptics Supporters Specialist Generalist Innovators Visionaries Pragmatist Conservative
  • 36. The Chasm Skeptics Supporters Specialist Generalist Innovators Visionaries Pragmatist Conservative
  • 37. The Chasm De facto standard Elegant Architecture Value Infrastructure & Support Easiest to use Reference base very important Unique functionality Market Centric Product Centric Pragmatist Visionaries
  • 38. TALC on video products
  • 39.
  • 40.
  • 41.
  • 42.
  • 43.
  • 44.
  • 45. Results: Fours years later, it had a 10% share of the total dog food market. The total super premium segment of the market was about 15% -- about 10% coming from dog food brands and about 5% coming from fresh foods. In addition, Pedigree's premium brand retained its market share.
  • 46.
  • 47.
  • 48.
  • 49.
  • 50.
  • 52. Managing the Hype cycle A hype cycle in Gartner's interpretation comprises 5 steps: " Technology Trigger " — The first phase of a hype cycle is the "technology trigger“ or breakthrough, product launch or other event that generates significant press and interest. " Peak of Inflated Expectations " — In the next phase, a frenzy of publicity typically generates over-enthusiasm and unrealistic expectations. " Trough of Disillusionment " — Technologies enter the "trough of disillusionment" because they fail to meet expectations and quickly become unfashionable. Consequently, the press usually abandons the topic and the technology. " Slope of Enlightenment " — Although the press may have stopped covering the technology, some businesses continue through the "slope of enlightenment" and experiment to understand the benefits and practical application of the technology. " Plateau of Productivity " — A technology reaches the "plateau of productivity" as the benefits of it become widely demonstrated and accepted. The technology becomes increasingly stable and evolves in second and third generations. The final height of the plateau varies according to whether the technology is broadly applicable or benefits only a niche market.
  • 53. Managing the Hype cycle
  • 54.