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Defrag 2012: anticipation nation 2020

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My breakout presentation from DEFRAG2012 - thanks to all those who attended!

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Defrag 2012: anticipation nation 2020

  1. 1. Anticipation nationWelcome to the enterprise of 2020Paul MullerChief Evangelist, HP SoftwareTwitter: @xthestreams© Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.
  2. 2. 2019?2 © Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.
  3. 3. “The lasttimea datascientistwas left incharge!…”3 © Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.
  4. 4. …it wasn’t (entirely) the data scientist’s fault© Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.
  5. 5. The real culprit might have been the king maker of the 1800’s© Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.
  6. 6. Cash hoardingand risk averse© Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.
  7. 7. Bias for short-term© Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.
  8. 8. Monocultures© Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.
  9. 9. Mountingtechnicaldebt© Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.
  10. 10. “not invented here”© Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.
  11. 11. BYOD BYOx© Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.
  12. 12. Same modelsSame dataSame vendors© Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.
  13. 13. Same result© Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.
  14. 14. The signs were there…(if you new where to look)© Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.
  15. 15. What will matter in 2020?© Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.
  16. 16. Most of us will live in cities16 http://www.citymayors.com/statistics/urban_2020_1.html © Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.
  17. 17. Young and old, more people will shape ourplanet17 US Census Bureau © Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.
  18. 18. Emergingmiddleclasses willredefinemarketsGlobal top 10consuming middleclasses18 © Copyright 2012Middle Class in Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice. The Emerging Hewlett-Packard Developing Countries, Homi Kharas, Brookings Institution, June, 2011
  19. 19. Scarce resources will make us resourceful© Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.
  20. 20. We’ll wrestlewith security,privacy andopenness20 Guardian UK, http://www.guardian.co.uk/uk/2011/mar/02/cctv-cameras-watching-surveillance © Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.
  21. 21. We will build our businesses on dynamic services Percentage of apps composed of Dynamic multiple services in 2020 47% organizations and 16% 22% 14% processes based 1% on human and IT 0% 1% to 26% to 51% to 76% to 25% 50% 75% 100% servicesQ: What percent of your organization’s applications do youexpect will be composite by 2020, that is consisting of multipleservices built and/or hosted in different environments? anywhere21 © Copyright 2012Services, IT Executives Vision, conductedThe information contained 2012 is subject to change without notice. IDG Research Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. for HP, for 2020, May herein
  22. 22. We will re-imagine computationWhat we expectWe will see vast increases in the datawe need to manage• 44x more data in 2020 vs 20091• 33x more mobile network traffic in 2020 vs 20102We will see advances in technology• New computer/storage blocks that enable us to process huge amounts of data in real time• Advanced software to gain insight across unstructured and structured data• Application development and IT management software designed for vast processor power 1IDC, The Digital Universe Decade , May 2010, sponsored by EMC IDG Research Services, IT Executives Vision, conducted for HP, for22 Corp. 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change 2012 notice. © Copyright 2020, May without 2UMTS Forum, Mobile Traffic Forecasts 2010-2020, January 2011
  23. 23. We will have cognitive systems as partners23 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Future_of_robotics © Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.
  24. 24. Welcome to 2020 Concentrated Democratized Connected Instrumented Innovative Always on24 © Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.
  25. 25. Welcome to 2020 Uncertain Polarized Vulnerable Monitored Disruptive Distracted25 © Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.
  26. 26. Winner26 s? © Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.
  27. 27. Multi-disciplinary and diverse© Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.
  28. 28. Excel at collaboratingwith suppliers and customers© Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.
  29. 29. LOVECHANGE!© Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.
  30. 30. From idea to implementation Strategy Development Risk & Compliance30 © Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.
  31. 31. The secret sauce of enterprise 2020? • Governs ultimate velocity and agility • Connective tissue between Operation functions s • Killer vs Keepers of the culture31 © Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.
  32. 32. Boundary spanners DevOps Strategy Development SecOpsDataOps Risk & Compliance ChiefOp 32 s © Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.
  33. 33. What about thedata scientists?© Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.
  34. 34. ScientistsObserve | Correlate |Model and test© Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.
  35. 35. ArtistsChallenge | Design | Inspire© Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.
  36. 36. Model scientists anddata artists©36Copyright 2012 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. information contained herein is subject to change without notice. © Copyright Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.
  37. 37. A possible 2020 playbook People & Different roles – developer, integrators, scientists culture Different mentality – curious, risk seeker Different skills - professionals vs experts Process Collaborative - sharing, borderless Scientific – hypothesize, model, test & refine Enabling - Control models, not change Technology Massive scale, real-time, distributed Meaning based, deductive modeling Declarative, automated, proactively secured37 © Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.
  38. 38. Join theEnterprise20/20CommunityA collaborative effort tonot just imagine theenterprise oftomorrow, but shape itParticipate in the exclusivepreviewhp.com/go/enterprise2020#enterprise2020@enterprise20_2038 © Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.
  39. 39. Thank YouPaul Muller@xthestreams© Copyright 2012 Hewlett-Packard Development Company, L.P. The information contained herein is subject to change without notice.

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