This is the punter's strategy to manage betting accounts in order to try and get some decent betting profits in.

1. Coach change – Huge impact factor in football betting
Leagues considered:
• English Premier League
• German Bundesliga
• Spanish LaLiga
• Italian Serie A
• France ligue 1
Coach change is very often the result of consistent negative form of the team or just bad chemistry
between players and coach.
Performance indicator of the coach change:
1. Table standing movement
2. Average point per match (min 0 - max 3 )
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2. Changing the manager – Premier league
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3. LaLiga - Spain
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4. Bundesliga – German
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5. Seria A – Italy
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6. Ligue 1 - France
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7. Changing the manager – football analysis
Year considered: 2014/2015 season changes on coach post
Metrics considered:
1. Points per game (PPG) 30 days before manager appointed
2. Points per game (PPG) of first 30 days new coach is in the club
3. Points per game (PPG) of first 60 days new coach is in the club, to underline/ deny
the trend
By comparing the metrics values for each of the league and in total we will generalize
the results and gain knowledge.
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8. Base data – coach changes (www.operabet.com)
Team Manager Appoitment League
QPR Chris Ramsey 2015-02-13 Premier League
Newcastle Utd. John Carver 2015-01-26 Premier League
Sunderland AFC Dick Advocaat 2015-03-17 Premier League
Aston Villa Tim Sherwood 2015-02-16 Premier League
West Brom Tony Pulis 2015-01-01 Premier League
Crystal Palace Alan Pardew 2015-01-03 Premier League
VfB Stuttgart Huub Stevens 2014-11-25 1.Bundesliga
Hannover 96 Michael Frontzeck 2015-04-20 1.Bundesliga
Hamburger SV Bruno Labbadia 2015-04-15 1.Bundesliga
Hertha BSC Pál Dárdai 2015-02-05 1.Bundesliga
1.FSV Mainz 05 Martin Schmidt 2015-02-17 1.Bundesliga
Werder Bremen Viktor Skripnik 2014-10-26 1.Bundesliga
FC Schalke 04 Roberto Di Matteo 2014-10-07 1.Bundesliga
Córdoba CF José Antonio Romero 2015-03-16 La Liga
Dep. La Coruña Víctor Sánchez 2015-04-09 La Liga
UD Almería Sergi Barjuán 2015-04-06 La Liga
Levante UD Lucas Alcaraz 2014-10-22 La Liga
Real Sociedad David Moyes 2014-11-10 La Liga
AC Cesena Domenico Di Carlo 2014-12-08 Serie A
Atalanta Edoardo Reja 2015-03-04 Serie A
Chievo Rolando Maran 2014-10-19 Serie A
Inter Roberto Mancini 2014-11-14 Serie A
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9. Changing the coach – key figures
Before coach change, average PPG was 0.604.
Within the first 30 days of new coach, this figure was more than doubled and achieved
an impressive level: 1.214 (+101%)
Taking the first 60 days of new coach into account did not change the results drastically
(compared to the first 30 days), so after first month trend was rather stabilized: 1.30
(+115%)
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10. WRAP-UP of knowledge gained
• It appears after a new coach comes, it is fine to believe the team IMMEDIATELY 
• Even better is to believe when team is playing at home
• The best strategy for more risk avers bettors is to wait for first 3 matches, how the
coach perform.
• In Spanish La Liga the teams are not doing well playing away from home even after 2
months.
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