Written Response Submission FormYour Name First and last.docx

Written Response Submission Form
Your Name: First and last
Your E-Mail Address: Your e-mail hereInstructions
Write your responses where it reads “Enter your response
here....” Write as much as needed to satisfy the requirements
indicated. Each item contains the Rubric that will be used to
evaluate your responses.
At the end of the template, you will list the references you used
to support your responses.
Item 1
Examine the past 10 years of crime data in the Uniform Crime
Report (UCR) and the National Crime Victimization Survey
(NCVS). Identify three crime trends from the data (2–4
paragraphs).Your Response
Enter your response here.Rubric
013
Failing
1415
Needs Improvement
1620
Meets Expectations
Sub-Competency 1: Analyze crime and victimization data
Identify three trends in crime from the past 10 years of UCR
and NCVS data.
Response is missing.
Response describes fewer than three trends, or the description

of trends contains inaccuracies or is vague.
Response includes a clear explanation of three
crime/victimization trends from the past decade identified from
the UCR and/or NCVS databases.
Item 2
What are the strengths and weaknesses of each data source (the
UCR and NCVS databases)? Consider their accuracy, coverage,
applicability, collection methods, and any other characteristic
you think is important to consider. Explain at least two
strengths and two weaknesses of the databases (2–3
paragraphs).
Your Response
013
Failing
1415
Needs Improvement
1620
Meets Expectations
Sub-Competency 2: Assess strengths and weaknesses of
criminological data sources.
Explain two strengths of the UCR and/or NCVS databases.
Response is vague, lacking detail, or contains inaccuracies.
Response provides an explanation of at least two strengths of
the databases. The explanation demonstrates thorough
consideration of research design, collection techniques,
dissemination strategies, and applicability within the field.
Explain two weaknesses of the UCR and/or NCVS databases.
Response is vague, lacking detail, or contains inaccuracies.

Response provides an explanation of at least two weaknesses of
the databases. The explanation demonstrates thorough
consideration of research design, collection techniques,
dissemination strategies, and applicability within the field.
Item 3
What criminological explanations for your identified crime
trends can be derived from the UCR and/or NCVS databases?
Describe at least two. Then provide an argument for other
factors and variables (biological, social, structural, economic,
etc.) that cause or influence your identified crime trends that
are not present in the UCR/NCVS data. Reference theoretical
and scholarly resources that support your criminological
explanations (3–5 paragraphs).
Your Response
013
Failing
1415
Needs Improvement
1620
Meets Expectations
Sub-Competency 3: Assess correlative and causative
relationships among variables related to crime
What criminological explanations for your identified crime
trends can be derived from the UCR and/or NCVS databases?
Describe at least two.
Response provides fewer than two explanations from the UCR
or NCVS databases, presents explanations not relevant to the
identified trends, is vague, or contains inaccuracies.
Response includes a detailed explanation of at least two

criminological explanations for the identified trends that can be
derived from the UCR or NCVS data. Response reflects a
thorough understanding of the limitations.
Provide an argument for other factors and variables (biological,
social, structural, economic, etc.) that cause or influence your
identified crime trends that are not present in the UCR/NCVS
data. Reference theoretical and scholarly resources that support
your criminological explanations.
Response is vague, inaccurate, or incomplete. Response does
not adequately explain variables that may contribute to or be
risk factors related to the crime trends identified.
The response is not supported by scholarly resources, or the
resources are not relevant.
Response clearly and concisely explains variables that may
contribute to or be risk factors related to the crime trends
identified.
The response is supported by clear and compelling evidence
and/or theoretical perspectives from scholarly resources.
References
Provide a citation for each resource you used to write your
response to this Assessment. A sample citation is provided
below:
Livingston, M. (2011). A longitudinal analysis of alcohol outlet
density and domestic violence. Addiction, 106(5), 919–925.
doi:10.1111/j.1360-0443.2010.03333.x
Professional Skill Building

Information Literacy: Apply strategies to evaluate information
in order to effectively analyze issues and make decisions.
013
Failing
1415
Needs Improvement
1620
Meets Expectations
LO1: Identify and locate credible sources.
No sources or non-credible sources are present.
Sources are inconsistently credible, appropriate, and relevant to
the topic and/or assessment.
Sources are mostly credible, appropriate, and relevant to the
topic and/or assessment.
LO2: Analyze information sources.
Analysis is not present.
Analysis superficially applies aspects of sources that are most
relevant to the topic and/or assessment and/or analysis is
unclear.
Analysis thoroughly and clearly applies aspects of sources that
are most relevant to the topic and/or assessment.
LO3: Synthesize information from multiple, credible sources.
Synthesis is not present.
Synthesis demonstrates a vague connection between multiple
sources and/or the topic.
Synthesis demonstrates a clear and cohesive connection between
multiple sources and/or ideas to support a given topic.
Interpreting Data & Quantitative Fluency:Interpret quantitative
data in order to analyze issues and make decisions.
013
Failing
1415
Needs Improvement

1620
Meets Expectations
LO1: Identify conclusions from numeric information presented
in narrative and/or graphic form.
No conclusions are made based on numeric information.
Connections between conclusions and numeric information are
vague or inaccurate.
Conclusions identified are appropriately connected to the
numeric information.
LO2: Use both narrative and graphic form to explain the same
data.
Graphs and/or narrative is not present.
Supportive connection between narrative and graph is not
clearly explained.
Narrative explanation of quantitative data explains the graph
and the graph illustrates and clarifies the narrative.
LO3: Use quantitative data as evidence for a decision or
recommendation.
Quantitative evidence is not used.
Quantitative evidence does not support or is superfluous to the
recommendation or decision.
Argument for a decision or recommendation incorporates
appropriate quantitative data as evidence.
©2018 Walden University 7
Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) Program
The UCR Program's primary objective is to generate reliable
information for use in law enforcement administration,
operation, and management; over the years, however, the data
have become one of the country’s leading social indicators. The
program has been the starting place for law enforcement
executives, students of criminal justice, researchers, members
of the media, and the public at large seeking information on

crime in the nation. The program was conceived in 1929 by the
International Association of Chiefs of Police to meet the need
for reliable uniform crime statistics for the nation. In 1930, the
FBI was tasked with collecting, publishing, and archiving those
statistics.
Today, four annual publications are produced from data
received from more than 18,000 city, university and college,
county, state, tribal, and federal law enforcement agencies
voluntarily participating in the program. The crime data are
submitted either through a state UCR program or directly to the
FBI's UCR Program.
The UCR Program consists of four data collections: The
National Incident-Based Reporting System (NIBRS), the
Summary Reporting System (SRS), the Law Enforcement
Officers Killed and Assaulted (LEOKA) Program, and the Hate
Crime Statistics Program. The UCR Program publishes annual
reports for each of these data collections and a preliminary
semiannual report of summary data each winter, as well as
special compilations such as Cargo Theft Report, Human
Trafficking, and NIBRS topical studies. In addition to the four
major data collections, the UCR Program will manage the new
National Use-of-Force Data Collection. And the FBI's
interactive Crime Data Explorer tool serves as the digital front
door for UCR data, enabling law enforcement and the general
public to more easily use and understand the massive amounts
of UCR data currently collected.
Data Collection: National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS)
Status: Active
Frequency: Ongoing from 1973
Latest data available: 2017
The Bureau of Justice Statistics' (BJS) National Crime

Victimization Survey (NCVS) is the nation's primary source of
information on criminal victimization. Each year, data are
obtained from a nationally representative sample of about
240,000 interviews on criminal victimization, involving 160,000
unique persons in about 95,000 households. Persons are
interviewed on the frequency, characteristics, and consequences
of criminal victimization in the United States. The NCVS
collects information on nonfatal personal crimes (i.e., rape or
sexual assault, robbery, aggravated and simple assault, and
personal larceny) and household property crimes (i.e., burglary,
motor vehicle theft, and other theft) both reported and not
reported to police. Survey respondents provide information
about themselves (e.g., age, sex, race and Hispanic origin,
marital status, education level, and income) and whether they
experienced a victimization. For each victimization incident, the
NCVS collects information about the offender (e.g., age, race
and Hispanic origin, sex, and victim-offender relationship),
characteristics of the crime (e.g., time and place of occurrence,
use of weapons, nature of injury, and economic consequences),
whether the crime was reported to police, reasons the crime was
or was not reported, and victim experiences with the criminal
justice system.
Methodology
Methodology
Survey coverage
The National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS) is an annual
data collection conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau for the
Bureau of Justice Statistics (BJS). Each year, data are obtained
from a nationally representative sample of about 240,000
interviews on criminal victimization, involving 160,000 unique
persons in about 95, 000 households. Persons are interviewed
on the frequency, characteristics, and consequences of criminal
victimization in the United States. The NCVS collects
information on nonfatal personal crimes (i.e., rape or sexual
assault, robbery, aggravated and simple assault, and personal
larceny) and household property crimes (i.e., burglary, motor

vehicle theft, and other theft) both reported and not reported to
police. In addition to providing annual level and change
estimates on criminal victimization, the NCVS is the primary
source of information on the nature of criminal victimization
incidents.
Survey respondents provide information about themselves (e.g.,
age, sex, race and Hispanic origin, marital status, education
level, and income) and whether they experienced a
victimization. The NCVS collects information for each
victimization incident about the offender (e.g., age, race and
Hispanic origin, sex, and victim-offender relationship),
characteristics of the crime (e.g., time and place of occurrence,
use of weapons, nature of injury, and economic consequences),
whether the crime was reported to police, reasons the crime was
or was not reported, and victim experiences with the criminal
justice system.
The NCVS is administered to persons age 12 or older from a
nationally representative sample of households in the United
States. The NCVS defines a household as a group of persons
who all reside at a sampled address. Persons are considered
household members when the sampled address is their usual
place of residence at the time of the interview and when they
have no usual place of residence elsewhere. Once selected,
households remain in the sample for 3½ years, and eligible
persons in these households are interviewed every 6 months,
either in person or over the phone, for a total of seven
interviews.
First interviews are typically conducted in person with
subsequent interviews conducted either in person or by phone.
New households rotate into the sample on an ongoing basis to
replace outgoing households that have been in the sample for
the 3½-year period. The sample includes persons living in group
quarters (e.g., dormitories, rooming houses, and religious group
dwellings) and excludes persons living on military bases and in
institutional settings (e.g., correctional or hospital facilities)
and persons who are homeless.

Nonresponse and weighting adjustments
The 2017 NCVS data file includes 145,508 household
interviews. Overall, 76% of eligible households completed an
interview. Within participating households, there were 239,541
personal interviews in 2017, representing an 84% response rate
among eligible persons from responding households.
Victimizations that occurred outside of the United States were
excluded from this report. In 2017, less than 1% of the
unweighted victimizations occurred outside of the United
States.
Estimates in NCVS reports generally use data from the 1993 to
2017 NCVS data files, weighted to produce annual estimates of
victimization for persons age 12 or older living in U.S.
households. Because the NCVS relies on a sample rather than a
census of the entire U.S. population, weights are designed to
adjust to known population totals and to compensate for survey
nonresponse and other aspects of the sample design.
NCVS data files include person, household, victimization, and
incident weights. Person weights provide an estimate of the
population represented by each person in the sample. Household
weights provide an estimate of the U.S. household population
represented by each household in the sample. After proper
adjustment, both household and person weights are also
typically used to form the denominator in calculations of crime
rates. For personal crimes, the incident weight is derived by
dividing the person weight of a victim by the total number of
persons victimized during an incident as reported by the
respondent. For property crimes, the incident weight and the
household weight are the same, because the victim of a property
crime is considered to be the household as a whole. The
incident weight is most frequently used to calculate estimates of
the number of crimes committed against a particular class of
victim.
Victimization weights used in these analyses account for the
number of persons victimized during an incident and for high-

frequency repeat victimizations (i.e., series victimizations).
Series victimizations are similar in type but occur with such
frequency that a victim is unable to recall each individual event
or describe each event in detail. Survey procedures allow NCVS
interviewers to identify and classify these similar victimizations
as series victimizations and to collect detailed information on
only the most recent incident in the series.
The weighting counts series victimizations as the actual number
of victimizations reported by the victim, up to a maximum of
10. Doing so produces more reliable estimates of crime levels
than only counting such victimizations once, while the cap at 10
minimizes the effect of extreme outliers on rates. According to
the 2017 data, series incidents accounted for 1.3% of all
victimizations and 3.0% of all violent victimizations. Additional
information on the enumeration of series victimizations is
detailed in the report Methods for Counting High-Frequency
Repeat Victimizations in the National Crime Victimization
Survey (NCJ 237308, BJS web, April 2012).
Standard error computations
When national estimates are derived from a sample, as with the
NCVS, caution must be used when comparing one estimate to
another or when comparing estimates over time. Although one
estimate may be larger than another, estimates based on a
sample have some degree of sampling error. The sampling error
of an estimate depends on several factors, including the amount
of variation in the responses and the size of the sample. When
the sampling error around an estimate is taken into account,
estimates that appear different may not be statistically different.
One measure of the sampling error associated with an estimate
is the standard error. The standard error may vary from one
estimate to the next. Generally, an estimate with a small
standard error provides a more reliable approximation of the
true value than an estimate with a large standard error.
Estimates with relatively larger standard errors are associated
with less precision and reliability and should be interpreted
with caution.

Generalized variance function (GVF) parameters and direct
variance estimation methods were used to generate standard
errors for each point estimate (e.g., counts, percentages, and
rates) in this report. To generate standard errors around
victimization and incidence estimates from the NCVS, the U.S.
Census Bureau produces GVF parameters for BJS. To generate
standard errors around prevalence estimates, BJS used direct
variance estimation methods. The GVFs and direct variance
estimation methods take into account aspects of the NCVS
complex sample design and represent the curve fitted to a
selection of individual standard errors based on the Balanced
Repeated Replication (BRR) technique.
BJS conducted statistical tests to determine whether differences
in estimated numbers, percentages, and rates in these reports
were statistically significant once sampling error was taken into
account. Using statistical analysis programs developed
specifically for the NCVS, all comparisons in the text were
tested for significance. The primary test procedure was the
Student's t-statistic, which tests the difference between two
sample estimates. Unless otherwise noted, the findings
described in these reports as higher, lower, or different passed a
test at the 0.05 level of statistical significance (95% confidence
level) or at the 0.10 level of significance (90% confidence
level). Readers should reference figures and tables in these
reports for testing on specific findings. Caution is required
when comparing estimates not explicitly discussed in these
reports.
Readers may use the estimates and standard errors of the
estimates provided in these reports to generate a confidence
interval around the estimate as a measure of the margin of error.
The following example illustrates how standard errors may be
used to generate confidence intervals:
Based on the 2017 NCVS, the violent victimization rate among
persons age 12 or older in 2017 was 20.6 victimizations per
1,000 persons. Using the GVFs, BJS determined that the
estimated victimization rate has a standard error of 1.03. A

confidence interval around the estimate is generated by
multiplying the standard error by ± 1.96 (the t-score of a
normal, two-tailed distribution that excludes 2.5% at either end
of the distribution). Therefore, the 95% confidence interval
around the 20.6 estimate from 2017 is 20.6 ± (1.03 x 1.96) or
(18.59 to 22.61). In other words, if BJS used the same sampling
method to select different samples and computed an interval
estimate for each sample, it would expect the true population
parameter (rate of violent victimization) to fall within the
interval estimates 95% of the time.
For these reports, BJS also calculated a coefficient of variation
(CV) for all estimates, representing the ratio of the standard
error to the estimate. CVs provide another measure of reliability
and a means for comparing the precision of estimates across
measures with differing levels or metrics.
The 2017 NCVS weights include a new adjustment to control
household weights to independent housing unit totals available
internally within the Census Bureau. This new adjustment was
applied only to household weights for housing units and does
not affect person weights. Historically, the household weights
were controlled to independent totals of the person population.
This new weighting adjustment improves upon the historical one
and better aligns the number of estimated households in the
NCVS with other Census household survey estimates.
Because of this new adjustment, the 2017 NCVS household
estimate is about 8% lower than the 2016 NCVS household
estimate. As a result, the property crime estimate, or the number
of households affected by property crime, is also about 8%
lower. When making comparisons of property crime changes
between 2016 and 2017, data users should compare
victimization rates between the two years that are unaffected by
this change in weighting adjustment. Comparisons of the
number of property crime victimizations between 2016 and 2017
are not appropriate due to the change in weighting methodology.
For more information on weighting in the NCVS, see Non-

response and weighting adjustments section and National Crime
Victimization Survey, 2016 Technical Documentation (NCJ
251442, BJS web, December 2017).
Methodological changes to the NCVS in 2006
Methodological changes implemented in 2006, including the
decennial sample redesign that also occurred in 2016, may have
affected the crime estimates for that year to such an extent that
they are not comparable to estimates from other years.
Evaluation of 2007 through 2015 data from the NCVS
conducted by BJS and the Census Bureau found a high degree of
confidence that estimates for 2007 through 2015 are consistent
with and comparable to estimates for 2005 and previous years.
· Criminal Victimization, 2006 (NCJ 219413, December 2007)
· Criminal Victimization, 2007 (NCJ 224390, December 2008)
· Criminal Victimization, 2008 (NCJ 227777, September 2009)
· Criminal Victimization, 2009 (NCJ 231327, October 2010)
· Criminal Victimization, 2014 (NCJ 248973, August 2015)
· Criminal Victimization, 2016: Revised (NCJ 252121, BJS
web, October 2018).
· Criminal Victimization, 2017 (NCJ 252472, December 2018).
NCVS revised 2016 estimates
To permit cross-year comparisons that were inhibited by the
2016 sample redesign, BJS created a revised data file. Estimates
for 2016 are based on the revised file and replace previously
published estimates. For more information, see Criminal
Victimization, 2016: Revised (NCJ 252121, BJS web, October
2018).

Written Response Submission FormYour Name First and last.docx

Written Response Submission FormYour Name First and last.docx

Recommended

Recommended

More Related Content

Similar to Written Response Submission FormYour Name First and last.docx

Similar to Written Response Submission FormYour Name First and last.docx (10)

More from odiliagilby

More from odiliagilby (20)

Recently uploaded

Recently uploaded (20)

Written Response Submission FormYour Name First and last.docx