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Planning beyond 2020 - Russell Investments
1. MARCH 2018
Planning
beyond 2020
Netwealth
Timothy Noonan, Managing Director, Strategic Business Initiatives
THIS MATERIAL IS FOR FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY AND NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION TO CURRENT OR POTENTIAL INVESTORS.
2.
3. Value maximisation across the adviser lifecycle
FAKE
IT
MAKE
IT
TAKE
IT
Internal Sale
[7–10 years]
(succession
planning and EV)
External Sale
[0–2 years]
(maximize EV)
Strategic
Acquisitio
n
(EV drivers
and risks)
No Strategy
(no planning)
Adviser Lifecycle
Value Maximisation Strategies Transition Strategies
S
S B
FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY
Value
For illustrative purposes only.
5. Demographics
Source: World Bank World Databank, databank.worldbank.org, pulled Sept. 19, 2016. Retirees is defined as the Population, age 65 and above, as of 2014 estimates. Workers is defined as the Total Labor Force as of 2013 estimates. Total Labor Force
is defined as residents age 15 and above who are economically active, according to definition by International Labour Organization.
FOR FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY
6. Progressive, not Prosecutorial
Fall-out from RDR: potential parallels
for U.S. advisers
1. Fewer left
2. Younger, more planning-oriented
3. More team-oriented and networked
4. The “advice gap” is a myth
How might the U.S. experience diverge
from the U.K. RDR aftermath?
1. More litigation and private right of action
2. Greater pressure to reduce fees
3. Product consolidation
Strategic implications:
Advisers urgently need help
operationalising new working models that
ascend to the standard of fiduciary best
practice
8. Source: BNY Mellon Analytical Services, Investment Company Institute, Russell Investments. Based on annualised returns from January 1, 1984 to December 31, 2017. Return
was calculated by deriving the internal rate of return (IRR) based on ICI monthly mutual fund net new cash flow data which was compared to the rate of return if invested in the
Russell 3000 Index and held without alteration from January 1, 1984 to December 31, 2017. Indexes and/or benchmarks are unmanaged and cannot be invested in directly.
Returns represent past performance, are not a guarantee of future performance, and are not indicative of any specific investment
*Average US equity investor is based on general cash-flow trends as measured by the ICI compared to the market's overall performance.US mutual fund data was used as
robust global or Australian historical data is not currently available.
FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY
Recent proof of a “buy high and sell low” mentality
INVESTMENT PATTERNS AT THE WRONG TIMES
Sep-17
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
$140
$160
$180
$200
$220
-$80
-$60
-$40
-$20
$0
$20
$40
$60
Dec-07
Mar-09
Jun-10
Sep-11
Dec-12
Mar-14
Jun-15
Sep-16
Dec-17
GROWTHOF$100
NETINFLOW($USBILLIONS)
Monthly US
mutual fund
cash flows*
Russell 3000®
Index (Growth of
$100)
9. (1) BNY Mellon Analytical Services, Russell 3000® Index annualised return from January 1, 1984 to December 31, 2017.
(2) Russell Investments & Investment Company Institute (ICI). Return was calculated by deriving the internal rate of return (IRR) based on ICI monthly fund flow data which was
compared to the rate of return if invested in the Russell 3000® Index and held without alteration from January 1, 1984 to December 31, 2017. This seeks to illustrate how regularly
increasing or decreasing equity exposure based on the current market trends can sacrifice even market like returns.
Indexes and/or benchmarks are unmanaged and cannot be invested in directly. Returns represent past performance, are not a guarantee of future performance, and are not
indicative of any specific investment.
The high cost of investor behaviour
1984-2017
FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY
The above chart is for illustrative purposes only.
12. ANNUAL GROSS REVENUE
2,000 hours
$800,000
= $400/hour
What is your time worth?
FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY
The information contained in this slide is an example and figures shown are for illustrative purposes only
13. Top
20%
320
CLIENTS
$560k
64
$800k
REVENUE
$560,000
64 clients
$8,750 rev/HH
$8,750 rev/HH
$400/hour
~22 hours
A typical example
70%
These numbers represent a real book of business consisting of 320 clients and $800,000 of revenue. This example was selected since the allocation of revenue across the
client base is representative of a significant number of clients that Russell Investments has worked with in the context of RPM Advisor Coaching. Your numbers may differ
from these. This information may not be representative of the experience of other clients and is no guarantee of future performance or success.
FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY
The information contained in this slide is an example and figures shown are for illustrative purposes only
14. What advisors think their inventory looks like
The averages above are from the 2014-2017 participants of the Russell Investments Disciplined Investing Program and used for illustrative purposes only.
30
MUTUAL
FUNDS
150
UNIQUE
INVESTMENT
PRODUCTS
$
$
$
$
50
STOCKS
$
$
$
$
15. What it ACTUALLY looks like
The averages above are from the 2014-2017 participants of the Russell Investments Disciplined Investing Program and used for illustrative purposes only.
167
MUTUAL
FUNDS
520
UNIQUE
INVESTMENT
PRODUCTS
$
$
$
$
321
STOCKS
$
$
$
$
17. FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY
A typical book of business
CLIENTREVENUE
HIGHLOW
HIGHLOW
TOO
LITTLE
TOO MUCH
EFFORT TO SERVE
18. FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY
Which side is problematic?
CLIENTREVENUE
HIGHLOW
HIGHLOW
EFFORT TO SERVE
› Unprofitable
› Over-served
› Under-charged
› Financed by others
› Profitable
› Over-charged
› Under-served
› Financing others
› At Risk!
19. FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY
The art of segmentation
REVENUE
HIGHLOW
HIGHLOW
EFFORT TO SERVE
$5,000
$1,000
Create client advocates
Deliver a highly personalised,
goal-oriented wealth management
experience that includes
customised models.
Efficiency and leverage
Delivered via planning and investment outsourcing
combined with a proactive One-to-Many service model.
Move-up or out
Establish a minimum and work to move clients up or out.
A
B
C
These revenue amounts are used for illustrative purposes only. Your experience may differ.
20. Before Global Financial Crisis After Global Financial Crisis
SOURCE: CEG Worldwide, 2001 and 2012 surveys of financial advisors.
13.8%
86.2% 89.5%
10.5%
YES
NO
Spending time on client relationships &
Making that time generate more valued outcomes
NO
YES
21. Fintech: Disruption, Lite or Full Calibre?
21
According to CNBC 86% of millennials have less than $100,000
Making an imperfect process more
efficient does not constitute evolution
22. A better discovery conversation
FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY
Source: SLCT—A process for initiating critical reflection, by Jeff Belkora, PhD. Jeffbelkora.com
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
TALKTIME
EXCHANGE
› Advisor (Orange, 27%) & Client (Blue, 73%) talk time per exchange
› Advisor asked questions in 63% of exchanges, Client responded with 4,286 words
23. Even if we know what we want, often our advisors don’t
FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
TALKTIME
EXCHANGE
› Advisor (Orange, 54%) & Client (Blue, 46%) talk time per exchange
› Advisor asked questions in 26% of exchanges, Client responded with 1,213 words
Source: SLCT—A process for initiating critical reflection, by Jeff Belkora, PhD. www.slctprocess.org
24. Study intervention: SLCT training
FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY
Source: SLCT—A process for initiating critical reflection, by Jeff Belkora, PhD. Jeffbelkora.com
Scribe
Ladder
Check
Triage
25. FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY
QUARTERLY ROADMAP FOR SAMPLE CLIENT
Source: Sample US Bancorp Roadmap
January – March, 2018
Scheduled Activities
Data Gathering
Financial Goals
Risk Tolerance
Long-range Plan
ED: Diversification
April – June, 2018
Scheduled Activities
1. Goals Review
2. Road Map Review
3. Investment Implementation
4. Life Insurance
5. Estate Plans Updated
6. ED: Capital Markets
July – September, 2018
Scheduled Activities
Goals Review
Road Map Review
Investment Review
Insurance Implementation
Estate Plans Completed
ED: Long-term View of the
Market
October – December, 2018
Scheduled Activities
Review Existing Plans
Road Map Review
Investment Review
Will and Trust Planning
Client Satisfaction Review
ED: Legacy Planning
January – March, 2019
Scheduled Activities
Goals and Situations Review
Roadmap Review
Investment Review
Education Planning
Legacy Planning
ED: U.S. Equities
April – June, 2019
Scheduled Activities
Goals and Situations Review
Roadmap Review
Investment Review
Disability Insurance
ED: Fixed Income
July – September, 2019
Scheduled Activities
Goals and Situations Review
Roadmap Review
Investment Review
Long Term Care Insurance
ED: International Investing
October – December, 2019
Scheduled Activities
Goals and Situations Review
Roadmap Review
Investment Review
Tax Strategy Review
ED: Legacy Planning
27. ENTERPRISE VALUE (EV) =
Present value of future profits
27 FOR FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY
28. Definitions for the terms in the EV model:
P = profit in year 0
g = short term growth rate
n = year
DR = discount rate (profit sustainability factor)
G = long-term growth rate (terminal growth)
Present value of
terminal profits
Present value of the next 5
years profits
Current
Profitability
Sustainability
of Profits
Growth
FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY
Measure enterprise value
29. Fee efficiency
True profit
Manage both top
and bottom line
Recurring revenue +
client turnover
Client service model
Balancing revenue and
client service
Key man risk
Institutionalisation of
workflow
Process, continuity &
succession planning
Client acquisition
Gather new assets
Growth potential
of existing book
Household age
demographic
Current
Profitability
Sustainability
of Profits
Growth
FINANCIAL PROFESSIONAL USE ONLY
8 critical business metrics
For evaluating and maximising enterprise value
30. Use change to your advantage
Source: http://fieldservicenews.com/roadmap-becoming-trusted-advisor/