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# Adaptive Change Cycle Applied to Agile Methods

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Why do we see new process/methodology/movement every 10 years or so? Here I explain the rationale behind this behavior using the concept of Adaptive Change Cycle.

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### Adaptive Change Cycle Applied to Agile Methods

1. 1. Adaptive Change Cycle Why Nothing Lasts Forever! Naresh Jain naresh@agilefaqs.com twitter: @nashjain http://nareshjain.com
2. 2. Which  line  is  the  longest? 1 2 3 Müller-Lyer optical illusion
3. 3. Which  Orange  Circle  is  bigger? Ebbinghaus optical illusion
4. 4. Count the number of times the team in white t-shirt pass the ball
5. 5. Video on Selective Attention http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vJG698U2Mvo
6. 6. Selec4ve  A7en4on The  process  by  which  a  person  can  selec4vely  pick   out  one  s4mulus  from  a  mixture  of  s4muli  occurring   simultaneously.
7. 7. Commercial Break!
9. 9. Mumbai
10. 10. Tech Talks!
11. 11. Pet  Plant  Research  @  an  elderly  Nursing  Home
12. 12. Student  Volunteers  @  Nursing  Home
13. 13. Why?
14. 14. What  would  you  prefer? A  lo7ery  4cket  with  a  random  number     or  a  number  you’ve  picked?
15. 15. What  would  you  prefer? In  the  Casino,  if  you  toss  the  dice     or  someone  else  tosses  the  dice? Do you think it will make any difference?
16. 16. Illusion  of  Control Our  desire  to  control  is  so  powerful  that  the  feeling   of  being  in  control  is  so  rewarding  that  people  oLen   act  as  though  they  can  control  the  uncontrollable.
17. 17. Electrical  Shock  Research High  Volts  Shock  Group  vs.  Low  Volts  Shock  Group    5  shocks  of  5  volts  each  vs.  3  shocks  of  2-­‐4  volts  each   Which Group would have sweated more, whose heart beats would be faster and who claimed to be more afraid? Every  10  seconds  vs.  Random  4me  interval
18. 18. Uncertainty Why? Our desire to Control
19. 19. How  do  we  deal  with  Uncertainty?
21. 21. How to Organize a Children's Party? A video by Dave Snowden http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Miwb92eZaJg
22. 22. Summary  -­‐  Cyneﬁn  Model
23. 23. Why is there only ONE Toyota or Apple today?
24. 24. Products & Processes are like haircuts Copying someone else’s rarely works
25. 25. Retrospec4ve  Coherence Hindsight does not lead to foresight!
26. 26. Will Apple or Toyota’s success last for ever? Why not?