Presentation given by Dr Sam Watson and Dr Yen-Fu Chen at the latest CLAHRC WM Programme Steering Committee meeting on 15th April 2015, at the University of Warwick.

1. Modelling and Estimation
23/04/2015

2. Methods

3. Bayesian Causal Networks

4. Example: Computerised Physician
Order Entry

5. Example: Computerised Physician
Order Entry

8. Nuckols et al.

12. Example: Weekend Consultants

13. Expert Elicitation
• What happens when there are no data?
• Can use expert elicitation.
Figure: Example group subjective prior,
from Yao et al. (2012) BMJ Qual Saf. See
also Lilford et al. (2014) BMC Health Serv
Res.

14. Conclusions