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Where’s WALY?
Aileen Clarke and Sian Taylor-Phillips
Prevention and Detection
Theme 3 – CLAHRC West Midlands
Division of Health Sciences
Warwick Medical School
The research was funded by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR)
Collaboration for Leadership in Applied Health Research and Care (CLAHRC) West Midlands.
“Where’s WALY” team
Jason Madan
Rebecca Johnson
David Jenkinson
Sian Taylor-Phillips
Wendy Robertson
Hendramoorthy Maheswaran
Stavros Petrou
Sarah Stewart-Brown
Aileen Clarke
Advisory group: Paul Dolan (LSE), Ewen Mackinnon (Well-being and
Civil Society Policy Team, Cabinet Office), Paul Litchfield (Chair, What
Works - Centre for Wellbeing)
Well-being as a cross-sectoral measure
of benefit.
Instruments such as the EQ-5D allow policy-makers to
prioritise health spending based on public values.
The use of EQ-5D – derived QALYs to maximise the benefits
from health spending is well established in health
technology assessment
Many public sector interventions improve lives in ways that
are not adequately captured by EQ-5D
Well-being is a concept that captures many of the ways in
which public sector spending benefits populations (health,
safety, social connections, etc.)
The Warwick-Edinburgh Mental Wellbeing Scale
(WEMWBS) has been widely used to measure well-being.
The problem
There are outcomes and effects of interventions other
than on health
Decisions may impact on other sectors: wider social
benefits/effects
– social networks, relations, friends, family income
– public health, social care, transport, leisure, agriculture
Even in health care, EQ-5D has been questioned. May not
capture all the aspects of quality of life that matter……
So….
Where’s WALY – development of a
preference based well-being measure
Research is planned to develop a preference-based tariff
for the WEMWBS.
This will allow calculation of WALYs for economic
evaluations.
The tariff will be based on responses from a large
representative UK sample.
Follow-on research questions include:
– How do values vary across populations (e.g. service users, general
population)?
– What types of intervention give benefits that should be measured
in terms of WALYs?
Study design for estimating the
WALY tariff
Tariff will be based on the short form - sWEMWBS to
reduce the number of states (78125 vs 6.1 billion)
Subset selected for valuation (balanced on overall
severity and mix of severity across dimensions).
Hybrid TTO – DCS method will be used for preference
elicitation
Use professional survey organisation to ensure
representative sample.
Minimum of 25 participants per health state (so 200
health states would imply sample size of 5000+)
Pilot work:
– To investigate relationship between EQ-5D and
WEMWBS: capturing differences and capturing
change:
• In Coventry Household Survey and Health Survey
for England – overall
• in subsets (general health, healthy behaviours,
economic prosperity, community, satisfaction with
neighbourhood)
• In 2 datasets where change has occurred
Data
Data from Coventry Household Survey
(CHS)
Year 2011 2012 2013 Total
Cases 3144 2117 2208 7469
No individual has taken part in more than one
year
Demographics
AGE Frequency Percentage GENDER Frequency Percentage
16-24 1221 16.3 Male 3628 48.6
25-34 1339 17.9 Female 3839 51.4
35-44 1160 15.5 NA 2 0.0
45-54 997 13.3 IMD
55-64 971 13.0 1st Quintile 2289 30.6
65-74 733 9.8 2nd Quintile 1822 24.4
75+ 511 6.8 3rd Quintile 1315 17.6
NA 537 7.2 4th Quintile 1234 16.5
5th Quintile 809 10.8
WEMWBS and EQ-5D
Warwick Edinburgh Mental Well-being
Scale - WEMWBS
– 14 items, 5 point scale for each item
– Sum scores across the 14 items; total - 14-70
EQ-5D: total score: 0-1
– five dimensions, scored between 1-3 and a VAS
– mobility,
– self-care,
– usual activities,
– pain or discomfort and
– anxiety or depression
Scores in Coventry’s general population
118 183
60
198
923
399
5552
EQ-5D
(-0.6,0] (0,0.2] (0.2,0.4] (0.4,0.6]
(0.6,0.8] (0.8,1) 1
13
64 152
726
1565
2643
1423
757
WEMWBS
(14,21] (21,28] (28,35] (35,42]
(42,49] (49,56] (56,63] (63,70]
Joint Distribution - Table
EQ-5D (-0.6,0] (0,0.2] (0.2,0.4] (0.4,0.6] (0.6,0.8] (0.8,1) 1 Total
WEMWBS
(14,21] 1 0 1 3 2 0 5 12
(21,28] 13 9 5 5 11 7 13 63
(28,35] 17 21 6 11 36 19 41 151
(35,42] 29 48 15 54 117 71 385 719
(42,49] 29 43 14 60 268 115 1032 1561
(49,56] 16 38 9 41 303 108 2119 2634
(56,63] 9 17 5 11 136 49 1193 1420
(63,70] 0 4 4 9 39 23 677 756
Total 114 180 59 194 912 392 5465 7316
Only includes cases where both scores were available
Joint Distribution - Scatterplot
Mapping
Linear Model.
– EQ-5D as the response (dependent) variable
– WEMWBS as the covariate (independent variable)
Term Coefficient 95% CI p-value
Constant 0.468 0.438 0.498 <0.001
WEMWBS 0.008 0.008 0.009 <0.001
ANOVA Sum of Squares df Mean Square F Significance
Regression 38.86 1 38.862 846.84 <0.001
Residual 336.33 7329 0.046
Total 375.19 7330 R2 0.104
Capturing Differences on CHS
General health
– Single scale rating
Healthy Behaviours
– 5 or more fruit & veg/day and
– 3 or more exercise/weeks and
– Never smoked
Economic prosperity
– Own home and
– Degree level qualification and
– F/T employment
Community
– Feels very safe during day and at night and
– Very satisfied with neighbourhood as a place to live
General health
General health
Healthy Behaviours
Economic prosperity
Community
Conclusions
WEMWBS explains little of the variation of EQ-5D.
In one between-subjects dataset we found
– WEMWBS may be better than EQ5D at detecting very good self
rated health, because EQ5D has ceiling effects
– WEMWBS was superior in measuring differences in healthy
behaviours and community satisfaction between subjects
Next steps i) to determine whether WEMWBS is superior
in detecting differences within subjects before and after
a range of community, economic and health related
interventions ii) to develop the tariff
What does this mean…
Individuals can be in ‘good’ health but
wellbeing can be low.
Interventions can improve wellbeing
WALYs are needed to prioritise public
sector spending on such interventions.
Summary statistics
EQ-5D Frequency Percentage WEMWBS Frequency Percentage
(-0.6,0] 118 2% (14,21] 13 0%
(0,0.2] 183 2% (21,28] 64 1%
(0.2,0.4] 60 1% (28,35] 152 2%
(0.4,0.6] 198 3% (35,42] 726 10%
(0.6,0.8] 923 12% (42,49] 1565 21%
(0.8,1) 399 5% (49,56] 2643 36%
1 5552 75% (56,63] 1423 19%
(63,70] 757 10%
NA 36 NA 111
Total 7469 7469

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Where's WALY - Aileen Clarke and Sian Taylor-Phillips

  • 1. Where’s WALY? Aileen Clarke and Sian Taylor-Phillips
  • 2. Prevention and Detection Theme 3 – CLAHRC West Midlands Division of Health Sciences Warwick Medical School The research was funded by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Collaboration for Leadership in Applied Health Research and Care (CLAHRC) West Midlands.
  • 3. “Where’s WALY” team Jason Madan Rebecca Johnson David Jenkinson Sian Taylor-Phillips Wendy Robertson Hendramoorthy Maheswaran Stavros Petrou Sarah Stewart-Brown Aileen Clarke Advisory group: Paul Dolan (LSE), Ewen Mackinnon (Well-being and Civil Society Policy Team, Cabinet Office), Paul Litchfield (Chair, What Works - Centre for Wellbeing)
  • 4. Well-being as a cross-sectoral measure of benefit. Instruments such as the EQ-5D allow policy-makers to prioritise health spending based on public values. The use of EQ-5D – derived QALYs to maximise the benefits from health spending is well established in health technology assessment Many public sector interventions improve lives in ways that are not adequately captured by EQ-5D Well-being is a concept that captures many of the ways in which public sector spending benefits populations (health, safety, social connections, etc.) The Warwick-Edinburgh Mental Wellbeing Scale (WEMWBS) has been widely used to measure well-being.
  • 5. The problem There are outcomes and effects of interventions other than on health Decisions may impact on other sectors: wider social benefits/effects – social networks, relations, friends, family income – public health, social care, transport, leisure, agriculture Even in health care, EQ-5D has been questioned. May not capture all the aspects of quality of life that matter…… So….
  • 6. Where’s WALY – development of a preference based well-being measure Research is planned to develop a preference-based tariff for the WEMWBS. This will allow calculation of WALYs for economic evaluations. The tariff will be based on responses from a large representative UK sample. Follow-on research questions include: – How do values vary across populations (e.g. service users, general population)? – What types of intervention give benefits that should be measured in terms of WALYs?
  • 7. Study design for estimating the WALY tariff Tariff will be based on the short form - sWEMWBS to reduce the number of states (78125 vs 6.1 billion) Subset selected for valuation (balanced on overall severity and mix of severity across dimensions). Hybrid TTO – DCS method will be used for preference elicitation Use professional survey organisation to ensure representative sample. Minimum of 25 participants per health state (so 200 health states would imply sample size of 5000+)
  • 8. Pilot work: – To investigate relationship between EQ-5D and WEMWBS: capturing differences and capturing change: • In Coventry Household Survey and Health Survey for England – overall • in subsets (general health, healthy behaviours, economic prosperity, community, satisfaction with neighbourhood) • In 2 datasets where change has occurred
  • 9. Data Data from Coventry Household Survey (CHS) Year 2011 2012 2013 Total Cases 3144 2117 2208 7469 No individual has taken part in more than one year
  • 10. Demographics AGE Frequency Percentage GENDER Frequency Percentage 16-24 1221 16.3 Male 3628 48.6 25-34 1339 17.9 Female 3839 51.4 35-44 1160 15.5 NA 2 0.0 45-54 997 13.3 IMD 55-64 971 13.0 1st Quintile 2289 30.6 65-74 733 9.8 2nd Quintile 1822 24.4 75+ 511 6.8 3rd Quintile 1315 17.6 NA 537 7.2 4th Quintile 1234 16.5 5th Quintile 809 10.8
  • 11. WEMWBS and EQ-5D Warwick Edinburgh Mental Well-being Scale - WEMWBS – 14 items, 5 point scale for each item – Sum scores across the 14 items; total - 14-70 EQ-5D: total score: 0-1 – five dimensions, scored between 1-3 and a VAS – mobility, – self-care, – usual activities, – pain or discomfort and – anxiety or depression
  • 12. Scores in Coventry’s general population 118 183 60 198 923 399 5552 EQ-5D (-0.6,0] (0,0.2] (0.2,0.4] (0.4,0.6] (0.6,0.8] (0.8,1) 1 13 64 152 726 1565 2643 1423 757 WEMWBS (14,21] (21,28] (28,35] (35,42] (42,49] (49,56] (56,63] (63,70]
  • 13. Joint Distribution - Table EQ-5D (-0.6,0] (0,0.2] (0.2,0.4] (0.4,0.6] (0.6,0.8] (0.8,1) 1 Total WEMWBS (14,21] 1 0 1 3 2 0 5 12 (21,28] 13 9 5 5 11 7 13 63 (28,35] 17 21 6 11 36 19 41 151 (35,42] 29 48 15 54 117 71 385 719 (42,49] 29 43 14 60 268 115 1032 1561 (49,56] 16 38 9 41 303 108 2119 2634 (56,63] 9 17 5 11 136 49 1193 1420 (63,70] 0 4 4 9 39 23 677 756 Total 114 180 59 194 912 392 5465 7316 Only includes cases where both scores were available
  • 14. Joint Distribution - Scatterplot
  • 15.
  • 16. Mapping Linear Model. – EQ-5D as the response (dependent) variable – WEMWBS as the covariate (independent variable) Term Coefficient 95% CI p-value Constant 0.468 0.438 0.498 <0.001 WEMWBS 0.008 0.008 0.009 <0.001 ANOVA Sum of Squares df Mean Square F Significance Regression 38.86 1 38.862 846.84 <0.001 Residual 336.33 7329 0.046 Total 375.19 7330 R2 0.104
  • 17. Capturing Differences on CHS General health – Single scale rating Healthy Behaviours – 5 or more fruit & veg/day and – 3 or more exercise/weeks and – Never smoked Economic prosperity – Own home and – Degree level qualification and – F/T employment Community – Feels very safe during day and at night and – Very satisfied with neighbourhood as a place to live
  • 23. Conclusions WEMWBS explains little of the variation of EQ-5D. In one between-subjects dataset we found – WEMWBS may be better than EQ5D at detecting very good self rated health, because EQ5D has ceiling effects – WEMWBS was superior in measuring differences in healthy behaviours and community satisfaction between subjects Next steps i) to determine whether WEMWBS is superior in detecting differences within subjects before and after a range of community, economic and health related interventions ii) to develop the tariff
  • 24. What does this mean… Individuals can be in ‘good’ health but wellbeing can be low. Interventions can improve wellbeing WALYs are needed to prioritise public sector spending on such interventions.
  • 25. Summary statistics EQ-5D Frequency Percentage WEMWBS Frequency Percentage (-0.6,0] 118 2% (14,21] 13 0% (0,0.2] 183 2% (21,28] 64 1% (0.2,0.4] 60 1% (28,35] 152 2% (0.4,0.6] 198 3% (35,42] 726 10% (0.6,0.8] 923 12% (42,49] 1565 21% (0.8,1) 399 5% (49,56] 2643 36% 1 5552 75% (56,63] 1423 19% (63,70] 757 10% NA 36 NA 111 Total 7469 7469

Editor's Notes

  1. EQ5D ceiling effects
  2. At lower end of health scale EQ5D is better at determining self reported health states – that is what it is designed to do At top end of health scale EQ5D had ceiling effects and wemwbs may even be better at distinguishing between health states. Left hand side of curve says that when threshold is high wemwbs is better i.e. EQ5D ceiling effect. See straight line down as no further points. So when EQ5D score is high it is worse at distinguishing between people in very good vs other self reported health than wemwbs, despite wemwbs measuring something else.
  3. Reminder this is 5 fruit n veg AND 3 exercise/week AND never smoked So wemwbs is better at distinguishing between people who have very healthy behaviours from the general population Bear in mind neither is an amazing test, but we wouldn’t expect that because they aren’t designed to directly measure this.
  4. Here EQ5D is better, probably because ill people are not in full time employment