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Review of Children’s Goods
Market in Russia
2011-2015 Development Trends
Speaker: Michael Safran,
Head of Strategy and Marketing, Detsky Mir
05.02.2011
• Market leader Detsky Mir
is Russia’s largest toy and
children’s products retail chain
Executive Summary – Detsky Mir
• The children’s products market
in Russia is expected to grow
2.5 times (up to $25.5 Billion)
over the next 5 years – a result
of the increasing birth rate,
economic growth and the
development of the retail sector
Executive Summary – Detsky Mir
• The toy market will reach
$6.5 Billion
in 2015
(vs $2.5 Billion in 2009)
Executive Summary – Detsky Mir
• Children’s one-stop shops and
hyper/supermarkets are fast
becoming the main retail
channels for children’s products
• The market share of the non-
organized retail sector will drop
by more than 2 times to less
than 15% of sales in 2015
Executive Summary – Detsky Mir
• Currently Moscow leads
in the purchase of children’s
products, however – the
regional areas are fast
developing in terms of retail
structure and consumption
Executive Summary – Detsky Mir
• Detsky Mir is leveraging its
market leadership by vigorously
expanding its distribution
channels, as well as adding
franchise and internet. It is also
optimizing its current network
of existing stores by increasing
its offerings and services to its
loyal customer base
Executive Summary – Detsky Mir
• Detsky Mir is developing its
own trademarks and looking
for value-adding opportunities
in the purchase and
delivery of goods
Executive Summary – Detsky Mir
BRIC countries have the highest
potential for toy market expansion
due to their huge populations and
relatively low current expenditure
on toys per child
Toys Market Worldwide
The children’s products market in Russia
will grow by 15-17% each year.
The toy market is expected to grow 2.5
times, to reach $6.5 Billion in sales in 2015
Children’s Products Market in Russia 2011-2015
• The number of potential parents
in 2007-2015 is growing rapidly
as a result of the baby boom
of 1980-1987. Therefore birth
rates are set to increase
significantly in 2011-2013
Market drivers for years 2011-2015
Market drivers for years 2011-2015
• Annual expenses for toys per
child in Europe are circa $280
(April 2010, The NPD Group, Inc.),
in Russia it was $95 in 2009.
Russia is fast catching up with
European expenditure patterns
Market drivers for years 2011-2015
• Market share of non-organized
retail (selling low-quality cheap
toys) is decreasing. Branded toys
are gaining market share
• The “Toys” category is evolving
faster than any other category,
e.g. new characters, images,
technologies
Market drivers for years 2011-2015
• Clothes and footwear are often
reused by the 2nd and 3rd child
(especially in the regions)
• The consumption of goods and
services is reaching pre-crisis
levels in most retail industries.
Russia’s GDP is also reaching
pre-crisis levels
Market drivers for years 2011-2015
• Inflation in 2009 was 8,8%.
Analysts estimate inflation
to be 7.5% in 2010;
7% in 2011-2015
Supermarkets and hypermarkets
will be the key competitors
to one-stop shops in the future
Children’s Products Market in Russia in 2011-2015
Non-organized retail will lose its market share dramatically
in the coming years.
Children’s Products Market in Russia in 2011-2015
Conclusions for Detsky Mir
One-stop shops (mainly belonging to retail chains) already
stand at 50%-60% of today’s market share in big cities.
Their market share will grow mainly in the regional areas.
Internet purchases will amount to 13% of the children’s
products market in 2015.
Supermarkets and hypermarkets will be the key competition
to one-stop shops.
Supermarkets and hypermarkets
will be the key competitors
to one-stop shops in the future
Children’s Products Market – 2009
One-stop shops
There is a trend of regional expansion
and merging, involving third-party
investors among the one-stop shop
market players
Key events of 2010:
• “Sberbank” (the biggest bank in Russia)
purchased 25% shares of Detsky Mir
• Detsky Mir launched internet retailing.
By the end of 2011 it will have the largest
internet retailing site for children’s products
• “Zdorovy Malysh” completed the
acquisition of “Deti”
• “Uralsib” bank purchased 25% shares
of “Akademiya”
Children’s Products Market – 2009
One-stop shops
Detsky Mir is the undisputed leader
in the children’s products category
The average annual expenditure per child
in Russia today is $403. In Moscow it is much
higher than in the regional areas. The greatest
potential lies in developing the retailing sector
in the regional areas of Russia
Children’s Products Market – Regional Breakdown
Russian parents spend more
than half the budget for their
children on clothes and footwear.
Increases in family income
directly results in dramatic
increases in the expenditure
on toys. With economic growth
in Russia expendable income
is increasing
Purchase Breakdown for Children’s Products
Biggest issue is availability
and quality of goods. Price
is second, and service is third
Factors in Consumer Selection of Store
Recommendations by relatives and
friends and the ‘suggestions’ of shop
assistant’s are the main factors that
influence the customer’s buying decision
Creditability of the Sources of Information
Detsky Mir holds almost 10%
of the total toys market in Russia
Detsky Mir – Market-share of the
Children’s Products Market in Russia
Detsky Mir Group at a glance
• Active organic growth (CAGR about 30%)
financed by debt
• 5 Billion equity injection from “Sistema” and
“Sberbank” in 2010 to finance further growth
and refinance debt
• Focus on operating efficiency and further expansion
Detsky Mir Group at a glance
Detsky Mir strategy for 2011-2015
Detsky Mir aims to increase
the volume of direct
shipments and expand its
own trademarked goods
Detsky Mir Future Sourcing Strategy
• Best value toys with the
widest selection on offer
• Positioning as industry leader;
to customers, partners,
industry, government and
social organizations
Detsky Mir is the best and largest
toy retailer In Russia
• Niche market toys:
for children with limited
abilities, educational toys
• The first retailer to introduce
global novelties to Russian
customers
Detsky Mir is the best and largest
toy retailer In Russia
• Own trademarks development
• Social responsibility and
charity projects programs
connected with toys
and children
Detsky Mir is the best and largest
toy retailer In Russia
• Support for government
and legislative initiatives
and industry development
• In-store playgrounds
Detsky Mir is the best and largest
toy retailer In Russia
Thank you!
Michael Safran
Msafran@detmir.ru

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  • 1. Review of Children’s Goods Market in Russia 2011-2015 Development Trends Speaker: Michael Safran, Head of Strategy and Marketing, Detsky Mir 05.02.2011
  • 2. • Market leader Detsky Mir is Russia’s largest toy and children’s products retail chain Executive Summary – Detsky Mir
  • 3. • The children’s products market in Russia is expected to grow 2.5 times (up to $25.5 Billion) over the next 5 years – a result of the increasing birth rate, economic growth and the development of the retail sector Executive Summary – Detsky Mir
  • 4. • The toy market will reach $6.5 Billion in 2015 (vs $2.5 Billion in 2009) Executive Summary – Detsky Mir
  • 5. • Children’s one-stop shops and hyper/supermarkets are fast becoming the main retail channels for children’s products • The market share of the non- organized retail sector will drop by more than 2 times to less than 15% of sales in 2015 Executive Summary – Detsky Mir
  • 6. • Currently Moscow leads in the purchase of children’s products, however – the regional areas are fast developing in terms of retail structure and consumption Executive Summary – Detsky Mir
  • 7. • Detsky Mir is leveraging its market leadership by vigorously expanding its distribution channels, as well as adding franchise and internet. It is also optimizing its current network of existing stores by increasing its offerings and services to its loyal customer base Executive Summary – Detsky Mir
  • 8. • Detsky Mir is developing its own trademarks and looking for value-adding opportunities in the purchase and delivery of goods Executive Summary – Detsky Mir
  • 9. BRIC countries have the highest potential for toy market expansion due to their huge populations and relatively low current expenditure on toys per child Toys Market Worldwide
  • 10. The children’s products market in Russia will grow by 15-17% each year. The toy market is expected to grow 2.5 times, to reach $6.5 Billion in sales in 2015 Children’s Products Market in Russia 2011-2015
  • 11. • The number of potential parents in 2007-2015 is growing rapidly as a result of the baby boom of 1980-1987. Therefore birth rates are set to increase significantly in 2011-2013 Market drivers for years 2011-2015
  • 12. Market drivers for years 2011-2015 • Annual expenses for toys per child in Europe are circa $280 (April 2010, The NPD Group, Inc.), in Russia it was $95 in 2009. Russia is fast catching up with European expenditure patterns
  • 13. Market drivers for years 2011-2015 • Market share of non-organized retail (selling low-quality cheap toys) is decreasing. Branded toys are gaining market share • The “Toys” category is evolving faster than any other category, e.g. new characters, images, technologies
  • 14. Market drivers for years 2011-2015 • Clothes and footwear are often reused by the 2nd and 3rd child (especially in the regions) • The consumption of goods and services is reaching pre-crisis levels in most retail industries. Russia’s GDP is also reaching pre-crisis levels
  • 15. Market drivers for years 2011-2015 • Inflation in 2009 was 8,8%. Analysts estimate inflation to be 7.5% in 2010; 7% in 2011-2015
  • 16. Supermarkets and hypermarkets will be the key competitors to one-stop shops in the future Children’s Products Market in Russia in 2011-2015
  • 17. Non-organized retail will lose its market share dramatically in the coming years. Children’s Products Market in Russia in 2011-2015 Conclusions for Detsky Mir One-stop shops (mainly belonging to retail chains) already stand at 50%-60% of today’s market share in big cities. Their market share will grow mainly in the regional areas. Internet purchases will amount to 13% of the children’s products market in 2015. Supermarkets and hypermarkets will be the key competition to one-stop shops. Supermarkets and hypermarkets will be the key competitors to one-stop shops in the future
  • 18. Children’s Products Market – 2009 One-stop shops There is a trend of regional expansion and merging, involving third-party investors among the one-stop shop market players
  • 19. Key events of 2010: • “Sberbank” (the biggest bank in Russia) purchased 25% shares of Detsky Mir • Detsky Mir launched internet retailing. By the end of 2011 it will have the largest internet retailing site for children’s products • “Zdorovy Malysh” completed the acquisition of “Deti” • “Uralsib” bank purchased 25% shares of “Akademiya” Children’s Products Market – 2009 One-stop shops Detsky Mir is the undisputed leader in the children’s products category
  • 20. The average annual expenditure per child in Russia today is $403. In Moscow it is much higher than in the regional areas. The greatest potential lies in developing the retailing sector in the regional areas of Russia Children’s Products Market – Regional Breakdown
  • 21. Russian parents spend more than half the budget for their children on clothes and footwear. Increases in family income directly results in dramatic increases in the expenditure on toys. With economic growth in Russia expendable income is increasing Purchase Breakdown for Children’s Products
  • 22. Biggest issue is availability and quality of goods. Price is second, and service is third Factors in Consumer Selection of Store
  • 23. Recommendations by relatives and friends and the ‘suggestions’ of shop assistant’s are the main factors that influence the customer’s buying decision Creditability of the Sources of Information
  • 24. Detsky Mir holds almost 10% of the total toys market in Russia Detsky Mir – Market-share of the Children’s Products Market in Russia
  • 25. Detsky Mir Group at a glance • Active organic growth (CAGR about 30%) financed by debt • 5 Billion equity injection from “Sistema” and “Sberbank” in 2010 to finance further growth and refinance debt • Focus on operating efficiency and further expansion
  • 26. Detsky Mir Group at a glance
  • 27. Detsky Mir strategy for 2011-2015
  • 28. Detsky Mir aims to increase the volume of direct shipments and expand its own trademarked goods Detsky Mir Future Sourcing Strategy
  • 29. • Best value toys with the widest selection on offer • Positioning as industry leader; to customers, partners, industry, government and social organizations Detsky Mir is the best and largest toy retailer In Russia
  • 30. • Niche market toys: for children with limited abilities, educational toys • The first retailer to introduce global novelties to Russian customers Detsky Mir is the best and largest toy retailer In Russia
  • 31. • Own trademarks development • Social responsibility and charity projects programs connected with toys and children Detsky Mir is the best and largest toy retailer In Russia
  • 32. • Support for government and legislative initiatives and industry development • In-store playgrounds Detsky Mir is the best and largest toy retailer In Russia