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‘Towards an optimal trips-compliant industrial policy for the
pharmaceutical industry in Bangladesh’
Mamun Ul Ala
Centre for Regulation & Market Analysis, University of South Australia
Mamun Ul Ala
Centre for Regulation & Market Analysis (CRMA)
University of South Australia
What is TRIPS?
 Trade Related Intellectual Property Rights
 Implications for the pharmaceuticals in LDCs
 Imitation to innovation by 2016
 Transfer of technology
 A call to promote R&D and technology
collaboration
BUT scholars are apprehensive of TRIPS....
Bangladeshi pharmaceutical industry at a glance
Protected since 1982
Mostly generic producers (200+ firms)
USD 1.13 b market
95% self-sufficiency; 70+ export destinations
BUT...
100% imported technology
95% imported raw materials
R&D intensity <1%; Export intensity <1%
 Almost no FDI
THEN...
Is Bangladeshi Pharmaceutical industry
vulnerable to TRIPS ?
The concept of vulnerability
The gap between any potentially commercially
threatening exogenous shock and adaptive
capacity
Vulnerability (V) = Potential impact (I) −
Adaptive actions (A)
Research questions
 What are the major types of
vulnerabilities faced by Bangladeshi
pharmaceutical firms?
 Are particular types of firms more
vulnerable than others?
 Does collaboration contribute to lower
vulnerability?
 What role can industrial policy play to
promote collaborative R&D activities ?
Conceptual framework
Impacts
Firm level
Adaptation
Institutional
Adaptation
Institutional
Awareness
Firm level
Awareness
Awareness
Collaboration
Six types of vulnerability
 Raw materials-related (V1)
 Technology-related (V2)
 Quality and regulatory compliance-related (V3)
 R&D and innovation-related (V4)
 Domestic competition-related (V5)
 International competitiveness-related (V6)
Methodology
Quantification of vulnerability
 Six types of vulnerability indices using impact
variables (IVs) and adaptive action variables (AVs)
 0= no vulnerability and 1= full vulnerability
 Four robustness tests
Sample and data collection
 94 Bangladeshi pharmaceutical firms
 Five-point Likert scale questionnaires
Classification of firms
 The use of cluster analysis
Results
(vulnerability scores)
0.69 0.68
0.58
0.87
0.28
0.79
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
Raw materials-related Technology-related Quality & Regulatory
compliance-related
R&D and innovation-
related
Domestic competition-
related
Inl. competitiveness-
related
Vulnerability-based classification
(using cluster membership pattern)
Group No. of firms Membership of
Cluster 1
(less vulnerable)
Least Vulnerable 9 (10%) 5 times
Medium Vulnerable 14 (15%) 2-4 times
Most Vulnerable 71 (75%) 0-1 time
Vulnerability-based classification of firms using cluster
membership pattern
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
V1 V2 V3 V4 V5 V6
Meanvulnerabilityscore
Type of Vulnerability
Least Vulnerable
Medium Vulnerable
Most Vulnerable
Comparison between the three groups in terms
of collaborative behaviour
Likert scale range: 1= Not important at all and 5= Very important
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
Technology collaboration
with domestic firms
Technology collaboration
with foreign firms
Joint R&D with local
academia/institutions
R&D collaboration with
foreign firms/MNCs/intl.
organisations
Meanscore
Type of collaborative strategy
Least Vulneravle
Medium Vulnerable
Most Vulnerable
Implications for the post-TRIPS industrial policy
 The industry is vulnerable
 Need for policy interventions
 Special focus should be on R&D and
international competitiveness
 Need strategic and financial support
 A market–based and incentive-based firm-
institution collaborative network
 Encouraging mergers and public listed
companies
 Private-public partnerships in risky R&D
projects

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M so g_2013_conference_presentation_mamun_ul_ala

  • 1. AA presennntttaaatttiiiooonnn fffrrrooommm ttthhheee cccooonnnffference 99-11000 DDDeeeccc 2220111333 ‘Towards an optimal trips-compliant industrial policy for the pharmaceutical industry in Bangladesh’ Mamun Ul Ala Centre for Regulation & Market Analysis, University of South Australia
  • 2. Mamun Ul Ala Centre for Regulation & Market Analysis (CRMA) University of South Australia
  • 3. What is TRIPS?  Trade Related Intellectual Property Rights  Implications for the pharmaceuticals in LDCs  Imitation to innovation by 2016  Transfer of technology  A call to promote R&D and technology collaboration
  • 4. BUT scholars are apprehensive of TRIPS....
  • 5. Bangladeshi pharmaceutical industry at a glance Protected since 1982 Mostly generic producers (200+ firms) USD 1.13 b market 95% self-sufficiency; 70+ export destinations BUT... 100% imported technology 95% imported raw materials R&D intensity <1%; Export intensity <1%  Almost no FDI THEN... Is Bangladeshi Pharmaceutical industry vulnerable to TRIPS ?
  • 6. The concept of vulnerability The gap between any potentially commercially threatening exogenous shock and adaptive capacity Vulnerability (V) = Potential impact (I) − Adaptive actions (A)
  • 7. Research questions  What are the major types of vulnerabilities faced by Bangladeshi pharmaceutical firms?  Are particular types of firms more vulnerable than others?  Does collaboration contribute to lower vulnerability?  What role can industrial policy play to promote collaborative R&D activities ?
  • 9. Six types of vulnerability  Raw materials-related (V1)  Technology-related (V2)  Quality and regulatory compliance-related (V3)  R&D and innovation-related (V4)  Domestic competition-related (V5)  International competitiveness-related (V6)
  • 10. Methodology Quantification of vulnerability  Six types of vulnerability indices using impact variables (IVs) and adaptive action variables (AVs)  0= no vulnerability and 1= full vulnerability  Four robustness tests Sample and data collection  94 Bangladeshi pharmaceutical firms  Five-point Likert scale questionnaires Classification of firms  The use of cluster analysis
  • 11. Results (vulnerability scores) 0.69 0.68 0.58 0.87 0.28 0.79 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 Raw materials-related Technology-related Quality & Regulatory compliance-related R&D and innovation- related Domestic competition- related Inl. competitiveness- related
  • 12. Vulnerability-based classification (using cluster membership pattern) Group No. of firms Membership of Cluster 1 (less vulnerable) Least Vulnerable 9 (10%) 5 times Medium Vulnerable 14 (15%) 2-4 times Most Vulnerable 71 (75%) 0-1 time
  • 13. Vulnerability-based classification of firms using cluster membership pattern 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 V1 V2 V3 V4 V5 V6 Meanvulnerabilityscore Type of Vulnerability Least Vulnerable Medium Vulnerable Most Vulnerable
  • 14. Comparison between the three groups in terms of collaborative behaviour Likert scale range: 1= Not important at all and 5= Very important 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 Technology collaboration with domestic firms Technology collaboration with foreign firms Joint R&D with local academia/institutions R&D collaboration with foreign firms/MNCs/intl. organisations Meanscore Type of collaborative strategy Least Vulneravle Medium Vulnerable Most Vulnerable
  • 15. Implications for the post-TRIPS industrial policy  The industry is vulnerable  Need for policy interventions  Special focus should be on R&D and international competitiveness  Need strategic and financial support  A market–based and incentive-based firm- institution collaborative network  Encouraging mergers and public listed companies  Private-public partnerships in risky R&D projects