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Arostradeflowreport july 16 2014
1.
PYGAS, BENZENE, AND
STYRENE: Summary: After starting the month off well, import volumes into the US could be stifled in H2 August and September as spot prices in the USG moved notable lower. North American supply had improved and downstream demand from styrene was limited as spot prices in North America were relatively high and it was difficult to move styrene into other regions. July spot values closed Wednesday at $1,468/mt, down near $72/mt week on week. The backwardation from July to August narrowed to $36/mt while September was at a $24 discount to August. ARRIVED Stolt Ami – arrived at the Port of Houston on July 7 carrying roughly 5,300 metric tons of benzene for one party. The vessel cast off from the Aratu, Brazil in mid-June. EN ROUTE: The vessel Intrepid Seahawk, said to be loaded with 12,000 metric tons of benzene, was last seen headed west-at 11.9 knots just west of the North African coast. The vessel cast off from the Port of Yanbu on June 30 and was destined for the SW Pass in the US Gulf with an ETA of July 28. (Last update seen at 3:05 p.m on July 16.) The vessel Celsius Mayfair, reportedly fixed with 8,000 metric tons of benzene, was last seen moving north-northwest at 13.1 knots off the coast of Brazil. The vessel was expected to make its way to the Houston with an ETA of July 30. (Last update seen at 3:08 p.m. on July 16.) AROMATICS TRADE FLOW REPORT July 17, 2014 Vol 1, Issue 9 Copyright © The Petrochemical Standard 2014 | kevin.allen@petchemstandard.com | CONTENT IS PROVIDED “AS IS”. TPS MAKES NO GUARANTEES OR WARRANTIES AS TO THE ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, TIMELINESS, OR RESULTS TO BE OBTAINED FROM, ACCESSING AND USING TPS DATA.
2.
The vessel Sichem
Hawk, heard to be loaded with 16,000 metric tons of benzene, was last seen moving west in the North Atlantic Ocean at 14.6 knots. The vessel was heade toward the Port of Houston with an ETA of July 29. (Last update seen at 3:14 p.m. on July 16.) The vessel MT Carla Maersk, expected to load 9,000 metric tons of benzene , was last seen moving north-northeast at 7.5 knots off the Brazilian coast. The vessel was expected to load in H2 July and then make its way to the US Gulf. (Last update seen at 3:19 p.m. on July 17.) The vessel Chembulk VirginGorda, loaded with two 5,000 metric tons parcels of styrene, was last seen moving east in the North Pacific Ocean at 12,2 knots. The vessel was slated to arrive at the Port of Yokohama on July 24 and then make its way to China. (Last update seen at 3:31p.m. on July 16.) Copyright © The Petrochemical Standard 2014 | kevin.allen@petchemstandard.com | CONTENT IS PROVIDED “AS IS”. TPS MAKES NO GUARANTEES OR WARRANTIES AS TO THE ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, TIMELINESS, OR RESULTS TO BE OBTAINED FROM, ACCESSING AND USING TPS DATA.
3.
The vessel FPMC
30, loaded with 6,000 metric tons of styrene, was last seen moored near Colon, Panama. The vessel cast off from Corpus Christi and expected to head toward Taiwan after leaving the Port of Colon. (Last update seen at 3:38 p.m. on July 16.) The vessel Bum Shin, loaded with 9,000 metric tons of styrene, was last seen east of the Florida cost moving east- northeast at 13.8 knots. After casting off from Point Comfort, the vessel was expected to arrive in the UK on July 25 before making its way to the Mediterranean. (Last update seen 3:46 p.m. on July 16.) TOLUENE AND XYLENES Summary: Toluene and xylene prices continued diverge this week with mixed xylenes values falling to as low as $1,197/mt as market participants failed to reach an agreement on the July MX contract. Meanwhile toluene values held firm, assessed at $1,280/mt Thursday, supported in part by a stronger toluene-PX spread, sources said. US spot toluene prices held firm this week near $1,280/mt, roughly $100/mt higher than both European and Asian toluene spot prices. EN ROUTE: The Chembulk Lindy Alice, heard loaded with 10,000 metric tons of PX, was last seen moored at Houston. The vessel was slated to load in mid-July and make its way from Houston to China. (Last signal seen 6:02 p.m. on July 16.) Copyright © The Petrochemical Standard 2014 | kevin.allen@petchemstandard.com | CONTENT IS PROVIDED “AS IS”. TPS MAKES NO GUARANTEES OR WARRANTIES AS TO THE ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, TIMELINESS, OR RESULTS TO BE OBTAINED FROM, ACCESSING AND USING TPS DATA.
4.
Maritime Vanessa –
the vessel, said to be fixed with 5,000 metric tons of mixed xylenes, was last seen in the Taiwan straight moving south-southeast at 8 knots. The vessel cast off from Balboa, Panama and was slated to arrive at the Port of MaiLiao on July 16. (Last signal seen at 5:02 p.m. on July 16.) The Siteam Adventurer – heard to be loaded at the US Gulf (either Houston or Baton Rouge) with 10,000 metric tons of paraxylene, was last seen moving west-southwest at 12.3 knots in the North Pacific Ocean. The vessel was expected to arrive at Ulsan on July 25 before making its way to Taiwan/China, sources said. (Last signal seen at 5:07 p.m. on July 16.) The vessel UACC Marah, loaded with 10-15,000 metric tons of PX, was last in the Korea Straight, moving west at 12.3 knots. The vessel, which was heard loaded in Freeport, cast off from Balboa, Panama and was slated to arrive at the Port of Yosu on July 17. (Last signal seen at 5:19 p.m. on July 16.) Copyright © The Petrochemical Standard 2014 | kevin.allen@petchemstandard.com | CONTENT IS PROVIDED “AS IS”. TPS MAKES NO GUARANTEES OR WARRANTIES AS TO THE ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, TIMELINESS, OR RESULTS TO BE OBTAINED FROM, ACCESSING AND USING TPS DATA.
5.
August spot
DDP benzene prices were near $1,432/mt Wednesday as FOB Korea spot values were at $1,335.5 /mt. The Korea-US spread stood at $35.50/mt. European benzene values were estimated at near $1,465/mt. July spot benzene prices stood roughly $23 below the 5-day moving average of $1,492 and nearly $58 below the 20-day moving average at $1,526/mt. Spot toluene values closed stronger Wednesday at $1,283/mt FOB USG but were down slightly week on week. Spot mixed xylene traded Wednesday at $1,206/mt. US MX values held a discount $26.50 to Asian values while US toluene was nearly $100 higher than Asian toluene. US spot paraxylene values moved higher, tracing Asian prices which were bolstered by supply issues. Prices were assessed Wednesday at $1,315/mt FOB USGC, roughly $122/mt below Asia and near $40 above Europe. Margins for TDP operators fell victim to declining benzene and mixed xylene prices and were estimated this week at -$8.50/mt, down $25 on the week. Styrene prices was slightly lower with US spot values resisting declines in feedstock benzene. Spot was talked near $1,638/mt FOB USG as trade was thin as prices were on par with China and above European and Korean values. The styrene-benzene spread widened this week, gaining just under $80 on the week to close at $170/mt Wednesday. Margins for styrene producers on a spot basis remained in negative territory, estimated at - $17.50/mt, roughly level on the week. PRICING AND MARKET DYNAMICS -$50.00 $0.00 $50.00 $100.00 $150.00 $200.00 $600.00 $800.00 $1,000.00 $1,200.00 $1,400.00 $1,600.00 $1,800.00 3-Mar-14 10-Mar-14 17-Mar-14 24-Mar-14 31-Mar-14 7-Apr-14 14-Apr-14 22-Apr-14 29-Apr-14 7-May-14 15-May-14 22-May-14 30-May-14 6-Jun-14 13-Jun-14 20-Jun-14 27-Jun-14 7-Jul-14 14-Jul-14 US BZ DDP M2 BZ FOB KOREA SPREAD 300.00 350.00 400.00 450.00 500.00 550.00 3-Mar-14 7-Mar-14 13-Mar-14 19-Mar-14 25-Mar-14 31-Mar-14 4-Apr-14 10-Apr-14 16-Apr-14 23-Apr-14 29-Apr-14 6-May-14 12-May-14 16-May-14 22-May-14 29-May-14 4-Jun-14 10-Jun-14 16-Jun-14 20-Jun-14 26-Jun-14 2-Jul-14 8-Jul-14 14-Jul-14 SPOT BZ M1 DDP USG 5-DAY MOV AVE 20-DAY MOV AVE -$40.00 -$20.00 $0.00 $20.00 $40.00 $60.00 $80.00 $100.00 $120.00 $140.00 3-Mar-14 7-Mar-14 13-Mar-14 19-Mar-14 25-Mar-14 31-Mar-15 4-Apr-14 10-Apr-14 16-Apr-14 23-Apr-14 29-Apr-14 6-May-14 12-May-14 16-May-14 22-May-14 29-May-14 4-Jun-14 10-Jun-14 16-Jun-14 20-Jun-14 26-Jun-14 2-Jul-14 9-Jul-14 15-Jul-14 US TDP Margins $/mt -$50.00 $0.00 $50.00 $100.00 $150.00 $200.00 $250.00 60.00 65.00 70.00 75.00 80.00 11-Mar-14 18-Mar-14 25-Mar-14 1-Apr-14 8-Apr-14 15-Apr-14 23-Apr-14 30-Apr-14 8-May-14 15-May-14 22-May-14 30-May-14 6-Jun-14 13-Jun-14 20-Jun-14 27-Jun-14 7-Jul-14 14-Jul-14 Styrene production costs Styrene spot value SM Margins $/mt Copyright © The Petrochemical Standard 2014 | kevin.allen@petchemstandard.com | CONTENT IS PROVIDED “AS IS”. TPS MAKES NO GUARANTEES OR WARRANTIES AS TO THE ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, TIMELINESS, OR RESULTS TO BE OBTAINED FROM, ACCESSING AND USING TPS DATA.
6.
NOTES: ** Benzene pricing
courtesy of the Petrochemical Wire Copyright © The Petrochemical Standard 2014 | asiaeds@petchemstandard.com | CONTENT IS PROVIDED “AS IS”. TPS MAKES NO GUARANTEES OR WARRANTIES AS TO THE ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, TIMELINESS, OR RESULTS TO BE OBTAINED FROM, ACCESSING AND USING TPS DATA. Copyright © The Petrochemical Standard 2014 | asiaeds@petchemstandard.com | CONTENT IS PROVIDED “AS IS”. TPS MAKES NO GUARANTEES OR WARRANTIES AS TO THE ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, TIMELINESS, OR RESULTS TO BE OBTAINED FROM, ACCESSING AND USING TPS DATA. Copyright © The Petrochemical Standard 2014 | kevin.allen@petchemstandard.com | CONTENT IS PROVIDED “AS IS”. TPS MAKES NO GUARANTEES OR WARRANTIES AS TO THE ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, TIMELINESS, OR RESULTS TO BE OBTAINED FROM, ACCESSING AND USING TPS DATA. Copyright © The Petrochemical Standard 2014 | kevin.allen@petchemstandard.com | CONTENT IS PROVIDED “AS IS”. TPS MAKES NO GUARANTEES OR WARRANTIES AS TO THE ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, TIMELINESS, OR RESULTS TO BE OBTAINED FROM, ACCESSING AND USING TPS DATA. Copyright © The Petrochemical Standard 2014 | kevin.allen@petchemstandard.com | CONTENT IS PROVIDED “AS IS”. TPS MAKES NO GUARANTEES OR WARRANTIES AS TO THE ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, TIMELINESS, OR RESULTS TO BE OBTAINED FROM, ACCESSING AND USING TPS DATA. FREIGHT RATES – 10,000 MT ULSAN – HOUSTON: $56-60/MT HOUSTON – MAIN PORT FE: $50-54/MT HOUSTON – CHINA: $51-55/MT EDITORS CONTACT DETAILS Kevin Allen Email: kevin.allen@petchemstandard.com Phone: 713.344.3690 Yahoo: tpsusaros Copyright © The Petrochemical Standard 2014 | kevin.allen@petchemstandard.com | CONTENT IS PROVIDED “AS IS”. TPS MAKES NO GUARANTEES OR WARRANTIES AS TO THE ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, TIMELINESS, OR RESULTS TO BE OBTAINED FROM, ACCESSING AND USING TPS DATA. H1 May - $1,333.50 H2 May - $1,336.38 H1 June – $1,369.42 H2 June – $1,527.59 H1 Jul MTD – $1,519.07 US DDP SPOT BENZENE AVERAGES
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