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Indian Market : Consolidation Phase  
NIFTY 
Indian Market :  
Consolidation Phase   
Pg. 1  
1st September - 2014  to  30th September - 2014  
Gateway  
Distriparks Ltd. 
Pg. 3-4-5-6-7 
8250 
7600 
Possibility - 1  Possibility - 2  
Commodity Outlook 
pg. 13 - 14 
Sept 
2013 
Oct 
2013 
Nov 
2013  
Dec 
2013 
Jan 
2014 
Feb 
2014   
March 
2014 
April 
2014 
May 
2014 
Jun 
2014 
July 
2014 
Aug 
2014  
Sept 
2014 
Oct 
2014 
8500 
8000 
7500 
7000 
6500 
6000 
5500 
6299 6176 
6304 
6090 
6277 
6704 
6696 
7230 
7611 
7721 
7954 
7600 
8250 
5735 
The markets are currently consolidating as NIFTY surged 27% on YTD basis on strong FII flow and hope of reformist government.  
It is expected that Market will remain range bound  for near term as profit booking pressure could  emerge. However, long term  
investors can take this minor correction as opportunity to buy  and accumulate strong quality fundamental  stocks.  
1st September - 2014 to 30th September - 2014                                                                                              www.jhaveritrade.com
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Note* : Dealing in commodity segment through it’s grop company jhaveri credit & capital Ltd. Distributer for IPOs & Mutual Funds. Past performance is not a measure for future returns
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From The MD’s Desk 
Market closed at all time high 
As we have seen, the market has sustained at all time high, SENSEX at 26867 and NIFTY at 8027. There are certain facts  
and data driving the market. Following are the few points which have driven market to new highs and still can provide  
necessary fire to the market. 
1.  Optimistic statements by RBI about the economic recovery even if there will be rain deficit. 
2. The oil reforms undertaken by the government are clearly reducing the subsidy burden. Any cut in LPG  
subsidy will be a big positive for the market going ahead. 
3.  Expectations of upward revision of Indian rating by S&P and Moody's is really driving the FII money in equity  
and debt  market. 
4.  Almost all hurdles to rollout GST are cleared and can turn to reality soon.  
5. The global oil prices are declining meaningfully and the oil supply is on track even there is continued  
geopolitical risk in Ukraine, Gaza and Iraq. 
The FIIs really believe India story and have full faith in economic recovery under Narendra Modi government. The business  
confidence has clearly increased after 100 days of Modi government. People are optimistic and so are the FIIs. Some global  
analysts are confident about revenue upgrades in certain sectors. Pharmaceutical is one of the sector having clear chances  
of revenue upgrade. We have seen some good buying in mid-cap pharma companies in last certain days. In case of oil and  
gas sector, the market is waiting for cabinet decision on gas  pricing. The market also think that the worst for PSU banks is  
over and the  economic recovery will lead to credit growth for the banks.  
Under the circumstances, the  market will continue with sound support at 7700/25800. Any decisive close above 7920-7950  
range will give more confidence to the market.  
Kamlesh Jhaveri 
Managing Director  
Jhaveri Securities Ltd.
Why Equity Sip ? 
Transparency Cost Effective  Goal Based 
Investment of `1000 per month 
condition apply* 
Call 
+91 265 3071200, +91 99254 20000 
Email : product@jetrade.in  Web : www.Jetrade.in
Parameters  
Q1 FY 15 
Q1 FY 14 
Net Profit  (` in Cr.) 
62040 
46792 
% Change (YoY) 
33.4 
8.8 
Net Sales  (` in Cr.) 
554426 
491689 
% Change (YoY) 
12.8 
4.8 
Net Profit Margin (%) 
11.3 
9.5 
According to Care Ratings, over 1,204 companies have registered a substantial growth in Q1 FY 15. However, underlying  
parameters such as (1) loan growth, credit quality for banks (2) volume growth for consumer stocks (3) domestic order  
inflows for industrial companies were largely weak in 1QFY15. Some industries (like automobiles, electricity) are starting to  
show strong growth. So we can consider earnings green shoots have started and as far as underlying parameters are  
concerned it will take not more than two quarters to improve. 
    
 Narendra Modi has completed three months into office as prime minister and in Ninety days, Modi has made some  
unpopular decisions, such as approving diesel price hikes and increase the cost of railway tickets. However, PM has also  
taken decisions like : 1) FDI  allowed in insurance firms was raised from 26 percent to 49 percent. 2) The formalization of  
rules for long-term infrastructure bonds. 3) Hiking foreign direct investment limits in defense firms (from 26 percent to 49  
percent) and railways (up to 100 percent) 4) Simplifying environmental and forest clearance rules. 5) Controlling inflation by  
releasing food grain stock. PM 's work so far as "not impressive, but promising.” PM established his credentials and has  
pledged to do more for the country as a whole, but what he plans on doing remains to be seen.  
Brent crude at 14 month low - big booster for Indian economy 
www.jhaveritrade.com 
Issue Theme  
Indian Market : Consolidation Phase  
1 
 Earnings green shoots have started 
  
PM’s 90 day scorer card : not impressive but promising 
The 2014-15 budget estimated India’s subsidy bill at Rs.2.6 trillion, or 2.03% of gross domestic product (GDP), with oil  
subsidies amounting to Rs.63,500 crore and calculated the fuel subsidy bill assuming a crude oil price of $110 per barrel.  
With the price coming down to $100.04 per barrel (touching 14th month low ) and the Indian rupee also stabilizing around  
the Rs.60 per dollar mark, a rough calculation shows that the government could save up to Rs.5,000-6,000 crore in oil  
subsidies if crude prices remain around these levels till the end of the fiscal year. India’s ambitious plans to contain its fiscal  
deficit at 4.1% of GDP in 2014-15, against 4.5% of GDP in the previous year. According to estimates, a one dollar change in  
the price of crude oil in the Indian energy basket has an impact of Rs.8,000 crore on under-recoveries.  
  
Oil and Gas sector is expected to re-rate :  According to Goldman Sachs, losses on retail diesel sales are now down to 80  
paisa/ litre from ` 1.30/ litre in the first fortnight of August this year. The gap is expected to close down 30 paisa /litre after the  
scheduled price increases from September-1 assuming that oil price remain around same level. As the current rate of diesel  
deregulation is in continution, in the next two months diesel will be market priced which will give big boost to OMCs and its  
under recoveries.       
Conclusion   
Some of the good steps which were taken by UPA government in last six months have started to give positive reactions in  
reviving  almost  stagnant  economy.  The  good  actions  on  the  part  of  UPA  government  is  being  continued  with  new  
enthusiasm and new policy initiatives by NDA government. As Indian economy expanded 5.7% in the first quarter of FY15,   
the highest in nine quarters, against a growth of 4.6% in Q4 of 2013-14. Everybody is slowly and steadily convince that the  
market is at a multi-year bull run. Currently It is entering in a consolidation phase, which makes it a “buy on dips market”.
IPO 
Sign &  
Submit  
Online IPO   
Form 
Existing customer of JHAVERI can download Limited POA for Online IPO from website www.jhaveritrade.com and  
signed submit to Online KYC Dept., JeTrade, Payal Tower II, Sayajigunj, Vadodara - 390020. After necessary verification &  
confirmation, Online KYC Dept. will grant the permission to process further. 
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JSL Classroom  
Product Guide - Online IPO 
Online   is an online platform which enables the investor to submit  
applications  in  the  public  issues  (whether  it  is  under  Book  
Building/Fixed Price) through our website www.JeTrade.in & through  
JeTrade  trading  applications  saving  the  trouble  of  submitting  
application in paper form to the bidding / collection centers & removing  
any  time  constraint. Also,  get  detailed  information  &  news  on  IPO  
Online,  Open  Issues,  Closed  issues,  Forthcoming  Issues  and  a  lot  
more. 
Existing customer of Jhaveri or JeTrade who had signed the KYC as  
well as POA agreement can apply for Online IPO. JeTrade Customer  
can invest in Online IPO through our website as well as through our  
trading application.  
Banking &  
Processing • Allotment &  
2 
1. What is Online IPO…? 
  
2. Who can apply in Online IPO…? 
3. What is the process for registration in Online IPO…? 
4. Whom  to  contact  for  Online  IPO  
process…? 
5. Is there any deadline defined for applying in online IPO…? 
6. Why should I go for Online IPO ? 
7. How can I capitalize on this opportunity? 
To  activate  Online  IPO  facility  customer  can  
contact  at  branch  or  contact  JeTrade  Customer  
Care Desk  or Activation Desk on 0265 3071225/  
227. For any inquiry, customer can write us email  
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Customer can apply till last day of the defined time frame of IPO. 
•  Can be applied anywhere anytime 
•  You can apply IPO against ledger balance / RTGS 
•  Shorter IPO cycle - Total 7-10 days from announcement to allotment  
•  Approximately 30 -35 IPO/FPO & ETFs under pipeline in F.Y.2014-15 
•  Apply in multiple family a/c to maximize allotment 
•  Apply on click – First cum first serve basis 
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Client  
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allotment  
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notifications  
for  
IPO/FPO 
/OFS 
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• 3-4 days prior 
Form  
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  Listing 
• 5-10 days 
Listing
Gateway Distriparks Ltd was incorporated on April 6, 1994. The company was originally  
promoted by NTSC, CWT Distribution Ltd, NUR Investment and Trading Pvt Ltd and  
Intercontinental  Forest  Products  Pte  Ltd  as  joint  venture  company,  to  conduct  the  
business of warehousing, container freight stations and all related activities.  
Gateway Distriparks   is a Container logistics company with Pan-India presence. The  
company is a world-class state-of-the-art logistics facilitator in one of the world's fastest  
growing markets. They are providing Container Freight Station (CFS) / Inland Container  
Depot (ICD) services. The company is armed with modern Container Freight Stations at  
Dronagiri in Navi Mumbai, Manali in Chennai and Vishakapatnam in Andhra Pradesh  
besides an Inland Container Depot at Garhi Harsaru in Haryana. 
3 www.jhaveritrade.com 
Gateway Distriparks Ltd.  
Company Basics “Buy”  CMP : `258 TGT : `348 
BSE ID 
NSE  Symbol  
GROUP 
EQUITY (` in Cr.) 
MKT.CAP(` in Cr.) 
532622 
GDL 
B 
108.73 
2805.18 
Financial Basics 
FV (`) 
EPS (x) (TTM) 
P/E (x) 
P/BV (x) 
BETA 
RONW (%) 
10.00 
13.13 
19.65 
0.38 
0.4545 
8.53 
Investment Rationale 
Investment Horizon: 12 to 18  Months  
Share Holding Pattern 
Holder's Name 
Foreign 
Institutions 
Promoters 
Mutual Funds 
Public & Others 
Bodies Corporate 
% Holding 
28.46 
20.61 
37.77 
4.44 
8.72 
0.00 
Company Description  
Investment Rational Indian port traffic is expected to grow CAGR  
14% from 2012 to 2017E 
Ports play a pivotal role in the overall economic development of the country. According  
to  industry  estimates  about  90%  by  volume  and  70%  by  value  of  the  country’s  
international trade is carried out through maritime transport. India has 7517 KMs of  
longest cost line with 13 major and 176 non major ports. According to Maritime Agenda  
2010-2020,  Maharashtra (15%), Andhra Pradesh (13%), and Tamil Nadu (11%) have  
significantly contributed in Indian port traffic through major port.  
    
Indian port traffic has grown CAGR 8.5% from 00-01 to 2011-12 (898 MMT in 2011-12  
v/s 368 MMT in 2000-01). Inspite of significant growth rate achieved in last decade in  
port traffic and geographical advantage, Indian port development / Indian port traffic  is  
not up to global standards and has being handling lower in comparison to global parts.   
So there is huge space of  development is there.  
To  achieve  this  target,  Ministry  of  
Shipping  has  initiated  a  policy  
measure called Marine Time Agenda  
2010-2020 which has major thrust on   
development of India’s major and non  
major  port  through  various  Private  
Public  Partnership  and  various  FDI  
initiative  in  Port  Sector.Some  of  
ambitious  target  of  2010 - 2020  are 
Company Analysis  
2009-10 2011-12 2016-17E 2019-20E 
3500 
3000 
2500 
2000 
1500 
1000 
500 
0 
850 
963 
1032 
1240 
2020 
1240 
2500 
3200 
Traffic  Capacity  
Indices 
Nifty 
Sensex 
Valuations 
Value 
7904 
26442 
Currently,  GDL  is  trading  at  
`258  .  We  Recommend  “Buy”        
with,  assigning  target  multiple  
11x  EV/EBITDA  FY16E  with  
target price  of  `348 .    
ROI : 35%
Containerized cargo traffic : The major driver of Container Freight Station (CFS) and Inland    
Container Depot  (ICD) 
10494 
14% 
12077 
15% 
14011 
16% 
Chennai  600 
www.jhaveritrade.com 
Gateway Distriparks Ltd.  
(A)  Create Port capacity of 3200 M.T. for  handling about 2500 M.T. of cargo  
(B)  Improve Port performance on par with the best in the world  
( C ) Full mechanization of cargo handling at ports. 
Company Analysis  
2007 
2008 
6248 
7618 
21% 
22% 
16% 
18% 
4 2009 
7871 
3% 
18% 
2010 
8130 
3% 
18% 
2011 
9189 
13% 
20% 
  
TEU ('000s) 
YoY Growth (%) 
Ports handle various kinds of cargo (Break bulk, Dry, Container, Liquid) at terminals. Container cargo constitutes around 22- 
23% of overall cargo handling at port which is much lower as compared to global average of 70-80%. Indian container traffic  
has grown from 6248 000 TEU in 2007 to 14011 000 TEU in 2014, more than double during the span of seven years. The  
growth of container cargo is mainly dependent on two main reason  
 Rising major EXIM trade at various major and non major port  
The development of major and non major port with improvement in  infrastructure facilities is the key growth driver of EXIM  
trade.     
Change in types of commodities transport  from  container cargo     
The pattern of change in commodity type is the major reason for growth in EXIM. Initially, commodities like garments,  
electronic goods agro products, cotton yarn, machinery & machinery parts, granite products, coir products, leather products  
and jute products are the mainly containerized from Indian port . However, due to economies of scale and cost optimization,  
break  bulk  cargos  like  rice,  cement    iron  ore,  sugar,  soya,  rice  are  now  moving  in  containers.  Moreover,  some  of  
commodities have  permanent container fixtures which further move commodities swiftly.   
      
Indian CFS / ICD market grown CAGR 14% from 2009-2013   
The growth of container Freight Station / Inland container Depot has directly co-related with the growth of containerization  
level and port traffic growth at various major and non major ports in India. As international trade is increasing , Indian CFS  
market size has grown from ` 74 billion in 2009 to ` 125 billion in 2013 and the segment has grown an average of 14% YoY in  
last five years. CFS accounts for 40% of the container load while ICD accounts for 60%. We believe that Indian CFS /ICD  
market is expected to grow in range of 15-18% in coming years on development of container terminals in existing major  
ports, emerging growth in east cost ports and policy frame work in the form of Marine Time Vision 2020.   
Further development of container terminals at major and non major port 
2012 
22% 
2013 
NA 
Year 
Containerization (% of overall Cargo) 
  
2014 
NA 
Port 
  
Proposed Projects  Estimated Cost of Project  (` in Cr.) 
Chennai-Ennore Port road connectivity 
Development ofChennai Mega Terminal 
Development of Integrated Dry Port & Multi-modal Logistics  
Hub near by place  
3686  
415
JNPT  
(I+II) Various road infrastructure / connectivity NA 
The DMIC is the ambitious project by government of India which pass through highly industrial state of county U.P, NCR of  
Delhi, Haryana, Rajasthan, Gujarat and Maharashtra, with end terminals at Dadri in the National Capital Region of Delhi and  
Jawaharlal Nehru Port near Mumbai.The main objective of this project is expanding the manufacturing and services base in  
India.  We believe DMIC is the key growth driver for EXIM trade in India.  
Indian Cold Chain industry is expected to grow at a CAGR of ~28% over the next 4 years and reach a market size of ~USD 13  
Bn in 2017 and is largely unorganized in nature. Thereby, presenting a great opportunity for foreign companies The Indian  
cold chain market is highly fragmented with more than 3,500 companies in the whole value system Organized players  
contribute only ~8% - 10% of the cold chain industry market. Most equipment in use is outdated and single e-commodity  
based.    
GDL entered  into the cold chain business with the acquisition of a 50.1% stake in Snowman Frozen Foods in 2006. The  
remaining  ownership  is  distributed  with  GDL  at  54%  followed  by  Mitsubishi,  IFC  and  NVP  at  18%,  14%  and  14%,  
respectively. The segment  increased its revenue contribution significantly from 8% in FY12 to 16% in FY14. EBITDA margin  
for the segment also expanded  improved  significantly from 16% to 18.5% over the same period. We expect that  the pallet  
capacity is expected to expand to 91,000 in FY16 from 55000 in FY14 .  
GDL has  785,000 TEUs capacity in ICD segment and 21 rakes in Rail Freight and it  is the second largest container train  
operator (CTO) in the country. Combined Rail and ICD throughput grew at a CAGR of ~7% over FY12-14 to 205538 TEUs.  
We believe that  it is expected to grow at ~11% CAGR over FY14-16E.  The rakes ply mainly run on the EXIM route, so this  
reducing empty running and expected  higher margins. In FY14, GDL was able to pass on FY13 freight hikes  and enhanced  
its operational efficiency with double stacking and closure of unprofitable routes, which enabled the rail/ICD segment to  
report a 500 bps YoY improvement in EBITDA margin. As  the Faridabad ICD becoming operational and expected to gain in  
the next couple  of quarters, throughput of the rail/ICD segment is expected to improve further. GDL is planning to develop  
Ahmedabad ICD in next 12-24 months.  
5 www.jhaveritrade.com 
Gateway Distriparks Ltd.  
Company Analysis  
Standalone Container handling facility  
Development of  fourth container terminal   
600 
7915 
Strong growth is expected in Indian container logistic market 
Cold chain logistics :  an emerging segment in Indian logistic industry 
The key growth driver for GDL will be ICD and Rail segment in future 
Q1 FY 15 : Quarter update 
•  Gateway Distriparks reported consolidated growth of  14% increase to ` 279 Cr. for June'14 quarter, lead by a  
43% increase in revenue from cold chain and Snowman business. 
  
•   Operating profit  increase by 22% to Rs 75.34 crore. Operating profit margin  increased by 190 bps to 26.9% due  
to higher throughput from CFS business and higher volume growth in Snowman and Rail business resulting in
Gateway Distriparks Ltd.  
Q3 FY 14 
43.60 
5.79 
21.67 
16.14 
17.55% 
14% 
30% 
12% 
Q4 FY 14 
48.20 
5.79 
18.13 
24.27 
21.59% 
8% 
12% 
16% 
Q1 FY 14 
42.20 
6.04 
12.17 
23.99 
17.10% 
17% 
17% 
17% 
Q2 FY 14 
45.61 
5.49 
26.68 
13.44 
18.14% 
16% 
35% 
10% 
6 www.jhaveritrade.com 
better economies of scale for the company.     
     
•  Lower other income, down by 15% and higher interest and depreciation costs up by 35% and 28% restricted the  
PBT growth to 14%. After paying total tax up by 11% and MI down by 58%, consolidated PAT for June'14 quarter  
stood at Rs 36.92 crore, up by 23% YoY. 
Segment Performance 
•   Net sales from CFS business which constitute about 28% of total revenue were up by 8% to Rs 79.06 crore. PBIT  
from CFS segment was down by 3% to Rs 23.24 crore and PBIT margin stood at 49.4%. 
•  Net sale from Rail Logistics which constitute about 54% of total revenue was up by 9% to Rs 151.71 crore. PBIT  
from Rail Logistics business stood at Rs 21.71 crore, up by 78% YoY and PBIT margin stood at 14.3%.  
•  Revenue from Snowman cold chain logistic business which constitutes about 18% of total sales grew by about  
43% to Rs 49.52 crore. EIBT from Cold chain Logistics business stood at Rs 6.23 crore and PBIT margin stood at  
12.6%.  
Key Financials  
EBIT (` in Cr.) 
Cold Chain Logistics 
Container Freight Station 
Container Rail Logistics 
EBIT Margin (%) 
Cold Chain Logistics 
Container Freight Station 
Container Rail Logistics 
Key update from Q1 FY 15 conference call 
•  Gateway Rail started operations from Faridabad in 1st week of Aug'14. This is a big breakthrough for the company  
as there is a sizable volume waited to be channelized through railway segment in between Faridabad, Delhi and  
the corridor region.  
•  Management is confident of ramping up and volume in CFS segment to kick start before the year FY 2015 ends.  
There was some further improvement in port throughput in July'14 that was  visible.  
•  Currently  the  rail  division  has  about  80000  pallets  as  compared  to  about  66000  to  start  with  in  FY  2014.  
Management expects further about 6000 more pallets will be added to reach 86000 pallets by end of March 2015. 
•  Realization in Mumbai CFS improved on QoQ basis. Value added services increased like warehousing, export  
proportion has gone up. These activities give more profitability and should drive the margins going forward.   
Company Analysis
Gateway Distriparks Ltd.  
107.9 
874.19 
1003.63 
50.96 
234.31 
183.35 
12.46 
516.61 
389.41 
2.08 
138.48 
117.87 
92.99 
72.38 
108 
1120.19 
1143.41 
132.26 
282.9 
150.64 
9.5 
602.46 
444.89 
2.26 
174.26 
154.36 
124.02 
104.12 
108.28 
1176.67 
1230.3 
156.38 
308.14 
151.76 
14.36 
821.5 
586.17 
2.79 
264.16 
249.26 
201.35 
186.45 
108.5 
1342.93 
1509.55 
129.12 
310.14 
181.02 
15.49 
954.02 
726.58 
3.51 
261.87 
243.19 
192.02 
173.34 
7 www.jhaveritrade.com 
Company Analysis  
•  Capex for FY 2015 for cold chain segment will be around Rs 125 crore, for rail will be around Rs 75 crore and no  
major capex is expected in CFS business. 
Key Financials 
Financial Statements 
Equity Paid Up 
Networth 
  
Capital Employed 
Gross Block (Excl. Reval. Res.) 
Net Working Capital ( Incl. Def. Tax) 
Current Assets ( Incl. Def. Tax) 
Current Liabilities and Provisions ( Incl. Def. Tax) 
Total Assets/Liabilities  
Net Sales 
Other Income 
Value Of Output 
Cost of Production 
Selling Cost 
PBIDT 
PBDT 
PBIT 
PBT 
PAT after Minority Interest  
Adjusted PAT 
FY 10 
664.26 
1057.06 
516.61 
79.14 
79.12 
FY 11 
687.94 
1270.83 
602.46 
96.75 
97.55 
FY 12 
747.78 
1328.43 
821.45 
132.03 
131.61 
FY 13 
788.68 
1523.95 
954.07 
126.69 
126.7
P/E (x) P/BV (x) 
www.jhaveritrade.com 
Sector Valuation  
Analyst Special  
8 
Current  
2.80   
1.60  
3.80 
10 Yrs. Avg. 
2.90   
2.70 
3.10 
Premium / Dis. (%) 
-4.3  
Valuation Multiples 
Sector  
Auto 
Our Preferred Picks   
Current  
12.80 
7.90 
24.50 
10 Yrs. Avg. 
12.20 
10.90 
31.00 
Premium / Dis. (%) 
5.00 
-28.00 
-21.00 
-40.00 
  31 
P/E (x) 
TATA Motors 
Amar Raja Batteries 
P/BV (x) 
Current  
0.90   
10 Yrs. Avg. 
1.10 
Premium / Dis. (%) 
-20.40 
Valuation Multiples 
Sector  
Bank - PSU  
Our Preferred Picks   
Current  
7.20 
10 Yrs. Avg. 
7.00 
Premium / Dis. (%) 
2.70 
Current  
3.30 
7.50 
3.00 
10 Yrs. Avg. 
4.40 
6.90 
3.90 
Premium / Dis. (%) 
-26.20 
Valuation Multiples 
Sector  
Capital Goods   
Our Preferred Picks   
Current  
29.20 
62.20 
20.90 
10 Yrs. Avg. 
20.70 
67.40 
18.70 
Premium / Dis. (%) 
41.10 
-8.00 
11.00 
8.00 
-23.00 
P/E (x) 
ABB 
Voltas  
P/BV (x) 
Current  
2.10 
0.80 
1.10 
10 Yrs. Avg. 
2.40 
1.20 
1.60 
Premium / Dis. (%) 
-12.40 
Valuation Multiples 
Sector  
Cement    
Our Preferred Picks   
Current  
19.90 
19.10 
10.50 
10 Yrs. Avg. 
13.80 
15.40 
7.50 
Premium / Dis. (%) 
44.00 
24.00 
4.00 
-35.00 
-35.00 
P/E (x) 
India Cements  
Birla Corporation 
P/BV (x) 
Current  
5.10 
2.70 
3.10 
10 Yrs. Avg. 
4.20 
2.30 
3.70 
Premium / Dis. (%) 
20.60 
Valuation Multiples 
Sector  
Health Care  
Our Preferred Picks   
Current  
25.20 
19.60 
23.50 
10 Yrs. Avg. 
21.90 
16.20 
21.60 
Premium / Dis. (%) 
14.80 
21.00 
9.00 
16.00 
17.00 
P/E (x) 
Biocon 
Cipla  
P/BV (x) 
0.70 
0.60 
1.00 
0.90 
5.80 
5.80 
5.80 
0.40 
0.00 
-10.00 
-30.00 
-34.00 
Canara Bank 
Oriental Bank
Sector Valuation  
Analyst Special  
Current  
1.90 
2.30 
0.90 
10 Yrs. Avg. 
2.40   
2.40 
1.50 
Premium / Dis. (%) 
-23.70 
P/E (x) P/BV (x) 
9 www.jhaveritrade.com 
Valuation Multiples 
Sector  
 Telecom  
Our Preferred Picks   
Current  
22.60 
18.10 
20.20 
10 Yrs. Avg. 
22.60 
25.70 
23.90 
Premium / Dis. (%) 
0.00 
-29.00 
-15.00 
-1.00 
-40.00 
P/E (x) 
Idea Cellular 
RCOM   
P/BV (x) 
Current  
1.20   
1.60 
2.00 
10 Yrs. Avg. 
1.80 
2.30 
4.80 
Premium / Dis. (%) 
-33.40 
Valuation Multiples 
Sector  
Metal    
Our Preferred Picks   
Current  
10.90 
9.60 
9.40 
10 Yrs. Avg. 
9.50 
11.00 
15.10 
Premium / Dis. (%) 
14.40 
-12.00 
-37.00 
-31.00 
-58.00 
P/E (x) 
Tata Steel  
NMDC 
P/BV (x) 
Current  
1.50 
1.30 
0.90 
10 Yrs. Avg. 
1.70 
1.70 
1.20 
Premium / Dis. (%) 
-16.10 
Valuation Multiples 
Sector  
Oil and Gas    
Our Preferred Picks   
Current  
11.00 
11.90 
5.80 
10 Yrs. Avg. 
11.00 
12.60 
13.60 
Premium / Dis. (%) 
-0.40 
-5.00 
57.00 
-22.00 
-26.00 
P/E (x) 
RIL 
Cairn India  
P/BV (x) 
Current  
1.20 
10 Yrs. Avg. 
1.40 
Premium / Dis. (%) 
-14.50 
Valuation Multiples 
Sector  
Real Estate  
 Our Preferred Picks   
Current  
28.40 
10 Yrs. Avg. 
21.40 
Premium / Dis. (%) 
33.00 
Current  
11.60 
10.90 
1.30 
10 Yrs. Avg. 
8.50 
6.90 
3.40 
Premium / Dis. (%) 
36.50 
Valuation Multiples 
Sector  
Consumer     
 Our Preferred Picks   
Current  
31.10 
26.30 
11.60 
10 Yrs. Avg. 
24.40 
22.20 
27.00 
Premium / Dis. (%) 
27.60 
18.00 
-57.00 
59.00 
-61.00 
P/E (x) 
ITC 
Radico Khaitan  
P/BV (x) 
1.70 
1.60 
2.20 
1.80 
15.30 
10.50 
18.10 
25.20 
-16.00 
-58.00 
-22.00 
-12.00 
Sobha Developers  
Mahindra Life
BUY BTWN 157-163 SL 148 TGT 174-179 BUY BTWN 2840-2920 SL 2705 TGT 3095-3150 
www.jhaveritrade.com 
Monthly Technical Picks 
Monthly Technical Picks 
HEXAWARE   DRREDDY  
 UNICHEMLAB RCOM 
10 
On weekly chart, stock has taken support of median line  
of its andrew pitchfork pattern. Now, stock is likely to  
move towards upper line of its andrew pitchfork pattern.  
Weekly stochastic   is in positive crossover suggesting  
buying interest. Also stock is trading above its 20 week  
SMA. 
On  weekly  chart,  stock  has  given  crossover  above  
median  line  of  its  andrew  pitchfork  pattern.  Breakout  
point is 2920. Weekly stochastic is in positive crossover  
suggesting buying interest. Also stock is trading above  
its 21 week EMA. 
On weekly chart, stock has taken support of lower line of  
its andrew pitchfork pattern. Now, stock is likely to move  
towards  median  line  of  its  andrew  pitchfork  pattern.  
Weekly stochastic is in positive crossover suggesting  
buying interest. Also stock is trading above its 21 week  
EMA. 
On weekly chart, stock is trading below neckline of its  
head  and  shoulder  pattern.  Here,  breakdown  point  is  
120.Weekly  stochastic  is  in  negative  crossover  
suggesting  selling interest. Also  stock  is trading  below  
its  21  week  EMA. 
SELL BTWN  117-121 SL 129 TGT 108-101  
BUY BTWN 214-223 SL 202 TGT 238-249
71910607.29 
www.jhaveritrade.com 
Mutual Fund  
Can I Really Save Tax And Aim To Earn More  
At The Same Time? 
Take the ELSS (sec 80C) Advantage 
ELSS V/S PPF 
2850000.00 
6785376.11 
Total Investments                   PPF                ELSS  
11 
Advantage 1               -   Tax Free Returns 
Income / Returns in the form of Dividend or Capital  
(On Redemption) are Totally Tax Free. 
Gains  
Advantage 2         -      Lower Lock In Period 
In  comparison  to  the  various  other  investment  avenues  
Under section 80C of the income Tax Act, ELSS has the  
Shortest lock in Period 3 Years. 
Advantage 3     -         Better Return 
Since there is period of 3 years, the fund manager has The  
opportunity to invest the funds for long term as  he does not  
Have  to  worry  about  sudden  redemption  pressures.  i.e.  
there is More stability in terms of exit  
Advantage 4          -          Low Expense 
Expanses are quit low in ELSS compare to other options  
Available for tax planning.  
Particulars  
Lock-in Period (Yrs) 
Return CAGR (%) 
Taxation on returns  
PPF  
15 
8 
Interest is  
Tax Free 
NSC 
6 
8 
Interest is 
Taxable  
Bank FDs 
5 
8.5 
Interest is  
Taxable  
Post Office  
Time Deposits  
5 
7.5 
Interest is 
Taxable  
ELSS  
3 
Linked to Market  
Div as well as  
cap Gain are Exempt  
Interesting analysis of HDFC TaxSaver Fund (ELSS) v/s PPF 
Consider an example, where investor A has Invested 150000/- p.a. in PPF since 1996 whereas Investor B has chosen  
the HDFC Tax Saver Fund (ELSS) route. Investor B has Invested 150000/- p.a. in HDFC Tax Saver Fund for the same  
period.  
80000000.00 
70000000.00 
60000000.00 
50000000.00 
40000000.00 
30000000.00 
20000000.00 
10000000.00 
0.00 
Let us see how the investments of both the Investors A & B fared in the last 19 years. The Below table shows the wealth  
created by Investor A and investor B in the last 19 years. Investor A who Chose PPF, has gathered Rs.67.85 lacs, which  
is almost 2.38 times the investment made. On the other Side, investor B who chose the HDFC Tax Saver Fund (ELSS)  
Route has generated a Wealth of Rs. 7.19 Crores, which is almost 25 times the Investment made.
Current  
Value  
PPF Investments HDFC TaxSaver Fund 
Sensex 
www.jhaveritrade.com 
Mutual Fund  
Can I Really Save Tax And Aim To Earn More  
At The Same Time? 
Take the ELSS (sec 80C) Advantage 
Investment  
Per Annum 
12 
Time  
Horizon 
19 
19 
Investment  
Made In 
PPF 
HDFC TaxSaver(ELSS) 
150000 
150000 
Investment  
Till Date  
28.5 Lacs 
28.5 Lacs 
67.85 Lacs 
7.19 Crores 
HDFC Tax Saver Fund V/S PPF 
Period 
29/03/1996 
31/03/1997 
31/03/1998 
31/03/1999 
31/03/2000 
30/03/2001 
28/03/2002 
31/03/2003 
31/03/2004 
31/03/2005 
31/03/2006 
30/03/2007 
31/03/2008 
31/03/2009 
31/03/2010 
31/03/2011 
30/03/2012 
28/03/2013 
31/03/2014 
Amount  
Deposited  
Every Year 
150000.00 
150000.00 
150000.00 
150000.00 
150000.00 
150000.00 
150000.00 
150000.00 
150000.00 
150000.00 
150000.00 
150000.00 
150000.00 
150000.00 
150000.00 
150000.00 
150000.00 
150000.00 
150000.00 
Total  
Investments 
150000.00 
300000.00 
450000.00 
600000.00 
750000.00 
900000.00 
1050000.00 
1200000.00 
1350000.00 
1500000.00 
1650000.00 
1800000.00 
1950000.00 
2100000.00 
2250000.00 
2400000.00 
2550000.00 
2700000.00 
2850000.00 
- 
12.00% 
12.00% 
12.00% 
11.00% 
9.50% 
9.00% 
8.00% 
8.00% 
8.00% 
8.00% 
8.00% 
8.00% 
8.00% 
8.00% 
8.00% 
8.60% 
8.80% 
8.70% 
150000.00 
318000.00 
506160.00 
716899.20 
945758.11 
1185605.13 
1442309.59 
1707694.36 
1994309.91 
2303854.70 
2638163.08 
2999216.13 
3389153.42 
3810285.69 
4265108.55 
4756317.23 
5315360.51 
5933112.24 
6599293.00 
10.00 
9.04 
12.40 
19.84 
41.56 
15.72 
19.86 
18.64 
40.12 
67.56 
131.22 
133.88 
152.02 
97.06 
205.68 
232.90 
223.70 
225.33 
276.79 
150000.00 
285600.00 
541752.21 
1161391.29 
3443000.68 
2781196.15 
3663648.57 
3588590.61 
7874518.29 
13408504.04 
26195119.97 
26875917.35 
30666999.71 
19730522.25 
41959485.46 
47662697.76 
45929929.11 
46414599.58 
57165411.51 
3367 
3361 
3893 
3740 
5001 
3604 
3469 
3049 
5591 
6493 
11280 
13072 
15644 
9901 
17692 
19445 
17478 
18865 
22386 
Rete of  
Interest 
Valuation  
in PPF Nav Valuation 
Value as  
02/08/2014 - 28,50,000.00 8.70% 67,85,376.11 348.19 7,19,10,607.29 25481
Commodity Outlook: BULLION & ENERGY 
Gold’s safe-haven buying dried up after Russia's Defense Ministry said it had finished military exercises near its border with  
Ukraine. Overall sentiments remain weak while recovery seen in the late session, paring losses on safe-haven buying as  
equity  markets  slid.  Gold  has  traded  in  a  tight  range  around  $1,300  over  the  past  few  weeks,  supported  by  investor  
expectations that the Fed could raise rates soon. 
Gold  is  usually  seen  as  an  insurance  against  political  and  financial  risk,  which  burnish  its  appeal  as  an  alternative  
investment. Sources had expected jobless claims to rise by 2,000 to 305,000 last week, and the numbers confirmed market  
expectations for the Federal Reserve to close its monthly bond-buying stimulus program in October and begin hiking  
interest rates afterwards in 2015. Loose monetary policies such as Fed asset purchases bolster gold by suppressing long  
term interest rates, which weakens the dollar, bullion’s traditional hedge. 
Meanwhile, the European Central Bank said it was maintaining its benchmark interest rate at a record-low 0.15%, in line  
with  market  expectations.  The  central  bank  also  held  its  marginal  lending  at  0.40%  and  left  its  deposit  facility  rate  
unchanged at -0.10%.Speaking at the ECB’s post-policy meeting press conference, Draghi said that the central bank will  
continue to monitor developments closely and will consider all instruments available to support growth.  
 Key resistance at Comex is $1340 & MCX at 28800. Key support at Comex is $1265 and at MCX is at 27400.  
 Crucial resistance is at $20.40 and support is at $18.80. On MCX Crucial resistance is at 44200 and support is at  
40800. 
RECOMMENDATION : BUY SILVER @ 41500 SL 40000 TGT 44500 
Crude oil continued its drop towards $92 a barrel with weak economic data clouding the outlook for demand. Germany's  
economy shrank in the second quarter and France again failed to conjure up any growth, snuffing out any signs of a  
recovery in the euro zone which is now also weighed down by tit-for-tat sanctions with Russia. The European news came a  
couple of days after China's implied oil demand dropped 6 percent in July from June as crude runs fell slightly and the  
world's largest energy consumer exported its highest net volume of fuel so far this year.  
In the oil producing Middle East, Libya is set to resume oil exports from its largest port, Es Sider, in a few days after being  
closed for almost a year by protests, a National Oil Corporation official said. Global oil demand growth will accelerate next  
year as the world economy expands and will again be met by rising supplies from the United States and Canada, further  
eroding OPEC's market share. But the International Energy Agency   (IEA) sQaid in its monthly report that risks to oil  
production in several regions remained acute.  
While on the other hand Natural gas too dropped as a break in a U.S. heat wave prompted traders to head for the exits.  
Updated weather-forecasting models predicted cooler-than normal weather over the next week or so, before warmer  
weather moves in across much of the Central part of the country over the subsequent 6-10-days. Demand for natural gas  
tends to fluctuate in the summer based on hot weather and air conditioning use. Inventories rose by 70 billion cubic feet in  
the same week a year earlier, while the five-year average change is a build of 45 billion cubic feet. Injections of gas into  
storage have surpassed the five-year average for 19 consecutive weeks, alleviating concerns over tightening supplies.  
Total U.S. natural gas storage stood at 2.467 trillion cubic feet. 
 Crucial resistance is at $100 and support is at $90 at Nymex. On MCX, resistance is at 6000 and support is at  
 Natural gas is getting support at 222.00 and below same could see a test of 210.00 level, and resistance is  
www.jhaveritrade.com 
Commodity Outlook 
RECOMMENDATION : BUY GOLD @ 27900 SL 27300 TGT 28800 
5400. 
RECOMMENDATION : SELL CRUDE OIL @ 5900 SL 6100 TGT 5400 
now likely to be seen at 244.00, a move above could see prices testing 258.00.  
RECOMMENDATION : SELL NAT.GAS @ 245 SL 258 TGT 218 
13 
TECHNICAL VIEW  
GOLD: 
SILVER: 
TECHNICAL VIEW 
CRUDE OIL: 
NATURAL GAS:
Commodity Outlook: Base Metals 
Base metals prices showed mixed node though prices seen underprices dragged by increased supply and lacklustre  
demand from top consumer China. Buoyant exports from China pushed its trade surplus to a record last month, fuelling  
optimism that global demand will help counter pressure on the domestic economy from a weakening property sector.  
Aluminium prices showed more than one and half percent gains on the speculation that the market could remain in deficit  
beyond 2015 but that historically high global aluminium inventories are likely to prevent much of a rise in prices. 
Nickel prices dropped by half percent however downside seen limited as support seen after report that Norilsk Nickel, said  
that refined nickel prices are still too low, particularly if nickel markets are to move into a deficit next year on the expectation  
that Indonesia’s mineral ore export ban remains in effect. Also support seen after the update that the Ramu nickel and cobalt  
mine in Papua New Guinea was shut by its Chinese owners after it was attacked by villagers, according to media reports.  
Nickel inventories in warehouses monitored by the LME extended gains to a record after China, the biggest producer and  
consumer, shipped more metal out than it imported amid a financing scandal. 
TECHNICAL VIEW 
COPPER: 
 Now copper is getting support at 406.00 and below same could see a test of 396.00 level, and resistance is now  
PROFIT /  
LOSS 
MARGIN  
REQUIRED 
www.jhaveritrade.com 
likely to be seen at 428.00, a move above could see prices testing 442.00.  
RECOMMENDATION : SELL COPPER @ 428 SL 440 TGT 400 
NICKEL:  
Nickel is getting support at 1110 and below same could see a test of 1070 level, and resistance is now likely to be  
seen at 1170, a move above could see prices testing 1210 . 
RECOMMENDATION : BUY NICKEL @ 1110 SL 1070 TGT 1200 
 Zinc is getting support at 136.00 and below same could see a test of 128.00 level, and resistance is now likely to be  
ZINC: 
seen at 144.20, a move above could see prices testing 150.00. 
RECOMMENDATION : BUY ZINC @ 137 SL 133 TGT 148 
 Lead is getting support at 131.80 and below same could see a test of 126.60 level, and resistance is now likely to be  
LEAD: 
seen at 139.20, a move above could see prices testing 145.00.  
RECOMMENDATION : BUY LEAD @ 132 SL 128 TGT 140 
ALUMINIUM: Aluminium is getting support at 118.00 and below same could see a test of 113.20 level, and resistance is now  
likely to be seen at 127.40, a move above could see prices testing 132.80. 
RECOMMENDATION : BUY ALUMINIUM @ 119 SL 114 TGT 128 
Commodity Outlook 
STOP LOSS  
CALLS 
14 
JULY 2014 CALL PERFORMANCE REPORT  
COMMODITY 
GOLD 
GOLD MINI 
SILVER 
SILVER MINI 
COPPER 
CRUDE OIL 
NATURAL GAS 
NICKEL 
LEAD 
ZINC 
ALUMINIUM 
TOTAL  
CALLS 
14 
1 
11 
3 
13 
24 
11 
6 
5 
10 
8 
PROFIT  
CALLS 
10 
0 
5 
0 
3 
14 
5 
5 
3 
8 
6 
1 
0 
3 
2 
2 
4 
3 
0 
1 
1 
0 
CALLS NOT  
ACTIVE 
0 
1 
2 
1 
4 
4 
3 
0 
1 
0 
1 
EARLY  
EXIT 
3 
0 
1 
0 
4 
2 
0 
1 
0 
1 
1 
67800 
0 
12000 
-2800 
3300 
64700 
6250 
17125 
13500 
24250 
23000 
138903 
0 
92460 
11313 
19437 
30909 
18356 
17309 
32909 
34733 
29100 
TOTAL 106 59 17 17 13 229125 425429
Say...  
Good Bye to  
IPO Forms 
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Date Time in IST Country/Event 
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2:30pm 
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Tentative 
All Day 
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6:00pm 
8:00pm 
2:30pm 
6:00pm 
7:25pm 
7:30pm 
CNY Manufacturing PMI 
CNY HSBC Final Manufacturing PMI 
EUR Final Manufacturing PMI 
USD Bank Holiday 
USD Final Manufacturing PMI 
EUR PPI m/m 
USD ISM Manufacturing PMI 
USD Construction Spending m/m 
USD IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism 
USD ISM Manufacturing Prices 
CNY Non-Manufacturing PMI 
CNY HSBC Services PMI 
EUR Final Services PMI 
EUR Retail Sales m/m 
EUR Revised GDP q/q 
USD Factory Orders m/m 
EUR Retail PMI 
USD Challenger Job Cuts y/y 
EUR Minimum Bid Rate 
USD ADP Non-Farm Employment Change 
USD Trade Balance 
USD Unemployment Claims 
USD Revised Nonfarm Productivity q/q 
USD Revised Unit Labor Costs q/q 
USD Final Services PMI 
USD ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI 
USD Natural Gas Storage 
USD Crude Oil Inventories 
USD Non-Farm Employment Change 
USD Unemployment Rate 
USD Treasury Currency Report 
CNY Bank Holiday 
CNY CPI y/y 
CNY PPI y/y 
CNY Trade Balance 
CNY Industrial Production y/y 
CNY Retail Sales y/y 
USD NFIB Small Business Index 
USD JOLTS Job Openings 
USD Wholesale Inventories m/m 
USD Crude Oil Inventories 
USD Federal Budget Balance 
CNY CB Leading Index m/m 
USD Unemployment Claims 
USD Natural Gas Storage 
EUR Industrial Production m/m 
EUR Employment Change q/q 
USD Core Retail Sales m/m 
USD Retail Sales m/m 
USD Import Prices m/m 
USD Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment 
USD Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations 
USD Business Inventories m/m 
Date Time in IST Country/Event 
Mon Sep 15 
Tue Sep 16 
Wed Sep 17 
Thu Sep 18 
Fri Sep 19 
Mon Sep 22 
Tue Sep 23 
Wed Sep 24 
Thu Sep 25 
Fri Sep 26 
Mon Sep 29 
Tue Sep 30 
2:30pm 
6:00pm 
6:45pm 
2:30pm 
6:00pm 
6:30pm 
2:30pm 
6:00pm 
7:30pm 
8:00pm 
11:30pm 
6:00pm 
7:30pm 
8:00pm 
7:30pm 
1:30pm 
7:30pm 
6:30pm 
7:30pm 
7:15am 
7:30pm 
8:00pm 
1:30pm 
6:00pm 
7:15pm 
8:00pm 
6:00pm 
7:25pm 
6:00pm 
7:30pm 
1:40pm 
2:30pm 
6:30pm 
7:15pm 
7:30pm 
Trading Options  Benefit of Online Trading  
EUR Trade Balance 
USD Empire State Manufacturing Index 
USD Capacity Utilization Rate 
USD Industrial Production m/m 
EUR German ZEW Economic Sentiment 
EUR ZEW Economic Sentiment 
USD PPI m/m 
USD Core PPI m/m 
USD TIC Long-Term Purchases 
EUR Final CPI y/y 
EUR Final Core CPI y/y 
USD Core CPI m/m 
USD CPI m/m 
USD Current Account 
USD NAHB Housing Market Index 
USD Crude Oil Inventories 
USD FOMC Statement 
USD Federal Funds Rate 
USD Building Permits 
USD Unemployment Claims 
USD Housing Starts 
USD Philly Fed Manufacturing Index 
USD Natural Gas Storage 
EUR Current Account 
USD CB Leading Index m/m 
EUR Consumer Confidence 
USD Existing Home Sales 
USD HPI m/m 
USD Richmond Manufacturing Index 
USD New Home Sales 
USD Crude Oil Inventories 
CNY HSBC Flash Manufacturing PMI 
EUR Flash Manufacturing PMI 
EUR Flash Services PMI 
USD Core Durable Goods Orders m/m 
USD Unemployment Claims 
USD Durable Goods Orders m/m 
USD Flash Manufacturing PMI 
USD Flash Services PMI 
USD Natural Gas Storage 
USD Final GDP q/q 
USD Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment 
USD Revised UoM Inflation Expectations 
USD Core PCE Price Index m/m 
USD Personal Spending m/m 
USD Personal Income m/m 
USD Pending Home Sales m/m 
EUR Retail PMI 
EUR CPI Flash Estimate y/y 
EUR Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y 
EUR Unemployment Rate 
USD S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y 
USD Chicago PMI 
USD CB Consumer Confidence 
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been prepared on the of publicly available information, internally developed data and other sources believed to be reliable. 
NSE:INB/F/E 230823233 BSE: INB/F 010823236 NSDL: IN-DP-NSDL-166-2000, MCX-SX: INE 26082333 AMFI ARN 3524 MCX: TM 29040 / FMC REG NO. MCS / TC / CORP / 0963 MCDEX: TM 00749 / FMC REG NO.  
NCDEX / TCM / CORP / 0736 / NSEL TM 10110* Note: Dealing in Commodity Segment through its group company Jhaveri Credits & capital Ltd. 
Distributors for IPOs & Mutual Funds. Past performance is not a measure for future returns.

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  • 1. Indian Market : Consolidation Phase NIFTY Indian Market : Consolidation Phase Pg. 1 1st September - 2014 to 30th September - 2014 Gateway Distriparks Ltd. Pg. 3-4-5-6-7 8250 7600 Possibility - 1 Possibility - 2 Commodity Outlook pg. 13 - 14 Sept 2013 Oct 2013 Nov 2013 Dec 2013 Jan 2014 Feb 2014 March 2014 April 2014 May 2014 Jun 2014 July 2014 Aug 2014 Sept 2014 Oct 2014 8500 8000 7500 7000 6500 6000 5500 6299 6176 6304 6090 6277 6704 6696 7230 7611 7721 7954 7600 8250 5735 The markets are currently consolidating as NIFTY surged 27% on YTD basis on strong FII flow and hope of reformist government. It is expected that Market will remain range bound for near term as profit booking pressure could emerge. However, long term investors can take this minor correction as opportunity to buy and accumulate strong quality fundamental stocks. 1st September - 2014 to 30th September - 2014 www.jhaveritrade.com
  • 2. Trade Whenever & Wherever Faster Smarter & Simpler For Demo & More Detail Give Missed Call : 08049336177 SMS JeTrade to : 9601336677 FREE OF COST No Hidden Charges Easy to Operate Trade in EQUITY / FUTURE / OPTION Common Market Watch for all Segment i.e. BSE,NSE & NSEFO Live Price Movement Live Chart Track your DP Holding & Balance Global Market Jhaveri Research JHAVERI SECURITIES LTD 301/302, Payal Tower-II, Sayajigunj Vadodara - 390020, Web.: www.jhaveritrade.com I www.jetrade.in Ph.: + 91 265-3071200 SEBI REGISTRATION NO.:NSE:INB/F/E 230823233, BSE:INB/F 010823233, MCX SX:INE:260823233 and NSDL:IN-DP-NSDL-166-2000 NCDEX:TMID 00749 / FMC REG NO.NCDEX / TCM / TCM / CORP / 0736 MCX: TMID 29040/FMC REG NO.MCX/TC/CORP/0963 Note* : Dealing in commodity segment through it’s grop company jhaveri credit & capital Ltd. Distributer for IPOs & Mutual Funds. Past performance is not a measure for future returns
  • 3. www.jhaveritrade.com From The MD’s Desk Market closed at all time high As we have seen, the market has sustained at all time high, SENSEX at 26867 and NIFTY at 8027. There are certain facts and data driving the market. Following are the few points which have driven market to new highs and still can provide necessary fire to the market. 1. Optimistic statements by RBI about the economic recovery even if there will be rain deficit. 2. The oil reforms undertaken by the government are clearly reducing the subsidy burden. Any cut in LPG subsidy will be a big positive for the market going ahead. 3. Expectations of upward revision of Indian rating by S&P and Moody's is really driving the FII money in equity and debt market. 4. Almost all hurdles to rollout GST are cleared and can turn to reality soon. 5. The global oil prices are declining meaningfully and the oil supply is on track even there is continued geopolitical risk in Ukraine, Gaza and Iraq. The FIIs really believe India story and have full faith in economic recovery under Narendra Modi government. The business confidence has clearly increased after 100 days of Modi government. People are optimistic and so are the FIIs. Some global analysts are confident about revenue upgrades in certain sectors. Pharmaceutical is one of the sector having clear chances of revenue upgrade. We have seen some good buying in mid-cap pharma companies in last certain days. In case of oil and gas sector, the market is waiting for cabinet decision on gas pricing. The market also think that the worst for PSU banks is over and the economic recovery will lead to credit growth for the banks. Under the circumstances, the market will continue with sound support at 7700/25800. Any decisive close above 7920-7950 range will give more confidence to the market. Kamlesh Jhaveri Managing Director Jhaveri Securities Ltd.
  • 4. Why Equity Sip ? Transparency Cost Effective Goal Based Investment of `1000 per month condition apply* Call +91 265 3071200, +91 99254 20000 Email : product@jetrade.in Web : www.Jetrade.in
  • 5. Parameters Q1 FY 15 Q1 FY 14 Net Profit (` in Cr.) 62040 46792 % Change (YoY) 33.4 8.8 Net Sales (` in Cr.) 554426 491689 % Change (YoY) 12.8 4.8 Net Profit Margin (%) 11.3 9.5 According to Care Ratings, over 1,204 companies have registered a substantial growth in Q1 FY 15. However, underlying parameters such as (1) loan growth, credit quality for banks (2) volume growth for consumer stocks (3) domestic order inflows for industrial companies were largely weak in 1QFY15. Some industries (like automobiles, electricity) are starting to show strong growth. So we can consider earnings green shoots have started and as far as underlying parameters are concerned it will take not more than two quarters to improve. Narendra Modi has completed three months into office as prime minister and in Ninety days, Modi has made some unpopular decisions, such as approving diesel price hikes and increase the cost of railway tickets. However, PM has also taken decisions like : 1) FDI allowed in insurance firms was raised from 26 percent to 49 percent. 2) The formalization of rules for long-term infrastructure bonds. 3) Hiking foreign direct investment limits in defense firms (from 26 percent to 49 percent) and railways (up to 100 percent) 4) Simplifying environmental and forest clearance rules. 5) Controlling inflation by releasing food grain stock. PM 's work so far as "not impressive, but promising.” PM established his credentials and has pledged to do more for the country as a whole, but what he plans on doing remains to be seen. Brent crude at 14 month low - big booster for Indian economy www.jhaveritrade.com Issue Theme Indian Market : Consolidation Phase 1 Earnings green shoots have started PM’s 90 day scorer card : not impressive but promising The 2014-15 budget estimated India’s subsidy bill at Rs.2.6 trillion, or 2.03% of gross domestic product (GDP), with oil subsidies amounting to Rs.63,500 crore and calculated the fuel subsidy bill assuming a crude oil price of $110 per barrel. With the price coming down to $100.04 per barrel (touching 14th month low ) and the Indian rupee also stabilizing around the Rs.60 per dollar mark, a rough calculation shows that the government could save up to Rs.5,000-6,000 crore in oil subsidies if crude prices remain around these levels till the end of the fiscal year. India’s ambitious plans to contain its fiscal deficit at 4.1% of GDP in 2014-15, against 4.5% of GDP in the previous year. According to estimates, a one dollar change in the price of crude oil in the Indian energy basket has an impact of Rs.8,000 crore on under-recoveries. Oil and Gas sector is expected to re-rate : According to Goldman Sachs, losses on retail diesel sales are now down to 80 paisa/ litre from ` 1.30/ litre in the first fortnight of August this year. The gap is expected to close down 30 paisa /litre after the scheduled price increases from September-1 assuming that oil price remain around same level. As the current rate of diesel deregulation is in continution, in the next two months diesel will be market priced which will give big boost to OMCs and its under recoveries. Conclusion Some of the good steps which were taken by UPA government in last six months have started to give positive reactions in reviving almost stagnant economy. The good actions on the part of UPA government is being continued with new enthusiasm and new policy initiatives by NDA government. As Indian economy expanded 5.7% in the first quarter of FY15, the highest in nine quarters, against a growth of 4.6% in Q4 of 2013-14. Everybody is slowly and steadily convince that the market is at a multi-year bull run. Currently It is entering in a consolidation phase, which makes it a “buy on dips market”.
  • 6. IPO Sign & Submit Online IPO Form Existing customer of JHAVERI can download Limited POA for Online IPO from website www.jhaveritrade.com and signed submit to Online KYC Dept., JeTrade, Payal Tower II, Sayajigunj, Vadodara - 390020. After necessary verification & confirmation, Online KYC Dept. will grant the permission to process further. www.jhaveritrade.com JSL Classroom Product Guide - Online IPO Online is an online platform which enables the investor to submit applications in the public issues (whether it is under Book Building/Fixed Price) through our website www.JeTrade.in & through JeTrade trading applications saving the trouble of submitting application in paper form to the bidding / collection centers & removing any time constraint. Also, get detailed information & news on IPO Online, Open Issues, Closed issues, Forthcoming Issues and a lot more. Existing customer of Jhaveri or JeTrade who had signed the KYC as well as POA agreement can apply for Online IPO. JeTrade Customer can invest in Online IPO through our website as well as through our trading application. Banking & Processing • Allotment & 2 1. What is Online IPO…? 2. Who can apply in Online IPO…? 3. What is the process for registration in Online IPO…? 4. Whom to contact for Online IPO process…? 5. Is there any deadline defined for applying in online IPO…? 6. Why should I go for Online IPO ? 7. How can I capitalize on this opportunity? To activate Online IPO facility customer can contact at branch or contact JeTrade Customer Care Desk or Activation Desk on 0265 3071225/ 227. For any inquiry, customer can write us email to myaccout@JeTrade.in. Customer can apply till last day of the defined time frame of IPO. • Can be applied anywhere anytime • You can apply IPO against ledger balance / RTGS • Shorter IPO cycle - Total 7-10 days from announcement to allotment • Approximately 30 -35 IPO/FPO & ETFs under pipeline in F.Y.2014-15 • Apply in multiple family a/c to maximize allotment • Apply on click – First cum first serve basis • Greater allotment without any rejection JHAVERI Client Apply & Get allotment online Online IPO facility activated Get notifications for IPO/FPO /OFS • Announcement of IPO/FPO • 3-4 days prior Form Distribution • IPO/FPO period • 2-3 days Listing • 5-10 days Listing
  • 7. Gateway Distriparks Ltd was incorporated on April 6, 1994. The company was originally promoted by NTSC, CWT Distribution Ltd, NUR Investment and Trading Pvt Ltd and Intercontinental Forest Products Pte Ltd as joint venture company, to conduct the business of warehousing, container freight stations and all related activities. Gateway Distriparks is a Container logistics company with Pan-India presence. The company is a world-class state-of-the-art logistics facilitator in one of the world's fastest growing markets. They are providing Container Freight Station (CFS) / Inland Container Depot (ICD) services. The company is armed with modern Container Freight Stations at Dronagiri in Navi Mumbai, Manali in Chennai and Vishakapatnam in Andhra Pradesh besides an Inland Container Depot at Garhi Harsaru in Haryana. 3 www.jhaveritrade.com Gateway Distriparks Ltd. Company Basics “Buy” CMP : `258 TGT : `348 BSE ID NSE Symbol GROUP EQUITY (` in Cr.) MKT.CAP(` in Cr.) 532622 GDL B 108.73 2805.18 Financial Basics FV (`) EPS (x) (TTM) P/E (x) P/BV (x) BETA RONW (%) 10.00 13.13 19.65 0.38 0.4545 8.53 Investment Rationale Investment Horizon: 12 to 18 Months Share Holding Pattern Holder's Name Foreign Institutions Promoters Mutual Funds Public & Others Bodies Corporate % Holding 28.46 20.61 37.77 4.44 8.72 0.00 Company Description Investment Rational Indian port traffic is expected to grow CAGR 14% from 2012 to 2017E Ports play a pivotal role in the overall economic development of the country. According to industry estimates about 90% by volume and 70% by value of the country’s international trade is carried out through maritime transport. India has 7517 KMs of longest cost line with 13 major and 176 non major ports. According to Maritime Agenda 2010-2020, Maharashtra (15%), Andhra Pradesh (13%), and Tamil Nadu (11%) have significantly contributed in Indian port traffic through major port. Indian port traffic has grown CAGR 8.5% from 00-01 to 2011-12 (898 MMT in 2011-12 v/s 368 MMT in 2000-01). Inspite of significant growth rate achieved in last decade in port traffic and geographical advantage, Indian port development / Indian port traffic is not up to global standards and has being handling lower in comparison to global parts. So there is huge space of development is there. To achieve this target, Ministry of Shipping has initiated a policy measure called Marine Time Agenda 2010-2020 which has major thrust on development of India’s major and non major port through various Private Public Partnership and various FDI initiative in Port Sector.Some of ambitious target of 2010 - 2020 are Company Analysis 2009-10 2011-12 2016-17E 2019-20E 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 850 963 1032 1240 2020 1240 2500 3200 Traffic Capacity Indices Nifty Sensex Valuations Value 7904 26442 Currently, GDL is trading at `258 . We Recommend “Buy” with, assigning target multiple 11x EV/EBITDA FY16E with target price of `348 . ROI : 35%
  • 8. Containerized cargo traffic : The major driver of Container Freight Station (CFS) and Inland Container Depot (ICD) 10494 14% 12077 15% 14011 16% Chennai 600 www.jhaveritrade.com Gateway Distriparks Ltd. (A) Create Port capacity of 3200 M.T. for handling about 2500 M.T. of cargo (B) Improve Port performance on par with the best in the world ( C ) Full mechanization of cargo handling at ports. Company Analysis 2007 2008 6248 7618 21% 22% 16% 18% 4 2009 7871 3% 18% 2010 8130 3% 18% 2011 9189 13% 20% TEU ('000s) YoY Growth (%) Ports handle various kinds of cargo (Break bulk, Dry, Container, Liquid) at terminals. Container cargo constitutes around 22- 23% of overall cargo handling at port which is much lower as compared to global average of 70-80%. Indian container traffic has grown from 6248 000 TEU in 2007 to 14011 000 TEU in 2014, more than double during the span of seven years. The growth of container cargo is mainly dependent on two main reason Rising major EXIM trade at various major and non major port The development of major and non major port with improvement in infrastructure facilities is the key growth driver of EXIM trade. Change in types of commodities transport from container cargo The pattern of change in commodity type is the major reason for growth in EXIM. Initially, commodities like garments, electronic goods agro products, cotton yarn, machinery & machinery parts, granite products, coir products, leather products and jute products are the mainly containerized from Indian port . However, due to economies of scale and cost optimization, break bulk cargos like rice, cement iron ore, sugar, soya, rice are now moving in containers. Moreover, some of commodities have permanent container fixtures which further move commodities swiftly. Indian CFS / ICD market grown CAGR 14% from 2009-2013 The growth of container Freight Station / Inland container Depot has directly co-related with the growth of containerization level and port traffic growth at various major and non major ports in India. As international trade is increasing , Indian CFS market size has grown from ` 74 billion in 2009 to ` 125 billion in 2013 and the segment has grown an average of 14% YoY in last five years. CFS accounts for 40% of the container load while ICD accounts for 60%. We believe that Indian CFS /ICD market is expected to grow in range of 15-18% in coming years on development of container terminals in existing major ports, emerging growth in east cost ports and policy frame work in the form of Marine Time Vision 2020. Further development of container terminals at major and non major port 2012 22% 2013 NA Year Containerization (% of overall Cargo) 2014 NA Port Proposed Projects Estimated Cost of Project (` in Cr.) Chennai-Ennore Port road connectivity Development ofChennai Mega Terminal Development of Integrated Dry Port & Multi-modal Logistics Hub near by place 3686 415
  • 9. JNPT (I+II) Various road infrastructure / connectivity NA The DMIC is the ambitious project by government of India which pass through highly industrial state of county U.P, NCR of Delhi, Haryana, Rajasthan, Gujarat and Maharashtra, with end terminals at Dadri in the National Capital Region of Delhi and Jawaharlal Nehru Port near Mumbai.The main objective of this project is expanding the manufacturing and services base in India. We believe DMIC is the key growth driver for EXIM trade in India. Indian Cold Chain industry is expected to grow at a CAGR of ~28% over the next 4 years and reach a market size of ~USD 13 Bn in 2017 and is largely unorganized in nature. Thereby, presenting a great opportunity for foreign companies The Indian cold chain market is highly fragmented with more than 3,500 companies in the whole value system Organized players contribute only ~8% - 10% of the cold chain industry market. Most equipment in use is outdated and single e-commodity based. GDL entered into the cold chain business with the acquisition of a 50.1% stake in Snowman Frozen Foods in 2006. The remaining ownership is distributed with GDL at 54% followed by Mitsubishi, IFC and NVP at 18%, 14% and 14%, respectively. The segment increased its revenue contribution significantly from 8% in FY12 to 16% in FY14. EBITDA margin for the segment also expanded improved significantly from 16% to 18.5% over the same period. We expect that the pallet capacity is expected to expand to 91,000 in FY16 from 55000 in FY14 . GDL has 785,000 TEUs capacity in ICD segment and 21 rakes in Rail Freight and it is the second largest container train operator (CTO) in the country. Combined Rail and ICD throughput grew at a CAGR of ~7% over FY12-14 to 205538 TEUs. We believe that it is expected to grow at ~11% CAGR over FY14-16E. The rakes ply mainly run on the EXIM route, so this reducing empty running and expected higher margins. In FY14, GDL was able to pass on FY13 freight hikes and enhanced its operational efficiency with double stacking and closure of unprofitable routes, which enabled the rail/ICD segment to report a 500 bps YoY improvement in EBITDA margin. As the Faridabad ICD becoming operational and expected to gain in the next couple of quarters, throughput of the rail/ICD segment is expected to improve further. GDL is planning to develop Ahmedabad ICD in next 12-24 months. 5 www.jhaveritrade.com Gateway Distriparks Ltd. Company Analysis Standalone Container handling facility Development of fourth container terminal 600 7915 Strong growth is expected in Indian container logistic market Cold chain logistics : an emerging segment in Indian logistic industry The key growth driver for GDL will be ICD and Rail segment in future Q1 FY 15 : Quarter update • Gateway Distriparks reported consolidated growth of 14% increase to ` 279 Cr. for June'14 quarter, lead by a 43% increase in revenue from cold chain and Snowman business. • Operating profit increase by 22% to Rs 75.34 crore. Operating profit margin increased by 190 bps to 26.9% due to higher throughput from CFS business and higher volume growth in Snowman and Rail business resulting in
  • 10. Gateway Distriparks Ltd. Q3 FY 14 43.60 5.79 21.67 16.14 17.55% 14% 30% 12% Q4 FY 14 48.20 5.79 18.13 24.27 21.59% 8% 12% 16% Q1 FY 14 42.20 6.04 12.17 23.99 17.10% 17% 17% 17% Q2 FY 14 45.61 5.49 26.68 13.44 18.14% 16% 35% 10% 6 www.jhaveritrade.com better economies of scale for the company. • Lower other income, down by 15% and higher interest and depreciation costs up by 35% and 28% restricted the PBT growth to 14%. After paying total tax up by 11% and MI down by 58%, consolidated PAT for June'14 quarter stood at Rs 36.92 crore, up by 23% YoY. Segment Performance • Net sales from CFS business which constitute about 28% of total revenue were up by 8% to Rs 79.06 crore. PBIT from CFS segment was down by 3% to Rs 23.24 crore and PBIT margin stood at 49.4%. • Net sale from Rail Logistics which constitute about 54% of total revenue was up by 9% to Rs 151.71 crore. PBIT from Rail Logistics business stood at Rs 21.71 crore, up by 78% YoY and PBIT margin stood at 14.3%. • Revenue from Snowman cold chain logistic business which constitutes about 18% of total sales grew by about 43% to Rs 49.52 crore. EIBT from Cold chain Logistics business stood at Rs 6.23 crore and PBIT margin stood at 12.6%. Key Financials EBIT (` in Cr.) Cold Chain Logistics Container Freight Station Container Rail Logistics EBIT Margin (%) Cold Chain Logistics Container Freight Station Container Rail Logistics Key update from Q1 FY 15 conference call • Gateway Rail started operations from Faridabad in 1st week of Aug'14. This is a big breakthrough for the company as there is a sizable volume waited to be channelized through railway segment in between Faridabad, Delhi and the corridor region. • Management is confident of ramping up and volume in CFS segment to kick start before the year FY 2015 ends. There was some further improvement in port throughput in July'14 that was visible. • Currently the rail division has about 80000 pallets as compared to about 66000 to start with in FY 2014. Management expects further about 6000 more pallets will be added to reach 86000 pallets by end of March 2015. • Realization in Mumbai CFS improved on QoQ basis. Value added services increased like warehousing, export proportion has gone up. These activities give more profitability and should drive the margins going forward. Company Analysis
  • 11. Gateway Distriparks Ltd. 107.9 874.19 1003.63 50.96 234.31 183.35 12.46 516.61 389.41 2.08 138.48 117.87 92.99 72.38 108 1120.19 1143.41 132.26 282.9 150.64 9.5 602.46 444.89 2.26 174.26 154.36 124.02 104.12 108.28 1176.67 1230.3 156.38 308.14 151.76 14.36 821.5 586.17 2.79 264.16 249.26 201.35 186.45 108.5 1342.93 1509.55 129.12 310.14 181.02 15.49 954.02 726.58 3.51 261.87 243.19 192.02 173.34 7 www.jhaveritrade.com Company Analysis • Capex for FY 2015 for cold chain segment will be around Rs 125 crore, for rail will be around Rs 75 crore and no major capex is expected in CFS business. Key Financials Financial Statements Equity Paid Up Networth Capital Employed Gross Block (Excl. Reval. Res.) Net Working Capital ( Incl. Def. Tax) Current Assets ( Incl. Def. Tax) Current Liabilities and Provisions ( Incl. Def. Tax) Total Assets/Liabilities Net Sales Other Income Value Of Output Cost of Production Selling Cost PBIDT PBDT PBIT PBT PAT after Minority Interest Adjusted PAT FY 10 664.26 1057.06 516.61 79.14 79.12 FY 11 687.94 1270.83 602.46 96.75 97.55 FY 12 747.78 1328.43 821.45 132.03 131.61 FY 13 788.68 1523.95 954.07 126.69 126.7
  • 12. P/E (x) P/BV (x) www.jhaveritrade.com Sector Valuation Analyst Special 8 Current 2.80 1.60 3.80 10 Yrs. Avg. 2.90 2.70 3.10 Premium / Dis. (%) -4.3 Valuation Multiples Sector Auto Our Preferred Picks Current 12.80 7.90 24.50 10 Yrs. Avg. 12.20 10.90 31.00 Premium / Dis. (%) 5.00 -28.00 -21.00 -40.00 31 P/E (x) TATA Motors Amar Raja Batteries P/BV (x) Current 0.90 10 Yrs. Avg. 1.10 Premium / Dis. (%) -20.40 Valuation Multiples Sector Bank - PSU Our Preferred Picks Current 7.20 10 Yrs. Avg. 7.00 Premium / Dis. (%) 2.70 Current 3.30 7.50 3.00 10 Yrs. Avg. 4.40 6.90 3.90 Premium / Dis. (%) -26.20 Valuation Multiples Sector Capital Goods Our Preferred Picks Current 29.20 62.20 20.90 10 Yrs. Avg. 20.70 67.40 18.70 Premium / Dis. (%) 41.10 -8.00 11.00 8.00 -23.00 P/E (x) ABB Voltas P/BV (x) Current 2.10 0.80 1.10 10 Yrs. Avg. 2.40 1.20 1.60 Premium / Dis. (%) -12.40 Valuation Multiples Sector Cement Our Preferred Picks Current 19.90 19.10 10.50 10 Yrs. Avg. 13.80 15.40 7.50 Premium / Dis. (%) 44.00 24.00 4.00 -35.00 -35.00 P/E (x) India Cements Birla Corporation P/BV (x) Current 5.10 2.70 3.10 10 Yrs. Avg. 4.20 2.30 3.70 Premium / Dis. (%) 20.60 Valuation Multiples Sector Health Care Our Preferred Picks Current 25.20 19.60 23.50 10 Yrs. Avg. 21.90 16.20 21.60 Premium / Dis. (%) 14.80 21.00 9.00 16.00 17.00 P/E (x) Biocon Cipla P/BV (x) 0.70 0.60 1.00 0.90 5.80 5.80 5.80 0.40 0.00 -10.00 -30.00 -34.00 Canara Bank Oriental Bank
  • 13. Sector Valuation Analyst Special Current 1.90 2.30 0.90 10 Yrs. Avg. 2.40 2.40 1.50 Premium / Dis. (%) -23.70 P/E (x) P/BV (x) 9 www.jhaveritrade.com Valuation Multiples Sector Telecom Our Preferred Picks Current 22.60 18.10 20.20 10 Yrs. Avg. 22.60 25.70 23.90 Premium / Dis. (%) 0.00 -29.00 -15.00 -1.00 -40.00 P/E (x) Idea Cellular RCOM P/BV (x) Current 1.20 1.60 2.00 10 Yrs. Avg. 1.80 2.30 4.80 Premium / Dis. (%) -33.40 Valuation Multiples Sector Metal Our Preferred Picks Current 10.90 9.60 9.40 10 Yrs. Avg. 9.50 11.00 15.10 Premium / Dis. (%) 14.40 -12.00 -37.00 -31.00 -58.00 P/E (x) Tata Steel NMDC P/BV (x) Current 1.50 1.30 0.90 10 Yrs. Avg. 1.70 1.70 1.20 Premium / Dis. (%) -16.10 Valuation Multiples Sector Oil and Gas Our Preferred Picks Current 11.00 11.90 5.80 10 Yrs. Avg. 11.00 12.60 13.60 Premium / Dis. (%) -0.40 -5.00 57.00 -22.00 -26.00 P/E (x) RIL Cairn India P/BV (x) Current 1.20 10 Yrs. Avg. 1.40 Premium / Dis. (%) -14.50 Valuation Multiples Sector Real Estate Our Preferred Picks Current 28.40 10 Yrs. Avg. 21.40 Premium / Dis. (%) 33.00 Current 11.60 10.90 1.30 10 Yrs. Avg. 8.50 6.90 3.40 Premium / Dis. (%) 36.50 Valuation Multiples Sector Consumer Our Preferred Picks Current 31.10 26.30 11.60 10 Yrs. Avg. 24.40 22.20 27.00 Premium / Dis. (%) 27.60 18.00 -57.00 59.00 -61.00 P/E (x) ITC Radico Khaitan P/BV (x) 1.70 1.60 2.20 1.80 15.30 10.50 18.10 25.20 -16.00 -58.00 -22.00 -12.00 Sobha Developers Mahindra Life
  • 14. BUY BTWN 157-163 SL 148 TGT 174-179 BUY BTWN 2840-2920 SL 2705 TGT 3095-3150 www.jhaveritrade.com Monthly Technical Picks Monthly Technical Picks HEXAWARE DRREDDY UNICHEMLAB RCOM 10 On weekly chart, stock has taken support of median line of its andrew pitchfork pattern. Now, stock is likely to move towards upper line of its andrew pitchfork pattern. Weekly stochastic is in positive crossover suggesting buying interest. Also stock is trading above its 20 week SMA. On weekly chart, stock has given crossover above median line of its andrew pitchfork pattern. Breakout point is 2920. Weekly stochastic is in positive crossover suggesting buying interest. Also stock is trading above its 21 week EMA. On weekly chart, stock has taken support of lower line of its andrew pitchfork pattern. Now, stock is likely to move towards median line of its andrew pitchfork pattern. Weekly stochastic is in positive crossover suggesting buying interest. Also stock is trading above its 21 week EMA. On weekly chart, stock is trading below neckline of its head and shoulder pattern. Here, breakdown point is 120.Weekly stochastic is in negative crossover suggesting selling interest. Also stock is trading below its 21 week EMA. SELL BTWN 117-121 SL 129 TGT 108-101 BUY BTWN 214-223 SL 202 TGT 238-249
  • 15. 71910607.29 www.jhaveritrade.com Mutual Fund Can I Really Save Tax And Aim To Earn More At The Same Time? Take the ELSS (sec 80C) Advantage ELSS V/S PPF 2850000.00 6785376.11 Total Investments PPF ELSS 11 Advantage 1 - Tax Free Returns Income / Returns in the form of Dividend or Capital (On Redemption) are Totally Tax Free. Gains Advantage 2 - Lower Lock In Period In comparison to the various other investment avenues Under section 80C of the income Tax Act, ELSS has the Shortest lock in Period 3 Years. Advantage 3 - Better Return Since there is period of 3 years, the fund manager has The opportunity to invest the funds for long term as he does not Have to worry about sudden redemption pressures. i.e. there is More stability in terms of exit Advantage 4 - Low Expense Expanses are quit low in ELSS compare to other options Available for tax planning. Particulars Lock-in Period (Yrs) Return CAGR (%) Taxation on returns PPF 15 8 Interest is Tax Free NSC 6 8 Interest is Taxable Bank FDs 5 8.5 Interest is Taxable Post Office Time Deposits 5 7.5 Interest is Taxable ELSS 3 Linked to Market Div as well as cap Gain are Exempt Interesting analysis of HDFC TaxSaver Fund (ELSS) v/s PPF Consider an example, where investor A has Invested 150000/- p.a. in PPF since 1996 whereas Investor B has chosen the HDFC Tax Saver Fund (ELSS) route. Investor B has Invested 150000/- p.a. in HDFC Tax Saver Fund for the same period. 80000000.00 70000000.00 60000000.00 50000000.00 40000000.00 30000000.00 20000000.00 10000000.00 0.00 Let us see how the investments of both the Investors A & B fared in the last 19 years. The Below table shows the wealth created by Investor A and investor B in the last 19 years. Investor A who Chose PPF, has gathered Rs.67.85 lacs, which is almost 2.38 times the investment made. On the other Side, investor B who chose the HDFC Tax Saver Fund (ELSS) Route has generated a Wealth of Rs. 7.19 Crores, which is almost 25 times the Investment made.
  • 16. Current Value PPF Investments HDFC TaxSaver Fund Sensex www.jhaveritrade.com Mutual Fund Can I Really Save Tax And Aim To Earn More At The Same Time? Take the ELSS (sec 80C) Advantage Investment Per Annum 12 Time Horizon 19 19 Investment Made In PPF HDFC TaxSaver(ELSS) 150000 150000 Investment Till Date 28.5 Lacs 28.5 Lacs 67.85 Lacs 7.19 Crores HDFC Tax Saver Fund V/S PPF Period 29/03/1996 31/03/1997 31/03/1998 31/03/1999 31/03/2000 30/03/2001 28/03/2002 31/03/2003 31/03/2004 31/03/2005 31/03/2006 30/03/2007 31/03/2008 31/03/2009 31/03/2010 31/03/2011 30/03/2012 28/03/2013 31/03/2014 Amount Deposited Every Year 150000.00 150000.00 150000.00 150000.00 150000.00 150000.00 150000.00 150000.00 150000.00 150000.00 150000.00 150000.00 150000.00 150000.00 150000.00 150000.00 150000.00 150000.00 150000.00 Total Investments 150000.00 300000.00 450000.00 600000.00 750000.00 900000.00 1050000.00 1200000.00 1350000.00 1500000.00 1650000.00 1800000.00 1950000.00 2100000.00 2250000.00 2400000.00 2550000.00 2700000.00 2850000.00 - 12.00% 12.00% 12.00% 11.00% 9.50% 9.00% 8.00% 8.00% 8.00% 8.00% 8.00% 8.00% 8.00% 8.00% 8.00% 8.60% 8.80% 8.70% 150000.00 318000.00 506160.00 716899.20 945758.11 1185605.13 1442309.59 1707694.36 1994309.91 2303854.70 2638163.08 2999216.13 3389153.42 3810285.69 4265108.55 4756317.23 5315360.51 5933112.24 6599293.00 10.00 9.04 12.40 19.84 41.56 15.72 19.86 18.64 40.12 67.56 131.22 133.88 152.02 97.06 205.68 232.90 223.70 225.33 276.79 150000.00 285600.00 541752.21 1161391.29 3443000.68 2781196.15 3663648.57 3588590.61 7874518.29 13408504.04 26195119.97 26875917.35 30666999.71 19730522.25 41959485.46 47662697.76 45929929.11 46414599.58 57165411.51 3367 3361 3893 3740 5001 3604 3469 3049 5591 6493 11280 13072 15644 9901 17692 19445 17478 18865 22386 Rete of Interest Valuation in PPF Nav Valuation Value as 02/08/2014 - 28,50,000.00 8.70% 67,85,376.11 348.19 7,19,10,607.29 25481
  • 17. Commodity Outlook: BULLION & ENERGY Gold’s safe-haven buying dried up after Russia's Defense Ministry said it had finished military exercises near its border with Ukraine. Overall sentiments remain weak while recovery seen in the late session, paring losses on safe-haven buying as equity markets slid. Gold has traded in a tight range around $1,300 over the past few weeks, supported by investor expectations that the Fed could raise rates soon. Gold is usually seen as an insurance against political and financial risk, which burnish its appeal as an alternative investment. Sources had expected jobless claims to rise by 2,000 to 305,000 last week, and the numbers confirmed market expectations for the Federal Reserve to close its monthly bond-buying stimulus program in October and begin hiking interest rates afterwards in 2015. Loose monetary policies such as Fed asset purchases bolster gold by suppressing long term interest rates, which weakens the dollar, bullion’s traditional hedge. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank said it was maintaining its benchmark interest rate at a record-low 0.15%, in line with market expectations. The central bank also held its marginal lending at 0.40% and left its deposit facility rate unchanged at -0.10%.Speaking at the ECB’s post-policy meeting press conference, Draghi said that the central bank will continue to monitor developments closely and will consider all instruments available to support growth. Key resistance at Comex is $1340 & MCX at 28800. Key support at Comex is $1265 and at MCX is at 27400. Crucial resistance is at $20.40 and support is at $18.80. On MCX Crucial resistance is at 44200 and support is at 40800. RECOMMENDATION : BUY SILVER @ 41500 SL 40000 TGT 44500 Crude oil continued its drop towards $92 a barrel with weak economic data clouding the outlook for demand. Germany's economy shrank in the second quarter and France again failed to conjure up any growth, snuffing out any signs of a recovery in the euro zone which is now also weighed down by tit-for-tat sanctions with Russia. The European news came a couple of days after China's implied oil demand dropped 6 percent in July from June as crude runs fell slightly and the world's largest energy consumer exported its highest net volume of fuel so far this year. In the oil producing Middle East, Libya is set to resume oil exports from its largest port, Es Sider, in a few days after being closed for almost a year by protests, a National Oil Corporation official said. Global oil demand growth will accelerate next year as the world economy expands and will again be met by rising supplies from the United States and Canada, further eroding OPEC's market share. But the International Energy Agency (IEA) sQaid in its monthly report that risks to oil production in several regions remained acute. While on the other hand Natural gas too dropped as a break in a U.S. heat wave prompted traders to head for the exits. Updated weather-forecasting models predicted cooler-than normal weather over the next week or so, before warmer weather moves in across much of the Central part of the country over the subsequent 6-10-days. Demand for natural gas tends to fluctuate in the summer based on hot weather and air conditioning use. Inventories rose by 70 billion cubic feet in the same week a year earlier, while the five-year average change is a build of 45 billion cubic feet. Injections of gas into storage have surpassed the five-year average for 19 consecutive weeks, alleviating concerns over tightening supplies. Total U.S. natural gas storage stood at 2.467 trillion cubic feet. Crucial resistance is at $100 and support is at $90 at Nymex. On MCX, resistance is at 6000 and support is at Natural gas is getting support at 222.00 and below same could see a test of 210.00 level, and resistance is www.jhaveritrade.com Commodity Outlook RECOMMENDATION : BUY GOLD @ 27900 SL 27300 TGT 28800 5400. RECOMMENDATION : SELL CRUDE OIL @ 5900 SL 6100 TGT 5400 now likely to be seen at 244.00, a move above could see prices testing 258.00. RECOMMENDATION : SELL NAT.GAS @ 245 SL 258 TGT 218 13 TECHNICAL VIEW GOLD: SILVER: TECHNICAL VIEW CRUDE OIL: NATURAL GAS:
  • 18. Commodity Outlook: Base Metals Base metals prices showed mixed node though prices seen underprices dragged by increased supply and lacklustre demand from top consumer China. Buoyant exports from China pushed its trade surplus to a record last month, fuelling optimism that global demand will help counter pressure on the domestic economy from a weakening property sector. Aluminium prices showed more than one and half percent gains on the speculation that the market could remain in deficit beyond 2015 but that historically high global aluminium inventories are likely to prevent much of a rise in prices. Nickel prices dropped by half percent however downside seen limited as support seen after report that Norilsk Nickel, said that refined nickel prices are still too low, particularly if nickel markets are to move into a deficit next year on the expectation that Indonesia’s mineral ore export ban remains in effect. Also support seen after the update that the Ramu nickel and cobalt mine in Papua New Guinea was shut by its Chinese owners after it was attacked by villagers, according to media reports. Nickel inventories in warehouses monitored by the LME extended gains to a record after China, the biggest producer and consumer, shipped more metal out than it imported amid a financing scandal. TECHNICAL VIEW COPPER: Now copper is getting support at 406.00 and below same could see a test of 396.00 level, and resistance is now PROFIT / LOSS MARGIN REQUIRED www.jhaveritrade.com likely to be seen at 428.00, a move above could see prices testing 442.00. RECOMMENDATION : SELL COPPER @ 428 SL 440 TGT 400 NICKEL: Nickel is getting support at 1110 and below same could see a test of 1070 level, and resistance is now likely to be seen at 1170, a move above could see prices testing 1210 . RECOMMENDATION : BUY NICKEL @ 1110 SL 1070 TGT 1200 Zinc is getting support at 136.00 and below same could see a test of 128.00 level, and resistance is now likely to be ZINC: seen at 144.20, a move above could see prices testing 150.00. RECOMMENDATION : BUY ZINC @ 137 SL 133 TGT 148 Lead is getting support at 131.80 and below same could see a test of 126.60 level, and resistance is now likely to be LEAD: seen at 139.20, a move above could see prices testing 145.00. RECOMMENDATION : BUY LEAD @ 132 SL 128 TGT 140 ALUMINIUM: Aluminium is getting support at 118.00 and below same could see a test of 113.20 level, and resistance is now likely to be seen at 127.40, a move above could see prices testing 132.80. RECOMMENDATION : BUY ALUMINIUM @ 119 SL 114 TGT 128 Commodity Outlook STOP LOSS CALLS 14 JULY 2014 CALL PERFORMANCE REPORT COMMODITY GOLD GOLD MINI SILVER SILVER MINI COPPER CRUDE OIL NATURAL GAS NICKEL LEAD ZINC ALUMINIUM TOTAL CALLS 14 1 11 3 13 24 11 6 5 10 8 PROFIT CALLS 10 0 5 0 3 14 5 5 3 8 6 1 0 3 2 2 4 3 0 1 1 0 CALLS NOT ACTIVE 0 1 2 1 4 4 3 0 1 0 1 EARLY EXIT 3 0 1 0 4 2 0 1 0 1 1 67800 0 12000 -2800 3300 64700 6250 17125 13500 24250 23000 138903 0 92460 11313 19437 30909 18356 17309 32909 34733 29100 TOTAL 106 59 17 17 13 229125 425429
  • 19. Say... Good Bye to IPO Forms Apply IPO Online Why should I go for Online IPO? How can I capitalize on this Opportunity? Apply in multiple family a/c to maximize allotment Apply on click – First cum first serve basis Greater allotment without any rejection www.jhaveritrade.com I www.jetrade.in • Can be applied anywhere anytime • You can apply IPO against ledger balance / RTGS • Shorter IPO cycle – Total 7-10 days from announcement to allotment • Approx 30 -35 IPO/FPO & ETFs under pipeline in F.Y.2014-15 To get registered for Online IPO, Please contact your branch or SMS “JeTrade IPO” on 9601336677
  • 20. Date Time in IST Country/Event 6:30am 7:15am 1:30pm All Day 7:15pm 7:30pm 2:30pm 6:30am 7:15am 1:30pm 2:30pm 7:30pm 5:00pm 5:15pm 5:45pm 6:00pm 1:40pm 7:15pm 7:30pm 8:00pm 8:30pm 6:00pm Tentative All Day 7:00am Tentative 11:00am 5:00pm 7:30pm 7:30pm 8:00pm 11:30pm 7:30am 6:00pm 8:00pm 2:30pm 6:00pm 7:25pm 7:30pm CNY Manufacturing PMI CNY HSBC Final Manufacturing PMI EUR Final Manufacturing PMI USD Bank Holiday USD Final Manufacturing PMI EUR PPI m/m USD ISM Manufacturing PMI USD Construction Spending m/m USD IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism USD ISM Manufacturing Prices CNY Non-Manufacturing PMI CNY HSBC Services PMI EUR Final Services PMI EUR Retail Sales m/m EUR Revised GDP q/q USD Factory Orders m/m EUR Retail PMI USD Challenger Job Cuts y/y EUR Minimum Bid Rate USD ADP Non-Farm Employment Change USD Trade Balance USD Unemployment Claims USD Revised Nonfarm Productivity q/q USD Revised Unit Labor Costs q/q USD Final Services PMI USD ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI USD Natural Gas Storage USD Crude Oil Inventories USD Non-Farm Employment Change USD Unemployment Rate USD Treasury Currency Report CNY Bank Holiday CNY CPI y/y CNY PPI y/y CNY Trade Balance CNY Industrial Production y/y CNY Retail Sales y/y USD NFIB Small Business Index USD JOLTS Job Openings USD Wholesale Inventories m/m USD Crude Oil Inventories USD Federal Budget Balance CNY CB Leading Index m/m USD Unemployment Claims USD Natural Gas Storage EUR Industrial Production m/m EUR Employment Change q/q USD Core Retail Sales m/m USD Retail Sales m/m USD Import Prices m/m USD Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment USD Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations USD Business Inventories m/m Date Time in IST Country/Event Mon Sep 15 Tue Sep 16 Wed Sep 17 Thu Sep 18 Fri Sep 19 Mon Sep 22 Tue Sep 23 Wed Sep 24 Thu Sep 25 Fri Sep 26 Mon Sep 29 Tue Sep 30 2:30pm 6:00pm 6:45pm 2:30pm 6:00pm 6:30pm 2:30pm 6:00pm 7:30pm 8:00pm 11:30pm 6:00pm 7:30pm 8:00pm 7:30pm 1:30pm 7:30pm 6:30pm 7:30pm 7:15am 7:30pm 8:00pm 1:30pm 6:00pm 7:15pm 8:00pm 6:00pm 7:25pm 6:00pm 7:30pm 1:40pm 2:30pm 6:30pm 7:15pm 7:30pm Trading Options Benefit of Online Trading EUR Trade Balance USD Empire State Manufacturing Index USD Capacity Utilization Rate USD Industrial Production m/m EUR German ZEW Economic Sentiment EUR ZEW Economic Sentiment USD PPI m/m USD Core PPI m/m USD TIC Long-Term Purchases EUR Final CPI y/y EUR Final Core CPI y/y USD Core CPI m/m USD CPI m/m USD Current Account USD NAHB Housing Market Index USD Crude Oil Inventories USD FOMC Statement USD Federal Funds Rate USD Building Permits USD Unemployment Claims USD Housing Starts USD Philly Fed Manufacturing Index USD Natural Gas Storage EUR Current Account USD CB Leading Index m/m EUR Consumer Confidence USD Existing Home Sales USD HPI m/m USD Richmond Manufacturing Index USD New Home Sales USD Crude Oil Inventories CNY HSBC Flash Manufacturing PMI EUR Flash Manufacturing PMI EUR Flash Services PMI USD Core Durable Goods Orders m/m USD Unemployment Claims USD Durable Goods Orders m/m USD Flash Manufacturing PMI USD Flash Services PMI USD Natural Gas Storage USD Final GDP q/q USD Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment USD Revised UoM Inflation Expectations USD Core PCE Price Index m/m USD Personal Spending m/m USD Personal Income m/m USD Pending Home Sales m/m EUR Retail PMI EUR CPI Flash Estimate y/y EUR Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y EUR Unemployment Rate USD S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y USD Chicago PMI USD CB Consumer Confidence Trade Whenever & Wherever Paper Less Trading 100% control Over your Investment Call-N-Trade Facility Quick Technical Support-(Live Chat/support) Mon Sep 1 Tue Sep 2 Wed Sep 3 Thu Sep 4 Fri Sep 5 Mon Sep 8 Tue Sep 9 Wed Sep 10 Thu Sep 11 Fri Sep 12 RRss..00 AAPPPPLLIICCAATTIIOONN CCHHAARRGGEESS 9601336677 301/302, Payal Tower-II, Sayajigunj Vadodara - 390020, Ph.: + 91 265-3071200 Web.: www.jhaveritrade.com I www.jetrade.in For Demo & More Detail Give Missed Call 08049336177 SMS JeTrade to DISCLAIMER : Trading and Investment decision taken on your consultation are solely at the discretion of the traders/investors.We are not liable for any loss, which occur as a result of our recommendations. This document has been prepared on the of publicly available information, internally developed data and other sources believed to be reliable. NSE:INB/F/E 230823233 BSE: INB/F 010823236 NSDL: IN-DP-NSDL-166-2000, MCX-SX: INE 26082333 AMFI ARN 3524 MCX: TM 29040 / FMC REG NO. MCS / TC / CORP / 0963 MCDEX: TM 00749 / FMC REG NO. NCDEX / TCM / CORP / 0736 / NSEL TM 10110* Note: Dealing in Commodity Segment through its group company Jhaveri Credits & capital Ltd. Distributors for IPOs & Mutual Funds. Past performance is not a measure for future returns.