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SENSITIVITY ASSESSMENT
A TOOL FOR SPATIO-TEMPORAL MANAGEMENT
         OF FISHING TECHNIQUES


                            Jochen Depestele

 Wouter Courtens, Steven Degraer, Jan Haelters, Kris Hostens, Hans Polet,
    Marijn Rabaut, Eric Stienen, Sofie Vandendriessche, Magda Vincx

                            29 September 2011
                   World Conference on Marine Biodiversity


                                  Institute for Agricultural and Fisheries Research
                                             www.ilvo.vlaanderen.be/wako
Question?
Question?

Which fishing gear is the least damaging?
Objective: Develop a tool !

1. No black or white pill can cure
     nuances anticipated
     Include spatial and temporal aspects

2. No longer see the wood for the trees
     few data, but many effects
     How to deal with this?
Tool = SENSITIVITY ASSESSMENT !
What?

        INTOLERANCE
                         SENSITIVITY



                      RECOVERABILITY


Existing applications?       Range of …
 ecosystem components
 activities
 terminologies
But also: APROACHES !
Roadmap

          SCOPING




SELECTION OF UNIT OF ANALYSIS




                                uncertainty
SPEC. SENSITIVITY ASSESSMENT


      SENSITIVITY MAPS
Roadmap

          SCOPING
            Assumptions & limitations
                     1 fishing „event‟
               no reference condition

SELECTION OF UNIT OF ANALYSIS




                                         uncertainty
         Which marine feature? How?
                (1) species within
                (2) adult specimen
                (3) which species?

SPEC. SENSITIVITY ASSESSMENT


      SENSITIVITY MAPS
Roadmap

            SCOPING


SELECTION OF UNIT OF ANALYSIS




                                                      uncertainty
SPEC. SENSITIVITY ASSESSMENT
            recoverability assessment
              intolerance assessment
                                         SPECIES
             PRESSURES
                                        SENSITIVITY
  FISHING                    SPECIES      INDEX

               TRAITS


       SENSITIVITY MAPS
Intolerance: pressure selection
 Be comprehensive:
   Rio de Janeiro Declaration (1992):
   “lack of full scientific certainty shall not be used as a
       reason for postponing cost-effective measures to
              prevent environmental degradation”
   Pressure categories: DBP, IBP, IPP, ICP

 Pressures:
   within ecosystem components
   for both fishing gears

 With or without stakeholders
Intolerance: scoring principle

Objective = discriminate species and gears
“+3”       “-3”
 (neg intolerance = pos effect)

Scoring mechanisms
  1. Quantitative data
  2. Traits-based scoring
  3. No information
Intolerance: scoring example

 DBP = “extraction of epibenthic spp.”
    Mortalities           Beam trawl       Trammel net
       catch                  X                    X
      tow path                X                    /
    ghost fishing              /                   X
       others                N.N.              N.N.
                    No information:
                    Highlight lack of data
                          or
                    Delphi-technique for scoring
Intolerance: scoring example

 DBP = “extraction of epibenthic spp.”
    Mortalities            Beam trawl        Trammel net
       catch                   X                  X
      tow path                 X                  /
    ghost fishing              /                  X
       others                 N.N.              N.N.
                    Quantitative data available:
                    - standardize by fishing effort or landings
                    - divide in 4 equal parts for scoring
Intolerance: scoring example

 DBP = “extraction of epibenthic spp.”
    Mortalities           Beam trawl       Trammel net
       catch                  X                X
      tow path                X                 /
    ghost fishing             /                X
       others                N.N.             N.N.
                    Traits-based approach (modified ERAEF)
                    - encounterability
                    - selectivity
                    - post-capture mortality
Intolerance: scoring example

 DBP = “extraction of epibenthic spp.”
   Mortalities           catch       tow path    ghost     Weighed
      Factor              0.1          0.9      0.1*0.15    sum

                       Beam Trawl
   Asterias rubens         2            1          0         1.1
Liocarcinus holsatus       3            2          0         2.1
  Ophiura ophiura          2            3          0         2.9

                       Trammel Net
   Asterias rubens         2            0          0         0.2
Liocarcinus holsatus       3            0          2         0.33
  Ophiura ophiura          0            0          0           0
Intolerance: scoring example

 DBP = “extraction of epibenthic spp.”
   Mortalities           catch       tow path    ghost     Weighed
      Factor              0.1          0.9      0.1*0.15    sum

                       Beam Trawl
   Asterias rubens         2            1          0         1.1
Liocarcinus holsatus       3            2          0         2.1
  Ophiura ophiura          2            3          0         2.9

                       Trammel Net
   Asterias rubens         2            0          0         0.2
Liocarcinus holsatus       3            0          2         0.33
  Ophiura ophiura          0            0          0           0
Intolerance score
Towards one intolerance score?
 Worst case scenario/score (ie. lethal)

 Weighing based on expert judgement
  lethal scores can be worse than others?

 Adding up all pressures
  but aggregated in well thought categories

 Pressures per category without adding up
  Scoring ~ N(pressures)
Recoverability

= ability to return to a state before disturbance
 bio-geographical population size
 opportunistic         equilibrium
  (Life history traits: clutch size, growth rate…)
Sensitivity

      = f(intolerance, recoverabilty)
       Single ranking of species over gears
       Expert-based
               matrix
               (a)symmetric
                                                             Recoverability
                                                       Low     Moderate                           Immediat
                                         Very low                         High (1 -   Very high
                              None                   (>10–25    (>5 -10                             e (< 1
                                         (>25 yr.)                         5 yr.)      (<1 yr.)
                                                        yr.)      yr.)                              week)
                 High        Very high   Very high    High     Moderate Moderate        Low       Very low
              Intermediate   Very high     High       High     Moderate       Low       Low       Very Low
                 Low           High      Moderate Moderate       Low          Low     Very Low      NS
Intolerance
                Tolerant       NS          NS          NS         NS          NS        NS          NS




                                                                                                             © MarLIN
               Tolerant*       NS*         NS*        NS*         NS*         NS*       NS*         NS*
              Not relevant     NR          NR          NR         NR          NR        NR          NR
Sensitivity

= f(intolerance, recoverabilty)
 Single ranking of species over gears
 Algorithm-based
   intol * recov
   Euclidean distance
   SI  1  e  (int/ rec )




                                         © Smith et al. (2007)
Sensitivity maps
                              Gear * time period X
 Stelzenmüller et al. (2010):                Species X       Ecosystem
                                                              component
                POspecies * SI species
  S species                             1               S
                  max SI allspecies

 Spatial scale
  ~ bio-geographical population                           S
  of ecosystem component


                                                          S
Sensitivity maps
                              Gear * time period X
 Stelzenmüller et al. (2010):                                       © INBO


                POspecies * SI species
  S species                             1
                  max SI allspecies

 Spatial scale
  ~ bio-geographical population
  of ecosystem component




                                              beam trawl in winter
                                              S f(DBP, density)
Sensitivity maps
                              Gear * time period X
 Stelzenmüller et al. (2010):                                        © INBO


                POspecies * SI species
  S species                             1
                  max SI allspecies

 Spatial scale
  ~ bio-geographical population
  of ecosystem component




                                              trammel net in winter
                                              S f(DBP, density)
Sensitivity maps
                              Gear * time period X
 Stelzenmüller et al. (2010):                                        © INBO


                POspecies * SI species
  S species                             1
                  max SI allspecies

 Spatial scale
  ~ bio-geographical population
  of ecosystem component




                                              trammel net in summer
                                              S f(DBP, density)
Roadmap

          SCOPING




SELECTION OF UNIT OF ANALYSIS




                                uncertainty
SPEC. SENSITIVITY ASSESSMENT




      SENSITIVITY MAPS
Uncertainty

To avoid that what is not known, remains
  not known
 explicit referral to missing data
 Pedigree index
Pedigree criteria                    low   high
Proxy of pressure-species
Understanding of activity-pressure
Empirical basis
Methodological rigour
Validation
Uncertainty

To avoid that what is nottheory
                       Preliminary known, remains
                     e.g. vessel disturbance
  not known
 explicit referral to missing data        good fit for measure
                                         e.g. discard survival from
 Pedigree index                             tank experiments

Pedigree criteria                    low                              high
Proxy of pressure-species
Understanding of activity-pressure
Empirical basis
Methodological rigour
Validation
Uncertainty
                                                           Local, in situ data
To avoid that what is not known, remains
 Acceptable method,
                              Preliminary theory
                        e.g. vessel disturbance
     not known
limited consensus on
       reliability
 explicit referral to missing data
e.g. discard estimation
                                              good fit for measure

  from LFD-selectivity                      e.g. discard survival from
 Pedigree index                                tank experiments

Pedigree criteria                    low                                  high
Proxy of pressure-species
Understanding of activity-pressure
Empirical basis
Methodological rigour
Validation
                                            Replicated?
                                     e.g. 3 peer-reviewed papers
Lessons learnt

I’m starting to see the wood for the trees!
Lessons learnt

I’m starting to see the wood for the trees!
Comprehensive approach
Spatially and temporally explicit
Qualitative information
     =/=
  no assessment
Thank you for your attention

                           Contact: Jochen.Depestele@ilvo.vlaanderen.be
                              Website: www.ilvo.vlaanderen.be/wako



Financially supported by




                                              Institute for Agricultural and Fisheries Research
                                                         www.ilvo.vlaanderen.be/wako

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20110929 depestele ecological-risk-assessment_wcmb2011

  • 1. SENSITIVITY ASSESSMENT A TOOL FOR SPATIO-TEMPORAL MANAGEMENT OF FISHING TECHNIQUES Jochen Depestele Wouter Courtens, Steven Degraer, Jan Haelters, Kris Hostens, Hans Polet, Marijn Rabaut, Eric Stienen, Sofie Vandendriessche, Magda Vincx 29 September 2011 World Conference on Marine Biodiversity Institute for Agricultural and Fisheries Research www.ilvo.vlaanderen.be/wako
  • 3. Question? Which fishing gear is the least damaging?
  • 4. Objective: Develop a tool ! 1. No black or white pill can cure nuances anticipated Include spatial and temporal aspects 2. No longer see the wood for the trees few data, but many effects How to deal with this?
  • 5. Tool = SENSITIVITY ASSESSMENT ! What? INTOLERANCE SENSITIVITY RECOVERABILITY Existing applications? Range of …  ecosystem components  activities  terminologies But also: APROACHES !
  • 6. Roadmap SCOPING SELECTION OF UNIT OF ANALYSIS uncertainty SPEC. SENSITIVITY ASSESSMENT SENSITIVITY MAPS
  • 7. Roadmap SCOPING Assumptions & limitations 1 fishing „event‟ no reference condition SELECTION OF UNIT OF ANALYSIS uncertainty Which marine feature? How? (1) species within (2) adult specimen (3) which species? SPEC. SENSITIVITY ASSESSMENT SENSITIVITY MAPS
  • 8. Roadmap SCOPING SELECTION OF UNIT OF ANALYSIS uncertainty SPEC. SENSITIVITY ASSESSMENT recoverability assessment intolerance assessment SPECIES PRESSURES SENSITIVITY FISHING SPECIES INDEX TRAITS SENSITIVITY MAPS
  • 9. Intolerance: pressure selection  Be comprehensive:  Rio de Janeiro Declaration (1992): “lack of full scientific certainty shall not be used as a reason for postponing cost-effective measures to prevent environmental degradation”  Pressure categories: DBP, IBP, IPP, ICP  Pressures:  within ecosystem components  for both fishing gears  With or without stakeholders
  • 10. Intolerance: scoring principle Objective = discriminate species and gears “+3” “-3” (neg intolerance = pos effect) Scoring mechanisms 1. Quantitative data 2. Traits-based scoring 3. No information
  • 11. Intolerance: scoring example  DBP = “extraction of epibenthic spp.” Mortalities Beam trawl Trammel net catch X X tow path X / ghost fishing / X others N.N. N.N. No information: Highlight lack of data or Delphi-technique for scoring
  • 12. Intolerance: scoring example  DBP = “extraction of epibenthic spp.” Mortalities Beam trawl Trammel net catch X X tow path X / ghost fishing / X others N.N. N.N. Quantitative data available: - standardize by fishing effort or landings - divide in 4 equal parts for scoring
  • 13. Intolerance: scoring example  DBP = “extraction of epibenthic spp.” Mortalities Beam trawl Trammel net catch X X tow path X / ghost fishing / X others N.N. N.N. Traits-based approach (modified ERAEF) - encounterability - selectivity - post-capture mortality
  • 14. Intolerance: scoring example  DBP = “extraction of epibenthic spp.” Mortalities catch tow path ghost Weighed Factor 0.1 0.9 0.1*0.15 sum Beam Trawl Asterias rubens 2 1 0 1.1 Liocarcinus holsatus 3 2 0 2.1 Ophiura ophiura 2 3 0 2.9 Trammel Net Asterias rubens 2 0 0 0.2 Liocarcinus holsatus 3 0 2 0.33 Ophiura ophiura 0 0 0 0
  • 15. Intolerance: scoring example  DBP = “extraction of epibenthic spp.” Mortalities catch tow path ghost Weighed Factor 0.1 0.9 0.1*0.15 sum Beam Trawl Asterias rubens 2 1 0 1.1 Liocarcinus holsatus 3 2 0 2.1 Ophiura ophiura 2 3 0 2.9 Trammel Net Asterias rubens 2 0 0 0.2 Liocarcinus holsatus 3 0 2 0.33 Ophiura ophiura 0 0 0 0
  • 16. Intolerance score Towards one intolerance score?  Worst case scenario/score (ie. lethal)  Weighing based on expert judgement lethal scores can be worse than others?  Adding up all pressures but aggregated in well thought categories  Pressures per category without adding up Scoring ~ N(pressures)
  • 17. Recoverability = ability to return to a state before disturbance  bio-geographical population size  opportunistic equilibrium (Life history traits: clutch size, growth rate…)
  • 18. Sensitivity = f(intolerance, recoverabilty)  Single ranking of species over gears  Expert-based  matrix  (a)symmetric Recoverability Low Moderate Immediat Very low High (1 - Very high None (>10–25 (>5 -10 e (< 1 (>25 yr.) 5 yr.) (<1 yr.) yr.) yr.) week) High Very high Very high High Moderate Moderate Low Very low Intermediate Very high High High Moderate Low Low Very Low Low High Moderate Moderate Low Low Very Low NS Intolerance Tolerant NS NS NS NS NS NS NS © MarLIN Tolerant* NS* NS* NS* NS* NS* NS* NS* Not relevant NR NR NR NR NR NR NR
  • 19. Sensitivity = f(intolerance, recoverabilty)  Single ranking of species over gears  Algorithm-based  intol * recov  Euclidean distance  SI  1  e  (int/ rec ) © Smith et al. (2007)
  • 20. Sensitivity maps Gear * time period X  Stelzenmüller et al. (2010): Species X Ecosystem component POspecies * SI species S species  1 S max SI allspecies  Spatial scale ~ bio-geographical population S of ecosystem component S
  • 21. Sensitivity maps Gear * time period X  Stelzenmüller et al. (2010): © INBO POspecies * SI species S species  1 max SI allspecies  Spatial scale ~ bio-geographical population of ecosystem component beam trawl in winter S f(DBP, density)
  • 22. Sensitivity maps Gear * time period X  Stelzenmüller et al. (2010): © INBO POspecies * SI species S species  1 max SI allspecies  Spatial scale ~ bio-geographical population of ecosystem component trammel net in winter S f(DBP, density)
  • 23. Sensitivity maps Gear * time period X  Stelzenmüller et al. (2010): © INBO POspecies * SI species S species  1 max SI allspecies  Spatial scale ~ bio-geographical population of ecosystem component trammel net in summer S f(DBP, density)
  • 24. Roadmap SCOPING SELECTION OF UNIT OF ANALYSIS uncertainty SPEC. SENSITIVITY ASSESSMENT SENSITIVITY MAPS
  • 25. Uncertainty To avoid that what is not known, remains not known  explicit referral to missing data  Pedigree index Pedigree criteria low high Proxy of pressure-species Understanding of activity-pressure Empirical basis Methodological rigour Validation
  • 26. Uncertainty To avoid that what is nottheory Preliminary known, remains e.g. vessel disturbance not known  explicit referral to missing data good fit for measure e.g. discard survival from  Pedigree index tank experiments Pedigree criteria low high Proxy of pressure-species Understanding of activity-pressure Empirical basis Methodological rigour Validation
  • 27. Uncertainty Local, in situ data To avoid that what is not known, remains Acceptable method, Preliminary theory e.g. vessel disturbance not known limited consensus on reliability  explicit referral to missing data e.g. discard estimation good fit for measure from LFD-selectivity e.g. discard survival from  Pedigree index tank experiments Pedigree criteria low high Proxy of pressure-species Understanding of activity-pressure Empirical basis Methodological rigour Validation Replicated? e.g. 3 peer-reviewed papers
  • 28. Lessons learnt I’m starting to see the wood for the trees!
  • 29. Lessons learnt I’m starting to see the wood for the trees! Comprehensive approach Spatially and temporally explicit Qualitative information =/= no assessment
  • 30. Thank you for your attention Contact: Jochen.Depestele@ilvo.vlaanderen.be Website: www.ilvo.vlaanderen.be/wako Financially supported by Institute for Agricultural and Fisheries Research www.ilvo.vlaanderen.be/wako