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Workshop programme


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Workshop programme

  1. 1. Workshop“Non-stationary extreme value modelling in climatology”supported by the European Social Fund and the Ministry of Education, Youth and Sportsof the Czech Republic under project CZ.1.07/2.3.00/20.0086Technical University of Liberec, February 15-17, 2012Voroněžská 1329/13, Liberec, Czech RepublicBuilding H, Floor 4, Room H5027 (“Didakticky kabinet KMD”)Wednesday, February 15afternoon/evening – arrival of participantsThursday, February 168:30-9:00 Registration9:00-9:20 J. Picek, J. Kyselý: Introduction to the workshop and the KLIMATEXT projectSession 1: Extremes in climate models, spatial dependence9:20-9:50 M. Hanel (TUL/WRI): Assessment of projected changes in seasonal precipitation extremes in the Czech Republic9:50-10:20 M. Roth (KNMI/EURANDOM): A spatial peaks-over-threshold model in a nonstationary climate10:20-11:00 J. Beersma (KNMI): Advanced delta change method for time series transformation11:00-11:30 Discussion, Tea/Coffee breakSession 2: Nonstationary peaks-over-threshold (POT) method11:30-11:50 J. Kyselý (TUL/IAP): Estimating extremes in climate model data by the POT method with nonstationary threshold11:50-12:10 J. Picek (TUL): Statistical aspects of the regression quantiles methodology in the POT analysis12:10-12:30 M. Schindler (TUL): How to choose threshold in a POT model?12:30-13:00 Discussion13:00-14:00 Lunch14:00-18:00 Discussion, field trip (depending on weather)
  2. 2. Friday, February 17Session 3: Covariate-dependent extremes9:00-9:40 S. Beguería (CSIC): Covariate-dependent modelling of extreme events by nonstationary POT analysis9:40-10:10 J.I. López-Moreno (CSIC): Effects of NAO on combined temperature and precipitation winter modes and snow cover in Mediterranean mountains: observed relationships and projections for the 21st century10:10-10:30 R. Beranová (TUL/IAP): Links between the NAO index and temperatures in Europe in climate models10:30-11:00 Discussion, Tea/Coffee breakSession 4: Precipitation, covariates & extremes11:00-11:40 M. Angulo-Martínez (CSIC): Trends in daily rainfall erosivity in relation with NAO, MO and WeMO during 1955-2006 for the Ebro basin, NE Spain11:40-12:00 E. Plavcová (TUL/IAP): Links between circulation indices/types and precipitation in Central Europe in regional climate models12:00-12:20 J. Pecho (TUL/IAP): POT and block-maxima analysis of precipitation extremes at selected stations in Slovakia12:20-12:30 Concluding remarks12:30-14:00 Lunch, departure of participants