Seven aftershocks of the DPRK3 and two aftershocks of the DPRK4 are found by the
enhanced multi-master method
2. The DPRK5 and DPRK6 aftershocks can be separated by the cross correlation parameter SNRcc, the first aftershocks of the DPRK5, and the absence of any other events not related to the DPRK tests
3. The DPRK5 and DPRK6 are alternating sequences likely related to the stress relaxation and interaction between two collapsing chimneys
4. The aftershock activity within the DPRK test site is not fading away. Two events related to the DPRK6 occurred on October 10, 2021 and one on October 17, 2021.
5. Continuation of the aftershock activity may be finished by the chimney collapse with or without the surface cratering.
Aftershocks of the DPRK underground nuclear tests found by waveform cross correlation
1. CTBTO.ORG
Disclaimer: The views expressed on this poster are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the view of the CTBTO
Poster No.:
PUTTING AN END TO NUCLEAR EXPLOSIONS
P3.5-355
Aftershocks of the DPRK underground
nuclear tests found by waveform cross
correlation
Ivan Kitov
Ivan.Kitov@ctbto.org
2. CTBTO.ORG
Disclaimer: The views expressed on this poster are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the view of the CTBTO
Poster No.:
PUTTING AN END TO NUCLEAR EXPLOSIONS
P3.5-355
Spot check of seismic and infrasound data and products at the IDC using
waveform cross correlation and the REB historical events
Ivan Kitov and Christos Saragiotis
The DPRK underground nuclear explosions
# Date Time Lat,
deg
Lon,
deg
Ndef mb Ms ML
1 Oct 9, 2006 01:35:27.575 41.312 129.02 22 4.08 - 3.89
2 May 25, 2009 00:54:42.802 41.311 129.05 72 4.51 3.56 4.27
3 Feb 12, 2013 02:57:50.799 41.301 129.07 110 4.92 3.95 4.52
4 Jan 6, 2016 01:30:00.494 41.304 129.05 102 4.82 3.92 4.61
5 Sep 9, 2016 00:30:00.874 41.299 129.05 120 5.09 4.17 4.29
6 Sep 3, 2017 03:30:01.080 41.320 129.03 189 6.07 4.91 5.17
3. CTBTO.ORG
Disclaimer: The views expressed on this poster are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the view of the CTBTO
Poster No.:
PUTTING AN END TO NUCLEAR EXPLOSIONS
P3.5-355
Spot check of seismic and infrasound data and products at the IDC using
waveform cross correlation and the REB historical events
Ivan Kitov and Christos Saragiotis
The DPRK underground nuclear explosions
DPRK1
DPRK2
DPRK3
7 aftershocks
DPRK4
2 aftershocks
DPRK5
32 aftershocks
DPRK6
46 aftershocks
-1400
-1000
-600
-200
200
600
1000
-600 -200 200 600 1000 1400 1800 2200 2600
m
m
1. The DPRK6 has 49 identified
aftershocks (2 on 2021283,
1 - yesterday)
1. DPRK5 has 32 aftershocks
2. DPRK4 has 2 aftershocks
3. DPRK3 has 7 aftershocks
4. 9 poor aftershocks are hard to
identify
5. In total: 99 reliable aftershocks
Relative location of the DPRK6 is
not obtained by the cross
correlation method
elastic radius
6. CTBTO.ORG
Disclaimer: The views expressed on this poster are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the view of the CTBTO
Poster No.:
PUTTING AN END TO NUCLEAR EXPLOSIONS
P3.5-355
Spot check of seismic and infrasound data and products at the IDC using
waveform cross correlation and the REB historical events
Ivan Kitov and Christos Saragiotis
Aftershock masters for the multi-master method
Jdate Time # NassR NassF KSRS USRK RM
2017246 03:38:30 1 36 37 17 20 3.81
2017266 04:42:58 1 42 42 21 21 3.01
2017266 08:29: 14 2 48 49 25 24 3.61
2017285 16:41:07 1 43 43 18 22 3.25
2017304 10:20:12 1 18 20 5 15 2.46
2017335 22:45:54 1 32 35 18 17 2.90
2017339 14:40:50 1 42 40 19 21 3.14
2017340 16:20:04 1 23 31 14 17 2.61
2017343 06:08:39 1 22 30 11 19 2.78
2017343 06:13: 32 2 41 35 17 18 3.42
2017343 06:39:59 3 39 37 18 19 3.11
2016255 01:50:48 1 36 37 19 18 2.87
2017246 09:31:28 2 31 41 19 22 2.67
2018036 10:32:30 1 36 36 12 24 2.66
2018036 20:07:29 2 28 37 14 23 2.76
2018036 21:57:35 3 23 27 8 19 2.75
2018037 04:49:36 1 22 24 5 19 2.64
2018037 10:12:30 2 17 25 5 20 2.59
2018037 10:53:52 3 49 47 23 24 3.02
2018038 21:46:23 1 47 33 17 16 3.38
2018039 17:39:17 1 41 42 19 23 2.74
2018112 19:25:09 1 36 47 22 25 2.71
2018112 19:31:18 2 50 45 25 20 2.99
Total number of templates : 57
KSRS : 29
USRK : 28
Total number of aftershock
templates : 46
Total number of templates used in
the multi-master method : 44
Routine Nass threshold : 11
Final Nass threshold : 20
Station input ≥ 5
7. CTBTO.ORG
Disclaimer: The views expressed on this poster are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the view of the CTBTO
Poster No.:
PUTTING AN END TO NUCLEAR EXPLOSIONS
P3.5-355
Spot check of seismic and infrasound data and products at the IDC using
waveform cross correlation and the REB historical events
Ivan Kitov and Christos Saragiotis
Detections from the DPRK UNEs and their aftershocks
0
5
10
15
20
0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000
SNRcc
counts
2021175 KSRS
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000
CC
counts
2021175 KSRS
0
5
10
15
0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000
SNRcc
counts
2021175 USRK
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000
CC
counts
2021175 USRK
0
5
10
15
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000
SNRcc
counts
2021164 KSRS
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000
CC
counts
2021164 KSRS
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000
CC
counts
0
10
20
30
40
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000
SNRcc
counts
2021244 KSRS
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000
CC
counts
2021244 KSRS
0
5
10
15
20
0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000
SNRcc
counts
2021244 USRK
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000
SNRcc
counts
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000
CC
counts
2021244 USRK
Maximum SNRcc and absolute CC traces for 3 aftershocks observed in 2021.
SNRcc
CC
SNRcc
CC
8. CTBTO.ORG
Disclaimer: The views expressed on this poster are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the view of the CTBTO
Poster No.:
PUTTING AN END TO NUCLEAR EXPLOSIONS
P3.5-355
Spot check of seismic and infrasound data and products at the IDC using
waveform cross correlation and the REB historical events
Ivan Kitov and Christos Saragiotis
Detections from the DPRK UNEs and their aftershocks
0
10
20
30
40
0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 80000 90000
NDT
s
2021253
0
10
20
30
40
0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 80000 90000
NDT
s
2021254
The number of detections, NDT, in the running eight-second origin time intervals with 1 s step for two
days with the most recent aftershocks. There are two potential aftershocks on 10.09.2021(2021253) and
11.09.2021
9. CTBTO.ORG
Disclaimer: The views expressed on this poster are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the view of the CTBTO
Poster No.:
PUTTING AN END TO NUCLEAR EXPLOSIONS
P3.5-355
Spot check of seismic and infrasound data and products at the IDC using
waveform cross correlation and the REB historical events
Ivan Kitov and Christos Saragiotis
Local Association
Distribution of SNRcc at stations KSRS and USRK as a function of the origin time for 2017285 and
2021164. The aftershocks are seen as synchronized increase in the SNRcc values
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 80000 90000
SNRcc
2017285_1
KSRS
USRK
0
10
20
30
40
0 600 1200 1800 2400 3000 3600
SNRcc
2021164_1
KSRS
USRK
10. CTBTO.ORG
Disclaimer: The views expressed on this poster are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the view of the CTBTO
Poster No.:
PUTTING AN END TO NUCLEAR EXPLOSIONS
P3.5-355
Spot check of seismic and infrasound data and products at the IDC using
waveform cross correlation and the REB historical events
Ivan Kitov and Christos Saragiotis
The DPRK3 and DPRK4 aftershocks
#
Date Time
Routine Final
Nass RM Nass KSRS USRK RM dNass
1 2013149 13:53:08 34 2.63 40 16 24 2.65 6
2 2013200 13:23:50 25 2.61 28 10 18 2.63 3
3 2013203 15:50:16 23 2.34 22 6 16 2.40 -1
4 2014145 04:56:56 25 2.69 26 8 18 2.69 1
5 2014145 06:01: 27 40 2.79 43 18 25 2.82 3
6 2014145 06:43:03 48 2.94 48 23 25 2.91 0
7 2016050 00:28:07 24 2.78 30 6 24 2.80 6
8 2016184 19:52:27 36 2.61 38 19 19 2.61 2
The period from 01.01.2009 to 01.10.2021 has been re-processed
Potential cavity collapses are highlighted in bold
11. CTBTO.ORG
Disclaimer: The views expressed on this poster are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the view of the CTBTO
Poster No.:
PUTTING AN END TO NUCLEAR EXPLOSIONS
P3.5-355
Spot check of seismic and infrasound data and products at the IDC using
waveform cross correlation and the REB historical events
Ivan Kitov and Christos Saragiotis
The DPRK3 and DPRK4 aftershocks
DPRK3
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Nass
days from 2013001
DPRK4
DPRK5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350
Nass
days from 2016001
Solid diamond – routine solution
Open circle – final solution
Read - DPRK explosion
Black - aftershock
15. CTBTO.ORG
Disclaimer: The views expressed on this poster are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the view of the CTBTO
Poster No.:
PUTTING AN END TO NUCLEAR EXPLOSIONS
P3.5-355
Spot check of seismic and infrasound data and products at the IDC using
waveform cross correlation and the REB historical events
Ivan Kitov and Christos Saragiotis
The DPRK5 and DPRK6 aftershocks: discrimination
The decision line is the difference of the sum of
max SNRcc at KSRS and USRK for the DPRK5
and DPRK6 templates above 0.
The decision line is the difference of the sum of
mean SNRcc at KSRS and USRK for the DPRK5
and DPRK6 templates above 0.
DPRK5
DPRK5
DPRK6
collapse
6 h after
DPRK6
16. CTBTO.ORG
Disclaimer: The views expressed on this poster are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the view of the CTBTO
Poster No.:
PUTTING AN END TO NUCLEAR EXPLOSIONS
P3.5-355
Spot check of seismic and infrasound data and products at the IDC using
waveform cross correlation and the REB historical events
Ivan Kitov and Christos Saragiotis
The DPRK5 and DPRK6 aftershocks: alternating sequences
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
0 365 730 1095 1460 1825 2190
RM
days since 2016001
DPRK6
DPRK5
Poor
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0 365 730 1095 1460 1825 2190
Nass
days since 2016001
DPRK6
DPRK5
Poor
17. CTBTO.ORG
Disclaimer: The views expressed on this poster are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the view of the CTBTO
Poster No.:
PUTTING AN END TO NUCLEAR EXPLOSIONS
P3.5-355
Spot check of seismic and infrasound data and products at the IDC using
waveform cross correlation and the REB historical events
Ivan Kitov and Christos Saragiotis
CONCLUSIONS
1. Seven aftershocks of the DPRK3 and two aftershocks of the DPRK4 are found by the
enhanced multi-master method
2. The DPRK5 and DPRK6 aftershocks can be separated by the cross correlation parameter
SNRcc, the first aftershocks of the DPRK5, and the absence of any other events not related
to the DPRK tests
3. The DPRK5 and DPRK6 are alternating sequences likely related to the stress relaxation and
interaction between two collapsing chimneys
4. The aftershock activity within the DPRK test site is not fading away. Two events related to
the DPRK6 occurred on October 10, 2021 and one on October 17, 2021.
5. Continuation of the aftershock activity may be finished by the chimney collapse with or
without the surface cratering.